1. National Opinion Poll: June 2016 - for Publication on 3 rd July 2016
1.
National Opinion Poll: June 2016 - for Publication on 3rd July 2016
2.
Introduction
A National Public Opinion Poll was conducted on behalf of The Sunday
Independent to be published on Sunday 3rd July 2016.
The topics covered included party political support, satisfaction with
Government and party leaders, personal financial circumstances and
attitudes towards gangland internment.
Interviews were conducted face-to-face, in-home, with those aged 18+.
Quota controls were set on gender, age, social class and region to mirror
the 18+ population profile.
1,000 interviews were conducted at 64 sampling points nationwide.
Interviews were carried out between 18th to 30th June 2016.
Data was weighted to reflect the adult population aged 18+.
The margin of error for this opinion poll is +/- 3.1%
3.
The survey results presented here are derived from
The Independent Newspaper Group/Millward Brown
Poll. The poll was conducted among a sample of
1,000 adults representative of the approximate 3.43
million adults aged 18 and over - interviewed on a
face-to-face basis in the home at 64 sampling points
throughout the Republic of Ireland. The margin of
error for this opinion poll is +/- 3.1%
The 1,000 interviews on the poll were carried out
between 18th and 30th June 2016.
The poll was conducted in accordance with the
guidelines set by ESOMAR and AIMRO (European and
Irish Market and Opinion Research governing bodies).
Extracts from the report may be quoted or published
on condition that due acknowledgement is given to
Millward Brown and The Sunday Independent.
© Millward Brown & The Sunday Independent 2016.
Introduction
POLL
4.
The Results
5.
Fall in support for Independents, while main parties benefit
This Millward Brown Poll, conducted over twelve days up until Thursday, is our first since the General Election. It is
therefore our first measurement of public opinion since the tortuous period of government formation.
Interviewing also coincided with the lead up, and aftermath of the UK Brexit referendum – a result that undoubtedly
has huge ramifications for Ireland and this poll identifies some of them.
First off, the state of the parties. Compared to the General Election result, there has been some movement of late.
Fine Gael will be relieved to see some momentum upwards in support since its disastrous General Election
performance. They now stand at 30pc, up four points from February’s national vote. Fianna Fail has also improved
its position since then, albeit by a more modest 2pc to 26pc.
The election of Brendan Howlin as leader has done little to resuscitate Labour’s drift towards obscurity; just seven
per cent opt for the party.
What is more fascinating is the contrasting fortunes of Sinn Fein and Others/independents. On paper, it would seem
that Sinn Fein have seen a dramatic boost in their fortunes. But SF is a party that often flatters to deceive when
there is no General Election on the immediate horizon – the value of their stock can be often overpriced, as their
inability to get their supporters to vote on the day is well documented. In addition, the hard left will continue to
nibble at its flanks.
There is, however, potentially a more important development. Whilst parties such as AAA, the Greens and Social
Democrats have maintained their support, the proportion of the electorate opting for independent candidates has
dropped back significantly.
It may well be that following the huge groundswell of support for them in February, the public has realised that
creating such a fractured Parliament isn’t necessarily a good thing – taking 63 days to form a Government tends to
fray the nerves somewhat (not that they were the only ones to blame).
6.
Fall in support for Independents, while main parties benefit (Cont’d)
In addition, there are now independents sitting around the cabinet table, batting for Government policy; their
voting public may have assumed they were electing them in to bowl.
This new Government’s satisfaction levels remain similar to the previous administration – a rather underwhelming
28pc are happy with their performance so far. Of course, these are early days, but three in five are unhappy. With
such an eclectic mix of characters propping up this Government, this will be one metric to watch closely in the
coming months.
Looking at Party Toxicity (that is, which grouping people would NOT vote for), results have remained relatively
stable. Of the main parties, Sinn Fein, followed by Fine Gael and Labour, remain the most likely to alienate. As
before, Fianna Fail are least toxic of them (although one in four would not consider them). This measure provides
an important yardstick to understand where Dail seats will go, given the complexity of the Irish electoral system.
