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New Venture Finance: Corp. Finance Review 1 ___________________________________ _______ Real Sector The Firm Financial Sector Corporate Investment Corporate Financing Decisions: Utilization of Funds Decisions: Acquisition of Funds Business Markets Financial Markets The Firm's Balance Sheet __________________________________________________________ Cash A/P A/R Other Current Inventory Liabilities _________________ _____________________ Products Total Current AssetsTotal Current Liabilities Customers Competitors Fixed Assets: Capital: Savers/ Employees Plant & Equipment Debt Investors Tangible Assets Preferred Stock Technology Common Equity --Retained Earnings --Common Stock ________________ _____________________ Total Assets Total Liabilities & Equity
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New Venture Finance: Corp. Finance Review 1 __________________________________________ Real Sector The FirmFinancial Sector Corporate Investment Corporate.

Dec 22, 2015

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Page 1: New Venture Finance: Corp. Finance Review 1 __________________________________________ Real Sector The FirmFinancial Sector Corporate Investment Corporate.

New Venture Finance: Corp. Finance Review 1__________________________________________

Real Sector The Firm Financial Sector

Corporate Investment Corporate Financing

Decisions: Utilization of Funds Decisions: Acquisition of Funds  Business Markets Financial Markets

  The Firm's Balance Sheet__________________________________________________________

  Cash A/PA/R Other CurrentInventory Liabilities

_________________ _____________________Products Total Current Assets Total Current Liabilities Customers Competitors Fixed Assets: Capital: Savers/Employees Plant & Equipment Debt InvestorsTangible Assets Preferred StockTechnology Common Equity

--Retained Earnings --Common Stock

________________ _____________________  Total Assets Total Liabilities & Equity

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New Venture Finance: Corp. Finance Review 2__________________________________________

• Financing (sources of funds) must equal the investment in assets (use of funds).

– Managers make investment decisions that generate earnings so that investors get a return on investment.

– Financial Management is defined as the planning for, acquiring, and utilization of funds in a manner that maximizes the firm’s economic efficiency.

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The Corporate Finance View of the World:

Bus. Transactions $$

$$ Securities

Commercial Sector

-Customers-Products

-Technology-Competitors

Firm’s BalanceSheet

Assets Liab. Capital

Firm’s IncomeStatementRevenue

-Expenses-Taxes

Net IncomeRetained Earnings?

Dividends?

Financial SectorSavers/Investors:

-Individuals-Corporations-Partnerships

-BanksReturn on Investment

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• The corporation has advantages over the other forms or organization:– Unlimited lives that extend beyond the lives of the

founders or original managers.– Simple transferability of ownership: investors and

managers are two separate groups, so investors can buy or sell the common stock without disrupting corporate operations.

– Limited liability in the corporation: investors can lose only the total amount they invested in the common stock.

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New Venture Finance: Corp. Finance Review 5__________________________________________

• The stock market monitors the publicly-traded corporation’s performance: – Stock price changes signal whether managerial

decisions are good (stock price goes up) are bad (stock price goes down).

– Because of the requirements to disclose information that publicly-traded corporations face, the stock market can monitor these firms better than it can the other forms of organization.

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• The stock market disciplines the firm by causing the stock price to decline. In response, the firm can: – Change strategies.– The Board of Directors can replace the

managers ( this is called internal governance).– The firm can be merged/taken over (this is

called the market for corporate control).– Declare bankruptcy.

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• In the Theory of Finance, the appropriate goal of the firm is to maximize the value of shareholder wealth.

• Shareholders commit part of their wealth to the firm when they buy the firm’s common stock.

• Equivalent ways of stating this goal are: – To maximize the market value of the firm.

– To maximize the stock price of the firm.

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• An equation that is central to the Theory of Finance is: A Firm’s Stock Price = The Present Value of

All Future Dividends 

DIV1 DIV2 DIV3 DIV∞ ∞ DIVt

= ----------- + ----------- + ------------ + ... + ----------- = Σ -------------

(1 + k)1 (1 + k)2 (1 + k)3 (1 + k)∞ t=1 (1 + k)t

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• This equation says that value (i.e., the stock price) depends on: – The stream of dividends.– Risk, reflected in the discount rate, k.– The timing of the dividends.

