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Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Dec 13, 2015

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Ashlee Jacobs
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Page 1: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.
Page 2: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Mortality over Time

Population Density Declines through Mortality

Page 3: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Experimental Evidence: Self Thinning

Lo

g m

ean

pla

nt

wei

gh

t (w

)

Log density (N)Low High

Low

HighChange during

one time interval

Page 4: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Experimental Evidence: Self Thinning

Lo

g m

ean

pla

nt

wei

gh

t (w

)

Log density (N)Low High

Low

HighChange during

one time interval

Page 5: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Experimental Evidence: Self Thinning

Lo

g m

ean

pla

nt

wei

gh

t (w

)

Log density (N)Low High

Low

HighChange during

one time interval

Page 6: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Experimental Evidence: Self Thinning

Lo

g m

ean

pla

nt

wei

gh

t (w

)

Log density (N)Low High

Low

HighChange during

one time interval

Page 7: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Experimental Evidence: Self Thinning

Lo

g m

ea

n p

lan

t w

eig

ht

(w )

Log density (N)

General pattern

1. Unimpeded growth

2. Mortality begins

3. Similar trajectories exhibited

once thinning starts

4. At some point thinning slows

1

1

1

1

2

2

2

34

Page 8: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Self Thinning in Thirty Species

Similar slope to thinning line across a range

of species

Page 9: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Attempts to Explain the

Thinning Line

Page 10: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

An Intuitive Argument

Two stands of trees starting at different densities

Page 11: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

An Intuitive Argument

Two stands of trees starting at different densities

Thinning occurs as trees increase in size.

Page 12: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

An Intuitive Argument

Two stands of trees starting at different densities

Thinning occurs as trees increase in size.

Trees cannot grow larger unless enough space is made available through mortality.

Page 13: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Yoda et al. (1963)

propose the

“-3/2 Thinning Law” k ≈ -3/2

Page 14: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

“-3/2 Thinning”

k ≈ -3/2Allometric relationships: those that scale with

body mass

They posit an underlying allometric relationship

Page 15: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

“-3/2 Thinning”

k ≈ -3/2

They posit an underlying allometric relationship

kCNw

• w = average individual biomass

• C = constant

• N = population density

• -k = slope of thinning line

)log()log()log( NkCw

Page 16: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

“-3/2 Thinning”

k ≈ -3/2

They posit an underlying allometric relationship

kCNw )log()log()log( NkCw

Why 3/2?

Page 17: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

An Intuitive Argument

Page 18: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

An Intuitive Argument

Page 19: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

An Intuitive Argument

Page 20: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

An Intuitive Argument

Page 21: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

An Intuitive Argument

Biomass

Density

Volume –> m3

Area m2

Page 22: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

An Intuitive Argument

Biomass

Density

Volume –> m3

Area m2

Page 23: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

An Intuitive Argument

Biomass

Density

Volume –> m3

Area m2

Page 24: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

An Intuitive Argument

Biomass

Density

Volume –> m3

Area m2

kCNw

Page 25: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

An Intuitive Argument

Biomass

Density

Volume –> m3

Area m2

23CNw

Page 26: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

k ≈ -3/2k ≈ -4/3

Revisiting the

“-3/2 Thinning Law”

X

Page 27: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

k ≈ -3/2k ≈ -4/3

A Revised View of the

Allometric Relationship

34

Nw

Same as the scaling relationship of body mass to maximum density in animals!

Page 28: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

A General Interpretation of the Thinning Relationship

Page 29: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Lemna

Sequoia

A General Interpretation of the Thinning Relationship

Page 30: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

A General Interpretation of the Thinning Relationship

Permitted combinations

Prohibited combinations

Page 31: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Self Thinning RevisitedL

og

me

an

pla

nt

we

igh

t (w

)

Log density (N)

General pattern

1. Unimpeded growth

2. Mortality begins

3. Similar trajectories exhibited

once thinning starts

4. At some point thinning slows

4

?

Page 32: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Self Thinning RevisitedL

og

me

an

pla

nt

we

igh

t (w

)

Log density (N)

Growth limited by space

Growth limited by resources

Page 33: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Self Thinning RevisitedL

og

me

an

pla

nt

we

igh

t (w

)

Log density (N)

Growth limited by resources

Resource limitation regulating growth leads to the “Law of Constant Yield”

Page 34: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Proof of Constant Yield with a slope = -1

Lo

g m

ea

n p

lan

t w

eig

ht

Log density

Slope ≈ -1

log(N)log(N-z)

log YN

Ylog

(N-z)

Page 35: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Proof of Constant Yield with a slope = -1

Lo

g m

ea

n p

lan

t w

eig

ht

Log density

Slope ≈ -1

log(N)log(N-z)

log YN

Ylog

(N-z)

Calculation of slope

x

yslope

Page 36: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Proof of Constant Yield with a slope = -1

Lo

g m

ea

n p

lan

t w

eig

ht

Log density

log(N)log(N-z)

log YN

Ylog

(N-z)

Calculation of slope

)log()log(

loglog

zNN

zNY

NY

slope

x

yslope

X X

Page 37: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Proof of Constant Yield with a slope = -1

Lo

g m

ea

n p

lan

t w

eig

ht

Log density

log(N)log(N-z)

log YN

Ylog

(N-z)

Calculation of slope

)log()log(

loglog

zNN

NzNslope

x

yslope

= -1

Page 38: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.

Putting it all together

• Development of size hierarchies

• Thinning

• Law of Constant Yield

Page 39: Mortality over Time Population Density Declines through Mortality.