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1 MOSAC-17 14-16 November 2012 ANNEX VI Met Office scientist published papers 2011-2012
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Page 1: MOSAC-17 - Met Office · PDF file... Lawrimore, J; Willett, K 2012 Building trust in ... a novel addition to the case-study ... Degradation of Forecasts through the Assimilation of

1

MOSAC-17

14-16 November 2012

ANNEX VI

Met Office scientist published papers 2011-2012

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2 Crown Copyright 2012

Analysis of the ISI Web of Knowledge database of peer-reviewed research publications indicates that a total of 260 peer-reviewed articles were published with Met Office (co-)authorship during 2011 – the highest annual number in the series, and a 7% increase on 2010 and a 67% increase on 2005. A list of papers published between April 2011 and September 2012 (as listed on Web of Science as at 1 October 2012) is included below. These papers were co-authored with scientists from 440 different institutions across 49 countries (about 60% of papers were internationally co-authored). This reflects the increasingly collaborative and international nature of Met Office science.

Since 1981, a total of 3259 papers with at least 1 Met Office addressee have been published in the peer-reviewed literature. These have been co-authored with scientists from over 1600 scientific institutions across 99 different countries.

Met Office publications have been cited over 114000 times by 56000 articles – an average of 35.23 citations per paper published. It is possible to derive an ‘h-index’, which gives the number of papers (N) in the list that have N or more citations. For Met Office publications, the h-index is 149. Considering the 1832 papers published in the last 10 years only, the average citation rate per paper is 28, with a ‘h-index’ of 96. These results compare very favourably against other leading international weather and climate organisations (with only NCAR having a higher h-index from those sampled for example). Number of Met Office authored papers per year

Number of citations per year

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Publications listing Apr 2011 – Sep 2012 [344 papers] Misra, V; Pantina, P; Chan, SC; DiNapoli, S 2012 A comparative study of the Indian summer monsoon hydroclimate and its variations in three reanalyses CLIM. DYNAM. 39 5 1149 - 1168

Kay, AL; Jones, RG 2012 Comparison of the use of alternative UKCP09 products for modelling the impacts of climate change on flood frequency CLIMATIC CHANGE 114 2 211 - 230

Sanderson, MG; Wiltshire, AJ; Betts, RA 2012 Projected changes in water availability in the United Kingdom WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH 48 - W08512

Cai, WJ; Lengaigne, M; Borlace, S; Collins, M; Cowan, T; McPhaden, MJ; Timmermann, A; Power, S; Brown, J; Menkes, C; Ngari, A; Vincent, EM; Widlansky, MJ 2012 More extreme swings of the South Pacific convergence zone due to greenhouse warming NATURE 488 7411 365

Caesar, J; Lowe, JA 2012 Comparing the impacts of mitigation versus non-intervention scenarios on future temperature and precipitation extremes in the HadGEM2 climate model J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D15109

Chandler, RE; Thorne, P; Lawrimore, J; Willett, K 2012 Building trust in climate science: data products for the 21st century ENVIRONMETRICS 23 5 373 - 381

Mitchell, DM; Osprey, SM; Gray, LJ; Butchart, N; Hardiman, SC; Ciarlton-Perez, AJ; Watson, P 2012

The Effect of Climate Change on the Variability of the Northern Hemisphere Stratospheric Polar Vortex J. ATMOS. SCI. 69 8 2608 - 2618

Yokohata, T; Annan, JD; Collins, M; Jackson, CS; Tobis, M; Webb, MJ; Hargreaves, JC 2012

Reliability of multi-model and structurally different single-model ensembles CLIM. DYNAM. 39 03-Apr 599 - 616

Bennitt, GV; Jupp, A 2012 Operational Assimilation of GPS Zenith Total Delay Observations into the Met Office Numerical Weather Prediction Models MON. WEATHER REV.140 8 2706 - 2719

Haiden, T; Rodwell, MJ; Richardson, DS; Okagaki, A; Robinson, T; Hewson, T 2012 Intercomparison of Global Model Precipitation Forecast Skill in 2010/11 Using the SEEPS Score MON. WEATHER REV.140 8 2720 - 2733

