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Contents
Preface
Acknowledgments Declaration
About UPRVUNL
Mission
Objectives
Executives Summary
Introduction
Demand Projections
Methodology
Supply Projections
Coal Supply
Corporate Values
SWOT Analysis
Corporate & Business Strategies
Managing Dynamic Environment
Business Portfolio Working Capital Management (Introduction)
What is working capital?
Working Capital
Calculation of working capital
Working capital management
Management of working capital
Definitions of working capital
Example of calculating working capital The working capital cycle
Working capital Ratios
Current Ratio
Acid test (Quick) Ratios
Interpreting the Ratios
Limitations of Liquidity
What is Overtrading?
Key terms
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PREFACE
Sometimes words fall short to show gratitude, the same happenedwith me during this project. The immense help and support received from Uttar Pradesh
Rajya Vidyut Utpadan Nigam Ltd. overwhelmed me during the project. No professional
curriculum is considered complete without industry experience. Every individual doing
any kind of professional course has to undergo through practical study before one can
consider himself or herself fully qualified as potential manager.
After completing the second semester I got an opportunity to do my summer training in
ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL SATATEMENT OF UTTAR PRADESH RAJYA
VIDYUT UTPADAN NIGAM LTD Obra. A very renowned organisation of India. It
was a like a dream come true while getting trained at such a reputed organization. It was
a wonderful experience to understand the working environment and activities performed
at this organization.
The project period comprise of 6 weeks and was divided into several phase, where I
learnt about managing the financial activities, filling up different type of requesting
form, checking the various required documents and how to train any consultant. I also
learnt about various steps of the UPRVUNL.
In the second phase I was to conduct the survey of 100 persons to know the risk analysis
ofUPRVUNLs employees. Also, the aim of my survey was to know analyse the views
of employees how much they are aware about risk of this organisation. Field component
like survey, with respect to organising helped me a lot and would be a great support in
future.
In such a short span of time during my stay at Uttar Pradesh Rajya Vidyut Utpadan
Nigam Ltd, I have got the practical knowledge of every aspects related to theorganization and have understood the real life situation. It is at Uttar Pradesh Rajya
Vidyut Utpadan Nigam, that I realised bookish knowledge has got its application.
This report is basically prepared on ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL SATATEMENT
OF UTTAR PRADESH RAJYA VIDYUT UTPADAN NIGAM LTD, I hope that
the report will provide the adequate knowledge about working capital of UPRVUNL.
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I take pleasure in presenting my project work done with UTTAR PRADESH RAJYAVIDYUT UTPADAN NIGAM LTD. Obra Sonebhardra during the period
07/06/2011 to 19/07/2011.
I would like to express my sincere gratitude to my company guide B.N Pathik, Sr.
Account Manager P & AD, BTPS UTTAR PRADESH RAJYA VIDYUT
UTPADAN NIGAM LTD, Obra Sonebhardra for guiding me throughout my summer
internship and research project. His encouragement, time and effort are greatly
appreciated. I would then like to thank my faculty guide, Prof. O. P. Rai for all his
valuable inputs and constant support towards me throughout my project and providing
me an opportunity to learn outside the class room. It was a truly wonderful learning
experience.
I would like to dedicate this project to my parents without their help and constantsupport this project would not have been possible.
I would like to thank all my friends who did their SIP from Obra Power Plant for their
valuable suggestions and support.
I would also like to thank all the respondents who offered their opinions and suggestions
and sometimes critical views throughout the survey which made me constantly update
myself come out with a successful project.
At last but not least Im also thankful to all the teaching and non-teaching staff members
of faculty as well as all of them who helped me directly or indirectly in completion of
this work successfully.
Mr. RAMESH PRASAD
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DECLARATION
I, RAMESH PRASAD hereby declare that this project report is the
record of authentic work carried out by me during the academic year 20102011 andhas not been submitted to any other University or Institute towards the award of any
degree.
I undersigned hereby declare that the project report on the title
ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL SATATEMENT OF UTTAR PRADESH RAJYA
VIDYUT UTPADAN NIGAM LTD with reference to UTTAR PRADESH RAJYA
VIDYUT UTPADAN NIGAM LTD. is developed and submitted by me. The findings& Suggestions in this report are based on the data collected by me. The matter presented
in this report is not copied from any source. I understand that any copy is liable to be
punished in anyway the university authorities deem to fit. This work has been submitted
for the award of the MASTER OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT (RISK &
INSURANCE)MFM-RI to Faculty of Commerce, BHU.
Date: - Mr. RAMESH PRASAD
Place: - VARANASI
ABOUT UPRVUNL:
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UTTAR PRADESH RAJYA VIDYUT UTPADAN NIGAM LTD. (UPRVUNL)
AT GLANCE
UPRVUNL is wholly owned state thermal power utility with present generatingcapacity of 4082 MW, operating 5 Thermal Power Stations within Uttar Pradesh. Poised
to contribute in the growth of state, we're in the process of adding further 2000 MW
capacity to our existing fleet by year 2012.
Uttar Pradesh Rajya Vidyut Utpadan Nigam Limited (UPRVUNL) was constituted on
dated 25.08.1980 under the Companies' Act 1956 for construction of new thermal power
projects in the state sector. The first Thermal Power Station constructed by UPRVUNLwas Unchahar Thermal Power Station of 2X210 MW capacity and it was transferred to
NTPC on dated 13.02.1992. On dated 14.01.2000, in accordance to U.P. State
Electricity Reforms Acts 1999 and operation of U.P. Electricity Reforms Transfer
Scheme 2000, U.P. State Electricity Board, till then responsible for generation,
transmission and distribution of power within the state of Uttar Pradesh, was unbundledand operations of the state sector thermal power stations were handed
Over to UPRVUNL.
Today it is looking after operations of five thermal power plants located in different
parts of U.P., with a total generation capacity of 4082 MW with planting facility as
follows.
U.P. Rajya Vidyut Utpadan Nigam Ltd. (UPRVUNL) is a progressive & fast expanding
state thermal power generation undertaking having an installed capacity of 3933 MW
for thermal generation and proposing to double it within next five years.
