Oil-Weighted Stability February 2020 Corporate Presentation
Oil-Weighted
Stability
February 2020
Corporate Presentation
2
About
PRAIRIE PROVIDENT• Oil and liquids-focused Alberta E&P with three core areas (Michichi/Wayne,
Princess & Evi) which offer significant torque to oil prices
• Production weighted 68% to oil & liquids with low base decline
• >80% working interests and >80% operatorship allows control over pace of
development
• Committed to executing a conservative capital program balanced with cash flow
to maintain our balance sheet and financial flexibility
• Supportive lenders and solid hedging program support capital expenditures
and allow conservative management of production, reserves and cash flow
• Year-end 2019 estimated reserves-based NAV of $0.16/share on PDP,
$0.87/share on 1P and $1.92/share on 2P(1); current share price of
$0.04 = 25% of PDP NAV
(1) Based on year-end 2019 independent reserves evaluation of NPV10 after accounting for estimated long-term
debt, less cash collateralized letters of credit, divided by basic shares outstanding. See Reserves Data
Disclosure Advisories on slide 23
3
• Development of conventional oil and liquids plays across core Michichi/Wayne,
Princess and Evi areas that offer compelling economics
• Maintain capital spending levels to approximate adjusted funds flow(1); remain
flexible to quickly respond to increases or decreases in commodity prices
• Pursue accretive business combinations to add scale, improve efficiencies and
increase cash flow to drive growth; management has track record of successful
acquisitions completed to date
• Remain committed to protecting and strengthening the balance sheet through
capital expenditure discipline and a robust hedging program
PPR’S FOCUSED STRATEGY
(1) See Oil and Gas Metrics and Non-IFRS Measures Advisories on slide 20 & 21
4
• Increased size, scale and self-funded growth potential
affords opportunity to command increased market
awareness
• 2019 capital expenditures (excl. ARO) were $11.9MM,
~16% below budget(2)
• Synergies & operational efficiencies captured with
declining operating costs
• Improved capital investment efficiency with low annual
production decline rate
• Replaced 163% of 2019 production with reserves
additions and positive technical revisions on a 2P
basis(5)
PPR STRATEGIC HIGHLIGHTS
PPR Snapshot(1)
Average 2019 production(2)(3) 6,071 boe/d
(68% liquids)
Base production decline(4) ~19%
2P reserves(5) 34,467 Mboe
2P FD&A costs(2)(5) $12.48/boe
2P recycle ratio(2)(5) 1.5x
Net debt(2) $111 million
Enterprise value(6) $118 million
Outstanding shares 171 million
1) See Oil and Gas Metrics and Non-IFRS Measures Advisories on slide 20 & 212) As at December 31, 2019 (based on unaudited financial information)
3) 2019 average production of 6,071 boe/d includes 61% in light/medium oil, 4% in heavy oil, 32% in conventional natural gas and 3% in natural gas liquids
4) Excluding two higher decline Princess wells drilled in 2019; 21% including the impact of the Princess wells
5) Based on year-end 2019 independent reserves evaluation, results of which were announced February 3, 2020. See Reserves Data Disclosure Advisories on slide 23
6) Enterprise value is calculated above by adding net debt and equity value, based on a share price of $0.04/share
5
• Competed 4 development wells, two each at Princess and Evi with a 100% success rate
• Advanced Evi waterflood resulting in incremental reserves assigned to future waterflood
expansions
• Executed a modest 2019 capital program yet still replaced reserves year-over-year(3)
• Recorded significant reserves additions and positive technical revisions at Michichi due to opex
reductions(2)(3)
• Achieved robust recycle ratios of 1.5x, 14.4x and 3.0x based on FD&A costs of $12.48/boe,
$1.29/boe and $6.16/boe for 2P, 1P and PDP, respectively(1)(2)(3)
• Reduced overall net debt by $6.4 million on a year-over-year basis(1)(2)
• Re-confirmed our senior revolver borrowing base, providing financial stability and flexibility to
execute our capital program
PPR 2019 HIGHLIGHTS
1) See Oil and Gas Metrics and Non-IFRS Measures Advisories on slide 20 & 21
2) As at December 31, 2019 (based on unaudited financial information)
3) Based on year-end 2019 independent reserves evaluation, results of which were announced February 3, 2020.