Zerroukat, M; Allen, T 2012 On the Solution of Elliptic Problems on Overset/Yin-Yang Grids MON. WEATHER REV.140 8 2756 - 2767

Kennedy, J; Morice, C; Parker, D 2012 Global and regional climate in 2011 WEATHER 67 8 212 - 218

Smart, D; Clark, M; Hill, L; Prosser, T 2012 A damaging microburst and tornado near York on 3 August 2011 WEATHER 67 8 218 - 223

Hof, AF; Hope, CW; Lowe, J; Mastrandrea, MD; Meinshausen, M; van Vuuren, DP 2012 The benefits of climate change mitigation in integrated assessment models: the role of the carbon cycle and climate component CLIMATIC CHANGE 113 03-Apr 897 - 917

Baran, AJ 2012 From the single-scattering properties of ice crystals to climate prediction: A way forward ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH 112 45 - 69

Jiang, JH; Su, H; Zhai, CX;...; Ringer, MA; et al 2012 Evaluation of cloud and water vapor simulations in CMIP5 climate models using NASA "A-Train" satellite observations J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D14105

Arndt, DS; Blunden, J; Willett, KM;...; Rayner, NA; et al 2012 STATE OF THE CLIMATE IN 2011 Special Supplement to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Vol. 93, No. 7, July 2012 INTRODUCTION B. AM. METEOROL. SOC. 93 7 S1

Sheridan, P; Vosper, S 2012 High-Resolution Simulations of Lee Waves and Downs lope Winds over the Sierra Nevada during T-REX IOP 6 J. APPL. METEOROL. 51 7 1333 - 1352

Stratton, RA; Stirling, AJ 2012 Improving the diurnal cycle of convection in GCMs Q. J. ROY. METEOROL. SOC. 138 666 1121 - 1134

Stirling, AJ; Stratton, RA 2012 Entrainment processes in the diurnal cycle of deep convection over land Q. J. ROY. METEOROL. SOC. 138 666 1135 - 1149

Ngan, K; Eperon, GE 2012 Middle atmosphere predictability in a numerical weather prediction model: revisiting the inverse error cascade Q. J. ROY. METEOROL. SOC. 138 666 1366 - 1378

Stott, PA; Jones, GS 2012 Observed 21st century temperatures further constrain likely rates of future warming ATMOS. SCI. LETT. 13 3 151 - 156

Morcrette, CJ 2012 Prognostic-cloud-scheme increment diagnostics: a novel addition to the case-study tool kit ATMOS. SCI. LETT. 13 3 200 - 207

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Leuzzi, G; Amicarelli, A; Monti, P; Thomson, DJ 2012 A 3D Lagrangian micromixing dispersion model LAGFLUM and its validation with a wind tunnel experiment ATMOS. ENVIRON. 54 117 - 126

Semple, A; Thurlow, M; Milton, S 2012 Experimental Determination of Forecast Sensitivity and the Degradation of Forecasts through the Assimilation of Good Quality Data MON. WEATHER REV.140 7

2253 - 2269

Smith, SM; Lowe, JA; Bowerman, NHA; Gohar, LK; Huntingford, C; Allen, MR 2012 Equivalence of greenhouse-gas emissions for peak temperature limits NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 2 7 535 - 538

Jackson, LC; Vellinga, M; Harris, GR 2012 The sensitivity of the meridional overturning circulation to modelling uncertainty in a perturbed physics ensemble without flux adjustment CLIM. DYNAM. 39

277 - 285

Palmer, MD 2012 Climate and Earth's Energy Flows SURVEYS IN GEOPHYSICS 33 03-Apr 351 - 357

Andrews, T; Gregory, JM; Forster, PM; Webb, MJ 2012 Cloud Adjustment and its Role in CO2 Radiative Forcing and Climate Sensitivity: A Review SURVEYS IN GEOPHYSICS 33 03-Apr 619 - 635

Hartman, SE; Lampitt, RS; Larkin, KE; ...;Turton, JD; Lankester, S 2012 The Porcupine Abyssal Plain fixed-point sustained observatory (PAP-SO): variations and trends from the Northeast Atlantic fixed-point time-series ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE 69 5 776 - 783

