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Non-Experimental Methods I Class 22
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Non-Experimental Methods I

Jan 21, 2016

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Non-Experimental Methods I. Class 22. Why Alternatives to Controlled Experiment? Advantage of controlled experiment? Advantages to not using controlled experiment?. Controlled Experiment: Great, but Not Always the Best Ethical Concerns Practical Concerns Methodological Concerns - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Page 1: Non-Experimental Methods I

Non-Experimental Methods I

Class 22

Page 2: Non-Experimental Methods I

Why Alternatives to Controlled Experiment?

Advantage of controlled experiment?

Advantages to not using controlled experiment?

Page 3: Non-Experimental Methods I

Controlled Experiment: Great, but Not Always the Best

Ethical Concerns Practical Concerns Methodological Concerns

Generalizability

Internal analyses Not all interesting questions are causal

Page 4: Non-Experimental Methods I

Types of non-experimental studies

a. Correlational

b. Pseudo-experimental

c. Quasi-experimental

Page 5: Non-Experimental Methods I

Correlational Studies

FIASCO STUDY: Shared meals will reduce major fights Correlation of meals to major fights = -. 37 Interpretations:

1. ???????????

2. ???????????

3. ???????????

Page 6: Non-Experimental Methods I

Correlational Studies

FIASCO STUDY: Shared meals will reduce major fights Correlation of meals to major fights = -. 37 Interpretations:

Dinners -----------------> Fewer fights

Fewer fights ----------> More dinners

more dinners

fewer fights

Less overtime at work

Page 7: Non-Experimental Methods I

??? Panel Design

Do shared meals reduce the frequency of major family conflicts?

Time 1

Time 2(3 years)

Dinners

Fights

Dinners

Fights

r = +.24

r = +.40

r = - .31

r = - .37

A

B

Page 8: Non-Experimental Methods I

Cross-Lagged Panel Design

Do shared meals reduce the frequency of major family conflicts?

Time 1

Time 2(3 years)

Dinners

Fights

Dinners

Fights

r = +.24

r = +.40

r = - .31

r = - .37

A

B

Page 9: Non-Experimental Methods I

Cross-Lagged Panel Design

Do shared meals reduce the frequency of major family conflicts?

Time 1

Time 2(3 years)

Dinners

Fights

Dinners

Fights

r = +.24

r = +.40

r = - .31

r = - .37

r = -.15

r = -.39

(Pssst: Ask Kent about Walter Michel study)

Page 10: Non-Experimental Methods I

????? Designs

1. One-shot (post-test only) case study

2. One-group pretest-posttest design

3. Static-group comparison design

Page 11: Non-Experimental Methods I

Pseudo-experimental Designs

1. One-shot (post-test only) case study

2. One-group pretest-posttest design

3. Static-group comparison design

Page 12: Non-Experimental Methods I

One Shot Case Study

Design: Observe population of interest Examples:

Client case studies (client case studies, famous people)Group case studies (focus groups)Population case studies (anthropological studies)

FIASCO: Study families at dinner time,

observe dinner together --> less conflicts. Problems?

Page 13: Non-Experimental Methods I

One Shot Case Study

Design: Observe population of interest Examples:

Client case studies (client case studies, famous people)Group case studies (focus groups)Population case studies (anthropological studies)

FIASCO: Study families at dinner time,

observe dinner together --> less conflicts. Problems:

No comparison: with other families displaying same behaviorwith same family under different conditions.

Page 14: Non-Experimental Methods I

Excellent Case Studies

De Tocqueville in America

Freud’s studies of Anna O, and the Wolfman

Cantril’s study of NJ after Mars Invasion

Wertheimer on train Gestalt psychology

Page 15: Non-Experimental Methods I

One Group Pretest-Posttest Design

Observe before and after treatment Pretest and posttest provide basis for comparison Example: * Monitor families before and after dinner

* Record number/intensity of conflicts pre vs. post dinner.

* Finding: Less tension after dinner Problems with this design???

Page 16: Non-Experimental Methods I

Threats to Internal Validity

1. History effects: ????? 2. ????: People change over time 3. Testing: ???? 4. ?????: Experimenter, apparatus change. 5. Mortality: ????

6. Selection: ????

Page 17: Non-Experimental Methods I

Threats to Internal Validity

1. History effects: Things co-occur with TX 2. Maturation: People change over time 3. Testing: People react to being observed 4. Instrumentation: Experimenter, apparatus change. 5. Mortality: People drop out before study ends.

6. Selection: People volunteering for study may differ from those who did not volunteer.

Page 18: Non-Experimental Methods I

Static Group Comparison Design

General idea: Take advantage of naturally occurring comparison group.

Examples:

School intervention: Look at students not in new program

FIASCO: Look at families nearby, that don't have dinner together.

Advantage: Provides some basis for comparison. Problem? Selection.

Maybe non-dinner family found that not sharing dinner helps prevent conflicts.

Page 19: Non-Experimental Methods I

???-ExperimentsFeatures

* Control administration of treatment (TX)* Control the collection of DV measures* BUT, no random assignment to TX or control

WITHIN GROUP QUASI-DESIGNS

Simple time series designs

Equivalent time-samples design

BETWEEN GROUP QUASI-DESIGN

Non-equivalent Control-group design

Multiple-group time-series designs

Page 20: Non-Experimental Methods I

Quasi-ExperimentsFeatures

* Control administration of treatment (TX)* Control the collection of DV measures* BUT, no random assignment to TX or control

WITHIN GROUP QUASI-DESIGNS

Simple time series designs

Equivalent time-samples design

BETWEEN GROUP QUASI-DESIGN

Non-equivalent Control-group design

Multiple-group time-series designs

Page 21: Non-Experimental Methods I

The Arith-Matisse Project

Problem: Many students have math anxiety. Also,

they don't know how to engage in visual skills that might improve their math achievement.

