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Copyright © 2015 CAAS. No part of it may be used, circulated, quoted, or reproduced for distribution outside CAAS without prior written permission. Every care has been taken to ensure that the
information contained here is accurate. Nonetheless, CAAS does not warrant the currency, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this document, nor does CAAS accept liability
for loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from reliance on the information contained in this presentation.
Module 1Safety Management Fundamentals
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Module 1: Safety Management Fundamentals- Overview
Provide participants with the knowledge on fundamental
safety management principles and concepts, including the influence of human as well as organizational factors in safety management.
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At the end of this module, you will be able to describe
and explain the fundamental safety management
concepts and principles from the ICAO SMM (Doc 9859,
3rd Ed)
Module 1 Objective
3
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
1 Concept of safety
2 Evolution of safety
3 Accident causation
4 People, context and safety
5 Error & violation
6 Safety culture
7 The management dilemma
8 Change management
9 Integration of management systems
10 Safety reporting & investigation
11 Safety data collection, analysis & SPIs
12 Hazard identification & risk mitigation
13 Prescriptive & performance based requirements
Module 1: Sections
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Section 1:The concept of safety
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What is safety
� Zero accidents?
� Freedom from hazards?
� Error avoidance?
� Good organizational safety culture?
� Regulatory compliance?
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Considering the facts
� Total elimination of accidents (and serious incidents) is unachievable
� Failures will still occur, despite the most accomplished prevention efforts
� No human activity or human-made system can be guaranteed to be absolutely free from hazard and operational errors
Therefore…
7
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Definition of Safety
The state in which risks associated with aviation activities, related to, or in direct support of the operation of aircraft, are reduced and controlled to an acceptable level
- Annex 19 (2nd ed, Jul 2016)
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The concept and definition of safety in Annex 19 is -
a) The total elimination of accidents and serious incidents
b) Absence of hazards and threats
c) Absence of errors and violations
d) Due diligence in safety risk management to achieve an
acceptable level of safety performance
The concept of safety – Quiz
9
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Section 2: Evolution of safety
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The evolution of safety thinking
11
TO
DA
Y
1950s 2000s1970s 1990s
TECHNICAL FACTORS
HUMAN FACTORS
ORGANIZATIONAL
FACTORS
Source: James Reason
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
The focus of today’s safety management approach should be on:
a) Technical factorsb) Human factorsc) Organizational factors
d) All of the above
Evolution of safety – Quiz
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Section 3: Accident causation
13
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The concept of accident causation
14
Accidents due to combination of inadequate defences(D), active failures(P),
hazards, threats, unsafe situations(W) and latent conditions(O).
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Bow-Tie Accident Causation Model
15
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Practical drift & Accident causation
System
design
Baseline performance
Practical drift
Operational
deployment
Baseline performance
Practical drift
Early detection
by SMS-SSP Proactive/ Predictive
Monitoring processes
(eg HIRM, SPIs, etc)
System
design
Operational
deployment
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Which of the following can contribute to accidents?:
a) Active failures by operational personnel
b) Hazards, threats, unsafe situations
c) Latent conditions such as organization and human factors
d) All of the above
Accident causation – Quiz
17
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
The concept of practical drift involves:
a) The deviation of a system or equipment from its
designed performance capabilityb) The evolution of procedures by operational personnel to
accommodate system deviationsc) The capture and analysis of information pertaining to
system deviations in order to control and mitigate their associated risks
d) All of the above
Accident causation – Quiz
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Section 4:
People, Context and safety
19
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The SHEL(L) model
20
S
H L L
E
Understanding the relationship between people and operational contexts
� Software
�Hardware
� Environment
� Liveware
� Liveware, other persons
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The SHEL(L) model
21
The SHELL Model is a conceptual tool used to analyse the interaction of multiple system components
�Software (S): procedures, training, support, etc.;
�Hardware (H): machines and equipment;
�Environment (E): the working environment in which
the L-H-S system function; and
�Liveware (L): humans in the workplace.
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
The SHEL(L) model
22
� According to the SHELL Model, a mismatch between the
Liveware and the other four components can contribute to
human error, hazards, threats, unsafe situations and latent
conditions.
� Thus, these interactions must be assessed and considered in all
sectors of the aviation system.
� This is especially so with regard to the assessment of contributing
factors in accident investigations as well as escalation factors and
escalation controls during HIRM.
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Human performance is likely to be compromised by a mismatch
between Liveware and:
a) Liveware
b) Software
c) Environment
d) Hardware
e) All of the above
People, Context and safety – Quiz
23
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
In the SHELL Human performance model, the “Environment” component is essentially referring to weather conditions :
a) TRUEb) FALSE
People, Context and safety – Quiz
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Section 5: Error & Violation
25
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Error & Violation - Definitions
� Error is - An action or inaction by an operational person that leads to deviations from organizational or the operational
person’s intentions or expectations – SMM 2.5.3 [unintentional].
� Violation is – A deliberate act or omission to deviate from
established procedures, protocols, norms or practices –SMM 2.5.6 [intentional].
