PART THREE THEORIES AND INSTITUTIONS: TRADE AND INVESTMENT International Business Chapter Six International Trade and Factor Mobility Theory.

PART THREETHEORIES AND INSTITUTIONS:

TRADE AND INVESTMENT

International Business

Chapter Six

International Trade and Factor Mobility Theory

2

Chapter Objectives

• To understand theories of why countries should trade• To comprehend how global efficiency can be increased

through free trade• To become familiar with factors affecting countries’ trade

patterns• To realize why countries’ export capabilities are dynamic • To discern why the production factors of labor and

capital move internationally• To grasp the relationship between foreign trade and

international factor mobility

3

The Importance of Trade Theory

Trade theory helps managers and govern- ment policymakers focus on three critical questions:

• What products should be imported and exported?• How much should be traded?• With whom should they trade?

While descriptive theories suggest a laissez-faire treatment of trade, prescriptive theories suggest that

governments should influence trade patterns.

4

Trade and Investment Policies

• import substitution: a policy of developing domestic industries to manufacture goods and provide services that would otherwise be imported

• strategic trade policy: the identification and development of targeted domestic industries in order to improve their competitiveness at home and abroad

5

Fig. 6.1: Companies’ International Operations Link Countries

Economically

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Interventionist Trade Theories

Interventionist trade theories prescribe govern-ment action with respect to the international trade process.

• mercantilism: an age-old zero-sum game that purports that a country’s wealth is measured by its holdings of treasure (usually gold) To amass a surplus (a favorable balance of trade), a country must export more than it imports and then collect gold and

other forms of wealth from countries that run trade deficits (unfavorable balances of trade).

• neomercantilism: the more recent strategy of countries that use protectionist trade policies in an attempt to run favorable balances of trade and/or accomplish particular social or political objectives

7

Free Trade Theories: Absolute & Comparative Advantage

• The theories of absolute and comparative advantage demonstrate how economic growth can occur via specialization and trade.

• Free trade (a positive-sum game) implies speciali-zation and requires that nations neither artificially limit imports nor artificially promote exports.

• The invisible hand of the market determines which competitors survive, as customers buy those products that best serve their needs.

Nations specialize in the production of certain products, some of which may be exported; export earnings can in turn be used

to pay for imported goods and services.

8

Theory of Absolute AdvantageAbsolute advantage [Adam Smith, 1776]: A

country can (i) maximize its own economic well being by specializing in the production of those goods and services that it produces more efficiently than any other nation and (ii) enhance global efficiency through its participation in free trade.Smith reasoned that:

• workers become more skilled by repeating the same tasks• workers do not lose time in switching from the production of one kind of product to another• longer production runs provide greater

incentives for the development of more effective working methods

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Natural vs. Acquired Advantages

• A natural advantage may exist because of:-given climatic conditions-access to particular resources-the availability of labor, etc.

• An acquired advantage may exist because of:-superior skills-better technology-greater capital assets, etc.

Real income depends on the output of products as compared to the resources used to produce them.

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Fig. 6.2: Production Possibilities with Absolute Advantage

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Theory of Comparative Advantage

Comparative advantage [David Ricardo, 1817]:A country can (i) maximize its own economic well-being by specializing in the production of those goods and services it can produce relatively efficiently and (ii) enhance global efficiency via its participation in free trade.Ricardo also reasoned that:

• a country can simultaneously have an absolute and a comparative advantage in the production of a given product • by concentrating on the production of the

product in which it has the greater advantage, a country can further enhance both global output and its own economic well-being

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Fig. 6.3: Production Possibilities with Comparative Advantage

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Assumptions and Limitations of the Free Trade Theories

The theories of absolute and comparative advantage both make assumptions that may not be entirely valid.

• Full employment of resources• Exclusive pursuit of economic efficiency objectives• Equitable division of gains from specialization• Only two countries and two commodities• Exclusion of transport costs• A static rather than a dynamic view• Exclusion of services• Unrestricted factor mobility

14

Theories Explaining Patterns of Trade: Country Size, Factor Proportions,

Country Similarity

The theories of country size, factor proportions, and country similarity all contribute to the explanations of:

• what types of products are traded• with which partner nations countries will

primarily trade

Nontradable products are those goods and services that are impractical to export.

