NationalTrackingPoll#200213 February07-09,2020 ...

National Tracking Poll #200213February 07-09, 2020

Crosstabulation Results

Methodology:This poll was conducted between February 7-February 9, 2020 among a national sample of 1996RegisteredVoters. The interviewswere conducted online and the datawereweighted to approximatea target sample of Registered Voters based on age, educational attainment, gender, race, and region.Results from the full survey have a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

Table Index

1 Table P1: Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in theright direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? . . . . . . . . . . 7

2 Table Q172: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? . 11

3 Table Q172NET:Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? 15

4 Table P3: Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on yourmind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? . . . . . . . 19

5 Table POL1: How likely is it that you will vote in the 2020 presidential primary or caucus inyour state? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24

6 Table POL2: Now, thinking about the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state,would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, the Republican primary or caucus, orare you not likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28

7 Table POL3: Do you think the Republican party should nominate Donald Trump as theparty’s candidate for president in 2020, or do you think the Republican party should nom-inate a different candidate for president in 2020? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32

8 Table POL4: If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you de nitely vote tore-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someoneelse or de nitely vote for someone else? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35

9 Table POL5: If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of thefollowing candidates are you most likely to vote for? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39

10 Table POL6_1: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? The delayedresults from the Democratic presidential caucuses in Iowa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43

11 Table POL6_2: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? A partial banon avored cartridges for e-cigarettes going into effect . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47

12 Table POL6_3: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? PresidentTrump’s State of the Union address . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51

13 Table POL6_4: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? The Senatevoting to acquit President Trump in its impeachment trial . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55

14 Table POL6_5: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Sen. MittRomney (R-Utah) voting to convict President Trump for abuse of power . . . . . . . . . . . 59

15 Table POL6_6: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? The KansasCity Chiefs defeating the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl LIV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63

16 Table POL6_7: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? The coron-avirus’ death toll rising to more than 600 people, with more than 30,000 infected worldwide . 67

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National Tracking Poll #200213, February, 2020

17 Table POL7_1: Thinking about each of the following voting methods, how con dent are, if atall, that votes cast through each of the following would be counted accurately? Paper ballotsthat are scanned into a machine . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71

18 Table POL7_2: Thinking about each of the following voting methods, how con dent are, if atall, that votes cast through each of the following would be counted accurately? Paper ballotsthat are mailed in . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75

19 Table POL7_3: Thinking about each of the following voting methods, how con dent are, if atall, that votes cast through each of the following would be counted accurately? Paper ballotsthat are hand counted . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79

20 Table POL7_4: Thinking about each of the following voting methods, how con dent are, ifat all, that votes cast through each of the following would be counted accurately? Votes castonline using blockchain, the technology behind Bitcoin and other virtual currencies . . . . . 83

21 Table POL7_5: Thinking about each of the following voting methods, how con dent are, if atall, that votes cast through each of the following would be counted accurately? Votes cast online 87

22 Table POL7_6: Thinking about each of the following voting methods, how con dent are, ifat all, that votes cast through each of the following would be counted accurately? Electronicvoting machines that do not provide paper receipts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91

23 Table POL7_7: Thinking about each of the following voting methods, how con dent are, ifat all, that votes cast through each of the following would be counted accurately? Electronicvoting machines that do provide paper receipts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95

24 Table POL7_8: Thinking about each of the following voting methods, how con dent are, ifat all, that votes cast through each of the following would be counted accurately? Votes castthrough mobile apps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99

25 Table POL8_1: How likely would you be to vote in the 2020 presidential election if your stateonly allowed people to vote in each of the following ways? Paper ballots that are scanned intoa machine . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103

26 Table POL8_2: How likely would you be to vote in the 2020 presidential election if your stateonly allowed people to vote in each of the following ways? Paper ballots that are mailed in . . 107

27 Table POL8_3: How likely would you be to vote in the 2020 presidential election if your stateonly allowed people to vote in each of the following ways? Paper ballots that are hand counted 111

28 Table POL8_4: How likely would you be to vote in the 2020 presidential election if your stateonly allowed people to vote in each of the following ways? Votes cast online using blockchain,the technology behind Bitcoin and other virtual currencies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115

29 Table POL8_5: How likely would you be to vote in the 2020 presidential election if your stateonly allowed people to vote in each of the following ways? Votes cast online . . . . . . . . . . 119

30 Table POL8_6: How likely would you be to vote in the 2020 presidential election if your stateonly allowed people to vote in each of the following ways? Electronic voting machines that donot provide paper receipts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123

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31 Table POL8_7: How likely would you be to vote in the 2020 presidential election if your stateonly allowed people to vote in each of the following ways? Electronic voting machines that doprovide paper receipts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127

32 Table POL8_8: How likely would you be to vote in the 2020 presidential election if your stateonly allowed people to vote in each of the following ways? Votes cast through mobile apps . . 131

33 Table POL9: How concerned are you about the outbreak of the coronavirus? . . . . . . . . 135

34 TablePOL10_1: And, do you approve or disapprove of how each of the following have handledthe response to the coronavirus? President Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139

35 TablePOL10_2: And, do you approve or disapprove of how each of the following have handledthe response to the coronavirus? Congress . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143

36 TablePOL10_3: And, do you approve or disapprove of how each of the following have handledthe response to the coronavirus? Your state government . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147

37 TablePOL10_4: And, do you approve or disapprove of how each of the following have handledthe response to the coronavirus? Your local government . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151

38 TablePOL10_5: And, do you approve or disapprove of how each of the following have handledthe response to the coronavirus? The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) . . . . . . . . . . . 155

39 TablePOL10_6: And, do you approve or disapprove of how each of the following have handledthe response to the coronavirus? The United Nations (UN) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 159

40 TablePOL10_7: And, do you approve or disapprove of how each of the following have handledthe response to the coronavirus? The World Health Organization (WHO) . . . . . . . . . . 163

41 Table POL11: As youmay know, the Senate acquitted President Trump on both impeachmentarticles, meaning he will not be removed from office. Do you approve or disapprove of theSenate acquitting President Trump? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 167

42 Table POL12_1: Based on what you know, do you approve or disapprove of the way eachof the following handled the impeachment proceedings into President Trump? Democrats inCongress . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 171

43 Table POL12_2: Based on what you know, do you approve or disapprove of the way eachof the following handled the impeachment proceedings into President Trump? Republicans inCongress . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175

44 Table POL12_3: Based on what you know, do you approve or disapprove of the way each ofthe following handled the impeachment proceedings into President Trump? President DonaldTrump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179

45 Table POL12_4: Based on what you know, do you approve or disapprove of the way each ofthe following handled the impeachment proceedings into President Trump? Senate MajorityLeader Mitch McConnell . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 183

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46 Table POL12_5: Based on what you know, do you approve or disapprove of the way each ofthe following handled the impeachment proceedings into President Trump? Senate MinorityLeader Chuck Schumer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187

47 Table POL12_6: Based on what you know, do you approve or disapprove of the way eachof the following handled the impeachment proceedings into President Trump? House SpeakerNancy Pelosi . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191

48 Table POL13: As you may know, Senator Mitt Romney (R-UT) was the only Republicansenator to vote to convict Trump. Do you approve or disapprove of his decision? . . . . . . . 195

49 Table POL14: Do you believe the Senate’s decision to acquit President Trump in its impeach-ment trial will: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 199

50 TablePOL15_1: Howmuch have you seen, read, or heard about each of the following? HunterBiden’s business dealings in Ukraine . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203

51 Table POL15_2: How much have you seen, read, or heard about each of the following? JoeBiden’s role leading U.S. policy in Ukraine while serving as vice president . . . . . . . . . . . 207

52 Table POL16: As you may know, Hunter Biden, Joe Biden’s son, was a member of the boardof directors at Burisma, a Ukranian gas company, from 2014 until earlier this year, includ-ing while Joe Biden was leading U.S. policy in Ukraine. Do you think Hunter Biden’s role atBurisma was appropriate or inappropriate? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 211

53 Table POL17: Would you say that Hunter Biden’s role at Burisma, a Ukranian gas company,makes you more or less likely to vote for Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election, or does itnot have an impact? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 215

54 Table POL18: Based on what you know, which of the statements come closer to your view,even if none are exactly correct? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 219

55 Table POL19: To what extent is Hunter Biden’s role in Burisma, the Ukrainian gas com-pany, while his father, Joe Biden, was leading U.S. policy in Ukraine, a scandal for Joe Biden’spresidential campaign? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 224

56 Table POLx_1: Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a longlist, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer foreach name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, SomewhatFavorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard ofthe person, but do not have an opinion, please mark ’Heard Of, No Opinion.’ If you have notheard of the person, please mark ’Never Heard Of.’Mitch McConnell . . . . . . . . . . . . . 228

57 Table POLx_2: Favorability for Nancy Pelosi . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 232

58 Table POLx_3: Favorability for Charles Schumer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 236

59 Table POLx_4: Favorability for Mike Pence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 240

60 Table POLx_5: Favorability for Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 244

61 Table POLx_6: Favorability for Republicans in Congress . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 248

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62 Table POLx_7: Favorability for Democrats in Congress . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 252

63 Table POLx_9: Favorability for Kevin McCarthy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 256

64 Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 260

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Table P1

Crosstabulation Results by Respondent Demographics

Table P1: Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off onthe wrong track?

Demographic Right Direction Wrong Track Total N

Registered Voters 43% (857) 57% (1139) 1996Gender: Male 49% (461) 51% (474) 934Gender: Female 37% (396) 63% (665) 1062Age: 18-29 34% (114) 66% (224) 338Age: 30-44 41% (190) 59% (277) 467Age: 45-54 48% (152) 52% (163) 315Age: 55-64 47% (194) 53% (218) 412Age: 65+ 44% (207) 56% (258) 464Generation Z: 18-22 32% (42) 68% (90) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 37% (183) 63% (309) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 47% (231) 53% (265) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 45% (332) 55% (412) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 14% (108) 86% (680) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 37% (186) 63% (322) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 80% (563) 20% (137) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 19% (61) 81% (261) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 10% (47) 90% (419) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 42% (106) 58% (148) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 31% (80) 69% (174) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 82% (293) 18% (64) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 79% (270) 21% (73) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 11% (62) 89% (516) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 36% (179) 64% (321) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 74% (557) 26% (197) 754Educ: < College 48% (600) 52% (655) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 37% (176) 63% (296) 472Educ: Post-grad 30% (81) 70% (188) 269

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Morning ConsultTable P1



Registered Voters 43% (857) 57% (1139) 1996Income: Under 50k 43% (427) 57% (573) 999Income: 50k-100k 43% (284) 57% (383) 666Income: 100k+ 44% (147) 56% (184) 330Ethnicity: White 47% (753) 53% (861) 1614Ethnicity: Hispanic 41% (79) 59% (114) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 24% (60) 76% (193) 253Ethnicity: Other 34% (43) 66% (85) 129All Christian 52% (497) 48% (462) 958All Non-Christian 33% (36) 67% (73) 109Atheist 21% (19) 79% (74) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 36% (305) 64% (531) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 32% (42) 68% (89) 131Evangelical 57% (308) 43% (235) 543Non-Evangelical 43% (314) 57% (409) 723Community: Urban 33% (159) 67% (325) 484Community: Suburban 42% (393) 58% (550) 942Community: Rural 54% (306) 46% (264) 569Employ: Private Sector 43% (281) 57% (368) 649Employ: Government 35% (53) 65% (100) 153Employ: Self-Employed 46% (82) 54% (95) 177Employ: Homemaker 57% (69) 43% (51) 120Employ: Retired 45% (237) 55% (285) 521Employ: Unemployed 39% (63) 61% (98) 161Employ: Other 39% (46) 61% (72) 117Military HH: Yes 52% (187) 48% (171) 358Military HH: No 41% (670) 59% (968) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 100% (857) — (0) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track — (0) 100% (1139) 1139Trump Job Approve 85% (739) 15% (125) 865Trump Job Disapprove 9% (94) 91% (979) 1074



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Registered Voters 43% (857) 57% (1139) 1996Trump Job Strongly Approve 92% (490) 8% (41) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 75% (249) 25% (85) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 24% (50) 76% (161) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 5% (44) 95% (818) 863Favorable of Trump 85% (737) 15% (128) 865Unfavorable of Trump 9% (96) 91% (960) 1057Very Favorable of Trump 91% (491) 9% (50) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 76% (246) 24% (79) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 29% (49) 71% (118) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 5% (47) 95% (843) 890#1 Issue: Economy 50% (224) 50% (228) 453#1 Issue: Security 71% (288) 29% (115) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 28% (102) 72% (262) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 40% (119) 60% (177) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 24% (29) 76% (89) 118#1 Issue: Education 36% (43) 64% (75) 117#1 Issue: Energy 14% (19) 86% (115) 134#1 Issue: Other 30% (34) 70% (78) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 13% (104) 87% (703) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 80% (564) 20% (144) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 27% (16) 73% (44) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 10% (73) 90% (663) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 81% (598) 19% (140) 7382016 Vote: Other 24% (34) 76% (107) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 40% (152) 60% (227) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 43% (597) 57% (800) 1396Voted in 2014: No 43% (260) 57% (339) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 21% (187) 79% (691) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 76% (408) 24% (130) 5382012 Vote: Other 59% (66) 41% (47) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 42% (195) 58% (270) 465


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Registered Voters 43% (857) 57% (1139) 19964-Region: Northeast 40% (142) 60% (215) 3564-Region: Midwest 47% (215) 53% (244) 4584-Region: South 47% (352) 53% (393) 7454-Region: West 34% (148) 66% (288) 436Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 13% (121) 87% (786) 907Party: Republican/Leans Republican 78% (647) 22% (184) 832Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 15% (131) 85% (745) 876Vote in Republican primary or caucus 82% (572) 18% (129) 701Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 41% (35) 59% (51) 87Don’t know / No opinion 35% (69) 65% (131) 200Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.

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Table Q172

Table Q172: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

DemographicStronglyApprove

SomewhatApprove

SomewhatDisapprove

StronglyDisapprove

Don’t Know /No Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 27% (531) 17% (334) 11% (211) 43% (863) 3% (58) 1996Gender: Male 31% (290) 18% (164) 11% (101) 38% (352) 3% (27) 934Gender: Female 23% (241) 16% (170) 10% (110) 48% (511) 3% (30) 1062Age: 18-29 15% (49) 15% (49) 11% (38) 52% (175) 8% (26) 338Age: 30-44 23% (110) 17% (79) 14% (65) 42% (194) 4% (19) 467Age: 45-54 30% (95) 19% (59) 9% (29) 41% (128) 1% (4) 315Age: 55-64 32% (131) 19% (80) 11% (45) 37% (150) 1% (5) 412Age: 65+ 31% (146) 14% (66) 7% (34) 46% (214) 1% (4) 464Generation Z: 18-22 13% (17) 15% (19) 16% (21) 50% (66) 8% (10) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 20% (97) 15% (75) 12% (57) 47% (233) 6% (31) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 28% (141) 19% (93) 11% (55) 40% (199) 2% (8) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 30% (221) 18% (132) 9% (66) 43% (317) 1% (9) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 3% (24) 6% (45) 9% (74) 80% (630) 2% (15) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 17% (84) 22% (112) 18% (92) 36% (184) 7% (35) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 60% (423) 25% (176) 6% (45) 7% (49) 1% (8) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 6% (19) 8% (24) 10% (31) 76% (245) 1% (3) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 1% (5) 5% (21) 9% (43) 83% (385) 2% (11) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 19% (48) 21% (55) 20% (51) 32% (81) 8% (19) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 14% (36) 23% (57) 17% (42) 40% (102) 6% (16) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 62% (223) 24% (85) 5% (20) 7% (26) 1% (5) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 58% (200) 27% (91) 7% (25) 7% (23) 1% (3) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 4% (24) 5% (27) 8% (46) 83% (478) — (3) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 12% (60) 23% (113) 16% (82) 47% (234) 2% (11) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 55% (415) 23% (170) 8% (60) 13% (96) 2% (14) 754Educ: < College 29% (367) 17% (219) 11% (138) 39% (488) 3% (43) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 24% (113) 16% (74) 10% (47) 49% (229) 2% (10) 472Educ: Post-grad 19% (52) 15% (41) 10% (26) 54% (145) 2% (5) 269Income: Under 50k 27% (265) 15% (152) 12% (123) 42% (419) 4% (40) 999Income: 50k-100k 27% (179) 19% (129) 8% (52) 45% (297) 2% (10) 666Income: 100k+ 26% (87) 16% (53) 11% (36) 44% (147) 2% (7) 330Ethnicity: White 30% (488) 19% (300) 10% (155) 39% (632) 2% (39) 1614Ethnicity: Hispanic 21% (41) 15% (29) 12% (23) 48% (92) 4% (8) 193


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SomewhatApprove

SomewhatDisapprove

StronglyDisapprove


Registered Voters 27% (531) 17% (334) 11% (211) 43% (863) 3% (58) 1996Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 8% (20) 7% (17) 13% (33) 67% (170) 5% (13) 253Ethnicity: Other 18% (23) 13% (16) 17% (22) 47% (61) 5% (6) 129All Christian 34% (325) 20% (188) 10% (94) 35% (336) 2% (16) 958All Non-Christian 18% (19) 9% (9) 14% (15) 56% (61) 4% (5) 109Atheist 9% (8) 9% (8) 10% (9) 72% (67) — (0) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 21% (178) 15% (128) 11% (93) 48% (399) 4% (37) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 18% (24) 10% (13) 16% (21) 51% (67) 5% (6) 131Evangelical 40% (220) 18% (95) 10% (54) 29% (157) 3% (17) 543Non-Evangelical 26% (190) 18% (132) 9% (65) 44% (317) 3% (18) 723Community: Urban 18% (88) 10% (50) 13% (63) 54% (263) 4% (19) 484Community: Suburban 25% (236) 18% (170) 11% (102) 44% (412) 2% (22) 942Community: Rural 36% (207) 20% (113) 8% (45) 33% (188) 3% (16) 569Employ: Private Sector 25% (162) 18% (120) 12% (79) 41% (267) 3% (21) 649Employ: Government 22% (34) 13% (20) 10% (15) 50% (76) 5% (7) 153Employ: Self-Employed 29% (52) 15% (27) 12% (21) 42% (75) 2% (3) 177Employ: Homemaker 37% (44) 24% (29) 8% (10) 26% (31) 5% (6) 120Employ: Retired 32% (164) 16% (84) 8% (41) 44% (230) — (1) 521Employ: Unemployed 19% (31) 16% (26) 13% (20) 49% (79) 3% (4) 161Employ: Other 25% (29) 14% (17) 13% (15) 40% (46) 9% (11) 117Military HH: Yes 35% (124) 21% (77) 6% (22) 36% (129) 2% (6) 358Military HH: No 25% (407) 16% (257) 12% (189) 45% (733) 3% (51) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 57% (490) 29% (249) 6% (50) 5% (44) 3% (24) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 4% (41) 7% (85) 14% (161) 72% (818) 3% (34) 1139Trump Job Approve 61% (531) 39% (334) — (0) — (0) — (0) 865Trump Job Disapprove — (0) — (0) 20% (211) 80% (863) — (0) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 100% (531) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve — (0) 100% (334) — (0) — (0) — (0) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove — (0) — (0) 100% (211) — (0) — (0) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (863) — (0) 863Favorable of Trump 60% (521) 34% (295) 2% (14) 3% (25) 1% (11) 865Unfavorable of Trump 1% (8) 3% (36) 17% (183) 77% (816) 1% (14) 1057



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Table Q172



SomewhatApprove

SomewhatDisapprove

StronglyDisapprove


Registered Voters 27% (531) 17% (334) 11% (211) 43% (863) 3% (58) 1996Very Favorable of Trump 88% (478) 6% (32) 1% (6) 4% (22) 1% (3) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 13% (43) 81% (263) 2% (8) 1% (3) 2% (8) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump — (1) 18% (30) 71% (118) 7% (12) 4% (6) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 1% (8) 1% (6) 7% (64) 90% (804) 1% (8) 890#1 Issue: Economy 29% (131) 21% (95) 12% (55) 34% (156) 3% (15) 453#1 Issue: Security 55% (219) 20% (81) 8% (31) 16% (63) 2% (8) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 16% (58) 12% (45) 10% (36) 60% (220) 1% (5) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 20% (60) 20% (58) 12% (35) 47% (139) 1% (4) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 15% (18) 10% (12) 11% (13) 59% (70) 4% (5) 118#1 Issue: Education 11% (13) 20% (23) 12% (14) 47% (55) 10% (12) 117#1 Issue: Energy 5% (7) 7% (9) 11% (15) 76% (101) 1% (2) 134#1 Issue: Other 22% (25) 9% (10) 11% (12) 52% (58) 6% (7) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 2% (19) 7% (57) 11% (85) 79% (637) 1% (9) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 61% (430) 25% (175) 6% (45) 7% (51) 1% (8) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 11% (6) 18% (11) 23% (14) 36% (21) 13% (8) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 1% (10) 4% (33) 10% (72) 83% (612) 1% (9) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 60% (440) 28% (206) 6% (46) 5% (39) 1% (7) 7382016 Vote: Other 3% (4) 22% (32) 27% (38) 43% (60) 5% (7) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 20% (76) 16% (63) 15% (56) 40% (150) 9% (35) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 28% (391) 16% (218) 10% (141) 45% (626) 1% (20) 1396Voted in 2014: No 23% (140) 19% (115) 12% (70) 39% (237) 6% (38) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 8% (67) 11% (97) 10% (87) 70% (614) 2% (13) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 58% (310) 24% (128) 9% (48) 8% (44) 1% (7) 5382012 Vote: Other 45% (51) 20% (23) 14% (16) 16% (18) 4% (5) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 22% (102) 18% (85) 13% (60) 40% (186) 7% (33) 4654-Region: Northeast 24% (86) 17% (61) 12% (42) 45% (161) 2% (6) 3564-Region: Midwest 28% (129) 18% (81) 8% (35) 44% (200) 3% (13) 4584-Region: South 32% (239) 15% (109) 11% (80) 39% (290) 4% (27) 7454-Region: West 18% (77) 19% (83) 13% (55) 48% (211) 2% (11) 436Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 3% (25) 6% (52) 11% (97) 79% (717) 2% (17) 907Party: Republican/Leans Republican 57% (476) 27% (224) 7% (60) 7% (62) 1% (10) 832


14

Morning ConsultTable Q172



SomewhatApprove

SomewhatDisapprove

StronglyDisapprove


Registered Voters 27% (531) 17% (334) 11% (211) 43% (863) 3% (58) 1996Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 3% (30) 7% (58) 11% (94) 78% (687) 1% (7) 876Vote in Republican primary or caucus 63% (444) 26% (182) 5% (32) 5% (36) 1% (6) 701Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 15% (13) 25% (22) 20% (17) 35% (30) 5% (4) 87Don’t know / No opinion 10% (20) 23% (46) 24% (47) 33% (67) 10% (21) 200Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



15

Table Q172NET

Table Q172NET: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

Demographic Total Approve Total DisapproveDon’t Know / No

Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 43% (865) 54% (1074) 3% (58) 1996Gender: Male 49% (454) 48% (453) 3% (27) 934Gender: Female 39% (411) 58% (621) 3% (30) 1062Age: 18-29 29% (98) 63% (214) 8% (26) 338Age: 30-44 40% (189) 55% (259) 4% (19) 467Age: 45-54 49% (154) 50% (157) 1% (4) 315Age: 55-64 51% (211) 47% (196) 1% (5) 412Age: 65+ 46% (212) 53% (248) 1% (4) 464Generation Z: 18-22 27% (36) 65% (87) 8% (10) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 35% (172) 59% (289) 6% (31) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 47% (234) 51% (254) 2% (8) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 47% (353) 51% (382) 1% (9) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 9% (69) 89% (704) 2% (15) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 39% (196) 54% (276) 7% (35) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 86% (599) 13% (93) 1% (8) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 13% (43) 85% (276) 1% (3) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 6% (26) 92% (429) 2% (11) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 41% (103) 52% (132) 8% (19) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 37% (93) 57% (144) 6% (16) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 86% (308) 13% (45) 1% (5) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 85% (291) 14% (48) 1% (3) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 9% (51) 91% (524) — (3) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 35% (173) 63% (316) 2% (11) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 78% (585) 21% (156) 2% (14) 754Educ: < College 47% (586) 50% (626) 3% (43) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 40% (187) 58% (276) 2% (10) 472Educ: Post-grad 34% (92) 64% (171) 2% (5) 269Income: Under 50k 42% (417) 54% (542) 4% (40) 999Income: 50k-100k 46% (308) 52% (348) 2% (10) 666Income: 100k+ 42% (140) 55% (183) 2% (7) 330Ethnicity: White 49% (788) 49% (787) 2% (39) 1614Ethnicity: Hispanic 36% (70) 60% (115) 4% (8) 193


Morning Consult (Work)

16

Morning ConsultTable Q172NET



Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 43% (865) 54% (1074) 3% (58) 1996Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 15% (37) 80% (203) 5% (13) 253Ethnicity: Other 31% (40) 64% (83) 5% (6) 129All Christian 54% (513) 45% (429) 2% (16) 958All Non-Christian 26% (28) 70% (76) 4% (5) 109Atheist 18% (17) 82% (76) — (0) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 37% (306) 59% (492) 4% (37) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 29% (37) 67% (88) 5% (6) 131Evangelical 58% (315) 39% (211) 3% (17) 543Non-Evangelical 45% (323) 53% (382) 3% (18) 723Community: Urban 29% (139) 67% (326) 4% (19) 484Community: Suburban 43% (406) 55% (514) 2% (22) 942Community: Rural 56% (320) 41% (233) 3% (16) 569Employ: Private Sector 43% (282) 53% (346) 3% (21) 649Employ: Government 36% (54) 60% (92) 5% (7) 153Employ: Self-Employed 44% (79) 54% (96) 2% (3) 177Employ: Homemaker 61% (73) 35% (41) 5% (6) 120Employ: Retired 48% (249) 52% (271) — (1) 521Employ: Unemployed 36% (58) 62% (99) 3% (4) 161Employ: Other 39% (45) 52% (61) 9% (11) 117Military HH: Yes 56% (201) 42% (151) 2% (6) 358Military HH: No 41% (664) 56% (922) 3% (51) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 86% (739) 11% (94) 3% (24) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 11% (125) 86% (979) 3% (34) 1139Trump Job Approve 100% (865) — (0) — (0) 865Trump Job Disapprove — (0) 100% (1074) — (0) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 100% (531) — (0) — (0) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 100% (334) — (0) — (0) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove — (0) 100% (211) — (0) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove — (0) 100% (863) — (0) 863Favorable of Trump 94% (815) 5% (39) 1% (11) 865Unfavorable of Trump 4% (44) 94% (999) 1% (14) 1057



17

Table Q172NET



Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 43% (865) 54% (1074) 3% (58) 1996Very Favorable of Trump 94% (510) 5% (28) 1% (3) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 94% (306) 3% (11) 2% (8) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 18% (31) 78% (131) 4% (6) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 2% (13) 98% (868) 1% (8) 890#1 Issue: Economy 50% (226) 47% (211) 3% (15) 453#1 Issue: Security 75% (300) 23% (94) 2% (8) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 28% (103) 70% (256) 1% (5) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 40% (118) 59% (174) 1% (4) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 25% (30) 71% (83) 4% (5) 118#1 Issue: Education 31% (36) 59% (69) 10% (12) 117#1 Issue: Energy 12% (16) 87% (116) 1% (2) 134#1 Issue: Other 31% (35) 63% (70) 6% (7) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 9% (76) 89% (722) 1% (9) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 85% (605) 13% (96) 1% (8) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 29% (17) 59% (35) 13% (8) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 6% (43) 93% (684) 1% (9) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 88% (646) 11% (85) 1% (7) 7382016 Vote: Other 26% (36) 69% (98) 5% (7) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 37% (139) 54% (206) 9% (35) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 44% (610) 55% (766) 1% (20) 1396Voted in 2014: No 43% (255) 51% (307) 6% (38) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 19% (164) 80% (701) 2% (13) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 82% (439) 17% (92) 1% (7) 5382012 Vote: Other 65% (74) 30% (34) 4% (5) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 40% (187) 53% (245) 7% (33) 4654-Region: Northeast 41% (147) 57% (203) 2% (6) 3564-Region: Midwest 46% (210) 51% (235) 3% (13) 4584-Region: South 47% (348) 50% (370) 4% (27) 7454-Region: West 37% (160) 61% (266) 2% (11) 436Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 8% (77) 90% (814) 2% (17) 907Party: Republican/Leans Republican 84% (700) 15% (122) 1% (10) 832


18

Morning ConsultTable Q172NET



Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 43% (865) 54% (1074) 3% (58) 1996Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 10% (88) 89% (781) 1% (7) 876Vote in Republican primary or caucus 89% (627) 10% (69) 1% (6) 701Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 40% (35) 55% (47) 5% (4) 87Don’t know / No opinion 33% (65) 57% (114) 10% (21) 200Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



19

Table P3

Table P3: Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such asU.S. Senate or Congress?

