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Brett Russell | [email protected] Director of Business Development, Partner @HVS_Consulting National and Denver Hotel Market
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National and Denver Hotel Market · 2016. 12. 7. · National and Denver Hotel Market - 2 - - 3 - Growth in U.S. Hotel Values ... $122. 25 $129. 48 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 ADR $96.2 8 $99.4

Aug 29, 2020

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Page 1: National and Denver Hotel Market · 2016. 12. 7. · National and Denver Hotel Market - 2 - - 3 - Growth in U.S. Hotel Values ... $122. 25 $129. 48 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 ADR $96.2 8 $99.4

Brett Russell | [email protected]

Director of Business Development, Partner

@HVS_Consulting

National and Denver Hotel Market

Page 2: National and Denver Hotel Market · 2016. 12. 7. · National and Denver Hotel Market - 2 - - 3 - Growth in U.S. Hotel Values ... $122. 25 $129. 48 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 ADR $96.2 8 $99.4

- 2 -

Page 3: National and Denver Hotel Market · 2016. 12. 7. · National and Denver Hotel Market - 2 - - 3 - Growth in U.S. Hotel Values ... $122. 25 $129. 48 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 ADR $96.2 8 $99.4

- 3 -

Growth in U.S. Hotel Values is SlowingSource: HVS and STR

Page 4: National and Denver Hotel Market · 2016. 12. 7. · National and Denver Hotel Market - 2 - - 3 - Growth in U.S. Hotel Values ... $122. 25 $129. 48 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 ADR $96.2 8 $99.4

- 4 -

National Hotel Performance YTD thru OctoberSource: STR

78.8%

76.8%

YTD 2015 YTD 2016

Occupancy

2.5%

$122.25

$129.48

YTD 2015 YTD 2016

ADR$96.2

8

$99.45

YTD 2015 YTD 2016

RevPAR

5.9%3.3%

Page 5: National and Denver Hotel Market · 2016. 12. 7. · National and Denver Hotel Market - 2 - - 3 - Growth in U.S. Hotel Values ... $122. 25 $129. 48 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 ADR $96.2 8 $99.4

- 5 -

Hotel Values Will Continue to Grow in Most U.S. MarketsChange in Value 2016-2019, Top 10

HuntsvilleLos Angeles/Long Beach 26% 21%

San Francisco/San Mateo

Las Vegas 24% 20%

Sacramento Winston-Salem 23% 20%

Boston Oakland 22% 20%

San Diego Charlotte 21% 20%

Source: HVS/STR Hotel Valuation Index

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Page 6: National and Denver Hotel Market · 2016. 12. 7. · National and Denver Hotel Market - 2 - - 3 - Growth in U.S. Hotel Values ... $122. 25 $129. 48 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 ADR $96.2 8 $99.4

- 6 -

Hotel Values Will Continue to Grow in Most U.S. MarketsChange in Value 2016-2019, Bottom 10

New York Cleveland12% 1%

Tallahassee Denver 12% 2%

Miami-HialeahMinneapolis/St. Paul 8% 4%

Hartford Milwaukee 3% 4%

Salt Lake City/Ogden Atlantic City 1% 4%

Source: HVS/STR Hotel Valuation Index

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Page 7: National and Denver Hotel Market · 2016. 12. 7. · National and Denver Hotel Market - 2 - - 3 - Growth in U.S. Hotel Values ... $122. 25 $129. 48 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 ADR $96.2 8 $99.4

- 7 -

Record Year for Major Hotel Transactions

Source: Real Capital Analytics (RCA)

YearNumber of

HotelsNumber of

Rooms

Average Price per

Room2006 723 143,835 190,3152007 753 160,108 174,3692008 286 49,089 175,9922009 80 16,999 121,1332010 241 50,332 184,7212011 450 91,106 192,3072012 377 74,654 189,1022013 488 109,159 196,0982014 749 127,723 208,6102015 762 134,970 249,316

2015/2016 Sep. 553 108,701 212,902

Page 8: National and Denver Hotel Market · 2016. 12. 7. · National and Denver Hotel Market - 2 - - 3 - Growth in U.S. Hotel Values ... $122. 25 $129. 48 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 ADR $96.2 8 $99.4

- 8 -

Average Hotel Sales Price Per Room at Record Level

Source: Real Capital Analytics (RCA)

$100,000

$120,000

$140,000

$160,000

$180,000

$200,000

$220,000

$240,000

$260,000

0

100

200

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900

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15/2

01

6S

ep

.

Avg

. P

rice

Pe

r R

oo

m

Nu

mbe

r o

f M

ajo

r S

ale

s

Number of Hotels

Page 9: National and Denver Hotel Market · 2016. 12. 7. · National and Denver Hotel Market - 2 - - 3 - Growth in U.S. Hotel Values ... $122. 25 $129. 48 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 ADR $96.2 8 $99.4

Denver Market Overview

Page 10: National and Denver Hotel Market · 2016. 12. 7. · National and Denver Hotel Market - 2 - - 3 - Growth in U.S. Hotel Values ... $122. 25 $129. 48 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 ADR $96.2 8 $99.4

- 10 -

2016 Denver & Colorado Sales

Page 11: National and Denver Hotel Market · 2016. 12. 7. · National and Denver Hotel Market - 2 - - 3 - Growth in U.S. Hotel Values ... $122. 25 $129. 48 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 ADR $96.2 8 $99.4

- 11 -

Denver Available vs. Occupied Room NightsSource: STR, HVS

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

14,000,000

16,000,000

18,000,0002

00

0

20

01

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f

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f

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f

20

19

f

AVAILABLE SOLD

Page 12: National and Denver Hotel Market · 2016. 12. 7. · National and Denver Hotel Market - 2 - - 3 - Growth in U.S. Hotel Values ... $122. 25 $129. 48 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 ADR $96.2 8 $99.4

- 12 -

Denver Area New SupplySource: HVS

2016

2017

2018

2019

Page 13: National and Denver Hotel Market · 2016. 12. 7. · National and Denver Hotel Market - 2 - - 3 - Growth in U.S. Hotel Values ... $122. 25 $129. 48 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 ADR $96.2 8 $99.4

- 13 -

Denver Occupancy ForecastSource: HVS, STR

75.7%

74.2% 72.8% 72.2%

72.6%

2015 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f

Page 14: National and Denver Hotel Market · 2016. 12. 7. · National and Denver Hotel Market - 2 - - 3 - Growth in U.S. Hotel Values ... $122. 25 $129. 48 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 ADR $96.2 8 $99.4

- 14 -

Denver RevPAR ForecastSource: HVS, STR

$91.40 $93.68 $95.07

$93.42

$94.81

2015 2016f 2017f 2018f 2019f

Page 15: National and Denver Hotel Market · 2016. 12. 7. · National and Denver Hotel Market - 2 - - 3 - Growth in U.S. Hotel Values ... $122. 25 $129. 48 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 ADR $96.2 8 $99.4

- 15 -

Denver’s Values Expected to Decline

Page 16: National and Denver Hotel Market · 2016. 12. 7. · National and Denver Hotel Market - 2 - - 3 - Growth in U.S. Hotel Values ... $122. 25 $129. 48 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 ADR $96.2 8 $99.4

- 16 -Superior results through unrivalled hospitality intelligence. Everywhere

Brett Russell

Director of Business Development, Partner

[email protected], +1 (720) 877-1376

@hotelskigolf

@HVS_Consulting