OMNIBUS RECREATIONAL ACCOUNTABILITY MEASURE AMENDMENT
Feb 23, 2016
OMNIBUS RECREATIONAL ACCOUNTABILITY MEASURE
AMENDMENT
• SMB Amendment 17
• Bluefish Amendment 4
• SF-SC-BSB Amendment 19
AGENDA
Review/Approve Alternatives in Public Hearing Draft
Review/Approve Public Hearing Draft
AGENDA
Review/Approve Alternatives in Public Hearing Draft
Review/Approve Public Hearing Draft (with recommended changes)
PROBLEM STATEMENT Recreational fisheries are
inherently uncertain
Existing Rec AMs do not take this into account
PROBLEM STATEMENT
PROBLEM STATEMENT
Com
Rec
PROBLEM STATEMENT
PROBLEM STATEMENT
SOLUTION Proactive
–Explicitly address uncertainty Reactive
–Explicitly, implicitly address uncertainty
–Avoid “over-reacting”
DOCUMENT STRUCTURE Proactive
–ACT Alternatives (1A-1D)– In-Season Closure Authority
(2A-2C) Reactive
–Triggers (3A-3D)–Management Response
(4A-4D)–Payback Calculation
(5A-5E)
DOCUMENT STRUCTURE Proactive
–ACT Alternatives (1A-1D)– In-Season Closure Authority
(2A-2C) Reactive
–Triggers (3A-3D)–Management Response
(4A-4D)–Payback Calculation
(5A-5E)
DOCUMENT STRUCTURE Proactive
–ACT Alternatives (1A-1D)– In-Season Closure Authority
(2A-2C) Reactive
–Triggers (3A-3D)–Management Response
(4A-4D)–Payback Calculation
(5A-5E)
DOCUMENT STRUCTURE Proactive
–ACT Alternatives (1A-1D)– In-Season Closure Authority
(2A-2C) Reactive
–Triggers (3A-3D)–Management Response
(4A-4D)–Payback Calculation
(5A-5E)
DOCUMENT STRUCTURE Proactive
–ACT Alternatives (1A-1D)– In-Season Closure Authority
(2A-2C) Reactive
–Triggers (3A-3D)–Management Response
(4A-4D)–Payback Calculation
(5A-5E)
DOCUMENT STRUCTURE Proactive
–ACT Alternatives (1A-1D)– In-Season Closure Authority
(2A-2C) Reactive
–Triggers (3A-3D)–Management Response
(4A-4D)–Payback Calculation
(5A-5E)
DOCUMENT STRUCTURE Proactive
–ACT Alternatives (1A-1D)– In-Season Closure Authority
(2A-2C) Reactive
–Triggers (3A-3D)–Management Response
(4A-4D)–Payback Calculation
(5A-5E)
ACT Alternatives Alternative 1A. No Action/Status
Quo Alternative 1B. Mandatory Review
of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty Alternative 1C. Mandatory Setting
of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty Alternative 1D. ACL/ACT Post Hoc
Evaluation
ACT Alternatives Alternative 1A. No Action/Status
Quo
– …identify and review the relevant sources of management uncertainty…
ACT Alternatives Alternative 1B. Mandatory Review
of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty
ACT Alternatives Alternative 1C. Mandatory Setting
of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty
ACT Alternatives Alternative 1C. Mandatory Setting
of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty
2013 ACT ACL ACT PSEAdjusted
ACTAtl. Mackerel 5.983 5.386 18.567 4.872Bluefish 27.472 22.801 8.000 20.977Summer Flounder 10.230 10.230 8.200 9.391Scup 8.520 8.520 13.933 7.333Black Sea Bass 2.370 2.370 11.967 2.086
ACT Alternatives Alternative 1D. ACL/ACT Post Hoc
Evaluation
ACT Alternatives Alternative 1D. ACL/ACT Post Hoc
Evaluation
ACT Alternatives Alternative 1D. ACL/ACT Post Hoc
Evaluation
In Season Closure Alternatives Alternative 2A. No Action/Status
Quo Alternative 2B. Early Closure with In
Season Projections Alternative 2C. Eliminate In-Season
Closure Authority Alternative 2D: In-Season
adjustment to bag,size,season, as possible
In Season Closure Alternatives Alternative 2A. No Action/Status
Quo
In Season Closure Alternatives Alternative 2B. Early Closure with In
Season Projections.Black Sea Bass
90% of RHL harvested in
Wave 3
In Season Closure Alternatives Alternative 2B. Early Closure with In
Season Projections.Black Sea Bass Wave
1 2 3 4 5 6
2010 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.018 0.825 0.881
2011 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2012 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.054 0.924 0.934
P(C > RecACL)
In Season Closure Alternatives Alternative 2C. Eliminate In-Season
Closure Authority.
