Mike Micklewright
� Degreed Engineer from U. of Illinois� Worked at Saturn and Seaquist
� 15 Years Independent Lean and Quality Consultant/Trainer
� Keynote Presenter
� AME Board Member� 4 ASQ Certifications
� Comedian, Actor, and Impersonator (representing some of my personalities)
� Author (“Whys Guy” in Quality Digest Magazine and “Out of Another @#^&! Crisis!”)
Agenda
1) Definition
2) What Saturn Taught
3) The Toyota Way
4) Thorough Consideration in Decision Making
5) Broadly Consider Alternative Solutions with a Set-Based Approach
6) Where does this Fit in with the A3 Process?
7) The Process to Achieve Nemawashi1) Identify the Stakeholders2) Determine Customer Requirements3) Concept Selection (part 1)4) How to Reach Consensus5) Generating Concepts6) Benchmarking7) Concept Selection (part 2)8) Synergize for Further Improvement9) Implementation Plan
Definition
Nemawashi
Make Decisions Slowly by Consensus,
Thoroughly Considering All Options;
Implement Rapidly
“If you’ve got a project that is supposed to be fully implemented in a year, it seems to me that the typical American company will spend about three months on planning, then they’ll begin to implement. But they’ll encounter all sorts of problems after implementation, and they’ll spend the rest of the year correcting them. However, given the same year-long project, Toyota will spend 9-10 months planning, then implement in a small way – such as with pilot production –and be fully implemented at the end of the year with virtually no remaining problems.”
Alex Warren, former Senior Vice PresidentToyota Motor Manufacturing, Kentucky
Lessons from
“Celebrity Apprentice”� Egos fighting for their ideas� Very minimal consideration of decision criteria (wants and needs)� Very minimal consideration of alternatives� Whoever speaks loudest, wins� No buy-in; little effort from some teammates to help team win� The goal is to win, not collaborate on the best product for the
customer� Example: http://www.nbc.com/the-celebrity-
apprentice/video/clips/week-8-jesse-and-annie-debate-marketing/1088117/
What Saturn Taught
� In 1987, I learned about Design of Experiments (DOE).
� Prior to learning the details, we learned of the Total Development Process and where DOE fit in.
� The following 6 slides is what I learned and then taught for many years.�Not all Saturn employees learned this
The Phases in the Total Development Process are:
I. Customer Needs Identification
II. Competitive Benchmarking Nemawashi
III. Concept Selection
IV. Optimization
V. Build, Test & Fix (2 iterations)
VI. Pilot
VII. Start Production
DOE is used most effectively in the Optimization Phase.
Total Development Process…The First Steps
Strategic Decision Making has become increasingly more important in today’s
business world of extreme global competition. Decisions made today on your
company’s products and/or services will affect your business and its position
amongst the world’s leaders for many years to come.
Two strategic quality tools, Competitive Benchmarking and Concept Selection, are
combined into a comprehensive model to guide your company into making an
effective decisions. The first tool, Competitive Benchmarking, is fast becoming the
business buzzword of the 90s. When used in conjunction with Design of
Experiments, it is extremely effective in the development of new products.
Perfected by Xerox in the early 80s, Benchmarking was used to gain back a
dwindling market share. Yet Benchmarking is not an end in itself; rather it is a tool
used in making key company decisions based on the practices of world leaders.
Needless to say, the greatest Benchmarkers the world has seen were the Japanese
as they studied, learned, analyzed, and perfected American Business and
Manufacturing practices.
Total Development Process (continued)
Dr. Stuart Pugh developed the Concept Selection method of objectively analyzing
different alternatives based on the needs of the customer. Concept Selection
can be used to piggyback off of what was learned during the Benchmarking
phase, and provides a systematic method of evaluating the Concepts generated
and determining which is best for your particular application.
After the concept has been selected, your team can enter the Optimization Phase
by designing experiments using the Taguchi Method.
Benchmarking and Concept Selection are the tools that can be used to
fulfill the principle of Nemawashi.
Years later, I used the following two slides to teach people about the required process of Advanced Product Quality Planning, or APQP, used in the American Automotive Industry.
