Yewande Sadiku Executive Secretary/CEO London | 06 November 2019 NIGERIA AS AN ATTRACTIVE INVESTMENT DESTINATION NIGERIA Investment Showcase
Yewande SadikuExecutive Secretary/CEO
London | 06 November 2019
NIGERIA AS AN ATTRACTIVE INVESTMENT DESTINATION
NIGERIA Investment Showcase
What investors tell us
3
Investor feedback (no particular order)
“poor private sector engagement in policy formulation”
“painful, long, unpredictable government approval process”
“corruption: you can’t get anything done without paying a bribe”
“difficult operating conditions: erratic power, bad roads, poor public utilities”
“lack of skilled labour, poor work ethic”
“government policy flip flop, changing rules without notice”
“government is anti-big business”
“corrupt judiciary; too many sacred cows”
“meeting with senior government officials cancelled after investor’s arrival”
“everything is smuggled in; borders are too porous, so tariff measures never work”
“multiple taxes by federal and state agents”
“announced tariffs not enforced”
“road to Apapa port costs us millions per day”
“difficulty with getting visas”
“insufficient investment incentives”
“access to long term capital is challenging”
Government harasses existing investors”
“high cost of doing business”
4
Africa’s investment attractiveness
Source: EY’s 2015 Africa Attractiveness Survey
Biggest draws: natural resources, high growth rates
and large domestic markets…
…yet concerns about business
environment persist
Nigeria has 4 of the 5 key factors investors look for in its favour
5
Africa’s perceived barriers to investment…
Source: EY’s 2015 Africa Attractiveness Survey
Business environment is most important barrier…
… incentives are least important barrier
Nigeria in context
7
Nigeria in context
Sources: National Bureau of Statistics (2018 estimates), http://www.data.worldbank.org
Top
5To
p 5
Smallest
Smal
lest
Population (m)
Total: 192.4m
Botswana 2.3
Rwanda 12 .2
Israel 8.7
Sierra Leone 7.5
Land size (km2)
Total: 910,710 km2
Panama 74, 340
Luxembourg 2,590
Croatia 55,960
Dominican Republic 48,310
Ireland 68,890
Bayelsa2.3
Kano 13.0
Oyo 7.7
Katsina7.7
Kaduna 8.2
Lagos 12.4
Lagos 3,671
Borno72,609
Niger 68,925
Bauchi49,119
Taraba56,282
Yobe46,609
Most populated regionNorth-West 48.7m
Largest regionNorth-East: 280,419 km2
Smallest regionSouth-East: 28,987 km2
Least populated regionSouth-East: 20.6m
Denmark 42, 262
Spain 46.6m Italy 294,140 km2
Sri Lanka 21.4m Rwanda 26,338 km2
Business environment reforms
9
Business case for improving business operating conditions
Strong correlation between economic prosperity and ease of doing business
R² = 0.4918
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
020406080100120140160180200
Income per capita (log scale) USD per person per year
# of Objs = 185
Nigeria
Brazil
South Africa
USA
Singapore
Norway
Doing Business Rank (2020)
Source: World Bank Doing Business Report 2020
10
Many governments committed to business environment improvements
Latin America & the Caribbean
40 reforms
Middle East &North Africa57 reforms
Europe & Central Asia56 reforms
Sub-Saharan Africa
73 reforms
South Asia17 reforms
East Asia &the Pacific33 reforms
Source: World Bank Doing Business Report 2020
115 economies implemented 294 regulatory reforms across 10 areas
Most improved economies:Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Togo, Bahrain, Tajikistan, Pakistan,
Kuwait, China, India and Nigeria
11
Correlation of entrepreneurship growth to ease of doing business
Source: World Bank Doing Business Report 2020
12
Correlation of GDP growth to ease of doing business
Source: EY Africa Attractiveness Report, September 2019
Ranked 13 in EoDB
globally. #1 in AfricaRanked 38 in EoDB
