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    Science and Technology in a World of

    Change: a New Renaissance?

    Hugo De Man

    Em. Prof. K.U.Leuven

    Em. Senior Fellow IMEC

    [email protected]

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    Outline

    The changing world and its challenges

    Technologies for the 21st century

    Towards a new renaissance?

    Hugo De Man2

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    Hugo De Man3

    Changing World of Science and Technology

    1800 1900 2000

    Phys.Sc.

    Th

    At

    QuLife

    Sciences

    Scale Macro Micro

    Technology

    Energy Mfg. Goods Information

    Era Science

    MEl

    NeuroScience

    Intelligent

    systems?

    +Bio+Nano+Energy

    Convergence

    IntelligenceComplexity

    Techno-Science

    Nano

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    Hugo De Man4

    21 Information &Communication(ICT)

    IV

    Brain LaborKnowledge

    Smart Systems

    PersonalisationSocial NetworkingNanomedicine

    Chip - DNA all @ Nano-scale

    Nano- Bio andNeurotech.

    III

    +

    Changing Industrial World of the 21st Century

    Man. LaborCapital

    Fossil Fuel

    Electricity

    Mat. GoodsMech. Mobility

    20Century Technology Production factor Product

    I

    II

    Sustainability

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    Hugo De Man5

    Societal Challenges of the 21st Century

    - Energy, water, food for 9 Billion people by 2050

    - Soaring cost of ageing and healthcare

    - Keeping mobility safe and sustainable

    - Managing complexity of globalized world

    - Maintaining prosperity in a flattening* worldIn a world of shared technology social innovation must make the difference

    *T.L. Friedman: The World is Flat ISBN: 0374292884

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    Hugo De Man6

    Energy, Climate Change and Fossil Fuel Depletion

    Fossil Fuels

    Nucl. HydroGeo

    Sun

    Wind

    Biomass

    CO2neutraltech

    CleanCoal

    A huge challenge!1GW carbon-neutral /day for 50y!Feasible? In 2010 only 25% done!

    US DOE

    DT(2100) < 2oC

    Source: IPCC

    TransportBuild.

    Ind.

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    Hugo De Man7

    Converging Nanotech for Future Energy

    Solar power systems (new silicon-nano-tech boom industry >1/2silicon consumption) but renewable energy sources requires:

    Smart Grid = distributed electricity production&consumptioncontrolled by the internet (largest manmade smart systemever?)

    Intelligent ICT systems = smart metering and sensor networks(can save 30% power in buildings and mfg. systems)

    Smart LED, OLED lighting can save up to 240 Gwatt of power by2030

    Hybrid and Plug-in E-cars can save 30% fossil fuels by 2030.(Nano tech for power electronics, supermagnets, batteries, fuelcells, smart cars & traffic control)

    Non-food biofuels by synthetic biology (engineering life)

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    Hugo De Man8

    Converging Nanotech for Future Energy

    Solar power systems (new silicon-nano-tech boom industry >1/2silicon consumption) but renewable energy sources requires:

    Smart Grid = distributed electricity production&consumptioncontrolled by the internet (largest manmade smart systemever?)

    Intelligent ICT systems = smart metering and sensor networks(can save 30% power in buildings and mfg. systems)

    Smart LED, OLED lighting can save up to 240 Gwatt of power by2030

    Hybrid and Plug-in E-cars can save 30% fossil fuels by 2030.(Nano tech for power electronics, supermagnets, batteries, fuelcells, smart cars & traffic control)

    Non-food biofuels by synthetic biology (engineering life)

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    Hugo De Man9

    Ageing and Healthcare

    In 2025

    The young will be in Africa and India In the OECD countries >30% will be over 60

    Doubling of lifestile related chronic diseases next 25y

    Age

    H

    C

    cost/person

    y()

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    Hugo De Man10

    Impact

    Health & Care cost soaring Europe: 10% GDP, *2/20 year (BAU) Drying pharma pipelines Development cost of new drug 7B

    A challenge for techno-science Convergence of Bio-Nano-ICT-Neuro tech will lead to:

    Affordable predictive, preventive and personalized medicine

    Cheaper or for the happy few? Challenge 1: low cost systems vs. reliability, complexity, privacy Challenge 2: paradigm shift in pharma and healthcare business

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    Hugo De Man11

    Outline

    The changing world and its challenges

    Technologies for the 21st century

    Towards a new renaissance?

