MOPAC CHALLENGE QUARTERLY PEFORMANCE OF THE MPS APRIL 2013.

MOPAC CHALLENGE

QUARTERLY PEFORMANCE OF THE MPSAPRIL 2013

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After the successful launch of the Police and Crime Plan in March 2013, future quarterly performance MOPAC Challenges will review London crime figures against the targets set out in the Plan:

•Reduce key neighbourhood crimes by 20%, which means up to 250,000 fewer crimes.•Boost public confidence in the police by 20%, up to 75%.

POLICE AND CRIME PLAN

NEIGHBOURHOOD CRIME

NEIGHBOURHOOD CRIME REDUCTION TARGET

MOPAC’s challenge to the Metropolitan Police Service over the next four years is to cut seven key neighbourhood crimes by 20%

Category FY2012/13

Volume % change vs.

FY2011/12

Total MOPAC 7 384,474 -6%

Violence with Injury 57,836 -6%Robbery 34,764 -11%Burglary 92,644 -4%Vandalism (Criminal Damage)

59,910 -18%

Theft From the Person 49,265 +17%Theft of Motor Vehicle 22,139 -15%Theft From Motor Vehicle

67,916 -7%

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MPS QUARTERLY CRIME FIGURESNEIGHBOURHOOD CRIME

3-month trend 12-month trend

 Crime Category

Jan 12 – Mar 12

Jan 13 – Mar 13

TrendVolume Change

% change

Apr 11 – Mar 12

Apr 12 – Mar 13

TrendVolume Change

% change

Violence with Injury

14,077 13,027 -1,050 -7.5% 61,346 57,836 -3,510 -5.7%

Robbery 9,336 7,824 -1,512 -16.2% 38,914 34,764 -4,150 -10.7%

Burglary 25,068 23,882 -1,186 -4.7% 96,224 92,644 -3,580 -3.7%

Vandalism (Criminal Damage)

16,667 13,726 -2,941 -17.6% 72,928 59,910 -13,018 -17.9%

Theft From the Person

11,211 12,372 +1,161 +10.4% 42,081 49,265 +7,184 +17.1%

Theft of Motor Vehicle

5,669 5,103 -566 -10.0% 26,188 22,139 -4,049 -15.5%

Theft From Motor Vehicle

18,661 17,163 -1,498 -8.0% 73,352 67,916 -5,436 -7.4%

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BURGLARYQUARTERLY BOROUGH PERFORMANCE JAN 2013–MAR 2013

10 Highest Boroughs (volume of offences)

Rank Borough Total OffencesRank Previous Quarter

(Oct 12 – Dec 12)

1 Barnet 1264 1

2 Croydon 1059 3

3 Ealing 1047 2

4 Lambeth 983 6

5 Lewisham 975 10

6 Brent 955 5

7 Enfield 929 4

8 Westminster 925 8

9 Redbridge 902 7

10 Bromley 882 11

10 Lowest Boroughs (volume of offences)Boroughs 11-22(volume of offences)

23 Greenwich 630 27

24 Hackney 630 21

25 Richmond 610 25

26 Islington 586 26

27 Merton 475 24

28 Bexley 456 31

29 K&C 414 29

30 H&F 357 32

31 Sutton 345 28

32 Kingston 332 30

11 Hounslow 808 12

12 Southwark 799 18

13 Newham 782 13

14 Havering 781 17

15 Wandsworth 779 9

16 Camden 775 20

17 B&D 761 22

18 Hillingdon 759 14

19 Tower Hamlets 745 19

20 Waltham Forest 728 16

21 Harrow 727 23

22 Haringey 680 15 5

The thematic map shows borough comparison for percentage change over the last 3 months (Jan 2013– Mar 2013) as compared with the same 3-month period last

year

BoroughRate per

1000 population

  Westminster 4.22    B&D 4.09    Barnet 3.55    Lewisham 3.53    Camden 3.52    Havering 3.29    Richmond 3.26    Lambeth 3.24    Redbridge 3.23    Hounslow 3.18    Ealing 3.09    Brent 3.07    Harrow 3.04    Enfield 2.97    Tower

Hamlets 2.93    Croydon 2.91    Bromley 2.85    Islington 2.84    Waltham

Forest 2.82    Southwark 2.77    Hillingdon 2.77    Haringey 2.67    K&C 2.61    Hackney 2.56    Newham 2.54    Wandsworth 2.54    Greenwich 2.47    Merton 2.38

  Kingston 2.07    Bexley 1.97    H&F 1.96    Sutton 1.81    MPS

Average 2.92

BURGLARYQUARTERLY BOROUGH PERFORMANCE JAN 2013–MAR 2013

The thematic map shows borough comparison for percentage change over the last 12 months (Financial Year 2012/13) as compared with the same 12-month period last year. The smaller triangles on the map represent percentage change over the last quarter (Jan 2013 – Mar 2013) as compared to the same period last year.

