Oando plcA strategic analysis of the company with
recommendationsMSc Strategy & International Business
3/10/2011
This report will conduct a strategic assessment of Oando plcs
current global competitive position with the help of Porters
Diamond model. The analysis made will provide a basis for strategic
recommendations that Oando plc should implement in the future.
Contents1. Introduction
........................................................................................................................................
3 2. Analysis of the current global competitive position
...........................................................................
3 2.1 Company Background
...................................................................................................................
3 2.2. External Analysis
..........................................................................................................................
5 2.2.1. 2.2.2. 2.3. Outlook on African Oil and Gas Industry
........................................................................
5 Outlook on Nigerian Oil and Gas Industry
......................................................................
6
Oil Industry Structure
..............................................................................................................
7
2.4. Internal Analysis - Oandos Operations
.......................................................................................
9 2.4.1. Upstream
..............................................................................................................................
9 2.4.2. Midstream
.............................................................................................................................
9 2.4.3.
Downstream..........................................................................................................................
9 2.5. 3. Strategic Position
..................................................................................................................
10
Analysis of Oando plc using Porters Diamond
.............................................................................
11 3.1. The Role of the Government
.....................................................................................................
11 3.2. Factor Conditions
.......................................................................................................................
11 3.3. Demand conditions
....................................................................................................................
12 3.4. Related and supporting industries
.............................................................................................
12 3.5. Firm strategy, industry structure and rivalry
.............................................................................
13
4.
Conclusion
.....................................................................................................................................
14 4.1 Recommendations
......................................................................................................................
14 4.2 Shortcomings
..............................................................................................................................
15 4.3. Summary
....................................................................................................................................
15
References
............................................................................................................................................
16
Appendixes............................................................................................................................................
18
2
1. IntroductionThis report will conduct a strategic assessment
of Oando plcs current global competitive position with the help of
Porters Diamond model. The analysis made will provide a basis for
strategic recommendations that Oando should implement in the
future. Oando plc is one of Africas largest integrated energy
solutions providers; it recently increased the scope of its
operations from purely downstream into mid- and upstream. This
report will expose the underlying reasons for this strategic shift
through the lens of Porters Diamond. The chosen model illustrates
how Nigerias national competitive advantage has shaped Oandos
strategic development to become integrated Oil and Gas Major in
Africa. Oando now possesses a firm-specific advantage, which could
be characterized as resultant of favourable domestic demand, factor
endowments, related and supporting industries, industry structure,
rivalry and firm strategy.
2. Analysis of the current global competitive position2.1
Company BackgroundOando plc commenced operations in 1956. It was
listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange in 1992, following the
acquisition of 60% majority stake in Unipetrol Nigeria Plc during
the 1st phase of the governments privatisation process. It achieved
a secondary listing on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange in 2005
(Oando Plc, 2011). From its genesis in the downstream petroleum
sector (marketing, supply and trading), Oando has redefined its
business model to encompass the entire value chain in the oil &
gas industry including midstream (gas and power) and upstream
(exploration and production) segments in recent years. Oando
consolidated its subsidiaries into an integrated energy group
actively serving the West African region, with expansion plans into
the rest of Africa (see table 1 for company structure). The
upstream segment of the oil and gas industry has a higher EBITDA
margin (Afrinvest WA, 2010), strategic diversification in this
segment has enabled the group to continue to achieve outstanding
performance (2010 Q3 turnover US$1,872.63m (Oando Plc, 2010) and
higher margins. The successful launch of an offer to raise N20
billion (US$129m) through the issuance of ordinary shares in
Nigeria and South Africa in January 2010, has led to it commencing
its long-term strategy implementation, which is to become an
African Oil major by taking full advantage of the Nigerian Content
Act (2010).
3
Table 1: Oando Plc Company Structure
Source: (COO, 2011)
4
2.2. External Analysis2.2.1. Outlook on African Oil and Gas
Industry
Crude Oil and Gas Reserves The major crude oil reserves are
located in Libya and Nigeria (see appendix 2 table 1) while there
is potential for production in Somalia, Ghana and Uganda (see
appendix 2 table 2). Algeria, Egypt, Libya and Nigeria possess
91.5% combined of proved African reserves (Anyanwu, 2010).