Newman, SM; Larar, AM; Smith, WL; ...; Taylor, JP 2012 The Joint Airborne IASI Validation Experiment: An evaluation of instrument and algorithms JOURNAL OF QUANTITATIVE SPECTROSCOPY & RADIATIVE TRANSFER 113 11 1372 - 1390

Ingram, WJ 2012 Water vapor feedback in a small ensemble of GCMs: Two approaches J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D12114

Rigby, M; Manning, AJ; Prinn, RG 2012 The value of high-frequency, high-precision methane isotopologue measurements for source and sink estimation J. GEOPHYS. RES. 117 - D12312

Sedda, L; Brown, HE; Purse, BV; Burgin, L; Gloster, J; Rogers, DJ 2012 A new algorithm quantifies the roles of wind and midge flight activity in the bluetongue epizootic in northwest Europe

PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES 279 1737 2354 - 2362

Robson, J; Sutton, R; Lohmann, K; Smith, D; Palmer, MD 2012 Causes of the Rapid Warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the Mid-1990s J. CLIMATE 25 12 4116 - 4134

Poyatos, R; Gornall, J; Mencuccini, M; Huntley, B; Baxter, R 2012 Seasonal controls on net branch CO2 assimilation in sub-Arctic Mountain Birch (Betula pubescens ssp czerepanovii (Orlova) Hamet-Ahti) AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY 158 90 - 100

Newman, SM; Green, PD; Ptashnik, IV; Gardiner, TD; Coleman, MD; McPheat, RA; Smith, KM 2012

Airborne and satellite remote sensing of the mid-infrared water vapour continuum PROC. R. SOC. A

370 1968 2611 - 2636

Green, PD; Newman, SM; Beeby, RJ; Murray, JE; Pickering, JC; Harries, JE 2012 Recent advances in measurement of the water vapour continuum in the far-infrared spectral region PROC. R. SOC. A

370 1968 2637 - 2655

Bell, VA; Kay, AL; Cole, SJ; Jones, RG; Moore, RJ; Reynard, NS 2012 How might climate change affect river flows across the Thames Basin? An area-wide analysis using the UKCP09 Regional Climate Model ensemble JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY 442 89 - 104

Zhu, P; Dudhia, J; Field, PR; ...; Petch, J; 2012 A limited area model (LAM) intercomparison study of a TWP-ICE active monsoon mesoscale convective event J. GEOPHYS. RES. 117 - D11208

Gladstone, RM; Lee, V; Rougier, J; Payne, AJ; Hellmer, H; Le Brocq, A; Shepherd, A; Edwards, TL; Gregory, J; Cornford, SL 2012 Calibrated prediction of Pine Island Glacier retreat during the 21st and 22nd centuries with a coupled flowline model EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS 333

191 - 199

Chadwick, R; Grimes, D 2012 An Artificial Neural Network Approach to Multispectral Rainfall Estimation over Africa JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY 13 3 913 - 931

Barker, D; et al 2012 THE WEATHER RESEARCH AND FORECASTING MODEL'S COMMUNITY VARIATIONAL/ENSEMBLE DATA ASSIMILATION SYSTEM WRFDA B. AM. METEOROL. SOC. 93

6 831 - 843

Gerber, EP; Butler, A; Calvo, N; ... Scaife, AA; Shaw, TA; Son, SW; Watanabe, S 2012 ASSESSING AND UNDERSTANDING THE IMPACT OF STRATOSPHERIC DYNAMICS AND VARIABILITY ON THE EARTH SYSTEM B. AM. METEOROL. SOC. 93 6 845 - 859

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Capelle, V; Chedin, A;...; Newman, SM; Scott, NA 2012 Infrared Continental Surface Emissivity Spectra and Skin Temperature Retrieved from IASI Observations over the Tropics J. APPL. METEOROL. 51 6 1164 - 1179

Levine, RC; Turner, AG 2012 Dependence of Indian monsoon rainfall on moisture fluxes across the Arabian Sea and the impact of coupled model sea surface temperature biases CLIM. DYNAM. 38 11-Dec 2167 - 2190