� In today’s “Just Culture” environment, enforcement
decisions and actions should distinguish between Error & Violations
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Two categories of Error
1. Slips and lapses
2. Mistakes
27
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Three types of safety strategies to control errors
1. Reduction strategies
2. Capturing strategies
3. Tolerance strategies
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Error reduction strategies
Error reduction strategies intervene at the source of the
error by taking into consideration –
� Human-centred design
� Ergonomic factors
� Environmental factors
� Others
29
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Error capturing strategies
Error capturing strategies intervene once the error has already been made, capturing the error before it generates
adverse consequences –
� Checklists
� Task cards
� Flight strips
� …
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Error tolerance strategies
Error tolerance strategies intervene to increase the ability
of a system to accept errors without serious consequence –
� System redundancies
� Structural redundancies
� Duplicate inspection
� Dual pilots…
31
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Violations
32
There are 3 categories of violations which may not amount to “a deliberate act of willful misconduct or omission” -
� Situational violations
� Routine violations
� Organizationally induced violations
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Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Three categories of violations
o Situational violations - are committed in response to factors
experienced in a specific context, such as time pressure or high
workload.
o Routine violations - become the normal way of doing business within
a work group. Such violations are committed in response to situations
in which compliance with established procedures makes task
completion difficult. This may be due to practicality/workability issues,
deficiencies in human-technology interface design and other issues that
cause persons to adopt “workaround” procedures, which eventually
become routine.
� Organizationally induced violations - may be considered as an
extension of routine violations. This type of violation tends to occur
when an organization attempts to meet increased output demands by
ignoring or over stepping its safety defenses
33
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
An “Error” is intentional whilst a “Violation” is unintentional::
a) TRUE
b) FALSE
Error & Violation – Quiz
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An organization’s enforcement or disciplinary procedures
should take into account the type and circumstance of a
violation, before deciding on eligibility or scope of action to be
taken:
a) TRUE
b) FALSE
Error & Violation – Quiz
35
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Safety strategies to control errors:
a) Are likely to prevent violations as well
b) Include reduction, capturing and tolerance strategiesc) May involve the use of checklists, parallel systems and
reduction of environmental distractionsd) All of the above
Error & Violation – Quiz
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Section 6: Safety culture
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What is safety culture?
Safety culture is characterized by the safety-related beliefs,
values, biases and their resultant behaviour that are shared by members of an organization
- SMM 2.6.1
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Three influencing components
1. Organizational culture
2. Professional culture
3. National culture
39
Safety culture
Reporting
culture
Organization
Risk Profile
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Organizational culture
Organizational culture refers to the characteristics and
perceptions among members interacting within a
particular organization.
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Professional culture
Professional culture differentiates the characteristics of
particular professional groups
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Three influencing components of safety culture
National culture -
�differentiates the characteristics of particular nations
�forms an intrinsic component of personal beliefs
�may affect organizational culture
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Reporting culture
An organization’s reporting culture:
�pertains to personal beliefs about and attitudes toward
the benefits and potential detriments associated with
reporting systems
�characterized by distinction between errors and
violations
�assessed by effectiveness of an organization’s
voluntary reporting system
43
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The Health of a Reporting culture
Possible descriptions of an organization’s safety
reporting culture:
�Pathological – ignore or hide the information
�Bureaucratic – restrain or barricade the information
�Generative – objective analysis and sharing of
information
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Safety culture & organization risk profile
An organization’s safety culture:
� pertains to personnel and organizational beliefs and
attitudes toward safety and quality matters
� is characterized by the balance between production
and protection
� affects an organization’s SMS/ QMS effectiveness and
its reporting systems
� affects an organization’s safety risk profile
45
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
A healthy Safety Culture
A healthy safety culture is characterized by –
� a generative reporting culture
� active hazard identification and risk mitigation activities
� top management commitment to safety responsibilities
� the pursuit of continuous improvement
�a positive organization risk profile
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Safety culture promotion & assessment
�A healthy safety culture and organization risk profile cannot be enforced
�Promotion through voluntary assessment and reward schemes possible
Note:
SMM chapter 2 Appendix 1 has a safety culture and risk profile assessment illustration
>>> 19_AOC ORP Chklist
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Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
A characteristic of healthy safety culture is -
a) an effective voluntary reporting system
b) an effective mandatory reporting systemc) an effective hazard identification & risk mitigation system
d) all of above
Safety Culture – Quiz
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Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
An unhealthy organizational safety culture may be
characterized by:
a) Top Management is not accountable for Safety/ Quality
matters
b) Production and operational personnel are not involved in
hazard identification and risk mitigation issues
c) An undesirable or unacceptable organization risk profile
d) All of above
Safety Culture – Quiz
49
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Safety Culture – Quiz
The status of a Reporting culture is sometimes expressed as follows (Drag the correct answers into place):
a) Pathological ______________b) Bureaucratic ______________
c) Generative ______________
1) objective analysis and sharing of information2) restrain or misappropriate the information
3) ignore or hide the information
S#44 / M1-S6-3
50
(c)
(a)
(b)
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Safety Culture – Quiz
A service provider’s undesirable safety culture or risk profile -
a) may contribute to latent conditions or hazards
b) may ultimately impact operational safety
c) is an indication that greater regulatory surveillance is
required over that service provider
d) all of above
M1-S6-4
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Section 7: The Management dilemma
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Production & Protection
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�Production – drive to increase capacity and productivity
�Protection – drive to increase safety risk controls
�Management Dilemma -
Balancing Production & Protection
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Under Protection
Protection
Production
Catastrophe
+ Resources
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Over Protection
Protection
Production
Bankruptcy
+ Resources
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Balancing Production-Protection
Protection Production
ResourcesResources
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Safety space
Bankruptcy
Catastrophe
Production
Pro
tect
ion
57
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Under Protection within an organization can be a situation whereby:
a) excessive resources is allocated to the Safety/ Quality function
b) risk assessment projects consistently exhibit adequate
preventive controls and recovery measures c) insufficient resources is allocated to Production/ Operational
functions
d) None of the above
The Management dilemma – Quiz
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Over Protection within an organization can result in:
a) catastrophe
b) risk mitigation projects consistently exhibit excessive
preventive controls and recovery measures
c) sufficient resources being allocated to the Production/
Operational function
d) None of the above
The Management dilemma – Quiz
59
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Production and Operational personnel’s involvement in risk mitigation projects will:
a) contribute to the Management’s Production-Protection dilemma
b) result in Under Protection of operational processes c) promote their participation in developing Protection
provisions
d) result in over Protection within Production processes
The Management dilemma – Quiz
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Section 8: Change Management
61
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Change Management: What & Why?