Demographic

EconomicIssues –like taxes,wages,jobs,

unemploy-ment, andspending

SecurityIssues –like

terrorism,foreign

policy, andbordersecurity

HealthCare Issues– like the2010 healthcare law,Medicaid,other

challenges

SeniorsIssues –like

Medicareand SocialSecurity

Women’sIssues –like birthcontrol,abortion,and equal

pay

EducationIssues – like

schoolstandards,class sizes,

school choice,and student

loans

Energy Issues– like carbonemissions,cost ofelectric-

ity/gasoline,or renewables Other: Total N

Registered Voters 23%(453) 20%(402) 18%(364) 15%(296) 6% (118) 6% (117) 7%(134) 6% (112) 1996Gender: Male 26%(245) 21%(195) 17%(163) 16%(154) 3% (23) 6% (52) 7% (61) 4% (41) 934Gender: Female 20%(208) 20%(208) 19%(202) 13%(142) 9% (94) 6% (65) 7% (72) 7% (71) 1062Age: 18-29 30% (101) 10% (35) 16% (53) 1% (3) 15% (50) 11% (37) 14% (46) 4% (14) 338Age: 30-44 30%(140) 18% (84) 20% (92) 3% (14) 10% (47) 10% (47) 6% (28) 3% (15) 467Age: 45-54 31% (99) 18% (58) 20% (62) 8% (26) 3% (9) 4% (12) 6% (18) 10% (32) 315Age: 55-64 18% (76) 25%(102) 18% (75) 23% (94) 2% (8) 2% (9) 7% (28) 5% (22) 412Age: 65+ 8% (37) 27%(124) 18% (83) 34%(159) 1% (4) 3% (13) 3% (14) 6% (30) 464Generation Z: 18-22 21% (28) 13% (17) 13% (17) — (0) 19% (25) 15% (20) 14% (18) 5% (7) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 32%(156) 13% (65) 20% (98) 2% (7) 12% (57) 9% (47) 9% (47) 3% (16) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 31%(155) 19% (95) 18% (92) 7% (36) 5% (24) 6% (29) 5% (27) 8% (38) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 14%(103) 25%(188) 18%(137) 28%(206) 2% (12) 3% (20) 5% (38) 5% (39) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 21%(162) 7% (54) 26%(206) 17% (131) 8% (63) 6% (50) 10% (82) 5% (39) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 24%(124) 18% (91) 16% (80) 13% (64) 6% (29) 8% (40) 7% (35) 9% (44) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 24%(166) 37%(256) 11% (78) 14% (101) 4% (26) 4% (27) 2% (17) 4% (29) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 23% (75) 6% (19) 27% (86) 19% (61) 3% (10) 8% (24) 11% (34) 5% (15) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 19% (88) 8% (36) 26% (121) 15% (70) 11% (53) 6% (26) 10% (48) 5% (24) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 27% (68) 20% (52) 17% (43) 14% (36) 2% (4) 6% (15) 7% (18) 7% (17) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 22% (56) 16% (40) 15% (37) 11% (28) 10% (24) 10% (25) 6% (16) 11% (27) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 29%(102) 35%(124) 10% (34) 16% (57) 3% (9) 4% (13) 3% (9) 3% (9) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 19% (64) 39%(132) 13% (44) 13% (44) 5% (17) 4% (14) 2% (8) 6% (20) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 18%(105) 7% (38) 29%(170) 10% (60) 9% (54) 6% (36) 14% (81) 6% (33) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 25%(126) 15% (76) 16% (82) 20% (101) 5% (24) 6% (32) 6% (31) 6% (28) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 23%(175) 35%(263) 11% (84) 16%(124) 3% (24) 4% (32) 2% (15) 5% (37) 754


20



Demographic




terrorism,foreign



challenges




pay




loans



Registered Voters 23%(453) 20%(402) 18%(364) 15%(296) 6% (118) 6% (117) 7%(134) 6% (112) 1996Educ: < College 23%(284) 21%(270) 17%(219) 17%(208) 5% (64) 6% (72) 5% (69) 6% (69) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 23% (110) 18% (87) 19% (91) 10% (48) 7% (35) 6% (28) 9% (45) 6% (29) 472Educ: Post-grad 22% (59) 17% (46) 20% (54) 15% (40) 7% (18) 6% (17) 8% (20) 5% (14) 269Income: Under 50k 22%(216) 19%(193) 17%(173) 18%(175) 6% (61) 6% (60) 6% (61) 6% (60) 999Income: 50k-100k 24%(158) 21% (141) 19%(124) 13% (89) 6% (39) 6% (37) 6% (43) 5% (35) 666Income: 100k+ 24% (79) 21% (68) 20% (68) 9% (31) 5% (18) 6% (20) 9% (29) 5% (17) 330Ethnicity: White 22%(352) 22%(362) 18%(288) 15%(244) 5% (84) 5% (85) 7%(107) 6% (91) 1614Ethnicity: Hispanic 28% (54) 16% (31) 14% (27) 7% (14) 9% (17) 8% (16) 12% (23) 5% (11) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 26% (66) 10% (26) 22% (56) 16% (41) 8% (20) 8% (20) 5% (12) 5% (12) 253Ethnicity: Other 27% (34) 11% (14) 15% (20) 8% (11) 10% (13) 10% (13) 12% (15) 7% (9) 129All Christian 22%(210) 24%(228) 18%(172) 18%(170) 5% (44) 5% (44) 6% (53) 4% (38) 958All Non-Christian 22% (24) 15% (16) 25% (27) 20% (21) 6% (6) 5% (5) 6% (7) 3% (3) 109Atheist 13% (12) 16% (15) 21% (20) 4% (3) 10% (10) 8% (8) 18% (17) 10% (9) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 25%(207) 17%(144) 17%(145) 12% (101) 7% (58) 7% (61) 7% (57) 7% (63) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 21% (27) 15% (20) 25% (33) 17% (23) 8% (10) 6% (8) 5% (7) 3% (3) 131Evangelical 21% (114) 27%(147) 17% (91) 16% (88) 4% (21) 5% (28) 4% (22) 6% (32) 543Non-Evangelical 24%(175) 19%(139) 18%(129) 18%(128) 5% (39) 5% (34) 7% (49) 4% (30) 723Community: Urban 26%(128) 16% (77) 18% (86) 17% (81) 7% (36) 5% (26) 6% (29) 5% (22) 484Community: Suburban 20%(189) 20%(185) 19%(183) 15%(143) 6% (56) 6% (57) 8% (71) 6% (58) 942Community: Rural 24%(136) 25%(140) 17% (94) 13% (72) 5% (27) 6% (35) 6% (33) 6% (33) 569



21

Table P3


Demographic




terrorism,foreign



challenges




pay




loans



Registered Voters 23%(453) 20%(402) 18%(364) 15%(296) 6% (118) 6% (117) 7%(134) 6% (112) 1996Employ: Private Sector 30%(192) 18% (114) 20% (131) 7% (46) 7% (46) 5% (35) 8% (50) 5% (35) 649Employ: Government 27% (41) 17% (26) 14% (21) 7% (10) 9% (13) 11% (17) 9% (13) 7% (11) 153Employ: Self-Employed 29% (51) 22% (40) 18% (31) 8% (14) 4% (7) 7% (12) 6% (11) 6% (11) 177Employ: Homemaker 18% (22) 25% (30) 20% (24) 7% (9) 5% (6) 13% (15) 6% (7) 6% (7) 120Employ: Retired 10% (52) 25% (131) 17% (89) 35%(184) 1% (4) 2% (9) 4% (20) 6% (32) 521Employ: Unemployed 28% (46) 14% (23) 22% (36) 11% (17) 9% (14) 5% (9) 7% (12) 3% (5) 161Employ: Other 25% (29) 23% (27) 18% (21) 12% (14) 4% (5) 7% (8) 4% (5) 7% (8) 117Military HH: Yes 19% (69) 25% (91) 17% (62) 19% (68) 6% (21) 6% (22) 4% (14) 3% (11) 358Military HH: No 23%(384) 19% (311) 18%(302) 14%(227) 6% (97) 6% (96) 7%(120) 6% (101) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 26%(224) 34%(288) 12%(102) 14% (119) 3% (29) 5% (43) 2% (19) 4% (34) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 20%(228) 10% (115) 23%(262) 16%(177) 8% (89) 7% (75) 10% (115) 7% (78) 1139Trump Job Approve 26%(226) 35%(300) 12%(103) 14% (118) 3% (30) 4% (36) 2% (16) 4% (35) 865Trump Job Disapprove 20% (211) 9% (94) 24%(256) 16%(174) 8% (83) 6% (69) 11% (116) 7% (70) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 25% (131) 41%(219) 11% (58) 11% (60) 3% (18) 2% (13) 1% (7) 5% (25) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 29% (95) 24% (81) 14% (45) 18% (58) 4% (12) 7% (23) 3% (9) 3% (10) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 26% (55) 15% (31) 17% (36) 16% (35) 6% (13) 7% (14) 7% (15) 6% (12) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 18%(156) 7% (63) 26%(220) 16%(139) 8% (70) 6% (55) 12% (101) 7% (58) 863Favorable of Trump 26%(227) 35%(303) 12%(104) 14%(125) 3% (28) 4% (31) 2% (14) 4% (34) 865Unfavorable of Trump 20% (211) 8% (90) 24%(250) 15%(159) 8% (86) 7% (76) 11% (116) 7% (69) 1057Very Favorable of Trump 24%(130) 42%(226) 11% (58) 12% (67) 3% (16) 3% (14) 1% (5) 5% (25) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 30% (97) 24% (77) 14% (46) 18% (57) 4% (12) 5% (17) 3% (9) 3% (9) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 30% (50) 13% (22) 18% (30) 14% (24) 4% (6) 10% (17) 5% (9) 5% (9) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 18% (161) 8% (68) 25%(221) 15%(135) 9% (80) 7% (59) 12%(107) 7% (60) 890


22



Demographic




terrorism,foreign



challenges




pay




loans



Registered Voters 23%(453) 20%(402) 18%(364) 15%(296) 6% (118) 6% (117) 7%(134) 6% (112) 1996#1 Issue: Economy 100%(453) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 453#1 Issue: Security — (0) 100%(402) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 402#1 Issue: Health Care — (0) — (0) 100%(364) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security — (0) — (0) — (0) 100%(296) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (118) — (0) — (0) — (0) 118#1 Issue: Education — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (117) — (0) — (0) 117#1 Issue: Energy — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100%(134) — (0) 134#1 Issue: Other — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (112) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 20%(164) 7% (56) 27%(214) 17%(139) 8% (64) 5% (40) 11% (86) 5% (43) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 23%(164) 39%(273) 11% (81) 14% (96) 3% (19) 4% (26) 3% (18) 4% (31) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 23% (14) 12% (7) 7% (4) 21% (13) 6% (3) 8% (5) 4% (2) 19% (12) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 19% (141) 8% (58) 26% (191) 18%(135) 8% (56) 5% (39) 11% (78) 5% (38) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 24%(180) 37%(273) 13% (95) 15%(107) 3% (19) 3% (20) 2% (12) 4% (32) 7382016 Vote: Other 24% (34) 9% (13) 16% (23) 16% (22) 8% (11) 11% (16) 6% (9) 10% (14) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 26% (97) 15% (58) 14% (55) 8% (32) 9% (32) 11% (42) 9% (35) 7% (28) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 22%(302) 21%(294) 20%(274) 16%(227) 5% (71) 5% (63) 6% (88) 6% (77) 1396Voted in 2014: No 25%(150) 18%(109) 15% (90) 11% (68) 8% (47) 9% (54) 8% (46) 6% (35) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 21%(182) 11% (93) 25%(221) 17%(150) 6% (55) 5% (46) 10% (86) 5% (45) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 23%(125) 38%(206) 13% (69) 14% (74) 3% (16) 3% (17) 1% (7) 4% (24) 5382012 Vote: Other 27% (31) 23% (26) 7% (8) 18% (20) 3% (3) 7% (8) 2% (2) 13% (15) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 25% (115) 16% (77) 14% (66) 11% (52) 9% (44) 10% (45) 8% (39) 6% (28) 465



23

Table P3


Demographic




terrorism,foreign



challenges




pay




loans



Registered Voters 23%(453) 20%(402) 18%(364) 15%(296) 6% (118) 6% (117) 7%(134) 6% (112) 19964-Region: Northeast 26% (94) 22% (77) 17% (60) 13% (47) 5% (18) 4% (15) 8% (28) 5% (18) 3564-Region: Midwest 23%(106) 21% (96) 15% (70) 15% (70) 5% (23) 7% (31) 9% (39) 5% (23) 4584-Region: South 22%(162) 21%(158) 20%(146) 16% (117) 6% (43) 6% (45) 4% (33) 6% (42) 7454-Region: West 21% (91) 16% (71) 20% (88) 14% (61) 8% (35) 6% (27) 8% (34) 7% (29) 436Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 20% (181) 8% (71) 26%(239) 15%(140) 8% (70) 6% (56) 11%(102) 5% (49) 907Party: Republican/Leans Republican 25%(205) 35%(293) 11% (93) 14%(120) 4% (30) 4% (33) 2% (21) 4% (37) 832Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 19%(166) 8% (70) 26%(229) 16%(138) 8% (71) 6% (53) 12%(102) 5% (47) 876Vote in Republican primary or caucus 25%(174) 39%(270) 9% (67) 14% (96) 3% (20) 3% (24) 2% (15) 5% (34) 701Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 25% (21) 19% (16) 13% (11) 17% (15) 6% (5) 9% (8) 3% (3) 8% (7) 87Don’t know / No opinion 27% (54) 11% (23) 18% (36) 15% (29) 8% (16) 10% (21) 4% (7) 7% (15) 200Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


24

Morning ConsultTable POL1

Table POL1: How likely is it that you will vote in the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state?

DemographicAbsolutely

certain to vote Very likely About 50-50 Not too likely Not likely at all Total N

Registered Voters 71% (1419) 14% (289) 8% (156) 4% (73) 3% (59) 1996Gender: Male 70% (656) 15% (141) 8% (71) 3% (32) 4% (35) 934Gender: Female 72% (763) 14% (149) 8% (85) 4% (42) 2% (24) 1062Age: 18-29 55% (185) 22% (73) 13% (43) 6% (21) 5% (16) 338Age: 30-44 67% (313) 16% (74) 11% (51) 4% (16) 3% (13) 467Age: 45-54 75% (237) 14% (44) 5% (15) 3% (11) 3% (9) 315Age: 55-64 77% (318) 13% (53) 6% (26) 3% (12) 1% (3) 412Age: 65+ 79% (367) 10% (46) 4% (20) 3% (13) 4% (18) 464Generation Z: 18-22 45% (60) 28% (37) 12% (16) 9% (13) 5% (7) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 64% (316) 17% (82) 12% (59) 4% (18) 3% (17) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 72% (357) 15% (72) 7% (34) 4% (18) 3% (14) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 78% (583) 11% (82) 5% (39) 3% (22) 2% (17) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 79% (622) 12% (92) 7% (52) 2% (15) 1% (7) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 52% (262) 20% (99) 14% (72) 7% (35) 8% (40) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 76% (535) 14% (98) 5% (32) 3% (24) 2% (12) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 78% (252) 11% (35) 8% (27) 2% (5) 1% (3) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 79% (370) 12% (58) 5% (25) 2% (10) 1% (4) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 52% (132) 21% (53) 12% (31) 6% (15) 9% (24) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 51% (130) 18% (46) 16% (41) 8% (20) 6% (16) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 76% (272) 15% (53) 4% (13) 3% (12) 2% (8) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 77% (263) 13% (44) 5% (19) 4% (12) 1% (5) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 78% (453) 12% (70) 6% (34) 2% (10) 2% (11) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 67% (333) 15% (77) 11% (54) 4% (19) 4% (18) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 75% (568) 14% (106) 5% (38) 4% (28) 2% (15) 754Educ: < College 68% (857) 15% (194) 9% (117) 4% (49) 3% (39) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 74% (348) 14% (66) 5% (25) 4% (20) 3% (13) 472Educ: Post-grad 80% (214) 11% (29) 5% (14) 2% (5) 2% (6) 269Income: Under 50k 67% (669) 16% (158) 10% (96) 5% (46) 3% (30) 999Income: 50k-100k 73% (490) 15% (97) 7% (44) 2% (17) 3% (18) 666Income: 100k+ 79% (260) 10% (34) 5% (15) 3% (11) 3% (10) 330Ethnicity: White 72% (1170) 14% (226) 7% (112) 4% (58) 3% (48) 1614Ethnicity: Hispanic 70% (134) 13% (26) 11% (22) 3% (6) 3% (6) 193



25

Table POL1




Registered Voters 71% (1419) 14% (289) 8% (156) 4% (73) 3% (59) 1996Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 68% (172) 15% (38) 11% (27) 4% (11) 2% (5) 253Ethnicity: Other 60% (77) 20% (25) 13% (16) 3% (4) 5% (6) 129All Christian 76% (733) 12% (120) 5% (49) 4% (40) 2% (17) 958All Non-Christian 72% (78) 18% (20) 3% (3) 4% (4) 4% (4) 109Atheist 74% (68) 14% (13) 8% (7) 2% (2) 3% (3) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 65% (539) 16% (137) 12% (97) 3% (28) 4% (35) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 70% (92) 16% (21) 4% (5) 6% (8) 4% (5) 131Evangelical 74% (402) 16% (85) 6% (34) 3% (15) 1% (7) 543Non-Evangelical 75% (539) 13% (94) 6% (44) 4% (32) 2% (15) 723Community: Urban 68% (329) 15% (74) 8% (41) 5% (24) 3% (16) 484Community: Suburban 71% (671) 15% (145) 8% (73) 3% (32) 2% (20) 942Community: Rural 74% (419) 12% (70) 7% (41) 3% (17) 4% (22) 569Employ: Private Sector 72% (467) 16% (106) 8% (50) 2% (14) 2% (12) 649Employ: Government 64% (97) 12% (19) 13% (20) 8% (12) 3% (4) 153Employ: Self-Employed 73% (130) 12% (22) 7% (12) 4% (7) 4% (7) 177Employ: Homemaker 68% (82) 19% (23) 5% (6) 3% (4) 4% (5) 120Employ: Retired 80% (415) 9% (49) 5% (28) 3% (15) 3% (15) 521Employ: Unemployed 66% (106) 14% (22) 11% (18) 7% (11) 3% (5) 161Employ: Other 59% (70) 19% (23) 10% (12) 5% (6) 6% (7) 117Military HH: Yes 76% (272) 12% (44) 6% (22) 3% (10) 3% (9) 358Military HH: No 70% (1147) 15% (245) 8% (134) 4% (63) 3% (49) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 74% (631) 14% (118) 7% (60) 3% (29) 2% (20) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 69% (788) 15% (171) 8% (96) 4% (45) 3% (38) 1139Trump Job Approve 73% (631) 15% (127) 7% (57) 3% (30) 2% (20) 865Trump Job Disapprove 72% (772) 14% (153) 8% (86) 4% (39) 2% (23) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 83% (439) 9% (49) 4% (19) 2% (11) 2% (13) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 58% (193) 23% (78) 11% (37) 6% (19) 2% (7) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 49% (104) 27% (57) 14% (31) 6% (12) 3% (7) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 77% (668) 11% (95) 6% (56) 3% (27) 2% (16) 863Favorable of Trump 74% (641) 14% (117) 6% (55) 4% (30) 2% (21) 865Unfavorable of Trump 71% (751) 15% (158) 8% (83) 3% (37) 3% (28) 1057


26





Registered Voters 71% (1419) 14% (289) 8% (156) 4% (73) 3% (59) 1996Very Favorable of Trump 83% (448) 9% (48) 4% (21) 2% (12) 2% (11) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 60% (193) 21% (69) 10% (34) 6% (18) 3% (10) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 49% (82) 29% (48) 11% (19) 7% (11) 5% (8) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 75% (669) 12% (110) 7% (64) 3% (26) 2% (21) 890#1 Issue: Economy 65% (293) 18% (81) 9% (42) 5% (22) 3% (15) 453#1 Issue: Security 77% (312) 12% (49) 5% (18) 4% (15) 2% (8) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 73% (265) 16% (57) 6% (20) 3% (12) 3% (10) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 75% (221) 10% (31) 9% (27) 2% (7) 3% (9) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 69% (81) 17% (20) 9% (11) 4% (4) 2% (2) 118#1 Issue: Education 56% (65) 21% (25) 14% (16) 5% (6) 4% (5) 117#1 Issue: Energy 75% (100) 13% (18) 7% (10) 3% (4) 2% (3) 134#1 Issue: Other 73% (81) 8% (9) 11% (12) 2% (2) 6% (7) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 82% (660) 12% (97) 3% (26) 1% (11) 2% (13) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 82% (581) 12% (82) 2% (18) 3% (20) 1% (8) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 67% (40) 13% (8) 5% (3) 3% (2) 11% (7) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 81% (597) 11% (82) 5% (37) 2% (11) 1% (8) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 80% (590) 12% (90) 4% (27) 2% (18) 2% (13) 7382016 Vote: Other 57% (80) 25% (36) 7% (10) 6% (8) 5% (7) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 40% (151) 21% (81) 21% (82) 10% (36) 8% (30) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 81% (1132) 12% (165) 3% (46) 2% (30) 2% (23) 1396Voted in 2014: No 48% (287) 21% (124) 18% (110) 7% (43) 6% (35) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 76% (671) 14% (119) 6% (54) 2% (19) 2% (15) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 80% (432) 12% (64) 3% (17) 3% (15) 2% (10) 5382012 Vote: Other 75% (85) 13% (15) 5% (5) 4% (4) 3% (4) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 49% (228) 20% (91) 17% (79) 8% (36) 6% (30) 4654-Region: Northeast 71% (252) 14% (50) 7% (26) 3% (12) 4% (16) 3564-Region: Midwest 70% (319) 17% (79) 7% (32) 3% (16) 3% (13) 4584-Region: South 71% (526) 13% (96) 9% (67) 4% (32) 3% (24) 7454-Region: West 74% (322) 15% (63) 7% (31) 3% (13) 1% (6) 436Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 76% (692) 13% (117) 8% (69) 2% (19) 1% (10) 907Party: Republican/Leans Republican 74% (613) 14% (117) 6% (49) 4% (31) 3% (23) 832



27

Table POL1




Registered Voters 71% (1419) 14% (289) 8% (156) 4% (73) 3% (59) 1996Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 82% (715) 14% (120) 5% (42) — (0) — (0) 876Vote in Republican primary or caucus 81% (566) 14% (99) 5% (36) — (0) — (0) 701Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 50% (44) 23% (20) 27% (23) — (0) — (0) 87Don’t know / No opinion 47% (94) 25% (51) 28% (56) — (0) — (0) 200Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


28


Table POL2: Now, thinking about the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state, would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, theRepublican primary or caucus, or are you not likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all?