SupplyProduction of Oil and Gas in Africa (2009)
Africa is expected to increase its share of world production
from 12% to 15% by 2015 (Anyanwu, 2010). Gas production fell in
spite of a large production capacity. Production is expected to
increase by 3.6% by 2035 (Doma, 2010). Demand
Graph 1
Crude oil consumption in Africa has grown steadily equalling 3.1
million b/d in 2009, representing about 3.7% of global consumption,
reflecting low level of development, industrialization, and
technology (Anyanwu, 2010) see appendix 2 table 3. Natural gas
consumption in Africa is still very low representing about 3.2% of
global consumption (see appendix 2 table 4).
5
2.2.2. Outlook on Nigerian Oil and Gas Industry Table 2: PEST
AnalysisImpact on organisation Impact on organisation8 9 8 10 7 5 4
10 4 2 3 7,5 9 8,5 8,5 5 7,5 2
Certainty
Opportunities
Threats
1 2
Political
3 4 5 6 7 1 2
3 4 5 6 7 1 2
Social
Nigerian Content Development Bill - Increasing role of Nigerian
9 companies in oil and gas industry (Nigerian Content Act, 2010)
Plans to process at least half the crude oil produced in Nigeria by
2010 7 - Target still to be achieved (BMI, 2010) Foreign minister
plans to increase Nigeria's OPEC production quotas 9 and taxes on
overseas companies (Bloomberg, 2010) Full deregulation of the
downstream sector of the petroleum industry 8 and privatisation of
refineries (Okereke, 2009) Formation of an Organisation of Gas
Exporting Countries - Gas OPEC 8 (African Development Bank, 2010)
Government authorisation to allow private companies setting up 9,5
power plants using natural gas (Bloomberg, 2010) Emission
certificates gained from gas produced electricity (African 3
Development Bank, 2010) Large oil and gas reserves will remain a
key economic driver (BMI, 9 2010). "New oil frontier area of the
West African coast (EIA, 2010) 6% GDP growth linked to an emergence
of a new middle class (African 6 Business, 2010) Demand will grow -
higher oil prices, depletion of resources and 8 better operational
environment (Nigerian Content Act, 2010) Public debt cancelled by
the Paris Club initiative - No heavy debt 4,5 servicing costs,
capacity to invest in crucial infrastructure (BMI, 2010) FDI from
China could provide the necessary increase to foreign 4 investment
inflows in the country (BMI, 2010) The corruption record is
improving - Nigeria's score with 6 Transparency International has
risen to 2.5 in 2009 (BMI, 2010) Promote economic diversification.
Adopt Indonesian approach by 6 investing into manufacturing and
agriculture (Ross, 2003) Urgent efforts should be made to implement
HIV/AIDs programs into 8 CSR (Ross, 2003) Reforms of the financial
industry give Nigerians in the Diaspora the 5 confidence to return
home (African Business, 2010) Arabic countries slowdown and
hurricane in Gulf Mexico (OPEC, 2010) 9,5
9 6 8,5 7,5 1 9,5 2 5 7 5 3 4 5,5 3 4,5 6 5,5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5
Oil exports as a percentage of governmental revenue accounts for
9,5 109% (African Development Banks, 2010) Renegotiated contracts
with international companies for greater share 7 of profits from
deep-water fields (African Business, 2010) Slowdown in the
privatisation process (BMI, 2010)
The Nigerian economy is dependent on the oil sector - 92% of
total exports (African Development Banks, 2010) Weak global demand,
Euro zone debt crisis, Dollar exchange rate against other
currencies affecting volatility in prices (BMI, 2010) EIA (2010)
worst case scenario predicts an oil price of $210 in 2035 Forecast
volatility of net FDI into Nigeria in the period to 2014 (FT, 2010)
Oil exploration pollutes farmland and kills fish - key economic
resource for rural community (Udoh, 2007) High corruption
Transparency International ranks Nigeria 121st out of 180 in Global
Corruption Perceptions Index (BMI, 2010)
9,5 5,5 3 6,5 8 8
Economic
Pipeline vandalism - (MEND) The Movement for the Emancipation of
the Niger Delta (EIA, 2010) 90.8% of Nigerians live on less than
US$2 a day (BMI, 2010) Largely unionised society makes reforms
difficult (BMI, 2010) 25% of workers are infected with HIV/Aids.
