MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS Global COVID-19 Tracker September 11 · 2020. 9. 11. · MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – Global COVID-19 Tracker – September 11 by Tom Lake COVID-19

MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – Global COVID-19

Tracker – September 11

by Tom Lake

COVID-19 Trends and Developments

• The COVID-19 outbreak in India shows no sign of abating, with the country having

registered a record-high number of new COVID-19 cases on September 10, with

96,551 added to the country’s total. This was more new cases than the next three

countries with the highest new case number on September 10 (Brazil, the US, and

Argentina) combined. On the same day, India also recorded its highest number of

COVID-19 fatalities in a 24 hour period, with 1,209 registered on the day.

• Saudi Arabia recorded its lowest 24 hour new cases total since April 16 on

September 10, with 708 coronavirus cases added to the total. The slowdown in case

growth in the Middle Eastern nation is an ongoing trend, with the average daily

increase in cases across the past week at its lowest on September 10 since April 19.

• The number of confirmed cases in Israel climbed by 4,429 on September 10, the

highest daily increase on record. This increase meant Israel recorded the highest

number of new cases per capita of any country worldwide on September 10, with 50

new cases recorded per 100,000 of population on that day alone.

Chart 1. COVID-19 Cases and Fatalities, Nominal and % Chg Day-to-Day (5dma)

Source: JHU, MNI. As of 0600BST September 11. N.b. Each dot represents a single day’s figures, data for past three months

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

-

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

10-Jun 10-Jul 10-Aug 10-Sep

Global

Total Fatalities (LHS) Total Cases (LHS)

Fatalities, D-t-D % chg (RHS) Cases, D-t-D % chg (RHS)

Table 1. COVID-19 Data Table

Source: JHU, MNI. N.b Data correct as of 0945BST September 11. Recovery numbers for Belgium, Hong Kong, Spain,

Sweden and the UK not available.

Country Confirmed

Cases

New Cases in Past 24

Hrs

Recovered Deceased Fatalities in Past 24 Hrs

Mortality Rate (per

100 recorded

cases)

Rate of Increase in Cases

(7-day average)

Global 28,161,885 298,152 19,004,937 909,479 5,793 3.2 0.98%

Argentina 524,198 11,905 390,098 10,907 249 2.1 2.17%

Australia 26,564 40 23,215 797 9 3.0 0.23%

Belgium 90,568 877 N/A 9,917 0 10.9 0.65%

Brazil 4,238,446 40,557 3,657,701 129,522 983 3.1 0.68%

Canada 136,956 821 120,848 9,213 9 6.7 0.47%

Chile 428,669 1,642 401,356 11,781 79 2.7 0.41%

China 90,127 27 85,005 4,733 0 5.3 0.02%

Colombia 694,664 7,813 569,479 22,275 222 3.2 1.14%

France 392,243 8,951 89,468 30,819 14 7.9 2.16%

Germany 258,149 1,716 231,172 9,345 3 3.6 0.53%

Hong Kong 4,913 12 N/A 99 0 2.0 0.22%

India 4,562,414 96,551 3,542,663 76,271 1,209 1.7 2.13%

Iran 395,488 2,063 340,842 22,798 129 5.8 0.54%

Italy 283,180 1,597 211,885 35,587 10 12.6 0.53%

Japan 73,916 652 64,489 1,416 4 1.9 0.72%

Mexico 652,364 5,043 541,804 69,649 600 10.7 0.80%

Peru 702,776 6,586 536,959 30,236 113 4.3 0.97%

Russia 1,042,836 5,310 865,646 18,207 127 1.7 0.50%

Saudi Arabia 323,720 708 299,998 4,189 24 1.3 0.24%

Singapore 57,229 63 56,558 27 0 0.05 0.08%

South Africa 644,438 2,007 573,003 15,265 97 2.4 0.26%

South Korea 21,919 176 17,616 350 4 1.6 0.72%

Spain 554,143 10,764 N/A 29,699 71 5.4 1.83%

Sweden 86,194 314 N/A 5,843 1 6.8 0.25%

UK 358,138 2,919 N/A 41,608 14 11.6 0.73%

US 6,396,551 35,286 2,403,511 191,766 907 3.0 0.56%

Chart Pack: COVID-19 Cases and Fatalities, Nominal and % Chg Day-to-Day (5dma)

The chart pack below records the number of COVID-19 cases and fatalities resulting from

COVID-19 recorded in select countries over the past three months in each respective

country. The charts also display the rate of increase in recorded cases and fatalities in each

country. Legend below can be used for all national charts.