Demographic

Vote inDemocratic

primary or caucusVote in Republicanprimary or caucus

Not likely to votein primary or

caucusDon’t know / No

opinion Total N

Registered Voters 47% (876) 38% (701) 5% (87) 11% (200) 1864Gender: Male 44% (386) 42% (361) 6% (50) 8% (71) 868Gender: Female 49% (490) 34% (340) 4% (36) 13% (130) 996Age: 18-29 56% (170) 24% (73) 5% (14) 15% (44) 301Age: 30-44 48% (210) 35% (153) 5% (21) 12% (54) 438Age: 45-54 44% (130) 38% (113) 6% (18) 12% (35) 296Age: 55-64 41% (163) 45% (177) 4% (17) 10% (39) 397Age: 65+ 47% (204) 42% (184) 4% (17) 6% (28) 433Generation Z: 18-22 56% (63) 18% (20) 6% (6) 21% (24) 114Millennial: Age 23-38 52% (239) 31% (140) 5% (21) 12% (56) 457Generation X: Age 39-54 45% (207) 39% (179) 5% (25) 11% (53) 463Boomers: Age 55-73 46% (323) 42% (293) 4% (27) 9% (61) 704PID: Dem (no lean) 92% (709) 1% (7) 2% (15) 5% (35) 767PID: Ind (no lean) 35% (152) 24% (105) 11% (49) 30% (128) 433PID: Rep (no lean) 2% (16) 89% (589) 3% (23) 5% (37) 664PID/Gender: DemMen 92% (290) — (1) 4% (12) 4% (11) 314PID/Gender: DemWomen 93% (419) 1% (7) 1% (3) 5% (24) 453PID/Gender: Ind Men 40% (87) 26% (56) 12% (26) 22% (47) 215PID/Gender: Ind Women 30% (65) 22% (49) 10% (23) 37% (82) 218PID/Gender: Rep Men 3% (10) 90% (304) 4% (12) 4% (12) 338PID/Gender: Rep Women 2% (6) 87% (285) 3% (10) 7% (24) 326Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 86% (479) 5% (30) 4% (22) 5% (27) 557Ideo: Moderate (4) 58% (268) 24% (109) 5% (25) 13% (61) 463Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 13% (93) 75% (532) 4% (31) 8% (56) 712Educ: < College 44% (509) 39% (450) 5% (57) 13% (153) 1168Educ: Bachelors degree 51% (225) 36% (159) 4% (20) 8% (35) 439Educ: Post-grad 56% (143) 36% (92) 4% (10) 5% (12) 257Income: Under 50k 47% (433) 36% (330) 5% (46) 12% (115) 923Income: 50k-100k 47% (295) 40% (251) 4% (23) 10% (63) 632Income: 100k+ 48% (149) 39% (120) 6% (18) 7% (22) 309



29

Table POL2


Demographic

Vote inDemocratic




opinion Total N

Registered Voters 47% (876) 38% (701) 5% (87) 11% (200) 1864Ethnicity: White 42% (636) 43% (646) 5% (74) 10% (153) 1508Ethnicity: Hispanic 53% (96) 34% (61) 4% (7) 10% (18) 182Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 78% (186) 9% (22) 3% (6) 10% (23) 237Ethnicity: Other 46% (55) 27% (32) 5% (6) 21% (25) 118All Christian 39% (355) 49% (444) 4% (39) 7% (63) 901All Non-Christian 78% (79) 16% (17) — (0) 5% (5) 101Atheist 74% (66) 16% (14) 5% (5) 5% (5) 89Agnostic/Nothing in particular 49% (377) 29% (226) 6% (43) 16% (127) 773Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 70% (83) 22% (26) 1% (1) 7% (8) 118Evangelical 30% (158) 56% (293) 3% (18) 10% (51) 520Non-Evangelical 48% (325) 37% (249) 5% (34) 10% (68) 676Community: Urban 60% (268) 25% (109) 4% (17) 11% (49) 444Community: Suburban 49% (434) 36% (322) 6% (49) 9% (83) 890Community: Rural 33% (174) 51% (270) 4% (20) 13% (68) 531Employ: Private Sector 50% (308) 37% (233) 4% (26) 9% (55) 623Employ: Government 50% (68) 35% (48) 6% (8) 9% (13) 136Employ: Self-Employed 42% (69) 38% (63) 7% (12) 12% (19) 163Employ: Homemaker 32% (36) 48% (54) 4% (4) 16% (18) 112Employ: Retired 46% (228) 42% (207) 4% (21) 7% (36) 492Employ: Unemployed 56% (82) 28% (41) 1% (2) 15% (21) 145Employ: Other 32% (34) 41% (42) 6% (6) 21% (22) 104Military HH: Yes 38% (129) 46% (157) 5% (16) 11% (38) 339Military HH: No 49% (748) 36% (544) 5% (70) 11% (163) 1525RD/WT: Right Direction 16% (131) 71% (572) 4% (35) 9% (69) 808RD/WT: Wrong Track 71% (745) 12% (129) 5% (51) 12% (131) 1056Trump Job Approve 11% (88) 77% (627) 4% (35) 8% (65) 815Trump Job Disapprove 77% (781) 7% (69) 5% (47) 11% (114) 1011


30



Demographic

Vote inDemocratic




opinion Total N

Registered Voters 47% (876) 38% (701) 5% (87) 11% (200) 1864Trump Job Strongly Approve 6% (30) 88% (444) 3% (13) 4% (20) 507Trump Job Somewhat Approve 19% (58) 59% (182) 7% (22) 15% (46) 308Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 49% (94) 17% (32) 9% (17) 25% (47) 192Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 84% (687) 4% (36) 4% (30) 8% (67) 820Favorable of Trump 11% (87) 77% (629) 4% (35) 8% (63) 814Unfavorable of Trump 76% (758) 7% (68) 5% (45) 12% (121) 992Very Favorable of Trump 7% (39) 85% (439) 3% (17) 4% (23) 518Somewhat Favorable of Trump 16% (49) 64% (190) 6% (18) 14% (40) 296Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 46% (68) 24% (36) 6% (9) 24% (35) 149Very Unfavorable of Trump 82% (690) 4% (32) 4% (36) 10% (86) 843#1 Issue: Economy 40% (166) 42% (174) 5% (21) 13% (54) 416#1 Issue: Security 18% (70) 71% (270) 4% (16) 6% (23) 379#1 Issue: Health Care 67% (229) 19% (67) 3% (11) 11% (36) 342#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 50% (138) 35% (96) 5% (15) 11% (29) 279#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 64% (71) 18% (20) 4% (5) 14% (16) 111#1 Issue: Education 50% (53) 23% (24) 8% (8) 19% (21) 106#1 Issue: Energy 80% (102) 12% (15) 2% (3) 6% (7) 127#1 Issue: Other 46% (47) 33% (34) 7% (7) 14% (15) 1032018 House Vote: Democrat 90% (706) 2% (19) 2% (14) 6% (44) 7822018 House Vote: Republican 6% (43) 84% (575) 4% (29) 5% (34) 6812018 House Vote: Someone else 11% (6) 11% (6) 14% (7) 64% (33) 512016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 89% (638) 3% (24) 2% (18) 5% (37) 7172016 Vote: Donald Trump 10% (71) 79% (555) 4% (31) 7% (49) 7072016 Vote: Other 41% (51) 19% (24) 12% (15) 28% (35) 1262016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 37% (115) 31% (97) 7% (22) 25% (79) 314Voted in 2014: Yes 51% (684) 38% (511) 4% (49) 7% (99) 1343Voted in 2014: No 37% (192) 36% (190) 7% (38) 19% (101) 521



31

Table POL2


Demographic

Vote inDemocratic




opinion Total N

Registered Voters 47% (876) 38% (701) 5% (87) 11% (200) 18642012 Vote: Barack Obama 76% (644) 12% (99) 4% (31) 8% (71) 8442012 Vote: Mitt Romney 10% (51) 79% (408) 4% (20) 7% (35) 5142012 Vote: Other 14% (15) 55% (58) 10% (11) 20% (21) 1052012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 42% (167) 34% (136) 6% (25) 18% (72) 3994-Region: Northeast 51% (167) 34% (112) 5% (16) 10% (34) 3294-Region: Midwest 43% (185) 39% (167) 4% (19) 14% (60) 4304-Region: South 44% (304) 42% (291) 5% (36) 8% (58) 6894-Region: West 53% (221) 32% (131) 4% (17) 12% (48) 417Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 90% (789) 1% (11) 3% (24) 6% (54) 878Party: Republican/Leans Republican 5% (38) 84% (655) 5% (38) 6% (47) 778Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 100% (876) — (0) — (0) — (0) 876Vote in Republican primary or caucus — (0) 100% (701) — (0) — (0) 701Not likely to vote in primary or caucus — (0) — (0) 100% (87) — (0) 87Don’t know / No opinion — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (200) 200Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


32


Table POL3: Do you think the Republican party should nominate Donald Trump as the party’s candidate for president in 2020, or do you think theRepublican party should nominate a different candidate for president in 2020?

Demographic

StronglysupportTrump’s

nomination

SomewhatsupportTrump’s

nomination

Somewhatsupport adifferentcandidate’snomination

Stronglysupport adifferentcandidate’snomination

Don’t know /No opinion Total N

Registered Voters 77% (537) 14% (97) 4% (25) 5% (32) 1% (10) 701Gender: Male 78% (281) 15% (54) 2% (8) 4% (14) 1% (4) 361Gender: Female 75% (256) 13% (43) 5% (17) 5% (18) 2% (6) 340Age: 18-29 66% (48) 21% (16) 4% (3) 5% (4) 3% (2) 73Age: 30-44 75% (115) 14% (22) 4% (7) 5% (8) — (0) 153Age: 45-54 81% (91) 14% (16) 3% (3) 2% (3) — (0) 113Age: 55-64 77% (137) 13% (24) 2% (4) 6% (10) 1% (2) 177Age: 65+ 79% (144) 11% (20) 4% (7) 4% (7) 3% (6) 184Millennial: Age 23-38 71% (99) 17% (23) 6% (9) 5% (8) 1% (1) 140Generation X: Age 39-54 80% (143) 14% (26) 2% (4) 3% (5) — (0) 179Boomers: Age 55-73 77% (225) 13% (39) 4% (11) 5% (15) 1% (4) 293PID: Ind (no lean) 62% (65) 23% (24) 5% (5) 9% (9) 1% (1) 105PID: Rep (no lean) 80% (471) 12% (70) 3% (18) 3% (20) 2% (9) 589PID/Gender: Ind Men 64% (36) 26% (15) 2% (1) 8% (5) — (0) 56PID/Gender: Rep Men 81% (245) 13% (39) 2% (7) 3% (9) 1% (4) 304PID/Gender: Rep Women 79% (225) 11% (31) 4% (11) 4% (12) 2% (5) 285Ideo: Moderate (4) 58% (63) 22% (24) 8% (9) 10% (11) 1% (2) 109Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 80% (427) 12% (64) 3% (14) 3% (18) 2% (9) 532Educ: < College 80% (359) 13% (59) 3% (11) 3% (13) 2% (7) 450Educ: Bachelors degree 74% (118) 16% (25) 5% (9) 4% (6) 1% (2) 159Educ: Post-grad 64% (59) 15% (13) 5% (5) 14% (13) 1% (1) 92Income: Under 50k 78% (259) 14% (45) 3% (9) 4% (12) 2% (5) 330Income: 50k-100k 72% (181) 18% (44) 3% (7) 6% (15) 2% (4) 251Income: 100k+ 81% (97) 7% (9) 8% (9) 4% (5) 1% (1) 120Ethnicity: White 77% (500) 13% (87) 4% (23) 4% (26) 2% (10) 646Ethnicity: Hispanic 77% (47) 11% (6) 2% (1) 11% (7) — (0) 61All Christian 77% (341) 14% (60) 3% (15) 5% (22) 1% (6) 444Agnostic/Nothing in particular 77% (174) 14% (32) 4% (9) 4% (8) 2% (4) 226



33

Table POL3


Demographic


nomination


nomination




Registered Voters 77% (537) 14% (97) 4% (25) 5% (32) 1% (10) 701Evangelical 81% (237) 9% (27) 2% (7) 5% (16) 2% (5) 293Non-Evangelical 76% (189) 15% (37) 3% (9) 4% (11) 1% (4) 249Community: Urban 75% (81) 11% (12) 4% (5) 8% (9) 2% (2) 109Community: Suburban 74% (239) 15% (49) 4% (14) 5% (15) 2% (5) 322Community: Rural 80% (216) 13% (36) 2% (6) 3% (9) 1% (3) 270Employ: Private Sector 72% (169) 17% (39) 6% (14) 3% (8) 1% (3) 233Employ: Self-Employed 85% (53) 6% (4) — (0) 9% (5) — (0) 63Employ: Homemaker 78% (42) 17% (9) 5% (3) — (0) — (0) 54Employ: Retired 78% (162) 12% (24) 3% (6) 5% (10) 2% (4) 207Military HH: Yes 78% (122) 15% (23) 3% (5) 4% (6) — (1) 157Military HH: No 76% (414) 14% (74) 4% (20) 5% (25) 2% (10) 544RD/WT: Right Direction 85% (489) 12% (67) 1% (7) 1% (3) 1% (5) 572RD/WT: Wrong Track 37% (47) 23% (30) 14% (18) 22% (29) 4% (5) 129Trump Job Approve 83% (520) 14% (90) 2% (11) — (1) 1% (5) 627Trump Job Disapprove 21% (14) 8% (5) 20% (14) 45% (31) 6% (4) 69Trump Job Strongly Approve 98% (434) 2% (7) — (1) — (0) 1% (2) 444Trump Job Somewhat Approve 47% (85) 46% (83) 6% (10) — (1) 1% (3) 182Favorable of Trump 84% (529) 14% (86) 1% (8) — (1) 1% (5) 629Unfavorable of Trump 8% (5) 17% (11) 25% (17) 44% (30) 6% (4) 68Very Favorable of Trump 98% (431) 2% (7) — (0) — (0) — (1) 439Somewhat Favorable of Trump 52% (98) 42% (79) 4% (8) — (1) 2% (4) 190


34



Demographic


nomination


nomination




Registered Voters 77% (537) 14% (97) 4% (25) 5% (32) 1% (10) 701#1 Issue: Economy 72% (125) 17% (30) 5% (9) 6% (10) — (0) 174#1 Issue: Security 86% (233) 10% (26) 3% (7) 1% (3) 1% (1) 270#1 Issue: Health Care 75% (50) 17% (11) 1% (0) 5% (3) 3% (2) 67#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 70% (68) 21% (20) 2% (2) 4% (3) 3% (3) 962018 House Vote: Republican 81% (467) 12% (68) 2% (14) 3% (19) 1% (7) 5752016 Vote: Donald Trump 82% (456) 12% (69) 2% (13) 2% (9) 1% (8) 5552016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 69% (67) 19% (18) 4% (4) 6% (5) 2% (2) 97Voted in 2014: Yes 79% (402) 12% (64) 3% (16) 4% (22) 2% (8) 511Voted in 2014: No 71% (135) 18% (34) 5% (9) 5% (10) 1% (2) 1902012 Vote: Barack Obama 64% (64) 16% (16) 7% (7) 11% (11) 2% (2) 992012 Vote: Mitt Romney 81% (329) 11% (47) 3% (12) 3% (13) 2% (7) 4082012 Vote: Other 83% (48) 12% (7) 1% (1) 4% (2) — (0) 582012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 70% (95) 21% (28) 4% (6) 4% (5) 1% (1) 1364-Region: Northeast 74% (83) 16% (18) 4% (5) 4% (4) 2% (2) 1124-Region: Midwest 76% (126) 13% (21) 4% (7) 7% (12) 1% (1) 1674-Region: South 82% (238) 13% (37) 2% (7) 2% (6) 1% (3) 2914-Region: West 68% (90) 16% (21) 5% (7) 7% (9) 4% (5) 131Party: Republican/Leans Republican 79% (515) 13% (85) 3% (22) 4% (23) 1% (9) 655Vote in Republican primary or caucus 77% (537) 14% (97) 4% (25) 5% (32) 1% (10) 701Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



35

Table POL4

Table POL4: If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you de nitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect DonaldTrump, probably vote for someone else or de nitely vote for someone else?

Demographic

De nitelyvote tore-electDonaldTrump

Probablyvote tore-electDonaldTrump

Probablyvote for

someone else

De nitelyvote for

someone elseWould not

voteDon’t know /No opinion Total N

Registered Voters 33% (661) 8% (168) 6% (121) 45% (902) 2% (42) 5% (102) 1996Gender: Male 37% (347) 9% (87) 7% (69) 39% (367) 2% (15) 5% (50) 934Gender: Female 30% (314) 8% (81) 5% (52) 50% (535) 3% (27) 5% (52) 1062Age: 18-29 18% (62) 8% (26) 9% (30) 54% (182) 3% (10) 8% (28) 338Age: 30-44 28% (132) 9% (44) 8% (36) 46% (217) 2% (9) 6% (28) 467Age: 45-54 39% (124) 8% (24) 4% (14) 44% (137) 2% (5) 3% (11) 315Age: 55-64 40% (163) 9% (35) 5% (21) 39% (159) 3% (10) 6% (23) 412Age: 65+ 39% (180) 8% (39) 5% (21) 45% (207) 1% (6) 2% (11) 464Generation Z: 18-22 13% (18) 8% (11) 11% (15) 52% (70) 4% (5) 11% (15) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 25% (122) 8% (40) 8% (38) 51% (250) 2% (8) 7% (33) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 36% (178) 9% (42) 5% (27) 44% (217) 2% (12) 4% (20) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 37% (277) 8% (61) 5% (40) 43% (320) 2% (14) 4% (31) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 4% (29) 3% (22) 6% (46) 81% (641) 3% (21) 4% (29) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 24% (121) 9% (46) 11% (55) 42% (212) 4% (18) 11% (56) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 73% (512) 14% (100) 3% (20) 7% (49) — (2) 2% (17) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 5% (17) 3% (11) 10% (33) 77% (248) 1% (3) 3% (11) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 3% (12) 2% (11) 3% (13) 84% (393) 4% (19) 4% (18) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 24% (60) 11% (28) 12% (30) 38% (97) 4% (11) 11% (28) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 24% (61) 7% (18) 10% (26) 45% (115) 3% (7) 11% (28) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 75% (270) 13% (47) 2% (7) 6% (22) — (1) 3% (10) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 71% (242) 15% (53) 4% (13) 8% (27) — (2) 2% (7) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 5% (28) 3% (15) 5% (26) 84% (485) 1% (6) 3% (17) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 20% (98) 9% (46) 9% (43) 56% (280) 2% (12) 4% (21) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 66% (498) 13% (99) 5% (37) 11% (86) 1% (9) 3% (26) 754Educ: < College 36% (453) 8% (96) 6% (81) 41% (514) 3% (38) 6% (74) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 30% (143) 10% (46) 6% (27) 50% (237) — (1) 4% (19) 472Educ: Post-grad 24% (65) 10% (26) 5% (13) 56% (152) 1% (3) 4% (10) 269


36



Demographic



Probablyvote for

someone else

De nitelyvote for



Registered Voters 33% (661) 8% (168) 6% (121) 45% (902) 2% (42) 5% (102) 1996Income: Under 50k 31% (314) 8% (83) 6% (65) 44% (440) 3% (31) 7% (66) 999Income: 50k-100k 35% (233) 9% (59) 6% (39) 45% (302) 1% (7) 4% (26) 666Income: 100k+ 35% (114) 8% (26) 5% (17) 48% (160) 1% (3) 3% (10) 330Ethnicity: White 38% (614) 9% (146) 6% (90) 41% (669) 2% (28) 4% (67) 1614Ethnicity: Hispanic 29% (56) 6% (12) 9% (16) 47% (90) 4% (7) 6% (12) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 7% (19) 6% (15) 10% (26) 65% (165) 3% (9) 8% (20) 253Ethnicity: Other 22% (28) 6% (7) 5% (6) 53% (68) 4% (5) 11% (15) 129All Christian 43% (407) 11% (101) 6% (59) 37% (351) 1% (12) 3% (27) 958All Non-Christian 17% (19) 7% (7) 6% (7) 65% (70) 2% (2) 3% (3) 109Atheist 13% (12) 6% (6) 4% (4) 75% (70) — (0) 1% (1) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 27% (222) 6% (53) 6% (51) 49% (411) 3% (27) 9% (71) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 20% (26) 8% (10) 9% (11) 60% (78) 2% (2) 3% (4) 131Evangelical 49% (268) 9% (49) 5% (27) 30% (163) 2% (12) 4% (23) 543Non-Evangelical 33% (235) 10% (70) 7% (49) 46% (329) 2% (17) 3% (23) 723Community: Urban 20% (98) 7% (34) 9% (42) 55% (266) 3% (15) 6% (29) 484Community: Suburban 32% (301) 9% (89) 6% (55) 47% (439) 2% (17) 4% (41) 942Community: Rural 46% (262) 8% (45) 4% (25) 35% (197) 2% (9) 6% (32) 569Employ: Private Sector 32% (209) 10% (65) 7% (48) 44% (286) 2% (11) 5% (31) 649Employ: Government 26% (40) 6% (10) 5% (8) 56% (85) 2% (3) 5% (7) 153Employ: Self-Employed 35% (62) 8% (15) 7% (12) 43% (76) 3% (6) 4% (8) 177Employ: Homemaker 43% (52) 7% (8) 7% (8) 33% (39) 3% (4) 7% (8) 120Employ: Retired 39% (202) 9% (47) 4% (21) 45% (234) 1% (6) 2% (11) 521Employ: Unemployed 27% (43) 5% (7) 9% (15) 48% (78) 4% (6) 7% (12) 161Employ: Other 33% (39) 6% (7) 3% (4) 39% (45) 6% (7) 13% (16) 117Military HH: Yes 43% (154) 9% (33) 7% (26) 35% (126) 2% (6) 4% (13) 358Military HH: No 31% (507) 8% (135) 6% (96) 47% (776) 2% (35) 5% (89) 1638



37

Table POL4


Demographic



Probablyvote for

someone else

De nitelyvote for



Registered Voters 33% (661) 8% (168) 6% (121) 45% (902) 2% (42) 5% (102) 1996RD/WT: Right Direction 69% (592) 13% (113) 4% (38) 8% (68) 1% (6) 5% (40) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 6% (69) 5% (55) 7% (84) 73% (834) 3% (36) 5% (62) 1139Trump Job Approve 73% (631) 17% (145) 4% (32) 3% (22) — (4) 4% (30) 865Trump Job Disapprove 2% (24) 2% (21) 8% (81) 81% (872) 3% (31) 4% (44) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 95% (503) 3% (16) 1% (4) 1% (3) — (1) 1% (3) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 39% (129) 39% (129) 8% (28) 6% (19) 1% (2) 8% (27) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 4% (9) 8% (18) 24% (51) 46% (97) 5% (11) 12% (24) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 2% (15) — (3) 3% (30) 90% (775) 2% (19) 2% (20) 863Favorable of Trump 75% (645) 16% (137) 3% (26) 2% (20) 1% (6) 4% (31) 865Unfavorable of Trump 1% (11) 3% (29) 8% (84) 81% (852) 3% (31) 5% (51) 1057Very Favorable of Trump 95% (512) 2% (10) 1% (7) 2% (9) — (0) — (3) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 41% (133) 39% (127) 6% (19) 3% (11) 2% (6) 9% (29) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 5% (9) 13% (22) 27% (45) 36% (60) 4% (6) 15% (25) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump — (3) 1% (6) 4% (38) 89% (792) 3% (25) 3% (26) 890#1 Issue: Economy 36% (161) 10% (47) 7% (33) 38% (174) 3% (12) 5% (25) 453#1 Issue: Security 65% (263) 11% (43) 4% (15) 17% (70) 1% (2) 2% (10) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 21% (76) 6% (22) 4% (16) 61% (221) 2% (9) 6% (20) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 31% (90) 10% (28) 7% (21) 47% (139) 2% (5) 4% (12) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 14% (17) 9% (11) 9% (11) 65% (76) — (0) 3% (4) 118#1 Issue: Education 15% (18) 5% (6) 12% (15) 50% (59) 3% (3) 14% (16) 117#1 Issue: Energy 5% (7) 5% (7) 4% (5) 80% (107) 2% (3) 4% (6) 134#1 Issue: Other 27% (30) 3% (3) 5% (6) 50% (56) 6% (7) 9% (10) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 3% (23) 3% (26) 7% (58) 83% (671) 1% (11) 2% (17) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 73% (517) 14% (97) 4% (27) 7% (50) — (2) 2% (15) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 18% (11) 7% (4) 4% (3) 40% (24) 3% (2) 28% (17) 60


38



Demographic



Probablyvote for

someone else

De nitelyvote for



Registered Voters 33% (661) 8% (168) 6% (121) 45% (902) 2% (42) 5% (102) 19962016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 1% (9) 2% (11) 7% (50) 87% (644) 1% (10) 2% (13) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 75% (551) 14% (107) 3% (22) 5% (38) — (0) 3% (20) 7382016 Vote: Other 10% (14) 11% (16) 15% (21) 50% (71) 3% (4) 12% (16) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 23% (88) 9% (35) 7% (28) 39% (148) 7% (28) 14% (53) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 34% (475) 8% (115) 6% (84) 47% (661) 1% (16) 3% (45) 1396Voted in 2014: No 31% (186) 9% (53) 6% (37) 40% (242) 4% (26) 9% (57) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 11% (95) 5% (47) 6% (56) 72% (630) 2% (19) 4% (32) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 69% (371) 14% (73) 5% (25) 10% (55) — (1) 3% (14) 5382012 Vote: Other 54% (60) 10% (11) 6% (6) 21% (24) 1% (2) 8% (9) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 29% (133) 8% (37) 7% (35) 41% (192) 4% (20) 10% (47) 4654-Region: Northeast 32% (114) 8% (30) 7% (23) 47% (167) 1% (5) 5% (17) 3564-Region: Midwest 35% (159) 7% (34) 6% (27) 47% (214) 1% (6) 4% (18) 4584-Region: South 38% (282) 8% (63) 6% (42) 39% (292) 3% (24) 6% (42) 7454-Region: West 24% (105) 9% (41) 7% (29) 52% (229) 2% (7) 6% (25) 436Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 3% (31) 3% (24) 6% (53) 81% (739) 3% (23) 4% (37) 907Party: Republican/Leans Republican 70% (585) 15% (127) 4% (31) 7% (62) 1% (5) 3% (22) 832Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 4% (33) 3% (27) 7% (60) 83% (729) 1% (10) 2% (16) 876Vote in Republican primary or caucus 77% (538) 15% (106) 3% (18) 4% (31) — (1) 1% (7) 701Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 26% (23) 11% (9) 9% (8) 39% (34) 4% (3) 11% (10) 87Don’t know / No opinion 16% (33) 8% (17) 13% (27) 36% (72) 2% (3) 24% (48) 200Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



39

Table POL5

Table POL5: If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for?