(Ross, 2003) Semi skilled oil workers use their wealth to access
impoverished girls in the Niger Delta (Ross, 2003) Limited
infrastructure in place to develop the natural gas reserves (EIA,
2010) Refineries have never been fully operational due to pipeline
vandalism, poor maintenance and theft (EIA, 2010) 40 % of gas is
flared given the lack in infrastructure (EIA, 2010) Dire
electricity supply - It leaves businesses and homes dependent on
diesel-powered generators (African Business, 2010) Correlation
between changes in oil prices and construction cost increases -
costruction contributes to development (Olatunji, 2010) Small
construction sector relative to the countrys size and economic
growth levels (BMI, 2010)
10 9 8 7 3,5 6 7,5 8,5 8,5 8 6
3 4 5 1
Technological
2 3 4 5 6
Nigerian crude oil - Light, sweet quality crude is a preferred
gasoline feedstock (EIA, 2010) West African Gas Pipeline (WAGP) for
gas export to Ghana, Togo and Benin - further project to expand it
to Cote D'Ivoire (EIA, 2010) Trans Saharian Gas Pipeline. Carry
natural gas from Nigeria to Algeria export terminal.Total and
Gazprom interest (EIA, 2010) Pipeline network from the Nigerian Gas
Company city gate to cover Ikeja and the Greater Lagos Area (Oando,
2010) The Viva project - methanol plant, when completed (by 2012)
would be the worlds largest methanol plant (BMI, 2010)
8,5 9 9 9,5 8
8 10 4 10 8
1 2 3 4 5 6
Legend
0 to 10 = minimum to maximum
6
Certainty9 7 4
Graph 2: PEST IMPACT/CERTAINTY MATRIX
Cluster 1
Cluster 2
Cluster 3
2.3. Oil Industry StructureThe oil and gas industry value chain
is segmented in three major streams (Oilfielddirectory, 2011)
This segment involves exploration, drilling and production of
oil and gas. It controls the supply of oil and gas which influences
prices in the downstream.
This involves transportation of oil and gas from the extraction
site to refineries. It is usually considered as an extension of the
upstream or downstream.
This involves the final processing, product distribution and
marketing. It includes oil refineries, crude oil, petroleum and
natural gas distribution and retailing.
7
Graph 3: Competitive landscape
Major competitors Shell: is the biggest player in Nigeria with
10 gas plants, 1,000 producing wells, and 87 flow stations (Shell,
2011). ExxonMobil: is the second largest with over 90 offshore
platforms, 283 flowing completions in 353 wells and a production
capacity of about 720,000 barrels of crude, condensate and natural
gas liquid a day (Exxonmobil, 2011).
8
2.4. Internal Analysis - Oandos Operations2.4.1. Upstream Oandos
upstream operations consist of two SBUs (Table 1). Oando
Exploration and Production Limited (OEPL) has grown successfully
through oil and gas asset acquisitions of onshore and offshore
activities and is currently seeking new investments in nearingterm
production opportunities (Oando plc , 2011) Oando Exploration
Services (OES) is planning to take advantage of increased demand
and is growing via acquisitions and partnerships with global
multinationals. It has recently increased its capacity through the
purchase of five drilling rigs and is intending to further invest
US$500 million in the next five years (Oando plc , 2011). The bulk
of OESs services include fluids management services; however OES is
trying to increase its margins and shifting its focus to the
lucrative swamp rig drilling. The latter is underdeveloped in
Africa; therefore Oando intends to capture the market whilst
competition is low. Nevertheless the companys operations in
drilling inputs and services have been suffering from reduced
demand (CSL Research, 2010). OES draws its strength from being a
specialist local company which understands the industry challenges,
knows how to add value to clients operations and has experience of
working with Multinationals. However, OES is subject to the threats
of a hostile operational environment in the Niger Delta (CSL
Research, 2010). 2.4.2. Midstream Oando Gas & Power (OG&P)
oversees Oando Plcs gas and power businesses; it pipes and
distributes natural gas to industrial and commercial consumers in
Nigeria. The subsidiaries include various Gas and Power companies
(Table 1). The company has invested over N16 billion in developing
a gas pipeline network. This investment has garnered OG&P
control of a considerable share market. There has also been an
N18billion investment to develop a 128km cross-country gas pipeline
in the South-East. Oando justifies huge investment due to expected
guaranteed growth of the manufacturing and power sectors (Bakare,
2010). It went further to acquire an Oil Prospecting License (OPL)
