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Numerical Weather Prediction Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian
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Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Mar 27, 2015

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Page 1: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Numerical Weather PredictionNumerical Weather Prediction

Moist ThermodynamicsMoist Thermodynamics

Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins

Page 2: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Can we represent clouds in a GCM Can we represent clouds in a GCM ieie. Moisture transport and phase changes ?. Moisture transport and phase changes ?

e.g. T799 36h forecast from 20080525

Meteosat 9 versus forecasted satellite image

What is the annual global mean cloud cover ?

Page 3: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

The same for GOES12 versus IFSThe same for GOES12 versus IFS! !

Tropical Cyclone (Gustaf), Tropical continental convection Stratocumulus , Cirrus

Page 4: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Overview of Overview of Clouds/ConvectionClouds/Convection• Introduction

– Moist thermodynamics• Parametrization of moist convection (4 lectures, Peter),

– Theory of moist convection– Common approaches to parametrization including the ECMWF scheme

• Cloud Resolving Models (1 lecture - Richard)– Their development and use as parametrization tools

• Parametrization of clouds (4 lectures - Richard)– Basic microphysics of clouds– The ECMWF cloud scheme and problem of representing cloud cover– Issues concerning validation

• Planetary boundary-layer (4 lectures – Martin+Anton) -- Surface fluxes, turbulence, mixing and clouds

• Exercise Classes (1 afternoon, Peter and Richard)

Page 5: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Moist ThermodynamicsMoist Thermodynamics

The great Belgian tradition:“Thermodynamique de l’atmosphere”

Dufour and v. Mieghem (1975)Most recent:

Maarten Ambaum (2010) “Thermal physics of the atmosphere”

For simplified Overview:

Rogers and Yau (1989) “A short course in cloud physics”

Thermodynamics and Kinematics: K. A. Emanuel (1994) “Atmospheric Convection”

Textbooks

Page 6: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

The First and Second LawThe First and Second Law-----

The First Law of Thermodynamics:Heat is work and work is heat.Heat is work and work is heat

Very good! The Second Law of Thermodynamics:Heat cannot of itself pass from one body to a hotter body,Heat cannot of itself pass from one body to a hotter body

Heat won't pass from a cooler to a hotter,Heat won't pass from a cooler to a hotter

You can try it if you like but you'd far better notter,You can try it if you like but you'd far better notter

'Cos the cold in the cooler will get hotter as a ruler,'Cos the cold in the cooler will get hotter as a ruler'Cos the hotter body's heat will pass to the cooler,'Cos the hotter body's heat will pass to the cooler

Good, First Law:Heat is work and work is heat and work is heat and heat is work

Heat will pass by conduction,Heat will pass by conduction

And heat will pass by convection,Heat will pass by convection

And heat will pass by radiation,Heat will pass by radiationAnd that's a physical law.

Heat is work and work's a curse,And all the heat in the universe,

Is gonna cooooool down'Cos it can't increase,

Then there'll be no more workAnd there'll be perfect peace

Really?Yeah, that's entropy, maan!

Page 7: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

And its all because of the Second Law of Thermodynamics, which lays down:

That you can't pass heat from a cooler to a hotter,Try it if you like but you far better notter,

'Cos the cold in the cooler will get hotter as a ruler,'Cos the hotter body's heat will pass to the cooler.

Oh you can't pass heat, cooler to a hotter,Try it if you like but you'll only look a fooler

'Cos the cold in the cooler will get hotter as a rulerAnd that's a physical Law!

Oh, I'm hot!Hot? That's because you've been working!

Oh, Beatles - nothing!That's the First and Second Law of Thermodynamics!