DemographicDemocraticcandidate

Republicancandidate Would not vote

Don’t know / Noopinion Total N

Registered Voters 45% (908) 41% (809) 2% (34) 12% (245) 1996Gender: Male 42% (394) 45% (420) 1% (13) 11% (107) 934Gender: Female 48% (514) 37% (389) 2% (21) 13% (138) 1062Age: 18-29 53% (178) 27% (92) 4% (12) 16% (56) 338Age: 30-44 47% (217) 36% (169) 2% (11) 15% (69) 467Age: 45-54 44% (138) 43% (137) — (1) 13% (39) 315Age: 55-64 39% (162) 49% (204) 2% (7) 10% (39) 412Age: 65+ 46% (212) 45% (208) 1% (3) 9% (42) 464Generation Z: 18-22 49% (65) 23% (31) 7% (9) 21% (28) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 51% (251) 33% (162) 2% (8) 14% (71) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 44% (218) 41% (204) 1% (7) 13% (66) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 44% (327) 46% (340) 1% (7) 9% (70) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 91% (715) 4% (31) 1% (7) 4% (35) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 34% (171) 29% (145) 5% (25) 33% (167) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 3% (22) 90% (633) — (3) 6% (43) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 90% (291) 4% (13) 1% (2) 5% (17) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 91% (424) 4% (19) 1% (5) 4% (18) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 36% (91) 31% (79) 4% (11) 29% (73) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 32% (80) 26% (66) 5% (13) 37% (94) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 3% (12) 92% (329) — (0) 5% (17) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 3% (10) 89% (304) 1% (3) 8% (26) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 87% (505) 7% (42) — (3) 5% (28) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 55% (275) 27% (135) 2% (9) 16% (81) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 11% (83) 79% (598) 1% (5) 9% (68) 754Educ: < College 42% (521) 41% (521) 2% (31) 15% (182) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 50% (235) 41% (192) — (2) 9% (43) 472Educ: Post-grad 56% (151) 36% (96) — (1) 7% (20) 269Income: Under 50k 45% (450) 39% (391) 3% (32) 13% (127) 999Income: 50k-100k 44% (294) 42% (282) — (2) 13% (88) 666Income: 100k+ 50% (164) 41% (136) — (0) 9% (31) 330Ethnicity: White 40% (652) 46% (750) 1% (24) 12% (189) 1614Ethnicity: Hispanic 51% (99) 35% (67) 1% (1) 13% (26) 193


40






Registered Voters 45% (908) 41% (809) 2% (34) 12% (245) 1996Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 76% (193) 10% (26) 3% (9) 10% (25) 253Ethnicity: Other 49% (63) 25% (33) 1% (2) 24% (31) 129All Christian 37% (358) 53% (511) 1% (7) 9% (83) 958All Non-Christian 71% (77) 20% (22) 3% (3) 7% (7) 109Atheist 73% (68) 22% (21) 1% (1) 4% (4) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 48% (405) 31% (255) 3% (24) 18% (152) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 62% (82) 25% (33) 2% (3) 10% (14) 131Evangelical 29% (158) 59% (319) 1% (7) 11% (58) 543Non-Evangelical 47% (340) 41% (297) 1% (11) 11% (76) 723Community: Urban 57% (278) 27% (131) 3% (15) 12% (60) 484Community: Suburban 47% (441) 40% (381) 2% (15) 11% (106) 942Community: Rural 33% (189) 52% (297) 1% (4) 14% (79) 569Employ: Private Sector 47% (303) 40% (262) 1% (8) 12% (76) 649Employ: Government 47% (71) 37% (57) 2% (3) 14% (22) 153Employ: Self-Employed 43% (77) 44% (78) 3% (5) 10% (18) 177Employ: Homemaker 34% (40) 49% (58) 2% (3) 15% (18) 120Employ: Retired 45% (232) 46% (239) 1% (4) 9% (47) 521Employ: Unemployed 53% (86) 31% (50) 1% (1) 15% (24) 161Employ: Other 36% (42) 36% (42) 7% (8) 21% (24) 117Military HH: Yes 35% (126) 51% (181) 2% (7) 12% (43) 358Military HH: No 48% (781) 38% (627) 2% (27) 12% (202) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 12% (102) 78% (665) 1% (7) 10% (83) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 71% (806) 13% (144) 2% (27) 14% (163) 1139Trump Job Approve 7% (58) 83% (717) 1% (7) 10% (83) 865Trump Job Disapprove 78% (841) 8% (85) 2% (18) 12% (128) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 3% (13) 92% (489) — (3) 5% (27) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 13% (45) 69% (229) 1% (4) 17% (56) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 47% (98) 19% (41) 7% (15) 27% (57) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 86% (743) 5% (45) — (4) 8% (71) 863Favorable of Trump 6% (55) 83% (720) 1% (7) 10% (83) 865Unfavorable of Trump 78% (820) 8% (82) 2% (18) 13% (136) 1057



41

Table POL5





Registered Voters 45% (908) 41% (809) 2% (34) 12% (245) 1996Very Favorable of Trump 4% (23) 90% (486) — (2) 6% (30) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 10% (32) 72% (234) 2% (5) 16% (53) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 42% (70) 29% (48) 6% (10) 24% (40) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 84% (751) 4% (35) 1% (8) 11% (96) 890#1 Issue: Economy 40% (179) 46% (208) 2% (9) 12% (56) 453#1 Issue: Security 17% (68) 74% (297) 2% (7) 7% (30) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 66% (239) 23% (83) 1% (5) 10% (37) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 47% (138) 39% (115) 1% (2) 14% (41) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 59% (69) 25% (29) 1% (1) 16% (19) 118#1 Issue: Education 48% (56) 24% (29) 3% (3) 25% (29) 117#1 Issue: Energy 79% (105) 11% (15) 1% (2) 9% (13) 134#1 Issue: Other 47% (53) 29% (33) 4% (5) 19% (21) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 91% (736) 4% (29) — (1) 5% (41) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 4% (25) 90% (634) — (3) 7% (46) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 12% (7) 14% (9) 3% (2) 71% (42) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 92% (677) 3% (23) — (2) 5% (34) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 6% (44) 85% (628) 1% (4) 8% (62) 7382016 Vote: Other 40% (56) 25% (35) 2% (2) 34% (48) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 34% (129) 32% (122) 7% (26) 27% (102) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 50% (698) 41% (579) 1% (8) 8% (112) 1396Voted in 2014: No 35% (210) 38% (230) 4% (27) 22% (133) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 77% (676) 14% (124) 1% (7) 8% (72) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 9% (46) 83% (447) 1% (4) 8% (41) 5382012 Vote: Other 11% (13) 64% (73) 1% (2) 23% (26) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 37% (173) 35% (164) 5% (22) 23% (106) 4654-Region: Northeast 49% (175) 38% (134) 1% (3) 12% (44) 3564-Region: Midwest 43% (198) 45% (204) 1% (2) 12% (54) 4584-Region: South 42% (313) 44% (326) 3% (21) 11% (85) 7454-Region: West 51% (222) 33% (144) 2% (7) 14% (63) 436Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 90% (813) 4% (36) 1% (7) 6% (50) 907Party: Republican/Leans Republican 4% (33) 88% (734) 1% (6) 7% (59) 832


42






Registered Voters 45% (908) 41% (809) 2% (34) 12% (245) 1996Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 92% (803) 5% (41) — (2) 4% (31) 876Vote in Republican primary or caucus 3% (19) 93% (654) — (0) 4% (28) 701Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 23% (20) 37% (32) 9% (8) 31% (27) 87Don’t know / No opinion 18% (36) 19% (39) 1% (3) 61% (122) 200Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



43

Table POL6_1

Table POL6_1: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following?The delayed results from the Democratic presidential caucuses in Iowa

Demographic A lot Some Not Much Nothing at all Total N

Registered Voters 39% (788) 31% (612) 14% (289) 15% (307) 1996Gender: Male 42% (394) 31% (293) 13% (120) 14% (127) 934Gender: Female 37% (394) 30% (319) 16% (169) 17% (180) 1062Age: 18-29 30% (101) 24% (79) 19% (64) 28% (94) 338Age: 30-44 30% (141) 31% (145) 16% (77) 22% (105) 467Age: 45-54 38% (120) 35% (109) 16% (50) 11% (36) 315Age: 55-64 45% (186) 34% (141) 12% (50) 9% (35) 412Age: 65+ 52% (241) 30% (138) 11% (49) 8% (37) 464Generation Z: 18-22 29% (38) 18% (24) 22% (29) 31% (42) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 30% (148) 28% (138) 17% (84) 25% (122) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 35% (176) 35% (171) 16% (78) 14% (71) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 48% (356) 33% (245) 11% (85) 8% (58) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 40% (315) 32% (254) 13% (103) 15% (117) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 36% (182) 30% (154) 15% (75) 19% (97) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 42% (292) 29% (204) 16% (112) 13% (93) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 42% (134) 31% (100) 12% (37) 16% (50) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 39% (180) 33% (154) 14% (65) 14% (66) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 43% (108) 30% (76) 13% (33) 14% (37) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 29% (74) 31% (78) 16% (42) 24% (61) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 42% (151) 33% (117) 14% (49) 11% (41) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 41% (140) 25% (87) 18% (62) 15% (52) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 46% (265) 31% (179) 12% (70) 11% (64) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 34% (168) 32% (162) 18% (88) 16% (82) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 43% (327) 30% (227) 15% (111) 12% (89) 754Educ: < College 34% (426) 29% (362) 17% (213) 20% (254) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 46% (219) 36% (168) 11% (52) 7% (33) 472Educ: Post-grad 53% (143) 31% (82) 9% (24) 7% (19) 269Income: Under 50k 33% (333) 30% (295) 16% (155) 22% (216) 999Income: 50k-100k 42% (282) 34% (226) 14% (95) 10% (64) 666Income: 100k+ 52% (173) 28% (91) 12% (39) 8% (27) 330Ethnicity: White 43% (693) 30% (486) 14% (231) 13% (205) 1614Ethnicity: Hispanic 32% (62) 35% (68) 11% (20) 22% (43) 193


44

Morning ConsultTable POL6_1



Registered Voters 39% (788) 31% (612) 14% (289) 15% (307) 1996Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 26% (65) 33% (83) 13% (34) 28% (72) 253Ethnicity: Other 24% (30) 34% (43) 19% (25) 24% (30) 129All Christian 45% (428) 32% (303) 13% (124) 11% (104) 958All Non-Christian 44% (48) 32% (35) 13% (14) 10% (11) 109Atheist 51% (47) 34% (32) 10% (9) 5% (5) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 32% (265) 29% (242) 17% (142) 22% (187) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 44% (57) 31% (41) 15% (19) 10% (13) 131Evangelical 35% (190) 29% (159) 17% (91) 19% (102) 543Non-Evangelical 44% (318) 32% (230) 11% (82) 13% (93) 723Community: Urban 35% (168) 29% (139) 15% (70) 22% (107) 484Community: Suburban 43% (403) 33% (309) 14% (133) 10% (98) 942Community: Rural 38% (217) 29% (164) 15% (86) 18% (102) 569Employ: Private Sector 39% (252) 34% (218) 15% (97) 13% (82) 649Employ: Government 35% (54) 27% (41) 16% (24) 22% (34) 153Employ: Self-Employed 46% (81) 28% (49) 11% (20) 15% (27) 177Employ: Homemaker 31% (37) 22% (26) 27% (33) 20% (24) 120Employ: Retired 50% (258) 31% (162) 11% (57) 8% (44) 521Employ: Unemployed 31% (50) 34% (54) 10% (16) 25% (41) 161Employ: Other 26% (31) 38% (44) 13% (16) 23% (27) 117Military HH: Yes 44% (159) 28% (100) 14% (49) 14% (51) 358Military HH: No 38% (629) 31% (512) 15% (240) 16% (256) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 40% (339) 31% (262) 16% (136) 14% (120) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 39% (449) 31% (350) 13% (153) 16% (187) 1139Trump Job Approve 41% (358) 30% (259) 16% (136) 13% (112) 865Trump Job Disapprove 39% (424) 32% (344) 13% (144) 15% (161) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 46% (247) 28% (147) 15% (78) 11% (59) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 33% (112) 34% (112) 17% (57) 16% (53) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 26% (54) 32% (68) 21% (44) 21% (45) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 43% (370) 32% (276) 12% (100) 13% (116) 863Favorable of Trump 41% (356) 31% (264) 16% (135) 13% (110) 865Unfavorable of Trump 40% (422) 32% (334) 13% (140) 15% (160) 1057



45

Table POL6_1



Registered Voters 39% (788) 31% (612) 14% (289) 15% (307) 1996Very Favorable of Trump 47% (251) 27% (147) 14% (77) 12% (65) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 32% (105) 36% (117) 18% (58) 14% (45) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 29% (48) 31% (52) 19% (32) 21% (35) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 42% (374) 32% (282) 12% (109) 14% (125) 890#1 Issue: Economy 36% (161) 33% (148) 14% (65) 17% (79) 453#1 Issue: Security 48% (192) 27% (109) 14% (57) 11% (44) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 41% (150) 33% (120) 11% (41) 15% (53) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 40% (118) 30% (90) 15% (45) 15% (43) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 31% (36) 28% (32) 20% (24) 21% (25) 118#1 Issue: Education 29% (35) 29% (34) 19% (22) 23% (27) 117#1 Issue: Energy 44% (58) 30% (40) 14% (18) 13% (17) 134#1 Issue: Other 34% (38) 35% (40) 14% (16) 17% (19) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 44% (353) 34% (272) 13% (104) 10% (77) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 47% (331) 30% (213) 13% (92) 10% (73) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 26% (15) 33% (20) 7% (4) 35% (21) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 43% (320) 34% (248) 13% (95) 10% (74) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 45% (330) 31% (226) 14% (102) 11% (81) 7382016 Vote: Other 38% (54) 33% (46) 9% (12) 20% (28) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 22% (84) 24% (92) 21% (80) 32% (123) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 44% (621) 34% (475) 12% (171) 9% (129) 1396Voted in 2014: No 28% (167) 23% (137) 20% (118) 30% (178) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 41% (360) 35% (312) 13% (112) 11% (95) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 48% (260) 31% (166) 11% (62) 9% (50) 5382012 Vote: Other 40% (45) 31% (35) 13% (15) 15% (17) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 26% (123) 21% (99) 21% (100) 31% (143) 4654-Region: Northeast 45% (160) 30% (107) 13% (47) 12% (43) 3564-Region: Midwest 40% (185) 31% (142) 15% (70) 13% (61) 4584-Region: South 37% (272) 30% (227) 16% (118) 17% (128) 7454-Region: West 39% (170) 31% (137) 13% (55) 17% (75) 436Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 40% (366) 32% (293) 13% (122) 14% (126) 907Party: Republican/Leans Republican 43% (355) 29% (243) 15% (127) 13% (107) 832


46




Registered Voters 39% (788) 31% (612) 14% (289) 15% (307) 1996Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 44% (385) 32% (285) 13% (113) 11% (94) 876Vote in Republican primary or caucus 43% (300) 31% (216) 15% (106) 11% (79) 701Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 38% (33) 26% (23) 21% (18) 14% (12) 87Don’t know / No opinion 19% (38) 26% (53) 17% (35) 37% (75) 200Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



47

Table POL6_2

Table POL6_2: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following?A partial ban on avored cartridges for e-cigarettes going into effect




48







49

Table POL6_2





50







51

Table POL6_3

Table POL6_3: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following?President Trump’s State of the Union address




52







53

Table POL6_3





54







55

Table POL6_4

Table POL6_4: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following?The Senate voting to acquit President Trump in its impeachment trial




56







57

Table POL6_4





58







59

Table POL6_5

Table POL6_5: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following?Sen. Mitt Romney (R-Utah) voting to convict President Trump for abuse of power




60







61

Table POL6_5





62







63

Table POL6_6

Table POL6_6: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following?The Kansas City Chiefs defeating the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl LIV




64







65

Table POL6_6





66







67

Table POL6_7

Table POL6_7: How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following?The coronavirus’ death toll rising to more than 600 people, with more than 30,000 infected worldwide




68







69

Table POL6_7





70







71

Table POL7_1

Table POL7_1: Thinking about each of the following voting methods, how con dent are, if at all, that votes cast through each of the following wouldbe counted accurately?Paper ballots that are scanned into a machine

Demographic Very con dentSomewhatcon dent

Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all


Registered Voters 24% (479) 45% (907) 13% (269) 7% (148) 10% (193) 1996Gender: Male 25% (230) 46% (430) 13% (123) 8% (75) 8% (76) 934Gender: Female 23% (250) 45% (477) 14% (146) 7% (73) 11% (117) 1062Age: 18-29 22% (75) 37% (124) 17% (58) 8% (28) 15% (52) 338Age: 30-44 24% (110) 44% (207) 14% (66) 7% (32) 11% (52) 467Age: 45-54 23% (74) 47% (150) 12% (38) 9% (27) 8% (27) 315Age: 55-64 24% (97) 46% (190) 14% (56) 8% (32) 9% (36) 412Age: 65+ 27% (124) 51% (236) 11% (51) 6% (28) 6% (26) 464Generation Z: 18-22 26% (35) 35% (46) 13% (17) 6% (8) 20% (26) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 22% (107) 42% (204) 16% (80) 8% (40) 12% (61) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 24% (117) 47% (231) 13% (65) 8% (40) 9% (44) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 25% (185) 49% (362) 12% (89) 7% (51) 8% (56) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 25% (196) 45% (351) 13% (101) 9% (68) 9% (72) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 19% (98) 46% (236) 16% (82) 6% (32) 12% (60) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 26% (185) 46% (320) 12% (86) 7% (48) 9% (60) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 27% (88) 43% (140) 11% (36) 11% (35) 8% (24) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 23% (108) 45% (211) 14% (65) 7% (33) 10% (48) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 18% (46) 47% (120) 16% (40) 8% (19) 11% (29) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 20% (52) 46% (116) 17% (42) 5% (13) 12% (31) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 27% (96) 48% (170) 13% (48) 6% (21) 6% (22) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 26% (90) 44% (150) 11% (38) 8% (27) 11% (38) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 27% (154) 47% (274) 14% (79) 6% (34) 6% (37) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 22% (112) 47% (233) 15% (76) 8% (40) 8% (39) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 23% (176) 46% (349) 13% (98) 8% (61) 9% (71) 754Educ: < College 23% (287) 44% (551) 13% (166) 8% (103) 12% (149) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 25% (117) 49% (232) 14% (64) 6% (28) 7% (31) 472Educ: Post-grad 28% (76) 46% (124) 14% (39) 6% (17) 5% (13) 269Income: Under 50k 22% (222) 43% (429) 14% (139) 8% (85) 13% (125) 999Income: 50k-100k 24% (163) 49% (328) 13% (88) 7% (46) 6% (43) 666Income: 100k+ 29% (95) 46% (151) 13% (42) 5% (18) 7% (25) 330


72




Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all


Registered Voters 24% (479) 45% (907) 13% (269) 7% (148) 10% (193) 1996Ethnicity: White 25% (398) 46% (742) 14% (223) 7% (112) 9% (140) 1614Ethnicity: Hispanic 24% (46) 37% (72) 18% (35) 12% (23) 9% (17) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 21% (53) 42% (106) 11% (28) 10% (26) 16% (40) 253Ethnicity: Other 22% (28) 46% (59) 14% (18) 8% (11) 10% (13) 129All Christian 27% (255) 49% (468) 11% (105) 7% (66) 7% (65) 958All Non-Christian 23% (26) 52% (57) 17% (18) 2% (3) 5% (6) 109Atheist 20% (18) 45% (42) 15% (14) 14% (13) 6% (6) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 22% (181) 41% (340) 16% (131) 8% (67) 14% (117) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 26% (34) 52% (68) 16% (20) 2% (3) 4% (6) 131Evangelical 26% (141) 43% (232) 12% (64) 8% (45) 11% (61) 543Non-Evangelical 25% (177) 49% (354) 12% (87) 6% (47) 8% (58) 723Community: Urban 23% (111) 44% (211) 12% (60) 9% (42) 12% (60) 484Community: Suburban 24% (223) 47% (441) 14% (133) 7% (65) 9% (80) 942Community: Rural 25% (145) 45% (256) 13% (76) 7% (41) 9% (52) 569Employ: Private Sector 20% (130) 48% (314) 17% (109) 7% (47) 8% (49) 649Employ: Government 28% (43) 37% (57) 11% (17) 7% (11) 17% (25) 153Employ: Self-Employed 23% (41) 42% (75) 14% (25) 11% (20) 10% (17) 177Employ: Homemaker 34% (40) 36% (43) 15% (18) 9% (11) 6% (8) 120Employ: Retired 26% (135) 51% (266) 10% (54) 7% (34) 6% (32) 521Employ: Unemployed 16% (26) 48% (78) 12% (19) 7% (11) 16% (26) 161Employ: Other 26% (31) 33% (39) 14% (17) 8% (9) 18% (22) 117Military HH: Yes 26% (95) 45% (160) 16% (58) 7% (27) 5% (19) 358Military HH: No 23% (384) 46% (747) 13% (211) 7% (122) 11% (174) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 25% (215) 48% (408) 12% (106) 7% (57) 8% (72) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 23% (264) 44% (499) 14% (163) 8% (92) 11% (121) 1139Trump Job Approve 26% (222) 47% (406) 14% (117) 6% (54) 8% (65) 865Trump Job Disapprove 23% (250) 45% (484) 14% (146) 8% (91) 10% (103) 1074



73

Table POL7_1



Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all


Registered Voters 24% (479) 45% (907) 13% (269) 7% (148) 10% (193) 1996Trump Job Strongly Approve 28% (147) 44% (236) 13% (70) 7% (39) 7% (39) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 23% (75) 51% (170) 14% (47) 5% (16) 8% (26) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 15% (31) 50% (104) 14% (29) 10% (21) 12% (25) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 25% (219) 44% (380) 14% (117) 8% (69) 9% (77) 863Favorable of Trump 26% (225) 47% (407) 13% (109) 7% (58) 8% (67) 865Unfavorable of Trump 23% (247) 46% (483) 14% (152) 7% (75) 9% (100) 1057Very Favorable of Trump 29% (158) 43% (232) 13% (70) 7% (39) 8% (41) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 20% (66) 54% (175) 12% (38) 6% (19) 8% (26) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 14% (23) 50% (83) 16% (26) 9% (15) 12% (20) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 25% (224) 45% (400) 14% (126) 7% (60) 9% (80) 890#1 Issue: Economy 21% (97) 50% (228) 12% (56) 7% (33) 9% (39) 453#1 Issue: Security 28% (112) 45% (179) 12% (47) 9% (36) 7% (29) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 25% (91) 47% (169) 12% (45) 8% (28) 9% (31) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 22% (65) 45% (134) 15% (46) 8% (24) 9% (28) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 25% (29) 39% (46) 14% (17) 8% (9) 14% (17) 118#1 Issue: Education 28% (33) 39% (46) 12% (14) 4% (5) 17% (20) 117#1 Issue: Energy 26% (35) 42% (57) 20% (26) 3% (4) 9% (12) 134#1 Issue: Other 17% (18) 43% (48) 16% (18) 9% (10) 16% (18) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 26% (212) 47% (380) 13% (102) 7% (55) 7% (56) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 27% (191) 47% (335) 13% (93) 7% (51) 5% (39) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 13% (8) 39% (23) 12% (7) 7% (4) 29% (17) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 26% (194) 45% (331) 13% (94) 8% (62) 7% (55) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 25% (187) 48% (354) 12% (91) 7% (53) 7% (53) 7382016 Vote: Other 21% (30) 51% (72) 12% (17) 5% (7) 11% (16) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 18% (68) 39% (150) 18% (67) 7% (26) 18% (70) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 26% (364) 48% (668) 12% (172) 7% (94) 7% (99) 1396Voted in 2014: No 19% (115) 40% (239) 16% (97) 9% (54) 16% (94) 600


