National McLaughlin 8-17-15 Presentation SAN for RELEASE WEBSITE

National Survey

SecureAmericaNow.org

August 2015

McLaughlin & Associates www.mclaughlinonline.com

Caddell Associates

This survey of 1,000 likely general election voters nationwide was conducted on August 13th-17th, 2015.

All interviews were conducted online; survey invitations were

distributed randomly within predetermined geographic units. These units were structured to correlate with actual voter turnout in a

nationwide general election.

This poll of 1,000 likely general election voters has an accuracy of +/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval. The error margin increases for

cross-tabulations.

2

Methodology

National Survey

August 2015


McLaughlin & Associates/Caddell Associates

3

Major Findings:

• 82% of all voters OPPOSE President Obama's plan to give $100 billion in sanctions relief within the next few months to Iran without the approval of Congress.

• 67% of all voters would NOT approve of a deal that does NOT allow independent inspections of Iran's military laboratories, no US monitoring of the program and no Americans or Canadians on the ground in Iran to inspect in any capacity.

• 64% of all voters think that President Obama and Secretary Kerry are only telling Americans what they think will help the agreement be passed by Congress. Only 19% think they are telling Americans all the facts.

• 61% of all voters want their Senators and Congressman to vote No on the deal knowing that since the agreement was announced secret side deal exist between the UN and Iran exist that will not be released to Congress or the public. Only 16% would vote Yes.

• 58% say it's better to walk away from the deal now and negotiate from strength for a better deal now. Only 24% say that it's the best deal we can get now.

National Survey

August 2015



4

Major Findings:

• 57% say the deal should be rejected and it's not too late to re-open negotiations. Only 24% agree with President Obama and Secretary Kerry who say we have no realistic choice to avoid war.

• 55% that since it's a similar agreement that North Korea received, Iran will take the $100 billion in sanctions relief, violate the agreement and build nuclear weapons anyway. Only 23% say that this is an entirely different case.

• • 53% say that they would like to see Sen Schumer and other leading Democrats

work together to override the President's veto. Only 22% would want the President's veto stand.

• 55% think that there's enough time to change our position. Only 19% said we should not change.

• 52% disagree with President Obama that his opponents are ideologically extreme or ignorant of the facts. Only 33% agree.

National Survey

August 2015



Do you believe President Obama should give Iran up to $100 billion dollars in sanctions relief within the next couple of weeks or months WITHOUT the approval of

Congress?

8

82

11

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Yes No DK/Ref.

Yes No

East 11 81

Midwest 7 84

South 7 83

West 8 80

Right Direction 17 67

Wrong Track 4 91

Approve – Obama. 13 70

Disapprove – Obama 2 95

Favorable – Clinton 14 72

Unfavorable – Clinton 3 91

Vote Republican 5 93

Vote Democrat 12 73

Vote Undecided 2 78

Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP 4 90

Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP 6 84

Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton 1 94

Republican 4 93

Democrat 12 74

Independent 6 81

Liberal 16 68

Moderate 7 82

Conservative 1 96

White 6 86

African- American 11 72

Hispanic 13 74

Under 55 8 80

Over 55 6 86

Men 10 80

Women 5 84

5

National Survey

August 2015

SecureAmericaNow.org McLaughlin & Associates/Caddell Associates

Should Congress approve a deal that does NOT allow independent U.S. inspections of Iran’s military

laboratories, no U.S. monitoring of the program and no Americans or Canadians on the ground in Iran to

inspect in any capacity ?

14

67

20

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Yes No DK/Ref.

Yes No

East 16 60

Midwest 12 70

South 14 67

West 14 68


Wrong Track 8 78






Vote Democrat 17 56

Vote Undecided 9 57




Republican 12 80

Democrat 17 56

Independent 11 67

Liberal 22 51

Moderate 12 67

Conservative 8 82

White 11 72


Hispanic 25 54

Under 55 18 59

Over 55 8 78

Men 15 71

Women 12 63

6

National Survey

August 2015


Regarding the specifics of this agreement, do you think that President Obama and Secretary Kerry are telling

Americans all the facts or only what they think will help the agreement be passed by Congress?

