2016 Investor Relations Presentation OVERVIEW MARCH 2016
2016 Investor Relations Presentation
OVERVIEW MARCH 2016
2016 Investor Relations Presentation
INVESTOR PRESENTATION MARCH 2016
John Olin, Senior Vice President and CFO
Amy Giuffre, Director of Investor Relations
Contact: [email protected]
HARLEY-DAVIDSON, INC.
This presentation includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks that could cause actual results to be
materially different. Those risks include, among others, matters we have noted in our latest earnings release and filings
with the SEC. Harley-Davidson disclaims any obligation to update information in this presentation. Additional
information and risk factors are included at the end of this presentation. The images in this presentation may not be
reproduced without consent.
2
2016 Investor Relations Presentation
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES BRAND / PRODUCT / DISTRIBUTION / HDFS
2016 Investor Relations Presentation
BRAND
4
HARLEY-DAVIDSON IS ONE OF THE STRONGEST, MOST RECOGNIZABLE
BRANDS. WE INSPIRE FREEDOM AND INDEPENDENCE AROUND THE WORLD
2016 Investor Relations Presentation
Model year 2016 includes 40 models priced from $6,849 to $40,299 U.S. MSRP
Full range of motorcycles targeted to meet the needs of diverse customer targets
5
HARLEY-DAVIDSON MOTORCYCLES LOOK, SOUND AND FEEL
AUTHENTIC, PREMIUM AND CUSTOM
CORE
RIDERS
OUTREACH
RIDERS
INTERNATIONAL
RIDERS
PRODUCT LEADERSHIP
2016 Investor Relations Presentation
Over 1500 dealer points globally
Largely exclusive network – focused on H-D brand
Profitable and reinvesting in EXPERIENCE
6
Seven Islands Harley-Davidson -
Mumbai, India
DEALER NETWORK
H-D Black Label
Concept Store,
Saigon
GROWING, GLOBAL DEALERS DELIVERING A PREMIUM EXPERIENCE
Alternative channels – Ecommerce,
Black Label, Smart Store Pop-Up retail
2016 Investor Relations Presentation
Largest financier of motorcycles - 1 of every 2 bikes sold in U.S.
Exclusive to Harley-Davidson dealers - consistent source of retail/wholesale financing
Experience - easy, responsive, provider of financing, insurance, extended service
Profitable business segment - strong margins and return on equity
7
HARLEY-DAVIDSON FINANCIAL SERVICES
HDFS ENABLES AND ENHANCES THE HARLEY-
DAVIDSON PURCHASE EXPERIENCE
2016 Investor Relations Presentation
PERFORMANCE SUMMARY SEGMENTS / FINANCIAL RESULTS / RETAIL SALES / EXPECTATIONS
2016 Investor Relations Presentation 9
BUSINESS SEGMENTS
2015 REVENUE
$6.0 B
Motorcycles and Related
Products Segment
Motorcycles
$4.13B
Parts and
Accessories
$862.6M
General
Merchandise
$292.3M Financial Services
Segment
Insurance /
Other
$68.7M
Wholesale
Financing
$61.9M
Retail
Financing
$ 556.6M
Motorcycles
Parts and
Accessories
General Merchandise
Financial Services
2016 Investor Relations Presentation
FINANCIAL RESULTS
Motorcycles Segment operating income down on lower revenue driven by lower shipments and unfavorable currency exchange
– Strong gross margin percent – up 0.4 pts to 36.8% vs. PY
Financial Services Segment operating income up
Higher corporate interest expense behind recapitalization
10
Consolid
ate
d –
Moto
rcycle
s a
nd R
ela
ted P
roducts
and F
inancia
l S
erv
ices S
egm
ents
REVENUE NET INCOME EPS
$6.0 $752.2 $3.69 Billion Million
(3.7)% (10.9)% (4.9)%
FY 2015 VS. 2014
2016 Investor Relations Presentation
U.S. 168,240 Europe [16 country]
36,894
Asia Pacific 32,258
Latin America 11,173
Canada 9,669
Other Intl. 6,393
11
2015 RETAIL SALES
WW 264,627
[-1.3%]
2015 HARLEY-DAVIDSON MOTORCYCLE
RETAIL SALES (UNITS)
United States
• 2015 retail [-1.7%]
• 64% of total sales
International
• 2015 retail [-0.5%]
• 36% of total sales
2016 Investor Relations Presentation
Motorcycles and related products
segment
Motorcycle shipments 269,000 – 274,000 , up 1% to 3% vs. 2015 [Q1 78,000 – 83,000]