Some knew the way; their companies just could not implement
Reduce Development TimeReduce Development Time
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
TRADITIONAL METHODS APQP PROCESS
RE-TEST
RE-DESIGN
RE-TEST
RE-DESIGN
RE-TEST
RE-DESIGN
TEST
DESIGN
CONCEPT
DEVELOPMENT
DA
YS
TO
MA
RK
ET
And one reason why it is so important to consider many alternatives early up front before settling on one idea early, is ….
The Quality LeverThe Quality LeverCustomer Takes Possession--
Loss of Control For
Manufacturer
$1 Of
Net
Improvement
½:1
Customer
Service
1:1
Mfg./
Assy
Operations
10:1
Mfg.
Process
Engineering
100:1
Product
Engineering
The Toyota Wayby Jeffrey Liker
• The Toyota Way is based on 14 Principles, which are further categorized by what have become known as the 4P’s
• Philosophy
• Process
• People and Partners
• Problem Solving
The Toyota Way –
PhilosophyPrinciple 1: Base your management decisions on a long-term philosophy, even at the
expense of short-term financial goals
Dr. W. Edwards Deming gave us his first principle:
“Create constancy of purpose towards improvement of product and service, with the aim to become competitive, stay in business, and to provide jobs.”
There are strong relationships between all of Deming’s 14 Points and all 14 Principles of The Toyota Way.
The Toyota Way –
Process
2. Create continuous process flow to bring problems to the surface
3. Use “pull’ systems to avoid overproduction
4. Level out the workload (Heijunka)5. Build a culture of stopping to fix problems, to get quality
right the first time
6. Standardized tasks are the foundation of continuous improvement and employee empowerment
7. Use visual controls so no problems are hidden8. Use only reliable, thoroughly tested technology that
serves your people and processes
The Toyota Way –
People and Partners
9. Grow leaders who thoroughly understand the work, live the philosophy, and teach it to others
10. Develop exceptional people and teams who follow your company’s philosophy
11. Respect your extended network of partners and suppliers by challenging them and helping them improve
The Toyota Way -
Problem Solving
12. Go and see for yourself to thoroughly understand the situation (genchi genbutsu)
13. Make decisions slowly by consensus, thoroughly considering all options; implement decisions rapidly
14. Become a learning organization through relentless reflection (Hansei) and continuous improvement (Kaizen)
Principle 13:
� Make Decisions Slowly by Consensus, Thoroughly Considering All Options;
Implement Rapidly
Philosophy
(Long Term Thinking)
Process
(Eliminate Waste)
People and Partners
(Respect, Challenge and Grow Them)
Problem Solving(Continuous
Improvement and Learning)
The Toyota Way
� Preeminent analyst of strategy and tactics
� Nothing is assumed. Everything is verified.
� The goal is getting it right!
� How you arrive at a decision is just as important
as the quality of the decision
� It is worse to make a decision that works out well, by chance, using a shortcut process, than to make a bad
decision using a good process!!
Thorough Consideration in
Decision Making
� Major Elements:1. Finding out what is really going on, including genchi
genbutsu (Creating a Lean Culture)
2. Understanding the underlying causes that explain surface appearances – asking “Why” five times (Root Cause Analysis)
3. Broadly considering alternative solutions and developing a detailed rationale for the preferred solution (This Class)
4. Building consensus within the team, including Toyota employees and outside partners (This class)
5. Using very efficient communication vehicles to do one through four, preferably one side of a sheet of paper (A3)
Broadly Consider Alternative Solutions
with a Set-Based Approach
� Set – Based Approach
� Think in terms of sets of alternative approaches
� Think concurrently of the design of the product and
the manufacturing system
� “Set-based concurrent engineering”
� Saturn’s Engine Coolant Container
� In the long-run, this product development process is faster than the typical “point based approach”
Broadly Consider Alternative Solutions
with a Set-Based Approach
A Toyota engineer might attack a problem with relish by (could be a tough Freshman project):
- carefully identifying the cause of the problem,
- taking care to do a thorough five-why analysis,
- coming up with a brilliant solution
- and detailing the solution to show to his/her mentor.