236 to serve identified customers in some regions. They have also
invested in the development of a 12MW independent power project for
the Lagos State Water Corporation (Bakare, 2010). Key challenges
that could hinder future growth plans in the gas to power
initiative are funding, regulations, sanctity of contract, and
community issues (Osunsanya, 2010). 2.4.3. Downstream There are
three SBUs under the downstream operations (see Table 1). 9
Oando Marketing Limited (OML) delivers services that provide a
stronger platform for competitive advantage. These strategic
services are quality assurance, guaranteed stock availability,
professional stock management and flexible pricing. Although the
upstream activities are more profitable than the downstream, OML is
a leader in its industry with over 500 outlets based in West Africa
(Oando, 2010). It has a varied product offering ranging from
Aviation Turbine Kerosene (ATK) to Oando insecticide. Oando Supply
and Trading looks after the trading and bulk supply of crude oil
and refined petroleum products within the local, regional and
international markets. The three main trading activities that Oando
is currently involved in are: Clean Products, Specialized Products
and Crude Oil. It also has subsidiaries in London and Bermuda that
deal with the trading of crude oil and refined petroleum. Oando
Refining and Terminaling is the newest addition to their
operations. When entering this specialist field Oandos objectives
were to achieve a footprint in all sections of the industry value
chain. (OPEC, 2010).
2.5.
Strategic Position
Graph 4: GE Matrix
10
3. Analysis of Oando plc using Porters DiamondFollowing the
analysis of firm-specific advantages of Oando plc an assessment of
the country specific advantages is necessary. Porters Diamond
allows for an in-depth investigation into why a particular country
is successful in a specific industry. Oandos operations are largely
local and regional, thus this model would be appropriate for the
analysis of the industry in the area in which Oando is operating.
Porters Diamond is comprised of elements that promote the
development of national competitive advantage (Hill, 2009) and this
would add substantial value when building up future
recommendations.
3.1. The Role of the GovernmentGovernments role influences each
of the determinants of Nigerias oil industry national competitive
advantage. Oil and gas is a highly regulated industry given its
high share in government revenues and country exports.
3.2. Factor ConditionsNigeria is endowed with abundant physical
resources. Its reserves of crude oil account for 37.2 billion
barrels and gas reserves put it among the top 4 countries in Africa
(Anyanwu, 2010). Consistent with the Heckscher-Ohlin Theory (Hill,
2009), Nigeria exports its natural endowments to global markets.
This argument could be expanded by referring to the governments
revenues for the crude oil (Anyanwu, 2010) which is identified as
the countrys main export. Conversely, gas reserves are not being
developed at full capacity given a lack in advance factors
endowments, namely infrastructure for gas exploration and
extraction; however this is being overcome by government and
private companies investment. Given the small size and lack of
know-how of the Nigerian construction sector, the national
disadvantage in advance factors for the oil and gas industry has
been tackled by major foreign oil companies through investment in
the development of infrastructure for oil exploration, extraction
and skilled workforce in the upstream sector. The export trend of
natural resources and the national disadvantage in important
infrastructure for processing the crude oil (refineries) and
extracting natural gas has influenced Oandos strategy. The company
shifted from operating in the downstream sector to functioning in
the industrys entire value chain (FT.com, 2009), therefore building
up its firm specific advantage through exploiting the
11
countrys specific advantage. This was eased by government
intervention requiring a major share in the industry for Nigerian
companies (Nigerian Content Act, 2010).
3.3. Demand conditionsPorter (1998) stated that home demand
conditions for an industrys product or service help firms shape
their rate of improvements and innovation. Demand is very high for
Nigerian oil and its economy is hugely dependent on oil exports
(92%). Electricity supply is poor therefore local demand for
petroleum products for cars and generators is high. In addition,
the government has been dependent on imports of refined crude for
its citizens as a result of the poor state of refineries.