19

64

17

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

All the Facts Only What Helps Pass DK/Ref.

Facts Only

East 23 57

Midwest 18 64

South 18 67

West 19 63


Wrong Track 9 80






Vote Democrat 32 45

Vote Undecided 8 58




Republican 9 84

Democrat 32 45

Independent 14 65

Liberal 35 42

Moderate 18 61

Conservative 6 88

White 15 70


Hispanic 31 54

Under 55 22 60

Over 55 15 70

Men 21 67

Women 17 61

7

National Survey

August 2015


Since the agreement with Iran was announced, it has since been learned that there are secret side deals between Iran

and the U.N. monitoring agency that have not been released to Congress or the public, knowing this is true, would you

want your U.S. Senators and Congressman to vote Yes or no on this agreement?

16

61

24

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Vote YES Vote NO DK/Ref.

Yes No

East 20 54

Midwest 13 63

South 15 62

West 16 61


Wrong Track 6 75






Vote Democrat 27 45

Vote Undecided 6 46




Republican 6 81

Democrat 28 44

Independent 11 60

Liberal 32 38

Moderate 14 59

Conservative 3 84

White 12 66


Hispanic 25 54

Under 55 17 57

Over 55 13 66

Men 21 63

Women 11 59

8

National Survey

August 2015


All things being equal, who do you agree with more? President Obama who says that the agreement with Iran delays them from getting nuclear weapons for 10 years and that’s the best deal that we can get now and it

buys us time to avoid war with Iran, OR Others who say that now is the time to stand up to Iran while we still have

enormous economic and military advantages over Iran. In 10 years Iran could have nuclear weapons, ballistic missiles to carry them and a more powerful

conventional military and a revived economy to pay for them all. Better to walk away from this agreement and negotiate from strength for a better deal than to

put this off for 10 years while Iran gets stronger.

24

58

18

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

President Obama Those in Congress DK/Ref.

Obama Cong.

East 29 53

Midwest 21 58

South 21 63

West 26 53


Wrong Track 11 74






Vote Democrat 43 37

Vote Undecided 11 48




Republican 9 82

Democrat 40 37

Independent 19 60

Liberal 47 32

Moderate 20 57

Conservative 5 85

White 19 64


Hispanic 40 45

Under 55 27 52

Over 55 18 68

Men 27 61

Women 20 55

9

National Survey

August 2015


All things being equal, who do you agree with more? President Obama and Secretary Kerry who say that we have no realistic choice to avoid war, but to accept the agreement with Iran and Iran’s behavior will improve;

and in fact it is not possible to reopen negotiations OR Those in Congress who say it’s a bad agreement that they did without input from Congress and now it should be rejected to negotiate a better deal; and that it is

not too late to reopen the negotiations.

24

57

19

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Pres. Obama Opponents of Deal DK/Ref.

Obama Opp.

East 32 48

Midwest 20 57

South 21 64

West 27 53


Wrong Track 12 74






Vote Democrat 42 36





Republican 8 81

Democrat 41 37

Independent 19 57

Liberal 49 32

Moderate 20 56

Conservative 5 83

White 20 63


Hispanic 35 48

Under 55 27 53

Over 55 19 63

Men 27 61

Women 21 54

10

National Survey

August 2015


Previously the United States had a similar agreement with North Korea, negotiated by some of the same American negotiators, not to develop nuclear weapons, but

North Korea violated the agreement and developed nuclear weapons anyway. Would you say that this will be the same case with Iran, that they’ll sign the

agreement, take the $100 billion in economic sanctions relief, violate the agreement and build nuclear weapons anyway? Or do you think that the Iran

agreement is an entirely different case?

55

23 23

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Yes/Same Case as

North Korea

No/Iran Deal Diff. Case DK/Ref.

Same Diff.

