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“New Learning” Barnard’s Inn Hall Holborn London EC1N 2HH Tel: +44 (0)20 7831-0575 Fax: +44 (0)20 7831-5208 Email : [email protected] www.gresham.ac. uk Gresham College 2008 Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli How To Get Ahead In Commerce The Sure-Fire Ways To Make Money
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Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

Jan 04, 2016

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Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli. How To Get Ahead In Commerce The Sure-Fire Ways To Make Money. Outline. Wise guys A rich taxonomy Fortune favours the lucky Getting rich through failure Front-running bubble style Money machines Owning the casino. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Page 1: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

“New Learning”

Barnard’s Inn HallHolbornLondon EC1N 2HH

Tel: +44 (0)20 7831-0575Fax: +44 (0)20 7831-5208Email : [email protected]

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of CommerceMichael Mainelli

How To Get Ahead In CommerceThe Sure-Fire Ways To Make Money

Page 2: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Outline

“Get a detailed grip on the big picture.”Chao Kli Ning

Wise guys

A rich taxonomy

Fortune favours the lucky

Getting rich through failure

Front-running bubble style

Money machines

Owning the casino

Page 3: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

How To Get Ahead In Commerce

Page 4: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Sincerity Personified

Page 5: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Sincerity Certified

Page 6: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Ponzi Numbers Game

1

10

100

1,000

10,000

1,000,000

10,000,000

100,000,000

1,000,000,000

10,000,000,000

Page 7: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Do You Sincerely Want To Be Rich?

Page 8: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Get Rich Taxonomy

Go!

Criminal

• frauds• swindles• Ponzi schemes• pyramid schemes• forgery & counterfeiting• tax evasion• embezzlement• robbery & theft• corruption• price-fixing

Page 9: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

What You Know or Who You Know?

Go!

Criminal

Hard Work Smart Work

Page 10: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Successful Habits

£780,043£155,832£49,960£24,769Mean value for group

£351,137£99,727£35,345£5,093Entry level for group

42,000421,0004.21 Million

29.5 Million

Number

Top 0.1 % (or the

"very,very rich)

Top 1 % to 0.1%

(adults)

Top 10% to 1%

(adults)

All Taxpayers

 

[Source: “Racing Away? Income Inequality And The Evolution Of High Incomes”, Institute for Fiscal Studies, IFS Briefing Note Number 76 (January 2008)

Page 11: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Sunday Times 2007 UK Rich List

1 Lakshmi Mittal and family £19,250m - Steel 2 Roman Abramovich £10,800m - Oil and industry 3 The Duke of Westminster £7,000m - Property 4 Sri and Gopi Hinduja £6,200m - Industry and finance 5 David Khalili £5,800m - Art and property 6 Hans Rausing and family £5,400m - Packaging 7 Sir Philip and Lady Green £4,900m - Retailing 8 John Fredriksen £3,500m - Shipping 9 David and Simon Reuben £3,490m - Metals and property 10 Jim Ratcliffe £3,300m - Chemicals 11 Sir Richard Branson £3,100m - Transport and mobile phones 12= Charlene & Michel de Carvalho £3,050m – Inheritance12= Sean Quinn and family £3,050m - Quarrying, property and insurance 14 Simon Halabi £3,000m - Property, health clubs 15 Kirsten and Jorn Rausing £2,825m - Inheritance and investments 16 Joe Lewis £2,800m - Foreign exchange, investments 17 Earl Cadogan and family £2,610m - Property 18 Nadhmi Auchi £2,575m - Finance, property and hotels 19 Vladimir Kim £2,261m - Mining 20 Bernie and Slavica Ecclestone £2,250m - Motor racing

Page 12: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Fortune Favours The Lucky

Go!

Criminal Luck

• inheritance• sex• lotteries• gambling

Hard Work Smart Work

Page 13: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Getting Rich Through Failure

Go!

Criminal Luck

Hard Work Smart Work

Scarcity & Competition

Information Asymmetries

Externalities Agency Problems

Page 14: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Barking Up The Right Tree

“It’s a dogwood tree. I can tell from the bark.”

Page 15: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Getting Rich Through Bubbles

Go!

Criminal Luck

Hard Work Smart Work

Scarcity & Competition

Information Asymmetries

Externalities Agency Problems

Front-Running

Page 16: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Front-Running Bubble Style

[William Hogarth, The South Sea Scheme, 1721]

Page 17: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Getting Rich Through Magic

Go!

Criminal Luck

Hard Work Smart Work

Scarcity & Competition

Information Asymmetries

Externalities Agency Problems

Front-Running

Money Machines

Page 18: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Black Box Machines

www.saltofthevalley.comMark Bump

Page 19: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Money Machines

Page 20: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Get Rich Taxonomy

Go!

Criminal Luck

Hard Work Smart Work

Scarcity & Competition

Information Asymmetries

Externalities Agency Problems

Front-Running

Money Machines

Page 21: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Greed, Fear, and a Little Gas

[Source: http://www.fortunewatch.com/handling-greed-and-fear-in-investing/]

Page 22: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

Discussion

1. When should we let third parties invest our money, ignoring tax advantages?

2. Do regulatory and professional safety costs genuinely offset caveat emptor, or just take our money?

Page 23: Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli

www.gresham.ac.uk

© Gresham College2008

How To Get Ahead In Commerce:The Sure-Fire Ways To Make Money

Thank you!

“Get a big picture grip on the details.”Chao Kli Ning