3 Months 2010 Results Presentation NIREUS AQUACULTURE S.A. Athens Greece | 28 May 2010
3 Months 2010 Results Presentation
NIREUS AQUACULTURE S.A.
Athens Greece | 28 May 2010
22
• Financial
- Biological sales (fish and juveniles of own production) up € 8,2 mi. (+33%)
- Total sales stable at € 40,3 versus € 40,2 in 3M 2009
- Significantly reduced merchandise and feed sales
- Net income available to equity holders of the parent up at € 0,74 mi. versus € 0,34 mi.
- Net income after non-controlling interests €(0,43 mi.) versus € 0,22 mi. in 3M 2009, affected from increased feed and transportation cost and higher percentage of large size fish in biomass.
• Market and external factors
- Seabream price has recovered solidly from historical low
- Price of seabass shows first signs of recovery despite higher volumes coming into the market
- Higher cost for feed raw materials and transportation
- Demand for seabass/seabream remains solid due to their affordable pricing and high nutritional value
Main events 3M 2010
33
Bass & bream – Price and Volume
Solid recovery for the price of seabream
Volumes for seabass lose momentum – price rebounded in Q2 2010
Seabream (Sparus aurata)Seabream (Sparus aurata)Seabass (Dicentrarchus labrax)Seabass (Dicentrarchus labrax)
SEABREAM Monthly Price and Volume Evolution Jan 2007 - Apr 2010 (source: MercaMadrid)
0
300.000
600.000
900.000
2007
2008
2009
2010
Volu
me
(kg)
3
5
7
9
11
Pric
e
Volume Price
SEABASS Monthly Price and Volume Evolution Jan 2007 - Apr 2010 (source: MercaMadrid)
0
90.000
180.000
270.000
360.000
2007
2008
2009
2010
Volu
me
(kg)
3,5
10,5
17,5
Pric
e
Volume Price
44
Data Source: FAO for soybean, fish meal and fish oil - CME for oil
Higher cost for feed raw materials - transportation
Monthly Fish Meal US$/Ton (64/65% Bremen fca - US$/Ton)
900
1.200
1.500
1.800
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Ju
nJu
lA
ugS
ep Oct
Nov
Dec Ja
nFe
bM
arA
prM
ay Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep Oct
Nov
Dec Ja
nFe
bM
arA
prM
ay Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep Oct
Nov
Dec Ja
nFe
bM
ar
2007 2008 2009 2010
Monthly Soybean Meal (Pellets, 44/45%, cif Rotterdam - US$/Ton)
200
300
400
500
600
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Ju
nJu
lA
ugS
ep Oct
Nov
Dec Ja
nFe
bM
arA
prM
ay Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep Oct
Nov
Dec Ja
nFe
bM
arA
prM
ay Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep Oct
Nov
Dec Ja
nFe
bM
ar
2007 2008 2009 2010
Monthly Fish Oil (cif North West Europe - US$/Ton)
400
800
1.200
1.600
2.000
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Ju
nJu
lA
ugS
ep Oct
Nov
Dec Ja
nFe
bM
arA
prM
ay Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep Oct
Nov
Dec Ja
nFe
bM
arA
prM
ay Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep Oct
Nov
Dec Ja
nFe
bM
ar
2007 2008 2009 2010
55
The ongoing consolidation of the Greek sector
No. of Licenses 1985-2009
12
170220 229 260 290 310 310 315 320 329 329 329 329
0
100
200
300
400
1985 1995 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008
No. of Companies 1985-2009
12
110140 140
170 185 190 205 193248 260
175 167125 106 80
050
100150200250300
19851990
19911992
19931994
19951996
19971998
19992000
20032006
20082009
Data Source : Federation of Greek Mariculture
Greek Production - thou ton
0,1 1,617
5979
98 9782 85
100120
130120
020406080
100120140
1985 19901995 2000 20012002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
ØStable capacity since 2006 (NO new licenses)
Ø80 companies in 2009 vs 167 companies in 2006