See Reserves Data Disclosure Advisories on slide 23
6
2019 RESERVES HIGHLIGHTS
As at December 31, 2019Volumes
Value
(Btax)
Reserves Category(1)(4)(5)
Light &
Medium Oil
(Mbbl)
Heavy Oil
(Mbbl)
Conventional
Natural Gas(2)
(other than
Solution Gas)
(MMcf)
Conventional
Natural Gas (Solution Gas)
(MMcf)
Natural Gas
Liquids
(Mbbl)
Barrels of Oil
Equivalent(4)
(Mboe)
NPV10
($MM)
Proved developed producing 6,065 403 9,063 10,381 329 10,038 135.4
Proved developed
non-producing 137 - - 253 4 183 3.2
Proved undeveloped 7,910 459 - 16,905 316 11,502 118.8
Total proved 14,112 862 9,063 27,540 648 21,723 257.4
Probable 8,004 748 2,448 19,214 383 12,744 180.3
Total proved plus probable 22,115 1,610 11,511 46,754 1,031 34,467 437.7
STEADILY INCREASING
RESERVES PER SHARE Through strategic M&A and
successful drilling programs within
challenging environments
2P Reserves per
Basic Share(1)(3)(4)
(1) Based on Sproule’s forecast prices and costs, applicable for the effective date of the independent reserves
evaluation report. Forecast commodity prices can be found at www.Sproule.com
(2) Including both non-associated gas and associated gas but excluding solution gas (gas dissolved in crude oil)
(3) Per share numbers based on basic shares outstanding at December 31 for the applicable year
(4) See Reserves Data Disclosure Advisories on slide 23
(5) Columns may not add due to rounding
+28%‘16-‘19
0
0.03
0.06
0.09
0.12
0.15
0.18
0.21
2016 2017 2018 2019
7
MANAGEMENT TEAM AND BOARD
Management
Tim S. Granger, President & CEO CEO at Molopo Energy Limited, President and CEO at Compton Petroleum
Corporation, COO at Paramount Energy, Managing Director at TAQA North, COO
at PrimeWest Energy
Mimi M. Lai, VP Finance and CFOVice President, Finance & Controller, Manager Financial Reporting at Harvest
Operations Corp., Sr. Manager at Ernst & Young LLP
Brad Likuski, VP OperationsManager of Exploitation, Vice President Production at Spyglass Resources Corp.,
Vice President Engineering at AvenEx Energy Corp.
Tony van Winkoop, VP ExplorationPresident and CEO at Arsenal Energy Inc., General Manager of Development at
PrimeWest Energy, Co-founder of Venator Petroleum
Gjoa Taylor, VP LandVice President, Land at Arsenal Energy Inc., various land positions of increasing
responsibility with Imperial Oil, Crestar Energy, and Manager, Negotiations
at PrimeWest Energy
Board of Directors
Patrick R. McDonald, Chairman
Derek Petrie
William Roach
Ajay Sabherwal
Rob Wonnacott
Terence (Tad) Flynn
Tim Granger (President & CEO)
8
635,000PPR Total Net Acres
34.5 MMboeProved + Probable Reserves(1)
$437.7 MMProved + Probable NPV10 Value(1)
(1) See Reserves Data Disclosure Advisories on slide 23
CURRENT ASSET
OVERVIEW
PrincessMulti-zone potential
Lithic Glauc & Detrital
Hz and Vt development
Michichi/WayneLower cretaceous oil/gas
Year round access
Hz development
EVI
PRINCESS
KEY FOCUS AREAS
ALBERTA
EviSlave Point light oil – low risk
Granite Wash light oil play
Emerging waterflood; proven
and probable reserves booked
MICHICHI/
WAYNE
9
PRINCESSCurrent production(1): 1,350 boe/d of medium crude oil
• Revenue/boe(2) $41.68
• Opex/boe(2) $9.63
• Royalty/boe(2) $7.67
• Operating Netback(2)(3) $24.38/boe
Activity:
• Drilled and tied in 2 wells in 2019 adding 1.3MMboe of 2P
reserves. Since inception PPR has drilled 7 Glauconite wells
adding an average of 405 Mboe/well of 2P reserves.
• Shot 3D seismic to identify the Glauconite channel and Detrital
structures on new lands.
