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clens.eu Market premium model for biogas plants Jonas Zingerle Paris, 13/10/2016
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Market premium model for biogas plants

Dec 30, 2016

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Page 1: Market premium model for biogas plants

clens.eu

Market premium model for biogas plants Jonas Zingerle

Paris, 13/10/2016

Page 2: Market premium model for biogas plants

clens.eu clens.eu

Short presentation of Clean Energy Sourcing

Clean Energy Sourcing Group: Company and Products

2

Page 3: Market premium model for biogas plants

clens.eu

Green Energy Supply, Direct Marketing, and Virtual Power Plant

We are one of the leading green power suppliers in Germany

■Over 8 TWh power sales to industrial and commercial customers

■Over 3.900 MW in portfolio management of renewable energy and combined heat and power plants (CHP)

■One of the leading virtual power plants ■Prequalified supplier on the reserve power market (SRL & MRL) in

Germany and Austria ■Flexible management of decentral power plants, power consumers

and storage

■Our own 24/7 trading & operations cockpit ■Market access to all important trading platforms in Europe: EEX,

EPEX Spot, EXAA, APX etc. ■Trading desk and 24/7 control room ■Analysis, prognosis, modelling

■More than 70 employees at our locations in Leipzig, Frankfurt and Vienna

Short presentation of Clean Energy Sourcing

The Trading & Operations Cockpit runs 24/7

3

Clean Energy Sourcing Group: Company and Products

Page 4: Market premium model for biogas plants

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CLENS groups its three major business lines around the IT-enhanced Trading & Operations Cockpit (TOC)

4

■Power-supply of end- customers

■Strong in industry and commerce

■Buy and resell power from distributed power plants

■Mainly through market premium model in Germany

■Price-oriented dispatching and balance power service for flexible power plants, consumption and storage assets

Loadmanagement

Trading &

Operation

Trading &

Operations

Cockpit

CLENS company profile

Page 5: Market premium model for biogas plants

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Market premium model – how does it work?

5

Page 6: Market premium model for biogas plants

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The Market Premium Model allows to directly sell power of all types of renewable enrgy plants

6

Basic principle: Operator no longer feeds production into the grid based on fixed feed-in tariffs as guaranteed by EEG, but sells it (usually via a direct marketing service provider) directly on power markets

As sales revenues attainable in this way are lower than the plant-specific guaranteed EEG feed-in tariffs, the difference is compensated for by the so called market premium

Market premium = EEG feed-in tariff - average market price + management premium

The management premium sets an incentive for plant operators to switch to the Market Premium Model Market price for wind and PV plants is calculated as the technology-specific, volume-weighted monthly average price on the electricity exchange (EPEX Spot)

Difference between

EEG feed-in tariff and

average

market price

Technology-specific

market price

EEG feed-in

tariff

Management premium (MP)

Market premium

Page 7: Market premium model for biogas plants

clens.eu

For each technology monthly market values are calculated based on hourly EPEX-Spot day-ahead market prices

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Management premium differs for technologies:

• Fluctuating technologies (Wind/PV): 4€/MWh

• Steady technologies (Biogas/Hydro): 2€/MWh

Page 8: Market premium model for biogas plants

clens.eu

What does that mean for the daily business of a direct marketing service provider?

• As balancing responsible party, direct marketer need to deliver binding ¼- h generation schedules

• high quality of forecast is crucial

• Scheduled volumes are generally sold day-ahead on spot markets (EPEX)

• deviations from scheduled production are settled

• Imbalance prices are relatively volatile and can be positive or negative => risks!