� All aviation systems, processes or equipment are continually subject to changes
� Changes are likely to impact existing hazards or safety risk mitigation strategies of the affected
system
� Process for management of change must therefore include the review of safety risk mitigation strategies
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Management of Change
The procedure for managing change to aviation safety related
processes should include:
�evaluation of previous or existing hazard identification and risk mitigation records of the affected process/ equipment, where available.
�an initial hazard identification and risk mitigation project to be performed for the affected process/ equipment, if none is available.
�Documentation of such Change Management related hazard identification and risk mitigation review outcomes.
Note: More information on MoC in Module 3.
63
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Change management in the context of safety management pertains to:
a) the review of safety strategies before the introduction of new equipment
b) the possibility of new hazards being introduced by changes
to an existing operational process. c) The possibility of existing defences or recovery measures
becoming irrelevant from modification to an installation
d) All of above
Change Management – Quiz
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The process of Change management in the context of a SMS
is primarily concerned with the review and continuing validity of
the affected equipment/ system/ process’ hazard identification
and risk mitigation status:
a) TRUE
b) FALSE
Change Management – Quiz
65
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Section 9:
Integration of management systems
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Typical management systems
67
� Quality management system (QMS)
� Environment management system (EMS)
� Occupational health and safety management system
(OHSMS)
� Safety management system (SMS)
� Inventory management system (IMS), etc
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Benefits of integration
68
� reduction of duplication and therefore of costs;
� reduction of overall organizational risks and an increase in profitability;
� balance of potentially conflicting objectives; and
� elimination of potentially conflicting responsibilities and relationships.
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SMS & QMS Integration
�From a safety management perspective, it is important for
organizations to recognize the pertinent correlation between
its safety management system and other systems such as its
quality management system, etc.
� It is particularly important that an organization’s safety
management system (SMS) should be properly integrated
with its quality management system (QMS). This subject is
further elaborated in the SMS module.
69
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Benefits of integrating certain management systems may include:
a) balancing potentially conflicting objectives b) promotion of internal safety information sharing
c) better efficiency and productivityd) All of above
Integration of Management Systems – Quiz
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The following job title is an indication of management systems
integration:
a) Workshops Manager
b) Finance Manager
c) Production Manager
d) Quality & Safety Manager
Integration of Management Systems – Quiz
71
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
In the context of a SMS, integration is crucial between:
a) QMS & Inventory Mgmt Sys
b) OSHE & QMSc) Environmental Mgmt Sys & Inventory Mgmt Sys
d) SMS & QMS
Integration of Management Systems – Quiz
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Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
1 Concept of safety
2 Evolution of safety
3 Accident causation
4 People, context and safety
5 Error & violation
6 Safety culture
7 The management dilemma
8 Change management
9 Integration of management systems
10 Safety reporting & investigation
11 Safety data collection, analysis & SPIs
12 Hazard identification & risk mitigation
13 Prescriptive & performance based requirements
Module 1: Sections 1-9 completion
73
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Section 10: Safety reporting and investigation
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Safety reporting systems
75
� Accident reporting (A13)
� Mandatory incident reporting (A19-2, 5.1.2)
� Voluntary hazard/ incident / self-disclosure reporting
(A19-2, 5.1.3)
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Accident reporting (A13)
Aviation system accidents is the highest consequence occurrence and must be reported to the CAA, its independent
investigation authority as well as ICAO. [Annex 13]
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Mandatory incident reporting (A19-2, 5.1.2)
� These are the types of serious incidents (apart from
accidents) which a CAA will define as reportable
(mandatory basis) by service providers to the CAA.
� Such reports may also be required by the CAA to be
submitted to relevant organizations such as the State of
Design & Manufacturing as well as ICAO.
77
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Voluntary hazard/ incident / self-disclosure reporting (A19-2, 5.1.3)
� Voluntary (non mandatory) reporting system.
� Capture hazards, threats, unsafe situations, self disclosures (errors/ violations)
� Safety information otherwise not within purview of a
mandatory reporting system
Note:
A19-2, 5.1.3 has changed the term “voluntary incident
reporting” to “voluntary safety reporting”.
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Information
People are knowledgeable about the human, technical and
organizational factors that determine effective safety reporting.
Flexibility
People can adjust, when facing unusual circumstances, shifting from the established to a direct mode thus allowing information to quickly reach the appropriate decision-
making level.