Shonk, JKP; Hogan, RJ; Manners, J 2012 Impact of improved representation of horizontal and vertical cloud structure in a climate model CLIM. DYNAM. 38 11-Dec 2365 - 2376

Menary, MB; Park, W; Lohmann, K; Vellinga, M; Palmer, MD; Latif, M; Jungclaus, JH 2012 A multimodel comparison of centennial Atlantic meridional overturning circulation variability CLIM. DYNAM. 38 11-Dec 2377 - 2388

Stefanova, L; Misra, V; Chan, SV; Griffin, M; O'Brien, JJ; Smith, TJ 2012 A proxy for high-resolution regional reanalysis for the Southeast United States: assessment of precipitation variability in dynamically downscaled reanalyses CLIM. DYNAM. 38 11-Dec 2449 - 2466

Barnes, EA; Slingo, J; Woollings, T 2012 A methodology for the comparison of blocking climatologies across indices, models and climate scenarios CLIM. DYNAM. 38 11-Dec 2467 - 2481

Sexton, DMH; Murphy, JM; Collins, M; Webb, MJ 2012 Multivariate probabilistic projections using imperfect climate models part I: outline of methodology CLIM. DYNAM. 38 11-Dec 2513 - 2542

Sexton, DMH; Murphy, JM 2012 Multivariate probabilistic projections using imperfect climate models. Part II: robustness of methodological choices and consequences for climate sensitivity CLIM. DYNAM. 38 11-Dec 2543 - 2558

Sibley, A 2012 Thunderstorms from a Spanish Plume event on 28 June 2011 WEATHER 67 6 143 - 146

Bhaskaran, B; Ramachandran, A; Jones, R; Moufouma-Okia, W 2012 Regional climate model applications on sub-regional scales over the Indian monsoon region: The role of domain size on downscaling uncertainty J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D10113

Andrews, T; Ringer, MA; Doutriaux-Boucher, M; Webb, MJ; Collins, WJ 2012 Sensitivity of an Earth system climate model to idealized radiative forcing GEOPHYS. RES. LETT. 39 - L10702

Andrews, T; Gregory, JM; Webb, MJ; Taylor, KE 2012 Forcing, feedbacks and climate sensitivity in CMIP5 coupled atmosphere-ocean climate models GEOPHYS. RES. LETT. 39 - L09712

Han, HJ; Sohn, BJ; ...; Saunders, R; Takamura, T 2012 An improved radiance simulation for hyperspectral infrared remote sensing of Asian dust J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D09211

Hellmer, HH; Kauker, F; Timmermann, R; Determann, J; Rae, J 2012 Twenty-first-century warming of a large Antarctic ice-shelf cavity by a redirected coastal current NATURE 485 7397 225 - 228

Ploeger, F; Konopka, P;...; Manners, JC; et al 2012 Horizontal transport affecting trace gas seasonality in the Tropical Tropopause Layer (TTL) J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D09303

Lin, YL; Donner, LJ; Petch, J; et al 2012 TWP-ICE global atmospheric model intercomparison: Convection responsiveness and resolution impact J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D09111

Skiba, U; Jones, SK; Dragosits, U;...; Manning, AJ 2012 UK emissions of the greenhouse gas nitrous oxide PROC. R. SOC. B 367 1593 1175 - 1185

Chylek, P; Folland, C; et al 2012 Greenland ice core evidence for spatial and temporal variability of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation GEOPHYS. RES. LETT. 39 - L09705

Tompkins, AM; Parker, DJ; Danour, S; Amekudzi, L; Bain, CL; et al 2012 THE EWIEM NIMDIE SUMMER SCHOOL SERIES IN GHANA Capacity Building in Meteorological Education and Research-Lessons Learned and Future Prospects B. AM. METEOROL. SOC. 93 5 595 - 601

Goddard, L; Hurrell, JW; Kirtman, BP; Murphy, J; Stockdale, T; Vera, C 2012 TWO TIME SCALES FOR THE PRICE OF ONE (ALMOST) B. AM. METEOROL. SOC. 93 5 621 - 629

Tang, YM 2012 The Effect of Variable Sea Surface Temperature on Forecasting Sea Fog and Sea Breezes: A Case Study J. APPL. METEOROL. 51 5 986 - 990

