Mismanaged Metaphors: Climate Change and the Concept of the Commons Keywords: climate change, communication, global warming, commons, Hardin Garret Hardin’s “Tragedy of the Commons” metaphor is not a good one for climate change, steering discourse and activism into theoretical and strategic dead-ends. Given that there are different kinds of environmental problems (selective changes, resource overuse, and pollution) the root problem of the tragedy of the commons metaphor is that it mistakes what is more properly a pollution problem for a resource overuse problem. In the case of climate change, using metaphors like “climate commons,” “atmospheric sink,” and “consumption” (of resources) lead us into (five) unhelpful ways of thinking, according to which this article is divided, namely: 1. The coupling climate change with a concern about “population,” 2. The distraction of focus by interweaving the topic with multiple other environmental problems, 3. The portraying of GHG pollution as a resource (the ability of the atmosphere to “sink” CO2) and blinding us to the need to develop new, non-polluting energy technologies, 4. The insistence on individual responsibility and personal changes, 5. The overlooking of the fact that the consequences of greenhouse gas pollutants, like CO2, are removed from the activities of creating them and their benefits. Clearer and more effective climate change communication links the heat-trapping gases to their main industrial causes and primary human effects.
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Mismanaged Metaphors: Climate Change and the Concept of the Commons
Keywords: climate change, communication, global warming, commons, Hardin
Garret Hardin’s “Tragedy of the Commons” metaphor is not a good one for climate change, steering discourse and activism into theoretical and strategic dead-ends. Given that there are different kinds of environmental problems (selective changes, resource overuse, and pollution) the root problem of the tragedy of the commons metaphor is that it mistakes what is more properly a pollution problem for a resource overuse problem. In the case of climate change,using metaphors like “climate commons,” “atmospheric sink,” and “consumption”(of resources) lead us into (five) unhelpful ways of thinking, according to which this article is divided, namely: 1. The coupling climate change with a concern about “population,” 2. The distraction of focus by interweaving the topic with multiple other environmental problems, 3. The portraying of GHG pollution as a resource (the ability of the atmosphere to “sink” CO2) and blinding us to the needto develop new, non-polluting energy technologies, 4. The insistence on individual responsibility and personal changes, 5. The overlooking of the fact that the consequences of greenhouse gas pollutants, like CO2, are removed fromthe activities of creating them and their benefits. Clearer and more effective climate change communication links the heat-trapping gases to their main industrial causes and primary human effects.
Global warming is one of the deadliest environmental
problems that we face, but it nevertheless is only one of
many.1 For the sake of effective activism, it is best to
focus on it alone and not confuse it with other problems or
insist that the solutions we offer to climate change must
work for other problems as well. In order to more clearly
focus on climate change, it helps to distinguish it from
other environmental problems. We might think of this move as
1 I use “global warming” and “climate change” interchangeably. Schuldt et. al. found that Americans are more likely to agree that “climate change” is occurring thanthat “global warming” is occurring. The difference of opinion occurs mostly among Republicans. Furthermore, conservative think-tanks are more likely to use the term “global warming” and liberal think-tanks are more likely to use the term “climate change.” The strategy of switching to the term “climate change” in order to garner consensus is a red herring because the real disagreement is likely about whether the changes are human-caused and largely negative. Iretain the term “global warming” because it connotes anthropogenic, harmful changes. It is more emotionally engaging and, furthermore, sends a simpler scientific message. Schuldt, J.P., Konrath, S.H., & Schwarz, N. (2011).“ ‘Global Warming’ or ‘Climate Change’? Whether the planet is warming depends on question wording. Public Opinion Quarterly 75 (1) 115-124. See also Mooney, Chris, “It doesn’t matter whether you call it ‘Global Warming’ or ‘Climate Change,’” Mother Jones, May 14, 2014.
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a conceptual dividing and conquering. Contrariwise, we might
draw analogies between global warming and other
environmental problems in order to better characterize it or
gain ideas for solutions. Still, we must evaluate the
appropriateness of these analogies.2 Metaphorical language
can greatly influence discourse but sometimes in problematic
or ineffective ways.3
Garret Hardin’s “tragedy of the commons” has been taken
as the metaphor par excellence for all environmental problems.4
That is unfortunate for a number of reasons. I will cover
five of them here. 1. Following Hardin’s pet obsession, 2 Victor, among others, has argued, for example, that a analogy with ozone depletion led policy makers into falsely assuming that a solution to global warming should be pursuedthrough international pollution limits, which would be rather easy to accomplish.3 Other philosophical concepts similarly apply to some problems more than others. The debate about human dominion or stewardship as well as conceptual analyses of the notion of “species” are not equally useful for addressing every environmental problem. “Consumption” and “waste” are helpfulmetaphors in some cases, but not others. Even the notion of “the environment” is less concrete than it appears and can lead to false assumptions, like the idea that plants and animals are more threatened than human beings are. 4 Garret Hardin’s “Tragedy of the Commons” has been reprinted in over 100 anthologies. (“Garret Hardin” in Encyclopedia of the Earth, 2008.)
2
“population”—read as the contribution of developing
countries—is wrongly pegged as the root problem. In truth,
population growth rates and green house gas (GHG) emission
rates are negatively correlated. 2. With the adoption of
this metaphor, the presentation of the problem of climate
change becomes overly complicated, wrapped up with all
possible environmental problems, and even ontological.
(Often despair at the unavoidability of the tragedy or a
moral about values ensues). 3. Greenhouse gas pollution and
fossil fuels appear to be a “resource” rather than a problem
and attention is directed towards determining the optimal
amount of pollution, assuming a fixed need to “use” this
“resource” (i.e., emit carbon dioxide into the atmosphere
and Ocean). Ignoring the fact that we have likely already
emitted more CO2 into the atmosphere than is safe, justice
theorists then debate the way that a corollary right to
pollute should be distributed. Instead, attention should be
directed at propagating forms of energy generation that do
not emit carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. 4. The
tragedy of the commons becomes a parable about individual
3
choice. Whatever “the commons” is taken to be, it is the
individual who chooses to do more or less of something. With
climate change, as with most pollution problems, the
relevant agents are not individual people but a particular
type of industry. Most individual activities will remain the
same with a switch to a different energy source; 5.
Similarly, the activity is not “use” but pollution, whose
harm is mostly felt outside of the causal industries. A more
simple cause and effect logic works better to explain the
problem of global warming.
