www.angelbroking.com Market Outlook August 11, 2017 www.angelbroking.com Market Cues Indian markets are likely to open weak tracking global indices and SGX Nifty. After two days of weak trading U.S. markets ended sharply lower on Thursday amid huge selling pressure and both Nasdaq and Dow Jones closed at their lowest levels in a month. Geopolitical concerns, the tension between US and North Korea continued to weigh on the markets and the trend is likely to continue in the near term. The European markets also suffered losses due to the sharp selling in the US markets and had a day of heavy selling largely due to the political tension. North Korea has renewed its threat to strike US base of Guam and market participants seems to be moving away from equities to more safer asset class like Gold. Indian markets continued to lose ground and ended sharply lower during the day. SEBI’s crack down on the shell companies and the ongoing tension in the Doklam region continued to have a negative impact on the markets. With global markets remaining weak the Indian markets could also continue to remain under pressure in the near term. News Analysis Philips carbon black to invest `300 cr to ramp up capacity Detailed analysis is on Pg2 Investor’s Ready Reckoner Key Domestic & Global Indicators Stock Watch: Latest investment recommendations on 150+ stocks Refer Pg7 onwards Top Picks Company Sector Rating CMP (`) Target (`) Upside (%) Blue Star Capital Goods Buy 659 760 15.4 Dewan Housing Finance Financials Buy 406 550 35.4 Mahindra Lifespace Real Estate Buy 413 522 26.5 Navkar Corporation Others Buy 185 265 43.4 KEI Industries Capital Goods Buy 215 258 19.8 More Top Picks on Pg5 Key Upcoming Events Date Region Event Description Previous Reading Consensus Expectations Aug 11, 2017 UK Industrial Production (YoY) 0.30 (0.10) Aug 11, 2017 India Industrial Production YoY 1.70 0.10 Aug 14, 2017 China Industrial Production (YoY) 7.60 7.10 Aug 14, 2017 India Imports YoY% 19.00 Aug 14, 2017 India Exports YoY% 4.40 More Events on Pg7 BSE Sensex 0.3 86 29,422 Nifty 0.4 33 9,136 Mid Cap 0.7 95 14,485 Small Cap 1.1 171 15,128 Dow Jones 0.9 174 20,579 Nasdaq 0.9 54 5,917 FTSE 0.1 4 7,119 Nikkei (0.0) (2) 18,430 Hang Seng 1.0 231 24,057 Shanghai Com 0.0 1 3,172 Advances 1,849 1,130 Declines 1,039 543 Unchanged 164 74 BSE 4,029 25,391 FII (565) (2,249) 41,972 804 4,895 14,333 Indiacem 190 8.8 Irb 240 (5.0) #As on April 20, 2017 Domestic Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close) BSE Sensex (0.8) (267) 31,531 Nifty (0.9) (88) 9,820 Mid Cap (2.6) (401) 14,756 Small Cap (3.6) (563) 15,071 Bankex (0.7) (201) 27,340 Global Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close) Dow Jones (0.9) (205) 21,844 Nasdaq (2.1) (135) 6,217 FTSE (1.4) (108) 7,390 Nikkei (0.0) (9) 19,730 Hang Seng (1.1) (313) 27,444 Shanghai Com (0.4) (14) 3,262 Advances / Declines BSE NSE Advances 317 186 Declines 2,277 1,532 Unchanged 107 33 Volumes (` Cr) BSE 4,589 NSE 31,696 #Net Inflows (` Cr) Net Mtd Ytd FII 1,898 567 58,963 MFs 648 4,002 54,948 Top Gainers Price (`) Chg (%) Srf 1,476 2.8 Techm 404 2.7 Kajariacer 636 2.3 Vakrangee 448 1.5 Britannia 4,119 1.4 Top Losers Price (`) Chg (%) Natcopharm 697 (16.1) Kscl 532 (12.6) Bomdyeing 70 (11.0) Symphony 1,202 (9.8) Welcorp 113 (9.6) #as on 10 rd Aug, 2017
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Market Outlook August 11, 2017
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Market Cues
Indian markets are likely to open weak tracking global indices and SGX Nifty.
After two days of weak trading U.S. markets ended sharply lower on Thursday amid huge selling pressure and both Nasdaq and Dow Jones closed at their lowest levels in a month. Geopolitical concerns, the tension between US and North Korea continued to weigh on the markets and the trend is likely to continue in the near term.
The European markets also suffered losses due to the sharp selling in the US markets and had a day of heavy selling largely due to the political tension. North Korea has renewed its threat to strike US base of Guam and market participants seems to be moving away from equities to more safer asset class like Gold.