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000


Argentina

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

10.0%

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000


Australia

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

1.4%

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000


Belgium

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

-

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

4,500,000


Brazil

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000


Canada

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

10.0%

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000


Chile

0.00%

0.05%

0.10%

0.15%

0.20%

0.25%

0.30%

0.35%

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000


China

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000


Colombia

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000


France

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

0.5%

0.6%

0.7%

0.8%

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000


Germany

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000


Hong Kong

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

10.0%

-

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

4,500,000

5,000,000


India

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

1.4%

1.6%

1.8%

2.0%

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000


Iran

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

0.5%

0.6%

0.7%

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000


Italy

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000


Japan

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000


Mexico

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000


Peru

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

4.0%

-

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000


Russia

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

4.0%

4.5%

5.0%

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000


Saudi Arabia

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

4.0%

4.5%

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000


Singapore

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000


South Africa

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000


South Korea

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000


Spain

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000


Sweden

Source: JHU, MNI. N.b Global legend applies to all charts. All data correct as of 0600BST September 11, and represents full-

day data submissions, rather than intra-day figures. Each dot indicates the data from a single day.

Chart 2. Countries with 10 Highest Number Of New Cases In Past 24 Hours

Source: JHU, MNI. N.b. Data from Sep 10. Countries in descending order of new cases: India, Brazil, US, Argentina, Spain,

France, Colombia, Peru, Russia, Mexico.

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

0.5%

0.6%

0.7%

0.8%

0.9%

1.0%

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000


UK

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000


US

Chart 3. Countries with 10 Highest Number of New Cases Per Capita in Past 24 Hours

Source: JHU, MNI. N.b. Data from Sep 10. Countries in descending order of new cases per capita: Israel, Bahrain, Argentina,

Costa Rica, Spain, Montenegro, Peru, Brazil, Kuwait, Panama. Countries with population below 100k excluded.

Chart 4. Countries with 10 Highest Number of Total Recorded Cases Per 100 Head of

State’s Population

Source: JHU, MNI. N.b. Data for Sep 10. Countries in descending order of new cases per capita: Qatar, Bahrain, Panama,

Chile, Kuwait, Peru, Brazil, US, Oman, Israel. Countries with population below 100k excluded.

Chart 5. Countries with 10 Highest Number Of Fatalities In Past 24 Hours

Source: JHU, MNI. N.b. Data from Sep 10. Countries in descending order of fatalities in past 24 hours: India, Brazil, US,

Mexico, Argentina, Colombia, Iran, Russia, Indonesia, Peru.

Chart 6. Countries with 10 Highest Number of Fatalities Per Capita in Past 24 Hours

Source: JHU, MNI. N.b. Data from Sep 10. Countries in descending order of fatalities per capita: Argentina, Costa Rica,

Mexico, Brazil, Colombia, Chile, Bolivia, Peru, Trinidad and Tobago, US. Countries with population below 100k excluded.

Chart 7. Countries with 10 Highest Number of Total Recorded Fatalities Per 100 Head

of State’s Population

Source: JHU, MNI. N.b. Data from September 10. Countries in descending order of fatalities per capita: Peru, Belgium, Spain,

Chile, Bolivia, UK, Brazil, Ecuador, Italy, US. Countries with population below 100k excluded.

MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS Global COVID-19 Tracker September 11 · 2020. 9. 11. · MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – Global COVID-19 Tracker – September 11 by Tom Lake COVID-19

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