This metaphor to describe climate change has largely
led us in the wrong direction in terms of being able to
effectively communicate the problem and propose solutions.
Of course, environmental theorists are not chiefly to blame
for the overall public difficulty in addressing greenhouse
gas pollution. That distinction belongs to the climate
disinformation campaign funded by fossil fuel companies.5
Nevertheless, environmental scientists and theorists are
5 Oreskes, Naomi & Conway, Erik M., Merchants of Doubt, Bloomsbury Press, 2011; Washington, Haydn & Cook, John, Climate Change Denial: Heads in the Sand, Routledge, 2011.
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currently focusing on discovering the most effective
communication strategies, wracking their brains in the
attempt to sway public opinion towards the massive energy
transition that is necessary. The overall goal of this paper
is to further assist in this goal of making communication
about global warming clearer and more effective. As
environmentally committed intellectuals, we want to make
sure that our theoretical efforts are as practically helpful
as they can be, and choosing the right words and metaphors
can go a long way in influencing popular discourse.
Different Kinds of Environmental Problems
As an introductory nicety, we can class environmental
problems into three different types. First, there are
changes within and of ecosystems. There are countless
examples of plants and animals that have become extinct or
are threatened due to human intervention. In addition, we
should here class threats to geological formations such as
mountains or rock formations as a result of human behaviors
5
and choices. For example, Americans are not fond of many
plants they deem to be “weeds” including the milkweed plant
on which Monarch butterflies lay their eggs. Elimination of
the milkweed will soon lead to elimination of the monarch.
Many consider the latter to be rueful because of the natural
beauty and power of the monarch, as in its ability to
migrate over 3000 miles in its short life. We usually only
consider these changes to be problematic when they have been
initiated by humans. Similarly, we only consider these
changes to be problematic if we sufficiently value the thing
being lost—the butterflies and not the milkweeds themselves
for example.
Second, we have resource depletion problems that
include all scarce natural resources.6 Natural resources,
like the fish in the Ocean or water in a river, are
typically classed by means of a two-fold typology:
stationary/fugitive and ubiquitous/scarce.7 Nevertheless,
6 We should resist the temptation to class abstract commodities, such as labor or knowledge, as a resource,.7 Wantrup and Bishop, “Common Property,” p. 714, discussed in Godwin and Shephard “Forcing Squares, Triangles and Ellipses into a Circular Paradigm: The Use of the Commons
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while it is easy to determine whether a resource is
stationary or whether it moves, whether or not a resource is
considered to be scarce depends on human perception. Often
the recognition of a resource as scarce is nearly sufficient
to instigate regulatory protections. We can see that these
types of problems, like overfishing or lack of water in a
drought or desert, are substantially different from the
former set of problems because here harm to humans is of
primary concern.
Third, we have pollution problems. This class of
problems is the most varied. “Pollution” is itself a
metaphor, but the term usually refers to the unintended
consequences of a certain technology. Sometimes the
consequences are less visible and more susceptible to
plausible deniability than others, but as with the other
environmental problems, there is usually some positive
Dilemma in Examining the Allocation of Common Resources” TheWestern Political Quarterly, Vol. 32, No. 3 (Sep. 1979) pp. 265-277. Despite the title of the latter, Godwin and Shephard believe that with modifications, such as the propercharacterization of the type of resource, the commons metaphor can be made to fit a variety of environmental cases.
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benefit associated with the human activity that causes the
problem. In contrast with resource overuse, this gain is
distinct from the pollution itself. Plastic trash in the
Ocean, chemical waste from textile factories, and global
warming, while being very different from each other, are
all, I argue, pollution problems. One quality of pollution
is that it tends to harm multiple types of organisms:
plants, non-human animals, and humans.8 Again, the harm in
all these cases is characteristically distinct from the
benefit gained in causing the pollution. In addition,
pollution problems tend to be the most chemically complex
and difficult to understand scientifically.9 Communicating
them requires as plain scientific explanation as possible.
Hardin’s global metaphor
8 If some “environmental” problems harm humans, we might wonder why we do not class them as social problems, alongside poverty, lack of education, etc. 9 These distinctions are not hard and fast. The main point is that there are different kinds of environmental problems.
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The tragedy of the commons metaphor is confusing
because it takes one kind of environmental problem, the
overuse of scarce (stationary) resources, as a stand in for
all environmental problems. We might say that it falls
victim to the transitive fallacy, namely, the assumption
that because two things share one quality they also
necessarily share a third or more properties. The quality
that many environmental problems share is similar to,
although not exactly the same as, the free-rider dilemma. In
many cases, when one person engages in an act, like cutting
down a tree or burning coal, the environmental consequences
are negligible.10 The Earth is big and human actions have
little impact when they are merely performed on a small
scale. Nevertheless—and here we can see why Hardin takes
“overpopulation” to be the environmental problem par excellance
—when many people engage in the same action, the
consequences can then be felt. This summative quality of
10 Nevertheless, not all environmental problems are susceptible to this range. Pollution problems, as with nuclear pollution, for example, are more likely to be causedby a small number of people.
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environmental problems is part, but not all, of what Hardin
means by “tragedy.”11
Nevertheless, Hardin’s metaphor of the commons is more
specific than the above observation. He paints the picture
of a field on which multiple shepherds graze their flocks.
While the field might be able to feed a certain number of
sheep, over and above that number, it will be nibbled down
to the dirt or weeds will take over instead of edible
grasses. Hardin means to suggest that overgrazing would
11 Vandermeer argues that the tragedy of the commons metaphor is essentially about the economic problem of externalization. Hardin’s description of the benefits and harms that accrue to the shepherd from deciding to add one more sheep to his flock does indeed sound like the phenomenon of externalization. Also, Hardin seems to be assuming that there are very little additional costs associated with taking care of more animals (children?!) andthat this production of wool, or what have you, is very nearthe pure-profit mode of capitalist production (not subsistence agrarian farming). While the problem of economiccost externalization must be operative in any good understanding of global warming, I will not here evaluate whether Vandermeer’s diagnosis applies to all environmental problems or is itself similarly limited in explanatory power. My task here is to rewind, not reduplicate, hasty generalizations. See Vandermeer, John, “Tragedy of the Commons: The Meaning of the Metaphor” in Science & Society, Vol. 60, No. 3, Marxism and Ecology (Fall, 1996), pp. 290-306.