UPRVUNL is also in joint venture with NTPC in the field of thermal generation and
with other states in development of coal mines. On the other hand UP Jal Vidyut Nigam
Ltd. (UPJVNL) is a state Hydel generation undertaking having an installed capacity of
526.5 MW for hydro electric generation and proposing to expand by another 100 MW
within next three years.
Mission
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The mission of UPRVUNL for 2011 is as follows:
To accelerate addition of power generation capacity by extending existing
projects and installing new plants to make available reliable and quality power,using state-of-the art technologies.
Adopt a broad based capacity portfolio including Hydro Power, LNG and non-
conventional and eco-friendly facts.
To enhance the power generation through increasing efficiency of operations
above the national level by periodic refurbishment and renovation &
modernization of plants, and maximizing the availability of units.
To reduce the cost of generation through efficient management practices
including implementation of Commercial Accounting system and Enterprise
Resource Planning.
Ensure timely realization of revenues.
To focus our efforts to meet all environmental norms and standards in order to
become a socially responsible corporate entity with thrust on environmentprotection, ash utilization, community development and energy conservation.
To become the preferred employer by incorporating total quality philosophy
in all
Human resource policies and norms to continuously attract and develop
competent and human resources to match national standard.
To explore opportunities for vertical integration in areas such as power
trading, distribution, transmission, coal mining etc.
OBJECTIVES
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To realize the vision and mission, seven key corporate objectives have been identified.These objectives would provide the link between the defined mission and the functional
strategies:
BUSSINESS PORTFOLIO GROWTH
To consolidate UPRVUNL position as the leading state thermal powergeneration company in India and establish a presence in hydropower
segment.
To broad base the generation mix by evaluating conventional and non-
conventional source of energy to ensure long run competitiveness and
mitigate fuel risks.
To diversify across the power value chain in the State by considering
backward and forward integration into areas such as power trading,
transmission, distribution, coal mining, coal beneficiation etc.
To develop a portfolio of generation assets in domestic markets. To establish a strong service brand in the domestic markets.
COSTOMER FOCUS
To foster a collaborative style of working with customers, growing to be apreferred brand for supply of quality power.
To expand the future customer portfolio through profitable diversificationinto downstream business, direct supply.
To ensure rapid commercial decision making, using customer specific
information with adequate concern for the interests of the customer.
AGILE CORPORATION
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To ensure effectiveness in business decisions and responsiveness to
changes in the business environment by :
- Adopting a portfolio approach to new business development.
- Continuous and coordinated assessment of the business environment to
identify and respond to opportunities and threats.
To develop a learning Organisation having knowledge-based competitive
edge in current and future businesses.
To effectively leverage information technology to ensure speedy
decision-making across the Organisation.
PERFORMANCE LEADERSHIP
To continuously improve on project execution time and cost in order to
sustain long run competitiveness in generation. To operate & maintain UPRVUNL stations at par with the best-run state
utilities in the country with respect to availability, reliability, efficiency,productivity and costs.
To effectively leverage Information Technology to drive process
efficiencies.
To aim for performance excellence in the diversification businesses.
To embed quality in all systems and processes.
HUMAN RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT
To enhance organisational performance by institutionalising an objective
and open performance management system.
To align individual and organisational needs and develop business leaders
by implementing a career development system.
To enhance commitment of employees by recognizing and rewarding high
performance.
To build and sustain learning Organisation of competent classprofessionals.
To institutionalise core values and create a culture of team building,
empowerment, equity, innovation and openness which would motivate
employees and enable achievement of strategic objectives.
To install and implement state of the art systems in conformity with similar
function successful Organisations.
To effectively leverage Information Technology in promoting complete
transparency.
FINANCIAL SOUNDNESS
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To maintain and improve the financial soundness of UPRVUNL by prudent
management of the financial resources.
To continuously strive to reduce the cost of capital through prudent
management of deployed funds, leveraging opportunities in domestic
markets.
To develop appropriate commercial policies and processes which would
ensure remunerative tariffs and minimize receivables.
To continuously strive for reduction in cost of power generation by
improving operation practices.
SUSTAINABLE POWER DEVELOPMENT
To contribute to sustainable power development by discharging corporate
social responsibilities.
To lead the sector in the areas of resettlement and rehabilitation and
environment protection including effective ash-utilization, peripheral
development and energy conservation practices.
CORE VALUES
This Corporate Plan provides details of the overall agenda for UPRVUNL. The
successful delivery of the agenda would require a risk taking dynamic leadership
along with committed workforce that identifies with and supports the vision. To
ensure realization of this corporate agenda, a set of core values should be central
to, and govern each activity of the Organisation:
Customer focus
Organisational pride Mutual respect and trust
Initiative and speed
Total quality
Executive Summary
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The environment for UPRVUNL looks good because of very high demand for
electricity for which deficit would last for next 6-7 years. Managing ongoing and new
projects is critical to benefit from the market demand. The corporation has enough
experience in implementing the projects, but the equipment supplies and receivableshad been major concerns.
One of the strongest points is the established business and early mover advantage for
UPRVUNL in the State of Uttar Pradesh with deeper technical processes like the design
and development; erection and commissioning with very experienced people and 5
major plants with about 4000 MW capacity.
The very strengths are converting into debilitating liabilities. The plants are ageing; the
people have become somewhat complacent with obsolescing skills with increasingburden of wages and inefficiencies resulting into not so good financial performance.
The non-cooperative suppliers, increasing competition are threatening the financial
health of the corporation.
In the review report 2005-12 it became clear as in corporate plan 2012-17 that the
corporation needs to handle some of these critical problems. We suggest that to reduce
monopoly power of suppliers like BHEL, the corporation needs to diversify BTG
supplier base with internationally recognized and cheaper vendors especially from
China. The coal supply chain needs to be further smoothened and internal project teams
are constituted with capable/ well trained people in project management skills and
technical capabilities. Sadly the experienced managers and the top management in spite
of being highly committed to the physical and financial progress have not been able to
reach performance levels that were targeted.