Broadly Consider Alternative Solutions
with a Set-Based Approach
Instead of evaluating the idea on its merits and congratulating the engineer, the mentor asks,
- “What other alternatives have you considered?”
- “How does this solution compare with those alternatives?”
The engineer is stopped dead in his tracks, as he was convinced he had the best approach.
Broadly Consider Alternative Solutions
with a Set-Based Approach
� These are the questions a leader asks and support leadership qualities including:� Being an active coach
� Insisting on excellence and holding your people accountable
� A leader’s job is to ensure executionExecution is:
A systematic process of rigorously discussing the how(s) and what(s), questioning, tenaciously following through, and assuring
accountability
Bossidy and CharanExecution, The Art of Getting Things Done
Broadly Consider Alternative Solutions
with a Set-Based Approach
Once again, it’s the process that’s most important, not the results.
In other words, if the process of making a decision (product) is a good, thorough process, then the mentor is more confident in the decision (product).
If the mentor only evaluated the decision (product), this is no different than relying on final inspection or running a company based on monthly review of results.
Evaluating only the decision, final inspection, and monthly review of results are all not effective.
Broadly Consider Alternative Solutions
with a Set-Based Approach
� Examples of set-based thinking� In developing the new suspension needed for the Prius, the
Chief Engineer decided to hold a competition. Instead of using trial and error and testing one suspension alternative at a time, the competition led to over 20 different suspensions tested simultaneously.
� There were many hybrid engine technologies to chose from. The team began with 80 different hybrid types and systematically eliminated engines that did not meet the requirements, narrowing it down to 10 types. The team carefully considered themerits of each of these and then selected the best four. Each ofthese four types was then evaluated carefully through computer simulation. Based on this, they were confident in the one alternative selected.
Broadly Consider Alternative Solutions
with a Set-Based Approach
� The development of the Prius:� Extreme time pressure
� The Chief Engineer could have asked for opinions up front on the best choice and then refined it through iteration
� However,� The iterative approach, or “point-based” approach might have
completely missed a much better alternative
� Part of spending 80% of time planning is considering a broad range of alternatives before deciding on one
Broadly Consider Alternative Solutions
with a Set-Based Approach
� One of the hardest and most important lessons to teach young engineers:� Delay decisions until they have considered a broad range of
alternatives
� One of the advantages of getting many different opinions from many different people is that many alternatives are brought to light that can be systematically evaluated
� “The best designers eliminate almost all problems they discover in the test process before they finalize a design (Seeing David in the Stone)
Broadly Consider Alternative Solutions
with a Set-Based Approach
� The author has used this process for selecting:� Suppliers*
� Employees and Internal Auditors
� Process Layouts
� Material Flows
� Equipment
� Forklift Platform Designs
� Sunroof Design
� Engine Coolant Bottle Design
� Product Design Systems
� Solution (to RCA)
� Computer
� Vehicle and housing
Broadly Consider Alternative Solutions
with a Set-Based Approach
* Dr. Deming taught us with his 4th Principle:
“End the practice of awarding business on the basis
of price tag. Instead minimize total cost. Move
towards a single supplier for any one item, on a long
term relationship of loyalty and trust.”
Where does this fit in with the A3
Process?
� The most time-consuming and difficult way to understand complex ideas is to have to decipher a lengthy report filled with technical descriptions, business jargon, and tables of data.
� The visual approach is more efficient� “a picture is worth a thousand words”
� People are visually oriented
� Communicate with as few words as possible and with visual aids
� Toyota’s method of communication is the A3 report� All necessary information to make a complex decision is
presented on one 11” x 17” piece of paper
Where does this fit in with the A3
Process?
� A3 – the process by which a company identifies, frames, and then acts on problems and challenges at all levels –perhaps the key to its entire system of developing talent and continually deepening its knowledge and capabilities
� Nemawashi should be a part of A3.
� Nemawashi should be a part of your Corrective/Preventive Action Procedure in your ISO 9001 compliant QMS.
