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Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes Lisa Neilson, Ph.D. Ohio Education Research Center Center for Human Resource Research, OSU
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Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

Jul 21, 2015

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Page 1: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

Lisa Neilson, Ph.D.

Ohio Education Research Center

Center for Human Resource Research, OSU

Page 2: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

Agenda

Introduction

Ohio Longitudinal Data Archive

County School District Analysis

Postsecondary Outcomes

City School District Analysis

Postsecondary Outcomes

Discussion and Questions

Page 3: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

Two Examples

County School District

5 cohorts of graduates

City School District

3 cohorts of City School District 9th grade students

Graduates

Dropouts

Page 4: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

Ohio Longitudinal Data Archive

Ohio Longitudinal Data Archive

(OLDA)

Ohio Education Research Center(OERC)

Center for Human

Resource Research(CHRR)

Researchers

State Agents

Public Stakeholders

4

Page 5: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

OLDA

Ohio Department of Job & Family

Services

Individual Wages & Employers

Employer Information

Unemployment Insurance Benefits

Workforce Investment Act

Ohio Board of Regents

Higher Education

Information

Ohio Technical Centers

Adult Basic & Literacy

Education

Ohio Department of Education

Education Management Information

System

Page 6: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

Administrative Data

Collected for program administration

Examples

Admission records

Intake forms

Graduation dates

Page 7: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

Ohio Longitudinal Data Archive

Benefits

Many observations

No non-response bias

Ability to measure the same person over time

Limitations

Ohio only (no out-of-state)

Public institutions and programs only (not private)

No information on motives/attitudes

Page 8: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

OLDA

Ohio Department of Job & Family

Services

Individual Wages & Employers

Employer Information

Unemployment Insurance Benefits

Workforce Investment Act

Ohio Board of Regents

Higher Education

Information

Ohio Technical Centers

Adult Basic & Literacy

Education

Ohio Department of Education

Education Management Information

System

Page 9: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

Key Indicators

Employment

Total annual earnings from Ohio employers (adjusted, $2010)

Percent employed in Ohio

Postsecondary education and training

Percent enrolled in public higher ed in Ohio

Percent using WIA services in Ohio

Page 10: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

County School District Analysis

County School District

Graduates

(N=484)

Higher Ed

Employed

Higher Ed

No Higher Ed

Page 11: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

County School District ResultsGraduation Year

Year-1 Year-2 Year-3 Year-4 Year-5

Employed 2006/2007 65% 60% 57% 55% 59%

2007/2008 57% 54% 55% 65%

2008/2009 67% 69% 72%

2009/2010 53% 62%

2010/2011 63%

Higher Ed 2006/2007 33% 31% 30% 29% No data

2007/2008 23% 24% 19% No data

2008/2009 36% 35% No data

2009/2010 39% No data

2010/2011 No data

Page 12: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

County School District Results

Most students are employed while in college

Graduation Year Year-1

2006/2007 88%

2007/2008 83%

2008/2009 81%

2009/2010 67%

Page 13: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

County School District ResultsGraduation Year Year-1 Year-2 Year-3 Year-4

Employed & Not In College: Annual Wages ($2010)

2006/2007 $7,200 $8,500 $10,500 $15,400

2007/2008 $3,200 $4,600 $8,500

2008/2009 $4,600 $5,700

2009/2010 $5,600

Employed College Students: Annual Wages ($2010)

2006/2007 $7,200 $7,000 $9,600 $9,700

2007/2008 $5,200 $7,900 $8,200

2008/2009 $4,900 $6,500

2009/2010 $4,400

Page 14: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

City School District Analysis

City School District

(N=9,321)

4-yr Graduates

Higher Ed

Employed

Higher Ed

No Higher Ed

WIA5-yr+

Graduates

Dropouts

ABLE

Employed

WIA

Page 15: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

City School District ResultsEver Enrolled 9th Grade Year 4-Yr Graduates Dropouts

Higher Ed 2005/2006 58% n/a

2006/2007 56% n/a

2007/2008 51% n/a

WIA 2005/2006 10% 11%

2006/2007 11% 13%

2007/2008 9% 13%

ABLE 2005/2006 n/a 11%

2006/2007 n/a 11%

2007/2008 n/a 7%

Page 16: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

City School District Results

PercentEmployed

9th Grade Year

Year-1 Year-2 Year-3

4-Yr Graduates 2005/2006 70% 76% 77%

2006/2007 74% 80% 84%

2007/2008 77% 82% No data

Dropouts 2005/2006 46% 55% 51%

2006/2007 47% 54% 45%

2007/2008 40% 54% 35%

Page 17: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

City School District Results

Annual Wages ($2010)

9th Grade Year Year-1 Year-2 Year-3

4-Yr Graduates 2005/2006 $4,400 $7,000 $9,500

2006/2007 $4,700 $7,200 $9,000

2007/2008 $4,600 $7,200 No data

Dropouts 2005/2006 $3,300 $4,200 $4,200

2006/2007 $2,000 $3,000 $3,400

2007/2008 $1,800 $2,100 $2,100

Page 18: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

City School District Results

Annual Wages ($2010)

9th Grade Year Year-1 Year-2 Year-3

Grads, College 2005/2006 $3,900 $6,500 $9,500

2006/2007 $4,500 $6,900 $8,700

2007/2008 $3,900 $6,800 No data

Grads, No College 2005/2006 $5,600 $8,100 $9,600

2006/2007 $5,200 $7,700 $9,700

2007/2008 $5,700 $7,900 No data

Page 19: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

Measuring Postsecondary Outcomes

Cohort definition

Entry point (e.g. 9th grade year) or exit point (graduation year)?

Sub-group definitions

Graduates

Ever vs. graduated in X years?

Dropouts

Ever vs. first time vs. most recent?

Page 20: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

Measuring Postsecondary Outcomes

Outcome Measures

Employed at any point in a given year vs. employed at a specific time?

Employed all 4 quarters vs. any?

Missing Data

Linking indicators

Time indicators

Low incidence indicators

Page 21: Measuring Postsecondary Employment Outcomes

Contacts & Information

[email protected]

OERC website, www.oerc.osu.edu

Ohio Analytics website, www.OhioAnalytics.gov