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Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley, Mike Deveau, Ron Haynes Department of Mathematics & Statistics, Acadia University Dave Greenberg and others at B.I.O. Chris Garrett, Patrick Cummins, Brian Arbic Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 1 / 39
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Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

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Page 1: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Models of In-stream Tidal Powerin the Minas Passage

Richard Karstenwith lots of help from

Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley, Mike Deveau, Ron HaynesDepartment of Mathematics & Statistics, Acadia University

Dave Greenberg and others at B.I.O.Chris Garrett, Patrick Cummins, Brian Arbic

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 1 / 39

Page 2: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Outline

1 Numerical Model

2 Power Estimates

3 Impact on the tides

4 Conclusions

5 Continuing work

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 2 / 39

Page 3: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Numerical Model

Numerical Model

Finite-Volume Coastal Ocean Model (FVCOM 2.5)(Changsheng Chen, Robert Beardsley, Geoffrey Cowles)(http://fvcom.smast.umassd.edu/index.html)

A 3-D unstructured-grid, free-surface, primitive equation,finite-volume coastal ocean circulation model.Include:

wetting/drying onopen boundary forced by M2sponge layer at boundaryconstant density2D or 3D (usually 11 parabolic layers)Highest resolution in the Minas Passage

Run on ACMMaC and ACE-net computer clusters (4 to 64processors per job)

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 3 / 39

Page 4: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Numerical Model

Original Grids from David Greenberg

Scotia-Fundy-Maine Grid

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 4 / 39

Page 5: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Numerical Model

Original Grids from David Greenberg

Upper Bay of Fundy

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 5 / 39

Page 6: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Numerical Model

Adjustments to FVCOM

Model "turbines"

increased bottomfriction (2D)momentum drag (3D)quadratic drag

Turbine Wake: Horizontal

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 6 / 39

Page 7: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Numerical Model

Adjustments to FVCOM

Model "turbines"

increased bottomfriction (2D)momentum drag (3D)quadratic drag

Turbine Wake: Vertical

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 6 / 39

Page 8: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Numerical Model

Adjustments to FVCOM

Vary frequency of M2 forcing

Determination ofresonance frequencyDetermine howturbines affect this

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 7 / 39

Page 9: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Numerical Model

Matlab code

Run simulationsAnalyze Tides (amps, phaseetc)Power/energy balancesComparisons to theoryOptimization

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 8 / 39

Page 10: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Numerical Model

Matlab code

Code to quickly double resolution:(Linear interpolation of bathymetry and forcing.)

Original Upper Grid:Turbine area 335m x 335 m

Double resolution:Turbine area 170m X 170m

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 9 / 39

Page 11: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Power Estimates

Energy and PowerPotential Kinetic Estimated

Area Energy Energy PowerMinas Passage and Basin 8.2× 1013J 1.6× 1013J 8.7 GW

Bay of Fundy 4.38× 1014J 2.31× 1014J 60 GW

Power = 2× (mean total energy)/(π/ω)

Velocity at flood tide Time-averaged speed

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 10 / 39

Page 12: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Power Estimates

Power Density

PA

=12ρ|u|3 kW/m2

Bay of Fundy Minas Passage

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 11 / 39

Page 13: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Power Estimates

Power Estimate: standard

Total Power Based on Kinetic Energy Flux:

PKE =12ρAcu3

Maximum Average Power Estimate for the Minas Passage(Triton(2006)):

Pmax = 1.9 GW

NS DoE electrical power generation estimate:

%15Pmax = 0.3 GW

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 12 / 39

Page 14: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Power Estimates

Power Estimate: New

Power estimate should reflect tidal forcing:(Chris Garrett and Patrick Cummins):

Pmax = Acu × Force = flux× tidal head =14ρgaQ

a = 4.7m, Q = 7.5× 105m3/s

Power Estimates for Minas Passage:

Pmax = 8.5GW

NS DoE electrical power generation estimate:

%15Pmax = 1.2 GW

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 13 / 39

Page 15: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Power Estimates

Modelling the Minas Passage

Bay of Fundy Minas Passage Minas Basin

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 14 / 39

Page 16: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Power Estimates

Turbines affect the tides

Bay of Fundy Minas Passage Minas Basin

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 15 / 39

Page 17: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Power Estimates

Model: Chris Garrett and Patrick Cummins

Bay of Fundy

Forcing tidesηo = a cos(ωt)

Minas Passage

Volume Flux: Qc = Length

Cross−sectionalArea

λ = nonlinear drag

Minas Basin

Surface Area: Abηb = Ra cos(ωt − φ)

Momentum equation:

cdQdt

+ λ|Q|Q = g (ηo − ηb)

Continuity:

Q = Abdηb

dt

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 16 / 39

Page 18: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Power Estimates

Turbine Power

Pmax = λT |Q|Q2 =23/2 δT Pref

R0

[(1− ε)2 +

√(1− ε)4 + 4(δT + δ0)2

]3/2 .