• Drilled a stratigraphic test at 12-24 to confirm Glauconite channel
Emerging Ellerslie potential on PPR’s acreage:
• Competitors on offsetting land have drilled wells with IP30 rates
~200 to 300 bbls/d(3)
(1) February 2020 production
(2) Based on unaudited Q3 2019 operating results
(3) See Oil and Gas Metrics and Non-IFRS Measures Advisories on slide 20 & 21
(3)
(3)
10
EVI
Otter WF
Evi WF Expansion
Evi BTY WF
Current WF
Current Production(1) : 1,720 boe/d of light oil
• Revenue/boe(2) $61.61
• Opex/boe(2) $21.01
• Royalty/boe(2) $6.70
• Operating Netback(2)(3) $33.90/boe
Future Outlook:• Further advance waterflood development
• Continue the transition of our depletion plan from infill
drilling to waterflood.
(1) February 2020 production
(2) Based on unaudited Q3 2019 operating results
(3) See Oil and Gas Metrics and Non-IFRS Measures Advisories on slide 20 & 21
11
EVI
Production Plot of CURRENT WF
Minor decline over 4 years
• Incremental 1.5 MMboe and 1.2 MMboe of 2P and 1P
undeveloped reserves (98% liquids), respectively,
have been assigned to future waterflood expansions.
• Removal of infill locations in the waterflood areas, has
resulted in 1.2 MMboe and 0.9 MMboe of negative
technical revisions on a 2P and 1P basis.
• The transition from infill drilling to waterflood reduced
1P future capital by $5.3 million; improving the
development economics.
At Evi, PPR has transitioned its depletion plan from infill
drilling to waterflood. That transition has resulted in
changes to reserves and future capital.
12
MICHICHI
• Merger with Marquee Energy created
one large contiguous field including an
operated oil battery tied to sales, and 2
operated gas plants
Current production(1): 2,140 boe/d of
medium crude oil
• Revenue/boe(2) $29.22
• Opex/boe(2) $17.66
• Royalty/boe(2) $2.24
• Operating netback(2)(3) $9.32
(1) February 2020 production
(2) Based on unaudited Q3 2019 operating results
(3) See Oil and Gas Metrics and Non-IFRS Measures Advisories on slide 20 & 21
Current Banff Development Area
Future Banff Development
Area
13
Current production(1): 700 boe/d of medium
crude oil
• Revenue/boe(2) $40.99
• Opex/boe(2) $14.11
• Royalty/boe(2) $3.56
• Operating netback(2)(3) $23.31
Q1 2020 Activity:• Drill 1 Banff horizontal well at 15-16-32-17W4
• Convert 1 horizontal well at 3-3-32-17W4 to water
injection to initiate a pilot waterflood project and to
save water trucking costs
CURRENT BANFF DEVELOPMENT AREA
15-16-32-17W4 Q1 Drill
Existing Battery
Waterline alreadyconstructed
Injector Conversion
15-16-32-17W4 Q1 Drill
(1) February 2020 production
(2) Based on unaudited Q3 2019 operating results
(3) See Oil and Gas Metrics and Non-IFRS Measures Advisories on slide 20 & 21
14
Average Type Well Economics(1)(2)Princess
Glauconite(3)
Princess
Ellerslie(3) Princess Detrital(3) Michichi/ Banff(4)
Drill, Complete, Equip & Tie-in ($MM) $2.0 $2.2 $1.0 $2.2
Production, IP30 (boe/d) 460 boe/d 105 boe/d 75 boe/d 325 boe/d
Production, IP365 (boe/d) 125 boe/d 85 boe/d 65 boe/d 90 boe/d
EUR (mboe) 330 mboe 225 mboe 260 mboe 185 mboe
Rate of return (%) 58% 32% 90% 50%
Payout (years) 1.3 yrs 2.6 yrs 1.4 yrs 1.7 yrs
Finding and development cost ($/boe) $6.10/boe $9.82/boe $3.86/boe $11.89/boe
DRILLING INVENTORY
(1) See Oil and Gas Metrics and Non-IFRS Measures Advisories on slide 20 & 21
(2) Based on Jan 21, 2020 strip pricing
(3) Based on type curves developed by Sproule Associates Limited, the Company’s independent qualified
reserves evaluator, and applied by Sproule in its evaluation of Prairie Provident’s reserves as of
December 31, 2019
(4) Based on estimates prepared by an internal (non-independent) qualified reserves evaluator, effective as
of December 31, 2019, in accordance with the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook
15
Development Economics(1)(2)Evi East
Waterflood(3)
Evi Battery
Waterflood(3)
Evi Otter
Waterflood(3)
Michichi Banff
Waterflood(4)
Capital ($MM) $4.7 $5.6 $5.1 $0.7
EUR (mboe) 260 mboe 430 mboe 545 mboe 290 mboe
Finding and development cost ($/boe) $18.41/boe $13.04/boe $9.38/boe $2.41/boe
