NALEO - Turning Numbers Into Clout

Latino Political Power:

Turning Numbers into Clout

Arturo VargasExecutive Director

NALEO Educational Fund

San Antonio, TexasJune 23, 2011

Reapportionment 2008 Presidential Elections

GOP Latino voters deliver critical win to McCain in Florida.

Democratic Latino voters save Hilary Clinton’s primary campaign.

Record Latino turnout – 28% increase over 2004.

Latinos reshape the political map, including those with emerging Latino communities.

Assoc. Press

Reapportionment 2010 Midterm ElectionsNALEO Educational Fund projects 6.5 million Latinos will vote – 6.6 million do.

Latino voters deliver victory to U.S. Senators Harry Reid and Michael Bennet.

Several GOP Latino milestones:

• Marco Rubio elected to U.S. Senate

• First Latino Governor of NV• First elected Latina Governor of

any state (NM)• Latino GOP Members of Congress

increased from 3 to 7, including the first Latino U.S. Representatives from Idaho and Washington.

Reapportionment 2010 Census – Latino Growth

The overall population increases by 10%. Latino population grows 43%, and reaches 50.5 million mark.

Latinos are 56% of America’s growth.

Latinos prevent net population decline in IL, NJ, NY, & other states.

South sees dramatic Latino growth – NC Latino population doubles (111%).

Texas sees largest pop. increase in nation – 4.3 million. Latinos account for 65% of that growth.

Reapportionment 2010 Census – Latino Youth

On April 1, 2010, almost 1 in 4 youth (under 18) in the United States was Latino.   More than half the youth in California and New Mexico are Latino. About  40% of Arizona and Nevada youth are Latino.

In 2009, 92% of Latinos under 18 years of age were born in the United States.

Reapportionment Decennial Reapportionment

2012 Projected Latino Vote

 Projected Latino Voters

Increase from 2008

Projected Latino Share of

Vote

NATIONAL 12,237,000 25.6% 8.7%

Arizona 359,000 23.2% 12.0%

California 3,911,000 32.1% 26.3%

Colorado 224,000 15.0% 8.7%

Florida 1,650,000 34.5% 18.3%

2012 Projected Latino Vote

 Projected Latino Voters

Increase from 2008

Projected Latino Share of

Vote

Illinois 433,000 37.8% 7.6%

New Jersey 392,000 16.2% 10.4%

New Mexico 329,000 14.0% 35.0%

New York 845,000 13.7% 10.8%

Texas 1,987,000 17.1% 21.3%

Growth, and Continued Need

Latino CVAP, Registration, and Turnout in General Elections