Measure of Opportunity (Jessica Martin at Data Day 2015)

-$80,000

$20,000

$120,000

$220,000

$320,000

$420,000

20002013

WAG E A N D I N C O M E D I V I D E H A S D E E P E N E D

Less than $10,000

$10,000 to $24,999

$25,000 to $49,999

$50,000 to $74,999

$75,000 to $99,999

$100,000 to $149,999

$150,000 or more

BO S T O N ’ S H O U S E H O L D S H AV E B E C O M E M O R E P O L A R I Z E D S I N C E 2 0 0 8

C A N A C I T Y E X T E N D T H E B E N E F I T S O F

E C O N O M I C S U C C E S S T O A L L O F I T S

R E S I D E N T S & N E I G H B O R H O O D S ?

C A N I T R E TA I N A V I B R A N T M I X O F I N C O M E , E T H N I C & A G E D I V E R S I T Y

E V E N A S I T AT T R A C T S H I G H E R I N C O M E R E S I D E N T S ?

C A N I T C R E AT E P AT H W AY S T O E D U C AT I O N A L & E C O N O M I C S U C C E S S

F O R A L L I T S Y O U N G P E O P L E ?

2000 2013

Population Growth Rates

2000 to 2013

Persistent Segregation

Census Tracts with a Racial/Ethnic Majority

College Completion RatesClasses of 2000 - 2007

2000 2007

1990

20002013

Persistent Attainment Disparities

BA or Higher by Race/Ethnicity

AGGREGATE HOUSEHOLD INCOME

$47m

$725m

EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT

Less than 20%

Greater than 80%

CHILD POVERTY

Less than 5%

Greater than 40%

O P P O R T U N I T Y

O P P O R T U N I T Y

P R O S P E R I T Y

O P P O R T U N I T Y

P R O S P E R I T Y

W E L L - B E I N G

O P P O R T U N I T Y

P R O S P E R I T Y

W E L L - B E I N G

S O C I A L & E C O N O M I C M O B I L I T Y

INTRA-GENERATIONAL

INTER-GENERATIONAL

S O C I A L & E C O N O M I C M O B I L I T Y

INTRA-GENERATIONAL

Change in one’s social/economic

positioning within a lifetime

Birth

Adulthood

Adulthood

INTER-GENERATIONAL

S O C I A L & E C O N O M I C M O B I L I T Y

INTER-GENERATIONAL

A person’s social/economic

standing compared to their parents’

standing at the same ageParents

Adult Child

INTRA-GENERATIONAL

S O C I A L & E C O N O M I C M O B I L I T Y

Parents

Adult Child

ABSOLUTE

Actual movement in lifetime, across

generations

S O C I A L & E C O N O M I C M O B I L I T Y

RELATIVE

Individual’s position compared to peers

with similar experience

S O C I A L & E C O N O M I C M O B I L I T Y

equity(gap in opportunities & outcomes)

Birth Age 5 Age 11 Age 19 Age 29 Age 40

100%

67% 71%

59%68% 64%

100%

45% 49%

31%

44% 43%

LIFETIME SUCCESS BASED ON LEVEL OF ADVANTAGE AT BIRTH

Advantaged at Birth Disadvantaged at Birth

Birth Age 5 Age 11 Age 19 Age 29 Age 40

100%

67% 71%

59%68% 64%

100%

45% 49%

31%

44% 43%

LIFETIME SUCCESS BASED ON LEVEL OF ADVANTAGE AT BIRTH

Advantaged at Birth Disadvantaged at Birth

Birth Age 5 Age 11 Age 19 Age 29 Age 40

100%

67% 71%

59%68% 64%

100%

69% 67%

37%

59% 58%

SUCCESS GAP AFTER PROVEN INTERVENTIONS

Advantaged at Birth Disadvantaged at Birth

SAN JOSE: 12.9%

SAN FRANCISCO: 12.2%

WASHINGTON DC: 11%

SALT LAKE CITY: 10.8%

SEATTLE: 10.9%

NEW YORK CITY: 10.5%

BOSTON: 10.5%

GREATERMOBILITY

LESS MOBILITY

Racial Segregation

Isolated Poverty

Commute Times

Proximity to High Quality Schools

Teen Labor Force Participation

Social Capital

Density of Single Parent Households

Suffolk County:-0.31% every year

Middlesex County:+0.39% every year

Causal Exposure Effects on Future EarningsFor every year spent living in a place, how does that impact future earnings?

2015 A BABY IS BORN IN BOSTON

2020 TURNS FIVE YEARS OLD

2027 ENTERS 7 T H GRADE

2033 GRADUATES HIGH SCHOOL

2038 COMPLETES COLLEGE

2039 STARTS A CAREER PATH

2055 ACHIEVES THE AMERICAN DREAM

2048 HAS A CHILD

WHAT DO WE

NEED TO KNOW

ALONG THE WAY?

Quickly

Clearly

Appropriate depth6

indicators

classroom successstandardized test scoreshigh school graduation

employabilityearning potential

lifetime wealth creation

% of 3 & 4 Year Olds Enrolled in School59.3%

% of Pop. with an Associate’s Degree or Higher49.7%

(early opportunity) (educational attainment)

Median Income$53,583

Unemployment Rate4.7%

inequalitypurchasing power

povertyhousingnutrition

GINI Index .53

accessible & equitable city

(employment) (income & wealth) (neighborhood strength)

TBF.ORG/OPPORTUNITY