Indian markets continued to lose ground and ended sharply lower during the day. SEBI’s crack down on the shell companies and the ongoing tension in the Doklam region continued to have a negative impact on the markets. With global markets remaining weak the Indian markets could also continue to remain under pressure in the near term.
News Analysis Philips carbon black to invest `300 cr to ramp up capacity
Detailed analysis is on Pg2
Investor’s Ready Reckoner
Key Domestic & Global Indicators
Stock Watch: Latest investment recommendations on 150+ stocks
Refer Pg7 onwards
Top Picks Company Sector Rating
CMP (`)
Target (`)
Upside (%)
Blue Star Capital Goods Buy 659 760 15.4
Dewan Housing FinanceFinancials Buy 406 550 35.4
Mahindra Lifespace Real Estate Buy 413 522 26.5
Navkar Corporation Others Buy 185 265 43.4 KEI Industries Capital Goods Buy 215 258 19.8 More Top Picks on Pg5
Key Upcoming Events Date Region Event Description
Previous Reading
Consensus Expectations
Aug 11, 2017 UK Industrial Production (YoY) 0.30 (0.10)
Aug 11, 2017 India Industrial Production YoY 1.70 0.10
Aug 14, 2017 China Industrial Production (YoY) 7.60 7.10
Aug 14, 2017 India Imports YoY% 19.00
Aug 14, 2017 India Exports YoY% 4.40More Events on Pg7
Domestic Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close)
BSE Sensex 0.3 86 29,422
Nifty 0.4 33 9,136
Mid Cap 0.7 95 14,485
Small Cap 1.1 171 15,128
Bankex (0.5) (131) 24,444
Global Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close)
Dow Jones 0.9 174 20,579
Nasdaq 0.9 54 5,917
FTSE 0.1 4 7,119
Nikkei (0.0) (2) 18,430
Hang Seng 1.0 231 24,057
Shanghai Com 0.0 1 3,172
Advances / Declines BSE NSE
Advances 1,849 1,130
Declines 1,039 543
Unchanged 164 74
Volumes (` Cr)
BSE 4,029
NSE 25,391
#Net Inflows (` Cr) Net Mtd Ytd
FII (565) (2,249) 41,972
MFs 804 4,895 14,333
Top Gainers Price (`) Chg (%)
Indiacem 190 8.8
Jktyre 154 8.4
Gsfc 124 7.5
Sobha 392 7.3
Jetairways 511 6.5
Top Losers Price (`) Chg (%)
Irb 240 (5.0)
Yesbank 1,545 (3.8)
Icicibank 273 (2.9)
Polaris 214 (2.5)
Concor 1,186 (2.5) #As on April 20, 2017
Domestic Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close)
BSE Sensex (0.8) (267) 31,531
Nifty (0.9) (88) 9,820
Mid Cap (2.6) (401) 14,756
Small Cap (3.6) (563) 15,071
Bankex (0.7) (201) 27,340
Global Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close)
Dow Jones (0.9) (205) 21,844
Nasdaq (2.1) (135) 6,217
FTSE (1.4) (108) 7,390
Nikkei (0.0) (9) 19,730
Hang Seng (1.1) (313) 27,444
Shanghai Com (0.4) (14) 3,262
Advances / Declines BSE NSE
Advances 317 186
Declines 2,277 1,532
Unchanged 107 33
Volumes (` Cr)
BSE 4,589
NSE 31,696
#Net Inflows (` Cr) Net Mtd Ytd
FII 1,898 567 58,963
MFs 648 4,002 54,948
Top Gainers Price (`) Chg (%)
Srf 1,476 2.8
Techm 404 2.7
Kajariacer 636 2.3
Vakrangee 448 1.5
Britannia 4,119 1.4
Top Losers Price (`) Chg (%)
Natcopharm 697 (16.1)
Kscl 532 (12.6)
Bomdyeing 70 (11.0)
Symphony 1,202 (9.8)
Welcorp 113 (9.6) #as on 10rd Aug, 2017
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Market Outlook August 11, 2017
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News Analysis
Philip carbon black to invest ` 300 cr to ramp up capacity:
Philips carbon black Ltd plans to invest `300 cr to ramp up capacity, the company was also evaluating a greenfield carbon black plant in south India.The company have a capacity of 4.8 lakh tonne per annum of carbon black and now plans to invest `300 cr in Palej and Mundra plants of of Gujarat to add another 80,000 tonne of capacity. The company said the new plant will be ready by FY2019. The company says it is also evaluating a green field capacity of 1.2 lakh tonne in South India. The company says it is looking for either Tamil Nadu or either Andhra Pradesh and the final call be taken by the key factors like location of new tyre capacity and state incentive says the company. The company says the green field project is in a formative stage and which should get ready in the next few months and then the quantum will be estimated. Though, specialty black is gaining ground but new capacity in Gujarat will be normal carbon black. Specialty carbon production can be carried out in a manufacturing facilities.