Incremental Recovery (%) 3% 3% 3% 4%
WATERFLOOD INVENTORY
(1) See Oil and Gas Metrics and Non-IFRS Measures Advisories on slide 20 & 21
(2) Based on Jan 21, 2020 strip pricing
(3) Based on type curves developed by Sproule Associates Limited, the Company’s independent qualified
reserves evaluator, and applied by Sproule in its evaluation of Prairie Provident’s reserves as of
December 31, 2019
(4) Based on estimates prepared by an internal (non-independent) qualified reserves evaluator, effective as
of December 31, 2019, in accordance with the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook
16
ACTIVE RISK MANAGEMENT
>80% hedgedof forecast 2020 base oil volumes (net of royalties)
Gas HedgesOil Hedges
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021
He
dge
d V
olu
me
(b
bl/
d)
Swap Collar % of Base Oil Production (net of royalties)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
-500
500
1,500
2,500
3,500
4,500
5,500
6,500
7,500
8,500
9,500
He
dge
d V
olu
me
(G
J/d
)
Put Option % of Base Gas Volume Hedged (net of royalties)
Q1 2019 Q2 2019
PPR’s conservative approach to hedging employs a 12 to 18-month program designed to
respond to backwardation in forward prices
17
ECONOMICS SENSITIVITIES
Market Price
WTI (US$)
Blended WTI (US$) from Hedged and
Unhedged Production
$45 $49.50
$50 $51.61
$55 $54.71
$60 $57.78
$65 $60.15
$70 $61.84
PPR’s hedge strategy provides meaningful protection for downside price movements
18
WHY INVEST IN PPR
Compelling value opportunity ~25% PPR trading at
of PDP NAV(2)
(1) See Oil and Gas Metrics and Non-IFRS Measures Advisories on slide 20 & 21
(2) Based on year-end 2019 independent reserves evaluation of NPV10 after accounting for estimated long-term
debt, less cash collateralized letters of credit, divided by basic shares outstanding. See Reserves Data
Disclosure Advisories on slide 23
Focused on returns
• Disciplined approach to capital allocation and focus on projects that provide the highest IRR
• Asset portfolio returns support organic growth and development in current price environment
Oil-weighted, low-risk asset base
• >5 years identified development drilling opportunities(1) and ability to capture upside as oil prices
increase
• Light oil waterflood project at Evi offers attractive economics + significant reserves addition potential
• High working interest and operatorship allows control over pace of development
Financial flexibility
• Strong hedge position (>80% of base net oil production for 2020)
• Committed to a conservative capital program balanced with cash flow to maintain our balance
sheet and financial flexibility
19
SUMMARYOIL-WEIGHTED PRODUCTION & RESERVES
Ability to Grow as Pricing Allows
Sizeable drilling inventory for organic growth
Consolidation opportunities in core areas
Low maintenance capital requirements
Capital Management
Conservative capital program balanced with cash flow
Flexibility to accelerate development or pursue
additional acquisitions depending on commodity prices
Steady cash flow from low-decline oil-weighted assets
Waterflood program flattens decline curve and reduces
maintenance capex
Attractive Assets
~6,071 boe/d production average in 2019
~68% oil and liquids weighted, economic netback
>80% of 2020 base oil production hedged to secure
project economics with upside participation
$437.7 MMTotal Proved + Probable
NPV10(1)
34.5 MMboeTotal Proved + Probable
Reserves(1)
Oil & liquids focused E&P executing a stable, returns-based strategy
(1) See Reserves Data Disclosure Advisories on slide 23
20
Unaudited Financial Information. Certain financial and operating information included in this presentation for the year ended December 31, 2019, are based on estimated unaudited financial results for the year then
ended and are subject to the same limitations as discussed under Forward Looking Information set out below. These estimated amounts may change upon the completion of audited financial statements for the year
ended December 31, 2019 and changes could be material.