Reflecting this to a certain extent is that Micheal Martin is by far the party leader attracting most satisfaction – 43pc
are happy with his performance – up sixteen points since the last comparable poll (although at 31pc, Gerry Adams is
second most effective). Enda Kenny and Brendan Howlin bring up the rear at 27pc respectively. It would seem that
Martin’s statesman-like decision to support the Government (in some circumstances) is paying dividends.
Of course, focussing on the domestic political scene in a vacuum this weekend is rather pointless. The impact of
Brexit has cast, and will continue to cast, a long shadow over the political and economic fortunes of this country for
some time to come. This poll highlights this in perfect clarity.
From the outset, the Irish Population was firmly in favour of Britain remaining within the EU. A pan- European Poll,
conducted by Millward Brown in Ireland, and our TNS Colleagues across Europe earlier in June, found that 70pc of
Irish people wanted the UK to remain, second only Germany (79pc).
By Britain leaving, the narrative has changed utterly. From Enda Kenny’s point of view, this is a political nightmare.
He is now stuck between protecting the interests of Anglo Irish trade and cross border relationships, and appeasing
the EU.
7.
Fall in support for Independents, while main parties benefit (Cont’d)
This will be a very fine tightrope to walk. The problem for Kenny is that for him to negotiate with Europe on a
special deal for Ireland will potentially expose his perceived weakness – to stand up to Europe. An unforgiving
Europe may be in no mood to appease anything to the UK.
A hawkish attitude has already been signalled by Jean Claude Juncker, president of the European Commission,
Francois Hollande of France and his Belgian and Spanish counterparts. Of course, they have their own motives (both
national and European) to do so, but it means that Kenny will be very much fighting off the back foot. In addition,
he will not have his traditional ally, the UK, to back him up.
Under any circumstances this would be extremely difficult, but Kenny (and Micheal Noonan) have additional baggage
– they are still haunted, and taunted, by the perceived ineffectiveness of the last time they played hardball with
Europe – their “Seismic Shift” in European Policy on debt last time out was anything but.
Ironically however, the instability that Brexit causes may well prolong the life of this government. There is a
general consensus that this is a transitional administration – over seven in ten (72pc) believe it will last no more
than two years. Yet an analysis of interviews conducted before the Brexit result announcement vs Post Result
announcement suggests that people are drifting towards the upper end of that time scale; those believing the
Government will last 18 months the two years shifted from 29pc to 38pc. It may well be that stability in the short
term at least is the most sensible option.
There is no doubt that Brexit has spooked the Nation. One of our longer term tracking questions asks if people
believe they will be financially better off, worse off or about the same this time next year. When we asked this last
in February, it measured a positive result for the first time since the crash (more said they would be better off than
worse off). This has regressed more recently. We are equally as likely to have a positive or negative outlook (22pc
each). What is of note however is that positivity was trending at 27pc up until the Friday of the Brexit
announcement, and slipped to 19pc once the announcement was made.
It illustrates that the Irish electorate are observant of the world around them and the implications that certain
decisions can have. Looking at the political turmoil across the water, it seems that for some of them, this trait was
sadly lacking.
8.
National Opinion Poll: Party Support Trended Questions
9. Q. If a General Election were to take place tomorrow, to which Party or independent candidate would you
give your first preference vote?
Party Support – First Preference – Including Don’t Knows
Base: All Aged 18+ (1,000) Opinion Poll
June 2016
Including
Don’t Knows
%
Opinion Poll
June 2016
Excluding
Don’t Knows
%
24 30
6
7
21
26 2
3
6
8
3
4
2
2
16
20 20
Independents/Others
Fianna Fáil
Fine Gael
Labour
Sinn Féin
Don’t know
Green Party
26
7
24
3
18
2 4
3
14
Independents/others
General
Election Result
2016
%
Fianna Fáil
Fine Gael
Labour
Sinn Féin
Green Party
Renua Ireland AAA-PBP
Social Democrats
AAA-PBP
Social Democrats Independents/
Others
Fianna Fáil
Fine Gael
Labour
Sinn Féin
Green Party
AAA-PBP
Social Democrats
10. Q. If a General Election were to take place tomorrow, to which Party or independent candidate would you
give your first preference vote?