Economic and Political News Tax to GDP ratio may rise to 11.9% due to GST
Govt projects 26% rise in capex over next two years
RBI halves dividend payout to Govt to `30,659 cr
Corporate News SAT stays SEBI’s order against J Kumar Infra and Prakash Industries
Tata Motors & Vokswagen’s Skoda Auto call off tie up even before it could start
Spice Jet Q1FY18 rises 18% due to higher airfares
NCLT admits insolvency process dings against Lanco Infratech
State Bank of India - Aug 11, 2017 Particulars (`cr) 1QFY18E 1QFY17 y-o-y (%) 4QFY17 q-o-q (%)
Net profit 2,883 2,521 14.4 2,815 2.4
Bank of Baroda - Aug 11, 2017 Particulars (`cr) 1QFY18E 1QFY17 y-o-y (%) 4QFY17 q-o-q (%)
Net profit 506 424 19.5 155 227.2
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Market Outlook August 11, 2017
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Tata Global Beverages Ltd Consol - Aug 11, 2017 Particulars ( `cr) 1QFY18E 1QFY17 y-o-y (%) 4QFY17 q-o-q (%)
Net sales 1,756 1,711 2.6 1,674 4.9
EBITDA 223 238 (6.6) 179 24.5
EBITDA margin (%) 12.7 13.9 10.7
Net profit 97 104 (6.7) 51 89.2
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Market Outlook August 11, 2017
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Top Picks HHHHH Company
Market Cap(` Cr)
CMP (`)
Target (`)
Upside (%)
Rationale
Alkem Laboratories 20,668 1,729 2,161 25.0
Strong growth in domestic business due to its leadership in acute therapeutic segment. Alkem expects to launch more products in USA, which bodes for its international business.
Asian Granito 1,205 401 480 19.8 We expect the company would report strong profitability owing to better product mix, higher B2C sales and amalgamation synergy.
Blue Star 6,308 659 760 15.4
Favorable outlook for the AC industry to augur well for Cooling products business which is out pacing the market growth. EMPPAC division's profitability to improve once operating environment turns around.
Dewan Housing Finance 12,741 406 550 35.4
With a focus on the low and medium income (LMI) consumer segment, the company has increased its presence in tier-II & III cities where the growth opportunity is immense.
Karur Vysya Bank 8,098 134 160 19.4 Loan growth is likely to pick up after a sluggish FY17. Lower credit cost will help in strong bottom-line growth. Increasing share of CASA will help in NIM improvement.
KEI Industries 1,676 215 258 19.8 High order book execution in EPC segment, rising B2C sales and higher exports to boost the revenues and profitability
Mahindra Lifespace 2,117 413 522 26.5 Speedier execution and speedier sales, strong revenue visibility in short-to-long run, attractive valuations
Music Broadcast 2,009 350 434 24.0Expected to benefit from the lower capex requirement and 15 year long radio broadcast licensing.
Navkar Corporation 2,636 185 265 43.4 Massive capacity expansion along with rail advantage at ICD as well CFS augurs well for the company
Siyaram Silk Mills 1,866 1,991 2,500 25.6 Strong brands and distribution network would boost growth going ahead. Stock currently trades at an inexpensive valuation.
TV Today Network 1,291 216 344 58.9
Market leadership in Hindi news genre and no. 2 viewership ranking in English news genre, exit from the radio business, and anticipated growth in ad spends by corporates to benefit the stock.
Maruti Suzuki 2,28,990 7,580 8,495 12.1
After GST, the company is expected to see higher volumes along with improving product mix. The Gujarat plant will also enable higher operating leverage which will be margin accretive.
Source: Company, Angel Research
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Market Outlook August 11, 2017
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Key Upcoming Events
Result Calendar
Date Company
August 11, 2017 Tata Global, Bosch India, TVS Motor, Crompton Greaves, Suzlon Energy, BGR Energy , Blue Star, St Bk of India, Bank of Baroda
August 12, 2017 United Bank, Godawari Ispat, TVS Srichakra, DLF
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Global economic events release calendar
Date Time Country Event Description Unit Period Bloomberg Data
Last Reported Estimated
Aug 11, 2017 2:00 PMUK Industrial Production (YoY) % Change Jun 0.30 (0.10)
5:30 PMIndia Industrial Production YoY % Change Jun 1.70 0.10
Aug 14, 2017 7:30 AMChina Industrial Production (YoY) % Change Jul 7.60 7.10
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on August 10, 2017
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Stock WatchAugust 11, 2017
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.angelbroking.com
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