BURGLARYFINANCIAL YEAR 2012/13 BOROUGH PERFORMANCE

Long term trend: FY12/13, % change vs previous year

Short term trend: Q4 Jan 13 – Mar 13, % change vs same 3-month period previous year

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BURGLARY NATIONAL COMPARISON

Crime in England and Wales, year ending December 2012

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MPS % change

E & W % change

MPS rank in E & W (1=best/

largest reduction)

MPS rank in MSF(1=best/ largest

reduction)

-2.7% -8.6% 34th out of 43 4th out of 4

THEFT FROM THE PERSONQUARTERLY BOROUGH PERFORMANCE JAN 2013–MAR 2013

10 Highest Boroughs (volume of offences)

Rank Borough Total OffencesRank Previous Quarter

(Oct 12 – Dec 12)

1 Westminster 2599 1

2 Camden 1049 2

3 Lambeth 1025 3

4 Islington 910 4

5 Hackney 781 5

6 Southwark 763 6

7 Newham 565 7

8 K&C 468 10

9 Tower Hamlets 423 9

10 Wandsworth 351 8

10 Lowest Boroughs (volume of offences)Boroughs 11-22(volume of offences)

23 Greenwich 141 17

24 Kingston 130 23

25 Hillingdon 118 24

26 Merton 103 28

27 Havering 96 26

28 Bromley 93 27

29 Harrow 93 29

30 Richmond 77 31

31 Sutton 48 30

32 Bexley 43 32

11 Waltham Forest 280 16

12 H&F 276 12

13 Ealing 267 14

14 Haringey 266 11

15 Lewisham 217 20

16 Barnet 194 18

17 Brent 191 15

18 Croydon 183 13

19 Redbridge 182 19

20 Enfield 146 21

21 B&D 142 25

22 Hounslow 142 22 9

The thematic map shows borough comparison for percentage change over the last 3 months (Jan 2013– Mar 2013) as compared with the same 3-month period last

year

BoroughRate per

1000 population

  Westminster 11.85    Camden 4.76    Islington 4.42    Lambeth 3.38    Hackney 3.17    K&C 2.95    Southwark 2.65    Newham 1.83    Tower

Hamlets 1.66    H&F 1.51    Wandsworth 1.14    Waltham

Forest 1.08    Haringey 1.04    Kingston 0.81    Ealing 0.79    Lewisham 0.79    B&D 0.76    Redbridge 0.65    Brent 0.61    Hounslow 0.56    Greenwich 0.55    Barnet 0.54    Merton 0.52    Croydon 0.50    Enfield 0.47    Hillingdon 0.43    Richmond 0.41    Havering 0.40

  Harrow 0.39    Bromley 0.30    Sutton 0.25    Bexley 0.19    MPS

Average 1.51

THEFT FROM THE PERSONQUARTERLY BOROUGH PERFORMANCE JAN 2013–MAR 2013

THEFT FROM THE PERSONFINANCIAL YEAR 2012/13 BOROUGH PERFORMANCE

The thematic map shows borough comparison for percentage change over the last 12 months (Financial Year 2012/13) as compared with the same 12-month period last year. The smaller triangles on the map represent percentage change over the last quarter (Jan 2013 – Mar 2013) as compared to the same period last year.

Long term trend: FY12/13, % change vs previous year

Short term trend: Q4 Jan 13 – Mar 13, % change vs same 3-month period previous year

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THEFT PERSON NATIONAL COMPARISON

Crime in England and Wales, year ending December 2012

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MPS % change

E & W % change

MPS rank in E & W (1=best/

largest reduction)

MPS rank in MSF(1=best/ largest

reduction)

+19.7% +8.4% 38th out of 43 4th out of 4

PUBLIC CONFIDENCE

PUBLIC CONFIDENCE DRIVERS

MOPAC’s challenge to the MPS over the next four years is to boost public confidence in the MPS from 62% to 75% of Londoners thinking the MPS are

doing a good or excellent job.

The MPS have carried out robust analysis of their Public Attitude Survey and identified four key drivers of public confidence:

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PUBLIC CONFIDENCE – TREND

CSEW Sep 2012: 62% of Londoners think the police do a good job in the local area

This places the MPS top of its MSF and 19th in the country on this measure.

MOPAC Challenge

Boost public

confidence to 75% in

CSEW

62 6365 65 66 67 66 66 65 64 64 64

60 60 60 60 5960 61 61 62 62 62

6466 66 67 68 69 68 68 67 66 66 65

63 64 64 65 66

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Quarter/year

Overall Public Confidence and a selection of key drivers(Rolling 12 months per point)

PAS Confidence(%Excellent/good)

CSEWConfidence (%Excellent/good)

Q62F Deal withthings that matter(% agree)

Q131 How wellinformed aboutpolice in thisarea (% wellinformed)

ASB compositemeasure (% highdisorder) *noteupward trend onASB is negative

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PUBLIC CONFIDENCE – NATIONAL COMPARISON

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CRIME AND CONFIDENCE TARGET

The graph below illustrates current MPS performance on the following targets:•Drive down crime in seven key neighbourhood crime categories by at least 20% over 4 years;•Boost confidence over the next four years from 62% to 75% of Londoners thinking the MPS are doing a good or excellent job.

