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MULTI-LAYER CAPACITY PLANNING, COST MODELING AND OPTIMIZATION Time Warner Cable, Inc. X. Leon Zhao, Ph.D., David T. Kao, Ph.D.
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MULTI-LAYER CAPACITY PLANNING, COST MODELING AND OPTIMIZATION

Oct 27, 2015

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It is desirable to take a holistic approach so that network capacity can be planned and optimized across the multiple boundaries in architecture, technology, data sources and service offerings. This paper introduces the current state of the art in the unification of network modeling, capacity planning, cost modeling and optimization across one of the big divides in network architecture, IP layer vs. optical layer.

In a typical service provider environment, there is often a clear demarcation between IP layer, i.e., layer 3, and optical layer, i.e., layer 1, in terms of organizations and functions for network engineering and capacity planning. Different groups with various methodologies and tools plan and optimize each layer individually. There is opportunity in collaboration between the two efforts, but it is often limited. In the end, while each layer can indeed and often be optimized (subject to skill and tool limitations), the combination of two layers as a whole is far from optimal.

This paper illustrates an approach to expand auto discovery and modeling of a network modeling tool from IP layer to the optical layer. The result is a multi-layer network model. Given a set of traffic demands, an optical topology, and a cost function, the modeling tool generates hundreds of thousands candidate IP topologies, performs exhaustive failure simulation, and scores each candidate with the cost function. The end result is a least cost, among the numerous candidates, multi-layer design supporting the traffic demand and failure criteria.
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Page 1: MULTI-LAYER CAPACITY   PLANNING, COST MODELING   AND OPTIMIZATION

MULTI-LAYER CAPACITY

PLANNING, COST MODELING

AND OPTIMIZATION

Time Warner Cable, Inc.

X. Leon Zhao, Ph.D., David T. Kao, Ph.D.

Page 2: MULTI-LAYER CAPACITY   PLANNING, COST MODELING   AND OPTIMIZATION

Introduction

Multi-Layer Capacity Planning

– Modeling and capacity planning for both Layer 3 and

Layer 1 together

Cost Modeling

– Bridge capacity planning with the cost ($$$)

Backbone Optimization

– Search for the opportunity to increase CAPEX efficiency

based on the multi-layer modeling and cost modeling

Page 3: MULTI-LAYER CAPACITY   PLANNING, COST MODELING   AND OPTIMIZATION

IP Backbone Demarcation

3

IP Router

Optical Equipment

IP Link

Optical fiber / Wavelength

Page 4: MULTI-LAYER CAPACITY   PLANNING, COST MODELING   AND OPTIMIZATION

Multi-Layer Modeling

IP layer

Optical layer

IP Router IP Link

Optical Equipment

Fiber / Wavelength

Logical mapping between two layers

Page 5: MULTI-LAYER CAPACITY   PLANNING, COST MODELING   AND OPTIMIZATION

Multi-Layer Capacity Planning

Directly translate layer 3 capacity requirements

to layer 1

Automatically generate Shared Risk Link Group

(SRLG)

Opportunities to optimize network from a holistic

view

Page 6: MULTI-LAYER CAPACITY   PLANNING, COST MODELING   AND OPTIMIZATION

Cost Modeling

Network is a complex system

Cost modeling can only be approximated

Abstraction helps

– Blended cost

– Abstracted network and elements

Page 7: MULTI-LAYER CAPACITY   PLANNING, COST MODELING   AND OPTIMIZATION

A Cost Model

7

Router A Router Z

OADM O1 OADM O2 OADM O3

$X per IP port

1x wavelength cost = $Y blended fixed cost plus $Z per N miles

𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡 = 2𝑋 + 𝑌 + 𝑍*distance

An IP Link between A and Z

Page 8: MULTI-LAYER CAPACITY   PLANNING, COST MODELING   AND OPTIMIZATION

Validation of Cost Model

Compare the model with actual financial data

C/b: network cost per Gbps customer traffic

𝐶/𝑏 =𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑒𝑡𝑤𝑜𝑟𝑘 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡

𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑐𝑢𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑟 𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑓𝑓𝑖𝑐

Calculated C/b from model is compared to C/b

from finance department

Result is very close

Page 9: MULTI-LAYER CAPACITY   PLANNING, COST MODELING   AND OPTIMIZATION

Network Design Practice

Separated activity between layer 3 engineering

and layer 1 engineering

Without effective coordination, the final design

may not be optimal

Multi-Layer modeling and proper tools provide

new opportunities for optimization

Page 10: MULTI-LAYER CAPACITY   PLANNING, COST MODELING   AND OPTIMIZATION

Case 1: Double Dipping

B A

C IP Link

Optical fiber

Normal State

B A

C

Failure State

X

Layer 3 path

Actual traffic path

Page 11: MULTI-LAYER CAPACITY   PLANNING, COST MODELING   AND OPTIMIZATION

Case 2: Hidden Cost

D

B A

C Traffic Matrix

AB 10G

BC 10G

AC 10G

D

B A

C

preferred routes

Design I: Without Optical Bypass Design II: With Optical Bypass

Link Required Capacity

A-B 20G

B-C 20G

A-D 20G

D-C 20G

Link Required Capacity

A-B 20G

B-C 20G

A-C 10G

A-D 20G

D-C 20G

Page 12: MULTI-LAYER CAPACITY   PLANNING, COST MODELING   AND OPTIMIZATION

Multi-Layer Network Optimization

10%+ CAPEX Savings

Original network Optimized network