Network Development & Statistics (Addendum B)

Network Development & Statistics (Addendum B) Indonesian Telecom Market Facts and Numbers: Charts & Tables 2006-2008 [HR.CTD006b.V1U1-2009] Dr.-Ing. Eueung Mulyana @ Harewos Research 11/6/2009 http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos

Network Development & Statistics (Addendum B)

Harewos.Research http://www.ligarvirtual.com/harewos

Nov. 6

2

Contents

List of Figures & Tables ........................................................................................................ 3

Operators’ Network Capacity ............................................................................................... 5

Capacity Utilization .............................................................................................................. 8

Telkomsel ............................................................................................................................. 11

Indosat ................................................................................................................................. 12

Excelcomindo ....................................................................................................................... 13

Mobile-8 ................................................................................................................................ 14

Natrindo (NTS) .................................................................................................................... 15

Sampoerna (STI) .................................................................................................................. 16

Hutchison (HCPT) ............................................................................................................... 17

Smart Telecom ..................................................................................................................... 18

Telkom FWA ........................................................................................................................ 19

Indosat FWA ........................................................................................................................ 20

Bakrie Telecom .................................................................................................................... 21

Mobile-8 FWA ...................................................................................................................... 22

Telkom FWL/PSTN ............................................................................................................. 23

Indosat FWL/PSTN ............................................................................................................. 24

BBT ...................................................................................................................................... 25

Abbreviations & Notes ........................................................................................................ 26



Nov. 6

3

List of Figures & Tables

Figure 1 Mobile Network Capacity 2006-2008 (All Operators) .......................................... 6 Figure 2 FWA Network Capacity 2006-2008 (All Operators) ............................................. 6 Figure 3 FWL Network Capacity 2006-2008 (All Operators) ............................................. 7 Figure 4 Mobile Network Capacity Utilization 2006-2008 ................................................. 9 Figure 5 FWA Network Capacity Utilization 2006-2008 .................................................... 9 Figure 6 FWL Network Capacity Utilization 2006-2008 .................................................. 10 Figure 7 TSEL’s Network Capacity & Subscribers ........................................................... 11 Figure 8 TSEL’s Network Capacity Utilization ................................................................. 11 Figure 9 ISAT’s Network Capacity & Subscribers ............................................................ 12 Figure 10 ISAT’s Network Capacity Utilization ................................................................ 12 Figure 11 XL’s Network Capacity & Subscribers .............................................................. 13 Figure 12 XL’s Network Capacity Utilization ................................................................... 13 Figure 13 M8’s Network Capacity & Subscribers .............................................................. 14 Figure 14 M8’s Network Capacity Utilization ................................................................... 14 Figure 15 NTS’s Network Capacity & Subscribers ........................................................... 15 Figure 16 NTS’s Network Capacity Utilization ................................................................. 15 Figure 17 STI’s Network Capacity & Subscribers ............................................................. 16 Figure 18 STI’s Network Capacity Utilization .................................................................. 16 Figure 19 HCPT’s Network Capacity & Subscribers ......................................................... 17 Figure 20 HCPT’s Network Capacity Utilization .............................................................. 17 Figure 21 Smart’s Network Capacity & Subscribers......................................................... 18 Figure 22 Smart’s Network Capacity Utilization .............................................................. 18 Figure 23 Telkom’s FWA Network Capacity & Subscribers ............................................. 19 Figure 24 Telkom’s FWA Network Capacity Utilization .................................................. 19 Figure 25 ISAT’s FWA Network Capacity & Subscribers ................................................. 20 Figure 26 ISAT’s FWA Network Capacity Utilization ...................................................... 20 Figure 27 BTEL’s Network Capacity & Subscribers ......................................................... 21 Figure 28 BTEL’s Network Capacity Utilization .............................................................. 21 Figure 29 Telkom’s FWL Network Capacity & Subscribers ............................................. 23 Figure 30 Telkom’s FWL Network Capacity Utilization ................................................... 23 Figure 31 ISAT’s FWL Network Capacity & Subscribers ................................................. 24 Figure 32 ISAT’s FWL Network Capacity Utilization ...................................................... 24 Figure 33 BBT’s Network Capacity & Subscribers ........................................................... 25 Figure 34 BBT’s Network Capacity Utilization ................................................................. 25



