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On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service Dmytro Karamshuk 1 , Nishanth Sastry 1 , Jigna Chandaria 2 , Andy Secker 2 1 King's College London, 2 BBC R&D CD-GAIN: EPSRC project in collaboration with BBC R&D, http://bit.ly/cd-gain
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On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

Jul 31, 2015

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Page 1: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of aNation-wide TV Streaming Service

Dmytro Karamshuk1, Nishanth Sastry1, Jigna Chandaria2, Andy Secker2

1King's College London, 2BBC R&D

CD-GAIN: EPSRC project in collaboration with BBC R&D, http://bit.ly/cd-gain

Page 2: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

CISCO Visual Networking IndexSome Figures

• Video traffic is predicted to reach 79% by 2018

• Three-fourths of mobile traffic will be video by 2019

Page 3: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

…which Raise Some IssuesUser Experience Infrastructural Support

Business Models

Page 4: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

Users - 32 M/month

IP address – 20 M/month

Sessions - 1.9 Billion

May 2013 – Jan 2014

≈ 50% of the UK population

Data-driven Analysis

2 x [INFOCOM’2015], [WWW’2013]

2 x [Under Submission]

Page 5: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

≈ 50% of the UK population

First-mile view of the UK’s IP-ecosystem

• Focus on a national market

• Cover 50% of population

• Focus on a single app

Unlike previous studies

• Capture user and network ids

• Cross ISPs• First-mile view

Page 6: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

RoadmapGeography

ISPs

Devices

Fixed-line ISPs

Mobile ISPs

Pricing Models

Cross-ISPs

Page 7: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

Geographic differencesAverage per-user # sessions

Infrastructural support is important

Correlation with Ofcom statistics

Page 8: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

Device-specific differences

Mobile users navigate morebut complete less

Per user activity levels Per user completion ratio

Page 9: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

Influence of External Events

Daily volume of Live accesses

Mobile consumption is affected by external events

… jumps for mobiles during Wimbledon

Page 10: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

RoadmapGeography

ISPs

Devices

Fixed-line ISPs

Mobile ISPs

Pricing Models

Cross-ISPs

Page 11: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

ISP-level viewFixed-line Internet market (5 representative providers)

Mobile market is more dynamic than the fixed-line Internet market

Mobile Internet market (5 representative providers)

Page 12: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

Pricing Models

All-you-can-eat data(M1, M5)

Limited-cap data packages(M2 – M4)

All-you-can-eat plans boost users’ consumption

Page 13: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

Behavioral Shift

• Fixed-line accesses (F1-F5) peaks in the evening

• Limited data caps (M2-M4) peak in commute hours

Mobile users watch more during commutes

Page 14: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

Behavioral Shift

+ =

Unlimited data plans (M1, M5) is a superposition of both

Page 15: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

RoadmapGeography

ISPs

Devices

Fixed-line ISPs

Mobile ISPs

Pricing Models

Cross-ISPs

Page 16: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

Further on cross-ISPs interactionsCompletion across different ISPs

Users complete watching across different sessions and networks

Fixed-line ISPs Mobile ISPs

Page 17: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

Speculative Content Pre-fetching

Pre-fetch at home Watch during commutes

Speculative pre-fetching can save up to 50% of mobile traffic

Page 18: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

Conclusions• user engagement depends on the level of infrastructural support

• mobile users navigate more but complete less and have adisproportionate share of live access

• there is substantial difference in access patterns between fixed-line ISPs, mobile ISPs with all-you-can-eat data and limited data-caps

• this difference can be effectively exploited in shared mobile-fixed infrastructures

• there is a lot potential in mobile content pre-fetching

Page 19: On Factors Affecting the Usage and Adoption of a Nation-wide TV Streaming Service

Dmytro KaramshukKing's College London

follow me on Twitter: @karamshuk

Our website: http://bit.ly/cd-gain