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MSE 601A Statistical analysis Formula 1

Apr 14, 2018

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Ahmed El-eraky
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    MSE 601A Statistical analysis

    Formula 1

    Performed By : Rijul Dhruv

    Prem Trivedi

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    Formula One, also known as Formula 1 or F1 and referred to

    officially as the FIA Formula One World Championship, is the highest

    class of single seater auto racing sanctioned by the Fdration

    Internationale de l'Automobile (FIA)

    The F1 season consists of a series of races, known as Grands Prix (in

    English, Grand Prizes), held on purpose-built circuits and public roads

    The results of each race are combined to determine two annual World

    Championships, one for the drivers and one for the constructors

    Formula One cars race at speeds of up to 360 km/h (220 mph) with

    engines limited in performance to a maximum of 18,000 revolutions

    per minute (RPM)

    A Formula One Grand Prix event spans a weekend

    A qualifying session is held after the last free practice session. This

    session determines the starting order for the race on Sunday

    The race begins with a warm-up lap, after which the cars assemble on

    the starting grid in the order they qualified.

    Formula 1 Facts

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    Hypothesis

    NULL HYPOTHESIS:

    There are no variables that influence the winning of a particular driver in a race

    ALTERNATE HYPOTHESIS:

    There are various factors that influence the winning of a particular driver in a

    race

    Trial and error

    Collection of previous 10 year data points based on the grid positions for

    each team

    Learning Process began where we failed to achieve a strong model

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    Weak data which lacked Logical

    Reasoning

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    Weak Model

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    Collection of more data

    points

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    Better than before

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    Creation of a Stronger

    Model

    Statistical data of a particular driver was picked

    Eliminated the error of a logical reasoning and increased the reliability

    of the data to generate relationship with the variables

    Statistical data of racing legend Ayrton Senna was collected Variables influencing to win a race include:

    o PointsPoints won each season

    o Points RankDriver rankings at the end of the season

    o Average FinishAverage of the races completed per season

    o Average GridAverage of grid positions per season

    o StartNumber of starts in each seasono PolesStarting the race from grid position 1

    Ayrton Senna

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    Racing career data

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    Regression Data Analysis

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    Result of the Analysis

    We fail to accept the Null Hypothesis since there is aclear relationship between the outcome of the race to

    the factors influencing the race results

    High Coefficient of determination(R) amounts to thevariability in our data explained by the regression

    model

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    Predictive Decisions and business

    aspects by Teams Each team in the FIA emphasizes on the variables used in the

    analysis to get the best results from their drivers in order to win

    the Constructors Championship trophy

    Money Talks: Entering a new team in the Formula One WorldChampionship requires a 25 million (about US$47 million)

    up-front payment to the FIA

    Each point earned in a race by teams is worth hundreds of

    thousands of dollars

    To finish a race with points is the utmost goal for all emerging

    teams

    Constructors Trophy

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    Thank You