Therefore the whole organization needs to be revamped: corporate and plant structures,
organizational cadres, re-allocation of employees to right jobs, strengthening project
management and building new capabilities for larger sized projects, get off from uprating projects to new projects at the same premises, except those projects which can
give services at least for next 15 years with PLF above 60%, benchmarked auxiliary
consumption, reduced outages, SHR, cost per unit. The regulator cannot perpetually
fund the inefficiently generated power by compensating with higher tariffs. The
competitive pressure will be felt immediately after the supply deficit is overcome.
Each of the ten areas recommended must be worked upon if the corporation needs toreach its desired vision and meet it mission commitments: Managing dynamic
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environment, balancing business portfolio, smoothening supply chain, operations
including project management, Human resource management, organizational
restructuring, Board of Directors, and investment management, Employee welfare and
corporate social responsibility.
Managing dynamic environment
There is need to establish the environmental intelligence group assisting both in
operations, strategic areas like new investment, divestment, closure etc to help make
more discipline decisions
Balancing business portfolio
Although O&M, R&M and refurbishment will remain important areas given more than
average aging plants, however the investment should shift towards new projects due to
better economy and better market control. Retirement of many aging units may be a
wise strategy.
Smoothening Supply chain
The most critical aspect here is the BTG and BOP timely supplies. Diversified vendor
base will help timely commissioning of projects. In case of contractual failures penalty
clause should be enforced on undue delays. The coal and oil supply chains must be
studied for better efficiencies and environmental compliance perspective.
Operations including project management
Here the most critical area is to build critical project management competencies and
empowered structural positions of project management teams. Operational benchmarks
as targets be pursued vigorously through well designed organizational structures, clear
accountability and incentive systems. ERP and IT project should be implemented at
faster speed to derive returns from this investment.
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Human resource management
This being the only source of competitive advantage enough resources must be diverted
towards training and development with at 3% budget of revenue dedicated to training
and development for the employees. The cadre restructuring should be done keeping in
mind that the internal environment is enabling and empowering with adequate
responsibility and accountability
Organisational Restructuring
The PRAGATI teams proposed organizational structure (draft) appears to meet the new
requirements of the organizations. However, a concept of executive teams is proposed
at the corporate and each plant levels. The strategy and project management should be
given higher emphasis. The divisional structure (with profit responsibility) will un-
clutter information overload as well as more effective operations because of clear
accountability.
Board of Director
We suggest that board of directors should also be restructured by bringing in more
independent directors and create more transparency so that in future it could be listed onstock exchanges. In some critical areas board committees should be constituted.
Investment management
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Emphasis should be placed on profitability and more internal generation of funds for
investment in future projects, without perpetually depending on the UP Government.
This is necessary especially in future if capital markets were to be tapped. By 2017 it
should acquire financial autonomy. It is necessary the government continue funding
until then and it should issue bonds to fund investment against receivables from its
customers. It is suggested that if the above areas are successfully navigated thecorporation has the potential to meet its vision and mission spirit.
Employee Welfare
Employees are the greatest resource of any organization, especially if they areconsidered the source of competitive advantage. The developmental needs of employees
on the job must be seriously considered and their socio-psychological needs beside
physical comfort. The working environment should have hazard free and physically
comfortable working ambience especially in plants. Medical facilities, recreation needs
and religious and social needs may be considered with very clear policy and
programmes.
Corporate Social Responsibility
It is essential to build a focus of CSR activity to have impact. Beside R&R guidelines,
which are very well elaborated by NTPC, which can be modified as per Nigam needs
and vision, the corporation should focus on an impact area like education, especially
scholarship scheme for higher education. The other important are to which Nigam can
look into is the construction of electricity distribution network around 5 Kms. radii
around each of the plants for the local communities. A mobile health van can provide
assistance through an NGO engaged in health sector in the proximity of each plant.
Finally drinking water facilities can be provided to the local communities.
Introduction:
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Energy is the most important building block of every civilization. Most of the modern
day war in fact is, overtly or covertly fought over energy security. Much of the past
slow social-economic development can directly or indirectly be attributed to lack of
energy resources specially electricity. To power the growth of the country to gain and
sustain 10% growth in GDP will raise more energy demands, including hydrocarbons
and electricity. The later still the cheapest source and possibly one of the cleanestsources of energy, notwithstanding the polluting supply side of generation if oil or coal
is used. UPRVUNL represents the pride place in electricity generation in the state of
Uttar Pradesh. The common man and the government look at it with considerable
expectations to solve the problem of energy needs in the State. It is therefore imperative
that UPRVUNL go beyond what it is doing today in meeting these expectations or it
will be dumped by its stakeholders. It is the onus on its managers to make it a more
vibrant , responsive and responsible organization to all its stakeholders and thus it
needs to review its functioning and improve management systems in order to meet theexpectations raised by its stakeholders: common man, immediate customers, suppliers,
owners , managers and many thousand employees, regulators, lenders and supporters .
But before we begin with articulating its strategic intent in the form of vision, mission
and objectives, we need to analyze the demand and supply scenario.
Demand Projection
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Business forecasting can be done by:
1. Trend projection method
This methodology is quantitative in nature and gives us figures based on regressingthepast time series data.
2. Barometric method
The government has an ambitious program Power all by 2012 (a lead indicator) which
indicates higher demand prospects for electricity in coming years. Uttar Pradesh being
the second largest state-economy of India contributes 8.17% to Indias GDP. Given the
fact that Uttar Pradeshs economy has grown by 7% in last 5 years we expect that this
will continue leading to higher demand of manpower, capital, and infrastructure
including electricity (coincidental indicators).
We have used the trend projection method to forecast the demand for the next seven
years viz.
2011-2017.
Methodology:
The time series forecasting can be done using the trend of past years. These trends
can be captured as linear, exponential functions. Following the demand breakup
in previous years, we feel that a linear estimation will be a better indicator. Thepast data has been taken from the power census done by central government. Data
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for some years was not available and has been interpolated from the other years.