Increasing demand for stable electricity supply in the country has
led Oando to begin developing electricity infrastructure. This was
successfully implemented for the Lagos state government and further
projects are being planned for the Rivers state government and
other West African regions. The home conditions of Nigerian Oil and
Gas industry helped shape Oandos growth process. From a marketer
and distributor of petroleum products, Oando shifted to meeting
local needs for gas, by constructing the infrastructure needed for
power generation. Demand conditions are also affected by the
Petroleum Products Prices Regulatory Agency (PPPRA) Act of 2002
having the power to fix the price of domestic oil, which is
becoming increasingly expensive (Okediran, 2005). Home demand has
also been influenced by the governments privatisation process and
the Nigerian Content Act 2010, which seeks to increase indigenous
participation in the industry. Oando also expanded into regional
African markets where demand was also growing.
3.4. Related and supporting industriesThrough mergers and
acquisitions, Oando has overcome most of its national competitive
disadvantage (lack of good infrastructures) by using its partners
resources, which has led to the development of its own firm
specific advantages. Oandos value chain has become self sufficient,
however there is some dependency on both local and foreign
assistance in the completion of projects and the supply of
necessary materials & equipment. The Nigerian National
Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) used to be the only supplier of
refined petroleum. As a result of their inefficiencies, Oando
vertically integrated backwards to manage their supply chain
(Adegboyega, 2008). The company is now the supplier of its
downstream business, though there are a few alternative sources of
supply such as the NNPC and other oil majors. Oandos business in
the upstream sector has been assisted by a strategic alliance with
Halliburton who supply all input materials for oilfield operations
(Adegboyega, 2008).
12
Oando has outsourced part of the activities in its outbound
logistics. Transportation is a separate business unit requiring
distinctive expertise, and Oando depends on both local and foreign
companies for this (Adegboyega, 2008). Other collaborations for
project support include a strategic alliance with Gazprom to
develop projects in oil and gas assets and infrastructures in the
West sub-region and the Gulf of Guinea. Also, OG&P has
incorporated subsidiaries in West Africa to collaborate with local
companies to deliver gas distribution services to the region (Oando
Plc, 2011).
3.5. Firm strategy, industry structure and rivalryNigerian
petroleum industry is managed by the federal government which has
ownership and control rights anchored in the 1969 Petroleum Act
(Akpan, 2006). The current two contractual fiscal regimes
dominating the upstream segment, namely Joint Ventures and
Production Sharing Contracts, represent a system for the government
to generate revenues through the E&P activities of MNEs. It
could be argued that this distribution of forces led to a certain
degree of strategic herding, as industry players have to deal with
the government and bureaucracy on a regular basis. Indeed, they are
heavily dependent on the sole provider of natural resources, which
is the Nigerian State resulting on a state of co-opetition
(Pipelineinternational.com, 2010). Shell, ExxonMobil, Chevron,
Agip, Total and Phillips currently dominate the countrys upstream
sector (Akpan, 2006), where Oando still has to prove itself.
Intense competition with major multinationals is likely to drive
the companys efforts for achieving sustainable competitive
advantage in this segment; current legislative changes - PIB are
also estimated to be favourable for indigenous companies like
Oando. In the midstream sector Oando will benefit from the PIB as
well. The bill will encourage the development of natural gas over
crude oil, which the government believes can stimulate economic
growth (PFC Energy, 2010). Oandos leadership in the downstream
segment could be deemed resultant of the highly competitive
Nigerian industry structure. The company managed to sustain their
leading position in spite of increased competition by the worlds
largest energy companies (Total, Chevron and Shell). To become an
African major, Oando plans to shift from the nearly saturated
downstream market towards the more profitable upstream and
midstream. By 2013, Oando aims to generate only 20% of their
profits from the downstream. It is now investing heavily in
production & exploration, building terminals and pipelines, in
order to reduce operating costs and increase returns. Oando aims to
leverage the synergies generated from having production and
transportation assets (FT.com, 2009). It is currently building
$100m of gas pipeline in Nigeria annually for domestic consumption.
It has its own production operations on land and swamp, and invests
in offshore operations of international companies (FT.com, 2009).
Oandos focus is local; being an integrated energy company with
local assets provides them with better returns, reduces currency
risk and makes it possible to offer better products for the
customer. Oandos expansion plans are primarily in Nigeria, but they
would also consider the Gulf of Guinea, Ghana, Angola and Gabon.