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permanently, or at least for that season, destroy the
feeding capacity of the field for all the farmers.
Many have drawn a parallel with Hardin’s metaphor and
the prisoner’s dilemma because Hardin highlights what he
takes to be the individual decision making processes of the
farmers. He insists that they will only be swayed by the
selfish desire to increase the size of their flocks. Hardin
dismisses the possibility of moral reasoning and the
effectiveness of appeals to conscience, and he believes that
the prevention of mutual destruction can only be achieved by
a governmental power.12 Indeed, rather than game theory, it
is political philosophy that Hardin most wishes to
influence. He intends his commons metaphor to imply the
opposite and refutation of Adam Smith’s invisible hand, and
he argues that “we need to reexamine our individual freedoms
to see which ones are defensible.”13
12 Hardin’s assumptions about human nature—ignoring family and tribal interdependence—and the conclusions about governmental power that follow from them are particularly Hobbesian.13 P. 1244.
11
This metaphor is attractive to theorists because it is
intellectually complex, involving both a paradox and a sort
of dialectical recursion. Hardin marvels at the fact that
what is “rational” for one shepherd is irrational for them
all. Furthermore, the desired action (grazing) puts itself out
of business. This paradox—the effect of the “remorseless
working of things”—is the second sense in which he uses the
term tragedy. In short, Hardin’s metaphor is the kind of
thing that philosophers love.
Ostrom has successfully pointed out that real common
property resources do not always result in this tragedy.14
There is little reason to think that the shepherds cannot
cooperate with one another, with or without democratic
governmental agencies, and indeed, in real life, they do.
Nevertheless, Ostrom’s commonsense research perhaps misses
the point that Hardin intends “the tragedy of the commons”
14 Ostrom, Elinor, Governing the Commons: The Evolution of Institutions for Collective Action, Cambridge University Press, 1990.
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to be a metaphor, and it is as a metaphor that it continues
to captivate the thinking of many environmental theorists.15
Hardin’s overall argument is about population. The
shepherds are parents, the flocks are children, and the
field is all of the Earth’s resources. Overgrazing is … ?
The end of it all?16
In addition to the metaphor and the concern about
global population, Hardin’s article is also most remembered
for his disparaging stance on “technical solutions.” He
believes that environmental solutions will have to be of a
radically different order. It is not clear where one is to
draw the line between solutions that overhaul the whole
“system” and those that simply tweak it, but it is clear 15 Ostrom also uses common pool resources as a metaphor in her later work, implying that parallels can be drawn with the Ocean, the gene pool, publicly held corporations and condos. Dolsak, Nives and Elinor Ostrom, “Introdcution,” TheCommons in the New Millennium: Challenges and Adaptations, MIT Press, 2003. 16 Climate change activists are sometimes accused of being “alarmist” or using alarmist political techniques—trying to scare people into action. While the predicted effects of global warming are indeed alarming, there may exist a tendency to lapse into hyperbole similar to Hardin’s implication. Perhaps there is the temptation to find the oneenvironmental problem to end all environmental problems.
13
that Hardin intends his warning to be prophetic. Here we
have the third sense of the term “tragedy”: Oedipus cannot
avoid killing his father by moving to a different city. The
process by which we will reach our environmental demise has
already been set into motion. “The inevitableness of
destiny” can only be escaped by changing what he takes to be
our basic notion of freedom.
Hardin does not explicitly articulate the meaning of
his “tragedy of the commons” metaphor. He does not, for
example, make any explicit connection between
“overpopulation” and the environment. He concludes that all
“commons” situations must be abandoned, but if “the commons”
is to be used metaphorically, not just to refer to common
land ownership—Hardin mentions “the freedom to breed,” free
parking, noise pollution, etc.—its meaning begins to be
lost. Overgrazing of a field leads to a lack of food for the
sheep, but Hardin does not spell out the consequences
associated with any of the other “commons” problems he
mentions.
14
Climate change is not a population problem; it’s a fossil
fuel problem.
We might conclude that Hardin simply lacked the
demographic information that could have allowed him to draw
educated conclusions about population growth.17 By 1968,
Hardin had already experienced a near tripling of the world
population since the turn of the century. While this
observation must have been startling. Demographers now know
that the world population explosion was the result of
dramatically improved life expectancies. While population
17 The most troubling aspect of Hardin’s 1968 article is hisloaded notion of “population.” His proposal of taxing childbearing would not be fair to the poor, but, speaking asa biologist, he argues that all economic benefit should flowto the intelligent: “those who are biologically more fit to be the custodians of property and power should legally inherit more”(1247). Whom does he believe to be “biologically more fit”? In 1994 he co-signed an open letteris support of the conclusions advanced by Murray in his Bell Curve, namely that whites are mentally superior to the blacks (“Mainstream Science on Intelligence,” Wall Street Journal, December, 13th 1994). Hardin apparently believed that whites are more deserving of wealth and the “the freedom to breed.” Hardin himself fathered four children. Similarly, Hardin believes that the population problem only gets going in the first place because of “the welfare state” (1246).
15
growth has slowed—and stabilized in many countries—from a
2.1% increase per year in the 1960’s, which saw the highest
growth rates ever, to a 1.2% per year increase today, we now
know that poverty is the cause of high birth rates, not the
other way around, and healthy and wealthy countries have
near zero population growth rates. Furthermore, economic
development correlates with women’s education and work
rates, which also correlate with lower birth rates.
Nevertheless, there is a lag between a country pulling out
of poverty, achieving lower infant mortality rates, and the
population growth rate falling.18 Most demographers agree
that if we can tackle poverty, world population will
stabilize below 10 billion. Many countries are on track to
see this development and population stabilization, but some
regions, like Sub-Saharan Africa, are still plagued by
disease, famine, and political instability.
Nevertheless, unfortunately, following Hardin there is
a tendency to characterize all environmental problems as
18 James, Carl; Gribble, Haub, “The World at 7 Billion,” Population Bulletin, Vol. 66, No. 2, July 2011.
16
population problems, i.e., one assumes that increased
population either causes or exacerbates them. Nevertheless,
the link between population growth and global warming must
be broken for two reasons: 1. The countries with the lowest
growth rates are most responsible for global warming
because, as Diamond argues, it is lifestyle (or, we should
say, energy technology), not population, that correlates
with environmental destruction; and 2. As a country
“develops” and goes through an industrial revolution, its
population growth will decrease and, unless it also
experiences an energy revolution, its greenhouse gas
emissions will increase. We see this reverse correlation in
the case of China, whose population growth rate is about
half that of the U.S., and while China has almost four times
the population, its per capita emissions are less than one
third those of Americans.19
19 2009 levels, according to the United Nations Millenium Development Goals Indicator, accessed September 27, 2012.
