p Naaz Poll June 2012

7/31/2019 p Naaz Poll June 2012

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PPP Surveyed 791 likely Arizona voters from June 4-5 on behalf of Project New America . The margin of error for the survey is +/-3.5%. PNA also conducted an oversample of 529 self-identified independent voters. The

independent voter survey has a margin of error of +/-4.3%. Both surveys were conducted through automated telephone interviews with the option for either Spanish or English.

Project New America, formerly Project New West, is a private company that provides cutting edge tools to understand and communicate with a rapidly changing America. PNA develops, conducts aggregates, and disseminates research, messaging and on-going strat egic guidance with the nations leading progressive

stakeholders. Since 2007, Project New America has conducted over 20 statewide surveys in Arizona.

To: Interested PartiesFrom: Project New AmericaRe: Senate, Presidential Races in Arizona CloseDate: June 19, 2012

For Immediate Release

Strong support from independent voters has Democratic candidates within striking distance of Republicans in Arizona. Recent polling from Project New America (PNA) shows President Obamatrailing Mitt Romney by just 3 points in Arizona, and likely Democratic Senate nominee RichardCarmona trailing likely Republican nominee Jeff Flake by just 2 points.

The poll, which surveyed 791 likely Arizona voters from June 4-5, showed Mitt Romney with a 49-46lead over Obama, and Jeff Flake with a 43-41 lead over Richard Carmona. Both races are within thepoll s +/-3.5% margin of error.

Moderate independent voters make up a substantial portion of the Arizona electorate, and its verydifficult to win elections without their support, said Jill Hanauer, President of Project New America.This poll shows that D emocrats are gaining ground among independent voters. If this trend continues,we should expect Arizona to remain competitive through November.

PNA also conducted an oversample of 529 self-identified independent voters. The oversample madeclear that the Republican brand is unpopular among this critical group.

The 23% of voters who describe themselves as independent from either political party have decidedlynegative opinions of prominent GOP officials. Just 35% of these voters have a positive opinion of Mitt Romney, compared to 53% who have a negative opinion of him. Republican Governor Jan Brewer has asimilar 36-54 approve-disapprove rating among independents.

Obama, meanwhile, has a positive 51-43 approval rating among independent voters, who prefer thePresident over Romney by 51-39.

CONTACT: Ethan Axelrod [email protected] , (303) 953 3378

(See Below for Full Crosstabs)
mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]


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June 4-5, 2012Survey of 791 Arizona votersJune 4-5, 2012Survey of 791 Arizona voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988



Q12 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself asDemocrat, a Republican, an independent or asa member of another political party?

30%Democrat ........................................................42%Republican ......................................................23%Independent ....................................................5%Another Party ..................................................

Q13 What racial or ethnic group best describesyou? If you are Latino or Hispanic, press 1. IfWhite or Anglo, press 2. If African American,press 3. If Asian, press 4. If something else,press 5.

18%Latino or Hispanic ...........................................71%White or Anglo ................................................3%African American .............................................2%Asian ...............................................................5%Something else ..............................................

Q14 If you are 18-29 years old, press 1. If 30-45,press 2. If 46-65, press 3. If older than 65,press 4.

12%18-29 ..............................................................30%30-45 ..............................................................38%46-65 ..............................................................20%Older than 65 ..................................................

Q15 Which of the following best describes thehighest level of education you completed:some high school but did not finish, high schoolgraduate, some college but did not finish, two-year college degree, four-year college degree,some graduate work, or post-graduate degree?If some high school but did not finish, press 1.If high school graduate, press 2. If somecollege but did not finish, press 3. If two-yearcollege degree, press 4. If four-year collegedegree, press 5. If some graduate work, press6. If post-graduate degree, press 7. If you dontcare to say, press 8.

5%Did not finish high school ................................

11%High school graduate ......................................24%Some college but did not finish .......................9%Two-year college degree .................................

20%Four-year college degree ................................8%Some postgraduate work ................................

21%Postgraduate degree ......................................2%Don't care to say .............................................

Q16 Language of Interview97%English ............................................................

3%Spanish ...........................................................