NC NY
JANUARY/FEBRUARY 75,634 0
MARCH/APRIL 13,514 0
MAY/JUNE 155,890 384,539
JULY/AUGUST 84,919 612,500
SEPTEMBER/OCTOBER 67,193 593,076NOVEMBER/DECEMBER 18,879 67,462
Wave 2009-2012 Landings (N)
Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3A. No Action/Status Quo Alternative 3B. Single Year Alternative 3C. Confidence Interval Alternative 3D. Repeat
Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3A. No Action Phased In
3 Year Average*
* SF-SC-BSB
Overage = Ave. Catch – Ave. ACL
Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3A. No Action Phased In
3 Year Average*
* SF-SC-BSB
Overage = Ave. Catch – Ave. ACL
1.6, 1.6
Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3B. No Action Single
Year*
* Mack, Blue
Overage = Single Year Catch - ACL
Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3B. No Action Single
Year*
* Mack, Blue
Overage = Single Year Catch - ACL
5
Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3C. Confidence Interval
Overage = Single Year Catch - ACL
5
Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3C. Confidence Interval
Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3C. Confidence Interval
Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3D. Repeat
Overage = Latest Year Catch - ACL
Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3D. Repeat
Overage = Latest Year Catch - ACL
Response Alternatives Alternative 4A. No Action Alternative 4B. Payback when Overfished or
Overfishing Alternative 4C. Same as 4B but no Payback if
B/Bmsy >1 Alternative 4D. No Payback Alternative 4E. Pay back when the stock is
overfished or when combined recreational and commercial ACL is exceeded
Response Alternatives Alternative 4A. No Action
Response Alternatives Monitoring
Bag, Size, Season
Payback
Response AlternativesMonitoring:If a recreational overage has been determined to have occurred, [as in §648.X] the following year's landings would be monitored in-season for persistence in increased landings. The RA will publish a notice to reduce the length of the fishing season as necessary.
Response AlternativesBag, Size, Season:If a recreational overage has been determined to have occurred [as in §648.X], the [species Monitoring Committee or RA ?] shall develop measures to prevent a subsequent overage.
Response AlternativesBag, Size, Season:
Is this an AM?
Response AlternativesBag, Size, Season:the current process of adjusting recreational management measures (i.e., fish size, season, and possession limit) each year would not, in and of itself, be a fully consistent accountability measure because the process requires analysis and Council deliberation
Response AlternativesBag, Size, Season:the current process of adjusting recreational management measures (i.e., fish size, season, and possession limit) each year would not, in and of itself, be a fully consistent accountability measure because the process requires analysis and Council deliberation
Response AlternativesBag, Size, Season:Occurs along with …1. In Season Closure Authority2. Risk Policy3. Responsive to overages
Response AlternativesPayback:If a recreational overage has been determined to have occurred [as in §648.X], a deduction [as in §648.X] will be made as soon as possible, from a subsequent single fishing year recreational ACT.
