Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen): Wx - RAL

Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen): Wx Integration

Ray Moy New Weather Concept Development Branch FAA, Aviation Weather Division, ANG-C62

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Outline

NextGen Implementation Plan Portfolios Common Services & Infrastructure: Weather NextGen ATM-Wx Integration Concept Levels of ATM-Wx Integration Weather Translation Example ATM Impact Conversion Example Decision Support Integration Activities and Goals

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NextGen Implementation Plan Portfolios

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Common Services & Infrastructure Weather

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Conversion into: • NAS Impacts • State Changes

Observations

Analyses

Forecasts

NextGen ATM-Wx Integration Concept

NextGen 4D Wx Data Cube

ATM Decision Support

ATM Impact Conversion

Weather Translation

Translation of weather data into: • Constraints • Threshold Events

Weather Information

DSTs use impacts to develop TFM solutions

Primary: NWS FAA Met FAA ATM

Weather Community ATM Community

Constraint info (e.g. wx avoidance)

Wx info Impact info (e.g. capacity)

Derive Constraint

Derive Impact

Set Solution

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Levels of ATM-Weather Integration

• Level Zero – No integration

• Level Four – Decision Support

• Level One – “On-the-Glass”

• Level Two – Translation

• Level Three – Impact

WEATHER ATM

RESPONSIBILITY

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Weather Translation Example

The process of taking weather data and combining it with other data

elements such as pilot behavior models, safety regulations, operating

thresholds, and historical demand information to identify potential

constraints in NAS operations due to weather.

— NAS Weather Constraint: a limitation on the ability of a given NAS

element (e.g., air route, sector) to reach its desired level of service due

to weather.

Improved Weather Forecast

Flig

ht A

ltitu

de –

Ech

o To

ps (1

6 km

)

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

-22

-18

-14

-10

-6 -

2 2

6

10

14

18 2

2 Pilot Deviation Model Forecasted Pilot Avoidance Regions

Weather Avoidance Field (WAF) 7

ATM Impact Conversion Example

Using information from the weather Translation function, converts it

into potential NAS impacts.

Weather Avoidance Field (WAF)

-10 min

+10 min

+20 min

0 min

FCAA05

11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

11 81 96 78 38 72 85 78 68 40

12 90 78 46 64 88 91 82 39 37

13 89 57 71 76 88 84 66 28 20

14 88 85 81 86 89 74 51 17 20

15 96 88 85 90 70 47 16 19 49

16 90 61 65 68 28 6 13 30

17 77 67 69 63 20 9 17

18 78 61 54 59 19 3

19 50 36 29 33 20

20 30 10 13 16

21 11 5 7

22 6 4

23 6

Predicted Available A05 Capacity < 75% < 50%

FCA Capacity Forecast Matrix

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Decision Support

The fundamental goal of Decision Support is to provide overall NAS

optimization.

Impact data and state change information used to derive mitigation

options to deal with capacity/demand imbalances and provide “what-

if” capability for traffic managers – both in the strategic and tactical

time frames.

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Integration Activities and Goals

Coordinating with Portfolios (e.g., CATM, Improved Surface Operations, TBFM) to identify Wx shortfalls

The main goal of integrating weather into future decision support systems is to increase overall NAS efficiency by: — Standardizing the decision process and outcome (predictability)

— Ensuring full and continuous use of enhanced/automated tools during weather events

— Optimize use of airspace

— Facilitating a more proactive approach to traffic management

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