• Note that value depends on all future dividends and not only on next quarter's dividends.

• Where do dividends come from?– Dividends = (Earnings)– Earnings = (Revenue, Expenses, Interest Exp.,Other)– Revenue = (Business Decisions, Strategy)

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• Agency Problems and Costs. Investors (principals) provide funds, but managers (agents) formulate and implement strategies and tactics: the problem of separation of ownership and control.

• The goal is to maximize shareholder wealth, but investors cannot be sure that managers will act in shareholders’ best interests. Managers might: – Shirk their duties.– Use corporate resources to pay for perquisites.– Shift funds into higher risk projects than the stockholders

desire.

Page 11: New Venture Finance: Corp. Finance Review 1 __________________________________________ Real Sector The FirmFinancial Sector Corporate Investment Corporate.

New Venture Finance: Corp. Finance Review 11__________________________________________• Observability, asymmetric information, & moral

hazard:– Investors cannot observe everything managers do.– Managers have more information about the firm.

• Investors monitor the firm, and the firm incurs monitoring costs.– Investor relations staffs, annual reports, SEC and other

regulatory reports consume resources.

• If managers’ actions cannot be observed directly, then periodic disclosure must be made:– Disclosure: information sets become more symmetric.– Are bank loan officers' salaries a monitoring cost?

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• Agency problems can be solved if the interests of managers and investors are aligned, if both managers and investors have the same incentives.

• Agency theory suggests if managers are bonded to the firm, managers would behave in the shareholders' best interests. – This entails bonding costs. For example, stock options or

stock purchase programs (like at 85% of the market price) transform managers into owner/managers.

– But managers are buying into the firm at below-market prices. The bonding cost is the loss of wealth suffered by other shareholders when the stock is sold “cheap.”

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• These costs cause shareholder wealth to be less than if managers didn't pose a moral hazard. – We live in an imperfect world.– A perfect world of symmetric information no moral

hazards is not attainable.

• Financial contracting solutions are often used. – For example, bond indenture contracts often contain

restrictive covenants that limit the behavior of managers, like no new mortgages on the assets.

– Bank loans also contain restrictions, like limitations on paying dividends, the amount of additional borrowing, or a minimum current ratio requirement.

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• A closer look at financial contracting. Bonds are loan contracts, and common stocks have legal ties to the firm via the firm's charter. – Bonds are fixed income securities that have finite lives:

bonds have a fixed maturity date, pay a set amount of interest each period, and borrowings must be repaid.

– Stocks are variable income securities that have infinite lives. Dividends are not guaranteed and stock never matures—as long as the firm is alive. Stocks can be repurchased by the firm, but that is different: stock can be retired but it does not mature. Stocks represent an equity, or ownership, interest in the firm.

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Security Payment Priority_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Debt Fixed, periodic interest Priority in bankruptcy Par value at maturity Preference over preferred &

common Can force bankruptcy if not paid

Preferred Fixed, periodic dividend Paid before common dividends Stock No maturity date Preference over common

Div. must be declared

Common No fixed dividend Residual position in dividend Stock No maturity date payment and bankruptcy Div. must be declared

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• The Relationship Between Discount Rates and Value:– Like stock, bond prices also equal the present value of

the cash flows that investors expect to receive: • Bond Price = P.V. of interest + P.V. of maturity value• Bond Interest = coupon rate X maturity value• Maturity Value = $1,000.00; called the bond’s principal

– Consider a 10% , 1-year bond or a 10%, 5-year bond; both have a maturity value of $1,000.

– Currently, bond interest rates are 10%, but rates may vary between 8% and 12% over the next few months.

