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Page 1: MCX Tips by

Weekly Newsletter04/07/2011

Weekly Newsletter-Commodity

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Commodity

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Page 2: MCX Tips by

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Weekly Newsletter

Contents

Market Wrap

Technical Analysis

Gold ( Comex)

Silver ( Comex)

Crude ( Nymex)

Naturalgas ( Nymex)

Copper (Mcx)

USD/INR

Page 3: MCX Tips by

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MARKET WRAP

China PMI hits 28-month low, weighs on oil prices

Oil falls on weak China data, economic worry

U.S. consumer sentiment worsened in June

Gold fell more than 1 percent on Friday to a six-week low

Copper rises for fourth day on bright U.S. data

Gold ended down for second consecutive week shredding nearly $13 to end the week at

$1487.79 after hitting 6-month low. Gold came under pressure as dollar rebounded and

U.S crude oil fell more than $2, also, with no Greek default, investors liquidated their

positions in Gold. Silver eclipsed gold and ended down nearly $1 at 33.86.,

iShare silver trust fell 1.4 million in this quarter, biggest outflow since its launch.

Copper ended up on the back of positive economic data to end the week up at $429.20.

Copper rallied as U.S data ISM manufacturing PMI came up at 55.3 vs. 53.5 as against

expected at 51.9 whit copper upside was capped by Chinese data that showed factory

activity slowed. LME 3-month copper ended up at $9435 after making a two month high.

Though, low decline in LME inventories, copper may correct next week.

Crude oil rebounded and ended the week up on the back of positive economic data, a

rebound in Dollar and signs of better demand though its gains were capped by

disappointing Chinese factory PMI data. Crude oil added more than $4 to end the week up

at $94.70 as it took support of its 50% retracement and its support trendline drawn from

lows of 2008. IEA crude oil inventories came lower at (–) 4.4m vs. (-) 1.5m w/w.

Page 4: MCX Tips by

TECHNICAL

WEEKLY PIVOT

SCRIPT R4 R3 R2

GOLD 1600 1564 1529

OUTLOOK

Trend:- Consolidate

Resistance:- 1523,

Support:- 1478,1445

Strategy:- Sell on high

ECHNICAL VIEW

GOLD

R2 R1 P S1 S2

1529 1508 1493 1472 1457

Consolidate

1523,1548$

,1445$

Sell on high

GOLD WEEKLY

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S3 S4

1422 1386

Page 5: MCX Tips by

WEEKLY PIVOT

SCRIPT R4 R3 R2

SILVER 39.42 37.65 35.88

OUTLOOK

Trend:- Consolidate

Resistance:- 35.10,37.85

Support:- 33.15,32

Strategy:- Sell on high

SILVER

R2 R1 P S1 S2

35.88 34.87 34.11 33.10 32.34

Consolidate

35.10,37.85$

32.45$

Sell on high

SILVER WEEKLY

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S3 S4

30.57 28.80

Page 6: MCX Tips by

WEEKLY PIVOT

SCRIPT R4 R3 R2

CRUDE 112.0 105.8 99.6

OUTLOOK

Trend:- Consolidate

Resistance:- 95.5,98.7

Support:- 89.7,81.3

Strategy:- Sell on high

CRUDE

R2 R1 P S1 S2

99.6 97.1 93.4 90.9 87.2

Consolidate

,98.7$

81.3$

Sell on high

CRUDE WEEKLY

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S3 S4

81.0 74.7

Page 7: MCX Tips by

WEEKLY PIVOT

SCRIPT R4 R3 R2

NG 5.00 4.77 4.54

OUTLOOK

Trend:- Consolidate

Resistance:- 4.540,

Support:- 4.110,3.720

Strategy:- Sell on high

NATURALGAS

R2 R1 P S1 S2

4.54 4.43 4.31 4.20 4.08

Consolidate

4.540,4.950$

3.720$

Sell on high

NATURALGAS WEEKLY

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S3 S4

3.85 3.62

Page 8: MCX Tips by

WEEKLY PIVOT

SCRIPT R4 R3

COPPER 478.4 458.8 439.3

OUTLOOK

Trend:- Consolidate

Resistance:- 435,446

Support:- 418,399

Strategy:- Buy on dips

COPPER

R2 R1 P S1 S2

439.3 432.6 419.7 413.0 400.2

Consolidate

435,446

418,399

Buy on dips

COPPER WEEKLY

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S3 S4

380.6 361.1

Page 9: MCX Tips by

WEEKLY PIVOT

SCRIPT R4 R3 R2

INR 46.61 45.99 45.37

OUTLOOK

Trend:- Consolidate

Resistance:- 45.30

Support:- 44.15,4

Strategy:- Buy on dips

USD/INR

R2 R1 P S1 S2

45.37 45.00 44.75 44.38 44.13

Consolidate

0,45.85

43.40

Buy on dips

USD/INR WEEKLY

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S3 S4

43.51 42.89

Page 10: MCX Tips by

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