Solution: Provide students 1 hour of drawing / fine

arts instruction to help develop visual skills, andalso to relax them before math class. Art class must immediately precede math class.

Prediction: Art class preceding math class will lead

to better math performance.

Page 22: Non-Experimental Methods I

No Monday 60%

No Tuesday 57%

No Wednedsay 63%

Yes Thursday 84%

No Friday 74%

No Monday 64%

No Tuesday 59%

Art Hour Offered Day Score on Daily Math Quiz

Time Series Experiment: Simple Time Series Design

Effect of art hour on math class performance

Page 23: Non-Experimental Methods I

Why It’s Necessary to Monitor Outcome Beyond Treatment Administration

No Monday 60%

No Tuesday 57%

No Wednedsay 63%

Yes Thursday 84%

Art Hour Offered Day Score on Daily Math Quiz

No Friday 81%

No Monday 87%

No Tuesday 90%

Question: Why not stop monitoring after treatment (e.g., Thurs)?

Reason: If stopped on Thurs., would miss continuation of change.

Page 24: Non-Experimental Methods I

Problems with Simple Time Series

Hawthorne Effect: Being observed can, in itself, be motivating or otherwise affect change.

History Effect Events co-occurring with treatment could

be influencing outcomes.

Page 25: Non-Experimental Methods I

Problems with Simple Time Series

Hawthorne Effect: ????

History Effect: ????

Page 26: Non-Experimental Methods I

No Monday 60%

No Tuesday 57%

No Wednesday 63%

Yes Thursday 84%

No Friday 74%

No Monday 64%

No Tuesday 59%

Yes Wednesday 85%

No Thursday 62%

No Friday 65%

Art Hour Offered Day Score on Daily Math Quiz

Time Series Experiment: Equivalent Time Samples Design

Effect of art hour on math class performance

Page 27: Non-Experimental Methods I

No Monday 60%

No Tuesday 57%

No Wednesday 63%

Yes Thursday 84%

No Friday 74%

No Monday 64%

No Tuesday 59%

Yes Wednesday 85%

No Thursday 62%

No Friday 65%

Art Hour Offered Day Score on Daily Math Quiz

Problems With Equivalent Time Samples Design?

Page 28: Non-Experimental Methods I

No Monday 60%

No Tuesday 57%

No Wednesday 63%

Yes Thursday 84%

No Friday 74%

No Monday 64%

No Tuesday 59%

Yes Wednesday 85%

No Thursday 62%

No Friday 65%

Art Hour Offered Day Score on Daily Math Quiz

Problems With Equivalent Time Samples Design?

No comparison condition. Example: Students do well on math in order to retain art class, but not b/c art helps with math

Page 29: Non-Experimental Methods I
Page 30: Non-Experimental Methods I
Page 31: Non-Experimental Methods I

Psychologists Sans Data

William James Solomon Asch

Father of Amer. psychology PerceptionThe Self Conformity, group dynamicsEmotions Group Dynamics Gordon AllportPerception Founds Personality Theory

Prejudice research

Sigmund Freud

Unconscious Processes HumanistsPsychosomatics Victor FranklSocial, Personality, Developmental Rolo May

Abraham MaslowKurt Lewin Carl Rogers

Group Processes Social Systems The Self

Page 32: Non-Experimental Methods I

“Invasion From ???”: The ‘Big Bad Boo’ of 1938

Orson Well broadcast of invasion from Mars—as if a breaking news story, Oct. 30, 1938

Approximately 30 million people affected, to varying degrees

Historical context

a. ??? relatively new—and trustedb. World on brink of ???

Page 33: Non-Experimental Methods I

“Invasion From Mars”: The ‘Big Bad Boo’ of 1938

Orson Wells broadcast of invasion from Mars—as if a breaking news story, Oct. 30, 1938

Approximately 30 million people affected, to varying degrees

Historical context

a. Radio relatively new—and trustedb. World on brink of world war

Page 34: Non-Experimental Methods I
Page 35: Non-Experimental Methods I

Rationale: Rare event; oppty to study mass behavior

Event structures research:

* How people respond during panic/stress* Power of real-life event, outside the lab

Method:

* Multi-method approach—provides converging evidence:

-- Interviews (n = 135)-- Unobtrusive measures (e.g., phone company)-- Commercial survey research (Gallop, AIPO)-- Newspapers

Cantril Study (1940)

Page 36: Non-Experimental Methods I

Observations from Invasion from Mars Study Recovery from panic

* Prolonged anxiety – sometimes“I was sick in bed for 3 days after the broadcast”

* “Nevermind” – sometimes“We listened to the rest of the play and went out dancing”

Role of religion and faith

* “I held a crucifix in my hand and prayed while looking out ofmy window for falling meteors”

Page 37: Non-Experimental Methods I

Role of purposeful action in coping

* “...having to concentrate on the driving held me together somewhat”

Fear of unknown

* I didn’t (know) what I was fleeing from, and that made me all the more afraid.”

Background fears based on reality influence immediate, ambiguous threat.

* “Don’t you know New Jersey is destroyed by the Germans...” Final note: Open-ended interviews provide invaluable historical record.

Observations from Invasion from Mars Study (continued)