– How do changing interest rates affect bond values? Interest = .10 x $1,000 = $100 per year

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8.0%

k = the Market Rate of Interest

10.0%

12.0% A. 1-Year bond

Present value of: Interest Maturity value Price of bond B. 5-Year Bond Present value of: Interest Maturity value Price of bond

$ 92.59

925.92

$1,108.52

$ 399.27

680.58

$1,079.85

$ 90.91

909.09

$1,000.00

$ 379.07

620.93

$1.000.00

$ 89.28

892.96

$ 982.14

$ 360.48

567.42

$ 927.90

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• Define k as the Market Rate of Interest. The example shows that that k and a bond’s price are inversely related: – Bond prices goes up as k goes down. – Bond prices goes down as k goes up.

• Note that the bond with the longer maturity (the 5-yr bond) has greater price volatility for the same changes in the interest rate. – The 5-yr bond has a higher price at 8% and a lower

price at 12% than the 1-yr bond.

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• Project evaluation techniques. Developing new products or services are essential if a firm is to continue growing. Capital budgeting involves:– Long-term investment opportunities as projects. – Conducting a cost/benefit analysis for each project. – Accepting projects when benefits exceed the costs. – Picking good projects allows the firm to grow and to

increase its stock price.

• The preferred technique is called Net Present Value (NPV).

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• NPV = P.V. of Inflows - P.V. of Outflows

n NCFt

NPV = ------------------- - Cost of the project

t=1 (1 + MCC)t

 

where: NCFt = Net Cash Flow at time t

MCC = the Marginal Cost of Capital,

a risk-adjusted discount rate

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• This gives rise to the following set of decision rules that are used in capital budgeting:

• IRR is the Internal Rate of Return and is defined as the discount rate that makes NPV = 0.

Criterion Accept Reject NPV IRR

NPV O IRR MCC

NPV < 0 IRR < MCC

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• Who gets the NPV > 0 and how does it achieve the goal of the firm? – Common shareholders, the residual claimants. – Bondholders and preferred shareholders get what they expect,

and common shareholders get what is left over. – The larger the residual, the more wealth common shareholders

receive (think of the positive NPV that Intel creates with each new generation of microprocessors.)

– If managers select all of the projects with NPV > 0, this is the best that shareholders can hope for and the stock price will be maximized.

– Negative NPV’s would make the stock price go down.

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• Informational efficiency: This important concept is the idea that having accurate information is crucial to making good investment decisions.

• Financial markets are informationally efficient if security prices fully reflect all information and react immediately to impound new information. – For example, if the financial markets are efficient, then

Intel’s stock price reflects all information about Intel.– Any new information about Intel will make its stock

price go up or down immediately.

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• One implication is that it is hard to "beat the market" in an efficient market.

• The greatest rewards exist for those who have the best information; there is much competition for information. – The "big players" who have the most resources gain

information first and grab the available profits first. – You and I, who are far from Wall Street and who spend

little on information, find it difficult to beat the market. – Getting information first, or immediately, is very costly and

it is difficult to beat the market and to cover the costs of obtaining information.

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• Nevertheless, information efficiency is an important concept, and financial markets are pretty efficient in my opinion.– Competitive markets are key: as information becomes

available, investors revise their decisions to buy or sell a stock or bond, so there must be markets in which they can actually buy or sell.

– Economics and finance profs love markets: supply and demand come together and individuals are free to make buy or sell decisions that are in their best own interests.

– As information arrives, it becomes reflected in prices, so price changes signal good news (prices up) or bad news (prices down).

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Source Complete Dissemination (day = 0) (day = 1) Insiders know before announcement

Industry analysts and informed investors get information "on line”

Recipients of analysts' reports and less informed investors are next; there may be many substages so that there are degrees of being informed

You and I come last: since we have low information costs (t.v., radio, press, periodicals, etc.), the information is picked over and its value already extracted by the time we obtain the info.

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Types of Informational Efficiency. Note how the Strong Form lines up with the first column above (the source), the Semi-Strong Form lines up with the middle two columns, and the Weak Form lines up with the last column. Strong Form: Semi-Strong Form Weak form Considers all information from the source, including insider information The strong form does not hold: there is value to insider information

Considers all publicly available information from when the information is disseminated The semi-strong form has been found to hold pretty well, but not completely

Considers only historical security prices; by the time you and I receive the Wall St. Journal on our doorsteps, the information has been fully disseminated; all we have is yesterday's prices The weak form has been found to hold very well

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• A basic principle of Finance: more risk should be rewarded with a higher return.