Turbine drag

Pmax = 6.9 GW

%15Pmax = 1 GW

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 17 / 39

Page 19: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Power Estimates

Making the tides do the work

Work done by tides = natural dissipation + turbine power

Turbine drag

Max Power = 1/2 Max Work = 1/2 (1/2 ρgaQ)

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 18 / 39

Page 20: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Impact on the tides

Impact on the Minas Basin tides

Amplitude

Turbine drag

Phase lag, φ

Turbine drag

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 19 / 39

Page 21: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Impact on the tides

Change in Tides

Relative percent change in the Minas Basin tides: ∆η

For small P :

P ≈ (0.77GW)∆η

∆η ≈ 1.3P %

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 20 / 39

Page 22: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Impact on the tides

Far Field Effects

Change in tidal amplitude (cm) at maximum power:

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 21 / 39

Page 23: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Impact on the tides

Far-Field Effects

Relative change in tidal amplitude (%) at maximum power:

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 22 / 39

Page 24: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Impact on the tides

Far-Field Effects

Relative change in tidal amplitude (%) at P = 2.56 GW:

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 23 / 39

Page 25: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Impact on the tides

Resonance

Total Energy vs. period of forcing tide

Case PeriodUndisturbed 12.85P= 2.6 GW 12.80P= 6.9 GW 12.59Barrier 12.50

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 24 / 39

Page 26: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Conclusions

Conclusions

Simple nonlinear drag theory agrees with numerical simulationsPmax = 6.9 GW (more than three times previous estimate)At maximum power a 40% reduction in tidesAt low power about 0.7 GW for each percent change in tidesExtracting power from the Minas Passage pushes system closerto resonancePapers:

J. M. McMillan and M. J. Lickley, 2008: “The Potential of Tidal Power from the Bay of Fundy.” SIAMUndergraduate Research Online, 1, Issue 1, http://www.siam.org/students/siuro/published.php

R. H. Karsten, J. M. McMillan, M. J. Lickley, and R. D. Haynes, 2008: “Assessment of Tidal Current Energy in the

Minas Passage, Bay of Fundy.” Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part A: Journal of Power

and Energy, 222, 493–507.

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 25 / 39

Page 27: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Continuing work

Continuing work

Realistic turbinesPartial turbine fencesOptimum turbineplacementEnvironmental impactsOther sites: UngavaBay/Hudson Strait

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Page 28: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Continuing work

Realistic Isolated Turbine

Turbine Wake: Horizontal Turbine Wake: Vertical

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 27 / 39

Page 29: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Continuing work

Isolated Turbines

Isolated turbine:Lanchester-Betz limit

P = 0.59(

12

Au3)

"Single" 214 MW turbineP = 0.8

(12Au3)

Change in speed

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 28 / 39

Page 30: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Continuing work

Partial fences

Partial fences in channel:Garrett and Cummins (JFM2007)

Pmax

Pref=

2

3(

1 + AAc

)

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 29 / 39

Page 31: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Continuing work

Optimizing Turbine Location

Power = 5.4 GW Power = 4.4 GW

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 30 / 39

Page 32: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Continuing work

Particle Tracing

Pollution distribution Migration patterns

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 31 / 39

Page 33: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Continuing work

Future Work: Bay of Fundy

Work with Brian Sanderson:

Power Relative Change for 7GW

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 32 / 39

Page 34: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Continuing work

Future Work: 3D runs

Following Sucsy, Pearce, Panchang (JPO 1992)

Speed vs. depth and time Two Layers: Power

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 33 / 39

Page 35: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Continuing work

Upper Grid

Work done by tides = natural dissipation + turbine power

Turbine drag

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 34 / 39

Page 36: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Continuing work

Upper Grid

Work done by tides = natural dissipation + turbine power

Turbine drag

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 35 / 39

Page 37: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Continuing work

Tidal Head

ηo − ηb = a√

1− 2R cosφ+ R2 cos(ωt − Φ)

Turbine dragRichard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 36 / 39

Page 38: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Continuing work

Far-Field Effects

Extracting any powerhas system wideeffectsLocal change is largest

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 37 / 39

Page 39: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Continuing work

Continuing work:3D model

Simulation

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 38 / 39

Page 40: Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage · Models of In-stream Tidal Power in the Minas Passage Richard Karsten with lots of help from Justine McMillan, Megan Lickley,

Continuing work

Turbine Fence Width

Turbines Power

Richard Karsten (Acadia University) Tidal Power Models April 15, 2009 39 / 39