17
Diamond argues that “consumption” is a larger factor in
environmental degradation than “population” is.20 Looking at
the environmental effects of lifestyle, Diamond reports that
Americans “consume” 32 times the amount of “resources” as
inhabitants of developing countries do. While Diamond, like
Hardin, explains all environmental problems as a “resource
problem,” his point is that we must uncouple our
understanding of dwindling resources, “like oil and metals,”
from any concerns about growing world population.21 While
developing countries, like India and China, dwarf the U.S.
in terms of population (1.24 billion and 1.35 billion to our
3.16 million), Diamond believes that, environmentally, it is
growing consumption rates that are the real problem. Yet, he
further points out, that it only seems fair that everyone in
the world should deserve the same level of consumption.
Therefore, he argues that the only solution is for developed20 Diamond, Jared, “What’s Your Consumption Factor” New York Times, January 2, 2008. 21 Diamond also gives the unsustainable management of fisheries and forests and examples of environmental problems. While mentioning climate change, it is clear that his analysis relies heavily on the “tragedy of the commons” model, which makes it difficult for him to explain the specifics of the science of global warming.
18
countries to limit their “consumption.” As I will argue in
the next section, actually it is not quantity, but quality,
that matters, and the metaphor of “consumption,” as with
“resource use” forces us to think merely of the former.
Nevertheless, Diamond is right that “population” is an
environmental canard.
The world population boom started in the 1950’s (or the
1920’s at the earliest) with the cures to many diseases and
the end of WWII, but global warming started with the
Industrial Revolution of the late 1700’s. In the 1860’s John
Tyndall discovered the heat-trapping potential of carbon
dioxide in an attempt to explain the newly discovered
previous ice-ages.22 Svante Arrhenius applied that idea to
carbon dioxide emissions from factories, predicting future
warming. The prediction did not worry him because he
believed it would prevent the coming ice age, for which we
are due, and bring nicer weather more conducive to
22 For simplicity’s sake, I will focus on carbon dioxide as the main greenhouse gas. It bears about half of the responsibility for global warming because of its prevalence,while the other, less prevalent gases, like methane, trap more heat.
19
agriculture (since warmer air holds more water vapor, which,
incidentally, traps more heat).23 In any case, the idea that
burning coal would warm the climate is not new, and for two
hundred years only a handful of countries—a fraction of the
world’s population—used this technology on any measurable
scale.
Whether or not developed countries can be held morally
or legally culpable for global warming, the carbon dioxide
currently warming the Earth came mostly from them. Overall,
since 1900, the U.S. has emitted almost 315 million metric
tons of CO2; China clocked in at just above 89 million.24
Despite the fact that in 1900 five times as many people
lived in China (which is only slightly smaller than then
U.S.), since then the U.S., in terms of global warming, has
been responsible for almost four times the amount of
environmental destruction. Not only is there no correlation
23 See Mason, John, “The History of Climate Science,” SkepticalScience, April 7, 2013 and Aarhenius, Svante, Worlds in the Making, 1908 (for English translation). 24 This data is from 1900-2004 and is therefore not a good total for European countries that started burning coal first. See “Cumulative CO2 emissions, 1900-2004” archived at“Datablog,” The Guardian, accessed June 10, 2014.
20
between CO2 pollution and population, the correlation is
closer to being negative.
Of course, the developing countries need to “develop,”
and at the present time, “development” requires burning coal
and oil. Once a country achieves a lower child mortality
rate, a higher level of education, and a stable food supply,
its birth rate drops. One might even say that the problem is
that population growth rates (or poverty rates) and fossil
fuel use are negatively correlated. The solution is to find a way to
make population growth rates (and poverty rates) track the
decline in fossil fuel use.25
The fear of “overpopulation” creates a strange “you
first mentality” in both the case of population and climate
change. In the first case, individuals are apt to believe
that if they restrain their own childbearing, in the absence
of universal restrictions, their own genetic race will die
out and be overtaken by the race of the over-breeders: “the
variety of the Homo contracipiens would become extinct and
25 See the UN’s Sustainable Development Knowledge Platform.
21
would be replaced by the variety of Homo progenitivus.”26
Similarly, Americans imagine that the Chinese economy is
taking over the world and any limiting of greenhouse gases
on our part, in the absence of universal regulations, would
only spell our being vanquished by them. In reality, as we
shall see after we choose to narrow our focus to the
solutions that uniquely apply to carbon dioxide pollution,
the race to develop can actually aid in the transition to a
sustainable energy economy.
Lastly, the undeniably worst consequence of the concern
about “population” is that it risks the acceptance or even
approval of mass death. Tellingly, Hardin does not tell us
that the problem with “population” is that it will lead to
mass death; instead, as with many population theorists,
initiated by Malthus, he holds out mass death as the smug “I
told you so” inevitability, or, even worse, as the natural
corrective to the humanity’s plague upon the Earth. In order
to get people to care about climate change, we need to tell
them the sheer number of people who will be killed or
26 “The Tragedy of the Commons,” p. 1246.
22
displaced by diseases, heat waves, and floods. If we cannot
clearly communicate to them that those effects are bad and
should be avoided, then climate change activism is a non-
starter.27
We have already seen that population size is only
tangentially related to most pollution problems, and, in any
case, any “solution” that involves the elimination of people
(or a fundamental joy of life) throws the baby out with the
bathwater. As those of us who have young children know
because we are worried about their future, the task is to save
the baby. An environment so ruined that we can no longer
reproduce our species is an environmental fight long lost.
“Global Environmental Commons,” Or Everything but the
Kitchen Sink
27 For example, after stating “climate change is caused by the growth of the world’s population,” Broome questions “Should we consider it a bad thing if the Earth loses some of its human population? Or would it perhaps be a good thing?” (p. 11-12). Broome, John, Climate Matters: Ethics ina Warming World, W.W. Norton & Co. 2012.