Gross margin % Down year/year
SG&A Flat to up modestly year/year – Down as a percent of revenue
Operating margin % 16% – 17%
Financial services segment
HDFS operating income Down modestly year/year
Harley-Davidson, Inc. Capital expenditures $255 - $275 million
Effective tax rate Approximately 34.5%
as of January 28, 2016
12
GUIDANCE
2016 EXPECTATIONS
2016 Investor Relations Presentation
STRATEGY OBJECTIVES / FOCUS AREAS
2016 Investor Relations Presentation 14
OBJECTIVES
1. LEAD IN EVERY MARKET
2. GROW THE SPORT OF MOTORCYCLING IN THE U.S.
• Grow number of U.S. core customers and grow U.S. outreach customers at a
faster rate
3. GROW U.S. RETAIL SALES AND GROW INTERNATIONAL
RETAIL SALES AT A FASTER RATE
• Add 150 to 200 new international dealerships by 2020
4. GROW REVENUE AND GROW EARNINGS FASTER THAN
REVENUE THROUGH 2020
5. OUTPERFORM THE S&P 500
WE OUR EXECUTING OUR PLAN TO LEAD AND GROW
2016 Investor Relations Presentation 15
1. INCREASE PRODUCT AND BRAND AWARENESS
2. GROW NEW RIDERSHIP IN THE U.S.
3. INCREASE AND ENHANCE BRAND ACCESS
4. ACCELERATE THE CADENCE AND IMPACT OF
NEW PRODUCTS
FOCUS AREAS
WE ARE SHARPENING OUR FOCUS, INVESTING AND LEVERAGING OUR
STRATEGIC ADVANTAGES TO DRIVE DEMAND NOW AND INTO THE FUTURE
FOCUS AREAS
+65% Marketing
+35% Product Development
2016
INVESTMENT $70M
2016 Investor Relations Presentation 16
FOCUS ON AWARENESS
INCREASE AWARENESS OF OUR PRODUCTS AND BRAND
Improve brand and
product awareness
among all customers 7% CAGR to Outreach since 2010
#1 in sales to young adults,
African Americans, Hispanics,
women
More sales to young adults today
then to Boomers when they were
18-34
Extend brand reach
beyond core
customers
Continue US
outreach success
Core
Outreach
+65% marketing investment
More media, more experiences,
more retail progra2016:
- 50% more U.S. riding events Q1
- 100K+ demos in EMEA
- Brand in unexpected places
H-D New Motorcycle Purchasers
Source: Company data
2016 Investor Relations Presentation
Attract first-time riders
17
Riding Academy
U.S. graduates +35% in 2016
-Dealers offering program +18% by 6/16
-Extend learn to ride for free program
FOCUS ON US RIDERSHIP
GROW NEW RIDERSHIP IN THE U.S.
Over the last 5 years, an increasing number of first-
time, on-road motorcyclists have purchased new
H-D motorcycles. For 2015 (Oct.), over 1/3 had not
owned a motorcycle previously (IHS Automotive, Polk; retail registrations, USA, 11/1/10-10/31/15 & 1/1/15 t
10/31/15)
Harley-Davidson 101
Bring new riders into the sport and intro them
to H-D experience
-Dealer-hosted, fun events to
engage diverse customers,
remove barriers
Owned a
motorcycle
previously
First-
Motorcycle
H-D New Motorcycle Purchasers
2016 Investor Relations Presentation 18
International dealership growth
40 dealerships added in 2015
Planned +150-200 dealerships by 2020
FOCUS ON ACCESS
INCREASE AND ENHANCE BRAND ACCESS
Enhance premium experience
Riding Academy and HDFS global expansion
Global operations expansion - H-D Canada subsidiary
2015
Developing innovative and new experiences to
inspire new and current riders
Grand Opening Chengdu, China
Smart Store, San Jose, CA Dec. 2015
2016 Investor Relations Presentation 19
FOCUS ON PRODUCT IMPACT
ACCELERATE CADENCE AND IMPACT OF NEW PRODUCTS
“Fatten the Tails” - Balanced approach to delivering products across the spectrum
2016 + 35% yr/yr investment in product development
Flexible manufacturing capability – produce closer to demand – right bike, right place, right time
Transformed product development organization and methodology - reduced time-to-market by 30%
“Fatten the Tails” Product Development Approach
Street
Iron 883 Fat Bob
Breakout
Softail Slim
Street Glide
Tri-Glide
Ultra Ltd
Road King
S models
CVO
Current Customer Future Customer
Offer customer-led products that grow
and diversify our customer base
2016 Investor Relations Presentation
SHAREHOLDER VALUE CAPITAL ALLOCATION
2016 Investor Relations Presentation
SHAREHOLDER VALUE
21
CAGR 25% CAGR ++
Harley-Davidson consistently returns value to our shareholders
Curr
en
t Y
ea
r
Discretionary Share Repurchases Dividends Per Share
Mu
lti-Y
ea
r
* $750 million funded by debt issuance
2016 Investor Relations Presentation
22
Through focused investment in growth, Harley-Davidson expects to :
Harley-Davidson ® StreetTM 750 Motorcycles
drive demand
increase impact
further broaden appeal and
deliver strong value to shareholders
2016 Investor Relations Presentation
The company intends that certain matters discussed in this presentation are "forward-looking statements" intended to qualify for the safe harbor from liability established by the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can generally be identified as such because the context of the statement will include words such as the
company "believes," "anticipates," "expects," "plans," or "estimates" or words of similar meaning. Similarly, statements that describe future plans, objectives, outlooks, targets,
guidance or goals are also forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ
materially from those anticipated as of the date of this presentation. Certain of such risks and uncertainties are described below. Shareholders, potential investors, and other readers
are urged to consider these factors in evaluating the forward-looking statements and cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. The forward-looking
statements included in this presentation are only made as of the date of this presentation, and the company disclaims any obligation to publicly update such forward-looking
statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.
The company's ability to meet the targets and expectations noted depends upon, among other factors, the company's ability to (i) execute its business strategy, including making new
investments to drive demand for its products for the costs and on the timing that are within expectations, (ii) manage through changes in general economic conditions, including
changing capital, credit and retail markets, and political events, (iii) accurately estimate and adjust to fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates and commodity
prices, (iv) balance production volumes for its new motorcycles with consumer demand, including in circumstances where competitors may be supplying new motorcycles to the
market in excess of demand at reduced prices, (v) execute its marketing strategy of appealing to and growing sales to multi-generational and multi-cultural customers worldwide in an
increasingly competitive marketplace, (vi) develop and introduce products, services and experiences that are successful in the marketplace, (vii) continue to develop the capabilities of
its distributors and dealers and manage the risks that its independent dealers may have difficulty obtaining capital and managing through changing economic conditions and consumer
demand, (viii) successfully access the capital and/or credit markets on terms (including interest rates) that are acceptable to the company and within its expectations, (vix) effect
repurchases of its common stock at share prices that are within its expectations, (x) complete the transition to the new direct distribution model in Canada on the timing and for the
costs that are within its expectations, (xi) prevent a cybersecurity breach involving digital consumer, employee or dealer personal data, (xii) manage the impact that prices for and
supply of used motorcycles may have on retail sales of new motorcycles, (xiii) manage risks that arise through expanding international manufacturing, operations and sales, (xiv)
manage through the effects inconsistent and unpredictable weather patterns may have on retail sales of motorcycles, (xv) manage changes and prepare for requirements in
legislative and regulatory environments for its products, services and operations, (xvi) manage supply chain issues, including quality issues and any unexpected interruptions or price
increases caused by raw material shortages or natural disasters, (xvii) detect any issues with its motorcycles or any associated manufacturing processes to avoid delays in new model
launches, recall campaigns, increased warranty costs or litigation, ((xviii) implement and manage enterprise-wide information technology solutions, including solutions at its
manufacturing facilities, (xix) continue to realize production efficiencies at its production facilities and manage operating costs including materials, labor and overhead, (xx) execute its
flexible production strategy, (xxi) continue to manage the relationships and agreements that it has with its labor unions to help drive long-term competitiveness, (xxii) adjust to
healthcare inflation and reform, pension reform and tax changes, (xxiii) retain and attract talented employees, and (xxiv) manage the credit quality, the loan servicing and collection
activities, and the recovery rates of HDFS' loan portfolio.
In addition, the company could experience delays or disruptions in its operations as a result of work stoppages, strikes, natural causes, terrorism or other factors. Other factors are
described in risk factors that the company has disclosed in documents previously filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
The company's ability to sell its motorcycles and related products and services and to meet its financial expectations also depends on the ability of the company's independent dealers
to sell its motorcycles and related products and services to retail customers. The company depends on the capability and financial capacity of its independent dealers and distributors
to develop and implement effective retail sales plans to create demand for the motorcycles and related products and services they purchase from the company. In addition, the
company's independent dealers and distributors may experience difficulties in operating their businesses and selling Harley-Davidson motorcycles and related products and services
as a result of weather, economic conditions or other factors.
23
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS