Top Banner

of 13

Optimize of Low Head Small Hydro Power Project

Feb 17, 2018

Download

Documents

Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
  • 7/23/2019 Optimize of Low Head Small Hydro Power Project

    1/13

    Optimization of low-head, dam-toe, small hydropowerprojects

    S. K. Singal,1,a R. P. Saini,1 and C. S. Raghuvanshi21Alternate Hydro Energy Centre, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee,

    Uttarakhand 247667, India2Department of Water Resources Development and Management, Indian Institute of

    Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, Uttarakhand 247667, India

    Received 12 January 2010; accepted 27 June 2010; published online 5 August 2010

    In most developing countries, such as India, there exists a large amount of hydro-

    power potential. This is especially true in the small hydro plant capacity range of

    up to 25 MW. Only a small fraction of this potential has been tapped so far, perhaps

    due to higher per kilowatt installation cost as compared to large hydro. Small

    hydropower sites can be classified as i run-of-river; ii canal based, and iii

    dam-toe schemes, depending on their location. Dam-toe schemes need low invest-

    ment and can be developed in a shorter period of time. In the present study, an

    attempt has been made to estimate the cost of the low-head, dam-toe, small hydro-power schemes. A methodology for cost optimization of such schemes has been

    developed considering the quantities of various items for each component of the

    scheme and prevailing prices. Further, to determine financial viability of the

    scheme at different load factors, sensitivity analysis has also been carried out. It has

    been found that low-head, dam-toe, small hydropower schemes are financially

    viable. 2010 American Institute of Physics. doi:10.1063/1.3464755

    I. INTRODUCTION

    The development of infrastructure is an important factor to sustain economic growth and

    power sector is one of the most important constituents of infrastructure. The achievement of

    energy security necessitates diversification of the energy resources and the sources of their supply,

    as well as measures for conservation of energy. The global electricity generation has more than

    doubled in the past two decades due to increasing economic development. Hydropower provides

    17% of electricity demand of the world from an installed capacity of about 730 GW.1 Hydropower

    stations have inherent ability for instantaneous starting, stopping, and load variations and also help

    improve reliability of the power system. It is closely linked to both water management and

    renewable energy generation and plays a unique role in sustainable development for providing

    safe drinking water and adequate energy supply. Hydropower resources are widely spread through-

    out the world and about 70% of economically feasible potential remains to be developed, mostly

    in developing countries.2

    In addition to power generation, hydropower projects have several ad-

    vantages such as flood protection, flow regulation, fossil fuel avoidance, and revenue generation.

    These plants have low operation maintenance and replacement cost.3

    However, economic and

    environmental factors seriously restrict the exploitation of hydropower through conventional large

    capacity projects. Due to these constraints, renewable energy resources such as solar, wind, bio-mass, and small hydropower SHP, which India has in abundance, are being considered to meet

    the energy demand in an environmentally benign manner. Among all the renewable energy re-

    sources, small hydropower, which is defined by different plant capacities in different countries, is

    considered as one of the most promising sources. The contribution of SHP is about 1%2% of the

    aAuthor to whom correspondence should be addressed. Tel.: 91 1332 285167. FAX: 91 1332 273517. Electronic

    addresses: [email protected] and [email protected].

    JOURNAL OF RENEWABLE AND SUSTAINABLE ENERGY 2, 043109 2010

    2, 043109-11941-7012/2010/24/043109/13/$30.00 2010 American Institute of Physics

    Downloaded 22 Jul 2011 to 182.16.241.33. Redistribution subject to AIP license or copyright; see http://jrse.aip.org/about/rights_and_permission

    http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.3464755http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.3464755http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.3464755http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.3464755http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.3464755http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.3464755http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.3464755
  • 7/23/2019 Optimize of Low Head Small Hydro Power Project

    2/13

    total capacity. Technical, economic, and environmental benefits of small hydropower make it an

    important future contributor particularly in developing countries such as India, Turkey, Brazil, and

    China.4

    Hydropower is described as a renewable and sustainable energy resource, meeting global

    energy challenges in a reasonable way. Hydropower on a small scale is one of the most cost

    effective energy technologies.5,6

    In India, plant capacity of up to 25 MW is considered as small

    hydropower scheme. The environmental impacts of small hydropower plants are at the lowest

    levels compared to other alternative resources.7,8

    In India, it has been estimated that a potential of

    15 000 MW exists in small hydropower range, out of which only 2045 MW has been installed so

    far.9

    Large potential of untapped hydroenergy is available in flowing streams, river slopes, canal

    falls, drainage works, and irrigation and water supply dams. Most of these hydropower sites come

    under low head range, i.e., from 3 to 20 m. Small hydropower schemes are categorized into three

    types of schemes, i.e., canal based, run of river, and dam toe. Based on head, these schemes are

    defined as high head, medium head, and low head schemes. Low head schemes could be canal

    based, run of river, and dam toe, while high and medium head schemes are run of river and dam

    based schemes. In the case of high head schemes, there are uncertainties about the geology and

    hydrology. Due to these uncertainties, medium and high head schemes are considered site specific.The low head schemes have to handle large quantities of water. Thus, the size of the civil

    structures as well as the generating equipment is large. Dam toe low head schemes being planned

    on the existing low height dams mainly meant for irrigation systems have established hydrology

    and are free from geological and discharge uncertainties. Water availability in rivers is not the

    same throughout the year and the maximum availability of water is in the rainy season, which lasts

    for 34 months a year. Dams are constructed to store this seasonal water for flood mitigation,

    irrigation, and drinking needs. When water flows from dam outlets under pressure, due to the

    water level difference between upstream and downstream of the dam, there is a possibility of

    power generation. These schemes are known as dam toe hydropower schemes.

    It is difficult to estimate the realistic project cost at the preliminary stage to make an invest-

    ment decision. A number of investigators tried to establish the methodology for cost estimation of

    hydropower schemes based on the existing project data. In low head small hydropower plants, thecost of the power house in civil works and the cost of the turbine in electromechanical works has

    been found to be significant. Percentagewise bifurcation of the cost of various components has

    been presented and technological aspects were also discussed in the study.10

    Gordon11

    developed

    a simple methodology for checking first order cost of hydropower projects. This methodology was

    based on a satisfied analysis of the cost data of 170 projects. In the feasibility stage, accurate

    topographical maps, final hydrological studies, detailed geological studies, and sufficient engineer-

    ing designs to define the project quantities were suggested to be available. Accuracy of estimates

    at this stage is within 15%25%. Gordon11

    has developed correlation of the cost of hydropower

    projects with respect to head and capacity based on the data available. These correlations are

    largely applicable to large hydropower schemes having medium and high heads.

    Gordon and Noel12

    developed a simple methodology for estimating the likely minimum cost

    of small hydropower sites. The study was based on the data of 141 sites. The cost of smallhydropower sites was divided into three components: site costs, equipment cost, and engineering

    administration. The relationships developed were based on the generalized conditions and the

    specific and unusual circumstances were not considered. These relationships did not account for

    specific physical, economic, or business environment of the sites. The methodology can be useful

    to discard those sites where cost is higher than the affordable cost of alternative energy.

    Literature survey reveals that a number of studies have been carried out in the area of small

    hydropower. However, no study was reported so far for cost optimization of low head dam toe

    small hydropower installations. Keeping this in mind, the present study was carried out to develop

    a methodology for assessment of the cost of such projects.

    043109-2 Singal, Saini, and Raghuvanshi J. Renewable Sustainable Energy2, 043109 2010

    Downloaded 22 Jul 2011 to 182.16.241.33. Redistribution subject to AIP license or copyright; see http://jrse.aip.org/about/rights_and_permission

  • 7/23/2019 Optimize of Low Head Small Hydro Power Project

    3/13

    II. DAM TOE SHP SCHEMES

    A schematic of dam toe SHP scheme is shown in Fig. 1.13

    In dam toe schemes, the power

    house building is located at the toe of the dam and penstock is taken through the body of the dam.

    Basic components of such schemes are categorized into two parts: i civil works andiielectro-

    mechanical equipment. The major components of civil works consist of intake, penstock, power

    house building, and tail race channel. The electromechanical components are turbines with gov-erning system, generator with excitation system, electrical and mechanical auxiliary, and trans-

    former and switchyard equipment. Out of these, hydroturbines play an important role that can be

    considered as the heart of a small hydropower station. The selection, type, and specification of

    other equipment in the SHP station are dependent on the hydroturbine. The selection of turbine is

    governed by head, discharge, capacity, speed, part load efficiency, number of units, and cavitation

    characteristics. The size of turbine is defined by its runner diameter. Thevarious turbines consid-

    ered for analysis and their part load efficiency are presented in Table I.14

    III. COST ANALYSIS

    During the investigations, it was observed that the cost of components of civil works as well

    as that of electromechanical equipment mainly depends on the installed capacity and head of the

    scheme. In order to estimate the cost of various components of low head SHP scheme, correlations

    for the cost as a functionof installed capacityand head are developed from the determined values

    of cost. Saini and Saini15

    and Singal and Saini16

    found that the statistical approach can be adopted

    for the development of correlations by regression analysis from the determined values.

    A. Civil works

    For a range of capacity, head, and other related parameters considered under the present study,

    cost values are determined for each component based on actual quantities of different items and

    prevailing item rates. Correlations for the cost of components of civil works are developed by

    FIG. 1. Schematic of typical dam toe SHP scheme.

    043109-3 Low-head, dam-toe, SHP projects J. Renewable Sustainable Energy2, 043109 2010

    Downloaded 22 Jul 2011 to 182.16.241.33. Redistribution subject to AIP license or copyright; see http://jrse.aip.org/about/rights_and_permission

  • 7/23/2019 Optimize of Low Head Small Hydro Power Project

    4/13

    using the methodology adopted earlier by Singal and Saini.16

    It is revealed from the determined

    values that the cost is the strong function of capacity Pand headHof a scheme. Therefore, thefunctional relationship for cost per kilowatt C can be written as

    C = fP,H. 1

    The steps involved for the development of correlation for cost per kilowatt of intake C1 are

    shown in Figs.2and 3. The developed correlation is represented by

    C1= a1Px1Hy1. 2

    Along similar lines, correlations for the cost of other components of civil works such as

    penstockC2, power house buildingC3, and tail race channelC4are also developed, as shown

    below.

    C2= a2Px2Hy2, 3

    C3= a3Px3Hy3, 4

    TABLE I. Value of part load efficiency of different turbines considered for the analysis.

    Serial no. Type of turbines

    Efficiency at part load/discharge ratioMaximum

    efficiency100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50%

    1 Tubular semi-Kaplan 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.88 0.85 0.82 0.902 Vertical semi-Kaplan 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.87 0.84 0.81 0.89

    3 Bulb semi-Kaplan 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.89 0.86 0.83 0.91

    4 Tubular propeller 0.89 0.88 0.85 0.80 0.75 0.70 0.89

    5 Vertical propeller 0.88 0.87 0.84 0.79 0.74 0.69 0.88

    6 Bulb propeller 0.90 0.89 0.86 0.81 0.76 0.71 0.90

    7 Tubular Kaplan 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.92

    8 Vertical Kaplan 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.88 0.91

    9 Bulb Kaplan 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.93

    1600

    1800

    2000

    2200

    2400

    2600

    2800

    3000

    1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000

    Capacity, kW

    Costp

    erkW,

    Rs

    FIG. 2. Plot of cost per kilowatt of intake with capacity.

    043109-4 Singal, Saini, and Raghuvanshi J. Renewable Sustainable Energy2, 043109 2010

    Downloaded 22 Jul 2011 to 182.16.241.33. Redistribution subject to AIP license or copyright; see http://jrse.aip.org/about/rights_and_permission

  • 7/23/2019 Optimize of Low Head Small Hydro Power Project

    5/13

    C4= a4Px4Hy4. 5

    The values of the coefficients in Eqs. 2, 3, and 5 are given below. The values of the

    coefficients in Eq.4 for the cost of power house building are different, corresponding to layouts

    with different types of turbines and generators, as given in Table II,

    a1= 17 940, x1= 0.2366, y1= 0.0596,

    a2= 7875, x2= 0.3806, y2= 0.3804,

    a4= 28 164, x4= 0.376, y4= 0.6240.

    B. Electromechanical equipment

    A similar methodology used for the development of the correlations for the cost of civil works

    has been used to develop the correlations for the cost of different components of electromechani-

    cal equipment. The developed correlations for the cost per kilowatt of turbines with governing

    systemC5, generator with excitation system C6, electrical and mechanical auxiliary C7, and

    transformer and switchyard equipment C8 as a function of head and capacity are represented as

    follows:

    14500

    15000

    15500

    16000

    16500

    17000

    17500

    2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20

    Head, m

    CostperkW

    /(capacity)-0.2

    366

    FIG. 3. Plot of cost per kilowatt of intakecapacity0.2366 with head.

    TABLE II. Coefficients in cost correlation of power house.

    Serial no. Type of turbine

    Coefficients in cost correlation

    a3 x3 y3

    1 Tubular se mi-Kaplan 92 615 0.2351 0.0585

    2 Vertical semi-Kaplan 83 406 0.2353 0.0588

    3 Bulb semi-Kaplan 76 103 0.2353 0.0586

    4 Tubular propeller 91 231 0.2356 0.0588

    5 Vertical propeller 89 664 0.2359 0.0591

    6 Bulb propeller 72 076 0.2355 0.0588

    7 Tubular Kaplan 97 764 0.2356 0.0589

    8 Vertical Kaplan 88 631 0.2357 0.0590

    9 Bulb Kaplan 79 962 0.2355 0.0588

    043109-5 Low-head, dam-toe, SHP projects J. Renewable Sustainable Energy2, 043109 2010

    Downloaded 22 Jul 2011 to 182.16.241.33. Redistribution subject to AIP license or copyright; see http://jrse.aip.org/about/rights_and_permission

  • 7/23/2019 Optimize of Low Head Small Hydro Power Project

    6/13

    C5= a5Px5Hy5, 6

    C6= a6Px6Hy6, 7

    C7= a7Px7Hy7, 8

    C8= a8Px8Hy8. 9

    The values of constants and exponents in Eq. 9 are given below,

    a8= 18 739, x8= 0.1803, y8= 0.2075.

    TABLE III. Coefficients in cost correlation for electromechanical equipment having two generating units.

    Serial

    no.

    Type of

    turbine

    Type of

    generator

    Coefficients for cost of electromechanical equipment

    Turbine Generator Auxiliary

    a5 x5 y5 a6 x6 y6 a7 x7 y7

    1

    Tubular

    semi-Kaplan Synchronous 63 346 0.1913 0.2171 78 661 0.1855 0.2083 40 860 0.1892 0.2118

    2

    Tubular

    semi-Kaplan Induction 63 346 0.1913 0.2171 66 268 0.1882 0.207 35 930 0.1831 0.2098

    3

    Vertical

    semi-Kaplan Synchronous 62 902 0.1835 0.2092 83 091 0.1827 0.2097 42 332 0.1859 0.2084

    4

    Vertical

    semi-Kaplan Induction 62 902 0.1835 0.2092 70 299 0.1826 0.2125 37 171 0.1848 0.2094

    5

    Bulb

    semi-Kaplan Synchronous 67 015 0.1824 0.2092 91 696 0.1893 0.2137 44 044 0.1858 0.2141

    6

    Bulb

    semi-Kaplan Induction 67 015 0.1824 0.2092 78 258 0.1833 0.2091 39 223 0.18 0.1986

    7Tubular

    propeller Synchronous 61 153 0.1961 0.2111 78 661 0.1855 0.2083 38 328 0.1902 0.2134

    8

    Tubular

    p ro pe ller Ind uctio n 6 1 1 53 0.1961 0.2111 66 268 0.1882 0.207 34 124 0.1897 0.2196

    9

    Vertical

    propeller Synchronous 59 264 0.1817 0.2106 83 091 0.1827 0.2097 39 665 0.1863 0.2082

    10

    Vertical

    p ro pe ller Ind uctio n 5 9 2 64 0.1817 0.2106 70 299 0.1826 0.2125 34 852 01865 0.212

    11

    Bulb

    propeller Synchronous 64 017 0.185 0.2031 91 696 0.1893 0.2137 42 641 0.1929 0.2048

    12

    Bulb

    p ro pe ller Ind uctio n 6 4 0 17 0.185 0.2031 78 258 0.1833 0.2091 37 513 0.1831 0.2119

    13

    Tubular

    Kaplan Synchronous 70 170 0.1853 0.2053 81 881 0.1858 0.2095 41 982 0.187 0.2099

    14TubularKaplan Induct ion 70 170 0.1853 0.2053 72 121 0.1868 0.2082 37 168 0.184 0.2156

    15

    Vertical

    Kaplan Synchronous 73 624 0.1872 0.2105 85 377 0.1816 0.2082 44 729 0.1924 0.2166

    16

    Vertical

    Kaplan Induct ion 73 624 0.1872 0.2105 77 693 0.184 0.2096 39 199 0.1805 0.2072

    17

    Bulb

    Kaplan Synchronous 75 048 0.1873 0.2086 99 401 0.1886 0.209 45 326 0.1912 0.2072

    18

    Bulb

    Kaplan Induct ion 75 048 0.1873 0.2086 85 417 0.188 0.2096 40 096 0.1847 0.2156

    043109-6 Singal, Saini, and Raghuvanshi J. Renewable Sustainable Energy2, 043109 2010

    Downloaded 22 Jul 2011 to 182.16.241.33. Redistribution subject to AIP license or copyright; see http://jrse.aip.org/about/rights_and_permission

  • 7/23/2019 Optimize of Low Head Small Hydro Power Project

    7/13

    The values of constants and exponents in Eqs. 68 are different for different types of

    turbines and generators, as given in Table III.

    C. Total installation cost

    The total project cost includes cost of civil works, cost of electromechanical equipment, costof other miscellaneous items, and other indirect costs. 13% of the cost ofcivil works and elec-

    tromechanical equipment has been considered on account of these costs.17

    The total installation costs are represented as follows.

    i Cost of civil worksRs/kW, Ccd,

    =C 1+ C2+ C3+ C4. 10

    ii Cost of electromechanical equipmentRs/kW, Ce&m,

    =C 5+ C6+ C7+ C8. 11

    iii Miscellaneous cost Rs/kW, Cmd,

    =0.13Ccd+Ce&m. 12iv Total cost Rs/kW, Cd,

    =C cd + Ce&m+ Cmd. 13

    Based on the correlations developed for components of dam toe SHP schemes, installation

    cost has been determined for such schemes having different types of turbines and generators.

    IV. COST OPTIMIZATION

    Prior to 1991, small hydropower projects in India were only developed in the government

    sector as government departments were the licensee to generate, transmit, and distribute electrical

    energy. From 1991 onward, power generation was opened to the private sector as well and

    government departments were streamlined as companies. Since then it has become the commercialsector and repayment of investments is of prime concern; therefore, financial analysis has been

    attempted to evaluate the schemes for evolving an optimum solution. In this context, financial

    analysis has been carried out to evaluate various layouts. An important part of establishing finan-

    cial feasibility is the anticipated borrowing cost. The cost of capital is the return expected by

    potential investors and other market and economic costs. The costs are the sum of the real interest

    rate that compensates the lender for surrendering the use of funds, the purchasing power, the risk

    premium that compensates for expected inflation, the business and financial risk, and the market-

    TABLE IV. Values of parameters considered for financial analysis Refs.1921.

    Serial no. Parameters Value

    1 Annual interest rate 11%2 Annual depreciation 3.4%

    3 Annual operation and maintenance cost 1.5%

    4 Selling price of electricity Rs 2.50/kW h

    5

    Annual escalation on operation and maintenance

    expenses and electricity prices 4%

    6 Life of plant considered for analysis 25 yr

    7 Construction period 2 yr

    8 Investment in first year 77%

    9 Investment in second year 23%

    10 Debt equity ratio 70:30

    043109-7 Low-head, dam-toe, SHP projects J. Renewable Sustainable Energy2, 043109 2010

    Downloaded 22 Jul 2011 to 182.16.241.33. Redistribution subject to AIP license or copyright; see http://jrse.aip.org/about/rights_and_permission

  • 7/23/2019 Optimize of Low Head Small Hydro Power Project

    8/13

    ability risk associated with low liquidity of long-term debt. A financially feasible SHP project,

    where necessary funds are available to pay for it through sale of electricity generated, does not

    mean that the project is the best of all the available alternatives or that the proposed execution is

    appropriate. Besides, an economically feasible project cannot be financed. Also, the debt limit of

    an agency or organizations jurisdiction can prohibit borrowing of additional funds to finance a

    project.

    Financial analysis includes cost of operation and maintenance, administration, and replace-

    ment. Each cost included in the annual cost analysis is regarded to be either a constant value for

    the life of the project or treated as an equivalent uniform annual cost by using a uniform series of

    annual payments reflecting the life of the project and the cost of money. If the owner finances the

    project from internal funds, then the annual cost is based on a required rate of return rather than

    the interest rate of the borrowed money.

    The layouts of SHP schemes have been evaluated for cost optimization, considering type ofturbine, type of generator, and plant load factor. The efficiencies of different turbines and genera-

    tors are different, as given in Table I, which affect the energy generation. To arrive at consistent

    values for both benefits and costs so that they can be compared, the present value criterion is

    20000

    30000

    40000

    50000

    60000

    70000

    80000

    1000

    3000

    5000

    7000

    9000

    11000

    13000

    15000

    17000

    19000

    21000

    23000

    25000

    Capacity (kW)

    CostperkW

    (Rs.)

    Head 3 m

    Head 10 mHead 20 m

    FIG. 4. Dam toe SHP scheme with two units.

    FIG. 5. Comparison of the total cost per kilowatt as analyzed with the cost data collected for the existing dam toe schemes.

    043109-8 Singal, Saini, and Raghuvanshi J. Renewable Sustainable Energy2, 043109 2010

    Downloaded 22 Jul 2011 to 182.16.241.33. Redistribution subject to AIP license or copyright; see http://jrse.aip.org/about/rights_and_permission

  • 7/23/2019 Optimize of Low Head Small Hydro Power Project

    9/13

    adopted. The present value has been determined at the time of first expenditure of the future

    stream of benefits based on a fixed value of discount rate, considered as 11% in the present stud y.The present valuePV of the project has been computed by adopting the formula given below,

    18

    PV =i=1

    n

    CFi1 + di

    + Sn1 + dn

    , 14where PV is the present value, CFiis the cash flow in year i starting with the initial investment, Snis the salvage value, D is the discount rate, and n is the number of years of the projects.

    The financial feasibility with emphasis on internal financial rate of return has been attempted.

    Financial internal rate of return FIRR is the discount rate at which the present value of benefits

    becomes equal to the present value of cost, i.e., expenditure. FIRR has been determined based on

    the annual expenditure and annual return from sale of electricity generated from the power plant

    for 25 years after the plant is put into operation by using an iterative technique. The project havinga maximum FIRR value is the optimum. The financial parameters used for the calculation of FIRR

    are given in TableIV.The procedure adopted for the computation of FIRR is discussed as follows:

    i Determine the installation cost using correlationsEq. 13 for known values of head andinstalled capacity.

    ii Determine the annual energy by using the equation

    E = P 8760 T g PL, 15

    where E is the energy in kW h, P is the installed capacity in kW, T is the efficiency ofturbine, g is the efficiency of generator, and PL is the plant load factor.

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    TS&Syn

    .

    TS&

    Ind.

    VS&Sy

    n.

    VS&

    Ind.

    BS &Sy

    n.

    BS&

    Ind.

    TP&Syn

    .

    TP&I

    nd.

    VP&Sy

    n.

    VP&

    Ind.

    BP&Sy

    n.

    BP&

    Ind.

    TKSy

    n.

    TK&

    Ind.

    VK&Sy

    n.

    VK&

    Ind.

    BK&Sy

    n.

    BK&

    Ind.

    Type of turbines and generators

    FIRR

    50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

    T - Tubular P - P ropellor

    B - Bulb S - Semikaplan

    V - Vertical K - Kaplan

    Ind. - Induction Syn. - Synchronous

    Plant load factor

    FIRR(%)

    FIG. 6. FIRR for dam toe scheme of 2000 kW capacity at 3 m head having different turbines and generators at different

    load factors.

    043109-9 Low-head, dam-toe, SHP projects J. Renewable Sustainable Energy2, 043109 2010

    Downloaded 22 Jul 2011 to 182.16.241.33. Redistribution subject to AIP license or copyright; see http://jrse.aip.org/about/rights_and_permission

  • 7/23/2019 Optimize of Low Head Small Hydro Power Project

    10/13

    iii Determine the annual cost and generation cost by using Eqs. 16 and 17, consideringoperation and maintenance O&M cost including insurance, depreciation, and interest onthe capital borrowed based on the values of these parameters as given in Table IV.

    Annual cost, Ca= Co&m+ Cd+ Ci , 16

    Generation cost, Cg= Ca/E, 17

    where Co&m is the operation and maintenance cost, Cd is the depreciation cost, Ci is theannual interest, and E is the annual energy.

    iv Determine FIRR values based on installation cost, annual cost, annual energy, and selling

    price of electricity by an iterative technique.

    V. SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

    In hydropower projects, there are uncertainties on account of water availability that affect the

    availability of energy. Thus, there is an uncertainty in projection of the benefits from the project

    and the other uncertainty factor is the cost estimation. The cost of the project depends on location,

    construction period and variation in cost of materials, availability of construction equipment, and

    variation in labor cost. The project cost estimates are subject to a considerable degree of variation

    and fluctuation. The benefits also have a high degree of uncertainty. Therefore, projects are tested

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    22

    24

    26

    28

    30

    32

    34

    36

    38

    TS&S

    yn.

    TS&I

    nd.

    VS&S

    yn.

    VS&I

    nd.

    BS &S

    yn.

    BS&I

    nd.

    TP&S

    yn.

    TP&I

    nd.

    VP&S

    yn.

    VP&I

    nd.

    BP&S

    yn.

    BP&I

    nd.

    TKSy

    n.

    TK&I

    nd.

    VK&S

    yn.

    VK&I

    nd.

    BK&S

    yn.

    BK&I

    nd.

    Type of turbines and generators

    FIRR

    50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

    T - Tubular P - P ropel lor

    B - Bulb S - Semikaplan

    V - V ert ic al K - K aplan

    Ind. - Induction Syn. - Synchronous

    Plant load factor

    FIRR(%)

    FIG. 7. FIRR for dam toe scheme of 10 000 kW capacities at 20 m head having different turbines and generators at

    different load factors.

    043109-10 Singal, Saini, and Raghuvanshi J. Renewable Sustainable Energy2, 043109 2010

    Downloaded 22 Jul 2011 to 182.16.241.33. Redistribution subject to AIP license or copyright; see http://jrse.aip.org/about/rights_and_permission

  • 7/23/2019 Optimize of Low Head Small Hydro Power Project

    11/13

    for sensitivity to determine the effect of changes in the levels of the most critical variables. In

    order to evaluate the optimuminstallation, sensitivity analysis has been carried out by taking the

    following into considerations:18

    i installation cost increased by 10%;ii benefits, i.e., availability of energy reduced by 10%; andiii combined impact of both cost and benefits, i.e., installation cost up by 10% and benefits

    down by 10%.

    Considering these conditions, FIRR has been computed using the methodology discussed

    earlier in Sec. IV to compare the results under different conditions.

    VI. RESULT AND DISCUSSION

    In the present study, low head dam toe SHP schemes having two generating units have been

    considered for analysis. As discussed above, the cost for different components of low head dam

    toe SHP scheme has been computed based on the actual quantities of various items and their

    prevailing prices. The computed cost data were used to develop the correlations based on the

    available method.15,16

    The process for developing correlation has been shown in Figs. 2 and 3.

    Based on the correlation developed, installation cost has been determined for different heads and

    capacities, as shown in Fig. 4. In order to verify the validity of the developed correlations, a

    comparison was made between cost determined by using correlation and cost data collected for

    similar plants installed recently. As shown in Fig. 5, it has been found that there is a maximum

    deviation of11%. This shows the accuracy of the developed correlation. The factors responsible

    for this variation can be geological/soil conditions, type of turbine, type of generator, and location

    of site.

    Based on the determined installation cost and parameters given in TableIV,financial analysis

    has been carried out to determine the financial internal rate of return for different layouts using

    different types of turbines and generators at different load factors. FIRR values for different

    layouts of dam toe schemes having capacity of 2000 kW at 3 m head and 10 000 kW at 20 m head

    have been considered. It is seen from Figs.6 and 7 that at 50% load factor, a bulb turbine with a

    Kaplan runner is the optimum layout having maximum FIRR, i.e., 3.80% and 15.50%, respec-

    tively. At 60%, 70%, and 80% load factors, a tubular turbine having a semi-Kaplan runner is found

    to be the optimum layout with maximum FIRR values. At 90% load factor, a tubular turbine with

    a propeller runner is found as the optimum layout with maximum FIRR value. To account for

    TABLE V. Financial internal rate of return % at different load factors under different conditions.

    Serial no. Conditions

    Load factor

    50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

    At 3 m head and 2000 kW capacity1 Normal condition 3.80 7.50 11.00 14.00 16.60

    2 Installation cost increased by 10% 2.03 5.78 9.20 12.11 14.60

    3 Generation reduced by 10% 1.84 5.60 9.02 11.92 14.39

    4

    Installation cost increased by 10% and generation

    reduced by 10% 0.06 3.86 7.29 10.13 12.52

    At 20 m head and 10 000 kW capacity

    5 Normal condition 15.50 19.70 24.30 28.50 32.34

    6 Installation cost increased by 10% 13.62 17.56 21.89 25.87 29.46

    7 Generation reduced by 10% 13.43 17.34 21.64 25.60 29.16

    8

    Installation cost increased by 10% and generation

    reduced by 10% 11.59 15.34 19.41 23.13 26.48

    043109-11 Low-head, dam-toe, SHP projects J. Renewable Sustainable Energy2, 043109 2010

    Downloaded 22 Jul 2011 to 182.16.241.33. Redistribution subject to AIP license or copyright; see http://jrse.aip.org/about/rights_and_permission

  • 7/23/2019 Optimize of Low Head Small Hydro Power Project

    12/13

    uncertainties, sensitivity analysis has been carried out by escalating installation cost and/or reduc-

    ing energy generation benefits. The determined values of FIRR under these conditions are given

    in TableV.It is seen that the layouts having higher capacities and head are financially viable at all

    load factors in all conditions, while layouts having smaller capacities and lower heads are finan-

    cially viable at load factors more than 70% in normal conditions and at 90% in extreme

    conditions.

    VII. CONCLUSIONS

    Financial feasibility quantifies a projects ability to obtain funds for implementation and

    repayment of funds on a self-liquidating basis. In the present study, methodology to determine the

    optimum layout of dam toe SHP schemes has been evolved. It has been found that at a higher load

    factor, i.e., 90%, a tubular turbine with a propeller runner is the optimum layout with maximum

    FIRR value. At 60%, 70%, and 80% load factors, a tubular turbine having a semi-Kaplan runner

    is the optimum layout, while a bulb turbine with a Kaplan runner is the optimum layout at 50%

    load factor. Sensitivity analysis shows that the layouts having higher capacities have a financial

    internal rate of return values higher than the interest rate. Therefore, these sites are considered to

    be financially viable at all load factors under all conditions.