Learning
People have the competence
to draw conclusions from
safety reporting and implement
appropriate reforms.
Willingness
People are willing to
report their errors and
experiences.
Accountability
People are encouraged to report essential safety-related information.
However, there is a clear line that differentiates between acceptable and
unacceptable behaviour.
Effective safety reporting
Effective safety reporting – pre-requisites
79
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Investigation of accidents & incidents
80
Purpose:
� establish cause, events and contributing factors to an
occurrence
� assess whether safety defenses may have been compromised
� Identify corrective actions to prevent recurrence
� Identify hazards which may be uncovered during investigation process
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Integration of safety investigation & HIRM process
81
� Occurrence investigation may uncover hazards, threats or
latent conditions
� Such hazards, threats or latent conditions may need follow
up risk mitigation
� Integrate occurrence investigation process with HIRM
process as appropriate (details in M3-S12)
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Safety reporting and investigation – Quiz
Select the valid reporting system:
a) Voluntary mandatory reportingb) Voluntary accident reporting
c) Mandatory hazard reportingd) Voluntary hazard/ incident reporting
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Safety reporting and investigation – Quiz
A voluntary safety reporting system is essentially meant for
reporting:
a) Accidents only
b) Hazards only
c) Mandatory occurrences only
d) Hazards, threats, latent conditions, incidents, errors or
mistakes
83
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Safety reporting and investigation – Quiz
Hazards, threats or unsafe situations uncovered in the
process of incident/ accident notification or investigation should be:
a) ignored if they are not directly relevant to the incident/ accident
b) annotated in the occurrence notification/ investigation
report for information only
c) captured in the occurrence notification/ investigation report and duly integrated with the organization’s HIRM process.
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Section 11: Safety data collection & analysis
85
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Safety data quality
86
� Validity
� Completeness
� Consistency
� Accessibility
� Timeliness
� Security
� Accuracy
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Safety data types
87
� accident investigation data;
� mandatory incident investigation data;
� voluntary reporting data;
� continuing airworthiness reporting data;
� operational performance monitoring data;
� audit findings/reports;
� safety studies/reviews; and
� safety data from other States or regional organizations , etc.
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Safety data analysis
88
� assist in deciding what additional information are
needed;
� ascertain latent conditions underlying safety deficiencies;
� assist in reaching valid conclusions;
� monitor and measure safety trends or performance.
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Analytical methods and tools
89
a) Statistical analysis
b) Trend analysis
c) Normative comparisons
d) Simulation and testing
e) Expert panel/ group
f) Cost-benefit analysis
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Safety information system requirements
90
a) include a user-friendly interface for data entry and query;
b) have the capability to transform large amounts of safety data into useful information that supports decision
making;
c) reduce the workload for managers and safety personnel;
and
d) operate at a relatively low cost.
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Features of database system
91
a) log safety events under various categories;
b) compile analyses, charts and reports;
c) capability to check individual reports;
d) allow safety data sharing with other organizations;
e) monitor individual report status or closure, etc
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Considerations for protection of safety data
92
a) Information accessibility;
b) Safety management requirements;
c) Disciplinary/ enforcement requirements;
d) De-identification or confidentiality requirements;
e) Security of information systems; and
f) Safety information sharing and exchange.
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Safety performance indicators (SPIs)
93
Number of reportable
(MOR) incidents
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
747-400
A330
A320
B737-300
A340
Beta Airline — Year 2009
<< Fig 1:
Basic data chart
0.00
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2009 Alpha Airline monthly reportable
incident rate (per 1 000 FH)
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
Fig 2:>> Continuous
monitoring chart
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
0.00
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2009 Alpha Airline monthly reportable
incident rate (per 1 000 FH)
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
Number of reportable
(MOR) incidents
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
747-400
A330
A320
B737-300
A340
Beta Airline — Year 2009
SPI Chart - with safety performance markers
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^ Fig 3:
SPI with Alert & Target
settings >>> SPI-ALosP
>details in M3-S15
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Purpose of Safety Data Analysis & SPIs
� The essential purpose of a safety database is to support
the development of safety performance indicators in order
to measure and monitor the service provider organization
or aviation system’s safety performance
95
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Safety data collection & analysis – Quiz
A service provider organization’s safety database should include safety information such as:
a) Global accident investigation reportsb) Voluntary safety reports received from its own personnel
c) Mandatory reports submitted to the CAA by the organizationd) (b) & (c)
96
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Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Safety data collection & analysis – Quiz
