Platform for Smart, Inclusive & Sustainable City Region March 22, 2016 WORLD WATER DAY 2016 Provincial Capitol, Cebu
Platform for Smart, Inclusive & Sustainable
City Region
March 22, 2016
WORLD WATER DAY 2016 Provincial Capitol, Cebu
Mega Cebu Vision & Roadmap for
Sustainable Urban Development 2050
Evelyn Nacario Castro RAFI – Eduardo Aboitiz Development Studies Center /
MCDCB Research, Program, and Organizational Development
CEBU, PHILIPPINES Founded in August 6, 1569 Island in Central Visayas 9 Cities & 45 Municipalities Capital: City of Cebu 365 miles south of Manila Population: 4.13 Million (2010)
QUALITY OF LIFE FOR ALL
4
CEBU We’re (very) far from number 1
CEBU
475/500
MANILA
266/500
Our standing in the world: Bottom 25
Source: Global Urban Competitiveness Report 2009-2010. Six indices measured: scale of green economic GDP;
green economic GDP per capita; green economic GDP per square kilometer; economic growth rate; number of
internationally recognized patent applications; multinational corporation index from the perspective of output.
PHILIPPINES: 9th in 9 in FDIs
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat,
World Population Prospects: The 2007 Revision and World Urbanization available from http://esa.un.org/unup,
7
Philippines Percentage (%) urban/rural, 1950-2050. P
erc
en
tag
e
1990 urban growth reached 48.8%
By the middle of this century most regions of the developing world will be predominantly urban.
Experts predict - 70% of the world’s population set to live in crowded cities.
CEBU’s growing population, continuing in-migration of people to the city-region, and
economic growth further raise the demand for resources and services. In terms of water, this has increased the demand by at least 5.7% a year, for the past 10 years.
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1995 2000 2007 2010 2030 2050
OutsideMETROCEBU(in million)
METRO1CEBU(in million)
TOTALCEBU(in million)
Increasing Population Increasing
Urbanization
2005 MCWD Water Demand Study
2007: 265,000 cubic meters
2012: 306,000 cubic meters
2017: 350,000 cubic meters
2028: 490,000 cubic meters
Demographics of the Study Area
The Big 4
has 69% of
population
on 38% of
Area
2.3 million persons in 2010, growing at 3.3% p.a. (vs 1.4% for Phils)
11
LGUs
Land Area
(km2)
Population Population Growth Rate (%/year)
2000 2007 2010 ’00-‘07 ’07-‘10
Cit
ies
Cebu 315 718,821 798,809 866,171 1.5 2.7
Lapu-Lapu 58 217,019 292,530 350,467 4.4 6.2
Mandaue 25 259,728 318,575 331,320 3.0 1.3
Talisay 40 148,110 179,359 200,772 2.8 3.8
Danao 107 98,781 109,354 119,252 1.5 2.9
Carcar 117 89,199 100,632 107,323 1.7 2.2
Naga 102 80,189 96,163 101,571 2.5 2.2
Mu
nic
ipal
itie
s
Compostela 54 31,446 39,167 42,574 3.2 2.8
Consolacion 147 62,296 87,544 106,649 5.0 6.8
Cordova 17 34,032 45,066 50,353 4.1 3.8
Liloan 46 64,970 92,181 100,500 5.1 2.9
Minglanilla 66 77,268 101,585 113,178 4.0 3.7
San Fernando 69 48,235 54,932 60,970 1.9 3.5
Metro Cebu 1,163 1,930,096 2,314,897 2,551,100 2.6 3.3
Philippines 343,448 76,506,928 88,566,732 92,337,852 2.1 1.4
Source: PS
METRO CEBU DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE
SPRAWL: Is this the
kind of growth we want?
Escondrillas Plan 1873
OF 136 CITIES: MOST WATER STRESSED
ONLY 2% FOREST COVER
INCREASING VOLUME OF WASTE and FLOODWATER
CEBU: Its Present Challenges
INCREASING TRAFFIC
Gap between supply and demand
MCWD only meets 43% of demand
• To ensure sustainability, there has to be a balance between recharge (of the resource) and extraction.