Party Support First Preference (excluding don’t knows)
Base: All giving a first preference
26 29 27 28 27 27 30 27 29 25 25 22 22 25 25 29 24
29 27 26 30
29 28
25 27 27 24 26
21 22
20 21 20 18
19 19
23 23
24 22 24
26
19 19 21 19 19 21
16 22 20
24 22 26 21
26 24
21 21
21 21
14
20
8 8 8 10 9 9 12
8 6 7 9 7
5
6 8 6
7
7 6
7
7 1 1
2 1 1 1
1 2 2 1 1 1
2
1 3 1 1
1 1
3
3
18 15 18 14 17 18 15 20 21 23 23 23
32 23 20 20 24
19 22 27
14 Independents/
others*
Green Party
Labour
Sinn Féin
Fianna Fáil
Fine Gael
June
20th–28th
2013
%
Aug
3rd-12th
2013
%
Aug
17th-27th
2013
%
Sep
13th–25th
2013
%
Sep 30th -
Oct 9th
%
Nov
3rd-13th
%
Jan
15th-24th
2014
%
Feb
19th-28th
2014
%
Apr
5th-15th
2014
%
Jul
18th–30th
2014
%
Sep
9th-18th
2014
%
Oct
21st–31st
2014
%
Dec
8th-18th
2014
%
Jan 30th
-Feb 9th
2015
%
Mar 24th
- Apr 2nd
2015
%
19th-26th
June
2015
%
19th-30th
July
2015
%
28th Oct-
6th Nov
2015
%
* Includes all other parties
25th Jan-
4th Feb
2016
%
General
Election
2016
%
18th -30th
June
2016
%
Independents/Others: June 2016
AAA-PBP 4%
Social Democrats 2%
Independent Candidates 8%
11. Q. If a General Election were to take place tomorrow, to which Party or independent candidate would you
give your first preference vote?
Party Support First Preference (excluding don’t knows)
Base: All giving a first preference
* Includes all other parties
26
29 27
28 27 27
30
27 29
25 25
22 22
25 25
29
24
29 27
26
30 29
28
25 27 27
24 26
21 22
20 21
20 18
19 19
23 23 24
22 24
26
19 19 21
19 19 21
16
22 20
24 22
26
21
26 24
21 21 21 21
14
20
8 8 8 10
9 9
12
8 6
7 9
7 5
6 8
6 7 7
6 7 7
1 1 2
1 1 1 1 2 2
1 1 1 2
1 3
1 1 1 1 3 3
18
15
18
14
17 18
15
20 21
23 23 23
32
23
20 20
24
19
22
27
14
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Jun 20th-28th 2013
Aug 3rd-12th 2013
Aug 17th-27th 2013
Sep 13th-25th 2013
Sep 30th-Oct 9th
Nov 3rd-13th
Jan 15th-24th 2014
Feb 19th-24th 2014
Apr 5th-15th 2014
Jul 18th-30th 2014
Sep 9th-18th 2014
Oct 21st-31st 2014
Dec 8th-18th 2014
Jan 29th-Feb 9th
2015
Mar 24th-Apr 2nd
2015
19th-26thJun 2015
19th-30thJul 2015
28th Oct-6th Nov
2015
25th Jan -4th Feb
2016
GeneralElection
2016
18th-30thJune 2016
Fine Gael Fianna Fail Sinn Fein Labour Green Party Independents/Others*
Independents/Others: June 2016
AAA-PBP 4%
Social Democrats 2%
Independent Candidates 8%
12. Q. If a General Election were to take place tomorrow, to which Party or independent candidate would you
give your first preference vote?