ØHellastat expects a further reduction in production to 110 thou. ton. in 2010 (analysis of the Greek fish farming sector, Oct 2009)
66
Financials – Balance Sheet
Assets
in mi. € 3M 2010 3M 2009 2009Total non-current 242,85 258,06 235,07Total current 282,33 256,11 286,83Total assets 525,18 514,18 521,90
Equity and liabilities
in mi. € 3M 2010 3M 2009 2009
Total shareholders' equity and non-controlling interests 165,98 169,31 165,94Total non-current liabilities 205,39 217,57 209,21Total current liabilities 153,82 127,30 146,74Total liabilities 359,20 344,87 355,96
Total equity and liabilities 525,18 514,18 521,90
77
Financials – Income Statement
üBiological sales (own-production fish and juveniles): up € 8,2 mi, +33%
üTotal sales stable because of reduced sales of merchandise fish and feed
in mi. € 3M 2010 3M 2009 2009
Biological Sales 33,12 24,93 120,06
Non-Biological Sales 7,17 15,32 43,46
Total Sales 40,29 40,25 163,52 Gain from change of Fair Value in Biological Assets 30,48 27,90 151,72
EBITDA 5,76 5,11 22,12
EBIT Operating 3,63 3,72 13,77
EBT 1,11 0,89 0,94
Tax (1,52) (0,62) (3,92)
EAT (0,43) 0,22 (2,98)
Equity holders of the parent 0,74 0,34 0,34
Non-controlling interests (1,17) (0,12) (3,32)
Earnings per share 0,0116 0,0054 0,0054
88
Financials – Cash Flow Statement
in mi. € 3M 2010 3M 2009 2009
Profit before tax 1,11 0,89 0,94
Cash flow from operating activities (3,79) (0,41) (16,44)
Cash flow from investing activities (0,49) (0,53) (3,42)
Cash flow from financing activities 2,83 (5,96) 5,96
Total cash flow reporting period (1,45) (6,91) (13,90) Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period 15,74 29,64 29,64 Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 14,29 22,73 15,74
99
Financials – Key Figures
in mi. € 3M 2010 3M 2009 2009Operating revenues 40,29 40,25 163,52EBITDA 5,76 5,11 22,12EBITDA margin(%) 14% 13% 14%EBT 1,11 0,89 0,94EBT margin(%) 3% 2% 1%Earnings attributable to equity holders of the parent 0,74 0,34 0,34
Earnings per share 0,0116 0,0054 0,0054Total assets 525,18 514,18 521,90Equity 165,98 169,31 165,94
1010
Sales Breakdown
Fish farming = fish + juveniles sales (own +3rd party)
Other = equipment to fish farmers + feed, health, breeding and equipment to aviculture and animal culture
0,20
11,1
0,92
4
4,20
7,6
3M 2010
38,69Juveniles (mi. pieces)
23,35,9Fish Feed (thou. ton.)
0,930,93Aver. Feed Price (€/kg)
27,77Market-sizefish (thou.
ton.)
4,294,17Aver. Price (€/kg)
20093M 2009
0,210,21Aver. Price (per piece)
2,63,63,65,5
34,031,2
Fish Farming Fish Feed Other
Sales by Sector for 3M 2009 & 3M 2010 (mi. €)
3M 2009
3M 2010
1111
Fish Sales
1Q 2009 1Q 2010
7,2
33,1
24,9
15,3
0,0
35,0
Biological sales (mi. €)
Non-biological sales (mi. €)
üStrong growth in sales of own production fish
üReduced 3rd party fish sales + feed sales
Biological sales = fish + juveniles of own production
Non-biological sales = 3rd party fish + feed + equipmentFish sales = own +3rd party fish
1Q 2009 1Q 2010
8,6
31,729,3
11,0
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
Fish Sales (mi. €)
Other sales (mi. €)
1212
Fish Sales – Value & Volumes
6,2
1Q 2008
‘000 T 7,67
1Q 20101Q 2009
Q1 08 Q1 09 Q1 10
2732
29
0
38
Fish sales value (mi. € )
27,1
1Q 2008
mi. € 31,729,2
1Q 20101Q 2009
4
4,5
5
5,5
6
6,5
7
7,5
8
2008 1Q 2008 2Q 2008 3Q 2008 4Q 2009 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 3Q 2009 4Q 2010 1Q
Fish Sales Volume ('000 T) quarterly
1313
Participation in international trade shows
Brussels Seafood Show – April 2009Brussels Seafood Show - Apr 2010
1414
Management award for sustainable environment
Biennial award recognizing responsible and eco-innovative companies.