The First and Second LawThe First and Second Law

Authors: M. Flanders (1922-1975) & D. Swann (1923-1994)From "At the Drop of Another Hat“

Page 8: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Moist ThermodynamicsMoist ThermodynamicsIdeal Gas LawIdeal Gas Law

• Assume that “moist air” can be treated as mixture of two ideal gases: “dry air” + vapour

TRp ddd Dry air

equation of state:

Gas Constant fordry air = 287 J Kg-1 K-1Pressure

Density

TTRe dRvvv

Water Vapour

equation of state:

Vapourpressure

vapourdensity

Gas constant forVapour = 461 J Kg-1 K-1

0.622

Temperature

What is definition of ideal gas?

Page 9: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Pressure, partial pressures and Pressure, partial pressures and gas law for moist airgas law for moist air

; ;

( )

d d d v

d

d

d d dd d v v

v v

p p e p pN e p N

dpdp de

p p e

p V m R TpV T m R m R

eV m R T

Partial pressures add if both gases occupy

same volume V. Nx are the mol masses

Page 10: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

First law of thermodynamicsFirst law of thermodynamics

Heat supplied by diabatic process

Change in internal Energy

Work doneby Gas

1; ;

Vde dQ dw dQ pd dQ Tds

m

Energy conservation and Heat

All quantities are per unit mass (specific)dQ is not a perfect differential, but ds (change in entropie is !)

Can write as

vde c dT dQ pd 5

2v d

e Qc R

T T

Specific Heat atconstant volume

Page 11: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

First law of thermodynamics: First law of thermodynamics: Enthalpy Enthalpy and Legendre and Legendre transformationtransformation

Changing variables

( ) pdh d e p c dT dQ dp

p v d

p

h Qc c R

T TSpecial processes: “Adiabatic Process” dQ=0 or better ds=0

ln ln

p

p d

c dT dp

c d T R d P

Special significance since many atmospheric motions can be approximated as adiabatic

( )pd d p dp

Page 12: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Enthalpy and flow processEnthalpy and flow process

1

dUp p

dt

dUh T s h

dt

In isentropic (adiabatic) flow

velocity

Page 13: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Summary :Potentials and Maxwell Summary :Potentials and Maxwell relationsrelations

s ps

T pT

de Tds pd dh Tds dp

T p T

s p s

df sdT pd dg sdT dp

s p s

T p T

Internal Energy Enthalpy

Helmholtz free Energy Gibbs free Energy

Page 14: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Conserved VariablesConserved Variables

Using enthalpy equation and

integrating, obtain Poisson’s equation

0 0

0 0

d p

p v

R C

C C

T por

T p

p

p

Setting reference pressure to 1000hPa gives the definition of potential

temperature for dry airpd CR

p

pT

0

Conserved in dry adiabatic motions, e.g. boundary layer turbulence

What is the speed of sound?

Page 15: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

4. Mixing ratio

Humidity variablesHumidity variablesThere are a number of common ways to describe There are a number of common ways to describe vapour content etcvapour content etc

1 kgkg

vv

m

V

t lq q q

1. Vapour Pressure

2. Absolute humidity 3 mkg

3. Specific humidityMass of water vapour per unit moist air

(1 )v v

d v

m e eq

m m p e p

1 kgkg

5. Relative humidity (or )s s

e qRH

e q

v v

d d

m e er

m p e p

1 kgkg

Pa

Mass of water vapour per unit dry air

6. Specific liquid water contentl

lq 1 kgkg

7. Total water content

e / 0.622d vR R

Page 16: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Humidity variablesHumidity variablesHow to define “moist quantities” and how to switch How to define “moist quantities” and how to switch from mixing ratio to specific humidity.from mixing ratio to specific humidity.

(1 )

1

1

v dd v v v d d v d

d v d v

v d

d v d

m mm m m m

m m m m

q q

or dividing by m rr

1 1

r qq r

r q

For any intensive quantity we have

Page 17: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Virtual temperatureVirtual temperature TTvv

d v

P P

R T RT

Another way to describe the vapour content is the virtual temperature , an artificial temperature.