15

Theory of Country Size

Large countries differ from small countries in at least two critical ways:

• Large countries tend to export a smaller portion of their output and import a small portion of their consumption.

Large countries are more apt to have varied climates and a greater assortment of natural resources than smaller countries, thus

making large countries more self-sufficient.

• Large countries tend to have higher transportation costs for exported and imported products.

Given the same types of terrain and modes of transportation, the greater the distance, the higher the associated transport costs. Thus, firms in large countries often face higher transport costs in terms of sourcing inputs from and delivering outputs to distant

foreign markets than do their closer foreign competitors.

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Leading 2003 Exporting and Importing Nations: Merchandise Trade

Exporting ImportingRank Nation ($US Bil.) % Rank Nation ($US Bil.) % 1 Germany (748.3) 10.0 1 U.S.A. (1303.1) 16.8 2 U.S.A (723.8) 9.6 2 Germany (601.7) 7.7 3 Japan (471.8) 6.3 3 China (413.1) 5.3 4 China (437.9) 5.8 4 U.K. (390.8) 5.0 5 France (386.7) 5.2 5 France (390.5) 5.0 6 U.K. (304.6) 4.1 6 Japan (382.9) 4.9 7 Neth. (294.1) 3.9 7 Italy (290.8) 3.7 8 Italy (292.1) 3.9 8 Neth. (262.8) 3.4 9 Canada (272.7) 3.6 9 Canada (245.0) 3.2 10 Belgium (255.3) 3.4 10 Belgium (235.4) 3.0

Total 55.8 Total 53.0Source: International Trade Statistics, 2004 (Geneva: World Trade Organization), p.19.

17

Factor Proportions Theory

Factor proportions [Eli Heckscher, 1919; Bertil Ohlin, 1933]:

• Differences in a country’s relative endowments of land, labor, and capital explain differences in the cost of production factors.

• A country will tend to export products that utilize relatively abundant production factors because they are relatively cheaper than scarce factors.

The composition of a country’s trade depends on both its natural and acquired advantages. With respect to the latter, both production

and product technology can be very important.

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Fig. 6.4: World Trade by Major Product Category as a Percentage of World Trade for Selected Years

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Country Similarity Theory

When a firm develops a new product in response to observed conditions in its home market, it is likely to turn to those foreign markets that are most similar to its domestic market when commencing its initial international expansion activities. This tendency is reflective of: • the cultural similarity of nations• the similarity of national political/economic interests• the economic similarity of industrialized countries

Countries that are near to one another enjoy relatively lower transportation costs than those that are more distant, but they may or may not be similar with respect to culture, level of economic development, and/or political/economic interests.

20

Product Life Cycle (PLC) Theory

The optimal location for the production of certain types of goods and services shifts over time as they pass through the stages of: (i) introduction, (ii) growth, (iii) maturity, and (iv) decline.

Exceptions to the typical pattern of the PLC would include: • products that have very short life cycles• luxury goods and services • products that require specialized labor • products that are differentiated from competitive offerings• products for which transportation costs are relatively high

During the decline stage, a product is often imported by the country where it was initially developed; however, the importing firm may or

may not be the innovating firm.

21

Product Life Cycle Characteristics

Stage Intro. Growth Maturity Decline

PRODUCTION Innovating Innovating Ind’l + Developing

LOCATION(S) country + other ind’l developing countries

MARKET Innovating Industrial Industrial + Developing

LOCATIONS + other ind’l countries developing countries

COMPETITIVE Uniqueness Rising comp. Price compe- Declining

FACTORS & demand tition demand

PRODUCTION Short prod’n Capital input Economies Rationali-

TECHNNOLOGY runs increases of scale zation

22

Porter’s Diamond of National Competitive Advantage [1990]

The Porter Diamond theorizes that national competitive advantage is embedded in four determinants: • factor endowments • demand conditions • related and supporting industries • firm strategy, structure, and rivalry

All four determinants are interlinked and generally must be favorable for a given national industry to attain global competitiveness.

At times, determinants can be affected by the roles of chance and government.

23

Factor Mobility

Factor mobility concerns the free movement of factors of production, such as labor and capital, across national borders.

• While capital is the most internationally mobile factor, short-term capital is the most mobile of all.

Capital is primarily transferred because of differences in expected returns, but firms may also respond to government incentives.

• People transfer internationally in order to work abroad, either on a temporary or on a permanent basis.

Brain drain occurs when educated citizens leave a country, but a nation may in turn gain from the remittances that citizens who

are working abroad send home.

24

International Trade and Factor Mobility—Potential Effects

• Substitution: the inability to gain sufficient access to foreign production factors may stimulate efficient methods of domestic substitution, such as the develop-ment of alternatives for traditional production methods

• Complementarity: factor mobility via foreign direct investment may stimulate foreign trade because of the need for equipment, components, and/or complementary products in the destination country

While immigrants add to the base of a country’s skills, thus enabling competition in new areas, inflows of capital can be used to develop infrastructure and natural and other acquired advantages, thus enabling increased participation in the international trade arena.

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Fig. 6.6: Comparative Costs of Tomatoes Based on Trade and Factor Mobility between the U.S. and Mexico

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Implications/Conclusions

• Production factors are neither as mobile nor as immobile as theories assume.

• While the free trade theories of absolute and comparative advantage are descriptive in nature, the interventionist theories of mercantilism and neomercantilism are prescriptive in nature.

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• The theories of country size, factor proportions, and country similarity help explain patterns of trade; the product life cycle and Porter’s Diamond help explain the dynamics of trade.

• Although the international mobility of production factors may be a substitute for trade, that same mobility may stimulate trade because of the need for equipment, components, and/or complementary products in the destination country.

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• 1st British African colony to win independence (1957).

• Nkrumah espoused pan African socialism.

• High tariffs.

• Anti-exporting policy.

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• Kept lowering tariffs on manufactured goods.• Created incentives to export.• Reduced quotas.• Reduced subsidies.• 1950s: 77% of employment in agriculture. Now 20%.• Manufacturing GNP went from 10% to over 30%.

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The Impact of Trade Policies• Ghana• 1970

– GNP/capita • $250

• 1992– GNP/per capita

• $450

– GNP Growth/year • 1.5%

• Shift from productive uses (cocoa) to unproductive uses (subsistence agriculture).

• Korea• 1970

– GNP/per capita • $260

• 1992– GNP/per capita

• $6790– GNP Growth/year

• 9%

• Shift from non-comparative advantage uses (agriculture) to productive uses (labor-intensive manufacturing).

McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.

31

The Theory of Absolute Advantage

Rice

Co

coa

G’

0 5 10 15 20

5

10

15

2

0

A

BK

G

K’

32

The Theory of Absolute Advantage and the Gains from Trade

Production and Consumption without Trade

S. Korea 2.5 10.0

Total production 20 20

S. Korea 6.0 14.0

Resources Required to Produce 1 Ton of Cocoa and RiceCocoa Rice

Ghana 10 20S. Korea 40 10

Ghana 10.0 5.0

Total production 12.5 15.0Production with Specialization

Ghana 20 0S. Korea 0 20

Consumption after Ghana Trades 6T of Cocoa for 6TSouth Korean Rice

Ghana 14.0 6.0

Increase in Consumption as a Result of Specialization and Trade

Ghana 4.0 1.0S. Korea 3.5 4.0

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The Theory of Comparative Advantage

3.75 7.5

2.5

0 5 10 15 20

5

10

15

2

0C

oco

a

Rice

G

C

A

K

K’B

G’

34

Comparative Advantage and the Gains from Trade

S. Korea 40 20

S. Korea 2.5 5.0

S. Korea 0.0 10.0

S. Korea 4 6

Resources Required to Produce 1 Ton of Cocoa and Rice

Ghana 10 13.33

Production and Consumption without TradeGhana 10.0 7.5

Total production 12.5 12.5Production with Specialization

Ghana 15 3.75

Total production 15 13.75Consumption after Ghana Trades 4T of Cocoa for 4TSouth Korean Rice

Ghana 11 7.75

Increase in Consumption as a Result of Specialization and TradeGhana 1.0 0.25S. Korea 1.5 1.0

Cocoa Rice

The Product Life-Cycle Theory

production

consumptionExports

160140120100 80 60 40 200

United States

Other Advanced Countries

Developing Countries

Stages of Production Development

New Product Standardized ProductMaturing Product

Imports

Imports

Exports

Exports

Imports

160140120100 80 60 40 200

160140120100 80 60 40 200

McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.