• In the Theory of Finance, taking risk is a good thing since it creates new wealth (new products, new technologies, etc.)

• Thus, there should be rewards for bearing risk.

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Expected Return Risk-free Risk premium Rate: kf Time value of money ______________________________________________________________Risk Treasury Corporate Common New Ventures, Bonds Bonds Stock Options, Futures, and other Derivatives

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• A life-cycle view of the growth of a technology-driven firm. Corporate Finance textbooks typically concentrate on firms that have gone beyond the start-up stage and are publicly-traded. – Publicly-traded firms have developed products and

services that generate earnings from the assets in place. – Start-ups have no assets in place, and maybe are based

on no more than a product or service concept. – The value of a publicly-traded firm is based on assets in

place, a start-up’s value is based on its growth options.

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Sales/Earnings./Cash Flow __________________________________________________________________ Time R&D Early growth Rapid growth Maturity Decline (Seed & start-up) (First stage start-up) (Late stage start-up) (---- Publicly-traded ----)

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• Venture Economics’ Stage Definitions:• Early Stage

– Seed. A relatively small amount of capital provided to prove a concept, maybe involving product development but not initial marketing.

– Startup. Financing for product development and initial marketing; no product sales, management team assembled, business plan written, market research done.

– First Stage. Financing for initial commercial manufacturing and sales.

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• Expansion– Second Stage. Working capital financing provided;

likely to have no profits.– Third Stage. Financing for plant expansion, marketing,

and working capital.– Bridge Stage. Financing for firm expected to go public

in 6-12 months; often repaid from IPO proceeds.

• Management/Leveraged Buyout (MBO/LBO) and Turnaround – later-stage companies: buying out existing firms or

financing firms with operational or financial difficulties.

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Large Publicly-Traded Firms ______________________________________ Easy access to financial markets: banks, bond markets, and stock markets Face scrutiny of financial markets: --much information available about firm and industry --analysts perform monitoring function and makes recommendations --periodic disclosure keeps everybody happy --stock market disciplines firms through price changes force firm to behave as expected Disclosure: through annual reports, SEC announcements --markets are more "informationally efficient"

New Ventures _________________________________________ Financial markets in general are not accessible: new ventures are privately held Face scrutiny of VCs: --little information about firm or its concept/idea --VC have to monitor and invest --VCs are quasi-insiders, often on the Bd. of Dir. --markets are thin and illiquid; stock not publicly traded Disclosure: through business plans, and and direct examination by investors --markets are less "informationally efficient

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Large Publicly-Traded Firms ______________________________________ Problem of separation of ownership and control: --stock options and stock purchase plan help bond managers to firm Sound management expected and scrutinized: --complex organizations the norm --reorganizations the norm --hierarchical organization --lots of written policies --expertise already developed (i.e., hire MBAs) Goal is to maximize the firms' stock price: --it can generate a stream of earnings from ongoing operations (or assets-in-place) --it can undertake capital budgeting

--firms are in mature stage

New Ventures _________________________________________ VCs have more direct monitoring ability: --Entrepreneurs keep a large percent of shares and key personnel get stock options Management development just beginning: --VCs know what is expected and offer networking --understaffed operation coping with explosion of tasks and functions --what's a policy? --VCs "groom" management Goal is to maximize the firms' stock price: --real goal is IPO or merger, or “harvest”, or “cash out” for VC and entrepreneur (a liquidity event)

--firms are in rapid growth stage

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Early Stage Late State Small Publicly Large Publicly Start-up Private Firm -Traded Firm -Traded Firm _____________________________________________________________________________ VC invests, monitors, and grooms firm

VC prepares firm for liquidity event (i.e. IPO, merger)

Liquidity event occurs: VC and entrepreneur harvest

Not what VCs invest in; bank loans probably available, but financing still a big problem

Financial markets generally available

_____________________________________________________________________________