Adjusted Funds Flow. The term “adjusted funds flow” is a non-IFRS measure and is calculated based on forecasted cash flow from operating activities before the following forecasted items: changes in noncash
working capital, transaction costs, restructuring costs, and other non-recurring items. Management believes that such a measure provides an insightful information on the Company’s internal expectations of its ability to
fund its budgeted program and decommissioning expenditures from production activity without resort to additional debt or equity capital. Management uses this information for internal capital budgeting purposes and in
its review of the Company’s liquidity and capital resources. Adjusted funds flow as presented is not intended to represent cash flow from operating activities, net earnings or other measures of financial performance
calculated in accordance with IFRS.
Net Debt. Net debt is defined as long-term debt plus working capital surplus or deficit. Net debt is commonly used in the oil and gas industry for assessing the liquidity of a company.
Finding, Development and Acquisition Costs (“FD&A costs”). The Company calculates FD&A costs by dividing the sum of exploration and development capital and all acquisition costs (net of disposition proceeds)
for the period, plus the change in estimated FDC required to bring the reserves within the specified reserves category on production, by the change in reserves relating to discoveries, infill drilling, improved recovery,
extensions and technical revisions inclusive of changes due to acquisitions and dispositions for the same period. FD&A costs have been presented in this news release because acquisitions and dispositions can have a
significant impact on Prairie Provident’s ongoing reserves replacement costs and excluding these amounts could result in an inaccurate portrayal of its cost structure. Management uses FD&A as measure of its ability to
execute its capital programs (and success in doing so) and of its asset quality.
Recycle Ratio. Recycle ratio is defined as operating netback per boe divided by FD&A costs on a per boe basis. PPR’s operating netback in 2019, used in the above calculations, averaged $18.58 per boe (unaudited).
Operating Netback. Operating netback is a non-IFRS measure commonly used in the oil and gas industry. This measurement assists management and investors to evaluate the specific operating performance at the oil
and gas lease level. Operating netbacks included in this presentation are based on 2019 (unaudited) realized operating netback before any hedging gains/losses, and were determined by taking (oil and gas revenues
less royalties less operating costs) divided by gross working interest production. Operating netback, including realized commodity (loss) and gain, adjusts the operating netback for only realized gains and losses on
derivatives.
ADVISORIES
This presentation includes reference to certain measures commonly used in the oil and gas industry but which do not have standardized meanings or methods of calculation under International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS), National Instrument 51-101 (NI 51-101) of the Canadian Securities Administrators, the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation (COGE) Handbook, or other applicable law. Accordingly, such measures, as
determined by the Company and presented in this presentation (or in other documents published by Prairie Provident), may not be comparable to similarly defined or described measures presented by other entities,
and should not be used for any such comparisons. The following measures are provided as supplementary information by which readers may wish to consider the Company's performance, but should not be relied
upon for comparative or investment purposes.
Oil and Gas Metrics and Non-IFRS Measures
21
ADVISORIES
Drilling Opportunities. The drilling opportunities referenced in this presentation include booked locations to which reserves were assigned by Sproule Associates Limited, the Company’s independent qualified
reserves evaluator, in its year-end evaluation of Prairie Provident's reserves effective December 31, 2019, as well as drilling prospects assessed internally by management (through personnel that is a qualified
reserves evaluator within the meaning of NI 51-101 but is not independent of the Company) based on land holdings, development history and geological experience. These other opportunities have not been
independently evaluated and assigned reserves or resources in accordance with the COGE Handbook. There is no certainty that the Company will drill any particular locations, or that drilling activity on any location will
result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production. Locations on which Prairie Provident does drill wells will ultimately depend upon the availability of capital, regulatory approvals, seasonal restrictions,
commodity prices, anticipated costs, actual drilling results, additional reservoir information and other factors.