23
Climate change is a big environmental problem, but it
does not speak for all possible environmental problems.
Similarly, the best possible solution to CO2 pollution might
result in other negative environmental consequences.28
Nevertheless, those who think in terms of the “commons,”
“resources,” and “population” tend to lump all environmental
problems together, making an explanation of global warming
unnecessarily complicated and any possible solution utopian.
Lester Brown, for example, an environmentalist leader
and hero, might sometimes unwittingly overwhelm his
audience. In his 1999 book, Beyond Malthus: The Nineteen Dimensions
of the Population Challenge, co-authored with Gary Gardner and
Brian Halweil, he characterizes climate change alongside
nearly all of the environmental problems, as the result of
population growth. While Brown’s demographic understanding
of population growth is sound, the insistence that we link
our understanding of climate change to a concern about
28 The fact that the best solution to one environmental problem might yield another environmental problem is not cynicism but simple realism and helps us to further grasp the reason that there can be an overarching “environmental movement” only with some political difficulty.
24
population growth (as well as many other environmental
problems) risks obscuring the specific nature of the problem
of global warming. Indeed, while the fifth IPCC report does
cite a high confidence that some latitude regions have
already suffered lowered crop yields for some crops because
of high heat and drought, Brown’s focus on food shortages
serves as only an indirect presentation of the consequences
of global warming.29 Brown’s overall story, as told in World
On the Edge: How to Prevent Environmental and Economic Collapse, about
failed crops leading to failed states and a failed
civilization, while important, might not be the best
introduction to the specific problem of climate change.
Increasing food security for growing populations likely has
a more direct solution, like local agricultural subsidies,
than those for either climate change or population growth
would be.30
29 IPCC, “Technical Summary,” Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, p. 10 30 It is inevitable that one trend will be influenced by theprevious. Sounding the alarm about climate change was a better fit with those who had been sounding the alarm about population than it was with, say, the anti-nuclear movement.In some cases, as with Fremlin’s wacky hypothesis about “heat death,” climate change even appeared to be the missing
25
We can see this tendency on a smaller scale in Payne’s
“The Tragedy of the Commons and Climate Change.” As many
environmental theorists might be tempted to do, his listing
of environmentally problematic behaviors perhaps unwittingly
implies that the nature of these problems is so grandiose it
cannot even be fully articulated:
Building homes and fences depletes forests that
scrub CO2 from the atmosphere; driving automobiles
depletes fossil fuels and contributes to
increasing levels of CO2; watching television,
especially the new and popular plasma variety,
adds to pollution through burning of coal that
produces most of our electricity; having children
increases population and puts further demands on
farming, ranching, and fishing industries and
creates more waste that must be disposed of; and
cell phones create problems with demand for
“conflict minerals” and the disposal of
link population theorists sought. Fremlin, J.H. “How Many People Can the World Support?” New Scientist, October, 1964.
26
rechargeable batteries. In reality almost
everything humans engage in on a daily basis, and
everything associated with production, has some
negative externality associated with it.31
We can see that Payne makes use of Hardin’s law that there
will always be some unintended/negative consequence of any
action. This cynicism will not yield many practical
solutions and is likely overwhelming to his audience.
Like Brown, Payne’s suggestion is that “civilization”—
Payne at least purports to focus on the American lifestyle—
needs a complete overhaul to save itself from itself. Most
significantly, Payne has not given a clear statement about
the causes and effects of climate change. Perhaps Hardin’s
formative metaphor encourages this kind of lumping together
of environmental problems because it is taken to be a stand
in for any and all of them. Also, it is itself vague and 31 Payne, Lee, “The Tragedy of the Commons and Climate Change” in Toward a More Livable World, Stephen F. Austin State University Press, 2012, p. 212. Similarly Jamieson argues that all forms of energy generation “transform nature;” Jamieson, Dale, “Energy, ethics, and the transformation of nature” in The Ethics of Global Climate Change, Denis G. Arnold (ed.), Cambridge University Press, 2011.
27
grandiose—it actually uses an environmental case as a
metaphor for a different kind of problem—and gestures toward
the need to change our values and lifestyle.
In the philosophy camp the tenor of “tragedy” is most
at home, as we can see with Gardiner’s A Perfect Moral Storm: The
Ethical Tragedy of Climate Change. He intends his model of “the
perfect storm”—the intersection of global asymmetry between
developed and developing countries, the fact that presently
living people have more power than future generations, and
the current lack of relevant ethical theories—to replace
Hardin’s metaphor as a general account of most environmental
problems, of which climate change is his main example (with
population growth at its core).32 He concludes that “we face
a looming global environmental tragedy,” and although he
states that the solutions are relatively easy, his “perfect
storm” model is an account of why they will not happen.33
32 P. 12. The appendix outlining population growth as “the core problem” starts on p. 443. Gardiner also carries on thetradition of analyzing environmental problems with game theory. 33 P. 439.
28
As we have seen, those who walk in Hardin’s footsteps
reiterate that our environmental problems are myriad,
massive, and cannot be addressed without a fundamental
change of the way humans live on Earth. They risk painting
environmental destruction as unavoidable and environmental
problems as massively complex. In reality, different
environmental problems are substantially different. If we
want to address one problem, like global warming, it is
better to focus on that one problem. Doing so will not help
fix other environmental problems, it might even exacerbate
them, as with using scarce minerals to build new energy
technologies, for example, but there is no reason to think
that we can solve all the problems with one solution.
Clear communication about climate change requires that
we state the main causes, main effects, and most effective
solutions. Lumping climate change in with other
environmental problems, to the point of making it appear
ontological in scope, takes us farther away from popular
comprehension and enacting a solution. In short, the
metaphors of “commons” and “tragedy,” as well are references
29
to “population,” have led theorists to overcomplicate the
problem of global warming.
Pollution is not a resource
Even if followers of Hardin were to have better
demographic information and better focus on the problem of
global warming, as many of them do, his metaphor would still
be a bad fit for climate change because global warming is a
pollution problem, not a resource problem. In turn, the
commons metaphor leads theorists to unwittingly assume that
the “resource” in question—often taken to be the ability of
the atmosphere to “absorb” CO2—is fixed. Aside from being
scientifically sloppy, it locks us into thinking of fossil
fuels as a resource instead of focusing on the development
of an entirely different type of energy.
