“Monitoring of electorate’s political activity in the pre-elections stage in Azerbaijan”

Social survey:June 2005

“Monitoring of electorate’s political activity in the pre-

elections stage in Azerbaijan”

Main parameters of the social survey

Main parameters of the social survey Date of start of social survey: April, 2005 Conducting of social survey at the territory of the Republic: 1-10 June, 2005 Number of respondents, participated at the social survey: 1 500 Number of questionnaires (interviews) used for social survey: 1491 Selection method: random selection on the districts (on the parameters of «ethnic origin»,

«gender», and «age») Method of carrying out of the social survey: interview (at the place of residence, «face-to-

face») Mean statistical error: 2,9% The main purpose of the social survey: Study of the situation, related to the election process on the eve of the parliamentary

elections to Milli Majlis (Parliament) of the Republic of Azerbaijan in 2005 and elaboration of maps reflecting the political activity of voters.

The following main points were especially taken into account in the process of interviewing: social-economic status of voters;attitude of voters to the activity of current parliament and MPs;attitude to political processes;Election process.

The present information reflects the initial statistical parameters of the social survey. Our study continues with the support of more comprehensive statistical data, mathematical models and analytical methods.

Gender composition of the respondents

male; 49,10%

female; 50,90%

31,70%

26,00%

21,80%

9,40% 11,10%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+

Age composition of respondents

Marital status

70,00%

1,30%

5,00%

21,50%

married divorced widow/er single

Attitude to political parties

8,60%1,90%

7,80%2,50%

13,70%

6,20%3,00%

2,50%3,20%

17,70%

74,60%

0,00% 10,00% 20,00% 30,00% 40,00% 50,00% 60,00% 70,00% 80,00%

ADPCPA

ANIP

ASPPAPFP (r)

APFP (c)АВПACS

AdalatMusavat

NAP

Are you satisfied with the activity of the deputy from your district?

12,90%

20,17%

12,20%

38,80%

15,40%

yes

satisfied to someextent

not satisfied to someextent

not satisfied

difficult to answer

Are you going to participate at the elections?

don't know; 20,30%

no; 11,30%

yes; 62,00%

difficult to answer, 6.40%

Is conducting of "exit-pol" important?

47,30%

22,80%

13,10%16,80%

yes not so much no difficult to answer

61,60%

5,50% 1,00%

28,80%

Yes No Don't remember I was under suffrage age

Did you take part in last Parliamentary Elections (held in 2000)?

If participated whom did you vote for?

35,60%9,90%

7,40%9,00% 0,01

Government representative Opposition representativenon-party don't want to sayif possible, remind his name

How many times has the deputy from your district reported before his electorate?

3,50% 18,80%

23,60%38,40%

9,30%

Once Few times Never Don't know Difficult to answer

Which are the most challenging social and economic problems? \ several answers allowed\

39,0%

38,0%

33,4%

35,4%

27,7%

42,0%

1,3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Other

Corruption

Low education level

Low public health level

Cultural issues

Low salaries

Unemployment

Are you satisfied with current activity of the Parliament?

13,1%41,7%

8,2%

37,0%Yes No Partially satisfied Difficult to answer

Do you believe that this year’s parliamentary elections will have significant impact on your life and your family’s

life?

16,40%

38,80%13,20%

20,40%11,20%

Completely To some extent LittleDon't believe Difficult to answer

How do you think, is it expedient that the representatives of non-governmental organizations propose their canditatures in the forthcoming elections?

33,30%

28,30%14,30%

9,30%14,80%

It's important Partially important Not important

It will change nothing Difficult to answer

To what extent do you trust in following politicians?

3,4%23,9%

0,2% 32,7%

6,7%65,5%

73,1%8,5%

1,8%32,4%8,30%

66,0%9,7%

43,10%2,50% 45,90%

5,60%43,8%

3,6%66,8%

1,2% 43,9%2,0%

57,5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%Eldar Namazov

Ali AliyevAli Karimli

Ilham AliyevIlyas Ismailov

Isa GambarLala Shovkat

Mirmahmud MiralioghluSabir Rustamkhanli

Rasul GuliyevFazail Aghamali

Etibar Mammadov

Completely trust in Don't trust

6,7%

How do you evaluate activity of following political parties?

good

good

good

good

good

good

good

good

good

good

bad

bad

bad

bad

bad

bad

bad

bad

bad

bad

good

bad

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

NAP

Musavat

Adalat

PCS

AVP

APFP (c)

APFP (r)

PSWA

PNIA

ACP

DPA

Activity of which political parties is most remarkable in your district? \ indicate not more that three parties \

72,70%

17,80%

4,60%

2,40%

3,00%

8,20%

16,40%

1,80%

11,20%

2,70%

8,70%

0,00% 25,00% 50,00% 75, 00% 100,00%

NAP

Musavat

Adalat

CSP

AVP

APFP /c/

APFP /r/

APSW

APNI

ACP

ADP

How do you think which party has more reputation among the people? \ Indicate not more that three parties \

74,60%

17,70%

3,20%

2,50%

2,50%

6,20%

13,70%

2,50%

7,80%

1,90%

8,60%

0,00% 25,00% 50, 00% 75,00% 100,00%

NAP

Musavat

Adalat

CSP

AVP

APFP /c/

APFP /r/

APSW

APNI

ACP

ADP

Thank you for your attention