Nov. 6

4

Table 1 Mobile Operators’ Network Capacity (2006-2008) ................................................. 5 Table 2 FWA Operators’ Network Capacity (2006-2008) .................................................... 5 Table 3 FWL Operators’ Network Capacity (2006-2008) .................................................... 5 Table 4 Mobile Network Capacity Utilization (All Operators) - Percentage ...................... 8 Table 5 FWA Network Capacity Utilization (All Operators) - Percentage ........................ 8 Table 6 FWL Network Capacity Utilization (All Operators) - Percentage ......................... 8 Table 7 Capacity, #Subscribers and Capacity Utilization of M8’s FWA Network ........... 22



Nov. 6

5

Operators’ Network Capacity

2006E 2007E 2008E

TSEL 38,800,000 50,500,000 67,300,000 ISAT 28,557,254 35,230,280 45,651,920 XL 12,520,054 30,045,325 46,645,061 M8 2,000,000 (e) 4,500,000 (e) 7,748,400 NTS 257,481 1,451,085 4,719,107 STI 241,500 488,000 1,494,134 HCPT 132,600 3,000,000 (e) 6,000,000 (e) Smart 200,000 1,470,000 3,300,000

Table 1 Mobile Operators’ Network Capacity (2006-2008)

2006E 2007E 2008E TLKM FWA 7,698,039 9,383,924 19,861,324 ISAT FWA 2,365,000 3,403,900 3,771,400 BTEL 2,141,667 7,200,000 13,251,700 M8 1,497,600

Table 2 FWA Operators’ Network Capacity (2006-2008)

2006E 2007E 2008E TLKM FWL 9,634,910 9,704,576 9,838,537 ISAT FWL 64,179 (*) 80,880 91,290 BBT 5,388 5,404 5,404

Table 3 FWL Operators’ Network Capacity (2006-2008)

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6

wos.Resear/www.ligar

Figure 1

Figure

8

6

1

6,102,1

rch rvirtual.com

1 Mobile N

2 FWA N

82,708,889

63,803,108

2006E

12,204,706

137

2006E

m/harewos

Network

Network C

MobiCapac

19,98

Capac

Network D

Capacity

Capacity

126,684,690

93,387,019

2007E

ile/Celcity #

87,824

10,811,479

2007E

FWAcity #

Developmen

y 2006-200

2006-2008

0

llular#Subscribers

#Subscribers

nt & Statist

08 (All Op

8 (All Ope

182,858,62

140,548,22

2008E

s

38,382,02

21,124,05

2008E

s

tics (Adden

perators)

erators)

22

29

4

7

ndum B)

6

)

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6


Figure

rch rvirtual.com

3 FWL N

9,704,477

8,738,343

2006E

m/harewos

etwork C

FWCapac

Network D

Capacity

9,790,860

8,717,760

2007E

WL/PSTcity #

Developmen

2006-2008

TN#Subscribers

nt & Statist

8 (All Ope

9,935,231

8,674,228

2008E

s

tics (Adden

erators)

1

8

ndum B)

7



Nov. 6

8

Capacity Utilization

2006E 2007E 2008E TSEL 91.7 94.8 97.0 ISAT 58.5 69.7 80.0 XL 76.1 51.5 55.8 M8 91.3 67.0 34.5 NTS 4.9 0.3 68.5 STI 55.8 63.6 52.5 HCPT 0.0 68.0 75.0 Smart 0.0 7.8 46.4