Trended Party Support First Preference (excluding don’t knows)
Base: All giving a first preference
*ULA now included in Independents/others from late May onwards
*People Before Profit now included in Independents/others (July 2014)
27 28 27 27 30
27 29
25 25 22 22
25 25 29
24
29 27 26
30
25 27 27
24 26
21 22 20 21 20
18 19 19 23 23 24
22 24
26
21 19 19
21
16
22 20
24 22
26
21
26 24
21 21 21 21
14
20
8 10 9 9
12 8
6 7 9
7 5 6
8 6 7 7 6 7 7
18 14
17 18 15
20 21 23 23 23
32
23 20 20
24
19 22
27
14
INDEPENDENTS OTHERS*
LABOUR
SINN FÉIN FIANNA FÁIL FINE GAEL
13.
Satisfaction with this new Government’s performance is
similar to the previous one; nearly three in ten are happy
Q. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government is running the country?
Base: All Aged 18+ (1,000)
HIGHER AMONG %
Males 33
Age 65+ 33
ABs 43
Dublin Residents 32
Fine Gael Supporters 66
Labour Supporters 34
60%
28%
11% Don’t know (9%)
Dissatisfied (62%) Satisfied
(29%)
HIGHER AMONG %
Age 55-64 65
DEs 67
Munster Residents 67
Fianna Fáil Supporters 70
Sinn Féin Supporters 86
Independents Supporters 80
Nearly Three in ten are happy
( )= Feb 2016 Poll Results
14.
Satisfaction with Government Over Time
Base: All Aged 18+ (1,000)
75 73 72 71 73 74 68 71
66 69 62
73 71 68 69 63 67
60 62 60
17 19 19 20 21 19
23 20 24
23 27
21 19 23
26 29 25
32 29 28
7 7 10 9 6 7 10 9 9 8 11 6
9 9 5 8 8 8 9 11
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
Don’t know
June
20th–28th
‘13
%
Aug
3rd-12th
‘13
%
Aug
17th-27th
‘13
%
Sept
13th-25th
’13
%
Sept 30th -
Oct 9th
‘13
%
Nov
3rd-13th
‘13
%
Jan
15th-24th
‘14
%
Feb
19th–28th
2014
%
Apr
5th-15th
2013
%
Jul 18th–30th
2014 %
Sep 9th–18th 2014
%
Oct 21st–31st
2014 %
Dec 8th–18th 2014
%
2014 results
2013 results
Jan 30th – Feb 9th 2015
%
2015 results
Mar 24th
- Apr 2nd
2015
%
19th-26th
June
2015
%
19th-30th
July
2015
%
28th Oct-
6th Nov
2015
%
25th Jan-
4th Feb
2016
%
18th-30th
June
2016
%
2016 results
15.
Q. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with Enda Kenny as Taoiseach?
Q. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Brendan Howlin is doing his job as leader of Labour?
Q. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Michéal Martin is doing his job as leader of Fianna Fáil?
Q. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Gerry Adams is doing his job as leader of Sinn Féin?