Looking closely we can observe that the trend was different before 2003 where it was
relatively flatter. Demand has grown at a higher rate in last 6 years. Hence we willforecast the total demand using linear regression over last 6 years. The sector-wise
demand in following years will be done on the basis of current (2009-10) sector-wise
allocation.
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By 2015, the state will require about 54211 MU of power, an increase of about
14000 MU over current demand. The projections for different sectors for the next five
years using this technique are:
Table2: Demand Projections 2010-17
Projected Power consumption in 2010-11 & 2016-17:
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Graph: Projections based on linear trend:
From the past data and the projections, we can observe that the growth rate in industrial,
utilities and agricultural sector have been almost half that of the domestic consumption.
Much of the rural areas were not electrified earlier but now are slowly being covered by
the grid leading to increased demand in this sector.
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The demand data is very close to consumption data from 2000-2010(refer toCategoryWise Energy Sold in UP data). This is indicative of the fact that demand
estimation has only been done for cities, towns and villages which have been
covered by grid in their respective years. This means that the demand from un-
electrified regions of Uttar Pradesh is not a part of these projections. Besides there is
unmet demand due to roistering and non-supply of electricity especially during peakhours. To achieve a more holistic projection of demand, we have used the population
and GDP of Uttar Pradesh and compared it with other states. The scatter plot below
shows the Per capita GDP vs. Per capita electricity demanded for various states.
Graph showing regression based on lead indicators:
The above graph denotes that SDP and electricity consumption fit a linear regression
line with 61% predictability, and SDP can be considered as a good predictor of
lectricity consumption per capita. Using the values obtained from this regression and the
annual growth rate of GDP and population, we are able to project the demand in Uttar
Pradesh.
Assumptions: GDP Growth Rate 10%
Population Growth Rate 2.16%
Availability factor 0.66
Table 4: Capacity Required in MU and MW in UP:
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The results obtained from this regression reveal that the demand severely exceeds theestimates from preceding method. However, these results are more accurate as the
net demand is directly linked to the population and electricity consumption per
person.
Supply Projections:
Estimating Supply of power in UP:
In order to increase the power generations there are two alternatives available. One is
obviously to increase the installed capacity by building new plants. This is a long term
solution but this will take a lot of time and investment. On the other hand there are
quick fix solutions like renovation and modernization (R&M), refurbishment, up ratingand life extension. These R&M and refurbishment increase power generation by
improving the operating condition of the plant in terms of PLF and availability. Up
rating on the other hand is a small capacity addition to existing plants. Life extension
increases the life of the plant, which otherwise is 25 years. These solutions require less
investment compared to new plant and can be implemented quickly. However their
benefits are limited in terms of useful life and the power output.
Methodology
We have compared refurbishment and up rating to new plant in terms of Net Present
Value of the capex required for a 1MW capacity and the additional revenues generated.
The detailed calculations and the assumptions taken can be seen in the excel sheetattached as Annexure IV All the inputs and assumptions to the model are kept in a
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separate tab Assumptions and Inputs of table 5 bellow. In case of any disagreementwith any of the assumptions/values or to carry any sensitivity analysis the value can be
changed in the assumptions sheet. All the related changes will get reflected in the
calculations and results.
Table 5: Assumptions
Variable operating costs are assumed to be same for new and refurbished plants In case
of refurbishment or up-ration R&M expenses will continue to occur at the same rate as
in 10yr old plant
In fact the Operating costs will be lower thus improving NPV.
The excel sheet is provided as Annexure IV separately in electronic form. However, the
result
summary is presented below:
Table 6: showing average cost/MW by different Project Process: and
Table 7: NPV of Investment in different Project processes:
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Conclusion
From the calculation it was seen that a new plant would be most beneficial followed by
up-rating in terms of the net present value. Refurbishment was not found profitable for
the given set of benefits it is expected to provide. Therefore it is not recommendable to
carry out refurbishment unless it is the only possibility due to resource crunch or
pressure from demand side. However other than financial criteria should be considered,
which may temper the above conclusion. Other major issue discovered in case of
refurbishment and R&M is the delay of supplies from EPC contractor. This has causeddelay in repair and maintenance activities and caused permanent damage to facilities
besides decreasing efficiency. A penalty clause for delay should be incorporated in EPC
contracts to account for any delay.
Table 8: Existing Projects:
Capacity Projection:
Uttar Pradesh Currently has 10369 MW of installed power generation capacity of which
4082 MW comes from UPRVUNL. Following is the breakup of the current capacity in
UP.
Table 9: Sector and Raw material wise availability in 2009-10:
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Table 10: Ongoing up rating of UPRVUNL Plants:
UPRVUNL also has some ongoing projects which will come up in the near future
increasing the UPRVUNLs capacity by 2000 MW. Following are the details ofUPRVUNLs projects:
Table 11: Expected project completion dates of UPRVUNL Projects (As on March,
2011):
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Four private sector/NTPC projects are also in progress in UP, which will give varying
share of their output to the state:
Table12: 11th five year Plant availability of power with UPRVUNL:
In addition there have been several MOUs signed by UPPCL in the recent past with thevarious power producers to setup their facilities in the state, and there are several other
projects in the pipeline including a few from UPRVUNL (Panki Extn, Harduaganaj
Extn Stage II, Obra C, Anapara E). Following are the details for the 12th Five year plan.
Table 13: Total power availability in 12th Plan in MW:
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Source: UPRVUNL
For these projects a conversion rate of 50% can be assumed considering the various
hurdles they may face. Considering these capacity addition plans in UP, the total
available power to UP is given in table 12.
Table 14: Projected Demand and supply 2012-17:
Which when compared to the demand projections still leave big headroom for further
expansion. Private sector is expected to expand rapidly in north India, given the scarcityof electricity in the region, which will lead to further capacity additions from Privatesector in this region. Considering the 40% conversion rate for the proposed plants, UP
will have excess capacity by 2017 and can look out to sell the power. One assumption
regarding the capacity addition plans of UPRVUNL is that at least 1320 MW might not
be materialized in the 12th five year plan, considering the tough environmental norms.