Organized by the Greek Association of Environmental Protection Companies, the national member for Greece for FEAD.
Nireus received 3rd prize for the period 2009-2010.
1515
2010 Outlook: fish feed volumes
Data source for fish feed volumes: Kontali Analyse
Fish feed growth for seabass/seabream has been negative since Nov 2008
Less demand for fish feed
⇒lower fish population (biomass)
⇒reduction in future fish supply
⇒in the past, this has resulted in better pricing
Fish feed consumption - sales to seabass/seabream producers
0
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
70.000
80.000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2008 2009 2010
Growth of fish feed production for seabass/seabream - 3M average
Apr 2010
-20%-10%
0%10%
20%30%40%
Mar
-06
Jul-0
6No
v-06
Mar
-07
Jul-0
7No
v-07
Mar
-08
Jul-0
8No
v-08
Mar
-09
Jul-0
9No
v-09
Mar
-10
1616
2010 Outlook: production of juveniles
0
200.000
400.000
600.000
800.000
1.000.000
1.200.000
Seabass 474.440 507.830 493.000 435.000 404.000
Seabream 561.840 629.300 529.900 448.000 455.000
Total 1.036.280 1.137.130 1.022.900 883.000 859.000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 E
Data source for juveniles estimates: Kontali Analyse
Production of juveniles hit a record high in 2007 => higher supply (production cycle is 18 -24 months for average sizes) =>lower prices in 2008 - 2009
Input of new juveniles down 22% in 2009 versus 2007 => lower expected supply going forward => better expected pricing
1717
2010 Outlook: Fish prices
Bass & bream are expected to be protected in a recession since 1. Their prices have decreased relative to substitutes in recent
years 2. Expected negative growth in global supply in 2010-11
MercaMadrid - Wholesale prices for fresh farmed Seabass last update 22/5/2010
4,50
5,00
5,50
6,00
6,50
7,00
7,50
8,00
8,50
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50
EUR
O/k
g
2009 2010
MercaMadrid - Monthly volumes for fresh farmed Seabream
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
tonn
es
2009 2010
MercaMadrid - Monthly volumes for fresh farmed Seabass
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Decto
nnes
2009 2010
MercaMadrid - Wholesale Prices for Fresh farmed Seabream last update 22/5/2010
3,00
3,50
4,00
4,50
5,00
5,50
6,00
6,50
7,00
7,50
8,00
8,50
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50
EUR
O /
kg
2009 2010
1818
Extreme highs and lows in seabass/ seabreamprices occur in a 7-8 years cyclical pattern that has a strong negative correlation with volumegrowth and a weaker link with GDP growth.