Marengo, JA; Chou, SC; Kay, G;...; Betts, R; et al 2012 Development of regional future climate change scenarios in South America using the Eta CPTEC/HadCM3 climate change projections: climatology and regional analyses for the Amazon, So Francisco and the Parana River basins CLIM. DYNAM. 38 09-Oct 1829 - 1848

Scaife, AA; Spangehl, T; Fereday, DR;...; Butchart, N;...; Hardiman, SC; et al 2012 Climate change projections and stratosphere-troposphere interaction CLIM. DYNAM. 38 09-Oct 2089 - 2097

Woollings, T; Gregory, JM; et al 2012 Response of the North Atlantic storm track to climate change shaped by ocean-atmosphere coupling NATURE GEOSCIENCE 5 5 313 - 317

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Chartier, AT; Mitchell, CN; Jackson, DR 2012 A 12 year comparison of MIDAS and IRI 2007 ionospheric Total Electron Content ADVANCES IN SPACE RESEARCH 49 9 1348 - 1355

Sibley, A; Biesecker, D; Millward, G; Gibbs, M 2012 Space weather, impacts and forecasting: an overview WEATHER 67 5 115 - 120

Gosling, SN; McGregor, GR; Lowe, JA 2012 The benefits of quantifying climate model uncertainty in climate change impacts assessment: an example with heat-related mortality change estimates CLIMATIC CHANGE 112 2 217 - 231

Folland, CK; Scaife, AA; Lindesay, J; Stephenson, DB 2012 How potentially predictable is northern European winter climate a season ahead? INT. J. CLIMATOL. 32 6 801 - 818

Feyen, L; Dankers, R; Bodis, K; Salamon, P; Barredo, JI 2012 Fluvial flood risk in Europe in present and future climates CLIMATIC CHANGE 112 1 47 - 62

Sykes, PA; Barciela, RM 2012 Assessment and development of a sediment model within an operational system JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS 117 - C04036

Johnson, B; Turnbull, K; Brown, P; Burgess, R; Dorsey, J; Baran, AJ; Webster, H; Haywood, J; Cotton, R; et al 2012 In situ observations of volcanic ash clouds from the FAAM aircraft during the eruption of Eyjafjallajokull in 2010 J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D00U24

Morice, CP; Kennedy, JJ; Rayner, NA; Jones, PD 2012 Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D08101

Fry, MM; Naik, V; West, JJ; Schwarzkopf, MD; Fiore, AM; Collins, WJ; et al 2012 The influence of ozone precursor emissions from four world regions on tropospheric composition and radiative climate forcing J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D07306

Booth, BBB; Dunstone, NJ; Halloran, PR; Andrews, T; Bellouin, N 2012 Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability NATURE 484 7393 228 - U110

Booth, BBB; Jones, CD; Collins, M; Totterdell, IJ; Cox, PM; Sitch, S; Huntingford, C; Betts, RA; Harris, GR; Lloyd, J 2012 High sensitivity of future global warming to land carbon cycle processes

ENVIRON. RES. LETT. 7 2 - 24002

Boucher, O; Halloran, PR; Burke, EJ; Doutriaux-Boucher, M; Jones, CD; Lowe, J; Ringer, MA; Robertson, E; Wu, P 2012 Reversibility in an Earth System model in response to CO2 concentration changes ENVIRON. RES. LETT. 7 2 - 24013

Seviour, WJM; Butchart, N; Hardiman, SC 2012 The Brewer-Dobson circulation inferred from ERA-Interim Q. J. ROY. METEOROL. SOC. 138 665 878 - 888

Morcrette, CJ; O'Connor, EJ; Petch, JC 2012 Evaluation of two cloud parametrization schemes using ARM and Cloud-Net observations Q. J. ROY. METEOROL. SOC. 138 665 964 - 979

White, AA; Wood, N 2012 Consistent approximate models of the global atmosphere in non-spherical geopotential coordinates Q. J. ROY. METEOROL. SOC. 138 665 980 - 988