74




Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all


Registered Voters 24% (479) 45% (907) 13% (269) 7% (148) 10% (193) 19962012 Vote: Barack Obama 26% (225) 46% (402) 13% (112) 7% (64) 8% (75) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 26% (141) 49% (265) 12% (66) 7% (37) 5% (29) 5382012 Vote: Other 20% (23) 49% (56) 15% (16) 6% (7) 10% (11) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 20% (91) 39% (182) 16% (74) 9% (40) 17% (78) 4654-Region: Northeast 22% (77) 45% (161) 12% (44) 10% (36) 11% (39) 3564-Region: Midwest 25% (115) 48% (222) 13% (57) 4% (20) 9% (43) 4584-Region: South 23% (170) 45% (333) 14% (102) 8% (60) 11% (80) 7454-Region: West 27% (117) 44% (191) 15% (66) 7% (32) 7% (30) 436Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 24% (220) 45% (412) 13% (119) 8% (76) 9% (80) 907Party: Republican/Leans Republican 26% (216) 47% (393) 12% (102) 6% (53) 8% (67) 832Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 26% (225) 47% (409) 13% (117) 8% (68) 7% (58) 876Vote in Republican primary or caucus 26% (179) 47% (329) 14% (96) 6% (44) 8% (53) 701Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 21% (19) 39% (34) 14% (12) 12% (11) 14% (12) 87Don’t know / No opinion 18% (36) 41% (82) 14% (28) 7% (14) 20% (39) 200Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



75

Table POL7_2

Table POL7_2: Thinking about each of the following voting methods, how con dent are, if at all, that votes cast through each of the following wouldbe counted accurately?Paper ballots that are mailed in


Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all




76




Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all





77

Table POL7_2



Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all




78




Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all





79

Table POL7_3

Table POL7_3: Thinking about each of the following voting methods, how con dent are, if at all, that votes cast through each of the following wouldbe counted accurately?Paper ballots that are hand counted


Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all




80




Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all





81

Table POL7_3



Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all




82




Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all





83

Table POL7_4

Table POL7_4: Thinking about each of the following voting methods, how con dent are, if at all, that votes cast through each of the following wouldbe counted accurately?Votes cast online using blockchain, the technology behind Bitcoin and other virtual currencies


Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all




84




Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all





85

Table POL7_4



Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all




86




Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all





87

Table POL7_5

Table POL7_5: Thinking about each of the following voting methods, how con dent are, if at all, that votes cast through each of the following wouldbe counted accurately?Votes cast online


Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all




88




Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all





89

Table POL7_5



Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all




90




Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all





91

Table POL7_6

Table POL7_6: Thinking about each of the following voting methods, how con dent are, if at all, that votes cast through each of the following wouldbe counted accurately?Electronic voting machines that do not provide paper receipts


Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all




92




Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all





93

Table POL7_6



Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all




94




Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all





95

Table POL7_7

Table POL7_7: Thinking about each of the following voting methods, how con dent are, if at all, that votes cast through each of the following wouldbe counted accurately?Electronic voting machines that do provide paper receipts


Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all




96




Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all





97

Table POL7_7



Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all




98




Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all





99

Table POL7_8

Table POL7_8: Thinking about each of the following voting methods, how con dent are, if at all, that votes cast through each of the following wouldbe counted accurately?Votes cast through mobile apps


Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all




100




Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all





101

Table POL7_8



Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all




102




Not thatcon dent

Not con dentat all





103

Table POL8_1

Table POL8_1: How likely would you be to vote in the 2020 presidential election if your state only allowed people to vote in each of the following ways?Paper ballots that are scanned into a machine

DemographicAbsolutelycertain Very likely About 50-50 Not too likely Not likely at all Total N

Registered Voters 45% (906) 23% (465) 18% (359) 6% (113) 8% (153) 1996Gender: Male 46% (427) 26% (242) 15% (139) 6% (54) 8% (73) 934Gender: Female 45% (479) 21% (224) 21% (220) 5% (58) 8% (81) 1062Age: 18-29 31% (106) 20% (66) 28% (94) 8% (28) 13% (43) 338Age: 30-44 40% (187) 24% (112) 20% (92) 6% (28) 10% (49) 467Age: 45-54 50% (157) 23% (73) 15% (49) 5% (14) 7% (22) 315Age: 55-64 48% (199) 25% (104) 17% (69) 5% (20) 5% (20) 412Age: 65+ 55% (257) 24% (110) 12% (55) 5% (22) 4% (20) 464Generation Z: 18-22 30% (40) 19% (26) 26% (34) 8% (11) 17% (22) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 35% (174) 23% (113) 23% (111) 7% (37) 12% (58) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 48% (236) 23% (113) 18% (89) 5% (23) 7% (34) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 52% (391) 24% (178) 14% (105) 5% (39) 4% (32) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 48% (381) 21% (167) 17% (138) 5% (41) 8% (63) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 38% (192) 24% (124) 21% (107) 7% (37) 10% (48) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 48% (333) 25% (175) 16% (114) 5% (35) 6% (42) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 53% (170) 21% (69) 14% (44) 5% (15) 8% (25) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 45% (211) 21% (98) 20% (93) 6% (26) 8% (38) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 36% (92) 30% (76) 15% (38) 9% (22) 10% (26) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 39% (99) 19% (48) 27% (69) 6% (15) 9% (22) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 46% (164) 27% (97) 16% (56) 5% (18) 6% (22) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 49% (169) 23% (78) 17% (58) 5% (17) 6% (20) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 57% (328) 20% (115) 14% (83) 4% (22) 5% (30) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 39% (195) 25% (123) 24% (120) 6% (29) 7% (33) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 47% (356) 26% (195) 15% (110) 5% (41) 7% (52) 754Educ: < College 39% (494) 23% (287) 21% (263) 7% (86) 10% (124) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 52% (245) 26% (123) 15% (71) 3% (16) 4% (17) 472Educ: Post-grad 62% (166) 21% (55) 9% (25) 4% (11) 4% (12) 269Income: Under 50k 39% (392) 23% (225) 21% (214) 6% (62) 11% (107) 999Income: 50k-100k 49% (324) 24% (160) 18% (117) 6% (38) 4% (28) 666Income: 100k+ 58% (190) 24% (81) 9% (28) 4% (13) 6% (18) 330Ethnicity: White 48% (772) 24% (392) 16% (257) 5% (85) 7% (108) 1614


104




Registered Voters 45% (906) 23% (465) 18% (359) 6% (113) 8% (153) 1996Ethnicity: Hispanic 35% (68) 22% (42) 27% (53) 6% (11) 10% (20) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 35% (88) 19% (47) 26% (67) 9% (22) 11% (29) 253Ethnicity: Other 35% (45) 21% (27) 27% (35) 4% (5) 13% (16) 129All Christian 51% (485) 24% (232) 16% (150) 4% (41) 5% (50) 958All Non-Christian 47% (51) 32% (34) 14% (15) 3% (4) 5% (5) 109Atheist 60% (56) 22% (20) 9% (8) 7% (7) 2% (2) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 38% (314) 21% (179) 22% (186) 7% (61) 11% (96) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 49% (64) 30% (39) 14% (19) 3% (4) 4% (5) 131Evangelical 45% (246) 24% (131) 16% (89) 7% (36) 8% (42) 543Non-Evangelical 47% (338) 24% (172) 18% (128) 4% (32) 7% (53) 723Community: Urban 42% (205) 23% (112) 19% (90) 5% (26) 11% (52) 484Community: Suburban 48% (450) 24% (230) 17% (159) 5% (51) 6% (53) 942Community: Rural 44% (251) 22% (124) 19% (111) 6% (35) 9% (49) 569Employ: Private Sector 46% (296) 25% (163) 18% (118) 6% (37) 5% (35) 649Employ: Government 44% (68) 22% (34) 17% (26) 6% (9) 10% (16) 153Employ: Self-Employed 51% (91) 20% (35) 18% (32) 4% (6) 8% (14) 177Employ: Homemaker 41% (50) 17% (21) 20% (24) 6% (7) 15% (18) 120Employ: Retired 53% (277) 25% (129) 12% (63) 5% (24) 5% (28) 521Employ: Unemployed 35% (57) 23% (37) 27% (44) 7% (11) 8% (13) 161Employ: Other 32% (37) 24% (29) 23% (27) 7% (9) 14% (16) 117Military HH: Yes 49% (174) 22% (79) 15% (53) 7% (25) 8% (27) 358Military HH: No 45% (732) 24% (387) 19% (306) 5% (87) 8% (126) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 44% (374) 25% (217) 17% (146) 6% (54) 8% (67) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 47% (532) 22% (249) 19% (213) 5% (59) 8% (87) 1139Trump Job Approve 46% (395) 25% (214) 17% (146) 6% (49) 7% (61) 865Trump Job Disapprove 47% (504) 23% (243) 18% (197) 6% (60) 6% (69) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 49% (262) 24% (126) 14% (74) 4% (22) 9% (46) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 40% (133) 26% (88) 21% (71) 8% (27) 5% (15) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 32% (67) 31% (66) 26% (54) 7% (15) 4% (9) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 51% (437) 21% (177) 17% (143) 5% (45) 7% (60) 863



105

Table POL8_1



Registered Voters 45% (906) 23% (465) 18% (359) 6% (113) 8% (153) 1996Favorable of Trump 46% (397) 25% (215) 17% (145) 6% (50) 7% (57) 865Unfavorable of Trump 47% (498) 23% (241) 18% (194) 5% (53) 7% (70) 1057Very Favorable of Trump 50% (269) 23% (125) 15% (79) 4% (23) 8% (45) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 39% (128) 28% (90) 21% (67) 8% (28) 4% (12) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 35% (59) 27% (46) 26% (43) 7% (11) 5% (9) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 49% (440) 22% (195) 17% (151) 5% (42) 7% (62) 890#1 Issue: Economy 41% (184) 27% (121) 19% (85) 7% (33) 7% (30) 453#1 Issue: Security 50% (201) 26% (103) 13% (53) 4% (15) 8% (31) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 46% (169) 22% (81) 18% (66) 4% (16) 9% (32) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 45% (132) 23% (67) 19% (55) 8% (24) 6% (17) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 40% (47) 18% (21) 23% (27) 4% (4) 16% (19) 118#1 Issue: Education 45% (52) 17% (20) 24% (29) 4% (4) 11% (12) 117#1 Issue: Energy 48% (64) 22% (30) 21% (27) 6% (9) 3% (4) 134#1 Issue: Other 50% (56) 21% (23) 15% (17) 7% (7) 7% (8) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 53% (426) 22% (178) 16% (126) 4% (35) 5% (42) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 51% (362) 26% (184) 12% (87) 5% (33) 6% (42) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 32% (19) 28% (16) 24% (14) 2% (1) 15% (9) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 53% (391) 22% (159) 14% (103) 5% (40) 6% (43) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 49% (363) 27% (200) 14% (102) 4% (31) 6% (43) 7382016 Vote: Other 42% (60) 22% (31) 22% (31) 6% (9) 7% (10) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 24% (92) 20% (75) 32% (123) 9% (33) 15% (57) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 52% (728) 23% (327) 15% (203) 4% (62) 5% (76) 1396Voted in 2014: No 30% (177) 23% (138) 26% (157) 8% (51) 13% (77) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 50% (443) 23% (200) 16% (137) 5% (45) 6% (54) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 52% (281) 25% (135) 13% (72) 4% (22) 5% (28) 5382012 Vote: Other 48% (54) 28% (32) 15% (17) 4% (5) 4% (5) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 27% (125) 21% (99) 29% (133) 9% (41) 14% (66) 465


106




Registered Voters 45% (906) 23% (465) 18% (359) 6% (113) 8% (153) 19964-Region: Northeast 43% (154) 23% (83) 19% (66) 5% (19) 9% (33) 3564-Region: Midwest 46% (209) 23% (107) 20% (89) 5% (21) 7% (32) 4584-Region: South 45% (337) 23% (172) 18% (131) 6% (46) 8% (60) 7454-Region: West 47% (206) 24% (103) 17% (73) 6% (26) 7% (29) 436Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 48% (440) 21% (194) 17% (155) 6% (51) 7% (67) 907Party: Republican/Leans Republican 48% (396) 25% (206) 17% (141) 5% (41) 6% (47) 832Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 51% (444) 23% (203) 16% (140) 5% (44) 5% (46) 876Vote in Republican primary or caucus 50% (350) 24% (170) 15% (108) 5% (32) 6% (42) 701Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 32% (28) 25% (22) 25% (21) 11% (9) 7% (6) 87Don’t know / No opinion 24% (49) 26% (51) 31% (63) 6% (12) 13% (26) 200Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



107

Table POL8_2

Table POL8_2: How likely would you be to vote in the 2020 presidential election if your state only allowed people to vote in each of the following ways?Paper ballots that are mailed in




108







109

Table POL8_2





110







111

Table POL8_3

Table POL8_3: How likely would you be to vote in the 2020 presidential election if your state only allowed people to vote in each of the following ways?Paper ballots that are hand counted




112







113

Table POL8_3





114







115

Table POL8_4

Table POL8_4: How likely would you be to vote in the 2020 presidential election if your state only allowed people to vote in each of the following ways?Votes cast online using blockchain, the technology behind Bitcoin and other virtual currencies




116







117

Table POL8_4





118







119

Table POL8_5

Table POL8_5: How likely would you be to vote in the 2020 presidential election if your state only allowed people to vote in each of the following ways?Votes cast online




120







121

Table POL8_5





122







123

Table POL8_6

Table POL8_6: How likely would you be to vote in the 2020 presidential election if your state only allowed people to vote in each of the following ways?Electronic voting machines that do not provide paper receipts




124







125

Table POL8_6





126







127

Table POL8_7

Table POL8_7: How likely would you be to vote in the 2020 presidential election if your state only allowed people to vote in each of the following ways?Electronic voting machines that do provide paper receipts




128







129

Table POL8_7





130







131

Table POL8_8

Table POL8_8: How likely would you be to vote in the 2020 presidential election if your state only allowed people to vote in each of the following ways?Votes cast through mobile apps




132







133

Table POL8_8





134







135

Table POL9

Table POL9: How concerned are you about the outbreak of the coronavirus?

Demographic Very concernedSomewhatconcerned

Not veryconcerned

Not at allconcerned


Registered Voters 25% (499) 45% (899) 22% (434) 6% (121) 2% (43) 1996Gender: Male 23% (214) 44% (411) 22% (209) 8% (77) 2% (23) 934Gender: Female 27% (285) 46% (488) 21% (224) 4% (44) 2% (20) 1062Age: 18-29 18% (62) 47% (157) 24% (80) 8% (26) 4% (13) 338Age: 30-44 26% (120) 43% (199) 21% (98) 8% (37) 3% (12) 467Age: 45-54 25% (78) 44% (138) 24% (75) 5% (14) 3% (10) 315Age: 55-64 28% (114) 42% (174) 24% (99) 4% (16) 2% (9) 412Age: 65+ 27% (125) 50% (231) 17% (81) 6% (26) — (1) 464Generation Z: 18-22 25% (33) 42% (56) 21% (28) 8% (11) 4% (5) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 21% (101) 46% (227) 23% (112) 7% (36) 3% (15) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 25% (126) 43% (211) 23% (114) 6% (31) 3% (14) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 27% (202) 44% (330) 22% (166) 5% (37) 1% (9) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 30% (238) 45% (353) 19% (149) 4% (31) 2% (17) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 21% (107) 44% (226) 23% (115) 9% (44) 3% (16) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 22% (154) 46% (320) 24% (170) 6% (45) 2% (11) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 30% (96) 41% (131) 20% (64) 6% (20) 4% (11) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 31% (143) 48% (222) 18% (85) 2% (11) 1% (5) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 17% (43) 47% (119) 23% (58) 10% (26) 4% (9) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 25% (64) 42% (107) 23% (57) 7% (19) 3% (6) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 21% (76) 45% (160) 25% (88) 9% (32) 1% (2) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 23% (78) 47% (159) 24% (82) 4% (14) 2% (8) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 27% (153) 48% (280) 22% (126) 3% (15) 1% (3) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 25% (125) 46% (230) 21% (103) 7% (33) 2% (10) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 22% (167) 45% (342) 24% (180) 7% (54) 2% (12) 754Educ: < College 28% (347) 42% (527) 21% (259) 7% (85) 3% (38) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 20% (94) 49% (231) 25% (118) 5% (25) 1% (5) 472Educ: Post-grad 22% (58) 52% (141) 21% (58) 4% (11) — (1) 269Income: Under 50k 28% (279) 41% (415) 21% (209) 6% (61) 4% (37) 999Income: 50k-100k 22% (148) 49% (326) 22% (148) 6% (39) 1% (4) 666Income: 100k+ 22% (72) 48% (158) 23% (77) 6% (21) 1% (2) 330Ethnicity: White 22% (360) 46% (741) 24% (385) 6% (102) 2% (26) 1614Ethnicity: Hispanic 34% (65) 45% (87) 13% (26) 6% (11) 2% (4) 193


136




Not veryconcerned

Not at allconcerned


Registered Voters 25% (499) 45% (899) 22% (434) 6% (121) 2% (43) 1996Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 40% (100) 38% (96) 12% (31) 4% (11) 6% (14) 253Ethnicity: Other 30% (39) 48% (61) 13% (17) 6% (8) 3% (3) 129All Christian 24% (234) 50% (477) 20% (190) 5% (47) 1% (9) 958All Non-Christian 26% (29) 47% (51) 20% (21) 5% (5) 2% (2) 109Atheist 19% (18) 34% (32) 41% (38) 6% (6) — (0) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 26% (219) 41% (339) 22% (184) 7% (62) 4% (32) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 28% (37) 46% (60) 20% (27) 4% (5) 2% (2) 131Evangelical 28% (153) 44% (239) 21% (115) 5% (29) 1% (8) 543Non-Evangelical 24% (177) 50% (360) 19% (137) 5% (38) 1% (11) 723Community: Urban 29% (141) 41% (198) 20% (98) 6% (30) 3% (17) 484Community: Suburban 23% (219) 48% (449) 23% (213) 5% (50) 1% (11) 942Community: Rural 24% (139) 44% (253) 21% (122) 7% (41) 3% (15) 569Employ: Private Sector 22% (144) 46% (297) 24% (154) 7% (44) 2% (10) 649Employ: Government 31% (47) 41% (62) 23% (35) 6% (9) — (0) 153Employ: Self-Employed 25% (44) 44% (78) 20% (36) 7% (13) 4% (7) 177Employ: Homemaker 28% (33) 45% (54) 23% (28) 4% (4) 1% (2) 120Employ: Retired 26% (134) 47% (245) 22% (113) 5% (26) 1% (4) 521Employ: Unemployed 25% (40) 46% (74) 16% (26) 7% (12) 6% (10) 161Employ: Other 28% (32) 41% (48) 18% (21) 6% (8) 7% (8) 117Military HH: Yes 30% (108) 41% (149) 22% (79) 6% (20) 1% (4) 358Military HH: No 24% (392) 46% (750) 22% (355) 6% (101) 2% (40) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 23% (196) 43% (369) 24% (209) 8% (65) 2% (18) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 27% (303) 47% (530) 20% (225) 5% (56) 2% (25) 1139Trump Job Approve 22% (190) 45% (387) 24% (207) 8% (65) 2% (16) 865Trump Job Disapprove 28% (300) 46% (497) 20% (213) 4% (47) 2% (17) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 25% (135) 40% (215) 24% (130) 8% (44) 1% (8) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 17% (55) 52% (172) 23% (77) 6% (21) 2% (8) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 25% (53) 48% (101) 21% (43) 6% (13) 1% (1) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 29% (247) 46% (396) 20% (169) 4% (34) 2% (16) 863Favorable of Trump 22% (188) 45% (391) 24% (205) 7% (63) 2% (18) 865Unfavorable of Trump 27% (285) 46% (487) 21% (218) 5% (48) 2% (19) 1057



137

Table POL9



Not veryconcerned

Not at allconcerned


Registered Voters 25% (499) 45% (899) 22% (434) 6% (121) 2% (43) 1996Very Favorable of Trump 26% (138) 41% (224) 23% (124) 8% (43) 2% (11) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 15% (50) 51% (167) 25% (81) 6% (20) 2% (7) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 24% (41) 45% (76) 24% (40) 5% (8) 1% (2) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 27% (244) 46% (411) 20% (178) 4% (40) 2% (16) 890#1 Issue: Economy 24% (107) 43% (194) 24% (107) 6% (29) 3% (16) 453#1 Issue: Security 25% (99) 46% (185) 23% (94) 5% (22) 1% (3) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 26% (93) 47% (173) 21% (77) 4% (16) 1% (5) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 33% (97) 43% (126) 16% (47) 6% (16) 3% (9) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 27% (32) 43% (50) 22% (26) 6% (7) 3% (3) 118#1 Issue: Education 18% (22) 36% (43) 27% (32) 14% (17) 4% (4) 117#1 Issue: Energy 20% (26) 56% (75) 19% (25) 5% (7) — (0) 134#1 Issue: Other 21% (24) 47% (53) 23% (26) 6% (7) 2% (3) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 29% (237) 47% (375) 20% (159) 3% (27) 1% (8) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 23% (163) 46% (322) 24% (167) 7% (49) 1% (7) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 21% (12) 38% (23) 25% (15) 10% (6) 6% (3) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 30% (219) 45% (329) 20% (147) 4% (29) 2% (12) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 22% (164) 46% (342) 24% (177) 6% (46) 1% (8) 7382016 Vote: Other 21% (30) 45% (64) 23% (32) 8% (11) 3% (5) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 23% (86) 43% (163) 20% (77) 9% (34) 5% (20) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 26% (362) 46% (637) 22% (306) 5% (70) 1% (21) 1396Voted in 2014: No 23% (138) 44% (261) 21% (128) 8% (51) 4% (22) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 29% (258) 45% (398) 19% (165) 5% (40) 2% (17) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 21% (114) 47% (251) 26% (141) 5% (26) 1% (6) 5382012 Vote: Other 20% (22) 34% (38) 32% (36) 13% (14) 2% (2) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 22% (104) 45% (210) 20% (92) 9% (40) 4% (18) 4654-Region: Northeast 26% (93) 51% (182) 16% (56) 5% (17) 2% (8) 3564-Region: Midwest 17% (79) 45% (208) 28% (127) 8% (35) 2% (9) 4584-Region: South 29% (214) 42% (309) 20% (151) 6% (46) 3% (25) 7454-Region: West 26% (114) 46% (199) 23% (100) 5% (23) — (1) 436Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 29% (264) 45% (410) 20% (177) 4% (36) 2% (19) 907Party: Republican/Leans Republican 22% (180) 47% (389) 24% (197) 7% (56) 1% (11) 832


138




Not veryconcerned

Not at allconcerned


Registered Voters 25% (499) 45% (899) 22% (434) 6% (121) 2% (43) 1996Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 29% (255) 46% (406) 20% (173) 4% (31) 1% (11) 876Vote in Republican primary or caucus 22% (153) 46% (321) 24% (165) 8% (56) 1% (6) 701Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 22% (19) 46% (40) 26% (22) 7% (6) — (0) 87Don’t know / No opinion 21% (41) 40% (81) 26% (52) 6% (11) 7% (14) 200Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



139

Table POL10_1

Table POL10_1: And, do you approve or disapprove of how each of the following have handled the response to the coronavirus?President Trump

DemographicStronglyapprove

Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




140




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





141

Table POL10_1



Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




142




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





143

Table POL10_2

Table POL10_2: And, do you approve or disapprove of how each of the following have handled the response to the coronavirus?Congress


Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




144




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





145

Table POL10_2



Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




146




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





147

Table POL10_3

Table POL10_3: And, do you approve or disapprove of how each of the following have handled the response to the coronavirus?Your state government


Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




148




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





149

Table POL10_3



Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




150




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





151

Table POL10_4

Table POL10_4: And, do you approve or disapprove of how each of the following have handled the response to the coronavirus?Your local government


Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




152




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





153

Table POL10_4



Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




154




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





155

Table POL10_5

Table POL10_5: And, do you approve or disapprove of how each of the following have handled the response to the coronavirus?The Centers for Disease Control (CDC)


Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




156




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





157

Table POL10_5



Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




158




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





159

Table POL10_6

Table POL10_6: And, do you approve or disapprove of how each of the following have handled the response to the coronavirus?The United Nations (UN)


Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




160




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





161

Table POL10_6



Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




162




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





163

Table POL10_7

Table POL10_7: And, do you approve or disapprove of how each of the following have handled the response to the coronavirus?The World Health Organization (WHO)


Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




164




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





165

Table POL10_7



Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




166




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





167

Table POL11

Table POL11: As you may know, the Senate acquitted President Trump on both impeachment articles, meaning he will not be removed from office.Do you approve or disapprove of the Senate acquitting President Trump?


Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




168




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove


Registered Voters 39% (769) 8% (166) 8% (165) 39% (772) 6% (124) 1996Ethnicity: Hispanic 29% (56) 9% (16) 13% (25) 42% (80) 8% (16) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 10% (25) 5% (13) 10% (24) 65% (164) 11% (27) 253Ethnicity: Other 27% (35) 8% (10) 11% (14) 45% (58) 9% (12) 129All Christian 49% (474) 9% (87) 7% (70) 31% (296) 3% (31) 958All Non-Christian 22% (24) 5% (6) 9% (9) 57% (62) 7% (7) 109Atheist 15% (14) 11% (10) 9% (8) 62% (58) 2% (2) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 31% (257) 7% (63) 9% (77) 43% (356) 10% (84) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 24% (31) 11% (14) 8% (10) 51% (67) 7% (9) 131Evangelical 55% (300) 7% (37) 6% (34) 26% (142) 6% (31) 543Non-Evangelical 39% (283) 9% (63) 9% (64) 39% (283) 4% (30) 723Community: Urban 26% (127) 7% (34) 11% (54) 47% (228) 8% (41) 484Community: Suburban 38% (360) 9% (86) 9% (83) 38% (360) 6% (53) 942Community: Rural 50% (283) 8% (45) 5% (28) 32% (184) 5% (30) 569Employ: Private Sector 38% (245) 10% (68) 9% (56) 36% (236) 7% (44) 649Employ: Government 29% (45) 5% (8) 9% (14) 48% (73) 8% (13) 153Employ: Self-Employed 38% (67) 8% (15) 8% (15) 38% (68) 7% (13) 177Employ: Homemaker 48% (58) 9% (10) 9% (11) 24% (28) 10% (12) 120Employ: Retired 46% (242) 6% (30) 7% (36) 40% (207) 1% (7) 521Employ: Unemployed 32% (51) 11% (18) 7% (11) 42% (68) 8% (13) 161Employ: Other 35% (41) 11% (12) 4% (4) 40% (47) 11% (13) 117Military HH: Yes 51% (184) 8% (29) 6% (21) 33% (118) 2% (7) 358Military HH: No 36% (586) 8% (137) 9% (144) 40% (653) 7% (118) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 76% (649) 11% (94) 4% (33) 5% (43) 5% (39) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 11% (121) 6% (72) 12% (132) 64% (729) 7% (85) 1139Trump Job Approve 82% (708) 11% (99) 2% (20) 2% (15) 3% (23) 865Trump Job Disapprove 5% (55) 6% (62) 13% (142) 70% (751) 6% (64) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 93% (494) 3% (15) — (2) 2% (11) 2% (8) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 64% (214) 25% (83) 5% (17) 1% (4) 5% (15) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 13% (27) 21% (44) 34% (71) 16% (34) 17% (36) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 3% (28) 2% (18) 8% (71) 83% (717) 3% (28) 863



169

Table POL11



Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove


Registered Voters 39% (769) 8% (166) 8% (165) 39% (772) 6% (124) 1996Favorable of Trump 83% (717) 11% (95) 1% (11) 2% (20) 3% (22) 865Unfavorable of Trump 4% (47) 7% (69) 14% (146) 69% (729) 6% (66) 1057Very Favorable of Trump 92% (498) 3% (15) — (2) 3% (16) 2% (10) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 67% (219) 25% (81) 3% (9) 1% (4) 4% (12) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 19% (32) 26% (44) 27% (45) 10% (16) 18% (30) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 2% (15) 3% (25) 11% (101) 80% (713) 4% (35) 890#1 Issue: Economy 44% (197) 12% (54) 7% (32) 30% (135) 7% (33) 453#1 Issue: Security 70% (282) 8% (34) 3% (13) 15% (59) 4% (15) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 25% (91) 9% (31) 9% (32) 52% (189) 5% (20) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 38% (112) 6% (17) 10% (30) 43% (127) 3% (9) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 19% (22) 2% (3) 16% (18) 50% (59) 13% (15) 118#1 Issue: Education 17% (20) 13% (16) 9% (11) 45% (53) 15% (18) 117#1 Issue: Energy 8% (10) 6% (7) 13% (18) 70% (93) 4% (5) 134#1 Issue: Other 30% (34) 3% (3) 9% (10) 50% (56) 8% (9) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 7% (58) 5% (44) 12% (95) 72% (584) 3% (26) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 79% (563) 10% (69) 3% (19) 6% (41) 2% (16) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 23% (14) 9% (5) 10% (6) 32% (19) 26% (15) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 3% (26) 4% (29) 11% (84) 77% (568) 4% (29) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 82% (606) 10% (74) 2% (13) 4% (28) 2% (17) 7382016 Vote: Other 23% (33) 15% (21) 13% (19) 36% (51) 12% (17) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 28% (105) 11% (42) 13% (49) 32% (123) 16% (60) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 40% (555) 8% (109) 7% (104) 41% (578) 4% (50) 1396Voted in 2014: No 36% (214) 9% (57) 10% (61) 32% (194) 12% (74) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 15% (134) 7% (61) 9% (81) 64% (565) 4% (38) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 77% (414) 11% (57) 3% (18) 7% (39) 2% (10) 5382012 Vote: Other 63% (71) 8% (10) 9% (10) 12% (13) 8% (9) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 32% (149) 8% (38) 12% (57) 33% (153) 15% (68) 465


170




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





171

Table POL12_1

Table POL12_1: Based on what you know, do you approve or disapprove of the way each of the following handled the impeachment proceedings intoPresident Trump?Democrats in Congress


Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




172




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





173

Table POL12_1



Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




174




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





175

Table POL12_2

Table POL12_2: Based on what you know, do you approve or disapprove of the way each of the following handled the impeachment proceedings intoPresident Trump?Republicans in Congress


Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




176




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





177

Table POL12_2



Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




178




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





179

Table POL12_3

Table POL12_3: Based on what you know, do you approve or disapprove of the way each of the following handled the impeachment proceedings intoPresident Trump?President Donald Trump


Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




180




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





181

Table POL12_3



Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




182




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





183

Table POL12_4

Table POL12_4: Based on what you know, do you approve or disapprove of the way each of the following handled the impeachment proceedings intoPresident Trump?Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell


Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




184




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





185

Table POL12_4



Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




186




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





187

Table POL12_5

Table POL12_5: Based on what you know, do you approve or disapprove of the way each of the following handled the impeachment proceedings intoPresident Trump?Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer


Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




188




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





189

Table POL12_5



Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




190




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





191

Table POL12_6

Table POL12_6: Based on what you know, do you approve or disapprove of the way each of the following handled the impeachment proceedings intoPresident Trump?House Speaker Nancy Pelosi


Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




192




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





193

Table POL12_6



Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove




194




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove





195

Table POL13

Table POL13: As you may know, Senator Mitt Romney (R-UT) was the only Republican senator to vote to convict Trump. Do you approve ordisapprove of his decision?


Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisprove

Stronglydisapprove




196




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisprove

Stronglydisapprove





197

Table POL13



Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisprove

Stronglydisapprove




198




Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisprove

Stronglydisapprove





199

Table POL14

Table POL14: Do you believe the Senate’s decision to acquit President Trump in its impeachment trial will:

DemographicHurt his chancesof re-election

Have no impact onhis chances ofre-election

Help his chancesof re-election


Registered Voters 12% (239) 27% (537) 45% (888) 17% (332) 1996Gender: Male 14% (132) 24% (220) 48% (445) 15% (137) 934Gender: Female 10% (106) 30% (317) 42% (444) 18% (195) 1062Age: 18-29 19% (63) 25% (84) 34% (115) 22% (75) 338Age: 30-44 13% (62) 31% (145) 39% (183) 16% (77) 467Age: 45-54 9% (29) 27% (85) 50% (158) 14% (44) 315Age: 55-64 10% (43) 27% (110) 49% (201) 14% (58) 412Age: 65+ 9% (42) 24% (113) 50% (232) 17% (78) 464Generation Z: 18-22 25% (33) 21% (28) 31% (41) 23% (31) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 14% (71) 31% (150) 37% (181) 18% (90) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 10% (51) 27% (136) 47% (234) 15% (75) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 10% (74) 25% (186) 49% (365) 16% (119) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 17% (135) 32% (253) 28% (219) 23% (181) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 13% (69) 25% (128) 43% (216) 19% (95) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 5% (35) 22% (156) 65% (453) 8% (56) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 23% (74) 31% (100) 25% (82) 21% (67) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 13% (61) 33% (153) 30% (137) 24% (114) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 16% (40) 20% (51) 46% (117) 18% (45) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 11% (28) 30% (76) 39% (99) 20% (50) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 5% (18) 19% (69) 69% (246) 7% (25) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 5% (17) 25% (87) 61% (207) 9% (31) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 19% (108) 32% (186) 31% (176) 18% (107) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 14% (72) 31% (154) 38% (190) 17% (84) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 6% (42) 22% (170) 63% (475) 9% (67) 754Educ: < College 12% (154) 25% (315) 44% (554) 18% (232) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 12% (55) 29% (137) 46% (218) 13% (62) 472Educ: Post-grad 11% (29) 32% (85) 43% (116) 14% (38) 269Income: Under 50k 13% (132) 25% (254) 42% (417) 20% (196) 999Income: 50k-100k 10% (66) 29% (196) 46% (305) 15% (99) 666Income: 100k+ 12% (40) 26% (87) 50% (167) 11% (37) 330Ethnicity: White 10% (167) 27% (440) 48% (772) 15% (235) 1614


200







Registered Voters 12% (239) 27% (537) 45% (888) 17% (332) 1996Ethnicity: Hispanic 18% (35) 26% (49) 40% (77) 17% (32) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 20% (50) 24% (62) 26% (65) 30% (77) 253Ethnicity: Other 17% (22) 27% (35) 40% (51) 16% (20) 129All Christian 11% (104) 26% (250) 50% (477) 13% (127) 958All Non-Christian 15% (16) 30% (33) 34% (37) 21% (23) 109Atheist 17% (16) 39% (37) 38% (35) 6% (6) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 12% (103) 26% (218) 41% (339) 21% (176) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 18% (23) 28% (37) 33% (43) 21% (27) 131Evangelical 9% (50) 21% (117) 52% (285) 17% (91) 543Non-Evangelical 11% (82) 28% (202) 47% (339) 14% (100) 723Community: Urban 15% (74) 29% (140) 36% (176) 20% (95) 484Community: Suburban 12% (109) 27% (255) 45% (428) 16% (150) 942Community: Rural 10% (56) 25% (142) 50% (285) 15% (87) 569Employ: Private Sector 11% (74) 28% (181) 46% (297) 15% (98) 649Employ: Government 12% (18) 30% (46) 38% (58) 20% (30) 153Employ: Self-Employed 14% (26) 28% (49) 43% (75) 15% (27) 177Employ: Homemaker 9% (11) 26% (31) 53% (64) 12% (14) 120Employ: Retired 10% (52) 25% (131) 49% (255) 16% (83) 521Employ: Unemployed 7% (11) 36% (58) 38% (60) 20% (32) 161Employ: Other 17% (19) 21% (24) 38% (44) 25% (30) 117Military HH: Yes 12% (42) 24% (85) 51% (182) 14% (49) 358Military HH: No 12% (197) 28% (452) 43% (706) 17% (283) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 5% (44) 24% (208) 62% (531) 9% (74) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 17% (195) 29% (329) 31% (357) 23% (258) 1139Trump Job Approve 4% (34) 23% (196) 67% (575) 7% (58) 865Trump Job Disapprove 19% (200) 31% (331) 29% (307) 22% (236) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 3% (18) 16% (85) 76% (404) 5% (24) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 5% (16) 33% (112) 51% (172) 10% (34) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 13% (27) 36% (76) 31% (66) 20% (41) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 20% (173) 30% (255) 28% (241) 23% (194) 863



201

Table POL14






Registered Voters 12% (239) 27% (537) 45% (888) 17% (332) 1996Favorable of Trump 4% (32) 23% (200) 67% (581) 6% (52) 865Unfavorable of Trump 19% (199) 30% (319) 28% (300) 23% (238) 1057Very Favorable of Trump 3% (15) 18% (96) 75% (403) 5% (27) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 5% (17) 32% (104) 55% (178) 8% (25) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 14% (23) 28% (48) 34% (58) 23% (38) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 20% (176) 31% (272) 27% (243) 22% (200) 890#1 Issue: Economy 12% (55) 25% (114) 49% (220) 14% (64) 453#1 Issue: Security 5% (22) 21% (83) 64% (258) 10% (40) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 14% (51) 30% (108) 38% (137) 19% (68) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 13% (38) 28% (82) 41% (122) 18% (54) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 11% (13) 38% (45) 28% (33) 23% (27) 118#1 Issue: Education 18% (21) 26% (31) 30% (36) 25% (29) 117#1 Issue: Energy 20% (26) 32% (43) 28% (38) 20% (27) 134#1 Issue: Other 11% (13) 28% (31) 39% (44) 21% (24) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 18% (146) 33% (263) 28% (223) 22% (174) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 4% (27) 21% (146) 68% (481) 8% (54) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 6% (3) 26% (16) 29% (17) 39% (23) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 18% (131) 32% (234) 27% (199) 23% (172) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 3% (26) 23% (168) 67% (491) 7% (54) 7382016 Vote: Other 13% (19) 28% (39) 38% (53) 21% (30) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 17% (63) 25% (96) 38% (145) 20% (76) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 11% (160) 27% (382) 46% (636) 16% (218) 1396Voted in 2014: No 13% (79) 26% (154) 42% (252) 19% (114) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 16% (139) 30% (267) 33% (287) 21% (186) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 4% (22) 23% (125) 66% (353) 7% (38) 5382012 Vote: Other 6% (6) 27% (30) 58% (65) 10% (11) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 15% (72) 25% (114) 39% (183) 21% (96) 465


202







Registered Voters 12% (239) 27% (537) 45% (888) 17% (332) 19964-Region: Northeast 9% (31) 32% (113) 42% (148) 18% (63) 3564-Region: Midwest 12% (56) 26% (121) 43% (196) 19% (86) 4584-Region: South 12% (87) 26% (191) 48% (356) 15% (111) 7454-Region: West 15% (64) 25% (111) 43% (189) 17% (72) 436Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 18% (162) 32% (289) 29% (259) 22% (197) 907Party: Republican/Leans Republican 5% (44) 22% (186) 65% (539) 8% (63) 832Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 18% (159) 34% (297) 29% (254) 19% (167) 876Vote in Republican primary or caucus 3% (22) 21% (150) 69% (483) 6% (45) 701Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 17% (15) 20% (17) 42% (36) 20% (18) 87Don’t know / No opinion 17% (33) 22% (43) 31% (62) 31% (62) 200Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



203

Table POL15_1

Table POL15_1: How much have you seen, read, or heard about each of the following?Hunter Biden’s business dealings in Ukraine

Demographic A lot Some Not much Nothing at all Total N



204







205

Table POL15_1





206







207

Table POL15_2

Table POL15_2: How much have you seen, read, or heard about each of the following?Joe Biden’s role leading U.S. policy in Ukraine while serving as vice president




208







209

Table POL15_2





210







211

Table POL16

Table POL16: As you may know, Hunter Biden, Joe Biden’s son, was a member of the board of directors at Burisma, a Ukranian gas company, from2014 until earlier this year, including while Joe Biden was leading U.S. policy in Ukraine. Do you think Hunter Biden’s role at Burisma was appropriateor inappropriate?

DemographicVery

appropriateSomewhatappropriate

Somewhatinappropriate

Veryinappropriate




212



DemographicVery



Veryinappropriate





213

Table POL16


DemographicVery



Veryinappropriate


Registered Voters 7% (136) 11% (224) 21% (419) 31% (614) 30% (603) 1996Trump Job Strongly Approve 4% (19) 3% (15) 10% (54) 70% (372) 13% (71) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 1% (4) 8% (25) 25% (85) 36% (122) 29% (98) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 4% (9) 16% (33) 31% (65) 12% (26) 37% (79) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 12% (102) 17% (148) 25% (213) 10% (90) 36% (310) 863Favorable of Trump 2% (21) 4% (38) 16% (136) 58% (499) 20% (171) 865Unfavorable of Trump 10% (107) 17% (183) 26% (274) 10% (109) 36% (383) 1057Very Favorable of Trump 3% (18) 2% (13) 10% (56) 69% (373) 15% (81) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 1% (4) 8% (25) 24% (79) 39% (126) 28% (91) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 2% (4) 19% (32) 27% (45) 17% (28) 35% (58) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 12% (104) 17% (151) 26% (229) 9% (81) 36% (325) 890#1 Issue: Economy 5% (24) 9% (39) 22% (100) 33% (152) 30% (138) 453#1 Issue: Security 7% (26) 5% (19) 14% (57) 53% (214) 21% (86) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 9% (33) 13% (49) 25% (90) 20% (75) 32% (117) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 7% (21) 12% (35) 18% (54) 31% (93) 31% (93) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 2% (3) 16% (19) 30% (35) 9% (11) 43% (51) 118#1 Issue: Education 7% (8) 24% (28) 19% (22) 11% (13) 39% (46) 117#1 Issue: Energy 9% (12) 18% (25) 31% (41) 16% (21) 26% (34) 134#1 Issue: Other 7% (7) 9% (10) 18% (20) 32% (36) 34% (38) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 13% (106) 18% (145) 27% (216) 11% (86) 31% (253) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 3% (18) 5% (32) 16% (112) 60% (424) 17% (121) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else — (0) 3% (2) 26% (16) 22% (13) 49% (30) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 14% (101) 19% (138) 27% (197) 8% (56) 33% (245) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 2% (18) 3% (23) 16% (119) 60% (444) 18% (134) 7382016 Vote: Other 3% (4) 12% (17) 33% (47) 24% (34) 28% (39) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 3% (13) 12% (45) 15% (57) 21% (80) 49% (185) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 8% (109) 12% (168) 22% (307) 34% (470) 25% (342) 1396Voted in 2014: No 5% (27) 9% (55) 19% (113) 24% (144) 44% (261) 600


214



DemographicVery



Veryinappropriate





215

Table POL17

Table POL17: Would you say that Hunter Biden’s role at Burisma, a Ukranian gas company, makes you more or less likely to vote for Joe Biden in the2020 presidential election, or does it not have an impact?

DemographicMuch more

likelySomewhatmore likely No change

Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely


Registered Voters 5% (97) 3% (65) 40% (793) 8% (166) 23% (462) 21% (414) 1996Gender: Male 6% (52) 4% (34) 36% (341) 9% (86) 29% (268) 16% (153) 934Gender: Female 4% (45) 3% (30) 43% (452) 8% (81) 18% (194) 25% (260) 1062Age: 18-29 5% (18) 6% (19) 33% (111) 9% (31) 12% (41) 35% (119) 338Age: 30-44 6% (28) 5% (25) 36% (168) 10% (45) 15% (68) 28% (133) 467Age: 45-54 5% (15) 3% (10) 42% (132) 8% (24) 24% (75) 19% (59) 315Age: 55-64 5% (20) 2% (6) 37% (153) 9% (36) 33% (137) 14% (59) 412Age: 65+ 3% (16) 1% (5) 49% (229) 6% (30) 30% (140) 10% (45) 464Generation Z: 18-22 5% (7) 4% (5) 27% (36) 12% (16) 8% (10) 44% (58) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 7% (34) 5% (26) 36% (176) 9% (43) 14% (69) 29% (144) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 4% (20) 5% (23) 40% (199) 8% (41) 21% (105) 22% (108) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 4% (32) 1% (9) 43% (318) 8% (59) 31% (232) 13% (93) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 8% (62) 4% (28) 55% (431) 7% (57) 5% (36) 22% (174) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 2% (9) 3% (17) 41% (206) 11% (55) 19% (96) 25% (125) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 4% (26) 3% (19) 22% (156) 8% (54) 47% (330) 16% (114) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 8% (26) 5% (17) 51% (165) 9% (28) 6% (21) 20% (65) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 8% (36) 2% (11) 57% (265) 6% (29) 3% (15) 23% (109) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 3% (6) 4% (10) 42% (107) 13% (32) 21% (53) 18% (45) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 1% (2) 3% (7) 39% (100) 9% (22) 17% (42) 31% (80) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 5% (19) 2% (7) 19% (69) 7% (25) 54% (194) 12% (43) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 2% (6) 3% (12) 26% (87) 9% (29) 40% (136) 21% (71) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 6% (33) 4% (25) 61% (350) 9% (50) 3% (20) 17% (101) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 7% (35) 4% (18) 45% (227) 9% (46) 14% (70) 21% (105) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 3% (25) 3% (19) 26% (193) 8% (62) 47% (356) 13% (99) 754Educ: < College 5% (65) 3% (35) 35% (433) 9% (112) 24% (301) 25% (309) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 4% (17) 4% (18) 46% (218) 8% (39) 24% (112) 15% (68) 472Educ: Post-grad 6% (15) 4% (11) 53% (142) 6% (16) 18% (48) 14% (37) 269Income: Under 50k 6% (61) 4% (36) 36% (359) 7% (73) 21% (214) 26% (257) 999Income: 50k-100k 3% (20) 3% (21) 43% (285) 9% (63) 25% (166) 17% (112) 666Income: 100k+ 5% (16) 3% (9) 45% (149) 9% (30) 25% (82) 13% (44) 330Ethnicity: White 4% (62) 3% (47) 41% (654) 8% (131) 26% (427) 18% (293) 1614


216





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely


Registered Voters 5% (97) 3% (65) 40% (793) 8% (166) 23% (462) 21% (414) 1996Ethnicity: Hispanic 10% (20) 3% (6) 32% (62) 10% (18) 19% (37) 26% (50) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 12% (29) 6% (15) 35% (90) 8% (20) 6% (15) 34% (85) 253Ethnicity: Other 4% (5) 3% (3) 38% (49) 11% (15) 16% (20) 27% (35) 129All Christian 5% (49) 3% (28) 39% (374) 8% (80) 31% (296) 14% (132) 958All Non-Christian 7% (8) 5% (5) 56% (61) 6% (6) 12% (13) 13% (15) 109Atheist — (0) 5% (5) 62% (57) 12% (12) 9% (8) 11% (11) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 5% (39) 3% (27) 36% (300) 8% (69) 17% (144) 31% (257) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 7% (9) 5% (7) 50% (66) 8% (10) 13% (17) 17% (22) 131Evangelical 6% (35) 4% (21) 33% (181) 7% (38) 31% (169) 18% (99) 543Non-Evangelical 5% (33) 3% (22) 40% (291) 8% (61) 25% (182) 18% (133) 723Community: Urban 8% (40) 4% (17) 41% (199) 9% (44) 14% (66) 24% (118) 484Community: Suburban 3% (32) 3% (28) 43% (405) 8% (80) 24% (223) 19% (175) 942Community: Rural 4% (25) 3% (20) 33% (189) 7% (42) 30% (172) 21% (122) 569Employ: Private Sector 4% (23) 4% (26) 40% (257) 11% (71) 23% (152) 19% (121) 649Employ: Government 10% (16) 3% (4) 38% (58) 3% (5) 18% (28) 27% (42) 153Employ: Self-Employed 6% (10) 4% (8) 32% (57) 8% (14) 26% (45) 24% (43) 177Employ: Homemaker 2% (2) 3% (4) 39% (47) 8% (10) 24% (29) 23% (28) 120Employ: Retired 4% (20) 1% (7) 49% (255) 6% (30) 31% (159) 10% (51) 521Employ: Unemployed 8% (13) 7% (11) 34% (55) 7% (11) 15% (25) 29% (47) 161Employ: Other 6% (7) 3% (3) 29% (34) 10% (12) 17% (20) 35% (41) 117Military HH: Yes 7% (23) 2% (8) 36% (128) 7% (25) 31% (112) 17% (62) 358Military HH: No 4% (73) 3% (57) 41% (665) 9% (141) 21% (349) 21% (352) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 4% (35) 4% (32) 24% (205) 8% (69) 44% (379) 16% (138) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 5% (62) 3% (33) 52% (588) 9% (97) 7% (83) 24% (275) 1139Trump Job Approve 4% (36) 2% (21) 22% (190) 8% (70) 48% (413) 16% (135) 865Trump Job Disapprove 5% (59) 4% (43) 55% (590) 9% (95) 4% (46) 22% (240) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 5% (26) 2% (12) 17% (88) 4% (24) 59% (315) 13% (66) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 3% (10) 3% (10) 30% (101) 14% (47) 29% (98) 21% (69) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 4% (7) 9% (19) 39% (82) 18% (37) 7% (16) 24% (50) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 6% (51) 3% (25) 59% (508) 7% (58) 4% (31) 22% (190) 863



217

Table POL17




Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely


Registered Voters 5% (97) 3% (65) 40% (793) 8% (166) 23% (462) 21% (414) 1996Favorable of Trump 5% (40) 3% (24) 22% (188) 8% (66) 48% (416) 15% (133) 865Unfavorable of Trump 5% (53) 4% (39) 55% (586) 9% (96) 4% (44) 23% (239) 1057Very Favorable of Trump 5% (29) 2% (12) 16% (88) 5% (28) 59% (317) 12% (66) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 3% (10) 4% (12) 31% (100) 12% (38) 30% (99) 20% (66) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 1% (1) 6% (10) 39% (66) 18% (30) 9% (15) 26% (44) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 6% (52) 3% (28) 58% (520) 7% (66) 3% (29) 22% (195) 890#1 Issue: Economy 5% (24) 3% (13) 37% (167) 8% (36) 25% (115) 22% (98) 453#1 Issue: Security 5% (21) 2% (7) 26% (106) 7% (28) 43% (174) 16% (65) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 7% (25) 3% (10) 48% (174) 9% (33) 15% (56) 18% (66) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 6% (16) 2% (5) 43% (128) 8% (25) 24% (71) 17% (51) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 4% (5) 5% (6) 41% (48) 7% (8) 3% (4) 40% (47) 118#1 Issue: Education 3% (3) 9% (11) 33% (39) 17% (20) 8% (9) 30% (35) 117#1 Issue: Energy 1% (2) 7% (9) 54% (72) 10% (14) 7% (9) 21% (28) 134#1 Issue: Other 1% (1) 3% (4) 52% (59) 2% (2) 20% (23) 21% (24) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 8% (61) 3% (24) 59% (477) 8% (64) 4% (34) 18% (147) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 3% (23) 3% (20) 23% (166) 8% (59) 50% (354) 12% (86) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 1% (1) — (0) 42% (25) 12% (7) 9% (6) 35% (21) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 8% (56) 4% (26) 61% (447) 7% (52) 3% (21) 18% (135) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 4% (27) 2% (17) 24% (180) 8% (63) 48% (353) 13% (97) 7382016 Vote: Other — (0) 1% (1) 44% (62) 20% (28) 17% (24) 18% (26) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 4% (13) 5% (19) 27% (103) 6% (24) 17% (64) 41% (156) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 5% (74) 3% (47) 43% (604) 8% (114) 25% (342) 15% (216) 1396Voted in 2014: No 4% (23) 3% (18) 32% (189) 9% (52) 20% (119) 33% (198) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 6% (52) 4% (31) 54% (473) 8% (68) 9% (75) 20% (178) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 3% (14) 2% (11) 27% (147) 9% (47) 49% (265) 10% (55) 5382012 Vote: Other 7% (8) 1% (1) 26% (30) 13% (14) 41% (46) 13% (14) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 5% (22) 5% (22) 30% (142) 8% (37) 16% (75) 36% (167) 465


218





Somewhatless likely

Much lesslikely


Registered Voters 5% (97) 3% (65) 40% (793) 8% (166) 23% (462) 21% (414) 19964-Region: Northeast 5% (18) 3% (11) 41% (144) 8% (27) 24% (87) 19% (69) 3564-Region: Midwest 4% (16) 4% (17) 41% (187) 5% (25) 25% (117) 21% (97) 4584-Region: South 4% (32) 3% (22) 39% (290) 8% (60) 24% (179) 22% (163) 7454-Region: West 7% (31) 3% (15) 39% (172) 12% (54) 18% (79) 20% (85) 436Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 7% (64) 4% (33) 56% (504) 8% (72) 5% (42) 21% (192) 907Party: Republican/Leans Republican 3% (29) 3% (25) 24% (199) 9% (72) 46% (380) 15% (128) 832Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 8% (67) 4% (36) 58% (508) 8% (69) 5% (45) 17% (151) 876Vote in Republican primary or caucus 3% (22) 2% (16) 24% (167) 8% (55) 49% (346) 13% (94) 701Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 1% (1) 4% (3) 33% (29) 12% (11) 24% (21) 26% (22) 87Don’t know / No opinion 1% (2) 4% (7) 26% (53) 10% (19) 13% (27) 46% (92) 200Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



219

Table POL18

Table POL18: Based on what you know, which of the statements come closer to your view, even if none are exactly correct?

