MN Coalition for the Homeless Conference Sept 15, 2014 Building Our Future: Now is the Time for Equitable Growth Housing Stability: A Key Factor in Addressing Community-Wide Prosperity
Jan 04, 2016
MN Coalition for the Homeless ConferenceSept 15, 2014
Building Our Future:Now is the Time for Equitable Growth
Housing Stability: A Key Factor in Addressing Community-Wide Prosperity
Outline for Today’s Presentation
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1. Overview of a new effort in Ramsey County
– related to Community-wide Prosperity2. Ramsey County’s looking at the drivers for
homelessness in new ways (homelessness and concentrated poverty are linked)
3. The model can be applied to other areas of the state
Ending Homelessness is more than Housing!
An Economic Prosperity Model for Ramsey County
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This Region – County – City – Neighborhood model will be used as a reference point throughout the workshop
The Ramsey County community is represented by everything within the heptagon, and it should aspire to grow as fast as or faster than the Region growing around it.
An Indicator of Economic Prosperity
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The assets available to use as the basis for current and future consumption and investment
In this section we will examine people, land, and capital.
People (Human Capital)
Land(Natural Capital)
Capital(Physical Capital)
Why is it Important?
• Serves as an indicator of the current strength of a jurisdiction.
• Greater prosperity spread across all three circles indicates greater resiliency and potential for future growth.
• Contributes to preemptively addressing areas of risk.
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PeopleA Closer Look at within Ramsey County
Future economic prosperity requires an educated, trained and available workforce.
County PopulationAnoka 333,140
Carver 92,638
Dakota 402,006
Hennepin 1,168,431Scott 132,556
Washington 241,280
Ramsey 514,696
Metro Area TOTAL2,884,747
Ramsey as % of Metro17.8 %
Source: US Census 2011 American Community Survey
Ramsey County is the second most populous county in the Region with more than half a million residents.
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PeopleA Closer Look at within Ramsey County
Ramsey County is and will remain significantly more racially diverse than the Region, meaning that ongoing, race-based disparities will have a greater impact.
Census 2010 and Minnesota Population Projections by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2005 to 2035.
174,996 people
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PeopleA Closer Look at within Ramsey County
A highly educated workforce builds a sustainable, resilient economy and presents new growth opportunities for businesses
Anoka Carver Dakota Hennepin Scott Washington Ramsey86%
88%
90%
92%
94%
96%
98%
93%
95% 95%
92%
94%
96%
90%
High School Graduate and Above
The lower educational attainment levels of today’s workforce of residents (aged 25+) is a short-term risk for economic growth and resiliency. Workers without at
least some college experience were significantly more likely to lose their job during the recent recession and continue to disproportionately struggle today.
US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2011
32,635 residents 25+
without HS degree
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PeopleA Closer Look at within Ramsey County
“There is a widespread belief that learning is the core factor [that increases] human capital.”
- 2009 OECD World Forum on Statistics, Knowledge and Policy
8th Grade Math Proficiency
Anoka 59%
Carver 77%
Dakota 61%
Hennepin 58%
Scott 67%
Washington 71%
Ramsey 51%
Metro Area AVERAGE 60%
Diff from Metro -9
The chart shows that there are medium-term risks to ensuring that
Ramsey County’s citizens are prepared to thrive in an economy
increasingly featuring technical, high-wage careers.
MN COMPASS. Compiled from the MN Dept of Education. 2013.
Countywide Proficiency Data 2013
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PeopleA Closer Look at within Ramsey County
“There is a widespread belief that learning is the core factor [that increases] human capital.”
- 2009 OECD World Forum on Statistics, Knowledge and Policy
The chart shows that there are Long-term risks to ensuring that Ramsey County’s citizens are prepared to thrive in an economy increasingly
featuring technical, high-wage careers.
MN COMPASS. Compiled from the MN Dept of Education. 2013.
Countywide Proficiency Data 2013
3rd Grade Reading Proficiency
Anoka 60%
Carver 69%
Dakota 63%
Hennepin 55%
Scott 62%
Washington 64%
Ramsey 44%
Metro Area AVERAGE 57%
Diff from Metro -13
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PeopleA Closer Look at within Ramsey County
Compounding factors of race and low-income and is an issue for our entire community.
Saint Paul Children’s Collaborative Master Youth Plan Baseline Data 2012
SPPS Grade Level(34,489 Students)
Students of Color
Free/Reduced Price Lunch
Elementary 76% 74%
Junior High 76% 73%
Senior High 80% 75%
Saint Paul Public Schools 2012 Enrollment Data
St Paul School Enrollment Data
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PeopleRecap within Ramsey County
1. Large urban population of over a half a million people.2. Lower educational attainment for adults 25+ puts pressure
on job growth3. Lower education achievement among current students
reduces future job growth potential and desirability for new residents and business
4. Disparities in educational outcomes based on race and income will greatly impact future earnings and community stability.