Oando competes with international majors in Nigeria; the companys
local interest is also a differentiation point from competition,
the investment focus being on 13
increased wealth generation in the country, whereas
multinationals usually prefer exporting those revenues (FT.com,
2009). Oando possesses significant internal resources for achieving
its long-term strategic goals. Firstly, the company is adaptable
and able to operate in a tumultuous environment in spite of
changing governments and legislation. Secondly, Oando has the
potential of further utilising the scale of its integrated
operations, in order to drive higher returns across different
divisions. The release of some downstream resources should drive
the increased focus on the upstream. Thirdly, the company has
succeeded in building a very strong local brand, focusing mainly on
Nigeria, which is a great differentiator against competition and
has also helped the company gain access to finance. Oandos fourth
key resource is its people, the human assets in who the company
invests a lot and who will be shaping its future. Finally, Oando is
strong in Corporate Social Responsibility, having a real interest
in developing local communities. This strength can be leveraged in
negotiations with the government (COO, 2011).
4. Conclusion4.1 RecommendationsLooking at Oando as a corporate
entity, the argument developed leads to recommend for the company
to concentrate on the upstream as a first priority and midstream as
a second. Referring back to the GE Matrix, considering the
potential growth and market attractiveness of the SBUs, it is
recommended that Oando pursues the strategy of increasing the scale
and scope of its upstream operations. The company can build up its
assets in the medium term through strategic acquisitions by using
the resources made available through divestitures in the downstream
(up to 49% of its Marketing division (COO, 2011). Current
legislative changes in the industry will encourage local
participation in the oil and gas industry in the medium to long
term; international oil companies are expected to divest of assets
in the upstream segment (Oando, 2009). Oando can take advantage of
this opportunity and capture some of those E&P assets. At the
same time, Oando can also leverage partnerships with domestic and
global players to further increase the scope of its upstream
operations. OES is in a very strong position as they have 85% of
the market share for swamp rigs (COO, 2011). It is recommended that
they protect their competitive position in this market segment, as
EBITDA margins are between 45-50%. Oando will furthermore benefit
from the Nigerian Content Policy and their indigenous status. They
can therefore leverage the positive industry outlook and their
internal strengths, by concentrating on onshore swamp operations
and partnering up with multinationals, especially in the view that
they already have experience in international partnerships (through
their alliances with Halliburton and Baker Hughes). Given the
dynamics of the Porters diamond in terms of National Competitive
Advantage, Nigeria is an interesting case for investment into the
midstream energy sector (gas). The local policy initiatives 14
encourage the development of gas industry and there are
excellent factor endowments in Nigeria. Oando should continue
building its gas infrastructures in order to expand its
distribution capacity in Nigeria. The company should also leverage
the existing partnership with the Russian Gazprom and find other
partners among large gas companies to build alliances which will be
beneficial in terms of knowledge acquisition and exploiting
environmental opportunities. In the medium to long term, Oando
could expand into other West African countries, building up on the
advantage of having existing Marketing subsidiaries in Ghana, Togo
and Benin. This will give the company an opportunity to generate
further economies of scale through integration of midstream and
downstream in those countries. Oando can take advantage of the
Trans Saharan Gas Pipeline (PEST table) as it will enhance their
ability to export gas.
4.2 ShortcomingsThe conducted analysis is limited since it was
mainly based on the Porters Diamond model. It would have been
beneficial to complement this analysis with a resource-based view
in order to justify the companys long-term strategic success and
competitive differentiation. However, the perspective of the
Porters model justifies the attractiveness of the oil and gas
industry in Nigeria which led to the establishment of the national
competitive advantage transformed into a firm specific advantage by
Oando.
4.3. SummaryTo conclude, given the governments heavy dependence
on oil exports, high factor endowments in gas reserves and
technological opportunities (PEST), Oando should hedge risk of its
portfolio by diversifying in the gas segment. Also, the
technological threat of discontinued electricity supply in Nigeria
and the political opportunity of benefits provided by emission
certificates could create a market space for Oando in gas-powered
electricity plants.
15
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from
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AppendixesAppendix 1: Oando Plc 2009 Annual Report
Appendix 2: Africas Oil and Reserves and Consumption
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