Lower production volumes => better pricing
SEABREAM
Production is less consolidated => volatile pricing pattern
Record high volumes in 2008-2009 => historical low spring of 2009
Reduced volumes are expected for 2010 going forward because of low prices
SEABASS
Production is more consolidated => less volatility y-o-y
Volumes increased in 2009
Historical patterns of bass / bream price
SEABREAM Monthly Price and Volume Evolution Jan 1996 - Apr 2010 (source: MercaMadrid)
0
300.000
600.000
900.000
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Vol
ume
(kg)
3,00
5,00
7,00
9,00
11,00
Pric
e
Volume Price
SEABASS Monthly Price and Volume Evolution Jan 1996 - Apr 2010 (source: MercaMadrid)
0
90.000
180.000
270.000
360.000
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Volu
me
(kg)
3,50
10,50
17,50
Pric
e
Volume Price
1919
Strategy for 2009-2010
2000
Market Focus:oOpen new markets for large fish
üfish sales volume up
oDevelop and sell VAP products
ünew brand launched
oOpen sales/distribution offices in Italy, France, Spain
ünew logistics center in Milan
oDiversify in new fish-related products
Operation Focus:oCost reduction in capex, operating expenses, feed consumption
ülower capex, operating expenses
oSwap licenses – consolidate operations into 12-14 efficient, fully integrated farming clusters
üapplied for relocation of several farming units
Assumptions:oSeabream price recovery expected to continue well into 2011
oSeabass price expected to recover solidly in H2 2010
2020
Excellent potential for growth
Fish feedFish feedJuvenilesJuvenilesFishFish
SalesSales
Sales growth potential
Sales growth potential
CapacityCapacity ØCapacity: 35.600 t
üUtilization of full capacity does not require significant CAPEX expenditureüReady to increase production volumes as soon as the sector situation shows further improvement
% of 2009 Revenues
% of 2009 Revenues
ØSales 08: 24.000 t
ØSales 09: 27.700 t
+29%
ØCapacity: 200 mi. pieces ØCapacity: 90.000 t
ØSales 08: 62 mi. pieces ØSales 09: 39 mi. pieces
+100% +20%
73%
ØSales 08: 28.000 tØSales 09: 23.300 t
5%12%
3M 2010 7.600 t 11.1 mi. pieces 4.000 tons
2121
Appendix: Cost dynamics in fish farming
Harvest Weight
Normal OperationsOperations + Disease + Mortality
Operations + Disease
Cos
t p
er k
g
Δcost - Mortality
Δcost - Disease
Δcost - Weight
Ø Vertical structure ensures less risk from disease
Ø The 10-gr juvenile pre-fattening units target reduction in mortality
2222
Appendix: Calculation of the fair value of biomass
Fish farming companies are required to calculate and report the fair value of their biomass (IAS 41).
The fair value of the biomass is calculated as volume (kg) x market price and is adjusted for the part that is not ready to harvest.
The key drivers are the volume and weight of the biomass and the market price at the time of the calculation.
The ready to harvest part of the end-of-period biomass is reported in the B.S. as a current asset and the not ready to harvest as a non-current asset.
Sales in the I.S. are separated into biological and non-biological.
Biological sales represent sales of juveniles and fish (raw and processed) produced by the company.
Non- biological sales represent the sales of the fish/juveniles produced by others, the sales of fish feed, equipment, and other products.
The gain or loss arising from changes in the fair value of the biomass is computed as follows:
biomass at end of period(+) biological sales(-) biomass at beginning of period(-) purchases of eggs and juveniles for production= gain/loss from biomass
Biological +Non-biological
Total Sales (I.S.)
The sales of fish/juveniles produced by others, fish feed, nets, other products
Non-biological sales (I.S.)
The sales of fish/juveniles produced by the company – to include processed fish
Biological Sales (I.S.)
Δ VolumeΔ Price
Key Drivers
Volume x PriceFair value of biomass (B.S.)
2323
Communication – Financial Calendar
Investor Relations
Ms. Maria Kotsovou, IR Manager
Tel. +30 210 66 98 335
Mob. +30 693 66 98 335
Email [email protected]
Financial Calendar 2010
FY 2009 ResultsTuesday, 30 March 2010
3 Mo. 2010 Results: Monday, 31 May 2010
Ordinary AGM: Friday, 18 June 2010
6 Mo 2010 Results: Monday, 30 August 2010
9 Mo 2010 Results: Tuesday, 30 November 2010
Legal NoticeThis presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes. Any projections or other estimates in this presentation, including estimates of returns or performance, comments with respect to our objectives and strategies, or the results of our operations and business, are forward-looking statements based upon certain assumptions that may be wrong. These assumptions may be influenced by factors within or beyond our control, and actual results may differ materially from any estimates and projections. Factors influencing actual results include but are not limited to fluctuations in fish prices and raw material prices, the effects of competition in the areas in which we operate, changes in the economic environment, regulatory and economic conditions. This presentation is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. No part of this presentation may be construed as constituting investment advice or a recommendation to enter into any transaction. No representation or warranty is given with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this presentation, and no claim is made that any future offer to transact any securities will conform to any terms that may be contained herein. Before entering into any transaction, investors should determine any economic risks and benefits, as well as any legal, tax and accounting consequences of doing so, as well as their ability to assume such risks, without reliance on the information contained in this presentation.