We know that homeless families are disproportionately people of color.Students who are high mobile or homeless often suffer academic stain.
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A Closer Look at within Ramsey County
Available land is a key prosperity factor and a predictor of future development and economic growth
Ramsey County is less than 100,000 acres in size and contains 5.5% of the total land area in the Region.
County Land Area (acres)Anoka 269,543Carver 226,390Dakota 362,296Hennepin 353,334Scott 224,663Washington 244,980Ramsey 98,410
Metro Area TOTAL 1,779,618
Ramsey as % of Metro Area 5.5 %
Land
Metropolitan Council 2010 Land Use Data
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A Closer Look at within Ramsey County
A diversified and balanced mix of uses is important for economic growth and sustainability within a community.
Land
Ramsey County has a significantly higher proportion of its total land use dedicated to residential purposes than other counties in the Region. This creates a
unique budgetary dynamic for the County and the cities within it, which must be carefully considered with every redevelopment opportunity.
County Residential Institutional
& ParksCommercial &
IndustrialAnoka 24.8 15.6 3.8
Carver 7.1 6.6 1.2
Dakota 15.7 9.0 4.2
Hennepin 37.4 16.1 8.2
Scott 10.9 8.9 2.4
Washington 20.7 10.9 2.7
Ramsey 48.2 21.3 13.7
Metro Area AVERAGE 22.2 12.0 4.6
Difference from Average + 26.0 + 9.3 + 9.1
Percent Dedicated to Select Land Uses
Metropolitan Council 2010 Land Use Data
Land Use Type
Average Property Tax Revenue Collected per
$1.00 ExpendedInstitutional $0.00
Parks $0.00
Residential $0.85 - $0.94
Commercial $1.06 - $1.23
Industrial $1.31 - $1.40Saint Paul Port Authority, An Industrial Strategy for the City of Saint Paul, 2012
Finding the Right Mix
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A Closer Look at within Ramsey County
Assessing the current and potential for future capital land base provides a measure of capital
Capital
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Anoka
Carver
Dakota
Henne…
Scott
Washin…
RamseyCurrent Capital Base: Commercial & Industrial
Available for Future Growth: Agricultural & Undeveloped
Percent of Total Land Available for Current and Future Capital Use
Ramsey County has a strong capital base when measured as a percent of its total available land, but future expansion is limited. The intensity of use on available capital land therefore matters more than in any other county within the Region.
Metropolitan Council 2010 Land Use Data
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A Closer Look at within Ramsey County
Current employment figures are an indicator of the presence of capital from which future economic prosperity can occur
Capital
Ramsey County is one of three main employment centers in the Region (Downtown Mpls., Downtown St. Paul, and the Airport). This is a strength from
which the County can build with future investments that leverage its comparatively strong employment per square mile figure.
County Employment FiguresTotal
EmploymentEmployment Per Square
MileAnoka 111,085 264
Carver 33,822 96
Dakota 173,099 306
Hennepin 839,236 1,520
Scott 41,683 119
Washington 73,814 193
Ramsey 317,787 2,067
Employmenyt and Wages-QCEW 2012,, Metropolitan Council 2010 Land Use Inventory
Just because there are jobs here,
does not mean that residents are filling
those jobs.
Prosperity Means Opportunity for Everyone
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In order to successfully cultivate economic prosperity, we must ensure that everyone in our community can take advantage of
opportunities to grow and succeed.
HousingEducation
Capacity
Employment
Investment
“Life is lived in a web of opportunity. Only if
we address all of the mutually reinforcing
constraints on opportunity can we expect to make real
progress.”
- Dr. John Powell Chair, Civil Rights & Civil
Liberties - Moritz College of Law, Ohio State University
In this section we will focus on neighborhoods resiliency factors to
assess the web of opportunity.
Opportunity Through
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Neighborhood income patterns reflect policy and programs
Housing
Ramsey County has, by a wide margin, the Region’s highest rates for voucher and location-based affordable housing.
This heavy concentration of units, without similar concentrations of investments to increase a neighborhood’s web of opportunity, has the effect of increasing financial poverty within neighborhoods
while also limiting housing choices for residents throughout the Region.
