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Science and Technology in a World of
Change: a New Renaissance?
Hugo De Man
Em. Prof. K.U.Leuven
Em. Senior Fellow IMEC
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Outline
The changing world and its challenges
Technologies for the 21st century
Towards a new renaissance?
Hugo De Man2
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Changing World of Science and Technology
1800 1900 2000
Phys.Sc.
Th
At
QuLife
Sciences
Scale Macro Micro
Technology
Energy Mfg. Goods Information
Era Science
MEl
NeuroScience
Intelligent
systems?
+Bio+Nano+Energy
Convergence
IntelligenceComplexity
Techno-Science
Nano
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21 Information &Communication(ICT)
IV
Brain LaborKnowledge
Smart Systems
PersonalisationSocial NetworkingNanomedicine
Chip - DNA all @ Nano-scale
Nano- Bio andNeurotech.
III
+
Changing Industrial World of the 21st Century
Man. LaborCapital
Fossil Fuel
Electricity
Mat. GoodsMech. Mobility
20Century Technology Production factor Product
I
II
Sustainability
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Societal Challenges of the 21st Century
- Energy, water, food for 9 Billion people by 2050
- Soaring cost of ageing and healthcare
- Keeping mobility safe and sustainable
- Managing complexity of globalized world
- Maintaining prosperity in a flattening* worldIn a world of shared technology social innovation must make the difference
*T.L. Friedman: The World is Flat ISBN: 0374292884
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Energy, Climate Change and Fossil Fuel Depletion
Fossil Fuels
Nucl. HydroGeo
Sun
Wind
Biomass
CO2neutraltech
CleanCoal
A huge challenge!1GW carbon-neutral /day for 50y!Feasible? In 2010 only 25% done!
US DOE
DT(2100) < 2oC
Source: IPCC
TransportBuild.
Ind.
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Converging Nanotech for Future Energy
Solar power systems (new silicon-nano-tech boom industry >1/2silicon consumption) but renewable energy sources requires:
Smart Grid = distributed electricity production&consumptioncontrolled by the internet (largest manmade smart systemever?)
Intelligent ICT systems = smart metering and sensor networks(can save 30% power in buildings and mfg. systems)
Smart LED, OLED lighting can save up to 240 Gwatt of power by2030
Hybrid and Plug-in E-cars can save 30% fossil fuels by 2030.(Nano tech for power electronics, supermagnets, batteries, fuelcells, smart cars & traffic control)
Non-food biofuels by synthetic biology (engineering life)
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Converging Nanotech for Future Energy
Solar power systems (new silicon-nano-tech boom industry >1/2silicon consumption) but renewable energy sources requires:
Smart Grid = distributed electricity production&consumptioncontrolled by the internet (largest manmade smart systemever?)
Intelligent ICT systems = smart metering and sensor networks(can save 30% power in buildings and mfg. systems)
Smart LED, OLED lighting can save up to 240 Gwatt of power by2030
Hybrid and Plug-in E-cars can save 30% fossil fuels by 2030.(Nano tech for power electronics, supermagnets, batteries, fuelcells, smart cars & traffic control)
Non-food biofuels by synthetic biology (engineering life)
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Ageing and Healthcare
In 2025
The young will be in Africa and India In the OECD countries >30% will be over 60
Doubling of lifestile related chronic diseases next 25y
Age
H
C
cost/person
y()
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Impact
Health & Care cost soaring Europe: 10% GDP, *2/20 year (BAU) Drying pharma pipelines Development cost of new drug 7B
A challenge for techno-science Convergence of Bio-Nano-ICT-Neuro tech will lead to:
Affordable predictive, preventive and personalized medicine
Cheaper or for the happy few? Challenge 1: low cost systems vs. reliability, complexity, privacy Challenge 2: paradigm shift in pharma and healthcare business
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Outline
The changing world and its challenges
Technologies for the 21st century
Towards a new renaissance?