A regulatory (CAA) organization’s safety database(s) should
include the following safety information:
a) Mandatory incident reports received from all service
providers of its aviation system
b) Global accident reports
c) Voluntary safety reports received from any service provider
or individuals within its aviation system
d) (a) & (c)
97
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Safety data collection & analysis – Quiz
The essential purpose of a SMS/ SSP safety database is to enable the development of Safety Performance Indicators to
measure and monitor safety performance:
a) TRUEb) FALSE
98
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Section 12: Hazard identification & risk mitigation
99
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Hazard definition
100
Hazard is a condition or an object with the potential to
cause death, injuries to personnel, damage to equipment
or structures, loss of material, or reduction of the ability to
perform a prescribed function
-SMM 2.13.2
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Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
HAZARD, Unsafe Event & Consequence -correlation
101
Ultimate
ConsequenceHazard
Unsafe
Event
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Hazards, Threats & Unsafe Situations
102
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Hazard identification methodologies
103
Methodologies:
� Reactive - analysis of past outcomes or events
� Proactive - existing or real-time operational situations
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Hazard identification
104
Hazards can be identified from:
• Accident/ incident investigation reports (Reactive)
• Audit, inspection or survey reports (Proactive)
• Voluntary hazard/ incident reports (Proactive)
• Operational data monitoring systems, etc (Proactive)
Differentiate between:
• Hazards & Threats• Temporary & Permanent hazards
� Corrective action & systematic SRM action
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Identify Hazards, Top Events & Consequences – 3 Approaches
105
UC-5
H-1
TE-2
TE-1
UC-1
UC-2
UC-3
UC-4
1. Identify Top
Events &
Consequences
from a Hazard
H-1 UC-1
H-2 TE-1 UC-2
H-3 UC-3
2. Identify
Hazards &
Consequences
from a Top
Event
TE-1
TE-2
H-1
H-4
H-2
UC-1
H-33. Identify Top
Events &
Hazards from a
Consequence
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Hazard Escalation/ Transformation
106
Component MRO
Engine MRO
Hangar MRO
Airline
- MRO sector
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Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Hazard Escalation/ Transformation [HIRM W/sht 11(a)
107
- all
sectors
OPS
AIS
AMO
ATO
ANSPDMO
ATM
Engine
Aircraft
C UE H
C UE H
SAR-FF
AGA
CNS
Ground Control
Ground services
C UE H Comp
UE
C UE H
H
C UE HLine
Maint
H
UE
H
C UE HHangar
MaintC UE H
HC
Cargo /
DG handling
C UE HC UE HEngine
Maint
C
Fuel Suppliers
UE HCUE HComp
Maint
H UE
C UE
C UE
UE
C
C
H UC UEC HH UE C
H UE H
C UE
Define H>US>C in
your own
operational
context - within
the aviation
system
C
Details in M-4
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Hazard and Risk Management database
108
>Details in M3-S9 & M4 HIRM Wsht-11
Sheet 11 Hazard & Risk Management Database (Register) 22Sep16 <<<
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Generic Hazard/
Threat
(Original Report)
Source of
Information*
Specific Hazard/
Threat*
Hazard
ID Code
Corrective
Action*
[Yes/ No]
SRM
Action*
[Yes / No]
SRM Priority
Level*
(H, M, L)
Dept / SectProject
I/C
Date
Activated
Date
Completed
/ Rpt Ref
Existing RI &
Tolerability
(UE/UC)
Resultant RI &
Tolerability
(UE/UC)
Next
Review
Date
Ex
am
ple
A320 aircraft
operation.
Cabin crew reported one
large rat sighted in
aircraft rear galley area
during cruise.
Inflight
incident
notification
report ref:
A320/ OPS/
012/ 2005.
[H] - Rats
infestation of
A320 aircraft
OPS-
ALPHA-
H1-M-
013
Nil Projected - Aircraft
wiring/ equipment
damage by rats.
No Yes Medium A320
Operations
ABC
1
2
3
Hazard ID Code:
Sector (1) - Organization (2) - Hazard No (3) - Priority Level (4) - Year (5)
1
2 Organization: Five letters code (eg ALPHA - Alpha Airline)
3
4
5
Hazard ID Code Illustration:a) OPS-ALPHA-H001-M-013 [Air Operations - Alpha Airline - Hazard #1 - Moderate Priority - Year 2013]
b) AGA-GATB-H005-L-012 [Aerodrome - Timbaktu Airport - Hazard #5 - Low Priority - Year 2012]
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Sector: AGA / ANS / OPS / DMO / AMO / MDO* (*MDO - Materials Distribution Organizations, including fuel distribution)
*Explanatory Notes:
Reported/ Projected (UE/ C): Annotate UE/ C description as a "Reported" occurrence or a "Projected" occurrence. If multiple H>UE>C combinations involved, register each combination under a new Row (Each single H>UE>C
combination will constitute one potential SRM Task)
Priority Level: Hazard prioritization Level [High (Accident), Medium (Serious Incident), Low (Incident)].
Hazard No: Hazard number (eg H001) as assigned by the organization concerned within a given Year.
Year: Year when the Hazard was registered in the organization's Hazard Register.
Source of Information: Hazard information as may be extracted from - Voluntary Hazard Rpt, Occurrence Notification/ Investigation Rpt, Internal Audit Rpt, External Audit Rpt, Hazard Survey Rpt, Operational Data Review Rpt
Corrective Action: If the Hazard can be effectively eliminated through conventional corrective action (eg disposal, repair, replacement, modification), annotate YES with the action taken/ recommended. Otherwise annotate NO.
SRM Action: Annotate YES to indicate systematic SRM action is recommended (or has been taken already). Annotate NO if systematic SRM action is not recommended (or not necessary).
SRM Project Registration: This column for registration of assigned (new) SRM project, or a previously completed SRM project (with respect to the specific H>UE>C thread).
Specific Hazard/ Threat: If more than one Hazard/ Threat identified, register such additional Hazard/ Threat under new row/ item
Priority Level: SRM or Corrective Action Priority Level based on (Annex 13) occurrence category of the projected (or reported) Unsafe Event or Consequence. Accident - High; Serious Incident - Medium; Incident - Low.