Type Well Information. This presentation provides indicative information regarding selected type of wells for the Company. This information reflects either: (i) the type curves developed by Sproule, independent QRE,
and applied in its most recent year-end evaluation of Prairie Provident's reserves, effective December 31, 2019 or (ii) internal estimates developed by the Company’s Internal QRE in accordance with the COGE
Handbook; using commodity price forecasts based on January 21, 2020 strip pricing. These estimates have been provided for illustrative purposes and are useful in understanding management's assumptions of well
performance and costs in making investment decisions in relation to future drilling and for assessing the performance of future wells. However, there is no certainty that such results will be achieved or that PPR will be
able to achieve the economics, production rates and estimated ultimate recoverable volumes assumed in the well economics described in this presentation. The estimated well economics included in this presentation
are based on expected type curves that were constructed by completing appropriate reservoir and statistical analyses of analogous wells in analogous areas over the past 12 to 24 months that are most representative
of the reservoirs being developed and the completion methods to be utilized by PPR over the next 12 to 24 months of drilling. The reservoir engineering and statistical analysis methods utilized is broad and can include
various methods of technical decline analyses, and reservoir simulation all of which are generally prescribed and accepted by the COGE Handbook and widely accepted reservoir engineering practices. The type
curves generated internally and validated by our internal QRE do not necessarily reflect the type curves used by our independent QRE in estimating our reserves volumes. The type well information includes estimated
ultimate recovery (EUR), which is not a resource category or defined term under NI 51-101 or the COGE Handbook. EUR refers to the quantity of petroleum estimated to be potentially recoverable from an
accumulation, plus quantities already produced therefrom. EUR volumes are not reserves. There is no assurance that EUR volumes are recoverable or that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion thereof.
Initial Production Rates. This presentation discloses initial production (IP) rates for certain wells drilled by Prairie Provident, as well as for certain type wells of the Company. The term "IP30" refers to a production
rate for the first 30 days of production, and the term "IP365" refers to a production rate for the first 365 days of production. Initial production rates are not necessarily indicative of long-term well or reservoir performance
or of ultimate recovery. Actual results will differ from those realized during an initial short-term production period, and the difference may be material.
Barrel of Oil Equivalent. The oil and gas industry commonly expresses production volumes and reserves on a “barrel of oil equivalent” basis (“boe”) whereby natural gas volumes are converted at the ratio of six
thousand cubic feet to one barrel of oil. The intention is to sum oil and natural gas measurement units into one basis for improved analysis of results and comparisons with other industry participants. A boe conversion
ratio of six thousand cubic feet to one barrel of oil is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip. It does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead nor at the plant
gate, which is where Prairie Provident sells its production volumes. Boes may therefore be a misleading measure, particularly if used in isolation. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as
compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalency ratio of 6:1, utilizing a 6:1 conversion ratio may be misleading as an indication of value.
Oil and Gas Metrics and Non-IFRS Measures (cont’d)
22
ADVISORIESForward Looking Information
Certain information included in this presentation constitutes forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. Statements that constitute forward-looking information relate to future
performance, events or circumstances, and are based upon internal assumptions, plans, intentions, expectations and beliefs. All statements other than statements of current or historical fact constitute forward-looking
information. Forward-looking information is typically, but not always, identified by words such as "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "intend", "plan", "budget", "forecast", "target", "estimate", "propose", "potential", "project",
"continue", "may", "will", "should" or similar words suggesting future outcomes or events or statements regarding an outlook. In particular, this presentation includes forward-looking information regarding: base decline;
anticipated returns; and a balancing of cash inflows and outflows.
The forward-looking information in this presentation reflects expectations and assumptions of Prairie Provident regarding, among other things: commodity prices and foreign exchange rates for 2019 and beyond; the
timing and success of future drilling, development and completion activities (and the extent to which the results thereof meet Management's expectations); the continued availability of financing (including borrowings
under the Company's credit facility) and cash flow to fund current and future expenditures, with external financing on acceptable terms; future capital expenditure requirements and the sufficiency thereof to achieve the
Company's objectives; the performance of both new and existing wells; the stability of production from Prairie Provident's properties and capital and operating costs in respect thereof; the timely availability and
performance of facilities, pipelines and other infrastructure in areas of operation; the geological characteristics and quality of Prairie Provident's properties and the reservoirs in which the Company conducts oil and gas
activities (including field production and decline rates); successful integration of acquired assets into the Company's operations; the successful application of drilling, completion and seismic technology; future
exploration, development, operating, transportation, royalties and other costs; the Company's ability to economically produce oil and gas from its properties and the timing and cost to do so; the predictability of future
results based on past and current experience; prevailing weather conditions; prevailing legislation and regulatory requirements affecting the oil and gas industry (including royalty regimes); the timely receipt of required
regulatory approvals; the availability of capital, labour and services on a timely and cost-effective basis; the creditworthiness of industry partners; the ability to source and complete acquisitions; and the general
economic, regulatory and political environment in which the Company operates.