Table 15: Demand- supply gap in UP:
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Resource Analysis
Generation equipment broadly comprises boiler-turbine-generator (BTG), balance ofplants (BoP) and civil construction. While BTG involves products, most of BoP and
civil construction is classified under projects. Below, we represent various componentsof a generation system:
15% of the total initial investment required goes to meet the working capital
requirements. BHEL and Thermax have been key boiler manufacturers in India; BHEL,
along with Siemens, has been a key player in turbine generators. BHEL, the largest
equipment vendor in the country, has 10 GW annual BTG capacity. However, according
to the Eleventh Plan capacity addition targets, the BTG industry is required to have anannual capacity of ~15 GW. Given this gap in demand and supply, imports will play avital role in meeting this demand. Among foreign players, Chinese and Korean
(Shanghai, Doosan, and Dong Fang) manufacturers have been particularly active in
India due to their ability of executing standardized 300 and 600 MW plants on lower
time schedules and lower initial capex.
All plants commissioned after 2017 shall have to be supercritical (e.g. 660MW and
above) and to have a coal linkage. Chinese and Korean manufacturers have the
capabilities to produce supercritical. BHEL had a market share of 64.4% in FY07, when
the total installed capacity of India was 125.4 GW. However, the BTG equipment
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market in India had started changing from H1FY07, with the states beginning to focus
on power generation capacity addition. Simultaneously, presence of international
vendors also increased, primarily of the Chinese. Hence, we have seen the market share
of BHEL declining progressively. It had a market share of 59.2% at the end of FY09,
when the total installed capacity of India was at 147.9 GW.
Annual capacity of the BTG equipment industry will be at ~35-40 GW by the end of
Eleventh Plan or the beginning of the Twelfth plan. Capacity addition in the Twelfthplan is expected to be at 80-100 GW, implying an annual BTG equipment capacity
requirement of ~16-20 GW.
Table 16: Details of New Entrants in BTG:
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Coal Supply:
Availability and affordability make coal the most cost-effective fuel ultra mega power
project developers. The supply of coal, however, continues to rest largely with the two
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public sector coal mining companies - Coal India Ltd and Singareni Collieries
Company Ltd, which together meet over 80 per cent of the country's coal demand.
Imported coal bridges the demand-supply gap to some extent, but at prices which are at
premiums in excess of 30-35 per cent even after adjusting for its higher calorific value.
Though the public sector miners sell coal at regulated prices, which are at a substantial
discount to market determined (e-auction) prices and prices of comparable importedcoal, the supply of cheap domestic coal via this route is not assured. Public Sector
Undertaking (PSU) miners are obligated to supply coal to the extent of the Annual
Contracted Quantity (ACQ) set in the Fuel Supply Agreement (FSA), but are free to
make up for any short-fall in ACQ by supplying imported coal paid for by the buyer.
The newly formulated FSA which PSU miners will sign with all future consumers
(except those opting for Central Electricity Authority (CEA) allocated ACQ), has
lowered the committed fuel supply from 90 per cent of the ACQ for power utilities (60per cent of ACQ for non-power sector industries) earlier to 50 per cent of ACQ,
indicating that PSU miners do not expect their production to catch up with demand,
going forward. In such a scenario, captive coal blocks play a crucial role in addressingthe fuel security concerns of consumers. However, the development of captive blocks is
a challenging and time-consuming process, with a whole host of issues slowing down
the timely commissioning of mines.
Progress on captive blocks hit by forest clearance, land
acquisition hurdles:
Captive Blocks allotment since 1993
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Source: Ministry of Coal, CRISIL Research
Progress on Captive Blocks allotted since 1993:
Coal block allotment was initiated in 1993 when the Sarshatoli coal block was allotted
to Integrated Coal Mining Ltd, an RPG group company, for power generation. Coalblock allocation then picked up only in 2003 when 21 coal blocks with geological
reserves of more than 1.4 billion tones were allotted. The period 2003 to 2008 saw a
surge in block allotment with 179 blocks allotted during this period. Of all the captive
coal blocks in the country, 26 currently produce coal, nine of which are legacy blocks.
However, out of the 208 coal blocks allotted since 1993, only 17 have commenced
production as of 2009-10, reflecting the dismal state of progress on captive blockdevelopment by allocates. The principle reasons for the slow pace of development are
the inordinate delays in land acquisition and in obtaining environmental and forest
clearances.
Source: Ministry of Coal, CRISIL Research Source: Ministry of Coal, CRISIL Research
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Mission Statement
UPRVUNL will be leader in generating, transmitting and distributing electric
energy most efficiently through collaborations with its partners by using its
technical people as its competitive advantage while balancing and serving the
interest of all of its stakeholders.
Corporate Values
1. Excellence in everything it does2. Respectful and fair to each employee
3. Committed to nurturing of its technical talent
4. Fair to its partners
5. Will remain environmentally and socially responsible
Corporate Objectives
1. Build a strong competence in customer responsiveness by leveraging humanbusiness through training, development and motivation
2. Expansion and growth by improving the efficiency of existing plants and
adding new generation capacities
3. Reducing supply chain bottlenecks and operating costs
4. Diversifying both into vertical chain activities and diversifying the input base
that lead to the leading market share5. By taking advantage of economies of scale becoming the lowest cost generator
of electricity in the state and the country6. Partnering with other entities to minimize investment needs and reducing the
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investment risk
7. Becoming one of the leaders in environmental management and socially
responsible citizenship in its peer group
In order to meet the objectives, mission, vision of the corporation, UPRVUNL needsto take stock of its Strengths and weaknesses and assess the environmental futurethreats and opportunities in order to allocate resources judiciously. There we attemptthe SWOT Analysis.