Location Based Housing Includes: HUD Public Housing, Mod Rehab, Section 8 NC/SR, Section 236 and Multi-Family Other Programs Plus Low Income Housing Tax CreditsData: US HUD Picture of Subsidized Housing 2010 (2010 Geography); Metro 2010 Land Use Data; ACS 2012 1 year Total Housing Units
Anoka Carver Dakota Hennepin Ramsey Scott Washington0
50
100
150
200
250
144
15
90
215
6 10
Subsidized Housing Units per 1,000 Acres, 2012
Housing Choice Voucher per 1,000 acres
Location Based, HUD plus LIHTC per 1,000 acres
Subs
idiz
ed U
nits
per
Acr
e
Anoka Carver Dakota Hennepin Ramsey Scott Washington0
20
40
60
80
100
120
30 2835
62
97
26 26
Housing Choice Voucher per 1,000 housing units
Location Based, HUD plus LIHTC per 1,000 housing units 2012 (1 year)
Subsidized Units per 1,000 Housing Units, 2012
18Data sources: HUD Picture of Subsidized Housing 2012 (2010 Geography
ACS 2011 5 year data.
Opportunity Through HousingAnoka Carver Dakota Hennepin Ramsey Scott Washington TOTAL
All HUD Units 2,792 499 4,357 25,456 15,080 852 1,283 50,319 LIHTC (Low Income Housing Tax Credits) 1,035 500 1,223 6,381 6,066 403 1,142 16,750 Population 336,414 93,707 405,088 1,184,576 520,152 135,152 244,088 2,919,177
Units per 1,000 residents
All HUD Units 8.300 5.324 10.756 21.490 28.991 6.304 5.256 17.237
LIHTC 3.077 5.336 3.019 5.387 11.662 2.982 4.679 5.738
Summary of All HUD ProgramsPublic HousingHousing Choice VouchersMod RehabSection 8 NC/SRSection 236Multi-Family Other
LIHTC
Ramsey County High Poverty Extreme Poverty0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
4.3% 6.6%
27.0%
2.7%
4.8%
6.2%
Subsidized Housing as a Percent of Housing Units in 2012, by Poverty Level in Census Tracts
Housing Choice Vouchers
Location Based Subsidized Units, including LIHTC
Areas with extreme poverty have over one-third of the housing units as subsidized housing, and a very large proportion are location
based units.
HUD units listed above
Opportunity Through Investment
Opportunity Through
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Investment
• Housing solves homelessness for the individual household• Only broader investment alleviates the concentration of
poverty that greatly increases the risk of return to homelessness.
How does this affect our efforts to prevent and end homelessness
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Our homeless response focuses on housing
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HousingEducation
Capacity
Employment
Investment
Which is appropriate because the solution to homelessness is housing.
• But the key to ending homelessness is healthy communities with opportunity that is equitably spread.
• Community investment strategies that provide: transportation, employment, child care, and good schools where they are lacking.
• Strategies focused on building workforce skills and connections to work.
• Land use strategies that promote positive mobility and healthy options and choices for everyone.
End Homelessness
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• Housing may isolate rather than provide community• Crime and gang activity in the neighborhood can create great
stress• Neighborhood may provide few or no connections for jobs• Parent might perceive that area schools are substandard• Shopping for food and other necessities may be difficult, with
local options overly expensive
Housing meets some needs but not all
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• Moving from housing that resolves an episode of homelessness that becomes a foundation for healthy stability.
• Housing is Fundamental• Without housing it is much more difficult to:
Find a jobKeep a jobChild attending school and learningMaintain healthy lifestyle (eat and sleep well)Cope with the effects of trauma, depression, substance
abuse.Keep a family intactPlan for the futureHave hope for the future
How do we expand our reach
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• Cont of Care Regulations Consolidated Plan Public Housing Plan Community Education Plan
• Why is this important?• Comprehensive Plan includes:
Land use Transportation Parks and Rec Housing Historic Preservation Water Resources
Finding the Bridge from Homeless Solution to Housing Stability
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• Consolidated Plan includes: Housing and Homeless needs assessment Housing and market analysis Strategic Plan Action Plan
• Role of CoC• Drafting Language• Ensuring Public Participation• Public Education
http://portal.hud.hud.gov/hudportal/HUD?src=/program_offices/comm_planning/about/conplan/local/mn#state
Finding the Bridge from Homeless Solution to Housing Stability
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• What do you think are key factors for helping address concentrated poverty?
• What are some things your agency or CoC could be doing in your local community?
• Other questions or comments?
Discussing the Presentation
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Comments and Questions:
Thank You for Participating
Information presented by:
Carol Zierman, Senior Policy Analyst, Ramsey County Manager’s [email protected]
651-266-8004
Jim Anderson, Homeless and Low-Income Services Planner, Community Human [email protected]
651-266-4116
www.RCprosperity.org