Ranger, N; Gohar, LK; Lowe, JA; Raper, SCB; Bowen, A; Ward, RE 2012 Is it possible to limit global warming to no more than 1.5 degrees C? A letter CLIMATIC CHANGE 111 03-Apr 973 - 981

Smethurst, HE; Witham, C; Robins, AG; Murray, VSG 2012 An exceptional case of long range odorant transport J. WIND. ENG. IND. AEROD. 103 60 - 72

Sijp, WP; Gregory, JM; Tailleux, R; Spence, P 2012 The Key Role of the Western Boundary in Linking the AMOC Strength to the North-South Pressure Gradient J. PHYS. OCEANOGR. 42 4 628 - 643

Staniforth, A 2012 Exact stationary axisymmetric solutions of the Euler equations on beta-gamma planes ATMOS. SCI. LETT. 13 2 79 - 87

Morcrette, CJ 2012 Improvements to a prognostic cloud scheme through changes to its cloud erosion parametrization ATMOS. SCI. LETT. 13 2 95 - 102

Xavier, PK 2012 Intraseasonal Convective Moistening in CMIP3 Models J. CLIMATE 25 8 2569 - 2577

Rowlands, DJ; Frame, DJ; Ackerley, D; Aina, T; Booth, BBB; Christensen, C; Collins, M; ...; Ingram, WJ; et al 2012 Broad range of 2050 warming from an observationally constrained large climate model ensemble NATURE GEOSCIENCE 5 4 256 - 260

Fowler, A; Bannister, R; Eyre, J 2012 A new floating model level scheme for the assimilation of boundary-layer top inversions: the univariate assimilation of temperature Q. J. ROY. METEOROL. SOC. 138 664 682 - 698

Hong, J; Kim, J; Byun, YH 2012 Uncertainty in carbon exchange modelling in a forest canopy due to kB-1 parametrizations Q. J. ROY. METEOROL. SOC. 138 664 699 - 706

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Manners, J; Vosper, SB; Roberts, N 2012 Radiative transfer over resolved topographic features for high-resolution weather prediction Q. J. ROY. METEOROL. SOC. 138 664 720 - 733

Smith, RS; Gregory, J 2012 The last glacial cycle: transient simulations with an AOGCM CLIM. DYNAM. 38 07-Aug 1545 - 1559

Oreopoulos, L; Mlawer, E; Delamere, J; ... Manners, J; et al 2012 The Continual Intercomparison of Radiation Codes: Results from Phase I J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D06118

Heard, IPC; Manning, AJ; Haywood, JM; Witham, C; Redington, A; Jones, A; Clarisse, L; Bourassa, A 2012 A comparison of atmospheric dispersion model predictions with observations of SO2 and sulphate aerosol from volcanic eruptions J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D00U22

Christopher, SA; Feng, N; Naeger, A; Johnson, B; Marenco, F 2012 Satellite remote sensing analysis of the 2010 Eyjafjallajokull volcanic ash cloud over the North Sea during 4-18 May 2010 J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D00U20

Devenish, BJ; Francis, PN; Johnson, BT; Sparks, RSJ; Thomson, DJ 2012 Sensitivity analysis of dispersion modeling of volcanic ash from Eyjafjallajokull in May 2010 J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D00U21

While, J; Totterdell, I; Martin, M 2012 Assimilation of pCO(2) data into a global coupled physical-biogeochemical ocean model JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS 117 - C03037

Baran, AJ 2012 A new application of a multifrequency submillimeter radiometer in determining the microphysical and macrophysical properties of volcanic plumes: A sensitivity study J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D00U18

Millington, SC; Saunders, RW; Francis, PN; Webster, HN 2012 Simulated volcanic ash imagery: A method to compare NAME ash concentration forecasts with SEVIRI imagery for the Eyjafjallajokull eruption in 2010 J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D00U17

Branstator, G; Teng, HY; Meehl, GA; Kimoto, M; Knight, JR; et al 2012 Systematic Estimates of Initial-Value Decadal Predictability for Six AOGCMs J. CLIMATE 25 6 1827 - 1846

Satoh, M; Iga, S; Tomita, H; Tsushima, Y; Noda, AT 2012 Response of Upper Clouds in Global Warming Experiments Obtained Using a Global Nonhydrostatic Model with Explicit Cloud Processes