SWOT Analysis:
Strengths1. Ownership is with state government that reduces the risk of
liquidation who can make investment in public interest should thethings turn hostile
2. It has R&D support from Central Electricity Authority keepingthe research and development costs almost zero.
3. It is easy to get land and environmental clearances from respective
authority without suspecting foul play
4. It has top management who very competent and committed whowork for the government as well as for the corporation-facilitatinggovernment support as and when required
5. UPRVUNL has a rich history and competence of generatingelectricity through coal and oil, water with priority allocation ofinputs
6.
The input costs are cushioned against market price vagaries and thushelps in realizing costs through regulated tariff system
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7. It has access to large real estate which is now free of cost and doesnot require fresh investment with all the facilities required for a TPSlike water, transport access.
8. It has the largest market share of about 50% of capacity ingeneration business as compared to its competitors. The actual
capacity for generation is 3933 MW as on 31
st
March, 2011 afterexcluding unit 6 of Obra and unit no. 3 of Harduaganj.
9. Assured market reducing the cost of marketing because ofhistorical relationships and scarcity of electricity. Demand is not anissue for next 10 years.
10.Most of the plants are depreciated leading to less strain on the balancesheet
11.
It has the largest number of technical manpower in the state and oneof the largest in the country that is well experienced.
12.The percentage of youngsters is growing beyond 50 (about 750out of 1450) at executive (technical) level which are well educated, getting good training and are very motivated
13.Corporate values are already articulated and are in place
14.Security of employment provides stability to the knowledge base
which does not migrate. Continuously and good compensationpolicy.
Weaknesses
1. Being state owned organization it suffers from slow decision makingprocessand dealing with less risky but expensive suppliers and buyers
which also limit speed of decision making
2. Because of SOE employees do not have commercial mindset3. The top management comes from Government which also has
its negative side: the commitment levels are not very high because ofuncertain tenure.
4. Cost, quality, and schedules for works lowers efficiencyin O&M and Project management
5. Has already adequate input linkages
6. Three Full time directors positions are vacant, substituted by part
time director finance, and former technical director serving asadvisor. Post of Director Personnel is vacant.
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7. Disputes on seniority are quite frequent which delays thepromotion on senior positionssince last many years loweringmotivation
8. Promotions are not based on competence but other politicallydetermined criteria
9. Old organization continue which is not consistent with todaysground realities
10. Induction on compassionate ground has resulted in work
inefficiencies and high cost work force, which UP Government
has already stopped in its own departments.
11. Roles and responsibilities are not commensurate with
compensation, which are needed to be defined and refined.
12. Deferred or partial payments by customers adversely affect the
cash cycle
13. It is difficult to mobilize equity and thereby loans due toprofit/loss account losses and because government also takes very
long time in implementing financial recommendations
15.Supply of coal comes from distantly located pit heads increasinginput transportation costs.
16.Government ownership provides cushion against inefficient working
resulting in lower efficiencies.
17.Very high age of plants keeps the breakdowns as frequent resulting
in lower PLF and high input costs
18.
Project implementation is a very serious drawback for lack of projectmanagement skills and bureaucratic procedures
19.Poor contract reinforcement with equipment suppliers like the virtualmonopolist BHEL resulting into high cost and time overruns
20.Coal linkages for plants are inadequate for future needs
21.Coordination and communication processes are very slow
22.Technology enablers such as IT have only been addressed recently
whose implementation is moving at a slow pace.
23.Inadequate focus on regulatory affairs. Handled at plant level instead
of corporate level.24.Auxiliary consumptions are very high compared to its competitors
like NTPC
25.Political interference at the level of supplies (favored), operations-
lack of proper allocation of manpower at right jobs/ place, sub-
contractors, and employees (transfers/promotions)
26.. Lower PLF compared to competitors and national average makes
operations expensive.27.It is estimated that the balance sheet may have the losses until 31st
March 2010 to the tune of Rs. 585.7 crore as per provisional balancesheet, whereas we have repayments from customer of the same tune,
therefore the interest cost without any benefits to Corporation.
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Opportunities
1. BOP and BTG can be awarded through bidding system instead of
single supplier as is given to BHEL which do not adhere to timelines
of the contract who do not pay penalties for project time over runs.
2. Possibility of increasing revenues through CDM, PAT( Perform,
Achieve and Trade) mechanism of BEE (Bureau of EnergyEfficiency).
3. There is a good opportunity to increase the PLF close to national
average of 75% thereby raising higher generation of electricity
4. Revenues can further increased by gains from UI provisions through
disciplined management of its resources.
5. There is going to be about 10-20% gap until 2017 in the demand and
supply which will ensure that whatever is produced is consumed- nodemand risk.
6. Fuel security through JVs with mining companies
7. Productivity improvements through usage of IT applications
8. Improving financial health by setting outstanding receivables from
UPPCL through inter department coordination
9. New projects can improve the PLF, and higher energy generation
which will have positive impact on the financial health10.Automated equipments / super critical plants can produce higher
levels of energy at reduced prices11.Renewable sources especially solar energy can be a good
opportunity in future especially in UP which eventually translate into
more energy with lower costs.
12.. Availability of land from ash ponds, which can be utilized forfurther expansion by converting that land planting Jatropha plants
which can be converted into diesel, and we can earn carbon credits
too.
13.Scrapping the non-functional units that are officially deleted. They
can be sold out in market and vacated land can be used for newplants eg. Obra and Harduaganj units. The scrapped units can be sold
through MMTC.14.Scope for Joint venture exist today more because private sector has
already moved in generation and many are willing to join the
business who normally do not have experienced manpower
15.Value chain partners and competitors are willing to join forces to
produce electricity like NTPC, Coal India limited, even transmission
and distribution companies.
Threats
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1. BTG had be given without tender to BHEL, which has become a
liability because of noncompliance of the agreement- non
competitive rates and late completion of the projects against
DPR/Work Order
2. BHEL has taken advance money for R&M but may not start work
even in future. Which may result in closure notice from CentralPollution Control Board and other regulatory authorities, which may
cause higher penalties and closure of old plants draining
production capacity and profitability
3. Integrity of employees, suppliers as mafias with political linkage
are a serious threat to the functioning of UPRVUNL.
