Monetizing the Health Impacts of Wood Smoke Kickoff Meeting January 13, 2014.

Monetizing the Health Impacts of Wood Smoke

Kickoff Meeting

January 13, 2014

Abt Associates | pg 2

Kickoff Meeting Objectives

Project team and subcommittee introduction

Overview of the project

Project tasks and deliverables

Establish a timeline for project tasks

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Abt Associates Team

Dr. Jonathan DornProject Manager

David CooleyEmissions Support

Dr. Anna BelovaSenior Reviewer and Quality Advisor

Jacqueline HaskellCOBRA Modeler

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Project Overview

Abt Associates (Abt) will quantify ($) the potential environmental and health impacts of reducing wood smoke through energy conservation programs

Required environmental impacts will be modeled using the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) Co-Benefit Risk Assessment (COBRA) Screening Model

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Task A: Collect Data on Sources of Emissions

Overview

Abt will work with RTF staff to obtain data and information on the following:

– Residential Building Stock Assessment (RBSA)

– Data on electricity generating units in the region, including the baseline and marginal generation by fuel source

County-level wood smoke emissions data will be calibrated to reflect PNW conditions described by RBSA data and EPA air quality data

Emissions data from existing power plants will be based on EPA county-level baseline emissions data

The list of inputs used to compute baseline emissions will be reviewed by the Wood Smoke subcommittee

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Task A: Collect Data on Sources of Emissions

Deliverables

Subcommittee-reviewed matrix of inputs and their sources required to model baseline emissions scenario in COBRA

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Task B: Construct Baseline Model

Overview

Construct a baseline model to meet the following criteria:

Baseline emissions model will be calibrated using regional data air quality published by the EPA

The simulation results will be calculated at the county level

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Deliverables

Calibrated baseline simulation results for a specified year presented in tabular and graphic forms

A brief memorandum describing the baseline model calibration process

Presentation to RTF staff on baseline assumptions and results

Task B: Construct Baseline Model

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Task C: Scenario Analysis

Overview

Develop alternate wood emissions scenario using the model developed under Task B

Each scenario will vary by a fixed increment from 0% to 100% wood heat reduction

– Abt and RTF staff shall mutually agree on the level of increments for scenario analysis based on time, and budget constraints

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Deliverables

Changes in emissions at the county level with respect to the baseline for each new scenario calculated and presented in tabular and graphic forms

Task C: Scenario Analysis

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Task D: Apply the Monetary Value of Avoiding Emissions

Overview

Monetize the health impacts (in $) due to net change in emission levels for each Task C scenario

A “$-per-unit emissions” value shall be researched through existing literature and converted to a $/kWh value of reducing wood smoke

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Deliverables

Per-unit impact ($/kWh) of reducing wood heat using electricity

$ impact of reducing wood heat for each Task C scenario

Task D: Apply the Monetary Value of Avoiding Emissions

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Task E: Final Deliverables and Presentation of Results

Deliverables

Final presentation of study results

Accessible and transparent dataset of results for baseline and emissions level scenarios

COBRA model used to develop the results

Memorandum recommending how the RTF should interpret and use the results of the study

Abt Associates | pg 14

Schedule of DeliverablesTask Deliverable Date

  Kick-off conference call January 13

A A.1. Matrix of inputs and sources January 24

B

B.1. Calibrated, county-level baseline simulation results in tabular and graphic form

February 12

B.2. Presentation to RTF staff on baseline assumptions and results February 14

CC.1. Changes in county-level emissions with respect to the baseline for each new scenario modeled with results presented in tabular and graphic form

February 28

D D.1. Per unit impact ($/kWh) of reducing wood heat using electricity March 12

E

E.1. Accessible and transparent dataset of results for baseline and emissions level scenarios

March 19

E.2. COBRA model used to develop the results March 19

E.3. Memorandum recommending how the RTF should interpret and use the results of the study

March 19

E.4. Final presentation (webinar) of study results March 21

Questions?