Governor’s Conference on Natural Resources Panel Discussion: Environmental Impacts of Extreme Events White River Conference Center, Springfield, MO, Nov 11-13, 2014 Pat Guinan Extension\State Climatologist University of Missouri Commercial Agriculture Program Missouri’s Biggest Climate Challenge
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Missouri’s Biggest Climate Challenge · where Missouri transitioned from one extreme to another in a short period of time. •Recent historical trends for Missouri indicate an unprecedented
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Governor’s Conference on Natural Resources
Panel Discussion: Environmental Impacts of Extreme Events
White River Conference Center, Springfield, MO, Nov 11-13, 2014
Pat Guinan
Extension\State Climatologist
University of Missouri
Commercial Agriculture Program
Missouri’s Biggest Climate Challenge
U.S. National Weather Service
Cooperative Weather Station Network
“The Backbone of the Nation’s Climate Records”
28 Pioneer Stations (still active)
NWS Cooperative Network in Missouri
GLOBAL TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES
(1895-2013)
De
pa
rtu
re f
rom
No
rma
l (°
F)
Source: NOAA/Missouri Climate Center
1977
Warm Year
Cool YearUsing long-term average: 1901-2000
10 yr. running mean
2013 was 4th warmest
MISSOURI TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES
(1895-2013)D
ep
art
ure
fro
m N
orm
al
(°F
)
Source: NOAA/Missouri Climate Center
10 yr. running mean
Warm YearCool Year Using long-term average: 1901-2000
192119381931
2012
1998
1912
1917
19241979
1978
Data Source: Missouri Climate Center/NOAA
An
nu
al
Av
era
ge
Te
mp
era
ture
(°F
)Missouri Annual Average Temperature
(1895-2013)
Long-term average: 54.6°F 5 yr. running mean
Warm PeriodCool Period
1921
2012
19381931 1998
191719241912
1978
1979
Missouri Annual Average Precipitation
(1895-2013)
Long-term average: 40.86” 5 yr. running mean
An
nu
al
Av
era
ge
Pre
cip
ita
tio
n (
in.) 1898 1927
1973 1993 2008
1901 1953
1936 1976 1980
Wet PeriodDry Period
NOAA/Missouri Climate Center
Average Apr-Sep Dew Point Temperature
Columbia, MO, 1920-2014
Long-term average: 57.1°F 10 yr. running mean
Source: Missouri Climate Center/NOAA
19531976
19661928 1936 1975
1921 1977 19982010
1993
Class A Pan Evaporation Apr-Sep (in.)
HARC*, New Franklin, MO, 1956-2014
*Horticulture and Agroforestry Research Center
Long-term average: 37.47 in.1980
1956 1988
20121959
Highest water
loss in 24 years
20142008-11
P. Guinan, Columbia, MO
Photo taken Feb 19, 2013
P. Guinan, Columbia, MO
Photo taken Mar 10, 2013
Recovery comes quick with a few significant precipitation events…
Jan 29-Mar 10, 2013 precipitation: 7.58 inches
Number of Daily Rainfall Events ≥ 1-inch in Missouri
1895-2013
10 yr. running mean
Data Source: Missouri Climate Center/NOAA
1927
1973 1993
2008
2009
1895-1983 average: 294.5/year
1984-2013 average: 333.2/year (13% increase)
Number of Daily Rainfall Events ≥ 3-inches in Missouri