• If the recharge of the aquifer (groundwater source) is less than what is extracted, the result is MINING.
• MCWD only meets 43% of the demand
of 8 (out of 13) LGUs in Metro Cebu. The rest of the demand is answered by private wells and other commercial extractors.
A JICA study says that in 2025 if we will not conserve water, we would have MAJOR problems.
Water demand to double in 2030 • By year 2030, Cebu’s current demand of 165
million cubic meters a year is expected to double (330M a year).
• Cebu needs a coherent water resources management strategy, including a robust institutional platform to implement reforms.
• The capital cost of infrastructure improvements was estimated at P17.6 billion. The biggest spending was needed in the service area of the Metro Cebu Water District (MCWD) or P15.3 billion.
• Good governance is crucial in seeing the plan through with a tripartite governance structure composed of leaders from government, private sector/business and civil society.
Clear and Present Danger: Effects of Ground Water Over-Extraction
1986 USC WRC STUDY:
19,000 PRIVATE WELLS
IN METRO CEBU
2009 MCWD SURVEY:
15,000 PRIVATE WELLS
in MACTAN ISLAND ALONE
1995 AYALA LAND STUDY:
3.6 -7.4 X EXCEEDED SUSTAINABLE CAPACITY OF AQUIFERS
1st Green Line: 250 ppm 2nd Green Line: 50 ppm Blue: 50 – 250 ppm Green: 250 – 500 ppm Yellow: 500 – 10,000 ppm Red: Saltwater
INCREASING SALTWATER INTRUSION
CASE4 LAYER 10 YEAR 2010
CASE4 LAYER 10 YEAR 2015
CASE4 LAYER 10 YEAR 2020
CASE4 LAYER 10 YEAR 2025
CASE4 LAYER 10 YEAR 2030
20
11
20
35
Possible Future Scenario: Effects of Continuing and Unregulated
Over Extraction of Ground Water
If GROUNDWATER EXTRACTION continues
unregulated, about 25% of MCWD well fields in Talamban, Cebu City and Mandaue City will yield
saline water in 2025.
Flooding in Metro Cebu
OF 136 CITIES:
MOST WATER
STRESSED
ONLY 2% FOREST
COVER LEFT
QUADRUPLED WATER DEMAND in < 50 YEARS
CEBU: MOST WATER STRESSED
80% OF WATER SUPPLY
FROM GROUND WATER
WATER
Increasing Demand
Limited Supply
Compromised Water Quality
Weak Governance & Management
Framework
CEBU
Weak enforcement of environmental laws
There is a need to strengthen the IMPLEMENTATION & ENFORCEMENT
of these laws.
SMART MEGA-CITIES
and CITY REGIONS
Attract and retain investments and talent Handle more people and meet associated demands Recognize that the physical form and
structure are vital elements for its competitiveness, social cohesion, and environmental sustainability
CITY-REGION: Platform for Cooperation
CITIES turning into CITY-REGIONS will have more chances to
prosper at an accelerated pace than cities that are isolated in
their own regional spaces.
CITY-REGIONAL STRUCTURE that most closely approximate
urban economic areas can promote growth and performance
improvements. Institute for Public Policy Research, Centre for Cities
Yokohama, Japan
Dusseldorf, Germany
Iloilo River Esplanade
CITY REGIONS: HOW THINGS WORK ELSEWHERE
“Success is no accident. It is a planned journey to a destination of choice.” R.E. Aboitiz
Singapore “Concept Plan”
After 1945
Yokohama General Plan
2012 Minato-Mirai
1965
2012
Metro Cebu
2013
? Mega Cebu Vision 2050
CITY REGIONS: HOW THINGS WORK ELSEWHERE
“What is important is to have a clear vision of what you want to achieve and be
focused on continuously adapting and improving the solutions.” J. Lerner
Walkable | Bikeable | Transit-Ready | Proximate As dense as the market will bear Balance of Jobs | Housing | Retail | School | Programmed Open Space Housing for a diversity of Age | Income | Transect preference Public spaces that are Safe | Engaging | Accessible | Comfortable Buildings that are Resource Efficient | Healthy | Durable | Resilient
Smart Growth communities are: 1.Connected 2.Compact 3.Complete 4.Complex 5.Convivial 6.Conserving
Is Mega Cebu Up to the 6Cs Challenge?