    Nomenclature

    a1 a8 Coefficients

    Ca Annual cost, Rs

    Cd Total cost per kilowatt, Rs

    Cg Generation cost, Rs

    Ci Interest cost, Rs

    C1 Cost per kilowatt of intake, Rs

    C2 Cost per kilowatt of penstock, Rs

    C3 Cost per kilowatt of power house building, Rs

    C4 Cost per kilowatt of tailrace channel, Rs

    C5 Cost per kilowatt of turbines with governing system, RsC6 Cost per kilowatt of generator with excitation system, Rs

    C7 Cost per kilowatt of electrical and mechanical auxiliary, Rs

    C8 Cost per kilowatt of transformer and switchyard equipment, Rs.

    Ccd Cost per kilowatt of civil works, Rs

    Ce&m Cost per kilowatt of electromechanical equipment, Rs

    Cmd Cost per kilowatt of miscellaneous items, Rs

    CFi Cash flow in ith year

    D Discount rate

    E Annual energy generation in kW h

    g Efficiency of generatorT Efficiency of turbine

    FIRR Financial internal rate of return, %

    H Rated net head in meter

    kW Kilowatt

    MW Megawatt

    M Meter

    N Last year of cash flow

    P Rated output power, kW

    PL Load factor

    PV Present value

    Rs Indian rupees 1 US $=45 Indian Rs

    Sn Salvage value

    043109-12 Singal, Saini, and Raghuvanshi J. Renewable Sustainable Energy2, 043109 2010

    Downloaded 22 Jul 2011 to 182.16.241.33. Redistribution subject to AIP license or copyright; see http://jrse.aip.org/about/rights_and_permission

  • 7/23/2019 Optimize of Low Head Small Hydro Power Project

    13/13

    SHP Small hydropower

    x1 , . . . , x8 Coefficients

    y1 , . . . , y8 Coefficients

    1 I. Yuksel, Energy Sources, Part-B: Economics, Planning, and Policy 2, 113 2007.2

    I. Yuksel,Renewable Sustainable Energy Rev. 12, 1622 2008.3I. Yuksel, Energy Sources, Part-B: Economics, Planning, and Policy 4, 100 2009.

    4 I. Yuksel, Energy Sources, Part-B: Economics, Planning, and Policy 4, 377 2009.5 G. W. Frey and D. M. Linke, Energy Policy 30, 1261 2002.6 O. Paish,Renewable Sustainable Energy Rev. 6, 537 2002.7 I. Yuksel, Energy Sources, Part-A: Recovery, Utilization, and Environmental Effects 31, 1915 2009.8

    I. Yuksel,Renewable Sustainable Energy Rev. 14, 462 2010.9

    Ministry of New and Renewable Energy, Government of India, Annual Report, 2008.10 K. R. Broome and R. N. Weisman, Int. J. Hydropow. Dams 2, 48 1995.11J. L. Gordon, Int. Water Power Dam Constr. 35, 30 1983.12 J. L. Gordon and R. C. R. Noel, Int. Water Power Dam Constr. 38, 23 1986.13 AHEC, Study on design and development of model SHP based self sustained projects, Alternate Hydro Energy Centre,

    IIT Roorkee, 2003.14 J. G. Brown, Hydro-Electric Engineering Practice CBS, New Delhi, 1984.15 R. P. Saini and J. S. Saini, Int. J. Heat Mass Transfer 40, 973 1997.16 S. K. Singal and R. P. Saini, Renewable Energy 33, 2549 2008.17 CEA, Guidelines for Development of Small Hydro-Electric Schemes, Government of India, New Delhi, 1982.18

    C. S. Raghuvanshi, Management and Organisation of Irrigation System Atlantic Publishers and Distributors, NewDelhi, 2005.

    19 F. Forouzbakhsh, S. M. H. Hosseini, and M. Vakilian, Energy Policy 35, 1013 2007.20 Ministry of Power, Government of India, Investment Promotion Cell, Indias electricity sector-widening scope for

    private participation, 2006.21 Uttar Pradesh Electricity Regulatory Commission Notification No. UPERC/Secy/Regulation/05-248 2005 at www.u-

    perc.org.

    043109-13 Low-head, dam-toe, SHP projects J. Renewable Sustainable Energy2, 043109 2010

    http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15567240600705201http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2007.01.024http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15567240701425808http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15567240701756897http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0301-4215(02)00086-1http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1364-0321(02)00006-0http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15567030802462911http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2009.07.025http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0017-9310(96)00019-1http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2008.02.010http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2006.02.004http://www.uperc.org/http://www.uperc.org/http://www.uperc.org/http://www.uperc.org/http://www.uperc.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2006.02.004http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2008.02.010http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0017-9310(96)00019-1http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2009.07.025http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15567030802462911http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1364-0321(02)00006-0http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0301-4215(02)00086-1http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15567240701756897http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15567240701425808http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2007.01.024http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15567240600705201