• predictibility of a power plants production is importat part of pricing models

8

Page 9: Market premium model for biogas plants

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Ancillary services

Reserve power market

Wholesale-market

Power Exchange

Spot market Futures +

Options market

Over-the-counter (OTC)

Spotmarkt

Continuous Trading

Futures

Forwards, Options

Market places - overview

Day-Ahead-Auction

Intraday

Auction + Continuous Trading

Primary reserve

Secondary reserve

Tertiary reserve

Financial level Physical level

Page 10: Market premium model for biogas plants

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Ancillary services

Reserve power market

Wholesale-market

Power Exchange

Spot market Futures +

Options market

Over-the-counter (OTC)

Spotmarkt

Continuous Trading

Futures

Forwards, Options

Market places - overview

Day-Ahead-Auction

Intraday

Auction + Continuous Trading

Primary reserve

Secondary reserve

Tertiary reserve

Financial level Physical level

Page 11: Market premium model for biogas plants

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Clean Energy Sourcing Group: Company and Products

11

Market results

Development of day-ahead spot market prices

21,54 €

Page 12: Market premium model for biogas plants

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Merit Order Modell

Marginal

costs/supply

lignite

hardcoal

gas

oil

nuclear

Leistung [GW]

Price

[€/MWh] demand

Price P1

Margin

Price P2

Renewables

Page 13: Market premium model for biogas plants

Seite 13

Share of fluctuating

renewables (wind+pv) get

bigger

Value of base load will

decrease

Demand for flexibility is

growing

Price-spreads will increase

and occur more often

red: demand (2010)

green: generation wind & solar

Cap

acit

y in

stal

led

, GW

]

20 % share RES

40 % share RES

80 % share RES

source: Prof. Dr. Stadler/ Westfalen Wind GmbH

What is coming next?

Page 14: Market premium model for biogas plants

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CLENS‘ holistic optimization approach provides best results across all market places.

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Secondary

reserve

Tertiary

reserve

Spot

(day ahead) Intraday

Placement Wednesday Workday:

Until 10 AM

Workday:

Until noon

Up to 45Min before

fulfilment

Provision-/

supply-period

Week after:

Monday till sunday

Day after until next

workday

Day after until next

workday Same day

Product length Peak & off-peak 6 x 4 hours 24 x 1 hour 24 x 1 hour

96 x ¼ hour

Order of bidding

Order of forecast

Granularity of products Binding commitment

Early, binding scheduling

vs.

Short-term flexibility

Page 15: Market premium model for biogas plants

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Optimization outcome last week

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=> Additional value of optimized schedule to average market value 10 €/MWh

=> Additional value of optimized schedule to average market value 1,50 €/MWh

Page 16: Market premium model for biogas plants

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Market environment changes –

flexibility wins!

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Page 17: Market premium model for biogas plants

clens.eu

….Questions?

Jonas Zingerle Business Development

Katharinenstraße 6

04109 Leipzig

+49 341 30 86 06-276

[email protected]

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Page 18: Market premium model for biogas plants

clens.eu

Produktsegment Ausschreibung Mind.-Angebot Aktivierung Zeitscheiben Vergütung

Primärregelleistung Wöchentlich 1 MW <30 Sekunden

vollautomatisch 1/Woche Leistungspreis

Sekundärregelleistung Wöchentlich 5 MW < 5 Minuten

vollautomatisch Peak & Off-Peak

Leistungspreis &

Arbeitspreis

Minutenreserve-

leistung Täglich 5 MW

<15 Minuten

teilautomatisiert 6x4h/Tag

Leistungspreis &

Arbeitspreis

Reihenfolge der Aktivierung

Primär-

regelung

Sekundär-

regelung

Minuten-

reserve

5 s 30 s 15 min 1 h 5 min

Regelenergiearten

Page 19: Market premium model for biogas plants

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-

10

20

30

40

50

60

1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93

€/M

Wh

EPEX 15 EPEX DA

Entwicklung der Spotmärkte

Stundenauktion (EPEX DA) vs. 1/4-Stundenauktion (EPEX15 )

Volatility on ID-Market (continuous)

Page 20: Market premium model for biogas plants

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Quelle: Energy Brainpool

Baseload

Prognose Energy Brainpool: Volatility increases and flexibility wins!