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Chapter 8 Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 1 Foreign Exchange and International Financial Markets
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MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Sep 14, 2014

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MBA 713 - Chapter 08
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Page 1: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 1

Chapter 8

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

Foreign Exchange and International Financial

Markets

Page 2: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 2

Learning Objectives

• Describe how demand and supply affect the price of foreign exchange

• Discuss the role of international banks in the foreign-exchange market

• Learn how firms use the spot and forward markets to settle international transactions

• Discuss arbitrage in foreign exchange• Explore the international capital market

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

Page 3: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 3

The Economics of Foreign Exchange

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

Page 4: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 4

Demand for Yen

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

The demand for yen is derived from foreigner’s demand for Japanese

products

Page 5: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 5

Supply of Yen

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

The supply of yen is derived from Japanese demand for foreign

products

Page 6: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 6

The Market for Yen

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

Equilibrium is reached when supply and demand are equal

Page 7: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 7

Foreign Exchange Rate Quotes

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IndirectQuote

DirectQuote

Page 8: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 8

Summary of Discussion

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

Page 9: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 9

Structure of the Foreign Exchange Market

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

Page 10: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 10

Currencies Involved in Foreign-Exchange Market Transactions

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

Page 11: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 11

The Role of Banks

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

Foreign-Exchange Market

Speculation and Arbitrage

Spread Between Bid and Ask Prices

Page 12: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 12

Types of Markets

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

Wholesale Retail

Page 13: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 13

Foreign-Exchange Clients

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

•Commercial Customers

•Exchange-Rate Speculators

•Currency Arbitrageurs

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Chapter 8 - 14

Types of Currencies

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Convertible vs. Inconvertible

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Chapter 8 - 15

Summary of Discussion

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Page 16: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 16

Spot and Forward Markets

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Page 17: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 17

Types of Markets

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•Spot Market•Forward Market

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Chapter 8 - 18

Futures Transactions

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•Swap Transactions•Currency Futures•Currency Options

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Chapter 8 - 19

Forward Pricing of Foreign Currency

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Current Price of the British Pound (£)

Firm’s Holdings of (£) Assets

Firm’s Holdings of (£) Liabilities

• Selling at Forward Discount

• Selling at Forward Premium

Reduce Increase

Increase Reduce

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Chapter 8 - 20

Summary of Discussion

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

Page 21: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 21

Arbitrage and the Currency Market

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Page 22: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 22

Arbitrage of Goods

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The Law of One Price

Buy in “Cheap” Market

Sell in “Expensive” Market

Page 23: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 23

Purchasing Power Parity

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

PPP

ExpensiveMarket

CheapMarket

Cost of Currency “B”

Price of Good “X”

Cost of Currency “A”

Price of Good “X”

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Chapter 8 - 24

Arbitrage of Money

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Professional Traders

Covered Interest

Three-PointTwo-Point

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Chapter 8 - 25

Two-Point Arbitrage

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Risk-Free Profit

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Chapter 8 - 26

Three-Point Arbitrage

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$2 = £1 £1 = ¥200

$1 = ¥120

Sell £1, G

et $2

Sell $2, Get ¥240

Sell ¥240, Get £1.2

Step 2

Step 1 Step 3

New York Tokyo

London

Gain£0.2

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Chapter 8 - 27

Covered-Interest Arbitrage

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Currencies of Two Countries

Interest Rate Differences

Forward Discount/Premium≠

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Chapter 8 - 28

The International Fisher Effect

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Country’s Inflation Rate

Expected to Increase

Expected to Decrease

Nominal Interest

Forward Premium

Forward Discount

Higher Shrink Widen

Lower Widen Shrink

Page 29: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 29

Summary of Discussion

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Page 30: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 30

The International Capital Market

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Page 31: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 31

The Eight Largest Banks

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Rank Company Country Revenues ($Mil)

1 ING Group Netherlands 147,052

2 Bank of America United States 134,194

3 BNP Paribas France 128,726

4 J.P. Morgan Chase & Co United States 115,475

5 Citigroup United States 111,055

6 Crédit Agricole France 105,003

7 HSBC Holdings United Kingdom 102,680

8 Banco Santander Spain 100,350

Page 32: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 32

International Banking

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CorrespondentRelationship

SubsidiaryBank

Affiliated BankBranch Bank

Page 33: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 33

International Commercial Banking

Services

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Everyday Transactions

Currency Exchange

Page 34: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 34Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

Mergers andAcquisitions

Long-TermDebt and Equity

Investment Banking

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Chapter 8 - 35

Eurocurrency Market

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Foreign Currency on Deposit

London Interbank Offer Rate (LIBOR)

International Banking Facility (IBF)

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Chapter 8 - 36

• Foreign Bonds• Eurobonds• Global Bonds

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The International Bond Market

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Chapter 8 - 37

Global Equity Markets

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•Capital Markets

•Country Funds

•Financial Services

Page 38: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 38

Offshore Financial Centers

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Bahamas

Bahrain

Cayman Islands

Luxembourg

Bermuda

Netherlands Antilles

Singapore

Switzerland

Page 39: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 39

Summary of Discussion

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Page 40: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 40

Chapter 8

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

Foreign Exchange and International Financial

Markets

Page 41: MBA 713 - Chapter 08

Chapter 8 - 41Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

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