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UK residential property Nov 2009
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Page 1: MENA PPT November 2009

UK residential propertyNov 2009

Page 2: MENA PPT November 2009

Contents

Long term trends

The recession

Recovery

Our approach

Page 3: MENA PPT November 2009

The ethical, green, UK student fund70%+ of the world’s bagpipes 70%+ of the world’s oil

Edinburgh

London

Page 4: MENA PPT November 2009

The worlds largest festival

1,000 Castles

Europe’s 3rd largest financial centre

A bit about Scotland…

500 golf courses700 islands

Page 5: MENA PPT November 2009

UK property

BristolGlasgow Liverpool

Newcastle

Manchester DundeeEdinburgh

Nottingham

Page 6: MENA PPT November 2009

Long term trends

Page 7: MENA PPT November 2009

Long term trends – ownership.

Residential:• The rental market remains small• The Gov. aims to encourage its growth

Page 8: MENA PPT November 2009

Long term trends – size and ownership.

Residential

a very large asset class, with low UK Institutional participation

Page 9: MENA PPT November 2009

Above: Residential consistently outperforms other asset classes

Below: Residential has been less volatile in a downturn

Long term trends – residential performance

UK asset performance to December 2008

Page 10: MENA PPT November 2009

Long term trends – price growth.

Residential: London and UK move in the same way

Source: Halifax and Government

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

UK Property

London Property

Page 11: MENA PPT November 2009

Long term trends – price growth.

Residential: Long term stable growth and low volatility

Source: Halifax and Government

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

FTSE All ShareUK PropertyLondon Property

Page 12: MENA PPT November 2009

Recession

Page 13: MENA PPT November 2009

Recession – overall impact (peak to trough)

-40% Shares

CommercialProperty

All ResidentialProperty

Gm Residential

-15%

-45%

-11%

Page 14: MENA PPT November 2009

Recession – city by city performance

Gm has outperformed the market by 30%

Land Registry Gm Funds Diff. 

Edinburgh -10% -6% + 4%

Glasgow -13% -7% + 6%

Stirling -11% -7% + 4%

Dundee -11% -4% + 7%

 

Newcastle -13% -8% + 5%

Nottingham -14% -15% -1%

Birmingham -14% -12% + 2%

Bristol -19% -13% + 6%

Liverpool -13% -12% + 1%

Salford -15% -14% + 1%

Manchester -15% -18% -3%

 

Grand total -15% -11%

Page 15: MENA PPT November 2009

Recession – recent international price trends

Page 16: MENA PPT November 2009

Recession – recent price trends

Prices have risen for 7 consecutive months

Page 17: MENA PPT November 2009

Recession – a positive impact on the student rental market

+10%

• Large / growing student market• 175,000 students turned away!• Shortage of student housing

Page 18: MENA PPT November 2009

Recovery – 4 stages

‘House prices have risen for the past 7 months’ – Nationwide

Page 19: MENA PPT November 2009

Headlines

Page 20: MENA PPT November 2009

Our approach

Page 21: MENA PPT November 2009

What we do

Property funds

We outperform the market by 30%

Private Clients

‘One stop solution’

• Source

• Renovate

• Furnish

• Let / manage

Page 22: MENA PPT November 2009

About Grant Management

Worldwide client base

12 UK cities £500m / 1,850 prop. under man.

Lloyds Banking Group own 20%

ARLA members / code of practice

Page 23: MENA PPT November 2009

Traditional over new build?

Shortage of supply Better locations Higher yields

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

London New build Gm

2%

Gross Yields

7%

4%

Page 24: MENA PPT November 2009

How we add value

Buying well Price, location Investment model

Renovations On time – 8 weeks On budget - fixed price

Management Safety/ compliance Occupancy – 95%

Page 25: MENA PPT November 2009

Before After Diff.

Value £215k £250k + £35K

Rent pcm £788 £1,400 + £612

Yield 4.4% 7.6% + 72%

Case Study – adding value

2 (MD) Summerhall Square, Newington,

Edinburgh, EH9 1QD

Bought: Mar 2009

Renovation Costs: £32,475

Page 26: MENA PPT November 2009

Our homes

Page 27: MENA PPT November 2009

The student market

Large university cities Secure income (Joint leases/guarantors) Universities “recession proof”

Around 75% of our properties are let to students

Page 28: MENA PPT November 2009

• Residential is a good asset class

• Gm offers a great solution for private clients and funds

• Student Market is large and growing

• Great time to buy

Summary

Page 29: MENA PPT November 2009

1. To help new clients to enter the market

2. To build partnerships

3. To partner fund managers and sovereign wealth funds

Castles BanksFunds

Our aims

Page 30: MENA PPT November 2009

Long term trends

The recession

Recovery

Our approach

Page 31: MENA PPT November 2009

10 second tour of scotland

Golf

Monsters

Castles