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June 4-5, 2012survey of 791 Arizona votersJune 4-5, 2012survey of 791 Arizona voters





Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Obama Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

45% 45% 46%

51% 51% 51%

4% 4% 3%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Rom ney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

43% 40% 45%

49% 51% 47%

8% 9% 8%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Brewer Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

43% 42% 43%

48% 47% 49%

9% 11% 7%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Rs Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 37% 36%

47% 46% 49%

16% 17% 15%


5/35






Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Ds Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

35% 36% 34%

47% 44% 50%

18% 19% 16%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Planned ParenthoodFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

53% 51% 54%

38% 39% 36%

9% 9% 9%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Obama/Romney

Obama

Romney

Undecided

46% 45% 47%

49% 50% 49%

5% 5% 4%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Carmona/Flake

Richard Carmona

Jeff Flake

Undecided

41% 43% 39%

43% 40% 46%

16% 17% 15%


6/35






Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

AZ Leg GenericBallot

Democraticcandidate

Republicancandidate

Not s ure

43% 43% 42%

45% 45% 44%

13% 12% 14%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Support gaymarriage/Civilunions only/No legalrecognition

Gay couples shouldhave s ame legal

marriage rights asman + woman

Gay couples shouldbe allowed civil

unions but not"marriage"

There should be nolegal recognition of

gay couples

Not sure

41% 39% 43%

28% 30% 26%

29% 30% 29%

1% 1% 2%

Base

Party

Democrat Republican IndependentAnother

Party

Obama Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

45% 91% 12% 48% 43%

51% 8% 85% 44% 57%

4% 1% 4% 8% -

Base

Party


Party

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

43% 10% 72% 34% 25%

49% 86% 18% 55% 66%

8% 4% 10% 11% 9%


7/35






Crosstabs

Base

Party


Party

Brew er Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

43% 10% 70% 35% 37%

48% 83% 20% 51% 63%

9% 7% 9% 14% -

Base

Party


Party

Rs Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

37% 8% 65% 26% 22%

47% 82% 19% 53% 57%

16% 11% 17% 21% 21%

Base

Party


Party

Ds Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

35% 73% 10% 34% 30%

47% 14% 72% 44% 43%

18% 13% 18% 21% 27%

Base

Party


Party


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

53% 81% 33% 53% 55%

38% 10% 58% 36% 39%

9% 9% 9% 11% 6%


8/35






Crosstabs

Base

Party


Party

Obama/Romney

Obama

Romney

Undecided

46% 91% 10% 51% 54%

49% 6% 87% 37% 46%

5% 3% 3% 11% -

Base

Party


Party

Carmona/Flake

Richard Carmona

Jeff Flake

Undecided

41% 77% 12% 46% 49%

43% 9% 75% 32% 30%

16% 14% 13% 22% 21%

Base

Party


Party


Democraticcandidate

Republicancandidate

Not sur e

43% 90% 8% 44% 51%

45% 4% 82% 32% 24%

13% 6% 10% 24% 25%

Base

Party


Party


Gay couples shouldhave same legal


Gay couples shouldbe allowe d civilunions but not

"marriage"