Hazard Registration
Recommended ActionArea/
Operation/
Equipment
Ite
m
Hazard [H] / Threat [T]
SRM Project Registration*
SRM Project Assignment SRM Project CompletionUnsafe-Event [UE]
(Reported /
Projected)*
Consequence [C]
(Reported /
Projected)*
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Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Distinguishing Aviation and OSHE hazards
109
� Aviation hazard:
eg - Birds in vicinity of aerodrome
� OSHE hazard:eg - Persistent hydraulic fluid exposure within a workshop
� Aviation + OSHE (Compound) hazard:
eg - Lightning activity around aircraft transit gates
Note: Generic Hazard examples in >>> 1_Hazard Taxonomy examples
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Hazard prioritization
110
� Initial source/ location categorization
� Prioritization by severity of projected consequence
� Prioritization by severity & likelihood of projected
consequence
Note: More information in M3-S9 & M4
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Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Safety risks
111
Definition:
Safety risk is the predicted probability and severity of the
consequences or outcomes of a hazard
– Annex 19-2
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Safety risk probability
112
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Safety risk severity
113
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Safety risk index
114
1. Insignificant 2. Minor 3. Moderate 4. Major 5. Catastrophic
A.
(exceptional/
impossible)
Negligible (1A) Negligible (2A) Low (3A) Low (4A) Moderate (5A)
B.
(unlikely/
improbable)
Negligible (1B) Low (2B) Low (3B) Moderate (4B) Moderate (5B)
C.
(possible/ Low (1C) Low (2C) Moderate (3C) Moderate (4C) High (5C)
D.
(likely/
occasional)
Low (1D) Moderate (2D) Moderate (3D) High (4D) Extreme (5D)
E.
(certain/ Moderate (1E) Moderate (2E) High (3E) Extreme (4E) Extreme (5E)
LikelihoodSeverity
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Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Safety risk tolerability
115
Risk Index Risk Tolerability
5D, 5E, 4E - Extreme
RiskSTOP OPERATION OR PROCESS IMMEDIATELY. …
5C, 4D, 3E - High Risk WARNING.
Ensure that risk assessment has been satisfactorily
completed and declared preventive controls are in place.
5A, 5B, 4B, 4C, 3C, 3D,
2D, 2E, 1E - Moderate
Risk
CAUTION.
Perform or review risk mitigation as necessary.
Departmental approval of risk assessment required.
4A, 3A, 3B, 2B, 2C, 1C,
1D - Low Risk
REVIEW.
Risk mitigation or review is optional.
2A, 1A, 1B -
Negligible Risk
NO ACTION REQUIRED.
Acceptable as is. No formal risk mitigation required.
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Safety risk mitigation (SRM)
116
The safety risk is
acceptable
subject to
adequate
mitigation.
Acceptableregion
Intolerable region
Tolerable region
The safety risk is
unacceptable as
it currently
stands
The safety risk is
acceptable as it
stands
AsLowAsReasonablyPracticable
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Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Risk mitigation documentation (basic) – H>UC/UE
117
Existing Preventive Controls
Existing Risk Index
Existing Tolerability
New Preventive Controls
Resultant Risk Index
Resultant Tolerability
Ha
za
rd D
es
cri
pti
on Existing
Preventive Control
No 1
New Preventive
Controls
Ult
ima
te C
on
se
qu
en
ce
O
R U
ns
afe
Eve
nt
Existing
Preventive Control
No 2
New Preventive
Controls
Existing
Preventive Control No 3
New Preventive
Controls
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Risk mitigation documentation (basic): H>US>UC
118
Hazard
Existing
Preventive
Controls
Existing RI &
Tolerability
New
Preventive
Controls
New RI &
Tolerability
Unsafe
Situation
Existing
Recovery
Measures
Existing RI &
Tolerability
New Recovery
Measures
New RI &
Tolerability
Ultimate
Consequence
Possible
foreign
objects
debris on
the runway
Weekly FOD
runway
inspection
program
Aerodrome
operations
manual section 4.2.1
Likelihood: 4
Severity: B
Safety risk
index: 4B
Safety risk
tolerability:
Unacceptable
under the
existing
circumstances
To increase
runway
inspection to
daily
program
Likelihood: 3
Severity: B
Safety risk
index: 3B
Safety risk
tolerability: Risk
control/mitigatio
n requires
management
decision
Undetecte
d FOD on
operating
runway
Procedure
available to act
on pilots’ report
of FOD sightings
on runway
Aerodrome
operations
manual section 4.2.5
Likelihood: 4
Severity: B
Safety risk
index: 4B
Safety risk
tolerability:
Unacceptable
under the
existing
circumstances
To install
automatic
Runway FOD
detection and
warning system
Safety risk
index: 1B
Safety risk
tolerability:
Acceptable
Aircraft,
engine or tyre
damage due to
foreign
objects on
runway during
take-off.