4. The deregulated generation sector may see more competition in
future which may threaten the leadership position of UPRVUNLOperations.
5. New plants have long gestation periods making the progress slow
towards leadership position.6. The aging plants underperform but maintenance cannot be done on
schedule because of demand pressure.
7. Pollution control regulation is becoming more stringent underinternational guidelines whose compliance can threaten closure of
many units, if not acted upon in time
8. Coal mafia continues to exert pressure on the prices, quality and
quantity of coal.
9. The constant pressure on input prices may build pressure on energy
prices which because of more competitive output may forceregulator to reduce prices which may adversely affect the expansionplans
10.Government is rather reluctant to provide additional equity required
for expansion of capacities and thus affecting expansion plans
11.The skill gap appeared because of attrition due to retirement or lack
of training in ABT regime
12.Continuing government mindset may result in serious lag in
financial viability of future investments
13.
The state of monopoly has already been threatened by larger firmswith adequate investment capacity which is likely to threaten the
leadership position of Nigam.
14.At some point in time the UP State may get trifurcated reducing the
power of the Nigam as happened in case of Uttrakhand
15.The stranglehold of politician may become worsen in future incurbing the freedom of the professionally managed corporation,
because of 100% ownership.
16.Increasing inflation may lead to higher interest rates, wages and cost
of electricity unless competition bring in commensurate reduction in
operating costs
17.The continuous changes in the business environment makes it
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difficult for companies to keep environmental knowledge undated
regularly which calls for continuous learning to which old timers are
ill-equipped to handle.
Corporate & Business Strategies
We classify our recommendations into Ten broad categories: managing dynamic
environment, business portfolio, Smoothening supply chain, Operations including
project management, Organizational restructuring, Human Resource management,
Board of Directors, Investment management, Employee welfare and Corporate Social
responsibility.
Managing Dynamic Environment
1. There is a need for a business planning Department to collect, generate and
collate data so that informed decision can be made. This unit can scaninformation regarding customers, suppliers, regulatory changes, business
opportunities, partnership opportunities, Human resource related practices, new
technologies, competitor activities, political changes, social changes, economic
and financial matters , pollution, energy audit reports , related technologies ,
issues of sustainability.
2.
This department can be headed by a Director Corporate Strategy (25-30 yearsexperience) trained or experienced enough in strategic Planning who may besupported by other managers (see corporate structure) and young business
analysts (2-3 years experience with MBA degree) with some specialization in
economics , statistics, environmental engineering/ pollution control , business
development, with skills in competitor and customer analysis , a financial
manager, an electrical technologist,
3. The roles will be to analyze related issues through different disciplinary
perspectives and build a comprehensive view of the issue at the planning levels.They will also be responsible to continuously review the current business
environment and suggest future trends with respect to new emerging trends. They
will assist the operating managers on various issues including the related data/
information availability. Some of the hard data will be stored in the computers
which will be accessible to anyone who want any relevant information. They willhelp set up monthly, quarterly targets, annual targets and plans and 20 years
rolling plan. They will also alert respective operating managers about any
significant changes that might affect their functions. We have recommended this
entity on environmental intelligence because the future leaders will compete on
the basis of superior knowledge and information and also we think the high
quality manpower is going to be the basis of competition at least for UPRVUNL
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as we have recommended in the mission statement. This unit will work as a brain
of the corporation. Needless to mention that highly qualified people should be
brought in or developed through extensive training in their respective areas. It
will help identify future threats and opportunities and at the same deepen the
organized and disciplined decision making which is right now in a very ad hoc
and rudimentary form.
Business Portfolio:
1.
The capacity additions through R&M, up rating and new capacity additions areprojected in tables 7-10 in the report.
2. Consider continuous evaluations of each generating unit which can perform
above 60% PLF with low maintenance, otherwise scrapped. We have analyzed
below that the new capacity additions are more beneficial than renovation &
modernization beyond certain performance point.
3. Any future generating unit should not be below 500 MW as the new entrants will
come with super critical plants who will threaten the leadership position ofUPRVUNL. The larger plants have higher fixed costs but lower running expenses
and thus making smaller plants or less capacity plants as unviable in 10-15 yearstime period.
4. Since most places land and utilities are already developed and there is ample
scope of putting up new plants which may not face demand crunch and it should
help UPRVUNL to maintain its leadership profitably at least until 2017. We need
to explore new plot of land for future expansion.
5.
We can consider LNG based thermal plants if the LNG linkages could be tied upin the medium term.
6. In the meantime we also explore the nonconventional energy sources for which
we can create a new cell and recruit experienced engineers for experimentation.
The special interest areas could be solar energy, Jatropha plant based fuel. This
may help in getting renewable sources of energy. The technological Institutes
may be made partner in R&D beside exploring R&D based small firms or jointpartners for exploring newer technologies (0.5% of sales could be allocated to
this unit on new product or process development). They pay offs could be long-term
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7. In addition we put up at least limited resources (1%of sales) in R&D and get
external consultants to assist in R&D lab to find ways and means of improvingoperational efficiencies in plant which look for reduction in auxiliary
consumption in operations and examine the whole input supply chain.
8.
Also the planning unit can explore possible partners who can work as partners in
joint ventures which will ease input supplies, or bring in much needed equity into
new plants. Part of employees could be shifted to the joint venture. This will give
a chance to bring in efficiencies in our own plant as the JVs can work and learn in
less bureaucratic environment away from political interference or operational fire
fighting.
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Working capital:
It is a financial metric which represents operating liquidity available to a business,
organization, or other entity, including governmental entity. Along with fixed assets
such as plant and equipment, working capital is considered a part of operating capital.Net working capital is calculated as current assets minus current liabilities. It is a
derivation of working capital, that is commonly used in valuation techniques such asDCFs (Discounted cash flows). If current assets are less than current liabilities, an entity
has aworking capital deficiency, also called a working capital deficit.