Table 4 Mobile Network Capacity Utilization (All Operators) - Percentage

2006E 2007E 2008E TLKM FWA 54.2 67.8 64.1 ISAT FWA 16.0 18.4 20.2 BTEL 72.3 53.1 55.1 M8 22.2

Table 5 FWA Network Capacity Utilization (All Operators) - Percentage

2006E 2007E 2008E TLKM FWL 90.4 89.5 87.7 ISAT FWL 41.5 37.7 46.2 BBT 46.4 44.3 42.6

Table 6 FWL Network Capacity Utilization (All Operators) - Percentage

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6


Figure

Figur

rch rvirtual.com

e 4 Mobil

re 5 FWA

77.14%

2006E

Mobil

50.00%

2006E

m/harewos

e Networ

A Network

le/Cell

FWA -

Network D

rk Capaci

k Capacit

73.72%

2007E

lular -

54.09%

2007E

- Utiliz

Developmen

ity Utiliz

ty Utiliza

Utiliz

%

zation

nt & Statist

ation 200

ation 2006

76.86%

2008E

zation

55.04%

2008E

n

tics (Adden

06-2008

6-2008

ndum B)

9

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6


Figur

rch rvirtual.com

re 6 FWL

90.04%

2006E

FW

m/harewos

Network

WL/PST

Network D

k Capacit

89.04%

2007E

TN - Ut

Developmen

ty Utiliza

tilizat

nt & Statist

ation 2006

87.31%

2008E

tion

tics (Adden

6-2008

ndum B)

10

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6


Fig

F

rch rvirtual.com

gure 7 TS

Figure 8 T

38,800,00

35,597,17

2006E

91.75%

2006E

m/harewos

SEL’s Net

TSEL’s Ne

00

71

Capac

Ut

Network D

work Cap

etwork C

50,500,000

47,890,139

2007E

TSELcity #

94.83%

2007E

tilizati

Developmen

pacity &

Capacity U

6

6

L#Subscribers

ion

nt & Statist

Tel

Subscrib

Utilizatio

67,300,000

65,299,991

2008E

s

97.03%

2008E

tics (Adden

lkom

bers

on

ndum B)

11

msel

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6


Fig

F

rch rvirtual.com

gure 9 ISA

igure 10

28,557,25

16,704,63

2006E

58.50%

2006E

m/harewos

AT’s Netw

ISAT’s N

54

39

Capac

Ut

Network D

work Cap

etwork C

35,230,280

24,545,422

2007E

ISATcity #

69.67%

2007E

tilizati

Developmen

pacity & S

Capacity U

4

3

#Subscribers

ion

nt & Statist

I

Subscrib

Utilizatio

45,651,920

36,510,246

2008E

s

79.98%

2008E

tics (Adden

Indo

ers

on

ndum B)

12

osat

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6


Fi

F

rch rvirtual.com

igure 11 X

Figure 12

12,520,05

9,527,97

2006E

76.10%

2006E

m/harewos

XL’s Netw

2 XL’s Ne

54

0

Capac

Ut

Network D

work Cap

twork Ca

30,045,325

15,469,000

2007E

XLcity #

51.49%

2007E

tilizati

Developmen

Ex

pacity & S

apacity U

4

2

#Subscribers

ion

nt & Statist

xcelc

Subscribe

Utilization

46,645,061

26,015,517

2008E

s

55.77%

2008E

tics (Adden

omin

ers

n

ndum B)

13

ndo

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6


Fi

F

rch rvirtual.com

igure 13 M

Figure 14

2,000,00

1,825,90

2006E

91.30%

2006E

m/harewos

M8’s Netw

4 M8’s Ne

0

0

Capac

Ut

Network D

work Cap

etwork Ca

4,500,000

3,012,800

2007E

M8city #

66.95%

2007E

tilizati

Developmen

pacity & S

apacity U

7

2

#Subscribers

ion

nt & Statist

M

Subscribe

Utilization

7,748,400

2,671,900

2008E

s

34.48%

2008E

tics (Adden

Mobil

ers

n

ndum B)

