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Module X: Cooperative Revenue Forecasting
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Module X: Cooperative Revenue Forecasting. Federal Requirements “For the purpose of developing the metropolitan transportation plan, the MPO, public transportation.

Dec 29, 2015

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Page 1: Module X: Cooperative Revenue Forecasting. Federal Requirements “For the purpose of developing the metropolitan transportation plan, the MPO, public transportation.

Module X:

Cooperative Revenue Forecasting

Page 2: Module X: Cooperative Revenue Forecasting. Federal Requirements “For the purpose of developing the metropolitan transportation plan, the MPO, public transportation.

Federal Requirements

“For the purpose of developing the metropolitan transportation plan, the MPO, public transportation operator(s), and State shall cooperatively develop estimates of funds that will be available to support metropolitan transportation plan implementation, as required under §450.314(a). All necessary financial resources from public and private sources that are reasonably expected to be made available to carry out the transportation plan shall be identified.”

– 23 CFR 450.322(f)(10)(ii) – 23 CFR 450.324(h) for the TIP

Page 3: Module X: Cooperative Revenue Forecasting. Federal Requirements “For the purpose of developing the metropolitan transportation plan, the MPO, public transportation.

Federal Requirements

The written agreement(s) shall include specific provisions for cooperatively developing and sharing information related to the development of financial plans that support the metropolitan transportation plan (see §450.322) and the metropolitan TIP (see §450.324) and development of the annual listing of obligated projects (see §450.332).

– 23 CFR 450.314(a)

Page 4: Module X: Cooperative Revenue Forecasting. Federal Requirements “For the purpose of developing the metropolitan transportation plan, the MPO, public transportation.

Federal Requirements

Other Elements

TIP Projects show all sources of funds

Project selection from TIP– State all funds (non-TMA)– State Interstate, NHS, Bridge (TMA)

Operations & Maintenance– System level estimates of revenue

Page 5: Module X: Cooperative Revenue Forecasting. Federal Requirements “For the purpose of developing the metropolitan transportation plan, the MPO, public transportation.

Notable Practice: Pennsylvania

What are they doing?

“Transportation Program Financial Guidance”• A cooperative effort;• A long-term strategic viewpoint;• A Commonwealth perspective;• Existing and readily available data;• Statewide and regional needs-based decision-making;• Responsiveness to near-term issues and priorities; and,• Coordination with other agencies and initiatives.

Page 6: Module X: Cooperative Revenue Forecasting. Federal Requirements “For the purpose of developing the metropolitan transportation plan, the MPO, public transportation.

Notable Practice: Pennsylvania

“A Commonwealth perspective”

• Interstate Program including portion of NHS and BR• Economic Development - $25m/yr (state)• Transit Flex - $25m/yr (Federal)• Statewide Items - $39m/yr avg (striping, env permitting,

etc.)• “Spike” funding – 20% of balance

Page 7: Module X: Cooperative Revenue Forecasting. Federal Requirements “For the purpose of developing the metropolitan transportation plan, the MPO, public transportation.

Notable Practice: Pennsylvania

Who is involved?

Pennsylvania Planning Partners –• MPOs, RPOs, • FHWA, FTA• State Transportation Commission,

PennDOT

The Financial Guidance Work Group

Page 8: Module X: Cooperative Revenue Forecasting. Federal Requirements “For the purpose of developing the metropolitan transportation plan, the MPO, public transportation.

Notable Practice: Utah

What are they doing?

“Utah’s Unified Transportation Plan”

• Four MPOs and State developed LRPs concurrently• Joint Financial Committee developed revenue estimates• Common assumptions for new revenues and revenue

growth• “Congestion Relief” funds distributed based on population

projections

Page 9: Module X: Cooperative Revenue Forecasting. Federal Requirements “For the purpose of developing the metropolitan transportation plan, the MPO, public transportation.

Notable Practices

What is transferable?

• All MPOs (and RPOs) involved in Statewide process• State’s interests acknowledged• Methodologies/assumptions are transparent• Concurrent schedules for plan development• Revenue forecast “Appendix” generated

Anything else?

Page 10: Module X: Cooperative Revenue Forecasting. Federal Requirements “For the purpose of developing the metropolitan transportation plan, the MPO, public transportation.

Suballocation

How is Cooperative Revenue Estimation different from Suballocation?• Negotiation vs. Mandate• Recognizing needs and how they change• Best estimate vs. guarantee

Anything else?

Page 11: Module X: Cooperative Revenue Forecasting. Federal Requirements “For the purpose of developing the metropolitan transportation plan, the MPO, public transportation.

Resources

Page 12: Module X: Cooperative Revenue Forecasting. Federal Requirements “For the purpose of developing the metropolitan transportation plan, the MPO, public transportation.

Next Steps

What about our State?

• Do we have a written agreement on revenue forecasting?• Do all the MPOs have the same agreement?• What can you transfer from the notable practices?