globally. #2 in Africa
Ranked 131 in EoDB
globally. #17 in Africa
Ranked 56 in EoDB
globally. #3 in Africa
13
Relatively strong correlation between FDI and growth
Source: EY Africa Attractiveness Report, September 2019
14
In Nigeria, highest level commitment to ease of doing business reforms
Launch
No of announced reforms
No of initiativesParticipating
agenciesSuccess rate
February 2017 8 22 12 72%
October 2017 11 22 29 52%
February 2018 9 28 26 68%
Presidential Enabling Business Environment Council (PEBEC) inaugurated in July 2016
Remove critical bottlenecks
and bureaucratic constraints
to doing business in Nigeria
<70
Ranked 70th by 2023
NAP 1.0
NAP 3.0
NAP 2.0
EO 1 May 2017 transparency and improving the business environment
President Muhammadu Buhari, GCFR
Vice President Yemi OsinbajoSAN, GCON
Source: Enabling Business Environment Secretariat Reports
NAP: National Action Plan, EO: Executive Order
NAP 4.0 March 2019 deepen reforms and drive sustainability and institutionalization
Latest initiative
15
Starting a business
Dealing with construction permits
Getting electricity
Registering property
Getting credit
Paying taxes
Enforcing contracts
Protecting minority investors
Trading across borders
Resolving insolvency
105/ 190
55/ 190
169/ 190
183/ 190
15/ 190
28/ 190
159/ 190
179/ 190
73/ 190
148/ 190
+5
+94
+2
+1
-3
+10
+32018
2017
2016
145/ 190
169/ 190
170/ 189
+24
+1
0
Rank Difference
2020 DB Ranking
Rank Difference
DB Year
Source: World Bank, Doing Business 2020
Nigeria’s ease of doing business ranking improved by 15 steps and 4.01 points
2019 146/ 190 -1
*DTF
52.89
51.52
44.63
44.69
* The distance to frontier (DTF) score measures the distance of each economy to the “frontier”, which represents the best performance observed on each of the indicators across all economies
Difference
+1.37
+6.89
-0.06
+1.14
Improved ease of doing business ranking: Nigeria (131/190)
… positive national doing
business score …
-2
+20
+1
2020 131/ 190 56.9 +4.01+15
16
Subnational reforms equally important
… positive subnational
doing business scores
Lagos
BayelsaRivers
Imo Abia
AkwaIbom
Adamawa
Bauchi
GombeKaduna
FCT
Nassarawa
Plateau
Taraba
Benue
CrossRiver
Enu
gu
Ebonyi
An
amb
ra
Delta
Edo
Kogi
Oyo
Ogun
Osun Ekiti
Ondo
Kwara
Niger
Sokoto
KebbiZamfara
Katsina
Kano
YobeJigawa
Borno
Source: World Bank, Doing Business in Nigeria 2018
In the past 4 years, 29 Nigerian states implemented
43 reforms across the four areas benchmarked.
Kaduna, Enugu, Abia, Lagos and Anambra showed the
largest advance toward the global good practice frontier
Proactive investment promotion
18
Functions Reactive Proactive
1 Co-ordinate and monitor all investment promotion activities
2 Initiate and support measures to enhance the investment climate in Nigeria
3 Promote investments in and outside Nigeria through effective promotional means
4Analyse and disseminate information about investment opportunities and sources of investment capital
5 Register and keep records of all enterprises to which this Act applies
6 Identify specific projects and invite interested investors for participation in those projects
7 Participate in promotional activities for the stimulation of investments
8 Maintain liaison between investors and government agencies
9 Provide and disseminate up-to-date information on incentives available to investors
10 Assist incoming and existing investors by providing support services
11 Evaluate the impact of investments in Nigeria and make appropriate recommendations
12 Advise the Federal Government on policy matters designed to promote economic development
NIPC: moving from reactive to proactive mandate delivery
19
Targeted investment promotion
Improvements in subnational business