1 (1 )1 1 (1 0.608 )

(1 )v

rT T q T T q

r

By extension, we define the virtual potential temperature, which is a conserved variable in unsaturated ascent, and related to density

0

d pR c

v v

pT

p

It describes the temperature required for dry air, in order to have at the same pressure the same density as a sample of moist air

Definition:1(1 ) (1 )v d dR q R q R R q

Page 18: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

The Clausius-Clapeyron The Clausius-Clapeyron equationequation

)(

1

wv

vs L

TdT

de

• For the phase change between water and water vapour the equilibrium pressure (often called saturation water vapour pressure) is a function of temperature only

water

air+water vapourConsider this closed system in equilibrium:T equal for water & air, no net evaporation

or condensationAir is said to be saturated

2TR

eL

dT

de

v

svs •with v >> w, and the ideal gas law v=RvT/es

Page 19: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

The Clausius-Clapeyron The Clausius-Clapeyron equation - Integration equation - Integration

• The problem of integrating the Clausius-Clapeyron equation lies in the temperature dependence of Lv.

• Fortunately this dependence is only weak, so that approximate formulae can be derived.

TTR

L

e

e

v

v

s

s 11ln

00

Nonlinearity has consequences for

mixing in convection

es0 = 6.11 hPa at T0=273 K

Page 20: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Meteorological energy Meteorological energy diagramsdiagrams

Total heat added in cyclic process:

(ln )d

p

R dpdTp pT C pdQ c T c Td

Thus diagram with ordinates T versus ln will have the properties

of “equal areas”=“equal energy”

Called a TEPHIGRAM

rota

te to h

ave p

ressure (alm

os

t) ho

rizon

tal

Dry adiabatic motion

Pressure

T

Page 21: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

T

Tephigram (II)Tephigram (II)

pressure

r

Saturation specific

humidity

ss

s

er

p e

(1 )s

ss

eq

p e

Saturation mixing ratio

Function of temperature and pressure only – tephigrams

have isopleths of rs

Page 22: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Using a Using a TephigramTephigramAt a pressure of

950 hPa

Measure T=20 oC r=10 gkg-1

plot a atmospheric sounding

Page 23: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Enthalpy and phase changeEnthalpy and phase change

p sdh c dT Tds dp Ldq

Have we been a bit negligeant ? Yes, more precisely

( ) ( ) ( )

( ) ( )

d pd v pv d v d d v v v

pd pv d v s

dpm c m c dT T dS dS m R m R T Ldm

p

dpc rc dT R rR T Ldr

p

Divide by md (or md+mv) and assume adiabatic process

Page 24: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Ways of reaching saturationWays of reaching saturation

Several ways to reach saturation:

• Diabatic Cooling (e.g. Radiation)

• Evaporation (e.g. of precipitation)

• Expansion (e.g. ascent/descent)

Cooling: Dew point temperature TdTemperature to which air must be cooled to reach saturation, with p

and r held constant

All of these are important cloud

processes!!!

Evaporation: Wet-bulb temperature TwTemperature to which air

may be cooled by evaporation of water into

it until saturation is reached, at constant p

( ( ) )p v s v sc dT L dq L q T q iteration

Will show how to determine graphically from tephigram

Page 25: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Ways of reaching saturation:Ways of reaching saturation:Expansion: (Pseudo) Adiabatic Expansion: (Pseudo) Adiabatic ProcessesProcesses

As (unsaturated) moist air expands (e.g. through vertical motion), cools adiabatically conserving .

Eventually saturation pressure is reached, T,p are known as the “isentropic condensation temperature and pressure”, respectively. The level is also known as the “Lifting Condensation Level”.

If expansion continues, condensation will occur (assuming that liquid water condenses efficiently and no super saturation can persist), thus the temperature will decrease at a slower rate.

Page 26: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Ways of reaching saturation:Ways of reaching saturation:Expansion: (Pseudo) Adiabatic Expansion: (Pseudo) Adiabatic ProcessesProcesses

Have to make a decision concerning the condensed water.