Satisfaction with Party Leaders
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
31 25 21 24 27
32 25
31 27 27 30 28 22 23 25 26
20 24 22 27 30 29
24 29 30
36 32 32 27
43
28 27 23 29 32 30 30 27 27 31
58 67 69
64 67 59
66 60 62 63
48 56
62 61 65 57
65 62 62
43 48
54 56 49
57
45 49 49 48 38
48 56 57
50 56 52 51 55 51 51
Enda Kenny Joan Burton Michéal Martin Gerry Adams
Don’t know (11) (8) (10) (12) (7) (9) (9) (9) (11) (11)
Sep ’14 %
Oct ’14 %
Dec ’14 %
Feb ’15 %
(22) (17) (16) (16) (11) (16) (14) (14) (16) (30) (21) (17) (20) (22) (13) (19) (19) (20) (25) (18) (24) (17) (20) (21) (12) (18) (19) (18) (21) (18)
Mar/ Apr ’15 %
June ’15 %
July ’15 %
Oct/ Nov ’15 %
Base: All Aged 18+ (1,000)
Feb ’16 %
Jun ’16 %
Sep ’14 %
Oct ’14 %
Dec ’14 %
Feb ’15 %
Mar/ Apr ’15 %
June ’15 %
July ’15 %
Oct/ Nov ’15 %
Feb ’16 %
Jun ’16 %
Sep ’14 %
Oct ’14 %
Dec ’14 %
Feb ’15 %
Mar/ Apr ’15 %
June ’15 %
July ’15 %
Oct/ Nov ’15 %
Feb ’16 %
Jun ’16 %
Sep ’14 %
Oct ’14 %
Dec ’14 %
Feb ’15 %
Mar/ Apr ’15 %
June ’15 %
July ’15 %
Oct/ Nov ’15 %
Feb ’16 %
Jun ’16 %
Brendan Howlin
16. Q. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with Enda Kenny as Taoiseach?
Satisfaction with An Taoiseach Enda Kenny
HIGHER AMONG %
Age 65+ 33
ABs 38
Dublin Residents 31
Fine Gael Supporters 64
Labour Supporters 47 63%
27%
11%
Don’t know (11%)
Dissatisfied (62%) Satisfied
(27%)
HIGHER AMONG %
Age 45-54 71
DEs 71
Munster Residents 71
Fianna Fáil Supporters 81
Sinn Féin Supporters 86
Independents Supporters 79
Base: All Aged 18+ (1,000)
( )= Feb 2016 Poll Results
17. Q. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Brendan Howlin is doing his job as leader of Labour?
Satisfaction with Brendan Howlin
HIGHER AMONG %
Age 65+ 37
Dublin Residents 36
Fine Gael Supporters 45
Labour Supporters 63 43%
27%
30%
Don’t know
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
HIGHER AMONG %
Age 45-54 53
Sinn Féin Supporters 62
Independents Supporters 50
Base: All Aged 18+ (1,000)
18.
38%
43%
18%
Q. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Michéal Martin is doing his job as leader of Fianna Fáil?
Satisfaction with Michéal Martin
HIGHER AMONG %
Age 55-64 55
Munster Residents 51
Farming Community 48
Fianna Fáil Supporters 77
Fine Gael Supporters 52
Don’t know (25%)
Dissatisfied (48%)
Satisfied (27%)
HIGHER AMONG %
Age 45-54 50
Leinster Residents 45
Labour Supporters 43
Sinn Féin Supporters 60
Independents Supporters 54
Base: All Aged 18+ (1,000)
( )= Feb 2016 Poll Results
19.
51%
31%
18%
Q. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Gerry Adams is doing his job as leader of Sinn Féin?
Satisfaction with Gerry Adams
Don’t know (21%)
Dissatisfied (51%)
Satisfied (27%)
HIGHER AMONG %
Age 25-34 39
C2DEs 38
Munster Residents 40
Sinn Féin Supporters 82
HIGHER AMONG %
Age 65+ 66
ABs 64
Fianna Fáil Supporters 66
Fine Gael Supporters 61
Labour Supporters 58
Independent Supporters 70
Base: All Aged 18+ (1,000)
( )= Feb 2016 Poll Results
20.
Satisfaction with Party Leaders X Party Support
SATISFIED
DISSATISFIED
27%
27%
43%
31%
Enda Kenny
Brendan Howlin
Michéal Martin
Gerry Adams
Total
63%
43%
38%
51%
31 44 81 86 79
29 30 44 62 50
32 43 18 60 54
61 58 66 12 65
Supporters %
Supporters %
Supporters %
Supporters %
Independent/ Other Party Supporters*
%
64 47 12 7 14
45 63 29 11 17
52 44 77 25 32
24 24 22 82 24
Enda Kenny
Brendan Howlin
Michéal Martin
Gerry Adams
* Includes all other parties
Base: All Aged 18+ (1,000)
Q. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with Enda Kenny as Taoiseach?