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    Hugo De Man12

    Technologies for 21st Century

    Towards intelligent ICT systems

    Convergence with Nano-Bio-Neuro

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    Hugo De Man

    13

    The Changing World of ICT

    XX Century

    Locality bound PC

    Wired (preprogrammed)

    Local Storage

    Internet of Data

    Info CONSUMER

    Hard- Software

    XXI Century

    Mobile PDA (a4)

    Wireless (context sensitive)

    Cloud Computing

    Internet of Smart Things

    Info PROSUMER

    Hard- Soft- AND Wetware

    a4 : anyplace-anytime-to-anybody-anything

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    Hugo De Man14

    ICT Technology Drivers

    Personal MobileGateway to a4

    Polymer & FlexibleElectronics

    3-D IntegrationInvisible ICTSmart Dust

    +10 years of More Mooreto sub 10nm size+ emerging More than Mooretech

    Smart Sensorsand Actuators

    More Moore More Than Moore

    WWW

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    Hugo De Man imec restricted 2008 15

    Internet of Data Internet of Things

    From Consumer to Prosumer

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    Hugo De Man16

    Secure, reliable computing en communicationinvisiblyembeddedin every-thing and every-one

    A pervasive,context awareelectronics ambient, sensitiveand responsive to the presence of people

    Towards Ambient Intelligence

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    Hugo De Man17

    AmI is changing the way peopleexperience their physicalenvironment

    Requires a holistic design approachfrom society needs to technology

    Need for renaissance engineersAnd renaissancehumanists

    Able to translate complexity intoSense and Simplicity

    Source: E. Aarts, Philips

    Living Labs!

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    Living Labs: User Driven Open Innovation

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    Hugo De Man19

    AmI for Ageing Care

    Source: IntelAgeing In Place

    EU Ambient Assisted LivingTelemedicine and TelecareSocial Contact InterfacesRemote drug prescriptionHome Robotics

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    AmI Telemedicine-Telecare

    Hugo De Man20

    H DE man cmbf-2011 20

    SmartWirelessSensors

    BAN

    SmartPhoneInternet

    4G

    3G

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    Growth of Body Area Sensor Markets

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    Hugo De Man22

    AmI for Energy Efficient Cars and Safe Traffic

    Smart SensorsActive Safety

    Drive by wire Hybrid-EV

    NetworkedCars-Traffic Control

    ITS

    Car cocoon / Autonomous Driving

    Source: MEDEA+

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    Hugo De Man23

    J.Rabaey ASPDAC 08

    $$$$

    $$

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    Hugo De Man24

    Three Widely Different Metrics

    Core Infrastructure: supercomputer/chip > 10Tops, < 100Watt, < 100 , Tbit , GP programmability

    More Moore Driver

    Personal Mobile Gateway 200 Gops , < 2Watt, < 10 , 100GB SSD

    Cognitive Radio, Smart senses, Multimedia Services

    Intelligence, Flexibility by embedded software

    More Moore + More than Moore (3D)

    Sensory Swarm Wireless interface to non-living and living things

    Heterogeneous technologies and architectures

    < 100 mW,

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    Hugo De Man25

    The CMOS Supercomputer Chip in 2020 ?

    IF WE SUCCEED* THEN:

    1 cm2 chip in 10nm technology @ 100 fold improvement)

    * In 8 years:

    Si-Ge Tunnelfets, Memristor crosspoint SRAM, EUVlitho, fault-tolerant architectures, variability resilientdesign, // programming issue solved...

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    Hugo De Man26

    Hw/Sw Design Cost : Moores Antilaw?

    Will software limit More Moore for computation?

    0.1

    1

    10

    100

    1000

    104

    1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

    Year

    After: Renesas and TSMC

    90nm

    130

    180

    250

    80Mtr

    20

    40

    5

    TSMC

    Renesas

    1 B$

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    Hugo De Man27

    What will further scaling be good for?

    A few supercomputer Teraop platforms

    Solid State Disks (Flash), FPGAs

    A myriad possibilities for smart mobile systemsand smart sensors if design compilers availablefor: 1 mm2 250 Gops @ 50 mW for mobile access chips

    < 1 mm2 250 Mops @ 50 mW for sensory swarm motes

    Can live with Ion < 0.2 mA/mm but Ioff< 30pA/mm

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    Hugo De Man28

    A Rapidly Changing Semi Industry Ecosystem

    Scaling CMOS=more compute power and bandwidth Design & Development costs rise exponentially

    Sharing development cost in a few R&D consortia

    Limited numberof Hyperscaling companies

    2..3 main providers supercomputer core infrastructure chips Memory commodity chips Advanced foundries in the east serving:

    EU

    - Majorityof consumer oriented semiconductor companies:

    Becoming fablite, fabless system chip providers Serving service and ambient intelligent system companies

    - More than Moore interfacing component essential part of it CMOS + MEMS, Power, 3D, bio- nano interfacing