environment Strategic insights into States’ competitive
advantages
Sector-focused strategies
Strategic relationships with target countries
Coordinated investor engagements with
States
Proactive investment facilitation
Proactive investment promotion
20UNECA – United Nations Economic Commission for AfricaUNCTAD – United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
iGuide Nigeria
An easy-to-use online investment guide that provides investors with up-to-date and pertinent information on the processes, procedures and basic costs of doing business in Nigeria
It provides information on starting business, labour, production factors, land, taxes, investor rights, growth sectors and opportunities
The information will enable investors to make better informed decisions on Nigeria as a preferred investment destination
Available at:
www.theiguides.org/nigeria
www.nipc.gov.ng
21
Compendium of Investment Incentives in Nigeria
Compilation of fiscal incentives in Nigerian tax laws and duly approved sector-specific incentives
6 principal sections
Investment policies and protections
General tax-based incentives
Sector-specific incentives
Tariff-based incentives
Export incentives
Special Economic Zones
First step in understanding impact of incentives in achieving Government’s economic objectives and considering incentive reforms
Available at www.nipc.gov.ng
22
Objective
Result: Tier 1 strategic investment promotion countries
Investment sources (Global, Africa & Nigeria)
Countries that have trade relations (import and export) with Nigeria
Countries with capacity to support Nigeria with world class investments in the priority sectors
Countries that have strategically decided to make outward investments
Countries with which Nigeria has a strategic relationship, such as having signed a Bilateral Investment Agreement
Approach
WIP: Country-focused investment promotion strategy
China NetherlandsGermanyFrance
United Kingdom
Japan
South Africa
India Italy
SpainSouth Korea SwitzerlandSingapore United Arab Emirates
CanadaBelgium
Saudi Arabia
Malaysia
United StatesRussia
23
1 of 37 17 of 37
Investment Opportunities
Doing Business Ranking(2018)
Registering Property
Dealing with Construction
Permits
Enforcing Contracts
1 of 37
Kaduna StateC
en
tre
of
Lear
nin
g
Capital Kaduna
Land Area 42,481 km2 [6 of 37]
Population (2017E) 8,216,037 [3 of 37]
Demography
0-14: 3,791,172 [41%]
15-64: 4,191,018 [56%]
65+: 233,847 [3%]
Labour force 3,258,609 [6 of 37]
Climate Tropical savanna
Topography Shrubs and grasses, loamy, sandy and clay
Competitive AdvantagesN29.5bn/$96.5m
IGR (2018)
N216.6bn/$710mBudget (2018)
N1.9trn /$6.5bn
Household Consumption (2017)
10 of 37
12 of 37
7 of 37
5 of 37
Starting a Business
Sources: National Bureau of Statistics, World Bank Report on Doing Business in Nigeria 2018climate-data.org, Kaduna State GovernmentExchange rate= $1/N305 (Central Bank of Nigeria)
Transportation
Housing Ginger Agro alliedLogistics
MaizeRenewableenergy
Tourism Livestock
ICT
Domestic Airport Yes
International Airport Yes
Railway Station Yes
Dryport Yes
For further details
Abbreviations: NICPS: Nigerian Investment Certification Programme for States IGR: Internal Generated Revenue
• Major economic and industrial centre• Largest producer of ginger in Nigeria • Efficient transportation infrastructure (road, rail and
airport)• Efficient land management system (30 days processing
time)• High graphite deposits• 19+ deposits of solid minerals (Gold, Iron Ore,
Graphite, Granite, Gemstones
Did you know?NIGERIAN INVESTMENT PROMOTION [email protected]
KADUNA STATE INVESTMENT PROMOTION [email protected]
State Investment Certification
Process Ongoing