Nevertheless, Hardin argues that the metaphor of the
commons works for pollution:
In a reverse way, the tragedy of the commons
reappears in problems of pollution. Here it is not
a question of taking something out of the commons,
30
but of putting something in—sewage or chemical,
radioactive, and heat wastes into water; noxious
and dangerous fumes into the air; and distracting
and unpleasant advertising signs into the line of
sight. The calculations of utility are much the
same as before. The rational man finds that his
share of the cost of the wastes he discharges into
the commons is less then the cost of purifying his
wastes before releasing them. Since this is true
for everyone, we are locked into a system of
“fouling our own nest,” so long as we behave only
as independent, rational, free-enterprisers.34
In this passage we can see the transitive fallacy most
clearly: these different environmental problems share the
quality of creating consequences that are not felt chiefly
by the agent. Additionally, being of negligible harm when
done on a small scale, their influence is felt only when
multiplied. Hardin goes on to acknowledge that large,
fugitive resources, like the air, cannot be privatized, and
34 P. 1245.
31
so solutions to these problems involve deterrent taxation or
regulation.
Strictly speaking, pollution problems do not bear the
trait of subtractability or rivalness that Ostrom outlines
as characterizing common pool resources.35 One polluter of a
river, for example, does not take away from the ability of
others to pollute that same river. She takes away from the
ability of others to drink from that river, but not to
pollute it. With pollution problems, the externalization of
the cost is more complete. Coca Cola, for example, cares
about declining well levels in India because overuse of well
water threatens their own water supply and profitability. If
a polluting factory, on the other hand, does not need to use
the clean river water, the polluting action will never put
itself out of business. Instead, the negative consequences
associated with pollution are qualitatively distinct from
the polluting action; hence they are easier to ignore.
Ironically, depicting either fossil fuels or the
atmosphere as a resource might be making the opposition’s 35 Ostrom, Gardner, Walker, 1994.
32
case for them since the current defense of the fossil fuel
industry is not to deny the reality of global warming but to
argue that we cannot live without burning fossil fuels and
therefore that the benefits outweigh the harms. (Of course,
all the while they lobby in opposition to cleaner energy
sources.) Depicting pollution as a resource locks us into
thinking that difficult limitations are our only hope; in
reality, the view itself that fossil fuel pollution is a resource is
the problem.
References to the atmosphere or Ocean as a “resource”
for pollution are ubiquitous. Nevertheless, it perhaps goes
without saying that portraying global warming or Ocean
acidification as “a resource” is perverse. Neither the
atmosphere nor the Ocean should be described as a “sink” for
carbon dioxide. The atmosphere does not “absorb” carbon
dioxide; it is made up of carbon dioxide, among other
greenhouse gases, and there is not a point at which it will
be “full.” Carbon dioxide is a heat-trapping gas at any
level of concentration. Nor does carbon dioxide fly off into
space. It can be removed from the atmosphere by being
33
converted into oxygen through photosynthesis and it can be
absorbed into the Ocean. The Ocean absorbs carbon dioxide,
but the fact that it does should not be seen as a
“resource.” 30 – 40% of all carbon dioxide emissions are
absorbed by the Ocean, raising its pH.36 Ocean acidification
threatens many marine ecosystems and it is largely
irreversible.37
Examples of portraying the atmosphere and the Ocean as
a resource for pollution correlate with an economic approach
to environmental problems. Scorse, for example, in his
introduction to environmental economics, outlines the basic
steps of first determining “the root cause of environmental
problems” (he outlines the tragedy of the commons) and then
“determining the ‘optimum’ amount of pollution.”38 This
leads him into an “Environment vs. Economy” dichotomy, with
little discussion of developing new energy technologies.
36 Caldeira, K.; Wickett, M.E., “Anthropogenic Carbon and Ocean pH,” Nature 425, 2003. 37 The Interacademy Panel, “IAP Statement on Ocean Acidification,” 2009. 38 Scorse, Jason, What Environmentalists Need to Know about Economics,Palgrave Macmillan, 2010.
34
After trying to assign a monetary value to non-monetary
things, economists then ask whether or not limiting our
“use” of this “resource” is worth the harm it will prevent,
trying to measure the extent of future damage with an
appropriate “discount rate.”39
References to the atmosphere as a “common-pool
resource” often accompany cap and trade literature, and, as
we can see, the metaphor of a common resource suggests the
solution of limitations that require international
cooperation. Farrel and Morgan use the common resource
metaphor, all the while acknowledging that cap and trade
programs are “exceedingly difficult; [they require] solving
the institutional, resource allocation, and coordination
problems… [and] it is quite rare for states to have similar
39 Economists tend to believe that we do (and hence should) value future harms less than we value present harms. This presumption begs the question in favor of calculations in the mindset of the present and overlooks the fact that we also tend to undervalue money that we have spent in the past. It additionally overlooks the fact that most of what we do as humans can be described as planning and preparing for the future.
35
enough interests…”40 From a common resource model cap and
trade makes sense because one starts from the assumption
that those polluting are using a resource that at least
partially belongs to them that they therefore deserve to
use. Historically, one flaw with cap and trade policies is
that the caps are set too high, perhaps because they paint
pollution—doubly—as a resource: first as only deserving
limitation, not complete banning, and second as a profit
source in trade if the limit is met.41 On the other hand, if
we accept that the negative consequences of coal burning,
for example, outweigh the benefits or that the coal burners
do not have a right to harm other people, any cap that
allows a certain amount of carbon dioxide pollution would be
too high.
40 Farrell, Alexander E. and M. Granger Morgan, “Multilateral Emissions Trading: Heterogeneity in Domestic and International Common-Pool Resource Management” in Dolsakand Ostrom (ed), The Commons in the New Mellinium: Challenges and Adaptations, MIT Press, 2003, p. 204.41 The UNDP report suggests that cooperation between European emissions trading and the forestry management of tropical countries would be more effective. UNDP, 2007/2008 Human Development Report: Fighting Climate Change: Human Solidarity in a Divided World.