Source: S. Antonio, DPZ
How can we make Cebu: Smart
Inclusive Sustainable & Resilient
31
MCDCB Metro Cebu Development and Coordinating Board
What gets planned, gets done. Peter Drucker
Genesis
April 2011
Milestones May 2011 – June 2015
On-Going July 2015 - present
Way Forward Present – Dec. 2016
Where we
began
What has
been done
What is
going on
What we
plan to do
Immediate Organize & strengthen 1
2
3
Intermediate & Continuing Build on the foundation
Mid-to-Long Term Engage stakeholders and partners towards a common agenda & vision
13 cities and municipalities in 1 province
covering Metro Cebu as subscribed to by the
Metro Cebu Development and Coordinating Board
(MCDCB)
20% of Total Area 67 % of
Population
DREAM DECIDE IMPLEMENT
MEGA CEBU 101: BASICS OF ENGAGEMENT
Communicate ● Educate ● Engage
City-Region Collaboration
Research & Planning
Development Framework
Key Concepts & Strategies
DENR – Environment al
Management Bureau
(EMB) Department of Environment
& Natural Resources
MEGA CEBU
Our shared IDENTITY Our common GROUND Our collective FUTURE
Department of
Public Works & Highways
GOVERNOR Chairperson
PRIVATE SECTOR / CIVIL SOCIETY
Co-Chairperson
MAYOR Co-Chairperson
MCDCB
RPOD - PMO
Chair, Committee on Integrated Development & Planning
Chair, Committee on
Environment & Public Safety
RDC 7
NEDA 7
Chair, Committee on Human
Resources, Assets & Partnerships
Chair, Committee on ICT
& Knowledge Management
NEDA Secretariat
MCDCB RPOD EXECOM
RDC Res. 10 (S.2011)
RDC Res. 26 (S 2012)
MCDCB Organizational
Structure
FABCOM 1
Integrated Development &
Planning
Integrated Development & Spatial Planning: • Urban & Land Use Planning • Urban Renewal, Shelter & Informal Settlements • Climate Change Adaptation & Disaster Risk Reduction
Infrastructure & Utilities: • Road Improvement & Infrastructure Development • Flood Control, Drainage & Sewerage • Pollution Control & Solid Waste Disposal & Management
Transport & Traffic Management
Institutional Development
Environment & Public Safety
Environment & Health: • Coastal Resources, Water, & Watershed Management • Health, Sanitation & Environmental Management
Public Safety & Security
FABCOM 2
HR, Assets & Partnerships
Human Resources & Asset Development
Resource Mobilization & Partnership Development
FABCOM 3
ICT & Knowledge
Management
Information & Communications Technology & Knowledge Management
FABCOM 4
MCDCB RPOD Focus Area Based Committees & Sub-Committees
Mega Cebu City Region
Vision-Brand Shared Identity
Planning Evidence &
Expertise
• Board, Leadership, Membership
• RPOD / RPOD PMO
• FABComs / SubComs / TWG
• Public (special interest, select stakeholder groups, general)
• Multi-level / Multi-sectoral / Multi-modal Consultations
• Data / Info Collection, Formulation
• Synthesis, Integration, Cascade, Alignment
• Expertise
• Data / Info Gathering & Analysis
• Physical Planning
• Spatial Planning
• Sector Development Planning
• Expertise
MEGA CEBU 101: PERSPECTIVES & COMPONENTS
Change of Mindset
10 AREAS OF COOPERATION
1) Integrated development, urban and land use planning and zoning
2) Transport and traffic management
3) Pollution control and solid waste disposal & management
4) Flood control, drainage and sewerage system
5) Public safety and security
6) Road improvement and infrastructure development
7) Urban renewal and shelter
8) Coastal resources and watershed management
9) Climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction
10) Health & sanitation and environmental management
SIX ATTRIBUTES
Cultural & Historic
Innovative, Creative & Competitive
Inclusive, Equitable & Livable
Interconnected & Compact
Green