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Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Risk mitigation documentation (advance)
119
Table A Hazard Identification & Risk Mitigation (HIRM) Worksheet [Risk mitigation illustration] Jun16 Sht 13
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59
1. E
merg
ency
Pro
cedure
2. B
ackup
Syste
m
3. A
bnorm
al
Pro
cedure
4. S
OP
5. S
pecia
l
Inspn
6. G
M
7. P
rocess
Appro
val
8. P
ers
onnel
Appro
val
9. T
RN
G
10. O
thers
Escala
tion
Facto
r [E
F]
Escala
tion
Contr
ol [
EC
]
Severity
x
Lik
elih
ood
Ris
k L
evel
1. E
merg
ency
Pro
cedure
2. B
ackup
Syste
m
3. A
bnorm
al
Pro
cedure
4. S
OP
5. S
pecia
l
Inspn
6. G
M
7. P
rocess
Appro
val
8. P
ers
onnel
Appro
val
9. T
RN
G
10. O
thers
Escala
tion
Facto
r [E
F]
Escala
tion
Contr
ol [
EC
]
Severity
x
Lik
elih
ood
Ris
k L
evel
1. E
merg
ency
Pro
cedure
2. B
ackup
Syste
m
3. A
bnorm
al
Pro
cedure
4. S
OP
5. S
pecia
l
Inspn
6. G
M
7. P
rocess
Appro
val
8. P
ers
onnel
Appro
val
9. T
RN
G
10. O
thers
Escala
tion
Facto
r [E
F]
Escala
tion
Contr
ol [
EC
]
Severity
x
Lik
elih
ood
Ris
k L
evel
1. E
merg
ency
Pro
cedure
2. B
ackup
Syste
m
3. A
bnorm
al
Pro
cedure
4. S
OP
5. S
pecia
l
Inspn
6. G
M
7. P
rocess
Appro
val
8. P
ers
onnel
Appro
val
9. T
RN
G
10. O
thers
Escala
tion
Facto
r [E
F]
Escala
tion
Contr
ol [
EC
]
Severity
x
Lik
elih
ood
Ris
k L
evel
E-
PC
1
EF>E-
PC1
EC1>EF
>E-PC1
N-
PC1
EF>N-
PC1
EC>EF>
N-PC1
E-
RM1
EF>E-
RM1
EC>EF>
E-RM1
N-
RM1
EF>N-
RM1
EC>EF>
N-RM1
EF>E-
PC2
EC>EF-
F-PC2
N-
PC2
EF>N-
PC2
EC>EF>
N-PC2
EF>E-
RM2
EC>EF>
E-RM2
N-
RM2
EF>N-
RM2
EC>EF>
N-RM2
EF>E-
PC3
EC>EF>
E-PC3
EF>N-
PC3
EC>EF>
N-PC3
EF>E-
RM3
EC>EF>
E-RM3
EF>N-
RM3
EC>EF>
N-RM3
EF>E-
PC4
EC>EF>
E-PC4
EF>N-
PC4
EC>EF>
N-PC4
EF>E-
RM4
EC>EF>
E-RM4
EF>N-
RM4
EC>EF>
N-RM4
Description of New Preventive Controls [N-PC] Description of Existing Recovery Measures [E-RM] Description of New Recovery Measures [N-RM]
<<<
4. ULTIMATE CONSEQUENCE [UC]: Multiple aircraft system(s) failure or malfunction (due to electrical wiring damage by rats).
1. AREA/ OPERATION/ EQUIPMENT: Pest control within A320 aircraft fuselage/ cabin.
2. HAZARD / THREAT [H/T]: Rat (s) infestation within an operational A320 aircraft fuselage/ cabin Hazard Code: OPS-ALPHA-H1-L2-013
3. UNSAFE EVENT [UE]: Rat (s) infestation confirmed through rat sightings or evidence of aircraft wiring damage by roden activities.
Table B
1
Hazard
/ T
hre
at >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Unsafe Event Mitigation (as applicable) >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Un
safe
Ev
en
t
Ult
ima
te
Co
nse
qu
en
ceExisting Preventive Controls [E-PC] Existing
RI & TNew Preventive Controls [N-PC]
Resultant
RI & TExisting Recovery Measures [E-RM]
Existing
RI & TNew Recovery Measures [N-RM]
Resultant
RI & T
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Ultimate Consequence Mitigation (as applicable) >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Ra
t (s
) in
fest
ati
on
wit
hin
an
op
era
tio
na
l A
32
0 a
ircr
aft
fu
sela
ge
/
cab
in
2E
R3
- M
od
era
te R
isk
2D
R3
- M
od
era
te R
isk
Mu
ltip
le a
ircr
aft
sy
ste
m(s
) fa
ilu
re o
r
ma
lfu
nct
ion
(d
ue
to
ele
ctri
cal
wir
ing
da
ma
ge
by
ra
ts).
Act
ua
l ra
t si
gh
tin
gs
or
ev
ide
nce
of
rat
dro
pp
ing
s w
ith
in a
ircr
aft
ca
bin
.
3E
R2
- H
igh
Ris
k
3C
R3
- M
od
era
te R
isk
N-RM2: A routine "C" Check Maintenance Job Card has been raised
to call for inspection of all opened aircraft internal fuselage
compartments for evidence of rat droppings and necessary follow
up action. Ref: MJC-1C-53-45; SI/ A320/ 25/ 112.
Description of Existing Preventive Controls [E-PC]
E-PC1: Flight, cabin and maintenance personnel are normally
expected to report any rat sightings within an aircraft.
N-PC1: SOP to be put in place to require flight crew and
maintenance personnel to report rats sighting within aircraft
cabin.
E-RM1: Any operational aircraft reported with rat sighting is
normally subjected to a cabin inspection by maintenance
personnel during stayover check.
