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Outline • Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation • Sources of errors • Reading Assignment: Section 4.1
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Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Dec 15, 2015

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Page 1: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Outline• Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount

of precipitation• Sources of errors• Reading Assignment: Section 4.1

Page 2: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Precipitation Quiz/Assignment

• Work through snowpack COMET module: Enroll. Complete quiz. Have quiz results emailed to ([email protected])

• Use this link: https://www.meted.ucar.edu/afwa/snowpack/

• A module on precipitation (not required to watch)• http://www.meted.ucar.edu/hydro/precip_est/

part1_measurement/• Another good webcast (not required)

– http://www.meted.ucar.edu/qpf/rgauge/flashlow/stream2.htm

Page 3: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

The Problem• Precipitation: Total depth to which a flat, horizontal surface of known area

would have been covered assuming no water loss by melting, runoff, or evaporation

• Measuring precipitation is one of the hardest environmental measurements to make due to:• It’s spatial and temporal variability • Impact of other environmental conditions, particularly wind

• Advantageous to have manual as well as automated observations

Page 4: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Snowfall in Tughill Plateau

http://www.inscc.utah.edu/~steenburgh/blog/video/sandycreek.movCourtesy J. Steenburgh

Page 5: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

What is Goal?

• Detecting occurrence of precipitation• Liquid water equivalent of all hydrometeors:

rain, snow, graupel, hail• Measuring snow:

– Incremental depth and its snow water equivalent– Crystal type of new snow– Total Depth and its snow water equivalent– Crystal type of existing snowpack

Page 6: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Occurrence of Precipitation• Often tied with obstructions to visibility• Campbell:

http://www.campbellsci.com/pws100• Measuring precipitation type (rain vs. snow)

hydrometeor size, and rate (light vs. heavy); not measuring amount

• Using laser and detecting scattering and optical differences in horizontal and vertical planes

Page 7: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Precipitation Rate vs. Accumulation

• Precipitation: Total depth to which a flat, horizontal surface of known area would have been covered assuming no water loss by melting, runoff, or evaporation

• Precipitation rate: precipitation mass per unit time per unit area: R= Mw/w [kg/(m2 s) / kg/ m3]

• Precipitation rate in m/s; mm/hr; in/day, etc.• So, when someone says it rained an inch, it is always

necessary to know the time interval over which that happened as well

Page 8: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Snow Water Equivalent

Page 9: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Manual Measurement• CoCoRAHS training:

http://www.cocorahs.org/Content.aspx?page=training_slideshows

• Measure precipitation at fixed temporal intervals

• Inner measuring cylinder amplifies signal while reducing catch errors

• Tremendous sampling issues

Page 10: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Automated Measurements

• Tendency to focus on issues related to mechanics of sensors at expense of worrying about how representative the observations may be for precipitation beyond observing site

Page 11: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Automated Sensors

• Volumetric: Tipping bucket• Weighing

– Pressure (Belfort,Noah)– Vibrating wire (Geonor)

• Others– Optical– Hot plate

Page 12: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

AutomatedSensors

Page 13: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

SNOTEL: Weighing Gauge and Snow Pillow

• Low resolution: 0.1 inch water equivalent• Subject to temperature fluctuations

Weighing gauge

Page 14: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

SNOTEL Snow Pillow

Page 15: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Vibrating Wire

• The precipitation collected in the container are weighed with a vibrating wire load sensor, which gives a frequency output.

• The frequency will be a function of the applied tension on the wire, i.e. from this, the amount of precipitation can be computed.

• The frequency is recorded as a square-shaped 0-5 V signal

Page 16: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Hot Plate sensor• provides real time snow and liquid precipitation

rates • sensor head consists of two isolated plates

warmed by electrical heaters• During storms, it measures the rate of rain or

snow by how much power is needed to evaporate precipitation on the upper plate and keep its surface temperature constant

• The second plate, positioned directly under the evaporating plate and heated to the same temperature as the top, is used to factor out cooling from the wind.