Where does this fit in with the A3
Process?� Questioning, coaching, and teaching take precedence over
commanding and controlling – this is leadership!
� It is why these types of questions are asked:� “What other alternatives have you considered?”
� “How does this solution compare with those alternatives?”
� This is where it fits in on the form (which again, is one small part of the overall A3 process)� It occurs after Root Cause Analysis (RCA)
� This class does not cover the extremely important process of RCA
Where does this fit in with the A3
Process?
� The more important part of the A3 process is the
leading, questioning, coaching, teaching, and
mentoring process that occurs.
� Dr. Deming’s Principle # 7: “Institute leadership.
The aim of leadership should be to help people
and machines and gadgets to do a better job
� Dr. Deming’s Principle # 13: “Institute a vigorous
program of education and self-improvement”
The Process to Achieve
Nemawashi
1) Identify the Stakeholders2) Determine Customer Requirements
3) Concept Selection (part 1)4) How to Reach Consensus
5) Generating Concepts6) Benchmarking
7) Concept Selection (part 2)
8) Synergize for Further Improvement
9) Implementation Plan
“Be flexible in style, and unwavering like a rock, in principle”
Thomas Jefferson
1) Identify the Stakeholders
� Within a company, everyone is supposed to be on the same team
� There is no reason to act in an adversarial way
� Yet, the most common problem in large corporations is the “silos phenomenon”
� Many different groups (departments) care more about meeting their own objectives than about the company’s success
� These groups (departments) seem to act as though they want theirparticular department or project to get all the resources – they want to win at all costs
� May include “lean” groups
1) Identify the Stakeholders
� Dr. Deming taught us his Principle #9:
“Break down barriers between departments. People
in research, design, sales, and production must work
as a team, to foresee problems of production and in
use that may be encountered with the product or
service.”
1) Identify the Stakeholders
� At Toyota, the process used to gain consensus from the community is used every day to get input, involvement and agreement from a broad cross-section of the organization.
1) Identify the Stakeholders
� The preferred approach to decision making at Toyota is group consensus, but with management approval� Management reserves the right to seek group input
and then make a decision and announce it. This is done only if the group is
� struggling to get consensus and management must step in
� if there is urgent need for a quick decision
� The philosophy is to seek the maximum involvement appropriate for each situation
1) Identify the Stakeholders
1) Identify the Stakeholders
� Going through a thorough information gathering and analysis in decision making:� Uncovers all the facts that, if not considered, could
lead to a great deal of pain and backtracking� Execution tends to be flawless
� Gets all the parties on board and supporting the decision
� Resistance is worked out before implementing anything
� Achieves a great deal of learning up front before anything is even implemented
1) Identify the Stakeholders
“For some decisions, I may think I already know the answer and donot need input from others. There may be a department that is not directly involved and I think they probably do not have much to contribute. I may in fact find the right answers on my own, but I will have a hard time presenting it because the group I skipped will challenge my recommendations and ask why I did not consider thisand that and the presentation will become a debate. But through Nemawashi they will agree with the presentation because they have already agreed with it. So I will go and talk to that department in advance anyway and generally I am pleasantly surprised because Iget new information.”
Andy Lund, Program Manager, 2004 Toyota Sienna
1) Identify the Stakeholders
� The team of individuals who are affected by the decision must be assembled
� Many people give their input and this generates consensus
� If suppliers or other parties could be affected by a decision, their involvement is required as well
� By the time the formal proposal comes up for high-level approval, the decision is already made
2) Determine Customer
Requirements (needs and wants)
� Should be very general, vague, and difficult to implement “directly”. The recorded requirements should require further definition.� Voice of the customer
� Should result from genchi genbutsu
� Words that end in “ability” (maintainability)� Phrases that begin with “ease of” (ease of changeover)� Words that can apply to all concepts – not just one (not ABS
brakes, but brakeability in bad conditions)� Include both Quantitative (initial investment) and Qualitative
(ease of assembly) � Include Basic, Performance, and Delighter Needs (see Kano
Model)
Kano Model example
2) Determine Customer
Requirements (needs and wants)
Criteria:
Ease of Assembly
Maintainability
Serviceability
Ease of Use
Ease of Cleaning
Initial Cost
On-Going Cost
Proven Technology
3) Concept Selection (part 1)
� Place the Customer Requirements (criteria) into the first column of Concept Selection Form.
