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Capital Flows and the Balance of Payments Module 41 May 2015
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Module 41 May 2015. Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries In the upcoming table: ◦ 1. shows payments.

Jan 11, 2016

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Page 1: Module 41 May 2015.  Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries  In the upcoming table: ◦ 1. shows payments.

Capital Flows and the Balance of Payments

Module 41May 2015

Page 2: Module 41 May 2015.  Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries  In the upcoming table: ◦ 1. shows payments.

Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries

In the upcoming table:◦ 1. shows payments that arise from sales and

purchases of goods and services (wheat exports in first column of numbers, oil imports in the 2nd)

◦ 2. factor income – payments for the use of factors of production owned by residents of other countries – mostly this is investment income – interest paid on loans from overseas, profits earned by Disneyland Paris. In the 2nd column are profits earned by the U.S. operations of Japanese auto co. - includes labor income, for ex. American engineer working in Dubai

Balance of Payment Accounts

Page 3: Module 41 May 2015.  Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries  In the upcoming table: ◦ 1. shows payments.

◦ 3. international transfers – funds sent by residents of one country to residents of another – remittances that immigrants, such as the millions of Mexican-born workers employed in the U.S. send to their families in their countries of origin – this table shows the NET not a breakdown between payments to foreigners and payments from foreigners

◦ 4. the next two rows show payments resulting from sales and purchases of assets, broken down by who is doing the buying and selling

◦ 4. shows transactions that involve governments or government agencies, mainly central banks

◦ 5. shows private sales and purchases of assets like the purchase of Budweiser by a Belgian corporation.

Balance of Payment Accounts

Page 4: Module 41 May 2015.  Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries  In the upcoming table: ◦ 1. shows payments.

Table 41.2 The U.S. Balance of Payments in 2008 (billions of dollars)Ray and Anderson: Krugman’s Macroeconomics for AP, First EditionCopyright © 2011 by Worth Publishers

Page 5: Module 41 May 2015.  Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries  In the upcoming table: ◦ 1. shows payments.

When a U.S. resident sells a good, such as wheat, to a foreigner, that’s the end of the transaction. But a financial asset, such as a bond, is different. A bond is a promise to pay interest and principal in the future. So its sale is a liability, the U.S. will have to pay interest and repay principal in the future

The balance of payments accounts distinguish between transactions that don’t create liabilities and those that do.

Balance of Payment Accounts

Page 6: Module 41 May 2015.  Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries  In the upcoming table: ◦ 1. shows payments.

Balance of payments on the current account or just current account – is the balance of payments on goods and services plus net international transfer payments and factor income

Balance of payments on goods and services – the difference between its exports and its import during a given period

Merchandise trade balance, or trade balance – the difference between a country’s exports and imports of goods

Balance of Payment Accounts

Page 7: Module 41 May 2015.  Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries  In the upcoming table: ◦ 1. shows payments.

Balance of payments on the financial account or simply the financial account – the difference between its sales of assets to foreigners and its purchases of assets from foreigners during a given period.

Current account (CA) + Financial account (FA) = 0

Balance of Payment Accounts

Page 8: Module 41 May 2015.  Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries  In the upcoming table: ◦ 1. shows payments.

Figure 41.1 The Balance of PaymentsRay and Anderson: Krugman’s Macroeconomics for AP, First EditionCopyright © 2011 by Worth Publishers

Page 9: Module 41 May 2015.  Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries  In the upcoming table: ◦ 1. shows payments.

The blue arrows represent payments that are counted in the current account. The red arrows represent payments that are counted in the financial account. Because the total flow into the U.S. must equal the total flow out of the U.S., the sum of the current account plus the financial account is zero

Page 10: Module 41 May 2015.  Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries  In the upcoming table: ◦ 1. shows payments.

Financial capital – funds from sawings that are available for investment spending

Capital inflows – foreign savings that have become available to finance domestic investment spending

Financial Account

Page 11: Module 41 May 2015.  Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries  In the upcoming table: ◦ 1. shows payments.

According to the loanable funds model of the interest rate, the equilibrium interest rate is determined by the intersection of the supply of loanable funds curse, S, and the demand for loanable funds, D. At point E, the equilibrium interest rate is 4%.

The Loanable Funds Model Revisited

Page 12: Module 41 May 2015.  Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries  In the upcoming table: ◦ 1. shows payments.

Figure 41.2 The Loanable Funds Model RevisitedRay and Anderson: Krugman’s Macroeconomics for AP, First EditionCopyright © 2011 by Worth Publishers

Page 13: Module 41 May 2015.  Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries  In the upcoming table: ◦ 1. shows payments.

The U.S. and Britain, each with its own loanable funds market. The equilibrium interest rate is 6% in the U.S. market but only 2% in the British market. This creates an incentive for capital to flow from Britain to the U.S.

Loanable Funds Market in 2 Countries

Page 14: Module 41 May 2015.  Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries  In the upcoming table: ◦ 1. shows payments.

Figure 41.3 Loanable Funds Markets in Two CountriesRay and Anderson: Krugman’s Macroeconomics for AP, First EditionCopyright © 2011 by Worth Publishers

Page 15: Module 41 May 2015.  Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries  In the upcoming table: ◦ 1. shows payments.

British lenders lend to borrowers in the U.S. leading to equalization of interest rates at 4% in both countries. At that rate, American borrowing exceeds American lending; the difference is made up by capital inflows to the U.S. Meanwhile, British lending exceeds British borrowing; the excess is a capital outflow from Britain.

Page 16: Module 41 May 2015.  Balance of payment accounts – a summary of the country’s transactions with other countries  In the upcoming table: ◦ 1. shows payments.

Figure 41.4 International Capital FlowsRay and Anderson: Krugman’s Macroeconomics for AP, First EditionCopyright © 2011 by Worth Publishers