British James Bond actress FionaFullerton was born in AnguwanSarki, Kaduna
Sorghum
Tomato
Soyabean
24
WIP: OSIC Lab
Investor raises issue
Investor advised of resolution
Increase confidence in business
environment
Drive practical policy reforms
Encourage continued investment/protect
existing jobs
Encourage new and existing
investorsProtect existing
investments/jobs and encourage new
investments/jobs
Transparent platform for speedy resolution of investment related issues
3 weeks
Comprehensive all-of-government
solution agreed
OSIC Lab meeting called
MDAs hear investor’s issues
together
Members include…
Tracking investment announcements
26
Investment announcements, Q1 - Q3 2019
Q1 by source Q3 by sourceQ2 by source
Nigeria US$9.05bn 97.5%
USA US$0.13bn 1.4%
Malaysia US$0.1bn 1.1%
Multiple Sources
US$0.004bn 0.05%
Netherlands US$10.0bn 78.7%
Morocco US$1.5bn 11.8%
Malaysia US$0.9bn 7.1%
Nigeria US$0.1bn 0.9%
Others US$0.2bn 1.6%
Nigeria US$1.2bn 49.8%
Morocco US$0.6bn 24.6%
USA US$0.3bn 11.1%
Belgium US$0.2bn 6.2%
Others US$0.2bn 8.3%
US$9.3bn in 13 Projects across 4 States + Offshore
US$12.7bn in 24 projects across 8 States + Offshore
US$2.4bn in 19 projects across 4 States + FCT & Offshore
27
Investment announcements, Q1 - Q3 2019
Q1 by destination Q3 by destinationQ2 by destination
Offshore US$8.15bn 87.7%
Lagos US$0.04bn 0.4%
Kaduna US$0.01bn 0.1%
Anambra US$0.001bn 0.01%
Others US$1.09bn 11.7%
Offshore US$10.9bn 86%
Lagos US$0.26bn 2.0%
Ogun US$0.01bn 0.1%
Kaduna US$0.01bn 0.1%
Others US$12.4bn 12%
Ondo US$1.1bn 45.2%
Offshore US$0.7bn 28.7%
Lagos US$0.4bn 15.1%
Ogun US$0.2bn 6.2%
Others US$0.1bn 4.8%
US$9.3bn in 13 Projects across 4 States + Offshore
US$12.7bn in 24 projects across 8 States + Offshore
US$2.4bn in 19 projects across 4 States + FCT & Offshore
28
Investment announcements, 2018 vs 2019
29.55 29.55 29.55 29.55
90.9
12.71 12.71 12.71
16.18 16.18 16.18 16.18
2.44 2.44
27.34
73.07
27.34
9.29
24.44
17.82
Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q1-3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1-Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q1-3 2019
US$ billion
56 Projects across 12 States + FCT & Offshore65 Projects across 16 States + FCT & Offshore
Nigeria-UK relations
30
Nigeria – United Kingdom relations
Sources: United Nations World Population Prospects; World Development Indicators, World Bank Doing Business (EoDB) Report 2018; Global Competitiveness Index (GCI) 2018-2019; CIA World Factbook, Trade Map
Comparative statistics
Population estimates (m)
GDP ($’ bn)
181
411
65 75
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Nigeria United Kingdom
0.4%
Age 15-64
61%
57%
568 481 404 376 397
3,0352,896
2,659 2,6382,825
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Nigeria United Kingdom
Sources: United Nations World Population Prospects; World Development Indicators, World Bank Doing Business (EoDB) Report 2018; Global Competitiveness Index (GCI) 2018-2019; CIA World Factbook, Trade Map
NIGERIA UNITED KINGDOM
Capital Abuja London
Official Language English English
Land Area 910,770 km² 241,930 km²
People (2018)
Population (m) 196 67
Economically active pop. (15-64) 105m 42m
Population growth rate (%) 2.6 0.7
Median age 18.4 40.5
Economy (2018)
GDP nominal ($’ bn) 397 2,825
Agriculture (% GDP) 21.1 0.7
Industries (% GDP) 22.5 20.2
Services (% GDP) 56.4 79.2
GDP growth rate (%) 1.9 1.4
GDP per capital ($) 2,028 42,491
Inflation (%) 12.1 2.3
Labour (2018)
Labour force (% of pop.) 61m (31) 33m (49)
Trade (2018)
Import $’ bn, (% of GDP) 37 (11) 670 (24)
Export $’ bn, (% of GDP ) 53 (13) 487 (17)
Trade balance $’ bn (% of GDP) 17 (1) -183 (<0)
Investment Climate (2018)
EoDB 146 9
GCI 115 8
31
Why UK?