Net Working Capital = Current Assets Current Liabilities
Net Operating Working Capital = Current Assets Non Interest-bearing Current Liabilities
Equity Working Capital = Current Assets Current Liabilities Long-term Debt
A company can be endowed with assets and profitability but short ofliquidity if its
assets cannot readily be converted into cash. Positive working capital is required toensure that a firm is able to continue its operations and that it has sufficient funds to
satisfy both maturing short-term debt and upcoming operational expenses. The
management of working capital involves managing inventories, accounts receivable and
payable, and cash.
Calculation
Current assets and current liabilities include three accounts which are of special
importance. These accounts represent the areas of the business where managers have the
most direct impact:
accounts receivable (current asset)
inventory (current assets), and
accounts payable (current liability)
The current portion ofdebt (payable within 12 months) is critical, because it represents
a short-term claim to current assets and is often secured by long term assets. Common
types of short-term debt are bank loans and lines of credit.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accounting_liquidityhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Current_assetshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Current_liabilitieshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assetshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Profit_(accounting)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liquidityhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accounts_receivablehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inventoryhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accounts_payablehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debthttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debthttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accounts_payablehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inventoryhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accounts_receivablehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liquidityhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Profit_(accounting)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assetshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Current_liabilitieshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Current_assetshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accounting_liquidity8/3/2019 My Finel Report
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An increase in working capital indicates that the business has either increased current
assets (that is has increased its receivables, or other current assets) or has
decreased current liabilities,for example has paid off some short-term creditors.
Implications on M&A: The common commercial definition of working capital for the
purpose of a working capital adjustment in an M&A transaction (i.e. for a working
capital adjustment mechanism in a sale and purchase agreement) is equal to:Current Assets Current Liabilities excluding deferred tax assets/liabilities, excess
cash, surplus assets and/or deposit balances.
Cash balance items often attract a one-for-one purchase price adjustment.
Working capital management:
Decisions relating to working capital and short term financing are referred to as working
capital management. These involve managing the relationship between a firm's short-
term assets and its short-term liabilities. The goal of working capital management is to
ensure that the firm is able to continue itsoperations and that it has sufficient cash flow
to satisfy both maturing short-term debt and upcoming operational expenses.
Decision criteria
By definition, working capital management entails short term decisions - generally,
relating to the next one year period - which are "reversible". These decisions are
therefore not taken on the same basis as Capital Investment Decisions (NPV or related,
as above) rather they will be based on cash flows and / or profitability.
One measure of cash flow is provided by the cash conversion cycle - the net number
of days from the outlay of cash for raw material to receiving payment from the
customer. As a management tool, this metric makes explicit the inter-relatedness of
decisions relating to inventories, accounts receivable and payable, and cash. Becausethis number effectively corresponds to the time that the firm's cash is tied up in
operations and unavailable for other activities, management generally aims at a low
net count.
In this context, the most useful measure of profitability is Return on capital (ROC).
The result is shown as a percentage, determined by dividing relevant income for the
12 months by capital employed; Return on equity (ROE) shows this result for thefirm's shareholders. Firm value is enhanced when, and if, the return on capital, which
results from working capital management, exceeds the cost of capital, which results
from capital investment decisions as above. ROC measures are therefore useful as a
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management tool, in that they link short-term policy with long-term decision
making. See Economic value added (EVA).
Credit policy of the firm: Another factor affecting working capital management is
credit policy of the firm. It includes buying of raw material and selling of finished
goods either in cash or on credit. This affects the cash conversion cycle.
Management of working capital
Guided by the above criteria, management will use a combination of policies and
techniques for the management of working capital. These policies aim at managing
thecurrent assets(generally cash and cash equivalents, inventories and debtors) and theshort term financing, such that cash flows and returns are acceptable.
Cash management. Identify the cash balance which allows for the business to meet
day to day expenses, but reduces cash holding costs.
Inventory management. Identify the level of inventory which allows for
uninterrupted production but reduces the investment in raw materials - and
minimizes reordering costs - and hence increases cash flow. Besides this, the leadtimes in production should be lowered to reduce Work in Progress (WIP) andsimilarly, the Finished Goods should be kept on as low level as possible to avoid
over production - see Supply chain management; Just In Time (JIT); Economic order
quantity (EOQ); Economic quantity
Debtors management. Identify the appropriate credit policy, i.e. credit terms whichwill attract customers, such that any impact on cash flows and the cash conversion
cycle will be offset by increased revenue and hence Return on Capital (or vice
versa); see Discounts and allowances
Short term financing. Identify the appropriate source of financing, given the cash
conversion cycle: the inventory is ideally financed by credit granted by the supplier;
however, it may be necessary to utilize a bankloan (or overdraft), or to "convert
debtors to cash" through "factoring"
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_value_addedhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Credit_policy&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cash_conversion_cyclehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cash_conversion_cyclehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asset#Current_assetshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asset#Current_assetshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asset#Current_assetshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cashhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cash_and_cash_equivalentshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inventoryhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debtorhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cash_managementhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cash_managementhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Work_in_progresshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Finished_goodhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supply_chain_managementhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Just_In_Time_(business)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_order_quantityhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_order_quantityhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Economic_quantity&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Credit_(finance)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Discounts_and_allowanceshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Discounts_and_allowanceshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Loanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Factoring_(finance)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Factoring_(finance)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Loanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Discounts_and_allowanceshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Credit_(finance)http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Economic_quantity&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_order_quantityhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_order_quantityhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Just_In_Time_(business)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supply_chain_managementhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Finished_goodhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Work_in_progresshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cash_managementhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debtorhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inventoryhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cash_and_cash_equivalentshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cashhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asset#Current_assetshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cash_conversion_cyclehttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Credit_policy&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_value_added8/3/2019 My Finel Report
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Bibliography
Financial management: Prassanna Chandra
Financial Services in India: M.Y. Khan
Website of UPRVUNL
Website of NHPC
Website of BHEL
Website of Coal India
Wikipedia
Annual Report of UPRVUNL.