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    Hugo De Man29

    More Than Moore: a Different Game

    Get to the ultimate limits of electronics Miniaturization (

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    Hugo De Man30

    Convergence of UCMOS with Non-E World

    NanoFluidics

    IntelligenceRadio

    100mWMemory

    Processor

    RF Chip

    DNA Chip

    MEMS

    Battery

    ImageSensor

    MemoryMemory

    ProcessorProcessor

    RF ChipRF Chip

    DNA Chip

    MEMSMEMS

    BatteryBattery

    ImageSensor

    Source SAMSUNG

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    Hugo De Man31

    Heterogeneous System Engineering

    Ad Hoc Transducer network protocol ULP, ULV sensor + signal conditioning + A/D

    MicroWatt level computing

    UWB communication and location awareness

    Power Management

    Energy Scavenging

    Packaging

    Multidisciplinarity in a few mm3

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    32

    TransportationAutomotiveAvionics

    Healthcare

    Gaming/Personal Devices

    Instrumentation

    Communication

    2009 IMEC

    MicroMirrors Gyro VibrationalPower

    Neuro probes ThermalPower

    Molecularsensor

    Actuator Fluidics

    DrugDelivery

    Cell Sensor

    MicroMirrors

    Gas Sensor ECG/EEG

    Probe Memory RF switch Timing Device

    Cooling

    PressureSensor

    Hyperspectral mCam

    Gyro

    MTM Technologies for Tomorrows Products

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    Hugo De Man33

    Technologies for 21st Century

    Towards intelligent ICT systems

    Convergence with Nano-Bio-Neuro

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    Hugo De Man imec restricted 2008 34

    Convergence at the Nano-Scale

    cmmnm

    BIOTECH

    devices

    x109

    NANOELECTRONICS

    31nm31nm

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    Chi

    Electronics meets Bio at Nano-Scale

    electrical

    action potential

    chemical

    neurotransmitter

    Interpretation-control-transmission

    K.U.LeuvenIMEC-VIB

    NERFproject

    Transducers

    Computing

    Communication

    Neurons

    1) In VitroBrain Research

    Drug testing

    l l

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    Chi

    Electronics meets Bio at Nano-Scale

    electrical

    action potential

    chemical

    neurotransmitter

    ICT Interpretation-control-transmission

    Probes

    Neurons

    K.U.LeuvenIMEC-VIB

    NERFproject

    2) In vivo

    NeuroprobesAlzheimerParkinsonEpilepsyBrainprosthesis

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    Smart Parkinson Electrodes

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    Hugo De Man imec restricted 2008 38

    Convergence at the Nano-Scale

    cmmnm

    BIOTECH

    Nano ParticlesNANOTECH

    transistor

    x1012

    NANOELECTRONICS

    31nm31nm

    Targeted Drug

    Delivery

    Biosensors

    k l f h l

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    Market evolution of NanoTech Drug Delivery

    Hugo De Man39

    http://www.cientifica.com/

    2021136B$

    di i d C

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    Nano-Medicine and Cancer Treatment

    Hugo De Man40

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nanomedicine

    M l l Di i P i f C

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    Molecular Diagnostics at Point of Care

    Hugo De Man imec restricted 2008 41

    Source: R.Pauwels Biocartis

    M L f Bi t h th 100$ G

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    Moores Law of Biotech...the 100$ Genome

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    $1.0

    $10.0

    $100.0

    $1000.0

    $10000.0

    $100000.0

    $1000000.0

    $10000000.0

    $100000000.0

    2001

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2007

    2008

    2010

    2011

    2013

    Cost per Genome

    http://www.genome.gov/27541954

    Ultradeepsequencer

    (>10Gbp/run,

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    Hugo De Man imec restricted 2008 43Bio-Nano-ICT convergence at all stages!

    Genome Chip

    Molecular Diagnostics

    BioSensorsTelemed.

    Targeted Drug Delivery

    Bio-informatics

    BioSensorsTelemed.

    T d N R i ?

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    Hugo De Man44

    Towards a New Renaissance?

    Progress is in the merger of

    previously unconnected techno-culturesdriven by societal needs

    SocietalChallenges

    AmbientIntelligentSystems

    More

    Moore

    More Than

    Moore

    ComputerScience

    LifeSciencesNano

    Technology

    Neuro-Science

    IntelligenceSmart sensing &

    actuating

    N d d R i E i S i ti t

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    45

    Needed: Renaissance Engineers, Scientists

    M/W ready for social innovation:

    Team player skills

    tech nerds With cross-disciplinary communicationskills

    Trained in creative thinking at system level

    Lifelong in(ter)dependent learning skills

    Able to cope with diversity and change

    Co-architect of society Putting a societal vision into a solution

    With economic value:entrepreneurial spirit

    Prepared to take part in public debate

    Hence need for:Sociology for Future Engineers

    B t h d id h ?