gay couples

Not sur e

41% 69% 15% 47% 71%

28% 16% 34% 33% 22%

29% 12% 50% 18% 7%

1% 3% 1% 1% -


9/35






Crosstabs

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo

AfricanAmerican Asian

Somethingelse

Obama Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

45% 51% 44% 37% 56% 41%

51% 41% 53% 57% 44% 59%

4% 8% 3% 7% - -

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

43% 29% 46% 42% 39% 48%

49% 57% 48% 27% 56% 43%

8% 13% 6% 31% 6% 9%

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

43% 31% 44% 63% 39% 49%

48% 56% 48% 14% 55% 43%

9% 14% 8% 23% 6% 9%

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse

Rs Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 34% 37% 61% 44% 22%

47% 50% 48% 16% 50% 47%

16% 16% 15% 23% 6% 31%


10/35






Crosstabs

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse

Ds Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

35% 40% 35% 20% 44% 21%

47% 39% 47% 63% 53% 71%

18% 21% 18% 16% 3% 8%

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

53% 41% 56% 27% 63% 53%

38% 43% 36% 59% 31% 37%

9% 16% 8% 14% 6% 9%

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse

Obama/Romney

Obama

Romney

Undecided

46% 54% 44% 37% 47% 49%

49% 38% 52% 52% 53% 48%

5% 7% 4% 11% - 4%

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse

Carmona/Flake

Richard Carmon a

Jeff Flake

Undecided

41% 40% 42% 32% 44% 34%

43% 34% 46% 57% 50% 28%

16% 26% 12% 11% 6% 38%


11/35






Crosstabs

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse


Democraticcandidate

Republicancandidate

Not sur e

43% 57% 39% 31% 53% 42%

45% 33% 48% 44% 47% 35%

13% 10% 12% 25% - 23%

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse


Gay couples s houldhave same legal


Gay couples s houldbe allowe d civilunions but not

"marriage"

There should be no

legal recognition ofgay couples

Not sure

41% 29% 44% 22% 44% 50%

28% 34% 26% 31% 28% 28%

29% 34% 28% 47% 28% 21%

1% 3% 1% - - -

Base

Age

18-29 30-45 46-65

Older

than 65Obama Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

45% 59% 41% 47% 41%

51% 38% 54% 50% 57%

4% 3% 5% 3% 2%

Base

Age

18-29 30-45 46-65

Older

than 65Rom ney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

43% 21% 48% 41% 52%

49% 66% 43% 52% 43%

8% 14% 10% 7% 5%


12/35






Crosstabs

Base

Age

18-29 30-45 46-65Older

than 65

Brewer Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

43% 24% 42% 44% 52%

48% 59% 51% 48% 39%

9% 17% 8% 8% 9%

Base

Age

18-29 30-45 46-65Older

than 65

Rs Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 28% 40% 35% 41%

47% 52% 44% 52% 42%

16% 21% 16% 13% 18%

Base

Age

18-29 30-45 46-65

Older

than 65Ds Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

35% 48% 29% 38% 32%

47% 34% 50% 47% 51%

18% 17% 21% 16% 16%

Base

Age

18-29 30-45 46-65

Older

than 65Planned ParenthoodFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

53% 62% 49% 54% 51%

38% 24% 44% 36% 40%

9% 14% 8% 9% 9%


13/35






Crosstabs

Base

Age

18-29 30-45 46-65Older

than 65

Obama/Romney

Obama

Romney

Undecided

46% 62% 43% 47% 38%

49% 34% 54% 47% 57%

5% 3% 4% 6% 5%

Base

Age

18-29 30-45 46-65Older

than 65

Carmona/Flake

Richard Carmona

Jeff Flake

Undecided

41% 45% 30% 46% 44%

43% 31% 54% 38% 44%

16% 24% 15% 16% 13%

Base

Age

18-29 30-45 46-65

Older

than 65AZ Leg GenericBallot

Democraticcandidate

Republicancandidate

Not s ure

43% 59% 40% 44% 35%

45% 38% 44% 42% 55%

13% 3% 16% 14% 10%

Base

Age

18-29 30-45 46-65

Older

than 65Support gaymarriage/Civilunions only/No legalrecognition

Gay couples shouldhave sam e legal


Gay couples shouldbe allowed civilunions but not

"marriage"

There s hould be nolegal recognition of

gay couples

Not sure

41% 62% 43% 39% 31%

28% 21% 24% 32% 32%

29% 17% 33% 28% 34%

1% - 1% 1% 3%


14/35






Crosstabs

Base

Education

Did not finishhigh school

High schoolgraduate

Some college butdid not finish

Two-yearcollege degree

Four-yearcollege degree

Some postgraduatework

Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say

Obama Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

45% 60% 40% 37% 37% 43% 54% 57% 26%

51% 37% 50% 57% 63% 54% 44% 41% 70%

4% 3% 10% 6% - 2% 2% 2% 4%

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

43% 15% 39% 46% 40% 51% 44% 40% 51%

49% 72% 45% 44% 51% 42% 49% 59% 23%

8% 13% 1 6% 10% 9% 7% 7% 2% 26%

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say

Brewer Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

43% 31% 43% 50% 49% 47% 35% 33% 51%

48% 52% 50% 38% 38% 44% 58% 64% 26%

9% 17% 7% 12% 13% 9% 7% 3% 23%

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say

Rs Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 16% 36% 42% 42% 41% 35% 30% 37%