• Does it falls out instantly or does it remain in the parcel? If it remains, the heat capacity should be accounted for, and it will have an effect on parcel buoyancy • Once the freezing point is reached, are ice processes taken into account? (complex)

These are issues concerning microphysics, and dynamics. The air parcel history will depend on the situation. We take the simplest case: all condensate instantly lost as precipitation, known as “Pseudo adiabatic process”

Pseudo adiabatic process

Page 27: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

T

Tephigram Tephigram (III)(III)

pressure

r

Pseudoadiabat

(or moist adiabat)

Remember: Involves an arbitrary “cloud

model”

Page 28: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Cooling: (Isobaric process)

gives dew point

temperature

parcel mixing ratio=5g/kg

Expansion, (adiabatic

process) gives condensation temperature

Page 29: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Wet BulbTemperature

Moist Adiabat

Page 30: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Parcel at 850 hPa, T=12.5oCr=6 g/kg

Te

Raise parcel pseudoadiabatically

until all humidity condenses and then

descend dry adiabatically to

reference pressure

e (=315K)

Equivalent Potentialtemperature

Tc

rL

ep

vv

econserved in adiabatic motions

Page 31: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Summary: Conserved Summary: Conserved VariablesVariables

Dry adiabatic processes Moist adiabatic processes

p

dc

R

p

pT

0

potential temperature

Tc

rL

ep

vv

e

equivalent potential temperature

p v vh c T gz L q moist static energy

t v lq q q total water specific humidity

; :

0

p

p

p

s c T gz proof

dh c dT dp g dz

ds c dT gdz

In HYDROSTATIC ATMOSPHERE: dry static energy

vq

Specific humidity

Page 32: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

Last not least: how to compute Last not least: how to compute numerically saturation numerically saturation (adjustment)(adjustment)

given T, q

check if q > qs(T) then

solve for adjusted T*,q* so that

q* = qs(T*)

ql = q-qs(T*)

using cp dT = -Lv dqs

either numerically through iteration or with the aid

of a linearisation of qs(T*) (see Excercises !!)

* *( ) ( ( ) ( ) (2) )sp v s

T

dqc T T L q q T T T O

dT

T,qv

T*,qvs(T*)

qv

Page 33: Numerical Weather Prediction Moist Thermodynamics Peter Bechtold and Adrian Tompkins.

A few Unofficial Social Tips…A few Unofficial Social Tips…see also www.reading-guide.co.uk For Music listings: pick up “Bla see also www.reading-guide.co.uk For Music listings: pick up “Bla Bla”Bla”

Station

“Sw

eeni

e an

d T

odds

” P

ie P

ub

“RISK”: Salsa 19.30 lessons £5/9, free dancing after 21:30 Tuesday (upstairs) International drinks

“Thai corner”

Igua

na: C

offe

e+co

ckta

ils (

upst

airs

)

“Bei

jing

nood

le h

ouse

Purple Turtle, open until 3am

Jazz club – live music on Thurs £7 (incl 2 drinks)

Zero D

egrees:Best P

izza and brewery

Gulshan Indian Restaurant

Wagamamas (Oracle by canal), Asian noodle Chain

Abbey Ruins, Reading’s (only) historical part!

AR

TS

cin

ema

at R

ead

ing

Uni

vers

ity,

Tue

s/T

hurs

, se

e re

adin

gfil

mth

eatr

e.co

.uk

For

Lon

don

the

atre

, ch

eck

out

OF

FIC

IAL

ha

lf-pr

ice

ticke

t b

ooth

in L

eice

ster

Squ

are

If the Weather is nice, don’t forget to take a walk by Thames, off the top of this map, or take a train to Pangbourne or Goring

nearby and see the Thames there

Gospoda-Polish Pub, Oxford Street Karaoke on Thursdays

Mango

Revolution