#1
investor in services
#2
investor in solid
minerals
#2
investor in
manufacturing
#5
global investor
#6
investor in Agriculture#4
investor in Africa
Nigeria’s #9
import partner
Nigeria’s #9
export partner
Top 10
investor in Nigeria
About NIPC
33
NIPC was established by the NIPC Act* in 1995 to encourage, promote and co-ordinate investments in Nigeria
• Promote Nigeria as an attractive investment destination
• Provide information on investment opportunities and capital sourcesProject Attractive Investment Image
• Promote investments in Nigeria, by Nigerians and non-Nigerians
• Co-ordinate all investment promotion activities in Nigeria
Investment Promotion
• Provide support services to investors and register enterprises in Nigeria
• Match-make investors with specific projects and advise on partners for JVs
• Provide information on investment incentives and approve Pioneer Status Incentive applications
Investment Facilitation
• Initiate and support measures that enhance the investment climate
• Evaluate the impact of investments and incentives in Nigeria and make appropriate recommendations
• Advise Government on policy matters to promote Nigeria’s economic development
Policy Advocacy
NIPC’s principal functions
*Nigerian Investment Promotion Act, Chapter N117 Laws of the Federation of Nigeria 2004
(Decree No 16 of 1995)
34
Investor Obligation and Protections in the NIPC Act
ICSID = International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes
Registration Obligation
•Enterprises in which foreigners can participate are required to register with NIPC before commencing business
Ownership
•Nigerians and foreigners can invest in any sector, except for those on the negative list
•No restriction on foreign percentage ownership
Guarantees
•Government will not nationalize or expropriate any enterprise
•Right of access to courts and fair and adequate compensation if acquisition is in national interest/for public purpose
•No restriction on repatriation by foreigners of investment returns or sale proceeds through an authorized dealer
Dispute Resolution
•Amicable resolution by mutual discussion or arbitration of investor/government disputes
•Provisions of any Bilateral Treaty with the investor’s country will apply
•Right of recourse to international arbitration under ICSID Rules
35
One-Stop Investment Centre (OSIC) at NIPC
▪ Houses 27 agencies to facilitate investments and reduce time required to process regulatory approvals and permits
▪ Provides assistance with information and requirements from incorporation to expansion
▪ Also facilitates business visa issuance
Sample business
entry scenarios
Software development and creative industry
Drug Manufacturing for export
Type of Business Generic Agencies Specific/Sector Agencies
PowerGeneration
36
◼ The NIPC Act empowers NIPC 1995 to encourage, promote and co-ordinate investments in Nigeria
Accordingly, NIPC is happy to:
Assist investors to navigate challenges in investing in Nigeria
Assist with connecting prospective foreign investors with domestic partners
Facilitate discussions with government agencies and policy makers
Assist investors with quality information to help them implement their investment plans in Nigeria
Facilitate investor input into the policy making process
What NIPC can do for investors
37
Award for transparency and compliance: NIPC ranked 2nd in 2019
Disclosure of public records and information ranking
2018
2017
2016
Year
017/ 187
075/ 166
090/ 131
RankProactiveDisclosure
Responsiveness to request for information
Level of Disclosure
2016 – 2018 Ranking
Source: http://procurementmonitor.org/foi-ranking/Home/nationalDefinitions: Basic Right Watch (BRW), BudgIT, Connected Development (CODE), Media Rights Agenda
(MRA), Public & Private Development Centre (PPDC) and Right to Know (R2K)
Full/timely implementation Partial/delayed implementation No implementation
BRW
CODE
PPDC
BUDGIT
MRA
Responsiveness to request for information
Level of disclosure FOI training
Proactive Disclosure
FOI Desk Officers
FOI Annual Report
2019 Ranking: 2nd of 191 MDAs
2019 002/ 191
Rank
38
Despite the challenges, there are very many reasons to invest in Nigeria…
Large growingpopulation
Sophisticated financial markets
Improving businessclimate
Strategic location Generous investor protections
Abundant natural resources
Large tech-savvy population Young, energetic, entrepreneurial population
Generous investment incentives
Growing middle class
Resilient, hard-working “can-do” spirit
An essential component of every Africa strategy
Optimistic mobile population Large population of consumers
Strategic time zoneGMT +1
Fast growthprojections
Abundant economicopportunities
3rd most populous country by 2050
Largest economy by 2050
Language:English
Private sector-led economy
Two decades of political stability
Huge unfilled demand Home to many large localand international brands
Favourable weather
14th
₦
Plot 1181 Aguiyi Ironsi Street Maitama District
Abuja
[email protected]@nipc.gov.ng
www.nipc.gov.ng
For further details, please contact us
Yewande SadikuExecutive Secretary/CEO
Subscribe to the NIPC Newsletterhttp://eepurl.com/dkvoU1
Investment informationwww.theiguides.org/nigeria