Although Prairie Provident believes that its underlying expectations and assumptions are reasonable based on currently available information, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking information, which
is inherently uncertain, depends upon the accuracy of such expectations and assumptions, and is subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, both general and specific, many of which are
beyond the Company's control, that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those indicated or suggested in the forward-looking information. Prairie Provident can give no assurance that the forward-
looking information contained herein will prove to be correct or that the expectations and assumptions upon which they are based will occur or be realized. Actual results will differ, and the differences may be material
and adverse to the Company. Relevant risk factors include, but are not limited to: risks inherent to oil and gas exploration, development, exploitation and production operations and the oil and gas industry in general,
including geological, technical, engineering, drilling, completion, processing and other operational problems and potential delays, cost overruns, production or reserves loss or reduction in production, and environmental,
health and safety implications arising therefrom; uncertainties associated with the estimation of reserves, production rates, product type and costs; adverse changes in commodity prices, foreign exchange rates or
interest rates; the ability to access capital when required and on acceptable terms; increases in future costs of capital; the ability to secure required services on a timely basis and on acceptable terms; increases in
operating costs; unexpected capital cost requirements; environmental risks; changes in laws and governmental regulation (including with respect to royalties, taxes and environmental matters); adverse weather or
break-up conditions; competition for labour, services, equipment and materials necessary to further the Company's oil and gas activities; and changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or
capital and operating costs in respect thereof. These and other risks are discussed in more detail in the Company's current annual information form and other documents filed by it from time to time with securities
regulatory authorities in Canada, copies of which are available electronically under Prairie Provident's issuer profile on the SEDAR website and on the Company's website at www.ppr.ca. This list is not exhaustive.
The forward-looking information contained in this presentation is made as of the date hereof and Prairie Provident undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a
result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless required by applicable securities laws. All forward-looking information contained in this presentation is expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
23
ADVISORIES
Reserves Data Disclosure
Figures provided in this presentation as to proved reserves and probable reserves volumes, and net present value of related future net revenue, are estimates of such volumes and values as at December 31, 2019
based on an evaluation by Sproule Associates Limited, independent qualified reserves evaluator (QRE) of Prairie Provident’s reserves, effective December 31, 2019. Sproule's evaluation was in accordance with NI
51-101 and, pursuant thereto, the standards contained in the COGE Handbook. Information in this presentation regarding estimated reserves, net present value of related future net revenue, and production is
expressed on a net company interest basis, being its working interest (operating and non-operating) share after deduction of royalty obligations plus any royalty interest. Estimates of future net revenue are after
deduction of royalties, operating costs, estimated well abandonment and reclamation costs and estimated future development costs, but without any provision for interest costs, debt service charges or general and
administrative expenses.
The determination of oil and gas reserves involves estimating subsurface accumulations of oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids that cannot be measured in an exact manner. The preparation of estimates is subject
to an inherent degree of associated risk and uncertainty, including factors that are beyond the Company's control. The estimation and classification of reserves is a complex process involving the application of
professional judgment combined with geological and engineering knowledge to assess whether specific classification criteria have been satisfied. It requires significant judgments based on available geological,
geophysical, engineering, and economic data as well as forecasts of commodity prices and anticipated costs. As circumstances change and additional data becomes available, whether through the results of drilling,
testing and production or from economic factors such as changes in product prices or development and production costs, reserves estimates also change. Revisions may be positive or negative. Reserves volumes
attributed to properties and related future net revenue (and net present values thereof) are estimates only. There is no assurance that the estimated reserves can or will be recovered. Actual reserves may be greater
or less than those estimated, and the difference may be material. Estimated net present values of future net revenue do not represent fair market value of the reserves. There is no assurance that the forecast prices
and cost assumptions applied in evaluating the reserves will be attained, and variances between actual and forecast prices and costs may be material.
References herein to (i) "PDP" reserves means proved developed producing reserves, (ii) “1P" reserves means total proved reserves, (iii) “2P" reserves means proved reserves plus probable reserves, and (iv)
"NPV10" means, with respect to reserves, net present value of estimated future net revenue related to the reserves, discounted at 10% per year before tax.