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Technologies for 21st Century
Towards intelligent ICT systems
Convergence with Nano-Bio-Neuro
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The Changing World of ICT
XX Century
Locality bound PC
Wired (preprogrammed)
Local Storage
Internet of Data
Info CONSUMER
Hard- Software
XXI Century
Mobile PDA (a4)
Wireless (context sensitive)
Cloud Computing
Internet of Smart Things
Info PROSUMER
Hard- Soft- AND Wetware
a4 : anyplace-anytime-to-anybody-anything
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ICT Technology Drivers
Personal MobileGateway to a4
Polymer & FlexibleElectronics
3-D IntegrationInvisible ICTSmart Dust
+10 years of More Mooreto sub 10nm size+ emerging More than Mooretech
Smart Sensorsand Actuators
More Moore More Than Moore
WWW
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Internet of Data Internet of Things
From Consumer to Prosumer
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Secure, reliable computing en communicationinvisiblyembeddedin every-thing and every-one
A pervasive,context awareelectronics ambient, sensitiveand responsive to the presence of people
Towards Ambient Intelligence
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AmI is changing the way peopleexperience their physicalenvironment
Requires a holistic design approachfrom society needs to technology
Need for renaissance engineersAnd renaissancehumanists
Able to translate complexity intoSense and Simplicity
Source: E. Aarts, Philips
Living Labs!
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Living Labs: User Driven Open Innovation
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AmI for Ageing Care
Source: IntelAgeing In Place
EU Ambient Assisted LivingTelemedicine and TelecareSocial Contact InterfacesRemote drug prescriptionHome Robotics
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AmI Telemedicine-Telecare
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H DE man cmbf-2011 20
SmartWirelessSensors
BAN
SmartPhoneInternet
4G
3G
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Growth of Body Area Sensor Markets
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AmI for Energy Efficient Cars and Safe Traffic
Smart SensorsActive Safety
Drive by wire Hybrid-EV
NetworkedCars-Traffic Control
ITS
Car cocoon / Autonomous Driving
Source: MEDEA+
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J.Rabaey ASPDAC 08
$$$$
$$
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Three Widely Different Metrics
Core Infrastructure: supercomputer/chip > 10Tops, < 100Watt, < 100 , Tbit , GP programmability
More Moore Driver
Personal Mobile Gateway 200 Gops , < 2Watt, < 10 , 100GB SSD
Cognitive Radio, Smart senses, Multimedia Services
Intelligence, Flexibility by embedded software
More Moore + More than Moore (3D)
Sensory Swarm Wireless interface to non-living and living things
Heterogeneous technologies and architectures
< 100 mW,
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The CMOS Supercomputer Chip in 2020 ?
IF WE SUCCEED* THEN:
1 cm2 chip in 10nm technology @ 100 fold improvement)
* In 8 years:
Si-Ge Tunnelfets, Memristor crosspoint SRAM, EUVlitho, fault-tolerant architectures, variability resilientdesign, // programming issue solved...
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Hw/Sw Design Cost : Moores Antilaw?
Will software limit More Moore for computation?
0.1
1
10
100
1000
104
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Year
After: Renesas and TSMC
90nm
130
180
250
80Mtr
20
40
5
TSMC
Renesas
1 B$
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What will further scaling be good for?