N-RM1: Special Inspection sheet (Ref SI/ A320/ 25/ 112) has been
raised to require any operational aircraft with reported sighting or
evidence of rats infestation to be scheduled for de-infestation
action by approved Pest Controller upon aircraft return to main
base.
EF>E-PC1: No documented procedure/ instruction for such
reporting expectation.
N-PC2: SOP to be put in place to require that all aircraft
fuselage doors to be closed or sealed during silent hours,
especially when undergoing hangar maintenance checks.
EF>N-PC2: There may be occasions where fuselage doors
cannot be closed due to their being removed or dismantled
for maintenance.
EC>EF>N-PC2: For such cases, aircraft maintenance steps
leading to such doors shall be removed or backed-off from
the door by at least 3 feet, during silent hours.
>details in M3 & M4
>>> 2_HIRM Wsht CBSV
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Human factors and risk mitigation
120
� Risk mitigation process may require HF analysis support
� SRM procedure should address circumstances when HF analysis is appropriate
� Assessment of hazards and defenses involving complex
human to system interfaces should consider HF (SHELL) analysis
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Risk mitigation and CBA
121
� High impact risk mitigation projects may require cost &
benefits analysis (CBA)
� SRM procedure should address circumstances when
CBA is necessary
� Mitigating actions involving major organizational change
or financial impact should consider CBA
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Hazard identification & risk mitigation – Quiz
To a pilot, an unstable approach due to bad weather during his aircraft landing phase may be deemed to be:
a) A hazardb) An unsafe event/ situation
c) An ultimate consequenced) A latent condition
122
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Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Hazard identification & risk mitigation – Quiz
The essential purpose of hazard identification is to ensure that
those hazards which cannot be eliminated through
conventional corrective actions may be followed up with a
systematic risk mitigation process:
a) TRUE
b) FALSE
123
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Hazard identification & risk mitigation – Quiz
Hazards which have potential aviation safety as well as OSHE consequences:
a) Should be totally ignored by aviation SMS personnelb) May be managed in conjunction with the organization’s
certified OSHE inspectorsc) Can be managed by the organization’s certified OSHE
inspectors only
d) Must be managed by aviation SMS personnel only.
124
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Hazard identification & risk mitigation – Quiz
Safety risk index refers to the:
a) severity value of a hazard
b) severity and likelihood values of a hazard
c) severity and likelihood values of a consequence
d) likelihood value of an unsafe event.
125
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Hazard identification & risk mitigation – Quiz 6
The purpose of safety risk mitigation is to drive the risk index
of a projected consequence:
a) towards the intolerable region
b) towards the tolerable regionc) to as low as reasonably practicabled) To the unacceptable region
126
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Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Hazard identification & risk mitigation – Quiz
The purpose of documenting each completed safety risk
mitigation project is to:
a) Serve as a record of its accomplishment
b) Facilitate future review of the identified hazard and its
mitigating actions
c) Evidence of the organization’s due diligence in addressing
the identified hazard.
d) All of above
127
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Section 13: Prescriptive & performance based requirements
128
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Understanding performance-based requirements
129
Prescriptivvironment
Regulations as prescribed controls
�Rigid regulatory
framework
�Reactive occurrence
investigations
�Compliance audits
�Foundational
Prescription-basedenvironment
Requirements as safety risk controls
�Dynamic
requirements
�Proactive HIRM
�Safety performance monitoring
�Supplementary
Performance-basedenvironment
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Prerequisites for performance-based requirements
�SSP and SMS frameworks in place
�Process for agreement on system’s safety
performance markers/ levels
�Process for continuous regulatory monitoring
130
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Baseline & Equivalent level of safety
�An equivalent or better safety performance level is
expected with performance based requirements
when compared with the baseline safety performance
level of a prescriptive environment.
�Performance-based requirements should be
measured and monitored through appropriate SPIs
131
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Performance-based monitoring and measurement
�Use data-based safety/ quality performance
indicators
�Set SPI alert and target levels as performance markers
where applicable
�Aggregate the package SPIs’ performance, where
appropriate
132
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Auditing performance-based requirements
� Inspector awareness of performance based requirements
and expectations
� More interaction, monitoring and collaboration (between
regulator and service providers)
� Assessment of the system and related processes for
Effectiveness, apart from compliance (PSOE)
133
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Prescriptive & performance based requirements – Quiz
Performance based regulations or requirements are meant to:
a) replace conventional prescriptive regulationsb) complement conventional prescriptive regulations
c) deregulate the aviation industryd) prevent unhealthy competition amongst service providers
134
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Prescriptive & performance based requirements – Quiz
The introduction of SMS requirements for service providers is:
a) a prescriptive regulation
b) a performance based requirement
c) to replace service providers’ quality management systems
d) b & c are correct
135
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Prescriptive & performance based requirements – Quiz
SPIs is associated with performance based requirements because it:
a) is a data based process to facilitate monitoring of a system’s safety performance
b) allows the service provider to define its own SPIsc) allows the service provider to set its own safety
performance markersd) all of above
136
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Module 1: Safety Management Fundamentals
137
Copyright © 2015 Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore. All rights reserved.
Congratulations for completing Module 1:
Safety Management Fundamentals
You are now able to describe and explain the
fundamental safety management concepts and
principles addressed in SMM Doc 9859 (3rd Ed,
2013).
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