North Texas Demographic Characteristics and Trends DFW International Luncheon Dallas Public Library May 19, 2010 Dallas, TX.

North Texas Demographic Characteristics and Trends

DFW International Luncheon

Dallas Public LibraryMay 19, 2010

Dallas, TX

Fastest Growing States, 2000-2008

State2000

Population*2008

Population*

NumericalChange

2000-2008

PercentChange

2000-2008

Texas 20,851,820 24,326,974 3,465,154 16.7

California 33,871,648 36,756,666 2,885,018 8.5

Florida 15,982,378 18,328,840 2,346,462 14.7

Georgia 8,186,453 9,685,744 1,499,291 18.3

Arizona 5,130,632 6,500,180 1,369,548 26.7

North Carolina 8,049,313 9,222,414 1,173,101 14.6Virginia 7,078,515 7,769,089 690,574 9.8Washington 5,894,121 6,549,224 655,103 11.1Nevada 1,998,257 2,600,167 601,910 30.1Colorado 4,301,261 4,939,456 638,195 14.8

* Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and estimatesfor July 1 for 2008.

Source: Derived from U.S. Bureau of the Census Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio.

Percent ChangeDue to

Year* PopulationNumerical

ChangeNatural

IncreaseNet

MigrationPercentChange

NaturalIncrease

NetMigration

1950 7,711,194 -- -- -- -- -- --

1960 9,579,677 1,868,483 1,754,652 113,831 24.2 93.91 6.09

1970 11,196,730 1,617,053 1,402,683 214,370 16.9 86.74 13.26

1980 14,229,191 3,032,461 1,260,794 1,771,667 27.1 41.58 58.42

1990 16,986,510 2,757,319 1,815,670 941,649 19.9 65.85 34.15

2000 20,851,820 3,865,310 1,919,281 1,946,029 22.8 49.65 50.35

2008 24,326,974 3,475,154 1,884,947 1,563,694 16.7 54.20 45.00

* All values for the decennial dates are for the indicated census year. Values for 2008 is for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Bureau of the Census.

Source: Derived from U.S. Bureau of the Census Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio.

Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2008

State of Residence of the Estimated Unauthorized Immigrant Population: January

2009 and 2000

Source: U.S. Department of Homeland Security.

All stat

es

Californ

iaTexa

s

Florid

a

New York

Illinois

Georgia

Arizona

North Caro

lina

New Jerse

y

Nevada

Other s

tates

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

20002009

Percent Change in Estimated Unauthorized Immigrant Population by State of Residence:

January 2009 and 2000

Source: U.S. Department of Homeland Security.

All stat

es

Californ

iaTexa

s

Florid

a

New York

Illinois

Georgia

Arizona

North Caro

lina

New Jerse

y

Nevada

Other s

tates

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Estimates of Hispanic population (2008) and unauthorized residents (2009), Texas

Series10

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

8,000,000

9,000,000 8,566,395

1,680,000

Hispanic

Unauthorized immigrants

Sources: U.S. Bureau of the Census, American Community Survey, 2008 and U.S. Department of Homeland Security.

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

Mill

ions

No Migration

1/2 1990-

20001990-2000

Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections

Year

Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2000-2040

Racial and Ethnic Composition

Sources: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2007 American Community Survey Microdata File

Texas and Metroplex Economic Region,Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2007

Anglo48%

Black12%

His-panic35%

Other5%

Anglo; 54%

Black; 14%

His-panic; 26%

Other; 6%

Metroplex Economic RegionTexas

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

1980-1990 1990-2000 2000-2007 2000-2040

Anglo Black Hispanic Other

% of Growth Due to Each Ethnicity in Texas, 1980-1990, 1990-2000, 2000-2007, and 2000-2040

Source: U.S. Census Counts, and Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections, 0.5 Scenario

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%20

0020

0220

0420

0620

0820

1020

1220

1420

1620

1820

2020

2220

2420

2620

2820

3020

3220

3420

3620

3820

40

Anglo

Black

Latino

Other

Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections , 0.5 Migration Scenario

Projected Ethnic Change in theState of Texas, 2000-2040

Projected percent race and ethnic distribution for Metroplex Economic Region

Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections , 0.5 Migration Scenario

Geographic Distribution

Estimated domestic in and out migration (2000-2008) by county as a percentage of 2000 population

Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009

Legend

-20 to -45%

-19 to -10%

-9 to -5%

-4 to 0%

1 to 5 %

6 to 20%

21 to 30%

31 to 65%

Legend

0-1%

1-2.5%

2.5-3.5%

3.5-5%

5-10%

Estimated international migration (2000-2008) by county as a percentage of 2000 population

Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009

Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009

Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections , 0.5 Migration Scenario

English Learners

Percent of the population 5 and over who speak English less than well by state, 2008

Californ

ia

Texas

New York

Nevada

New Jerse

y

Arizona

Hawaii

Florid

a

Vermont

Miss

issippi

North Dak

ota

Montan

a

West

Virginia

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

Source: American Community Survey, 2008

Language spoken at home, 2008

Percent 5 years and older who speak only English at

home

Percent 5 years and older who speak Spanish at home

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

TexasDFW MSA

Source: American Community Survey, 2008

Social and Economic Characteristics

Educational Attainment in 2000 in Texas for Persons 25+ Years

of Age By Race/Ethnicity

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

< High School

High School

Some College

College or More

Hispanic

Black

Anglo

Asian

Percent

Source: American Community Survey, 2008

Percent of PopulationWho Are Foreign-Born

United St

ates

Texa

s

Corpus Chris

ti

Beaumont

Austin

DFW

Houston

San Antonio

Brownsville

Laredo

McAlle

n0

5

10

15

20

25

30

12

16

6 6

15

18

22

11

24

2729

Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, American Community Survey, 2008

Percent of Adults 25+ With Bachelor’sor Graduate/Professional Degree

United St

ates

Texa

s

Corpus Chris

ti

Beaumont

Austin

DFW

Houston

San Antonio

Brownsville

Laredo

McAlle

n0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

2825

1917

38

30 28

25

1617

15

Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, American Community Survey, 2008

Education of persons 25 years old and older

Less

than 9th grade

9th to 12th gra

de, no diploma

High school g

raduate (in

cludes e

quivalency

)

Some co

llege, n

o degree

Associa

te's degre

e

Bachelor's

degree

Graduate or p

rofessi

onal degre

e0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

TexasDFW MSA

Source: 2006-2008 American Community Survey 3-Year Estimates, U.S. Census Bureau

Contact

Office: 210-458-6530

Email: [email protected]

Lloyd B. Potter, Ph.D., M.P.H