A few supercomputer Teraop platforms
Solid State Disks (Flash), FPGAs
A myriad possibilities for smart mobile systemsand smart sensors if design compilers availablefor: 1 mm2 250 Gops @ 50 mW for mobile access chips
< 1 mm2 250 Mops @ 50 mW for sensory swarm motes
Can live with Ion < 0.2 mA/mm but Ioff< 30pA/mm
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A Rapidly Changing Semi Industry Ecosystem
Scaling CMOS=more compute power and bandwidth Design & Development costs rise exponentially
Sharing development cost in a few R&D consortia
Limited numberof Hyperscaling companies
2..3 main providers supercomputer core infrastructure chips Memory commodity chips Advanced foundries in the east serving:
EU
- Majorityof consumer oriented semiconductor companies:
Becoming fablite, fabless system chip providers Serving service and ambient intelligent system companies
- More than Moore interfacing component essential part of it CMOS + MEMS, Power, 3D, bio- nano interfacing
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More Than Moore: a Different Game
Get to the ultimate limits of electronics Miniaturization (
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Convergence of UCMOS with Non-E World
NanoFluidics
IntelligenceRadio
100mWMemory
Processor
RF Chip
DNA Chip
MEMS
Battery
ImageSensor
MemoryMemory
ProcessorProcessor
RF ChipRF Chip
DNA Chip
MEMSMEMS
BatteryBattery
ImageSensor
Source SAMSUNG
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Heterogeneous System Engineering
Ad Hoc Transducer network protocol ULP, ULV sensor + signal conditioning + A/D
MicroWatt level computing
UWB communication and location awareness
Power Management
Energy Scavenging
Packaging
Multidisciplinarity in a few mm3
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TransportationAutomotiveAvionics
Healthcare
Gaming/Personal Devices
Instrumentation
Communication
2009 IMEC
MicroMirrors Gyro VibrationalPower
Neuro probes ThermalPower
Molecularsensor
Actuator Fluidics
DrugDelivery
Cell Sensor
MicroMirrors
Gas Sensor ECG/EEG
Probe Memory RF switch Timing Device
Cooling
PressureSensor
Hyperspectral mCam
Gyro
MTM Technologies for Tomorrows Products
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Technologies for 21st Century
Towards intelligent ICT systems
Convergence with Nano-Bio-Neuro
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Convergence at the Nano-Scale
cmmnm
BIOTECH
devices
x109
NANOELECTRONICS
31nm31nm
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Chi
Electronics meets Bio at Nano-Scale
electrical
action potential
chemical
neurotransmitter
Interpretation-control-transmission
K.U.LeuvenIMEC-VIB
NERFproject
Transducers
Computing
Communication
Neurons
1) In VitroBrain Research
Drug testing
l l
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Chi
Electronics meets Bio at Nano-Scale
electrical
action potential
chemical
neurotransmitter
ICT Interpretation-control-transmission
Probes
Neurons
K.U.LeuvenIMEC-VIB
NERFproject
2) In vivo
NeuroprobesAlzheimerParkinsonEpilepsyBrainprosthesis
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Smart Parkinson Electrodes
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Convergence at the Nano-Scale
cmmnm
BIOTECH
Nano ParticlesNANOTECH
transistor
x1012
NANOELECTRONICS
31nm31nm
Targeted Drug
Delivery
Biosensors
k l f h l
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Market evolution of NanoTech Drug Delivery
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http://www.cientifica.com/
2021136B$
di i d C
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Nano-Medicine and Cancer Treatment
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nanomedicine
M l l Di i P i f C
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Molecular Diagnostics at Point of Care
Hugo De Man imec restricted 2008 41
Source: R.Pauwels Biocartis
M L f Bi t h th 100$ G
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Moores Law of Biotech...the 100$ Genome
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
$1.0
$10.0
$100.0
$1000.0
$10000.0
$100000.0
$1000000.0
$10000000.0
$100000000.0
2001
2003
2004
2005
2007
2008
2010
2011
2013
Cost per Genome
http://www.genome.gov/27541954
Ultradeepsequencer
(>10Gbp/run,
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Hugo De Man imec restricted 2008 43Bio-Nano-ICT convergence at all stages!
Genome Chip
Molecular Diagnostics
BioSensorsTelemed.
Targeted Drug Delivery
Bio-informatics
BioSensorsTelemed.
T d N R i ?
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Towards a New Renaissance?
Progress is in the merger of
previously unconnected techno-culturesdriven by societal needs
SocietalChallenges
AmbientIntelligentSystems
More
Moore
More Than
Moore
ComputerScience
LifeSciencesNano
Technology
Neuro-Science
IntelligenceSmart sensing &
actuating
N d d R i E i S i ti t
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Needed: Renaissance Engineers, Scientists
M/W ready for social innovation:
Team player skills
tech nerds With cross-disciplinary communicationskills
Trained in creative thinking at system level
Lifelong in(ter)dependent learning skills
Able to cope with diversity and change
Co-architect of society Putting a societal vision into a solution
With economic value:entrepreneurial spirit
Prepared to take part in public debate
Hence need for:Sociology for Future Engineers
B t h d id h ?