J. CLIMATE 25 6 2178 - 2191

Jones, PD; ...; Morice, CP 2012 Hemispheric and large-scale land-surface air temperature variations: An extensive revision and an update to 2010 J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D05127

Fridlind, AM; Ackerman, AS; Chaboureau, JP;...; Petch, JC; ...; Shipway, BJ; et al 2012 A comparison of TWP-ICE observational data with cloud-resolving model results J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D05204

Fitzgerald, PW; Bamber, JL; Ridley, JK; Rougier, JC 2012 Exploration of parametric uncertainty in a surface mass balance model applied to the Greenland ice sheet JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-EARTH SURFACE 117 - F01021

Bhaskaran, B 2012 The reversing roles of local and remote circulations on the Indian summer monsoon under a warming scenario J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D05110

Jones, GS; Lockwood, M; Stott, PA 2012 What influence will future solar activity changes over the 21st century have on projected global near-surface temperature changes? J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D05103

Horlacher, V; Osborne, S; Price, JD 2012 Comparison of Two Closely Located Meteorological Measurement Sites and Consequences for Their Areal Representativity BOUND. LAYER METEOROL. 142 3 469 - 493

Pausader, M; Bernie, D; Parey, S; Nogaj, M 2012 Computing the distribution of return levels of extreme warm temperatures for future climate projections CLIM. DYNAM. 38 05-Jun 1003 - 1015

Pascale, S; Gregory, JM; et al 2012 A parametric sensitivity study of entropy production and kinetic energy dissipation using the FAMOUS AOGCM CLIM. DYNAM. 38 05-Jun 1211 - 1227

Hogan, RJ; Tian, L; Brown, PRA; et al 2012 Radar Scattering from Ice Aggregates Using the Horizontally Aligned Oblate Spheroid Approximation J. APPL. METEOROL. 51 3 655 - 671

Hilton, F; Armante, R; August, T; ... Newman, S; Pavelin, E; et al 2012 HYPERSPECTRAL EARTH OBSERVATION FROM IASI Five Years of Accomplishments B. AM. METEOROL. SOC. 93 3 347 - +

Smedley, ARD; Rimmer, JS; Moore, D; Toumi, R; Webb, AR 2012 Total ozone and surface UV trends in the United Kingdom: 1979-2008 INT. J. CLIMATOL. 32 3 338 - 346

Hesse, E; Macke, A; Havemann, S; Baran, AJ; et al 2012 Modelling diffraction by facetted particles

JOURNAL OF QUANTITATIVE SPECTROSCOPY & RADIATIVE TRANSFER 113 5 342 - 347

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Field, PR; Heymsfield, AJ; Shipway, BJ; et al 2012 Ice in Clouds Experiment-Layer Clouds. Part II: Testing Characteristics of Heterogeneous Ice Formation in Lee Wave Clouds J. ATMOS. SCI. 69 3

1066 - 1079

Otto, FEL; Massey, N; van Oldenborgh, GJ; Jones, RG; Allen, MR 2012 Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave GEOPHYS. RES. LETT. 39 - L04702

Newman, SM; Clarisse, L; Hurtmans, D; Marenco, F; Johnson, B; Turnbull, K; Havemann, S; Baran, AJ; O'Sullivan, D; Haywood, J 2012 A case study of observations of volcanic ash from the Eyjafjallajokull eruption: 2. Airborne and satellite radiative measurements J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D00U13

Turnbull, K; Johnson, B; Marenco, F; Haywood, J; ... Leadbetter, S; Woolley, A 2012 A case study of observations of volcanic ash from the Eyjafjallajokull eruption: 1. In situ airborne observations

J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D00U12

Hamilton, E; Eade, R; Graham, RJ; Scaife, AA; Smith, DM; Maidens, A; MacLachlan, C 2012

Forecasting the number of extreme daily events on seasonal timescales J. GEOPHYS. RES. - ATOMS. 117 - D03114

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Smith, DM; Scaife, AA; Kirtman, BP 2012 What is the current state of scientific knowledge with regard to seasonal and decadal forecasting? ENVIRON. RES. LETT. 7 1 - 15602

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