14

le-8

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6


Fig

F

1

rch rvirtual.com

gure 15 N

Figure 16

257,481

12,715

2006E

4.94%

2006E

m/harewos

NTS’s Netw

NTS’s Ne

1

1,4

Capac

Ut

Network D

work Cap

etwork C

451,085

4,788

2007E

NTScity #

0.33%

2007E

tilizati

Developmen

Nat

pacity &

Capacity U

4#Subscribers

ion

nt & Statist

rind

Subscrib

Utilizatio

4,719,107

3,234

2008E

s

68.55%

2008E

tics (Adden

o (NT

bers

on

4,800

ndum B)

15

TS)

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6


Fig

F

21

rch rvirtual.com

gure 17 S

Figure 18

241,500134,713

2006E

55.78%

2006E

m/harewos

STI’s Netw

8 STI’s Ne

Capac

Ut

Network D

S

work Cap

etwork Ca

488,000

310,

2007E

STIcity #

63.62%

2007E

tilizati

Developmen

Samp

pacity & S

apacity U

,464

#Subscribers

ion

nt & Statist

poern

Subscribe

Utilizatio

1,494

784,3

2008E

s

52.49%

2008E

tics (Adden

na (S

ers

n

4,134

343

ndum B)

16

STI)

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6


Figu

Fi

rch rvirtual.com

ure 19 HC

igure 20 H

132,600

0

2006E

0.00%

2006E

m/harewos

CPT’s Ne

HCPT’s N

0

3

Capac

Ut

Network D

Hu

twork Ca

Network C

,000,000

2,0

2007E

HCPTcity #

67.98%

2007E

tilizati

Developmen

utchi

apacity &

Capacity

6

039,406

T#Subscribers

ion

nt & Statist

ison

& Subscrib

Utilizati

6,000,000

4,500

2008E

s

75.01%

2008E

tics (Adden

(HCP

bers

on

0,609

ndum B)

17

PT)

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6


Figu

Fi

rch rvirtual.com

ure 21 Sm

igure 22 S

200,0000

2006E

0.00%

2006E

m/harewos

mart’s Ne

Smart’s N

0

1,4

Capac

Ut

Network D

twork Ca

Network C

470,000

115,000

2007E

Smartcity #

7.82%

2007E

tilizati

Developmen

Sma

apacity &

Capacity

3

t#Subscribers

ion

nt & Statist

art T

& Subscrib

Utilizati

3,300,000

1,530

2008E

s

46.39%

2008E

tics (Adden

Telec

bers

on

0,823

ndum B)

18

com

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6


Figure

Figur

rch rvirtual.com

23 Telko

re 24 Telk

7,698,03

4,

2006E

54.25%

2006E

m/harewos

om’s FWA

kom’s FW

99

175,853

TLCapac

Ut

Network D

A Network

WA Netwo

9,383,924

6,362,844

2007E

LKM-FWcity #

67.81%

2007E

tilizati

Developmen

T

k Capacit

rk Capac

1

1

WA#Subscribers

ion

nt & Statist

Telko

ty & Subs

city Utiliz

19,861,324

12,725,425

2008E

s

64.07%

2008E

tics (Adden

om FW

scribers

zation

ndum B)

19

WA

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6


Figur

Figu

rch rvirtual.com

e 25 ISAT

ure 26 ISA

2,365,00

378,727

2006E

16.01%

2006E

m/harewos

T’s FWA N

AT’s FWA

0

3,4

7

ISCapac

Ut

Network D

Network

A Network

403,900

627,934

2007E

AT-FWcity #

18.45%

2007E

tilizati

Developmen

In

Capacity

k Capacit

3

WA#Subscribers

ion

nt & Statist

ndos

y & Subsc

ty Utiliza

3,771,400

761,589

2008E

s

20.19%

2008E

tics (Adden

sat FW

cribers

ation

ndum B)