47% 58% 39% 36% 32% 50% 59% 62% 34%

16% 26% 2 5% 21% 27% 9% 7% 8% 29%


15/35






Crosstabs

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say

Ds Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 47% 28% 32% 29% 28% 50% 44% 30%

47% 30% 51% 50% 45% 61% 35% 37% 55%

18% 23% 21% 18% 26% 10% 15% 19% 15%

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

53% 38% 52% 49% 43% 46% 64% 67% 30%

38% 33% 37% 39% 51% 50% 28% 25% 47%

9% 29% 1 1% 12% 6% 4% 7% 8% 22%

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say

Obama/Romney

Obama

Romney

Undecided

46% 60% 44% 37% 36% 45% 54% 56% 26%

49% 37% 45% 57% 55% 52% 44% 42% 70%

5% 3% 11% 6% 9% 3% 2% 2% 4%

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say

Carmona/Flake

Richard Carmona

Jeff Flake

Undecided

41% 43% 47% 34% 24% 37% 45% 54% 37%

43% 22% 33% 50% 49% 50% 40% 39% 44%

16% 34% 20% 17% 26% 13% 15% 7% 19%


16/35






Crosstabs

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say


Democraticcandidate

Republicancandidate

Not sure

42% 57% 45% 33% 32% 44% 51% 50% 26%

45% 19% 43% 53% 52% 46% 40% 37% 66%

13% 25% 11% 14% 16% 10% 10% 12% 8%

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say





"marriage"


gay couples

Not sure

41% 27% 26% 38% 38% 40% 56% 54% 19%

28% 28% 32% 30% 30% 32% 24% 22% 19%

29% 43% 42% 30% 30% 27% 19% 23% 55%

1% 1% 1 % 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 7%

Base

Language ofInterview

English SpanishObama Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

45% 44% 76%

51% 53% 4%

4% 3% 20%

Base


English SpanishRom ney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

43% 43% 22%

49% 49% 53%

8% 8% 26%


17/35






Crosstabs

Base


English Spanish

Brewer Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

43% 44% 16%

48% 48% 46%

9% 8% 39%

Base


English Spanish

Rs Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 37% 20%

47% 47% 60%

16% 16% 19%

Base


English SpanishDs Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 34% 61%

47% 49% -

18% 17% 39%

Base


English SpanishPlanned ParenthoodFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

53% 54% 26%

38% 38% 26%

9% 8% 47%


18/35






Crosstabs

Base


English Spanish

Obama/Romney

Obama

Romney

Undecided

46% 45% 76%

49% 51% 17%

5% 5% 8%

Base


English Spanish

Carmona/Flake

Richard Carmona

Jeff Flake

Undecided

41% 41% 47%

43% 44% 13%

16% 15% 40%

Base


English SpanishAZ Leg GenericBallot

Democraticcandidate

Republicancandidate

Not sure

43% 41% 76%

45% 46% 17%

13% 13% 8%

Base


English SpanishSupport gaymarriage/Civilunions only/No legalrecognition


marr iage rights asman + woman


"marriage"


gay couples

Not sure

41% 42% 15%

28% 28% 26%

29% 29% 44%

1% 1% 15%


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June 4-5, 2012Survey of 529 Arizona independent votersJune 4-5, 2012Survey of 529 Arizona independent voters





Arizona Survey Results

Q1 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Barack Obama?

51%Favorable ........................................................43%Unfavorable ....................................................6%Not sure ..........................................................

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Mitt Romney?


Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Jan Brewer?


Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Republicans in the Arizona StateLegislature?

24%Favorable ........................................................

58%Unfavorable ....................................................18%Not sure ..........................................................

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Democrats in the Arizona State Legislature?

33%Favorable ..............46%Unfavorable ...........

20%Not sure ................

Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Planned Parenthood?

57%Favorable ..............34%Unfavorable ...........

9%Not sure ................

Q7 If the November Presidential election were heldtoday, do you plan on voting for DemocratBarack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney?