36
A parallel debate exists about the fairest allocation
of “the right to emit greenhouse gases.”42 Starting with the
assumption that fossil fuel use is a resource and/or that
the atmosphere is common property, those concerned with
international justice theorize about the way that this
resource is and should be distributed.43 This debate ignores
the fact that we have likely already emitted too much CO2
into the atmosphere.44 Additionally, it ignores the fact 42 Caney, Simon, “Climate change, energy rights, and equality” in The Ethics of Global Climate Change, Denis G. Arnold (ed.), Cambridge University Press, 2011, p. 86. Caney’s account does the best job of criticizing what Sen calls “resourcism,” i.e., fetishizing fossil fuels in an account of development. Sen, Amartya, “Equality of What,” The Tanner Lecture on Human Values, delivered at Stanford University, May 22 1979. 43 Moellendorf, Darrel, “Common atmospheric ownership and equal emissions entitlements” in The Ethics of Global Climate Change, Denis G. Arnold (ed.), Cambridge University Press, 2011. One is tempted to conclude that those theorists participating in this debate see the pollution itself as a resource since something, the atmosphere, for example, is not a resource unless you can use it—we do not discuss the most fair way to divvy up moon property after all. Since there is no discussion about the distribution of breathable air, I assume that it is the ability to pollute that they characterize as the resource. 44 Scientists have identified 350 ppm as a safe level of CO2in the atmosphere, and, at the time of my writing, we are onthe cusp of 400 ppm. Hansen, James, et. al. “Target atmospheric CO2: Where should humanity aim?” in Open Atmospheric Science Journal (2008), vol. 2, pp. 217-231.
37
that setting up a developing country with a fossil fuel
based infrastructure is not likely to be helpful in the long
run, but, again, this debate lacks any reference to
renewable energy sources.
Peter Singer, in his One World, follows this same
“resource” line of thinking. He refers to “the global
atmospheric sink” and the global waste-carrying capacity,
with some nations using more than their “fair share.” The
solution then is a fair “distribution of the atmosphere’s
capacity to absorb greenhouse gases without drastic climate
change”45 by means of a global cap and trade system. Even
worse, human rights theorists sometimes debate whether or
not the “right to emit” CO2 pollution can outweigh the right
to breathe clean air since, after all, they are both
characterized by our same relationship to the atmosphere—use
of the commons.46 Again, the debate about the extent to
45 Singer, Peter, One World, Yale University Press, 2002, p. 28, 31, and 49. 46 For example: Hayward, Tim, “Human Rights versus EmissionsRights: Climate Justice and the Equitable Distribution of Ecological Space” in Ethics & International Affairs, Vol. 21, Issue 4, pp. 431 – 450. Winter 2007.
38
which we deserve to pollute locks us into thinking that our
energy infrastructure is fixed.47
The resource overuse model locks us into thinking that
the only solution is to limit our use, but pollution
problems are better solved by developing new technologies.
Indeed, focusing on the development—indeed, complete
overhaul—of our energy infrastructure makes a number of
these debates obsolete.
Individual Responsibility and Corporate Recklessness
The tragedy of the commons metaphor implies that each
agent must limit the amount he or she uses of a particular
natural resource; no matter the resource, the relevant
agents are generally conceived to be individuals.
47 The idea of nature as a common resource also assumes thathumans will “use” nature. As with Hardin’s elliptical concern about population, his metaphor seems to suggest thatthe mere existence of humanity threatens harm to “nature.” Along with this understanding of “use”—a use that depletes—we have the assumed necessity of waste, with nature as a waste sink. A better model would be one of regenerative use,a cycle of use that eliminates the waste product.
39
Nevertheless, as Goodall points out, we should not falsely
conclude from the fact that sustainability is an ethical
problem that it is an individual problem.48 Indeed, most
individual activities will be unchanged by a switch to a
different energy source. Unfortunately, the misguided focus
on individual change has lost the climate movement valuable
time.
McKibben narrates the history of the U.S. climate
movement roughly in three phases.49 First, environmentalists
focused on individual choices, like biking instead of
driving, and energy efficiency, like switching out
traditional light bulbs for LEDs. Second, they began to
protest specific oil drilling sites or coal plants. Third,
they looked for ways to target the entire fossil fuel
industry, like divestment or a carbon tax. The shift towards
the last way of thinking represents progress to a more
efficient strategy. McKibben’s “Do the Math” message is that
it is the business model of the fossil fuel industry is to
48 Goodall, Chris, Sustainability, McGraw-Hill, 2012, p. 119.49 McKibben, Bill, “Fossil Fuel Resistance,” Rolling Stone, April 11, 2013.
40
burn fossil fuels and therefore warm the planet.
Furthermore, there are five times the amount of fossil fuels
in the ground that are safe to burn. Therefore, the fossil
fuel industry must be targeted.50
We hear a similar narrative from Marshall Saunders, the
founder of Citizens Climate Lobby. Shortly after going
through Al Gore’s climate speakers training and suggesting
that his audience members make personal changes at home, he
watched as Congress extended $18 billion in subsidies to
coal and oil companies.51 Hence his national organization
now trains others to lobby Congress for a carbon tax. New
research by Heede suggests this shift of blame is
appropriate, attributing two thirds of all anthropogenic
50 McKibben, Bill, “Global Warming’s Terrifying New Math,” Rolling Stone, July 19th, 2012. It is possible that McKibbenhimself lapses into a common resource metaphor here, implying that fossil fuels are a resource and that we simplymust determine the amount that we can use. Instead, it is better to imply that we must switch to alternative fuels now. The “trillionth tonne” idea is vulnerable to the same criticism. While the point is that time is running out, the underlying message is that we are using a valuable resource.51 Saunders, Marshall, “Founder’s Vision” on the CCL website.
41
warming to CO2 and methane emissions from a mere 90 fossil
fuel and cement companies.52
David Gershon epitomizes this first wave of climate
change activism. Understanding climate change in terms of
“resource conservation,”53 he encouraged people to focus on
changing their lives and go on a “low carbon diet”—the
metaphor with dietary choices perhaps suggests a different,
but no less deleterious, parallel with personal decision
making.54 The diet metaphor, as with cap and trade policies,
suggests that the solution is to quantitatively limit, not
to achieve complete qualitative infrastructural
transformation of the energy system. Although he writes “we
need to dramatically change the way that we use the Earth’s
natural resources,” he focuses on quantitative, not
52 Heede, Richard, “Tracing Anthropogenic carbon dioxide andmethane emissions to fossil fuel and cement producers, 1854 – 2010,” Climatic Change, January 2014, Issue 1-2, pp. 229-241. 53 Gershon, David, Social Change 2.0, High Point Press, 2009, p.261. 54 Gershon, David, Low Carbon Diet: A 30 Day Program to Lose 5000 Pounds, Empowerment Institute, 2007.