� Determine the relative “weight” of each criterion on a 1 – 5 scale (1 = least important; 5 = most important) � Reach consensus on one criterion that is a 5
� Reach consensus on one criterion that is a 1 � Work down the list of criteria and rate them by comparing to
the two extremes. This ensures that the team will use the entire scale.
3) Concept Selection (part 1)
Criteria: Weight
Ease of Assembly 4
Maintainability 3
Serviceability 2
Ease of Use 5
Ease of Cleaning 1
Initial Cost 4
On-Going Cost 3
Proven Technology 2
4) How to Reach Consensus
� Any stakeholder who is not comfortable with the decision, has the obligation to “block” the decision (except for those who are supporters).
� It is the obligation of a team member to “block” a decision, if s/he is not 70% comfortable with the decision.
� If consensus is reached and all participants agree that they are at least 70% comfortable with the decision, there must be 100% commitment from each person.
4) How to Reach Consensus
� Each individual must test their 70% comfortable, 100% committed feeling by asking themselves:� Will I support without conflict?� Am I personally satisfied?
� Have my thoughts and feelings been understood and acknowledged?
� How do the others feel?
� Each team member is now accountable for the decision with the team leader holding primary accountability
4) How to Reach Consensus
Win-win leaders see life more as a cooperative – not a competitive – arena, and that win-win thinking “is based on a belief that there is plenty for everybody, that one person’s success is not achieved at the expense or exclusion of the success of others.”
Stephen Covey
5) Generating Concepts
� Have small teams, or just individuals:
� 1) Develop alternatives designs/concepts
� Prius suspensions and hybrid technologies
� 2) Find/search for different alternatives
� Purchased items
� Suppliers or employees
� 3) Benchmark alternatives (more on next page)
� Each team or individual must ensure that they
detail the concept
6) Benchmarking
� Three Main Types:� Functional
� Any industry, best in class, local
� i.e. benefits, SPC, Product Development Cycle, Benchmarking
� Requires conceptual thinking, inexpensive, fruitful, easy to get info/data
� Process oriented
� Internal� Sister companies, departments, work cells
� i.e. cycle times, quality levels, absenteeism, internal auditing
� Inexpensive, easy to get info/data, no external focus
� Process oriented
6) Benchmarking
� Competitive� Your industry and product lines� i.e. customer performance metrics and future
expectations
� Hard to get/see information, valuable when received; does not require conceptual thinking
� Articles, former employees, trade reports, see below
� Product and Process oriented� Product – tear downs, reverse engineering, Mona Lisa,
competitive vehicle trip � Process – genchi genbutsu, plant trips (if ever possible)
7) Concept Selection (part 2)
� Team members present and define each concepts so all team members clearly understand each concept and so that each can be fairly evaluated.
� Provide drawings, sketches, brochures, etc. if applicable.� Choose the datum concept (if possible and applicable)
� If there is an existing concept that is currently in use, choose this concept as the datum.
� If not, choose the concept that most people are familiar with as the datum.
� Place the datum concept into the first column to the right of the Weight column. See example.
� Do not use a datum (tougher to do)
� Places the other concepts into the columns to the right of the Datum column.
DECISION:
TOTAL:
M
2Proven Technology
U3On-Going Cost
4Initial Cost
T1Ease of Cleaning
5Ease of Use
A2Serviceability
3Maintainability
D4Ease of Assembly
CONCEPT 4CONCEPT 3CONCEPT 2CONCEPT 1
CURRENT DESIGN
IMPORTANCE
RATING
CRITERIA
7) Concept Selection (part 2)
� The team makes a commitment to each other
that the concepts do not belong to any one
individual or smaller team. There is no
ownership.
� If any new criterion are brought forth throughout
the process, the team may decide to add it to the
list with an importance rating.