Integrated, Coordinated & Participative
MEGA CEBU
MEGA CEBU
COMPETITIVENESS
LIVABILITY
MOBILITY
METROPOLITAN MANAGEMENT
CEBU
45
Roadmap Study for Sustainable Urban Development of Metro Cebu
4 STRATEGIES
7 SUB-ROADMAPS
1 Metropolitan
Competitiveness
Enhancement
Competitiveness
2 Urban Structure and
Land Use
Mobility 3 Urban Transport and
Highway Network
4 Water Supply and
Disposal
Management
Livability
5 Solid Waste
Management
Metropolitan
Management
6 Smart SRP
Development
7 Metropolitan
Administration
An Overall
Roadmap
integrating 7
sub-roadmaps
Target Features for the Roadmap
47
Present Future (2030, 2050) Roadmap
Population 2.55 million in 2010 4.99 million in 2050 Approx. 8,000 ha land will be converted for new housing areas
Employment 1.1 million in 2010 2.1 million in 2050
1.0 million new job creation with 4,000 ha land for new commercial, business and industrial activities
Trunk Road 2-4 lanes without alternative roads
Over 4-lane roads with alternative routes
Urban fringe highway network (95 km in total) and others
Road Congestion
Serious in peak hours Shall be mitigated Integrated road traffic management and bottleneck clearance
People Movement
Dominated by jeepneys (35%) and motorcycles (22%)
More public transport users of rail systems 20%)
LRT/MRT network (116 km and 63 stations in total)
Water Supply 227,000m3 in 2013 797,000 m3 in 2050 Development of 3 dams with control of underground water exploitation
Septage/ Sewerage
Almost no service
Septage Services by 2030, then sewerage services by 2050
7 septage plants and 10 sewerage plants
Flood Control Many prone areas No floods Formulation of a Comprehensive River Management Program
Smart Energy Very few application Smart city Introduction of smart energy technologies to SRP
CENTRAL URBAN CORE
NORTH GROWTH AREA
SOUTH GROWTH AREA
SMART CITIES & TOWNS
Economic Development
Ecological Security
Equitable Growth
Metro Cebu Roadmap Projects
Anchor Programs: key programs to be implemented by MCDCB,
LGUs, and respective National Government Agencies during the
roadmap period until 2050.
Flagship Projects: projects recommended for immediate action
for further substantiation in 2015~2017, and targeted for completion by
2020.
Flagship Projects
Anchor Programs
Overall Roadmap Projects
MCDCB
Communicates Educates Engages
Culture of City-Region
Collaboration
Discipline of Research &
Planning
Framework of Smart, Inclusive & Sustainable Development
MEGA CEBU 101: BASICS OF ENGAGEMENT
MEGA CEBU 101: BASICS OF ENGAGEMENT
Genesis
April 2011
Milestones May 2011 – June 2015
On-Going July 2015 - present
Way Forward Present – Dec. 2016
Where we
began
What has
been done
What is
going on
What we
plan to do
Immediate Organize & strengthen 1
2
3
Intermediate & Continuing Build on the foundation
Mid-to-Long Term Engage stakeholders and partners towards a common agenda & vision
Our Future: Mega Cebu
A vibrant, equitable, sustainable and competitive environment that embraces
Cebu’s creativity and its cultural, historical and natural resources,
with strong citizen participation and responsive governance.
Our Future: Mega Cebu
Competitiveness
Livability Mobility
Metro Management
Our Present Cebu
HOW STAKEHOLDERS CAN BE INVOLVED:
ADOPT the Mega Cebu 2050
VISION
ALIGN with the
3 + 1 Development
STRATEGY
SUPPORT Roadmap
Development and
PROGRAMS
SUPPORT
Institutionalization
Immediate Organize & strengthen 1
2
3
Intermediate & Continuing Build on the foundation
Mid-to-Long Term Engage stakeholders and partners towards a common agenda & vision
Success is no accident. It is a planned journey to a destination
of choice.
Roberto E. Aboitiz