Page 17: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Snow Depth• http://juddcom.com/• The sensor measures the distance from the sensor to a

target. • The sensor works by measuring the time required for an

ultrasonic pulse to travel to and from a target surface. • An integrated temperature probe with solar radiation

shield, provides an air temperature measurement for properly compensating the distance measured.

• An embedded microcontroller calculates a temperature compensated distance and performs error checking.

• Both distance and air temperature can be output as an analog signal between 0 to 2.5 Volts or 0 to 5 Volts.

• Accurate measurement of snow depth poses many difficult problems

Page 18: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

TugHill PlateauFrom J. Steenburgh

Page 19: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Measuring Snow Depth

Page 20: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Sources of Error• Representativeness

– Sampling errors can be + or –

• Wind• Evaporation- dry gauge delays detection of onset• Splash/capping/plugging/dew• Tipping bucket underestimation at high rain rate• Temperature sensitivity to weighing gauge• Automating precipitation detection

Page 21: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Sources of Error• Exposure

– Turbulent flows lead to undercatch– Worse for snow vs. rain– Problems increase as wind speed increases

Page 22: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

B.E. Goodison, P.Y.T. Louie, and D. Yang (1998)

Page 23: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Rain

• Rule of thumb: 1% loss for every 1 mph increase in wind speed, or 2.2% for every 1 m/s increase

• Uncertainty associated with drop sizes & gauge location• Best measurements in windy conditions:

– Large drops– Gauge near the ground– Shielded gauges

• Poorest measurements – Small drops/drizzle drops– Elevated gauges

Page 24: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Wind Shield Type

• Double Fence Intercomparison Reference (DFIR)

• Single/Double Alter shields• Natural shielding by trees

Page 25: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Climate Reference Network Station Wyoming forNational-Level Climate Monitoring (Red Canyon Nature Conservancy, Wyoming)

Page 26: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

New Historical Climatology Network Station for Regional-Level Climate Monitoring (Greenville, AL)

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Page 28: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.
Page 29: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Impact of Shields• Shielded gauges, on average, measure 20–70%

more snow than unshielded gauges (Yang et al. 1999)

• The use of wind shields on precipitation gauges has introduced a significant discontinuity into precipitation records, particularly in cold and windy regions

• This discontinuity is not constant and it varies with wind speed, temperature, and precipitation type.

Page 30: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

B.E. Goodison, P.Y.T. Louie, and D. Yang (1998)

Page 31: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.
Page 32: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Nešpor, V. (1993)

Page 33: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.
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Page 35: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

317.9 318 318.1 318.2 318.3 318.4 318.5 318.60

5

10

15

20

Time (DOY 2009)

Pre

cip

itatio

n (

mm

)

Geonor w/Single AlterGeonor w/Belfort Double AlterGeonor w/Double AlterGeonor w/Double AlterGeonor w/SDFIRGeonor w/SDFIRBelfort w/Double AlterBelfort w/Belfort Double Alter

Small Double Fence Intercomparison Reference (SDFIR)

Page 36: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

85.6 85.8 86 86.2 86.4 86.60

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Time (doy 2009)

Pre

cip

itatio

n (

mm

)

Double AlterSingle AlterDouble AlterDouble AlterSDFIRSDFIR

Page 37: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

CoCoRaHS

• Community Collaborative Rain Hail and Snow Network

• http://www.cocorahs.org/

Page 38: Outline Detecting occurrence and quantifying amount of precipitation Sources of errors Reading Assignment: Section 4.1.

Summary• Gauge reports are fine for well-maintained, optimally

located gauges in light winds• Rain gauges do not necessarily provide good spatial

resolution• Significant underestimation error in strong winds• Gauge undercatch affected by variability in wind and

hydrometeor type• High wind: greater inaccuracy in gauge data than in

radar data (where good radar data)