51%Obama ..................39%Romney .................

10%Undecided .............

Q8 If the November U.S. Senate election wereheld today, and the candidates were DemocratRichard Carmona and Republican Jeff Flake,who would you vote for?

48%Richard Carmona ............................................33%Jeff Flake ........................................................19%Undecided .......................................................

Q9 In the 2012 election for Arizona StateLegislature in your district, do you think youllvote for the Democratic candidate or theRepublican candidate?

39%Democratic candidate .....................................31%Republican candidate .....................................29%Not sure ..........................................................

Q10 Which ONE of the following statements do youagree with most concerning same-sex couples:Gay and lesbian couples should have thesame legal right to marry as do a man andwoman; Gay and lesbian couples should beallowed to form a civil union giving them thesame legal rights as marriage, but it should not

be called marriage; Or there should be no legalrecognition of a relationship between gay andlesbian couples?

43%Gay couples should have same legal marriage rights as man + woman ....................

36%Gay couples should be allowed civil unions but not "marriage" ...........................................

19%There should be no legal recognition of gay couples ...........................................................

2%Not sure ..........................................................Q11 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

50%Woman ...........................................................

50%Man .................................................................


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June 4-5, 2012Survey of 529 Arizona independent votersJune 4-5, 2012Survey of 529 Arizona independent voters





Q12 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself asDemocrat, a Republican, an independent or asa member of another political party?

0%Democrat ........................................................0%Republican ......................................................

100%Independent ....................................................0%Another Party ..................................................

Q13 What racial or ethnic group best describesyou? If you are Latino or Hispanic, press 1. IfWhite or Anglo, press 2. If African American,press 3. If Asian, press 4. If something else,press 5.

10%Latino or Hispanic ...........................................80%White or Anglo ................................................3%African American .............................................2%Asian ...............................................................6%Something else ..............................................

Q14 If you are 18-45 years old, press 1. If 46-65,press 2. If older than 65, press 3.

28%18-45 ..............................................................51%46-65 ..............................................................21%

Older than 65 ..................................................

Q15 Which of the following best describes thehighest level of education you completed:some high school but did not finish, high schoolgraduate, some college but did not finish, two-year college degree, four-year college degree,some graduate work, or post-graduate degree?If some high school but did not finish, press 1.If high school graduate, press 2. If somecollege but did not finish, press 3. If two-yearcollege degree, press 4. If four-year collegedegree, press 5. If some graduate work, press6. If post-graduate degree, press 7. If you dontcare to say, press 8.

2%Did not finish high school ................................

8%High school graduate ......................................21%Some college but did not finish .......................12%Two-year college degree .................................19%Four-year college degree ................................11%Some postgraduate work ................................25%Postgraduate degree ......................................1%Don't care to say .............................................

Q16 Language of Interview99%English ............................................................

1%Spanish ...........................................................


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June 4-5, 2012survey of 529 Arizona independent votersJune 4-5, 2012survey of 529 Arizona independent voters





Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Obama Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

51% 55% 48%

43% 41% 44%

6% 4% 8%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 33% 37%

53% 56% 50%

12% 12% 12%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Brewer Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

36% 35% 37%

54% 56% 51%

10% 9% 12%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Rs Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

24% 21% 26%

58% 61% 55%

18% 17% 19%


22/35






Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Ds Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

33% 35% 32%

46% 45% 48%

20% 20% 20%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

57% 62% 53%

34% 29% 39%

9% 10% 8%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Obama/Romney

Obama

Romney

Undecided

51% 54% 47%

39% 36% 42%

10% 10% 11%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Carmona/Flake

Richard Carmona

Jeff Flake

Undecided

48% 53% 43%

33% 29% 38%

19% 18% 19%


23/35






Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man


Democraticcandidate

Republicancandidate

Not s ure

39% 42% 37%

31% 29% 34%

29% 29% 29%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man




Gay couples shouldbe allowed civil

unions but not"marriage"


gay couples

Not sure

43% 44% 43%

36% 36% 35%

19% 17% 20%

2% 2% 3%

Base

Party

Independent

Obama Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

51% 51%

43% 43%

6% 6%

Base

Party

Independent


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 35%

53% 53%

12% 12%


24/35






Crosstabs

Base

Party

Independent

Brewer Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

36% 36%

54% 54%

10% 10%

Base

Party

Independent

Rs Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

24% 24%

58% 58%

18% 18%

Base

Party

Independent

Ds Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

33% 33%

46% 46%

20% 20%

Base

Party

Independent


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

57% 57%

34% 34%

9% 9%


25/35


26/35






Crosstabs

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse

Obama Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

51% 33% 54% 36% 60% 44%

43% 54% 41% 34% 18% 56%

6% 14% 5% 30% 22% -

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 46% 33% 20% 13% 54%

53% 38% 56% 39% 82% 37%

12% 16% 11% 40% 6% 8%

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

36% 45% 34% 43% 25% 47%

54% 46% 57% 11% 69% 38%

10% 9% 9% 46% 6% 15%

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse

Rs Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

24% 46% 21% 31% 34% 24%

58% 32% 63% 29% 60% 51%

18% 22% 17% 40% 6% 25%


27/35






Crosstabs

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse

Ds Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

33% 27% 36% 4% 25% 19%

46% 51% 43% 46% 47% 76%

20% 21% 20% 50% 27% 5%

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

57% 31% 63% 19% 87% 36%

34% 54% 31% 49% - 50%

9% 15% 7% 32% 13% 14%

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse

Obama/Romney

Obama

Romney

Undecided

51% 39% 53% 36% 82% 38%

39% 42% 39% 20% 13% 56%

10% 19% 8% 44% 6% 7%

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse

Carmona/Flake

Richard Carmon a

Jeff Flake

Undecided

48% 38% 50% 39% 73% 30%

33% 44% 32% 17% 27% 36%

19% 18% 17% 44% - 33%


28/35






Crosstabs

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse


Democraticcandidate

Republicancandidate

Not sur e

39% 36% 41% 11% 60% 30%

31% 40% 30% 25% 27% 36%

29% 25% 28% 64% 13% 34%

Base

Race

Latino orHispanic

White orAnglo


Somethingelse


Gay couples s houldhave same legal


Gay couples s houldbe allowe d civilunions but not

"marriage"

There should be no

legal recognition ofgay couples

Not sure

43% 25% 48% 8% 66% 26%

36% 41% 35% 44% 22% 42%

19% 35% 16% 33% 13% 24%

2% - 2% 14% - 8%

Base

Age

18-45 46-65

Older

than 65Obama Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

51% 56% 52% 44%

43% 32% 45% 51%

6% 12% 3% 5%

Base

Age

18-45 46-65

Older

than 65Rom ney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 24% 37% 45%

53% 56% 54% 46%

12% 20% 9% 10%


29/35






Crosstabs

Base

Age

18-45 46-65Older

than 65

Brewer Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

36% 25% 39% 45%

54% 59% 54% 45%

10% 16% 7% 10%

Base

Age

18-45 46-65Older

than 65

Rs Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

24% 20% 25% 26%

58% 57% 60% 55%

18% 23% 15% 19%

Base

Age

18-45 46-65

Older

than 65Ds Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

33% 37% 32% 32%

46% 36% 50% 51%

20% 27% 18% 17%

Base

Age

18-45 46-65

Older

than 65Planned ParenthoodFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

57% 56% 58% 59%

34% 29% 37% 34%

9% 15% 6% 8%


30/35






Crosstabs

Base

Age

18-45 46-65Older

than 65

Obama/Romney

Obama

Romney

Undecided

51% 59% 50% 42%

39% 29% 42% 46%

10% 12% 9% 11%

Base

Age

18-45 46-65Older

than 65

Carmona/Flake

Richard Carmona

Jeff Flake

Undecided

48% 48% 48% 47%

33% 28% 35% 36%

19% 24% 16% 17%

Base

Age

18-45 46-65

Older

than 65AZ Leg GenericBallot

Democraticcandidate

Republicancandidate

Not s ure

39% 44% 39% 35%

31% 27% 31% 39%

29% 29% 30% 26%

Base

Age

18-45 46-65

Older

than 65Support gaymarriage/Civilunions only/No legalrecognition




"marriage"


gay couples

Not sure

43% 52% 42% 35%

36% 31% 37% 39%

19% 16% 18% 23%

2% 1% 2% 3%


31/35






Crosstabs

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say

Obama Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

51% 52% 27% 35% 41% 58% 64% 63% 80%

43% 48% 56% 58% 57% 35% 30% 32% 20%

6% - 17% 7% 2% 7% 6% 5% -

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 36% 30% 46% 41% 32% 35% 28% 36%

