DRAFT – Not for a.ribu2on or distribu2on Modeling the Ebola Outbreak in West Africa, 2014 January 6 th Update Bryan Lewis PhD, MPH ([email protected]) presen2ng on behalf of the Ebola Response Team of Network Dynamics and Simula2on Science Lab from the Virginia Bioinforma2cs Ins2tute at Virginia Tech Technical Report #15001
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Modeling the Ebola Outbreak in West Africa January 6th 2015 update
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DRAFT – Not for a.ribu2on or distribu2on
Modeling the Ebola Outbreak in West Africa, 2014
January 6th Update
Bryan Lewis PhD, MPH ([email protected]) presen2ng on behalf of the Ebola Response Team of
Network Dynamics and Simula2on Science Lab from the Virginia Bioinforma2cs Ins2tute at Virginia Tech
Technical Report #15-‐001
DRAFT – Not for a.ribu2on or distribu2on
NDSSL Ebola Response Team Staff: Abhijin Adiga, Kathy Alexander, Chris Barre., Richard Beckman, Keith Bisset, Jiangzhuo Chen, Youngyoun Chungbaek, Stephen Eubank, Sandeep Gupta, Maleq Khan, Chris Kuhlman, Eric Lofgren, Bryan Lewis, Achla Marathe, Madhav Marathe, Henning Mortveit, Eric Nordberg, Paula Stretz, Samarth Swarup, Meredith Wilson,Mandy Wilson, and Dawen Xie, with support from Ginger Stewart, Maureen Lawrence-‐Kuether, Kayla Tyler, Kathy Laskowski, Bill Marmagas Students: S.M. Arifuzzaman, Aditya Agashe, Vivek Akupatni, Caitlin Rivers, Pyrros Telionis, Jessie Gunter, Elisabeth Musser, James Schli., Youssef Jemia, Margaret Carolan, Bryan Kaperick, Warner Rose, Kara Harrison
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DRAFT – Not for a.ribu2on or distribu2on
Currently Used Data (as of Dec 22nd, 2014)
● Data from WHO, MoH Liberia, and MoH Sierra Leone, available at h.ps://github.com/cmrivers/ebola
● MoH and WHO have reasonable agreement ● Sierra Leone case counts censored up
to 4/30/14. ● Time series was filled in with missing
dates, and case counts were interpolated.
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Cases Deaths Guinea 2,730 1,739 Liberia 8,115 3,423 Sierra Leone 9,633 2,827 Total 20,478 7,989