Demographic

Hunter Biden andJoe Biden had a

con ict of interest intheir dealings withUkraine and shouldbe investigated


con ict of interest intheir dealings withUkraine, but it is notserious enough to

warrant aninvestigation

Hunter Biden andJoe Biden did nothave a con ict ofinterest in theirdealings with

Ukraine and shouldnot be investigated


Registered Voters 35% (694) 19% (386) 16% (327) 29% (589) 1996Gender: Male 41% (384) 19% (173) 17% (155) 24% (222) 934Gender: Female 29% (310) 20% (213) 16% (172) 35% (367) 1062Age: 18-29 21% (70) 25% (84) 10% (32) 45% (152) 338Age: 30-44 28% (132) 22% (102) 15% (68) 35% (165) 467Age: 45-54 39% (122) 20% (63) 16% (51) 25% (79) 315Age: 55-64 43% (179) 16% (65) 17% (69) 24% (99) 412Age: 65+ 41% (192) 16% (72) 23% (106) 20% (94) 464Generation Z: 18-22 16% (21) 29% (38) 6% (8) 50% (66) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 25% (123) 23% (115) 14% (69) 38% (185) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 36% (179) 19% (96) 15% (75) 29% (145) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 41% (305) 16% (122) 20% (145) 23% (172) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 11% (88) 25% (197) 31% (246) 33% (258) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 32% (164) 22% (113) 11% (56) 34% (174) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 63% (442) 11% (77) 4% (25) 22% (157) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 14% (46) 23% (75) 34% (110) 28% (91) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 9% (42) 26% (121) 29% (136) 36% (167) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 38% (98) 24% (60) 13% (32) 25% (65) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 26% (67) 21% (53) 10% (24) 43% (110) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 67% (240) 11% (38) 4% (14) 19% (67) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 59% (202) 11% (39) 3% (12) 26% (90) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 11% (62) 31% (179) 33% (190) 26% (148) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 24% (121) 22% (108) 18% (88) 37% (183) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 65% (487) 11% (86) 5% (39) 19% (142) 754


220



Demographic









Registered Voters 35% (694) 19% (386) 16% (327) 29% (589) 1996Educ: < College 37% (459) 15% (185) 14% (178) 34% (433) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 35% (164) 27% (125) 17% (81) 22% (102) 472Educ: Post-grad 27% (72) 28% (76) 25% (68) 20% (54) 269Income: Under 50k 34% (339) 15% (154) 14% (143) 36% (363) 999Income: 50k-100k 36% (237) 22% (150) 19% (127) 23% (153) 666Income: 100k+ 36% (119) 25% (82) 17% (57) 22% (73) 330Ethnicity: White 39% (626) 19% (310) 16% (259) 26% (420) 1614Ethnicity: Hispanic 35% (68) 17% (32) 18% (35) 30% (57) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 14% (35) 19% (47) 20% (52) 47% (119) 253Ethnicity: Other 26% (33) 22% (28) 13% (17) 39% (50) 129All Christian 45% (428) 18% (174) 16% (152) 21% (205) 958All Non-Christian 16% (17) 25% (27) 28% (31) 31% (34) 109Atheist 20% (19) 37% (35) 22% (20) 20% (19) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 28% (231) 18% (150) 15% (124) 40% (331) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 19% (25) 22% (29) 25% (32) 34% (44) 131Evangelical 50% (270) 13% (70) 11% (61) 26% (142) 543Non-Evangelical 35% (253) 22% (156) 18% (128) 26% (187) 723Community: Urban 23% (113) 22% (108) 20% (98) 34% (165) 484Community: Suburban 35% (334) 21% (199) 16% (147) 28% (264) 942Community: Rural 43% (247) 14% (79) 15% (83) 28% (160) 569



221

Table POL18


Demographic









Registered Voters 35% (694) 19% (386) 16% (327) 29% (589) 1996Employ: Private Sector 36% (233) 24% (156) 13% (86) 27% (174) 649Employ: Government 33% (50) 21% (31) 19% (29) 28% (43) 153Employ: Self-Employed 37% (65) 17% (30) 18% (32) 29% (51) 177Employ: Homemaker 37% (44) 21% (26) 7% (8) 35% (42) 120Employ: Retired 40% (207) 16% (85) 24% (124) 20% (106) 521Employ: Unemployed 30% (48) 12% (20) 19% (31) 39% (63) 161Employ: Other 33% (39) 10% (12) 7% (8) 49% (58) 117Military HH: Yes 42% (152) 21% (73) 15% (54) 22% (79) 358Military HH: No 33% (542) 19% (313) 17% (273) 31% (510) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 60% (513) 11% (96) 5% (42) 24% (206) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 16% (181) 25% (290) 25% (285) 34% (383) 1139Trump Job Approve 64% (554) 11% (99) 3% (26) 22% (186) 865Trump Job Disapprove 13% (134) 26% (284) 28% (300) 33% (355) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 76% (402) 7% (35) 2% (12) 15% (82) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 45% (152) 19% (63) 4% (15) 31% (104) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 24% (50) 31% (65) 8% (18) 37% (78) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 10% (84) 25% (219) 33% (282) 32% (278) 863Favorable of Trump 65% (565) 10% (88) 3% (25) 22% (187) 865Unfavorable of Trump 12% (122) 28% (293) 28% (295) 33% (347) 1057Very Favorable of Trump 76% (410) 7% (37) 2% (10) 16% (84) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 48% (156) 16% (51) 4% (15) 32% (103) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 23% (38) 33% (56) 7% (11) 37% (62) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 9% (84) 27% (237) 32% (285) 32% (284) 890


222



Demographic









Registered Voters 35% (694) 19% (386) 16% (327) 29% (589) 1996#1 Issue: Economy 37% (166) 23% (106) 10% (47) 29% (133) 453#1 Issue: Security 59% (239) 12% (46) 8% (33) 21% (83) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 23% (83) 22% (81) 24% (89) 31% (112) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 34% (100) 15% (45) 21% (61) 30% (90) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 17% (20) 27% (32) 15% (17) 41% (48) 118#1 Issue: Education 20% (23) 19% (23) 18% (22) 43% (50) 117#1 Issue: Energy 17% (23) 24% (33) 27% (36) 32% (42) 134#1 Issue: Other 35% (39) 18% (20) 19% (22) 27% (31) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 12% (95) 28% (229) 32% (258) 28% (224) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 67% (473) 12% (85) 4% (26) 18% (125) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 22% (13) 13% (7) 7% (4) 58% (35) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 9% (64) 26% (195) 34% (253) 30% (224) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 67% (494) 12% (87) 2% (18) 19% (138) 7382016 Vote: Other 29% (41) 29% (42) 12% (17) 29% (41) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 25% (95) 16% (61) 10% (38) 49% (186) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 37% (512) 20% (284) 19% (271) 24% (329) 1396Voted in 2014: No 30% (183) 17% (102) 9% (56) 43% (259) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 17% (147) 24% (213) 29% (256) 30% (262) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 68% (363) 13% (70) 4% (24) 15% (81) 5382012 Vote: Other 62% (70) 11% (13) 8% (9) 19% (21) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 25% (114) 19% (89) 8% (38) 48% (223) 4654-Region: Northeast 36% (127) 22% (78) 16% (55) 27% (96) 3564-Region: Midwest 34% (156) 19% (89) 16% (73) 31% (141) 4584-Region: South 37% (272) 18% (134) 16% (120) 29% (219) 7454-Region: West 32% (139) 20% (86) 18% (79) 30% (132) 436



223

Table POL18


Demographic









Registered Voters 35% (694) 19% (386) 16% (327) 29% (589) 1996Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 12% (105) 27% (242) 30% (274) 32% (286) 907Party: Republican/Leans Republican 63% (524) 12% (97) 3% (28) 22% (183) 832Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 12% (106) 28% (242) 32% (283) 28% (245) 876Vote in Republican primary or caucus 67% (469) 11% (76) 3% (21) 19% (134) 701Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 31% (27) 25% (21) 7% (6) 37% (32) 87Don’t know / No opinion 27% (54) 16% (32) 4% (8) 53% (106) 200Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


224


Table POL19: To what extent is Hunter Biden’s role in Burisma, the Ukrainian gas company, while his father, Joe Biden, was leading U.S. policy inUkraine, a scandal for Joe Biden’s presidential campaign?

Demographic Major scandal Minor scandal Not a scandal at allDon’t know / No

opinion Total N




225

Table POL19



opinion Total N



226




opinion Total N




227

Table POL19



opinion Total N



228

Morning ConsultTable POLx_1

Table POLx_1: Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefullyand give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, SomewhatUnfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark ’Heard Of, No Opinion.’ Ifyou have not heard of the person, please mark ’Never Heard Of.’Mitch McConnell

Demographic Total Favorable Total UnfavorableHeard Of, NoOpinion Never Heard Of Total N

Registered Voters 27% (535) 43% (851) 20% (391) 11% (218) 1996Gender: Male 33% (308) 43% (406) 16% (147) 8% (74) 934Gender: Female 21% (227) 42% (446) 23% (245) 14% (144) 1062Age: 18-29 12% (42) 32% (106) 30% (102) 26% (88) 338Age: 30-44 24% (113) 37% (172) 21% (98) 18% (84) 467Age: 45-54 24% (76) 47% (148) 21% (65) 8% (26) 315Age: 55-64 35% (143) 45% (185) 18% (74) 2% (10) 412Age: 65+ 35% (161) 52% (240) 11% (53) 2% (10) 464Generation Z: 18-22 8% (10) 25% (33) 33% (44) 34% (46) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 20% (99) 37% (182) 23% (115) 20% (96) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 25% (121) 43% (213) 21% (105) 11% (56) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 33% (247) 49% (367) 15% (113) 2% (17) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 9% (71) 62% (490) 18% (145) 10% (82) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 20% (102) 42% (215) 22% (110) 16% (82) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 52% (362) 21% (147) 19% (136) 8% (54) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 14% (44) 64% (206) 15% (49) 7% (23) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 6% (27) 61% (284) 21% (96) 13% (59) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 25% (65) 47% (119) 15% (37) 13% (33) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 15% (37) 38% (96) 28% (72) 19% (49) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 56% (199) 23% (81) 17% (60) 5% (18) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 48% (163) 19% (66) 22% (77) 11% (36) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 7% (43) 70% (403) 15% (85) 8% (47) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 19% (94) 46% (228) 25% (126) 10% (52) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 51% (382) 25% (188) 17% (131) 7% (54) 754Educ: < College 28% (348) 36% (447) 23% (292) 13% (169) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 26% (122) 52% (247) 14% (67) 7% (35) 472Educ: Post-grad 24% (65) 58% (157) 12% (33) 5% (14) 269



229

Table POLx_1



Registered Voters 27% (535) 43% (851) 20% (391) 11% (218) 1996Income: Under 50k 26% (262) 37% (371) 22% (224) 14% (143) 999Income: 50k-100k 28% (186) 46% (304) 18% (123) 8% (53) 666Income: 100k+ 27% (88) 53% (176) 14% (45) 7% (22) 330Ethnicity: White 29% (471) 44% (706) 18% (288) 9% (150) 1614Ethnicity: Hispanic 32% (62) 32% (62) 21% (40) 15% (28) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 13% (33) 42% (106) 28% (71) 17% (43) 253Ethnicity: Other 24% (31) 31% (40) 26% (33) 19% (25) 129All Christian 37% (357) 41% (388) 15% (146) 7% (67) 958All Non-Christian 23% (25) 56% (61) 16% (17) 5% (5) 109Atheist 9% (8) 74% (69) 9% (8) 9% (8) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 17% (146) 40% (333) 26% (220) 16% (138) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 25% (33) 53% (70) 16% (22) 5% (6) 131Evangelical 39% (212) 26% (139) 24% (128) 12% (64) 543Non-Evangelical 27% (194) 47% (341) 15% (110) 11% (77) 723Community: Urban 19% (90) 45% (220) 24% (117) 12% (57) 484Community: Suburban 27% (254) 46% (434) 18% (170) 9% (85) 942Community: Rural 34% (191) 35% (198) 18% (104) 13% (76) 569Employ: Private Sector 25% (161) 47% (306) 19% (120) 10% (62) 649Employ: Government 21% (32) 36% (55) 24% (36) 19% (29) 153Employ: Self-Employed 28% (51) 43% (76) 17% (31) 11% (20) 177Employ: Homemaker 29% (34) 32% (38) 24% (29) 15% (18) 120Employ: Retired 36% (187) 49% (254) 14% (71) 2% (9) 521Employ: Unemployed 17% (27) 40% (65) 27% (44) 16% (25) 161Employ: Other 28% (33) 26% (31) 25% (30) 20% (23) 117Military HH: Yes 32% (116) 43% (155) 15% (55) 9% (32) 358Military HH: No 26% (419) 43% (696) 21% (336) 11% (186) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 50% (427) 22% (187) 19% (166) 9% (77) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 10% (109) 58% (664) 20% (225) 12% (141) 1139


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Registered Voters 27% (535) 43% (851) 20% (391) 11% (218) 1996Trump Job Approve 51% (443) 22% (189) 19% (161) 8% (71) 865Trump Job Disapprove 8% (84) 61% (657) 20% (214) 11% (118) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 60% (319) 19% (99) 15% (81) 6% (32) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 37% (124) 27% (90) 24% (80) 12% (40) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 15% (32) 41% (87) 28% (59) 16% (33) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 6% (52) 66% (570) 18% (155) 10% (85) 863Favorable of Trump 53% (457) 20% (175) 18% (159) 9% (75) 865Unfavorable of Trump 7% (74) 63% (665) 19% (200) 11% (119) 1057Very Favorable of Trump 60% (324) 18% (96) 16% (85) 6% (35) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 41% (132) 24% (79) 23% (73) 12% (40) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 16% (26) 43% (71) 27% (45) 15% (24) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 5% (47) 67% (593) 17% (155) 11% (95) 890#1 Issue: Economy 27% (124) 35% (160) 23% (105) 14% (64) 453#1 Issue: Security 52% (211) 26% (104) 15% (59) 7% (29) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 14% (52) 60% (218) 17% (62) 9% (34) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 28% (83) 44% (132) 23% (68) 5% (13) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 11% (13) 46% (54) 21% (25) 22% (26) 118#1 Issue: Education 18% (21) 33% (39) 29% (34) 20% (23) 117#1 Issue: Energy 6% (7) 67% (89) 15% (20) 13% (17) 134#1 Issue: Other 23% (26) 50% (56) 17% (19) 10% (11) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 9% (72) 68% (548) 16% (128) 7% (58) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 55% (391) 24% (167) 16% (113) 5% (38) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 15% (9) 41% (25) 30% (18) 14% (8) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 8% (60) 68% (503) 16% (116) 8% (57) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 53% (394) 26% (191) 15% (113) 5% (40) 7382016 Vote: Other 19% (26) 47% (66) 28% (40) 6% (9) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 14% (55) 24% (91) 32% (123) 29% (111) 380



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Table POLx_1



Registered Voters 27% (535) 43% (851) 20% (391) 11% (218) 1996Voted in 2014: Yes 30% (422) 48% (669) 16% (218) 6% (86) 1396Voted in 2014: No 19% (113) 30% (182) 29% (173) 22% (131) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 13% (113) 60% (526) 19% (163) 9% (77) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 54% (292) 27% (147) 14% (77) 4% (22) 5382012 Vote: Other 37% (42) 44% (50) 15% (17) 4% (4) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 19% (87) 28% (130) 29% (133) 25% (115) 4654-Region: Northeast 29% (103) 47% (166) 17% (59) 8% (29) 3564-Region: Midwest 25% (114) 44% (200) 21% (95) 11% (50) 4584-Region: South 29% (216) 38% (284) 20% (152) 12% (93) 7454-Region: West 23% (102) 46% (201) 20% (86) 11% (46) 436Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 8% (76) 63% (574) 18% (162) 10% (95) 907Party: Republican/Leans Republican 51% (423) 22% (183) 19% (159) 8% (67) 832Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 10% (85) 65% (568) 16% (142) 9% (81) 876Vote in Republican primary or caucus 54% (378) 21% (149) 18% (129) 6% (44) 701Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 22% (19) 46% (40) 21% (18) 11% (9) 87Don’t know / No opinion 14% (28) 25% (51) 38% (77) 22% (44) 200Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


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Table POLx_2: Favorability forNancy Pelosi


Registered Voters 34% (678) 53% (1061) 9% (181) 4% (75) 1996Gender: Male 32% (303) 58% (538) 7% (65) 3% (28) 934Gender: Female 35% (375) 49% (524) 11% (116) 4% (47) 1062Age: 18-29 31% (104) 38% (130) 18% (62) 13% (42) 338Age: 30-44 35% (162) 49% (227) 12% (55) 5% (23) 467Age: 45-54 33% (105) 60% (189) 6% (19) 1% (2) 315Age: 55-64 31% (129) 61% (252) 7% (29) — (2) 412Age: 65+ 39% (179) 57% (264) 3% (16) 1% (6) 464Generation Z: 18-22 28% (37) 36% (48) 18% (23) 18% (25) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 35% (174) 44% (218) 14% (68) 7% (32) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 32% (159) 57% (280) 9% (45) 2% (11) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 36% (271) 57% (426) 6% (44) — (4) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 66% (517) 20% (161) 11% (89) 3% (22) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 23% (117) 59% (297) 12% (61) 6% (32) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 6% (45) 86% (603) 4% (30) 3% (21) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 65% (210) 23% (74) 10% (31) 2% (7) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 66% (306) 19% (87) 12% (58) 3% (15) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 25% (64) 62% (156) 9% (24) 4% (10) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 21% (53) 56% (141) 15% (38) 9% (22) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 8% (29) 86% (308) 3% (10) 3% (11) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 5% (16) 86% (296) 6% (20) 3% (10) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 70% (402) 20% (115) 8% (48) 2% (14) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 36% (180) 50% (249) 11% (53) 3% (17) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 8% (62) 85% (641) 4% (33) 2% (18) 754Educ: < College 30% (379) 54% (682) 10% (131) 5% (64) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 37% (176) 53% (249) 8% (37) 2% (9) 472Educ: Post-grad 46% (123) 49% (131) 5% (13) 1% (2) 269Income: Under 50k 32% (324) 51% (505) 11% (111) 6% (59) 999Income: 50k-100k 33% (222) 58% (385) 7% (46) 2% (14) 666Income: 100k+ 40% (133) 52% (172) 7% (24) 1% (2) 330Ethnicity: White 31% (494) 59% (952) 8% (122) 3% (46) 1614



233

Table POLx_2





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Table POLx_2





236


Table POLx_3: Favorability forCharles Schumer





237

Table POLx_3





238







239

Table POLx_3





240


Table POLx_4: Favorability forMike Pence


Registered Voters 39% (781) 43% (863) 14% (281) 4% (71) 1996Gender: Male 45% (420) 41% (380) 11% (106) 3% (28) 934Gender: Female 34% (361) 45% (483) 17% (175) 4% (43) 1062Age: 18-29 21% (70) 48% (164) 23% (77) 8% (27) 338Age: 30-44 34% (158) 42% (196) 18% (83) 6% (30) 467Age: 45-54 40% (126) 43% (136) 15% (46) 2% (8) 315Age: 55-64 50% (206) 39% (161) 10% (39) 1% (6) 412Age: 65+ 48% (221) 44% (207) 8% (36) — (1) 464Generation Z: 18-22 17% (22) 50% (66) 27% (35) 7% (9) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 27% (134) 46% (227) 19% (93) 8% (38) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 40% (198) 41% (202) 16% (77) 4% (18) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 47% (346) 44% (328) 9% (64) 1% (6) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 12% (94) 73% (572) 12% (97) 3% (25) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 32% (163) 40% (204) 21% (106) 7% (35) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 75% (524) 13% (88) 11% (77) 2% (11) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 16% (51) 72% (231) 9% (30) 3% (11) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 9% (43) 73% (340) 15% (68) 3% (15) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 35% (89) 40% (103) 20% (51) 5% (12) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 29% (74) 40% (101) 22% (56) 9% (22) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 78% (280) 13% (47) 7% (26) 1% (5) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 71% (244) 12% (41) 15% (52) 2% (6) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 8% (45) 83% (478) 8% (47) 1% (8) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 29% (144) 48% (240) 19% (96) 4% (19) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 75% (563) 14% (104) 10% (73) 2% (15) 754Educ: < College 41% (514) 37% (463) 17% (217) 5% (62) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 38% (178) 51% (240) 10% (46) 1% (7) 472Educ: Post-grad 33% (89) 59% (160) 7% (18) 1% (2) 269Income: Under 50k 38% (377) 39% (390) 17% (174) 6% (59) 999Income: 50k-100k 41% (275) 46% (305) 12% (79) 1% (8) 666Income: 100k+ 39% (129) 51% (168) 9% (29) 1% (4) 330Ethnicity: White 43% (690) 42% (680) 13% (204) 3% (41) 1614



241

Table POLx_4



Registered Voters 39% (781) 43% (863) 14% (281) 4% (71) 1996Ethnicity: Hispanic 37% (72) 43% (83) 15% (28) 5% (10) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 19% (48) 53% (135) 20% (50) 8% (20) 253Ethnicity: Other 34% (43) 37% (48) 21% (27) 8% (10) 129All Christian 52% (502) 36% (345) 9% (88) 2% (24) 958All Non-Christian 29% (31) 62% (68) 9% (9) — (0) 109Atheist 16% (15) 79% (74) 1% (1) 4% (4) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 28% (232) 45% (377) 22% (183) 5% (44) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 32% (42) 56% (73) 12% (16) — (0) 131Evangelical 55% (298) 25% (134) 17% (93) 3% (18) 543Non-Evangelical 42% (303) 43% (315) 11% (80) 4% (26) 723Community: Urban 28% (136) 51% (247) 17% (83) 4% (19) 484Community: Suburban 41% (383) 45% (428) 11% (102) 3% (29) 942Community: Rural 46% (261) 33% (189) 17% (96) 4% (23) 569Employ: Private Sector 39% (251) 47% (303) 12% (81) 2% (14) 649Employ: Government 33% (51) 48% (74) 14% (22) 4% (7) 153Employ: Self-Employed 40% (71) 43% (77) 8% (15) 8% (15) 177Employ: Homemaker 48% (57) 28% (33) 21% (25) 3% (4) 120Employ: Retired 48% (252) 43% (224) 9% (45) — (0) 521Employ: Unemployed 24% (39) 37% (60) 31% (49) 8% (13) 161Employ: Other 37% (44) 33% (39) 21% (25) 8% (10) 117Military HH: Yes 48% (173) 40% (142) 11% (39) 1% (5) 358Military HH: No 37% (608) 44% (721) 15% (242) 4% (66) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 72% (614) 13% (111) 13% (108) 3% (24) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 15% (166) 66% (752) 15% (173) 4% (48) 1139Trump Job Approve 75% (652) 10% (91) 12% (101) 2% (21) 865Trump Job Disapprove 11% (118) 71% (765) 14% (149) 4% (42) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 84% (447) 6% (29) 8% (44) 2% (11) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 61% (205) 18% (61) 17% (57) 3% (10) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 24% (51) 50% (106) 22% (47) 3% (7) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 8% (67) 76% (659) 12% (102) 4% (35) 863