7) Concept Selection (part 2)
� The team works with one criterion at a time, comparing each concept to the datum concept, for that criterion. � “How does Concept 2 compare with the Datum Concept for “ease of assembly”?”
and continue until each concept has been compared to the Datum for that criterion. Move down to the next criterion and continue.
� As before, consensus must be reached.
� It is best to evaluate as such when making comparisons:
+ + Much Better
+ Better
S Same (or A for Average if there is no datum)
- Worse
- - Much Worse
DECISION:
TOTAL:
M
+-++2Proven Technology
+S-U3On-Going Cost
++-S4Initial Cost
S++ST1Ease of Cleaning
+SS5Ease of Use
--+A2Serviceability
--+3Maintainability
+SSD4Ease of Assembly
CONCEPT 4CONCEPT 3CONCEPT 2CONCEPT 1
CURRENT DESIGN
IMPORTANCE
RATING
CRITERIA
7) Concept Selection (part 2)
� Computes the totals for each concept (column) by� Multiplying the Weight and the Evaluation Rating for each criterion and
adding up the totals
� If “ease of assembly” had an importance rating of “4” and the concept was much better (++) than the datum, then it would receive an “8+”
� If “proven technology” had an importance rating of “2”and the concept was the same (S) as the datum, it would receive a “0”
� The total is added up for each column.
� The concept with the highest positive score is the best choice.
� If this was a choice of purchasing an item or choosing a supplier and the team cannot change these concepts, then the team’s decision is complete. If the team does have an influence on the design, proceed to the next step.
√DECISION:
+17-9+60TOTAL:
M
+-++2Proven Technology
+S-U3On-Going Cost
++-S4Initial Cost
S++ST1Ease of Cleaning
+SS5Ease of Use
--+A2Serviceability
--+3Maintainability
+SSD4Ease of Assembly
CONCEPT 4CONCEPT 3CONCEPT 2CONCEPT 1
CURRENT DESIGN
IMPORTANCE
RATING
CRITERIA
8) Synergize for Further
Improvement
“Synthesis, or putting parts together to form a whole , is the most difficult thinking skill
to learn”
Seeing David in the Stone
James B. Swartz & Joseph E. Swartz
8) Synergize for Further
Improvement� Synergize concepts when there is team control over the concept.
� Choose the highest scoring concept as the base and highlights its deficiencies when compared to the other concepts.
� Modify the base concept by extracting ideas from the other concepts and attempting to institute them into the base concept.
� Place the synergized concept into the final column and leads the team in evaluating the concept as was previously done.
� In this case, the team borrowed design attributes from Concept 2 with regard to Serviceability and Maintainability and improved Concept #4
� As before, consensus must be achieved.
√DECISION:
+ 28+17- 9+ 6TOTAL:
M
++-++2Proven
Technology
++S-U3On-Going Cost
++++-S4Initial Cost
+S++ST1Ease of Cleaning
++SS5Ease of Use
+--+A2Serviceability
+--+3Maintainability
++SSD4Ease of Assembly
SYNERGIZED
CONCEPT
CONCEPT 4CONCEPT 3CONCEPT 2CONCEPT 1
CURRENT
DESIGN
IMPORTANCE
RATING
CRITERIA
9) Implementation Plan
� Gain management approval to move on
� The next step in an A3 process is to develop the
implementation plan.
� If it is a complex project, it is possible to develop
multiple implementation plan concepts and go
through the same process
� Implement Rapidly
What is Achieved?
� Far more important than the sound decision that was made through Nemawshi is
�A great deal of learning up front is achieved
before any thing is even planned or
implemented
�Toyota’s greatest accomplishment –
becoming a true learning organization!!
Questions and Answers
� Monthly Newsletter? Contact Me ….� [email protected], 847-401-0442
� Services Offered� Developing Deming Based Management Systems� Anything Lean (inc. Lean Culture, Lean Maturity Assessments,
A3, TWI, Nemawashi)� Anything Quality (inc. ISO Based QMS’s, FMEA, SPC, DOE)� Root Cause Analysis Training� Leaning out your QMS Documentation� Customized Training and Consulting� Keynote Presentations