East 53 22

Midwest 54 21

South 54 25

West 58 21


Wrong Track 66 18






Vote Democrat 40 32





Republican 72 15

Democrat 41 29

Independent 55 23

Liberal 42 32

Moderate 50 24

Conservative 73 13

White 59 20


Hispanic 49 32

Under 55 49 27

Over 55 64 16

Men 60 26

Women 50 20

11

National Survey

August 2015


Recently New York Senator Chuck Schumer, a leading national Democrat who's in line to be the leader of the Democrats in the US Senate, announced his decision to oppose the Obama administration's agreement with Iran. After the initial vote by the Senate and Congress, if Congress disapproves of the deal, the President will veto their resolution and Congress will have to override the President's veto. In that case, would you like to see Senator Schumer and other leading Democrats work together with Republicans to get enough votes to override the President's

veto and void the agreement with Iran, or allow the President's veto and the agreement to stand?

53

2225

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Override Veto/Void

Deal

Allow Veto/Agreement

Stand

DK/Ref.

Override Allow

East 49 24

Midwest 55 16

South 56 25

West 50 22


Wrong Track 69 12






Vote Democrat 31 36





Republican 79 11

Democrat 33 34

Independent 52 18

Liberal 32 39

Moderate 48 19

Conservative 80 9

White 59 18


Hispanic 46 33

Under 55 49 24

Over 55 60 19

Men 60 24

Women 47 19

12

National Survey

August 2015


In the short time since the Iran agreement has been signed several things have happened which violate the spirit if not the letter of the agreement. The leader of the elite Iran Revolutionary Guard who has been under sanctions not to leave Iran

traveled to Moscow and met with Russian President Putin and his Minister of Defense; Iran is still refusing to allow its scientists to be questioned by

the international agency on their military program on nuclear weapons in violation of the agreement; and there is now photographic evidence that they are trying to clean up the secret military base where nuclear research was carried out in

which they have refused previously to be inspected. Considering these incidences do you think there is enough evidence for those who are planning to vote for the

agreement to change their position and now vote against the agreement?

55

19

26

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Yes/Change Position No/No Reason to

Change

DK/Ref.

Yes No

East 49 25

Midwest 57 14

South 58 20

West 53 21


Wrong Track 64 14






Vote Democrat 44 28





Republican 70 11

Democrat 43 27

Independent 55 19

Liberal 44 28

Moderate 50 21

Conservative 72 9

White 58 18


Hispanic 55 22

Under 55 51 21

Over 55 61 17

Men 59 23

Women 52 16

13

National Survey

August 2015


President Obama has accused the opponents of this deal to be either ideologically extreme or ignorant of the facts, do you agree

or disagree with this statement?

33

11

22

52

20

33

15

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

AGREE Strongly Smwt DIS-

AGREE

Smwt Strongly DK/Ref.

Agree Disagree

East 38 48

Midwest 27 54

South 33 53

West 35 52


Wrong Track 19 70






Vote Democrat 55 28





Republican 13 78

Democrat 53 28

Independent 29 55

Liberal 63 22

Moderate 28 54

Conservative 10 80

White 26 60


Hispanic 53 36

Under 55 39 44

Over 55 24 64

Men 34 57

Women 32 48

14

National Survey

August 2015


15

Demographic Summary

Voter Likelihood Tot. Race % Age Tot.

Very Likely 87 Hispanic 11 18-29 15

Smwt. Likely 13 African-American 13 30-40 19

Party % Asian 4 41-55 26

Republican 32 White 72 56-65 21

Democrat 38 Race % Over 65 19

Independent 30 Protestant 50 Mean Age 48.8

Ideology % Catholic 23 Gender %

Liberal 31 Jewish 2 Male 47

Moderate 36 Born Again(only Prot.) % Female 53

Conservative 33 Yes 56 Area %

Direction U.S. % No 44 East 18

Right Direction 32 Marital Status % Midwest 25

Wrong Track 62 Single 29 South 37

Married 52 West 21

National Survey

August 2015



National McLaughlin 8-17-15 Presentation SAN for RELEASE WEBSITE

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