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VICTIM SATISFACTION – NATIONAL COMPARISON

The MPS performance in this area is poor (lowest across all 43 forces for victim satisfaction).

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VICTIM SATISFACTION – TREND

User Satisfaction Survey Quarter 3 12/13:

Overall satisfaction has increased by 2% since the same time last year, as has 'ease of contact‘.

Overall Satisfaction & Service AreasRolling 12 months per point

92% 93% 93% 93% 93%

93% 93%92%

91% 91% 91%93% 93%

74% 74% 74%75%

74%73%

71%70% 69% 69%

71% 71%73%

67% 67% 67% 67%66% 66% 66% 66% 66% 65% 65% 66% 67%

87% 87% 87% 88% 87% 87% 87% 87% 87% 86% 87% 87% 88%

76%77% 77% 77% 77% 76% 75%

74% 74% 74% 75%76% 76%

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Ease of Contact Police Actions Follow Up Police Treatment Overall Satisfaction

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OTHER CRIME

MPS QUARTERLY CRIME FIGURESOTHER KEY CRIME TYPES

3-month trend 12-month trend

 Crime Category

Jan 12 – Mar 12

Jan 13 – Mar 13

TrendVolume Change

% change

Apr 11 – Mar 12

Apr 12 – Mar 13

TrendVolume Change

% change

Serious Youth Violence

1602 1214   -388 -24.2% 6899 4968 -1931 -28.0%

Rape Offences

818 786   -32 -3.9% 3342 3042 -300 -9.0%

Serious Sexual Offences

1858 1962   104 +5.6% 7983 7894 -89 -1.1%

Domestic Violence

11432 11268 -164 -1.4% 46401 48897 2496 +5.4%

Business Crime

14619 12520   -2099 -14.4% 61510 51326 -10184 -16.6%

Drugs Offences*

17746 17408   -338 -1.9% 73138 70370 -2768 -3.8%

*NB: Recorded crime figures for drugs offences will reflect police activity in an area

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217

320340

376 372 381

432466

550570 561 573

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In custody (top 2000)

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Target

GANG-RELATED CRIME

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Gang members in custody have increased from 217 to 803, an additional 586

nominals.

% change

Offence Offences SDs Offences SDs offences

Trident Murders 13 7 5 8 200.0% -61.5%

Violence with Injury 61346 1539 57836 1642 34.3% -5.7%

Knife Crime Offences 14169 3234 11376 2698 23.7% -19.7%

Knife used to injure 3968 1219 3218 973 30.2% -18.9%

Gun Crime 2404 595 1913 548 28.6% -20.4%

Gun Discharge Crime 496 94 397 89 22.4% -20.0%

Serious Youth Violence Victims

6899 - 4968 - -28.0%

Knife injury victims under 25, non-DV

1905 - 1380 - -28.0%

SD Rate

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FY 11/12 FY 12/13(01 April - 31 Mar) (01 April - 31 Mar)

The thematic map shows borough comparison for percentage change over the last 12 months (Financial Year 2012/13) as compared with the same 12-month period last year. The smaller triangles on the map represent percentage change over the last quarter (Jan 2013 – Mar 2013) as compared to the same period last year.

SERIOUS YOUTH VIOLENCEFINANCIAL YEAR 2012/13 BOROUGH PERFORMANCE

Long term trend: FY12/13, % change vs previous year

Short term trend: Q4 Jan 13 – Mar 13, % change vs same 3-month period previous year

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2012/13 target: increase the number of rape sanction detections by 6%

RECORDED RAPE OFFENCES

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87

143

192

261

327

406

492537

575

643

588

458

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Apr 12 May 12 Jun 12 Jul 12 Aug 12 Sep 12 Oct 12 Nov 12 Dec 12 Jan 13 Feb 13 Mar 13

Target SD's MPS SD's achieved

Headlines

• Effective governance & partnership• Strategy to be published by end of 2013• Support & development of business crime reduction partnerships (West End pilot)• SPOC's at SLT level on all 32 boroughs for business crime• Better use of private sector resources (MSC – employer supported, Project Griffin, Oxford Street pilot with local BID)• Technology (Information & Intelligence Sharing) – various partners trialling apps and software at pilot sites• Strong relationship with British Retail Crime Consortium – MPS highlighted as best practice in national crime survey 2012• Crime reduction hub bringing together licensing, business partnership and crime prevention design advisors has been approved

Business Crime Hotspots

• Identified Top 10 Hotspots• Shared data and analysis with business community• 6 of Top 10 have seen reductions in crime (last six months of 2012)• Business crime down 1% in the last six months of 2012 (and 5% on 2011 levels)• One major retailer has seen a 20% reduction in shoplifting offences following effective crime prevention design and partnership activity• Ethos of "Every Opportunity, Every Tactic"

BUSINESS CRIME

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