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    Hugo De Man46

    Prevail* Desirable Societal GoalsEco-Economical Win-Win

    Long Term GlocalPolitics & Economy

    Media Education

    SOCIAL SCIENCES

    Objectives

    RegulationsLegal Stability

    But who decides where we go?

    Heaven(Transhumanists) : Enhanced superhumans

    Hell ( Luddites) Brave New World, Self-destruction*Joel Garreau: Radical Evolution

    TECHNO-SCIENCE

    ICTNanoBio

    EnergyMedicine

    Neuro

    TECHNO-LITERACYPublic Outreach

    The efo e

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    Hugo De Man47

    Therefore

    More than the engineers business!

    Techno-scientific literacy a must for everybody!

    Politics, Media, Citizens,Education

    - Universities :social sciences, arts and humanities?

    Hence besides Sociology for Future Engineers

    Future prosperity is strongly linked to correcttechnological answers to the grand challenges of the

    21st century.

    Techno Science for Future Philosophers

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    Hugo De Man48

    Techno-Science for Future Philosophers

    Im assuming that everyone in this class isgoing to be a leader some day, My goal is that they can lookbeyond the newspapers andunderstand things in order to make wise

    decisions Understanding technology is evenmore urgentfor the politician, who has to make rapiddecisions that may have enormousconsequences

    Physics for Future Presidents

    Prof. Muller U.C. Berkeley

    http://muller.lbl.gov/teaching/Physics10/PffP.html

    Why not at ouruniversities?

    Techno Literacy Starting Early: RVO Society

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    Hugo De Man49

    Techno-Literacy Starting Early: RVO Society

    Promote creative and societal aspects of techno-sciencein primary and secondary schools by doing.

    Train the trainersCERA-RVO Society: engineering thesis in social-profit sector

    Chip-Chip Hurray! IR 13

    Are our universities ready for that?

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    Hugo De Man50

    Are our universities ready for that?

    Today Tomorrow

    Sciences Engineering SocialSciences

    Hyperspecialized publicationfever

    Mono-disciplinary researchfunding

    Publication oriented Eng. Ph.D.

    Academic career

    Techno-science for SocialInnovation

    Cross-disciplinary research andeducation

    Cross-disciplinary funding

    Innovation oriented Eng. Ph.D.

    Technical leadership

    Entrepreneurial thinking

    K U Leuven Syn Bio Team designs Dr Coli

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    Hugo De Man51

    K.U.Leuven Syn Bio Team designs Dr-Coli

    4 EE engineers, 4 bioengineers, 4 biochemists

    Synthesis of smart drug delivering bacterium

    Gold medal at i_GEM contest MIT 2008

    Organizing Techno Science Research

    http://2008.igem.org/Team:KULeuven/Project/Inputhttp://2008.igem.org/Team:KULeuven/Project/Memoryhttp://2008.igem.org/Team:KULeuven/Project/CellDeathhttp://2008.igem.org/Team:KULeuven/Project/Resethttp://2008.igem.org/Team:KULeuven/Project/Inverterhttp://2008.igem.org/href=http://2008.igem.org/Team:KULeuven/Project/Outputhttp://2008.igem.org/wiki/images/d/da/Students.JPG
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    Hugo De Man52

    Organizing Techno-Science Research

    Theme driven

    Crossdisciplinary CoE

    DemonstratorsInnovators

    IP, Methods, Tools

    Spin-offs

    Socio-ecoChallenges

    SystemIndustry

    AcademiaIndustry

    cc1

    cc2

    ccn

    Competence

    Centers

    S

    Y

    S

    TE

    C

    H

    R D

    Innovation

    Policy making

    Examples : Nano Tera IMEC CITRIS

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    Hugo De Man53

    Examples : Nano-Tera, IMEC, CITRIS,

    Themes drive by Societal Challenges

    Tackled by cross-disciplinary teams

    In economical win-win mode with industry

    Conclusions

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    Hugo De Man54

    Conclusions

    21

    st

    century: mankinds largest challenges ever Converging technologies can lead to solutionsiff driven by political

    leadership on glocal scale

    Urgent need on long term thinking and action shareholder next

    quarter / next election mentality

    Can lead to huge econ-ecolwin-win opportunities

    Needed: renaissance engineers, scientists, humanists

    Trained in thematic cross-disciplinary research organizations forsocial innovation

    Techno-scientific literacy needed at all levels of education

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