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Table POLx_4





244


Table POLx_5: Favorability forDonald Trump


Registered Voters 43% (865) 53% (1057) 3% (64) 1% (10) 1996Gender: Male 48% (447) 48% (449) 3% (31) 1% (6) 934Gender: Female 39% (418) 57% (608) 3% (33) — (4) 1062Age: 18-29 29% (98) 64% (217) 6% (20) 1% (2) 338Age: 30-44 40% (187) 55% (255) 4% (20) 1% (4) 467Age: 45-54 47% (149) 50% (159) 2% (7) — (1) 315Age: 55-64 52% (213) 46% (188) 3% (11) — (0) 412Age: 65+ 47% (218) 51% (237) 1% (6) 1% (3) 464Generation Z: 18-22 26% (34) 69% (91) 5% (6) 1% (1) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 35% (171) 60% (293) 5% (23) 1% (5) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 46% (229) 50% (246) 4% (18) — (2) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 47% (353) 50% (371) 2% (17) — (3) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 8% (65) 87% (688) 4% (32) — (3) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 39% (199) 55% (278) 5% (27) 1% (4) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 86% (602) 13% (91) 1% (5) — (3) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 11% (37) 84% (269) 5% (16) — (1) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 6% (28) 90% (419) 3% (16) 1% (2) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 41% (105) 52% (132) 6% (14) 1% (2) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 37% (94) 57% (145) 5% (13) 1% (1) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 85% (306) 13% (48) — (1) 1% (3) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 86% (296) 13% (43) 1% (3) — (0) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 9% (51) 90% (519) 1% (6) — (1) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 34% (171) 60% (302) 5% (27) — (0) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 78% (587) 20% (151) 2% (11) 1% (6) 754Educ: < College 47% (584) 48% (608) 4% (55) 1% (8) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 40% (191) 58% (274) 1% (6) — (1) 472Educ: Post-grad 34% (90) 65% (175) 1% (3) — (1) 269Income: Under 50k 42% (425) 52% (518) 5% (50) 1% (7) 999Income: 50k-100k 45% (298) 54% (357) 2% (11) — (1) 666Income: 100k+ 43% (142) 55% (182) 1% (3) 1% (2) 330Ethnicity: White 49% (791) 49% (790) 2% (24) 1% (9) 1614



245

Table POLx_5



Registered Voters 43% (865) 53% (1057) 3% (64) 1% (10) 1996Ethnicity: Hispanic 36% (69) 59% (115) 4% (9) 1% (1) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 14% (35) 74% (187) 13% (32) — (0) 253Ethnicity: Other 30% (39) 63% (81) 6% (8) 1% (1) 129All Christian 55% (525) 43% (417) 1% (14) — (3) 958All Non-Christian 25% (27) 71% (78) 4% (4) — (0) 109Atheist 16% (15) 83% (77) 2% (2) — (0) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 36% (299) 58% (486) 5% (45) 1% (7) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 28% (36) 69% (90) 4% (5) — (0) 131Evangelical 59% (320) 37% (199) 3% (19) 1% (4) 543Non-Evangelical 45% (326) 53% (382) 2% (14) — (2) 723Community: Urban 28% (134) 66% (319) 6% (28) 1% (3) 484Community: Suburban 44% (414) 54% (506) 2% (19) — (2) 942Community: Rural 56% (317) 41% (232) 3% (16) 1% (5) 569Employ: Private Sector 43% (278) 53% (345) 4% (25) — (2) 649Employ: Government 37% (56) 59% (91) 3% (5) 1% (1) 153Employ: Self-Employed 45% (79) 53% (94) 2% (3) 1% (1) 177Employ: Homemaker 54% (65) 39% (47) 6% (7) 1% (1) 120Employ: Retired 49% (254) 51% (264) 1% (3) — (1) 521Employ: Unemployed 39% (62) 52% (84) 9% (15) — (0) 161Employ: Other 41% (48) 52% (61) 5% (6) 2% (3) 117Military HH: Yes 55% (198) 43% (154) 2% (6) — (1) 358Military HH: No 41% (668) 55% (903) 4% (57) 1% (9) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 86% (737) 11% (96) 2% (21) — (2) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 11% (128) 84% (960) 4% (42) 1% (8) 1139Trump Job Approve 94% (815) 5% (44) — (4) — (1) 865Trump Job Disapprove 4% (39) 93% (999) 3% (35) — (1) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 98% (521) 2% (8) — (1) — (1) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 88% (295) 11% (36) 1% (3) — (0) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 7% (14) 87% (183) 7% (14) — (0) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 3% (25) 95% (816) 2% (20) — (1) 863


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Registered Voters 43% (865) 53% (1057) 3% (64) 1% (10) 1996Favorable of Trump 100% (865) — (0) — (0) — (0) 865Unfavorable of Trump — (0) 100% (1057) — (0) — (0) 1057Very Favorable of Trump 100% (541) — (0) — (0) — (0) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 100% (324) — (0) — (0) — (0) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump — (0) 100% (167) — (0) — (0) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump — (0) 100% (890) — (0) — (0) 890#1 Issue: Economy 50% (227) 47% (211) 3% (13) — (1) 453#1 Issue: Security 75% (303) 22% (90) 2% (8) 1% (2) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 29% (104) 69% (250) 2% (7) 1% (2) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 42% (125) 54% (159) 4% (11) — (1) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 24% (28) 73% (86) 3% (3) — (0) 118#1 Issue: Education 26% (31) 65% (76) 8% (10) 1% (1) 117#1 Issue: Energy 10% (14) 87% (116) 3% (4) — (0) 134#1 Issue: Other 30% (34) 61% (69) 7% (7) 2% (2) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 9% (75) 87% (701) 4% (29) — (1) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 86% (606) 13% (94) 1% (5) — (2) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 23% (14) 69% (41) 5% (3) 2% (1) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 5% (37) 91% (673) 3% (25) — (1) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 89% (657) 10% (72) 1% (7) — (2) 7382016 Vote: Other 19% (26) 77% (109) 3% (5) 1% (1) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 38% (145) 53% (202) 7% (27) 1% (6) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 43% (607) 54% (749) 3% (36) — (4) 1396Voted in 2014: No 43% (258) 51% (308) 5% (27) 1% (6) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 18% (159) 78% (686) 4% (32) — (1) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 81% (438) 17% (93) 1% (6) — (1) 5382012 Vote: Other 68% (77) 29% (33) 1% (1) 1% (1) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 41% (190) 53% (244) 5% (25) 1% (6) 465



247

Table POLx_5



Registered Voters 43% (865) 53% (1057) 3% (64) 1% (10) 19964-Region: Northeast 41% (147) 56% (200) 2% (8) — (1) 3564-Region: Midwest 44% (203) 53% (243) 3% (12) — (1) 4584-Region: South 48% (357) 47% (353) 4% (29) 1% (6) 7454-Region: West 36% (158) 60% (261) 4% (15) — (2) 436Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 8% (75) 87% (793) 4% (36) — (3) 907Party: Republican/Leans Republican 85% (706) 14% (117) 1% (5) — (4) 832Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 10% (87) 86% (758) 3% (30) — (1) 876Vote in Republican primary or caucus 90% (629) 10% (68) — (3) — (1) 701Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 41% (35) 52% (45) 7% (6) — (0) 87Don’t know / No opinion 31% (63) 60% (121) 7% (15) 1% (2) 200Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


248


Table POLx_6: Favorability forRepublicans in Congress


Registered Voters 39% (778) 49% (985) 9% (176) 3% (57) 1996Gender: Male 45% (419) 47% (437) 6% (56) 2% (23) 934Gender: Female 34% (359) 52% (548) 11% (121) 3% (34) 1062Age: 18-29 24% (81) 49% (164) 19% (65) 8% (28) 338Age: 30-44 39% (180) 46% (217) 11% (52) 4% (17) 467Age: 45-54 40% (126) 50% (159) 8% (26) 1% (4) 315Age: 55-64 47% (195) 47% (193) 4% (17) 2% (7) 412Age: 65+ 42% (195) 54% (252) 3% (16) — (1) 464Generation Z: 18-22 17% (23) 50% (66) 21% (27) 12% (16) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 33% (164) 48% (238) 14% (69) 4% (21) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 40% (200) 48% (236) 10% (47) 2% (12) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 43% (317) 52% (390) 4% (29) 1% (8) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 8% (63) 82% (643) 8% (60) 3% (22) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 29% (149) 50% (256) 16% (82) 4% (21) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 81% (566) 12% (86) 5% (34) 2% (14) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 12% (37) 79% (256) 6% (20) 3% (8) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 5% (25) 83% (386) 9% (40) 3% (14) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 33% (84) 53% (134) 11% (27) 4% (9) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 25% (64) 48% (123) 22% (55) 5% (12) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 83% (297) 13% (47) 2% (8) 1% (5) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 79% (269) 11% (39) 8% (26) 2% (9) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 9% (52) 84% (485) 6% (33) 1% (6) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 29% (143) 58% (290) 11% (57) 2% (10) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 72% (541) 21% (158) 6% (42) 2% (14) 754Educ: < College 41% (519) 44% (555) 11% (134) 4% (48) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 36% (171) 56% (265) 6% (29) 2% (7) 472Educ: Post-grad 33% (88) 62% (166) 5% (13) 1% (2) 269Income: Under 50k 39% (389) 46% (464) 11% (110) 4% (36) 999Income: 50k-100k 39% (263) 51% (338) 7% (48) 3% (17) 666Income: 100k+ 38% (125) 55% (183) 5% (18) 1% (4) 330Ethnicity: White 44% (704) 47% (751) 8% (123) 2% (36) 1614



249

Table POLx_6



Registered Voters 39% (778) 49% (985) 9% (176) 3% (57) 1996Ethnicity: Hispanic 36% (69) 48% (92) 11% (22) 5% (11) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 14% (35) 68% (173) 13% (34) 4% (11) 253Ethnicity: Other 30% (38) 47% (61) 15% (19) 8% (10) 129All Christian 51% (488) 41% (397) 6% (54) 2% (18) 958All Non-Christian 23% (25) 67% (73) 8% (8) 2% (2) 109Atheist 14% (13) 79% (74) 5% (5) 2% (1) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 30% (251) 53% (440) 13% (109) 4% (35) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 31% (41) 60% (79) 6% (8) 2% (3) 131Evangelical 54% (292) 35% (188) 9% (46) 3% (17) 543Non-Evangelical 40% (293) 50% (359) 8% (55) 2% (17) 723Community: Urban 28% (135) 59% (285) 10% (48) 3% (16) 484Community: Suburban 39% (366) 51% (478) 9% (82) 2% (17) 942Community: Rural 49% (277) 39% (222) 8% (46) 4% (24) 569Employ: Private Sector 38% (250) 52% (336) 7% (48) 2% (16) 649Employ: Government 37% (56) 47% (72) 11% (17) 5% (7) 153Employ: Self-Employed 43% (76) 45% (79) 9% (16) 3% (6) 177Employ: Homemaker 48% (57) 33% (40) 15% (18) 5% (6) 120Employ: Retired 44% (231) 52% (270) 3% (18) — (2) 521Employ: Unemployed 30% (48) 50% (81) 18% (29) 2% (3) 161Employ: Other 34% (40) 48% (56) 11% (13) 7% (8) 117Military HH: Yes 45% (162) 46% (164) 7% (25) 2% (7) 358Military HH: No 38% (615) 50% (821) 9% (152) 3% (50) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 74% (638) 17% (143) 7% (58) 2% (18) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 12% (140) 74% (842) 10% (119) 3% (39) 1139Trump Job Approve 79% (683) 14% (122) 5% (43) 2% (17) 865Trump Job Disapprove 8% (85) 80% (856) 10% (103) 3% (29) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 88% (467) 7% (38) 3% (16) 2% (10) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 65% (216) 25% (83) 8% (27) 2% (7) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 18% (38) 60% (127) 18% (39) 3% (7) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 5% (47) 85% (729) 7% (64) 3% (22) 863


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Registered Voters 39% (778) 49% (985) 9% (176) 3% (57) 1996Favorable of Trump 81% (698) 12% (107) 5% (44) 2% (16) 865Unfavorable of Trump 7% (74) 82% (863) 8% (89) 3% (31) 1057Very Favorable of Trump 87% (472) 8% (41) 4% (20) 1% (8) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 70% (226) 20% (66) 7% (24) 3% (8) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 24% (40) 60% (101) 13% (22) 3% (4) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 4% (35) 86% (762) 8% (67) 3% (27) 890#1 Issue: Economy 44% (199) 44% (198) 9% (41) 3% (15) 453#1 Issue: Security 67% (271) 26% (107) 5% (21) 1% (3) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 24% (87) 66% (241) 8% (28) 2% (8) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 38% (113) 52% (155) 7% (22) 2% (6) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 22% (25) 58% (69) 11% (13) 9% (10) 118#1 Issue: Education 28% (33) 48% (56) 19% (23) 4% (5) 117#1 Issue: Energy 9% (12) 75% (100) 11% (15) 5% (6) 134#1 Issue: Other 32% (36) 53% (60) 12% (13) 3% (3) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 8% (67) 84% (676) 6% (47) 2% (16) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 81% (577) 14% (98) 4% (25) 1% (8) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 14% (8) 60% (36) 23% (14) 3% (2) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 7% (51) 85% (626) 6% (46) 2% (13) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 79% (582) 16% (120) 4% (28) 1% (8) 7382016 Vote: Other 22% (31) 62% (88) 13% (19) 3% (4) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 30% (113) 40% (150) 22% (84) 8% (32) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 41% (567) 53% (735) 5% (73) 1% (21) 1396Voted in 2014: No 35% (210) 42% (250) 17% (103) 6% (37) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 17% (147) 73% (643) 8% (66) 2% (22) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 77% (414) 19% (101) 4% (20) — (2) 5382012 Vote: Other 53% (60) 41% (46) 5% (6) 1% (1) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 34% (156) 42% (194) 18% (83) 7% (32) 465



251

Table POLx_6





252


Table POLx_7: Favorability forDemocrats in Congress


Registered Voters 41% (816) 49% (980) 8% (155) 2% (44) 1996Gender: Male 37% (350) 55% (515) 6% (54) 2% (15) 934Gender: Female 44% (466) 44% (465) 10% (101) 3% (29) 1062Age: 18-29 43% (145) 35% (118) 14% (48) 8% (26) 338Age: 30-44 44% (205) 44% (203) 10% (48) 2% (11) 467Age: 45-54 38% (120) 53% (168) 8% (25) 1% (2) 315Age: 55-64 37% (153) 57% (236) 4% (18) 1% (4) 412Age: 65+ 42% (193) 55% (255) 3% (15) — (2) 464Generation Z: 18-22 38% (50) 33% (44) 20% (27) 9% (12) 133Millennial: Age 23-38 47% (232) 39% (191) 10% (49) 4% (20) 492Generation X: Age 39-54 38% (188) 51% (255) 9% (45) 1% (7) 495Boomers: Age 55-73 41% (304) 55% (406) 4% (28) 1% (6) 744PID: Dem (no lean) 79% (623) 15% (115) 5% (43) 1% (8) 788PID: Ind (no lean) 28% (140) 53% (271) 14% (69) 5% (27) 508PID: Rep (no lean) 8% (53) 85% (595) 6% (43) 1% (9) 700PID/Gender: DemMen 76% (246) 18% (58) 5% (17) — (1) 322PID/Gender: DemWomen 81% (378) 12% (56) 6% (26) 1% (6) 466PID/Gender: Ind Men 29% (74) 58% (147) 10% (24) 4% (10) 254PID/Gender: Ind Women 26% (67) 49% (124) 18% (45) 7% (18) 254PID/Gender: Rep Men 9% (31) 87% (310) 3% (12) 1% (4) 358PID/Gender: Rep Women 6% (22) 83% (285) 9% (31) 2% (5) 342Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 81% (466) 14% (81) 4% (24) 1% (6) 578Ideo: Moderate (4) 46% (231) 44% (221) 8% (42) 1% (5) 500Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 10% (78) 83% (625) 5% (40) 2% (12) 754Educ: < College 38% (475) 50% (623) 9% (118) 3% (40) 1255Educ: Bachelors degree 43% (204) 50% (237) 6% (26) 1% (4) 472Educ: Post-grad 51% (137) 45% (120) 4% (11) — (1) 269Income: Under 50k 41% (412) 46% (462) 9% (90) 3% (35) 999Income: 50k-100k 37% (250) 55% (364) 7% (45) 1% (8) 666Income: 100k+ 47% (154) 47% (154) 6% (19) 1% (2) 330Ethnicity: White 37% (601) 54% (877) 7% (110) 2% (26) 1614



253

Table POLx_7



Registered Voters 41% (816) 49% (980) 8% (155) 2% (44) 1996Ethnicity: Hispanic 44% (85) 44% (86) 8% (16) 3% (7) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 62% (158) 23% (59) 11% (27) 4% (9) 253Ethnicity: Other 45% (58) 35% (44) 13% (17) 7% (9) 129All Christian 35% (335) 59% (567) 5% (52) — (4) 958All Non-Christian 62% (68) 31% (34) 5% (6) 2% (2) 109Atheist 61% (57) 33% (31) 4% (4) 2% (2) 93Agnostic/Nothing in particular 43% (357) 42% (349) 11% (93) 4% (36) 836Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 57% (74) 37% (48) 5% (6) 1% (2) 131Evangelical 29% (155) 62% (336) 7% (37) 3% (15) 543Non-Evangelical 42% (304) 50% (362) 7% (50) 1% (8) 723Community: Urban 52% (253) 37% (179) 8% (41) 2% (11) 484Community: Suburban 41% (387) 50% (469) 7% (70) 2% (16) 942Community: Rural 31% (176) 58% (332) 8% (44) 3% (17) 569Employ: Private Sector 41% (269) 50% (323) 7% (47) 2% (10) 649Employ: Government 43% (66) 44% (67) 9% (13) 4% (7) 153Employ: Self-Employed 37% (66) 52% (91) 8% (15) 3% (5) 177Employ: Homemaker 30% (36) 56% (67) 10% (12) 5% (5) 120Employ: Retired 41% (216) 55% (287) 3% (17) — (2) 521Employ: Unemployed 44% (71) 39% (63) 15% (24) 2% (3) 161Employ: Other 40% (46) 45% (53) 11% (13) 5% (6) 117Military HH: Yes 33% (117) 60% (215) 4% (16) 3% (11) 358Military HH: No 43% (699) 47% (766) 8% (139) 2% (34) 1638RD/WT: Right Direction 14% (118) 78% (668) 6% (54) 2% (17) 857RD/WT: Wrong Track 61% (699) 27% (313) 9% (101) 2% (27) 1139Trump Job Approve 8% (70) 85% (732) 6% (48) 2% (15) 865Trump Job Disapprove 68% (734) 22% (240) 8% (81) 2% (18) 1074Trump Job Strongly Approve 5% (27) 90% (476) 3% (18) 2% (10) 531Trump Job Somewhat Approve 13% (43) 77% (256) 9% (30) 2% (5) 334Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 41% (86) 44% (93) 14% (29) 2% (3) 211Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 75% (648) 17% (147) 6% (52) 2% (15) 863


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Registered Voters 41% (816) 49% (980) 8% (155) 2% (44) 1996Favorable of Trump 9% (77) 84% (727) 5% (47) 2% (14) 865Unfavorable of Trump 67% (713) 23% (247) 7% (78) 2% (19) 1057Very Favorable of Trump 7% (40) 88% (477) 3% (18) 1% (6) 541Somewhat Favorable of Trump 11% (37) 77% (250) 9% (29) 2% (8) 324Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 35% (59) 52% (87) 11% (19) 2% (3) 167Very Unfavorable of Trump 73% (654) 18% (161) 7% (60) 2% (16) 890#1 Issue: Economy 35% (159) 55% (250) 7% (34) 2% (10) 453#1 Issue: Security 18% (73) 76% (306) 5% (19) 1% (6) 402#1 Issue: Health Care 57% (207) 34% (124) 8% (28) 1% (5) 364#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 43% (126) 49% (144) 7% (19) 2% (6) 296#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 53% (62) 29% (34) 10% (12) 8% (9) 118#1 Issue: Education 43% (51) 36% (43) 17% (20) 4% (4) 117#1 Issue: Energy 69% (93) 22% (29) 8% (10) 1% (1) 134#1 Issue: Other 41% (46) 45% (50) 12% (13) 3% (3) 1122018 House Vote: Democrat 79% (635) 17% (138) 3% (28) 1% (6) 8072018 House Vote: Republican 7% (50) 88% (622) 4% (32) 1% (5) 7082018 House Vote: Someone else 10% (6) 61% (36) 18% (11) 11% (7) 602016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 81% (595) 15% (112) 3% (25) — (4) 7362016 Vote: Donald Trump 8% (57) 87% (639) 5% (36) 1% (6) 7382016 Vote: Other 32% (45) 51% (73) 15% (21) 2% (3) 1412016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 31% (117) 41% (157) 19% (73) 9% (33) 380Voted in 2014: Yes 45% (628) 50% (697) 4% (61) 1% (9) 1396Voted in 2014: No 31% (188) 47% (283) 16% (94) 6% (35) 6002012 Vote: Barack Obama 68% (596) 25% (222) 6% (53) 1% (8) 8782012 Vote: Mitt Romney 9% (46) 86% (465) 5% (25) — (2) 5382012 Vote: Other 11% (12) 83% (94) 6% (6) 1% (1) 1132012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 35% (162) 43% (199) 15% (69) 7% (34) 465



255

Table POLx_7





256


Table POLx_9: Favorability forKevin McCarthy





257

Table POLx_9





258







259

Table POLx_9





Morning ConsultRespondent Demographics Summary

Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent DemographicsDemographic Group Frequency Percentage

xdemAll Registered Voters 1996 100%

xdemGender Gender: Male 934 47%Gender: Female 1062 53%

N 1996

age5 Age: 18-29 338 17%Age: 30-44 467 23%Age: 45-54 315 16%Age: 55-64 412 21%Age: 65+ 464 23%

N 1996

demAgeGeneration Generation Z: 18-22 133 7%Millennial: Age 23-38 492 25%

Generation X: Age 39-54 495 25%Boomers: Age 55-73 744 37%

N 1864

xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) 788 39%PID: Ind (no lean) 508 25%PID: Rep (no lean) 700 35%

N 1996

xpidGender PID/Gender: DemMen 322 16%PID/Gender: DemWomen 466 23%

PID/Gender: Ind Men 254 13%PID/Gender: Ind Women 254 13%

PID/Gender: Rep Men 358 18%PID/Gender: Rep Women 342 17%

N 1996

xdemIdeo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 578 29%Ideo: Moderate (4) 500 25%

Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 754 38%N 1832

xeduc3 Educ: < College 1255 63%Educ: Bachelors degree 472 24%

Educ: Post-grad 269 13%N 1996


260

National Tracking Poll #200213, February, 2020Respondent Demographics Summary


xdemInc3 Income: Under 50k 999 50%Income: 50k-100k 666 33%

Income: 100k+ 330 17%N 1996

xdemWhite Ethnicity: White 1614 81%

xdemHispBin Ethnicity: Hispanic 193 10%

demBlackBin Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 253 13%

demRaceOther Ethnicity: Other 129 6%

xdemReligion All Christian 958 48%All Non-Christian 109 5%

Atheist 93 5%Agnostic/Nothing in particular 836 42%

N 1996

xdemReligOther Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 131 7%

xdemEvang Evangelical 543 27%Non-Evangelical 723 36%

N 1266

xdemUsr Community: Urban 484 24%Community: Suburban 942 47%

Community: Rural 569 29%N 1996

xdemEmploy Employ: Private Sector 649 33%Employ: Government 153 8%

Employ: Self-Employed 177 9%Employ: Homemaker 120 6%

Employ: Retired 521 26%Employ: Unemployed 161 8%

Employ: Other 117 6%N 1900

xdemMilHH1 Military HH: Yes 358 18%Military HH: No 1638 82%

N 1996

xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction 857 43%RD/WT: Wrong Track 1139 57%

N 1996


261

Morning ConsultRespondent Demographics Summary


Trump_Approve Trump Job Approve 865 43%Trump Job Disapprove 1074 54%

N 1938

Trump_Approve2 Trump Job Strongly Approve 531 27%Trump Job Somewhat Approve 334 17%

Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 211 11%Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 863 43%

N 1938

Trump_Fav Favorable of Trump 865 43%Unfavorable of Trump 1057 53%

N 1922

Trump_Fav_FULL Very Favorable of Trump 541 27%Somewhat Favorable of Trump 324 16%

Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 167 8%Very Unfavorable of Trump 890 45%

N 1922

xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy 453 23%#1 Issue: Security 402 20%

#1 Issue: Health Care 364 18%#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 296 15%

#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 118 6%#1 Issue: Education 117 6%

#1 Issue: Energy 134 7%#1 Issue: Other 112 6%

N 1996

xsubVote18O 2018 House Vote: Democrat 807 40%2018 House Vote: Republican 708 35%

2018 House Vote: Someone else 60 3%N 1575

xsubVote16O 2016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 736 37%2016 Vote: Donald Trump 738 37%

2016 Vote: Other 141 7%2016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 380 19%

N 1995

xsubVote14O Voted in 2014: Yes 1396 70%Voted in 2014: No 600 30%

N 1996


262

National Tracking Poll #200213, February, 2020Respondent Demographics Summary


xsubVote12O 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 878 44%2012 Vote: Mitt Romney 538 27%

2012 Vote: Other 113 6%2012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 465 23%

N 1994

xreg4 4-Region: Northeast 356 18%4-Region: Midwest 458 23%

4-Region: South 745 37%4-Region: West 436 22%

N 1996

xdemPidLean Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 907 45%Party: Republican/Leans Republican 832 42%

N 1739

POLdem2 Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 876 44%Vote in Republican primary or caucus 701 35%Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 87 4%

Don’t know / No opinion 200 10%N 1864

Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu-lated with demographic post-stratification weights applied.

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264 Morning Consult

NationalTrackingPoll#200213 February07-09,2020 ...

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