42
qualitative change, characterizing fossil fuel use as a
resource.55
To be fair, Gershon, following Al Gore, does not see
personal lifestyle change as out of sync with calls for
political changes. He argues that people can make more
effective appeals if they are already doing everything they
can personally to solve the problem. Nevertheless, this
model of change begs the question of whether of not climate
change is in fact a personal, and not an infrastructural,
problem. An analogy might be building a bridge by first
trying yourself to build the bridge before you expect the
Department of Transportation or the Army Corps of Engineers
to be sent in. The suggestion is that if people do not first
reduce their energy use, they are acting hypocritically.
Realistically, reducing energy use might be necessary in the
long term, but pragmatically speaking, from an individual
standpoint, the focus on energy efficiency competes with the
focus on investing in renewable energy sources.
55 Ibid. P. 1.
43
Additionally, without infrastructural change, personal
lifestyle changes are doomed to fail.56
The real tragedy of global warming is that engaged,
environmentally minded citizens were made to feel that
climate change was their fault and that because they used
energy did not have the right to push for political change.
At worst, activists were silenced by guilt about the “carbon
footprint” of their activism. The fossil fuel industry could
not have asked for a better gift than their would-be
enemies’ attempt to avoid hypocrisy.
Removed Consequences
Lastly, Hardin’s metaphor implies that the negative
effects of overusing the commons will be felt by all, or
that it will at least eventually make the original use
56 It is remarkable that leaders of the personal change movement, like Gershon, do not see the failure to achieve real changes are detrimental to the model. He himself, flying from speaking engagement to speaking engagement, doesnot live a “low carbon lifestyle.” See also Miller, Peter, “It Starts at Home,” National Geographic, March 2009, for an example of a failed “low carbon” lifestyle attempt that alsodoes not prompt the realization that another method of change is necessary.
44
impossible. Greenhouse gas pollution does not work that way
and assuming that it does causes us to miss some of its
important political characteristics. Not only does global
warming make fossil fuel exploration easier, it is
characterized by the extreme inequality between those who
cause and suffer from its effects. As many theorists have
pointed out, the effects of global warming are largely
unfair—even in a way that exceeds the “free rider”
problem.57 Getting the fossil fuel industry to pay for the
damage it has caused and will cause is indeed the solution,
but the commons metaphor implies that all parties share the
harms equally and all bear the responsibility to pay.
The metaphor of the “commons” implies that we share
something in common with those who suffer the effects of
climate change, but, sadly, that idea might actually be a
utilitarian ruse. The Earth is made up of many different
climate systems, and the effects of global warming will
57 With a real bus, if no one bought a ticket, no one would be able to ride the bus; with climate change, on the other hand, the free rider gets to ride the bus while those do paymust walk.
45
differ by region and will not even all relate to “climate,”
unless you count being submerged under water as a new
“climate.” Americans might be more likely to enact CO2
limiting legislation if they believe that they share in the
risks of climate change, which they do, but North America
will not be the hardest hit in the short term. In reality,
partly because of their poverty and partly because of their
tropical location, the world’s poor will be
disproportionately harmed.58
Thinking of global warming in terms of a field of grass
or in terms of overpopulation (that eventually leads to mass
famines) implies that the Earth will eventually right itself
after humans have done themselves in. While the world might
eventually entirely run out of fossil fuels, climate change
will not eventually make it impossible to burn fossil fuels.
Indeed, oil, coal, natural gas and trees can continue to
burn and permafrost can continue to decay without humans. In
the Earth’s past there have been billions of years with
58 UNDP, 2007/2008 Human Development Report: Fighting Climate Change: Human Solidarity in a Divided World.
46
radically different climates that changed for random
reasons. There is no climate that is natural or necessary
for the Earth to have, and it is not inevitable that the
Earth sustain life. In fact, the climate of Venus is the
result of a “run away greenhouse effect.” The natural
resource metaphor implies some kind of natural regeneration,
and in the case of the climate, one does not necessarily
causes global warming; switch to a different energy source.
Climate change communication should be as basic and
logical as possible. If a metaphor must be made, it should
be to pollution, not resource use. It is important to
reiterate the basic scientific fact that CO2 and other
greenhouse gases, like methane, trap heat.59 The largest
source of C02 is burning fossil fuels (coal, oil, and 59 Unfortunately, the terms “global warming” and “climate change” refer to the effects, not the causes; accordingly, confusion about the causes is most often reported (either that they might be natural or somehow related to the hole inthe ozone layer). Few understand that CO2 is a heat-trappinggas. Aubrun, A. and Grady, J. The Missing Conceptual Link: Talkback Testing of Simplifying Models for Global Warming, Cultural Logic, 2001.
47
natural gas). The best way to stop that pollution is to
switch to other energy sources, like wind and solar.
Countries that lead the way in making this transition
(Samso, Denmark in the case of wind and Germany in the case
of solar) have used economic incentives (feed-in tariffs)
that guarantee a profit for investors. Economic
disincentives, like a tax on fossil fuels, have also proven
effective.
It may be further necessary to mention deforestation as
a key cause, discuss different greenhouse gases, or give a
more specific account of the effects, especially those felt
in and predicted for a specific location. When doing so it
is best to use the unit of measurement with which the
audience is most familiar—sea level rise of “7 meters” means
nothing to most Americans (which will follow from the
melting of the Greenland ice sheet at some point before the
world warms 5 more degrees F),60 but “21 feet” will make
60 P. 12 IPCC, “Summary for Policymakers,” Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability.
48
them fall out of their chairs. Keeping the narrative both
simple and scientific should be the main goal.
Conclusion: De-Philosophize
The tragedy of the commons metaphor gives
environmentally minded theorists what they have always
wanted: a way to talk about environmental problems in the a
priori mode. It offers a theory of both human and non-human
nature. That fact likely explains its continued popularity.
While I am in no way opposed to theory, we must keep in mind
that the first part of our job as educators and citizens is
to offer plain speak about climate change. I have here
demonstrated that certain intellectually attractive
metaphors end up merely getting in the way of that end.
Philosophers especially, who are trained to attend to
timeless truths, might grouse at having to brush up on
elementary science. Nevertheless, as global warming has been
called the greatest moral test of our time, I hope that we
philosophically minded old dogs can rise to the challenge of