Response Alternatives Alternative 4B. Payback when
Overfished or Overfishing
Response Alternatives Alternative 4C. Same as 4B but no
Payback if B/Bmsy >1
Response Alternatives Alternative 4D. No Payback
Payback Alternatives Alternative 5A. No Action Alternative 5B. Payback = C – ACL
Only when Overfished Alternative 5C. Payback = C – ACL
Only when Overfished and Overfishing
Alternative 5D. Payback Scaled to B/Bmsy
Alternative 5E. No Payback
Payback Alternatives Alternative 5A. No Action
Alt 5A
CR > ACLR < ABC
CR > ACLR, CR+C > ABC
CR > ACLR, CR+C > OFL
B/Bmsy > 1
CR - ACLR1> B/Bmsy > ½
½ > B/Bmsy
Payback Alternatives Alternatives 5B, 5C:
– ABC and OFL overage
Payback Alternatives Alternatives 5B, 5C:
– ABC and OFL overage Rec overage is the proportion of the total
overage caused by the rec fishery
Payback Alternatives Alternatives 5B, 5C:
OFL 7,000,000ABC 4,500,000
Rec ACL 2,520,000Com ACL 1,980,000Rec Catch 3,623,000
Com Catch 1,962,000Catch R+C 5,585,000
Payback Alternatives Alternatives 5B, 5C:
Rec ACL Overage 1,103,000Com ACL Overage -18,000
ABC Overage 1,085,000Rec Contribution 1.00
Com Contribution 0.00
Payback Alternatives Alternatives 5B, 5C:
Com ABC Payback 0Rec ABC Payback 1,085,000
OFL Overage 0Rec Contribution 0
Com Contribution 0Rec OFL Payback 0
Com OFL Payback 0
Payback Alternatives Alternatives 5B, 5C:
– ABC and OFL overage is conditional on stock status
Payback Alternatives Alternative 5B. Payback = C – ACL
Only when Overfished
Alt 5B
CR > ACLR < ABC
CR > ACLR, CR+C > ABC
CR > ACLR, CR+C > OFL
B/Bmsy > 1 0 0 OROFL
1> B/Bmsy > ½ 0 ORABC ORABC
½ > B/Bmsy CR - ACLR CR - ACLR CR - ACLR
Payback Alternatives Alternative 5C. Payback = C – ACL
Only when Overfished and Overfishing
Alt 5C
CR > ACLR < ABC
CR > ACLR, CR+C > ABC
CR > ACLR, CR+C > OFL
B/Bmsy > 1 0 0 0
1> B/Bmsy > ½ 0 0 OROFL
½ > B/Bmsy 0 ORABC CR - ACLR
Alt 5C
CR > ACLR <
ABCCR > ACLR, CR+C > ABC
CR > ACLR, CR+C > OFL
B/Bmsy > 1 0 0 0
1> B/Bmsy > ½ 0 0 OROFL
½ > B/Bmsy 0 ORABCCR - ACLR
Payback Alternatives
Payback Alternatives Alternative 5D. Payback Scaled to
B/BmsyStock Status Payback
B/Bmsy > 1 0
1 > B/Bmsy > 1/2
Scaled to B/Bmsy
BSB: 12,700/12,978, Overage coefficient =
0.04
B/Bmsy < 1/2 1:1
(𝐵𝑚𝑠𝑦−𝐵)12𝐵𝑚𝑠𝑦
Payback Alternatives Alternative 5E. No Payback Bluefish
Payback Alternatives Alternative 5E. No Payback Bluefish
Payback Alternatives Alternative 5E. No Payback Bluefish
Payback Alternatives Alternative 5E. No Payback Bluefish
Payback Alternatives Alternative 5E. No Payback
Payback Alternatives Alternative 5E. No Payback
Payback Alternatives Alternative 5E. No Payback
Putting It All TogetherACT
Alternatives
In Season Closure
Alternatives
TriggerAlternative
s
ResponseAlternative
s
PaybackAlternative
s
Public Hearings
Date Location29-Apr Warwick, RI30-Apr Riverhead, NY1-May Manahawkin, NJ2-May Ocean City, MD3-May Virginia Beach, VA
FR Notice Apr 12, 2013
Motions
Approve the alternatives that have been presented for inclusion in the Omnibus Recreational Accountability Measure Amendment with the addition of alternatives 4E, 2D[Luisi/Mcmurray]:
19/0/0