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Prevail* Desirable Societal GoalsEco-Economical Win-Win
Long Term GlocalPolitics & Economy
Media Education
SOCIAL SCIENCES
Objectives
RegulationsLegal Stability
But who decides where we go?
Heaven(Transhumanists) : Enhanced superhumans
Hell ( Luddites) Brave New World, Self-destruction*Joel Garreau: Radical Evolution
TECHNO-SCIENCE
ICTNanoBio
EnergyMedicine
Neuro
TECHNO-LITERACYPublic Outreach
The efo e
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Therefore
More than the engineers business!
Techno-scientific literacy a must for everybody!
Politics, Media, Citizens,Education
- Universities :social sciences, arts and humanities?
Hence besides Sociology for Future Engineers
Future prosperity is strongly linked to correcttechnological answers to the grand challenges of the
21st century.
Techno Science for Future Philosophers
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Techno-Science for Future Philosophers
Im assuming that everyone in this class isgoing to be a leader some day, My goal is that they can lookbeyond the newspapers andunderstand things in order to make wise
decisions Understanding technology is evenmore urgentfor the politician, who has to make rapiddecisions that may have enormousconsequences
Physics for Future Presidents
Prof. Muller U.C. Berkeley
http://muller.lbl.gov/teaching/Physics10/PffP.html
Why not at ouruniversities?
Techno Literacy Starting Early: RVO Society
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Techno-Literacy Starting Early: RVO Society
Promote creative and societal aspects of techno-sciencein primary and secondary schools by doing.
Train the trainersCERA-RVO Society: engineering thesis in social-profit sector
Chip-Chip Hurray! IR 13
Are our universities ready for that?
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Are our universities ready for that?
Today Tomorrow
Sciences Engineering SocialSciences
Hyperspecialized publicationfever
Mono-disciplinary researchfunding
Publication oriented Eng. Ph.D.
Academic career
Techno-science for SocialInnovation
Cross-disciplinary research andeducation
Cross-disciplinary funding
Innovation oriented Eng. Ph.D.
Technical leadership
Entrepreneurial thinking
K U Leuven Syn Bio Team designs Dr Coli
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K.U.Leuven Syn Bio Team designs Dr-Coli
4 EE engineers, 4 bioengineers, 4 biochemists
Synthesis of smart drug delivering bacterium
Gold medal at i_GEM contest MIT 2008
Organizing Techno Science Research
http://2008.igem.org/Team:KULeuven/Project/Inputhttp://2008.igem.org/Team:KULeuven/Project/Memoryhttp://2008.igem.org/Team:KULeuven/Project/CellDeathhttp://2008.igem.org/Team:KULeuven/Project/Resethttp://2008.igem.org/Team:KULeuven/Project/Inverterhttp://2008.igem.org/href=http://2008.igem.org/Team:KULeuven/Project/Outputhttp://2008.igem.org/wiki/images/d/da/Students.JPG8/2/2019 NanoTera_hdm
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Organizing Techno-Science Research
Theme driven
Crossdisciplinary CoE
DemonstratorsInnovators
IP, Methods, Tools
Spin-offs
Socio-ecoChallenges
SystemIndustry
AcademiaIndustry
cc1
cc2
ccn
Competence
Centers
S
Y
S
TE
C
H
R D
Innovation
Policy making
Examples : Nano Tera IMEC CITRIS
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Examples : Nano-Tera, IMEC, CITRIS,
Themes drive by Societal Challenges
Tackled by cross-disciplinary teams
In economical win-win mode with industry
Conclusions
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Conclusions
21
st
century: mankinds largest challenges ever Converging technologies can lead to solutionsiff driven by political
leadership on glocal scale
Urgent need on long term thinking and action shareholder next
quarter / next election mentality
Can lead to huge econ-ecolwin-win opportunities
Needed: renaissance engineers, scientists, humanists
Trained in thematic cross-disciplinary research organizations forsocial innovation
Techno-scientific literacy needed at all levels of education
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