Q. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Brendan Howlin is doing his job as leader of Labour?
Q. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Michéal Martin is doing his job as leader of Fianna Fáil?
Q. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Gerry Adams is doing his job as leader of Sinn Féin?
21. Q. Which of the following parties or political groupings would you NOT consider voting for in any upcoming election?
Which Parties are most toxic to whom? Fianna Fáil remain
the least toxic of the main parties
WOULD NOT
CONSIDER
35%
28%
25%
40%
16%
17%
18%
8%
Fine Gael (34)
Labour (31)
Fianna Fáil (24)
Sinn Féin (37)
Socialist Party (19)
AAA-People Before
Profit (16)
Green Party (n/a)
Social Democrats (9)
Total Supporters %
Supporters %
Supporters %
Supporters %
Independent/ Other party Supporters*
%
- 28 35 70 55
15 - 32 45 41
17 29 - 46 50
59 44 55 - 40
23 12 22 12 13
25 15 21 11 12
20 10 25 21 14
10 6 10 9 5
* Includes all other parties ( )= Feb 2016 Poll Results
Base: All Aged 18+ (1,000)
22.
National Opinion Poll: June 2016 - Additional Questions for Publication on 3rd July 2016
23. Q. Do you think that Enda Kenny should remain as leader of Fine Gael, or should he resign?
Over half believe that Enda Kenny should resign; Just 54pc of
FG supporters remain loyal to him
56%
25%
12% 7%
HIGHER AMONG %
Age 65+ 33
ABs 32
Conn/Ulster Residents 31
Fine Gael Supporters 54
Labour Supporters 33
HIGHER AMONG %
Age 55-64 61
DEs 62
Munster Residents 63
Fianna Fáil Supporters 72
Sinn Féin Supporters 77
Independents Supporters 69
Should Remain
Don’t know
Should Resign
It depends
Base: All Aged 18+ (1,000)
24.
Leo Varadkar is the preferred option for Fine Gael leader in
the event of Kenny resigning
%
25
18
7
3
3
10
6
29
Leo Varadkar
Simon Coveney
Frances Fitzgerald
Simon Harris
Pascal Donoghue
None of them
Somebody else
Don't know
Among FG Supporters: %
Leo Varadkar 30
Simon Coveney 26
Frances Fitzgerald 7
Pascal Donoghue 4
Simon Harris 3
None of them 5
Somebody else 3
Don’t know 21
Base: All Aged 18+ (1,000)
Q. If Enda Kenny were to resign as leader of Fine Gael, who would you like to see replace him?
25.
Majority believe the Government will last no more than 2
years, although post-Brexit opinions have shifted
%
10
27
16
19
7
3
5
2
11
Up to six months
Up to a year
Up to 18 months
Up to two years
Up to three years
Up to four years
It will last full term
It Depends
Don’t know
Base: All Aged 18+ (1,000)
Q. In your own opinion, how long do you think the current Government will last in office?
Total
%
FG
%
FF
%
LAB
%
SF
%
Others
%
Pre-
Brexit
%
Post-
Brexit
%
Up to 1 year 37 21 40 31 59 41 39 36
18 months to 2 years 35 51 36 44 25 35 29 38
3 years + 16 19 17 18 11 18 18 14
26.
17
53
28
2
Q. Taking everything into consideration would you say you are
personally better off, worse off or in the same situation as
you were THIS TIME LAST YEAR?
Better Off (16)
Same (48)
Worse Off (33)
Net Difference* (-17)
Compared to last year
%
-11
%
22
48
22
8
This time next year? June 2015
Q. This time NEXT YEAR, do you think that you
personally will be better off, worse off or in
the same situation as you are now?