20

WA

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6


Figu

Fi

1,54

rch rvirtual.com

ure 27 BT

igure 28 B

2,141,66

47,557

2006E

72.26%

2006E

m/harewos

TEL’s Net

BTEL’s N

7

7,2

Se

Ut

Network D

twork Ca

Network C

200,000

3,820,701

2007E

BTELeries2

53.07%

2007E

tilizati

Developmen

Bak

apacity &

Capacity

1

7

LSeries3

ion

nt & Statist

krie T

& Subscrib

Utilizatio

13,251,700

7,304,543

2008E

55.12%

2008E

tics (Adden

Telec

bers

on

ndum B)

21

com



Nov. 6

22

Mobile-8 FWA

2006E 2007E 2008E Capacity ‐ ‐ 1,497,600 #Subscribers ‐ ‐ 332,500

Utilization ‐ ‐ 22.2 %

Table 7 Capacity, #Subscribers and Capacity Utilization of M8’s FWA Network

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6


Figure

Figur

8,70

rch rvirtual.com

29 Telko

re 30 Telk

9,634,91

09,211

2006E

90.39%

2006E

m/harewos

om’s FWL

kom’s FW

0

TLCapac

Ut

Network D

Tel

Network

WL Netwo

9,704,576

8,684,888

2007E

LKM-FWcity #

89.49%

2007E

tilizati

Developmen

lkom

k Capacit

rk Capac

9

8

WL#Subscribers

ion

nt & Statist

m FWL

ty & Subs

city Utiliz

9,838,537

8,629,783

2008E

s

87.71%

2008E

tics (Adden

L/PS

scribers

zation

ndum B)

23

STN

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6


Figur

Figu

rch rvirtual.com

e 31 ISAT

ure 32 ISA

64,179

26,632

2006E

41.50%

2006E

m/harewos

T’s FWL N

AT’s FWL

ISCapac

Ut

Network D

Ind

Network

L Network

80,880

30,479

2007E

AT-FWcity #

37.68%

2007E

tilizati

Developmen

dosat

Capacity

k Capacit

WL#Subscribers

ion

nt & Statist

t FWL

y & Subsc

ty Utiliza

91,290

42,145

2008E

s

46.17%

2008E

tics (Adden

L/PS

cribers

ation

ndum B)

24

STN

No

Harewhttp://

ov. 6


Fig

F

rch rvirtual.com

gure 33 B

Figure 34

5,388

2,500

2006E

46.40%

2006E

m/harewos

BBT’s Net

BBT’s Ne

Capac

Ut

Network D

work Cap

etwork C

5,404

2,393

2007E

BBTcity #

44.28%

2007E

tilizati

Developmen

pacity &

Capacity U

#Subscribers

ion

nt & Statist

Subscrib

Utilizatio

5,404

2,300

2008E

s

42.56%

2008E

tics (Adden

B

bers

on

ndum B)

25

BBT



Nov. 6

26

Abbreviations & Notes

FWA

Fixed Wireless Access

FWL Fixed Wire-Line

PSTN

Public Switched Telephone Network

TLKM PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia / PT. Telkom Indonesia

ISAT PT. Indosat

XL PT. Excelcomindo Pratama

M-8 / M8 PT. Mobile-8

BTEL PT. Bakrie Telecom

TSEL

PT. Telekomunikasi Selular (Telkomsel)

STI PT. Sampoerna Telekomunikasi Indonesia

NTS PT. Natrindo Telepon Selular

HCPT PT. Hutchison CP Telecommunication

Smart PT. Smart Telecom

BBT PT. Batam Bintan Telekomunikasi

(e) As used in e.g. Table 1 It refers to estimated values

2008E End of year 2008

Network Development & Statistics (Addendum B)

Data & Analytics