53% 47% 40% 44% 48% 57% 58% 60% 64%

12% 17% 30% 10% 11% 11% 7% 11% -

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say

Brewer Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

36% 60% 43% 50% 33% 33% 26% 29% 36%

53% 23% 45% 34% 51% 54% 71% 68% 57%

10% 16% 1 3% 16% 16% 13% 3% 3% 7%

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say

Rs Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

24% 30% 31% 34% 36% 14% 15% 18% 36%

58% 33% 39% 44% 49% 67% 68% 71% 57%

18% 37% 30% 22% 15% 19% 16% 11% 7%


32/35






Crosstabs

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say

Ds Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

33% 40% 26% 25% 41% 37% 38% 35% -

47% 34% 51% 56% 39% 44% 39% 47% 51%

20% 26% 23% 19% 20% 18% 23% 18% 49%

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

57% 23% 53% 41% 52% 60% 68% 70% 71%

34% 44% 31% 44% 37% 37% 27% 27% 14%

9% 33% 1 6% 15% 11% 3% 5% 3% 15%

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say

Obama/Romney

Obama

Romney

Undecided

50% 52% 34% 37% 42% 58% 66% 55% 80%

39% 48% 44% 52% 46% 33% 29% 34% 20%

10% - 21% 11% 12% 8% 5% 11% -

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say

Carmona/Flake

Richard Carmona

Jeff Flake

Undecided

48% 49% 44% 32% 40% 57% 55% 56% 38%

33% 25% 26% 48% 38% 27% 25% 32% 14%

19% 26% 30% 20% 23% 16% 19% 12% 49%


33/35






Crosstabs

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say


Democraticcandidate

Republicancandidate

Not sure

39% 29% 23% 26% 42% 43% 45% 48% 64%

32% 38% 51% 43% 26% 25% 27% 26% 14%

29% 33% 26% 31% 32% 32% 27% 26% 22%

Base

Education


High schoolgraduate





Postgraduatedegree

Don't careto say





"marriage"


gay couples

Not sure

43% 19% 32% 36% 44% 41% 62% 47% 57%

36% 37% 43% 37% 31% 45% 21% 35% 20%

19% 40% 25% 23% 20% 11% 17% 17% 22%

2% 4% - 3% 6% 3% - 1% -

Base


English SpanishObama Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

51% 51% 72%

43% 43% -

6% 6% 28%

Base


English SpanishRom ney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 35% 44%

53% 53% 28%

12% 12% 28%


34/35






Crosstabs

Base


English Spanish

Brewer Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

36% 36% 44%

54% 54% 28%

10% 10% 28%

Base


English Spanish

Rs Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

24% 23% 44%

58% 59% -

18% 18% 56%

Base


English SpanishDs Leg Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

33% 33% 28%

46% 47% -

20% 19% 72%

Base


English SpanishPlanned ParenthoodFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

57% 58% -

34% 34% 28%

9% 8% 72%


35/35

Crosstabs

Base


English Spanish

Obama/Romney

Obama

Romney

Undecided

51% 50% 72%

39% 39% 28%

10% 10% -

Base


English Spanish

Carmona/Flake

Richard Carmona

Jeff Flake

Undecided

48% 48% 28%

33% 33% 28%

19% 18% 44%

Base


English SpanishAZ Leg GenericBallot

Democraticcandidate

Republicancandidate

Not sure

39% 40% 28%

31% 31% 28%

29% 29% 44%

Base


English SpanishSupport gaymarriage/Civilunions only/No legalrecognition


marr iage rights asman + woman


"marriage"


gay couples

Not sure

43% 44% 28%

36% 36% 28%

19% 18% 44%

2% 2% -

p Naaz Poll June 2012

Documents