Don’t know (3)
Personal situation: Over half feel no better off compared to
last year and opinions are split for the year ahead. Brexit
has spooked the nation
June 2017
Base: All Aged 18+ (1,000)
() = Feb 2016 Results
Better Off (23)
Same (43)
Worse Off (17)
Net Difference* (+6) 0
Don’t know (17)
*= Better off minus worse off
Total
%
Pre-
Brexit
%
Post-
Brexit
%
Better off 22 27 19
Same 48 46 49
Worse off 22 20 24
27. Q. This time next year, do you think that you personally will be better off, worse off or in the same
situation as you are now?
Historical Picture: Personal Situation Compared To This Time Last Year. Trended over time
17
27 24
27
11
5 6 7 10
4 4 7 6 8 8
12 13 11 16 16 16 17
49
59 60
46 43
29 34 33 32
27
33 29 31 32
27 31
43
40 39
48 48 53
34
15 16
27
46
66
59 60 57
68
61 63 64 59
64
57
41
43 40 35 33
28
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
PreCeltic
Tiger '92
MidCeltic
Tiger '97
Post9/11 '02
Sep '08 Jan '09 Apr '09 Sep '09 Mar '10 Sep '10 Jan '11 Mar '11 Sep '11 Jan '12 Jul'12 Mar '13 Oct '13 Jul '14 Dec '14 July '15 Oct/Nov'15
Feb '16 Jun '16
Net Change
-17 +12 +8 +0 -35 -61 -53 -53 -47 -64 -57 -56 -58 -51 -56 -45 -28 -32 -24 -19 -17 -11
COMPARED TO LAST YEAR
BETTER OFF
SAME
WORSE OFF
Base: All Aged 18+ (1,000)
28. Q. This time next year, do you think that you personally will be better off, worse off or in the same
situation as you are now?
Historical Picture: Personal Situation This Time Next Year. Trended over time
36
28 26 22
25 29 29 30
33 29 31
26
32
16 15 18 17 17
11 13 12 10 13
10 11 14
17 18 15
19 20 23 22
54
62 64 68 68
63 62 59 58
61 58
63
45
38 33 35
44
37
31
39
33 32 34
28 30
36
50
41 44
41 46
43 48
10
9 8
8 7 7 9 11 9 10 11 11
23
46
52
41
34 40
52
39
50 52 47
59 54
45
27
33 31 29
22 17
22
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
89 90 91Pre Celtic Tiger '9293 94 95 96Mid Celtic Tiger '9798 00 Post 9/11 '02Sept '08 Jan '09 Apr '09 Set '09 Mar '10 Sept '10 Jan '11 Mar '11 Sept '11 Jan '12 Jul'12 Dec'12 Mar '13 Oct '13 Dec '13 Jul '14 Dec '14 July '15Oct/Nov '15Feb '16 Jun '16
THIS TIME NEXT YEAR?
BETTER OFF
SAME
WORSE OFF
NET DIFFERENCE
+26 +19 +18 +14 +18 +22 +20 +19 +24 +19 +20 +15 +9 -30 -37 -23 -17 -23 -41 -26 -38 -42 -34 -49 -43 -31 -10 -15 -16 -10 -2 +6 0
Base: All Aged 18+ (1,000)
29. Q. Do you believe that internment without trial is an appropriate response for those who Gardai believe to be
involved in Gangland activity or not?
In the case of Gangland activity, nearly half are hawkish –
they feel that internment without trial is appropriate
32%
46%
13%
9%
HIGHER AMONG %
Age 35-44 52
Age 65+ 51
Munster Residents 52
Fianna Fáil Supporters 52
Fine Gael Supporters 52
Labour Supporters 54
HIGHER AMONG %
Age 45-54 37
ABs 42
Independents Supporters 43
Labour Supporters 37
Yes, it is an appropriate response
Don’t know
No, it is not appropriate
response
It depends
Base: All Aged 18+ (1,000)
IS INTERNMENT APPROPRIATE?
30.
For more information, please contact: Paul Moran
[email protected] 086 341 1970
Millbank House | Arkle Road | Sandyford | Dublin 18
t. +353 (1) 297 4500 | www.millwardbrown.com/ie